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☆ Short sellers must wait to take a stab at SoftBank's Arm Holdings soaring shares
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A smartphone with a displayed Arm Ltd logo is placed on a computer motherboard in this illustration taken March 6, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Investors looking to bet against the soaring shares of newly-listed Arm Holdings (ARM.O) may have to wait at least a day before the stock becomes available for shorting, analysts said. Shares in SoftBank's Arm Holdings (ARM.O) opened 18% above their offer price in their Nasdaq debut on Thursday, valuing the British chip designer at nearly $60 billion in its return to the public markets after seven years. "I have every reason to believe that when ARM options are listed they will be very popular," said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Arm shares were last up 15.80% at $59.06.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Ihor Dusaniwsky, Dusaniwsky, Steve Sosnick, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, Arm Holdings, Nasdaq, Partners, Interactive, Thomson Locations: lendable

☆ US stocks may not be ready for hawkish Powell at Jackson Hole, options data show
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell walks in Teton National Park where financial leaders from around the world gathered for the Jackson Hole economic symposium outside Jackson, Wyoming, U.S., August 26, 2022. REUTERS/Jim Urquhart/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Aug 24 (Reuters) - Investors may be underestimating the degree of potential market turbulence stemming from the Federal Reserve's economic symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, potentially leaving them more vulnerable to a hawkish surprise, options strategists said. This year's symposium also comes at a time when various asset classes have become more vulnerable to outsized moves following the Jackson Hole event, according to an analysis by derivatives strategists at Barclays. Across asset classes, the average volatility-adjusted move around Jackson Hole has almost doubled in the 2017-2022 period, compared with 2010-2016, the bank's strategists wrote in a note on Tuesday. Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Jim Urquhart, Powell, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, Chris Murphy, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal, Interactive, Reuters Graphics, Bank of America, Barclays, Treasury, Susquehanna Financial Group, Thomson Locations: Teton, Jackson , Wyoming, U.S, , Wyoming

☆ Nvidia options show traders positioned for outsized share move after earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

A Nvidia logo is seen on one of their products on display at their headquarters in Taipei, Taiwan May 31, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Wang/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Aug 22 (Reuters) - Traders in the U.S. equity options market are expecting a larger-than-usual swing in Nvidia's (NVDA.O) shares following the chipmaker's quarterly results after the close on Wednesday, options market data showed. Nvidia options imply a nearly 11% swing for the shares, in either direction, by Friday, according to Trade Alert data. The stock has gained about 11% in the last seven sessions, taking its year-to-date gains to about 210%, and has drawn options bets on further gains. "The stock moves on earnings but you can't just assume it only moves up," he said.

Persons: Ann Wang, Steve Sosnick, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: REUTERS, Traders, Nvidia, Interactive, Thomson Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, U.S

U.S. bank shares dropped on Tuesday after ratings agency Moody's downgraded credit ratings of several U.S. regional lenders and placed some banking giants on review for potential downgrade. It warned lenders will find it harder to make money as interest rates remain high, funding costs climb and a potential recession looms. The warning caught some investors off guard. On Tuesday, SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF's (KRE.P) options-based 30-day implied volatility rose to 31.1%, up from 28.9% touched on Monday. "In the near term, there are reasons for caution about banks in general and we have made changes where appropriate," he said.

Persons: SPDR, Steve Sosnick, There's, David Wagner, David Smith, Brian Mulberry, Michelle Price, Diane Craft Organizations: Moody's Corporation, P Bank, Regional Banking, Silicon Valley Bank, Banking, Interactive, Alert, Aptus Capital, Autonomous Research, Analysts, Zacks Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S, Silicon

☆ Bearish traders swarm AMC options as stock conversion plan faces doubts
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW YORK, July 28 (Reuters) - Shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (AMC.N) have been hit by a wave of bearish options bets amid uncertainty over the company's stock conversion plan. While the common shares finished Thursday at $4.52, the APE preferred shares ended the session at $1.86. The move sent AMC’s shares higher, disappointing bearish traders who expected news of a conversion to tank the price. Still, options traders appear to be powering on with their bearish wagers, in effect betting the conversion will eventually go through. On Thursday, AMC shares finished down 10%, while APE shares rose 6%.

Persons: Steve Sosnick, Brent Kochuba, Garrett DeSimone, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Diane Craft Organizations: YORK, AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc, AMC, Trade, Reuters, New York Stock Exchange, Interactive Brokers, Thomson Locations: Ortex, OptionMetrics

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index (.IXIC) has rallied this year, helped by outsized gains in rate-sensitive megacap growth companies and hopes for an end to the U.S. Federal Reserve's tightening cycle. The S&P composite 1500 passenger airlines sub index (.SPCOMAIR) dropped 3.45%, bogged down by a 9.7% fall in Alaska Air (ALK.N) after the airline's annual revenue growth outlook missed expectations. Most of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors were subdued. The S&P 500 earnings are now expected to decline 7.7% for the second quarter, as per Refinitiv data. The S&P 500 posted 37 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 74 new highs and 101 new lows.

Persons: Steve Sosnick, Rishi Sadarangani, Whitney, Carolina Mandl, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Shinjini Ganguli, Shounak Dasgupta, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: GE, Pratt & Whitney, Dow, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Google, Interactive, U.S, Reserve, outsized, Boeing, Pratt, Airbus, Alaska Air, Dow Jones, General Electric, General Motors, 3M, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S . Federal, China, Sao Paulo, Bengaluru

☆ Russia turmoil to fuel market volatility, flight to safety
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The question is how much and how lasting the reaction will be, much of which depends upon unknowable developments." It is reasonable to expect oil and other key commodity prices to rise. If oil prices rise sharply, that will indeed weigh upon equities and reignite stagflation fears. In theory it should benefit from a flight to safety, but in practice a strong dollar can impede it." “Probably bearish Indian stocks too as the dividend they’ve received from cheap Russian oil likely disappears.

Persons: Wagner, Stringer, STEVE SOSNICK, stagflation, MICHAEL PURVES, DAVID KOTOK, Putin, Orban, ’, GEORGE BOUBOURAS, JAMIE HALSE, “, Tom Westbrook, Megan Davies, Carolina Mandl, Ira Iosebashvili, Lananh Nguyen, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Southern Military District, REUTERS, Moscow, Defense, CUMBERLAND, NATO, MELBOURNE, WHO, SYDNEY, Thomson, & & Locations: Rostov, Don, Russia, Russian, China, SARASOTA , FLORIDA, Belarus, Soviet, EU, Hungary, Turkey, JAPAN, Ukraine, Eastern Europe, Singapore, New York

☆ Why copper's 12% surge over the past month could signal bright times ahead for the broader economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-24 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Copper prices have jumped as much as 12% from their May 25 low, and that could signal green shoots for the economy. Copper prices have long been viewed as a leading economic indicator because it is utilized in various sectors of the economy. Essentially, rising copper prices could signal increased demand and therefore increased economic activity, and vice versa for when copper prices fall. But rising copper prices aren't always driven by an increase in demand for the commodity, and could instead be impacted by other factors. Sosnick also said that recent interest rate cuts in China could be impacting copper prices more so than broad economic strength "since other key commodities like oil are hardly signaling economic strength."

Persons: Ryan Detrick, —, Katie Stockton, Stockton, Ryan Detrick wouldn't, he's, Detrick, Tom Lee, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Carson Group, Interactive Locations: Stockton, China

The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) closed 0.6% higher, tracking the global market rally. The European Central Bank will hold its policy meeting on Thursday, where it is expected to hike rates by another 25 basis points to tame stubborn inflation. Industrial metal prices rose after the People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered a short-term lending rate for the first time in 10 months to prop up risk sentiment. Meanwhile, German consumer prices, harmonised to compare with other European Union countries, rose by 6.3% on the year in May, data showed. Shares of Admiral (ADML.L) slid 5.1% after traders said Citi downgraded the British motor and home insurer to "sell."

Persons: Steve Sosnick, Antonio Villarroya, Richemont, Denmark's, Shreyashi Sanyal, Siddarth, Rashmi Aich, Richard Chang Organizations: Miners, Citigroup, Reserve, Interactive Brokers, Traders, European Central Bank, Santander CIB, People's Bank of China, Union, Bank of England, Denmark's Maersk, Nvidia, Citi, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, South Korea, Denmark, Swedish, Bengaluru

☆ Stocks are at a new high, but Wall Street’s fear gauge is raising eyebrows
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Since the VIX normally is used as a "fear gauge", he noted that was unusual, and asked what might have caused that. Remember, it is a measure of near-term (30-day) activity for S & P 500 put and call options. However, the put/call ratio has been low recently, between 0.7 and 0.8, as traders have been buying calls, betting the market will keep rising. Eric Johnston at Piper Sandler agrees: "The call buying has been very strong as investors chase upside," he told me. The recent events are that the market is rising, so the urge to buy protection declines: "When institutions get nervous, they seek protection in VIX.

Persons: Joe Zicherman, Tuesday's, Matt Maley, Miller Tabak, There's, Mike O'Rourke, O'Rourke, Eric Johnston, Piper Sandler, it's, Danny Kirsch, Steve Sosnick Organizations: Fed, Jones, Interactive Brokers Locations: VIX

The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) ended 0.4% lower after a survey showed the U.S. services sector barely grew in May, while factory orders rose less than expected. "There's a bit of profit taking after some of the moves we've had recently," said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. "The economic reports that we've gotten around the world (signal) a somewhat slowing economy." Shares of Indivior Plc (INDV.L) jumped 7.8% to top the STOXX 600 index after the drugmaker agreed to pay $102.5 million to settle a lawsuit for its opioid addiction treatment Suboxone. Reporting by Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips, Dhanya Ann Thoppil and Richard ChangOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: we've, Steve Sosnick, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Shreyashi Sanyal, Sherry Jacob, Phillips, Dhanya Ann Thoppil, Richard Chang Organizations: PMI, Interactive, U.S . Federal, European Central Bank, Amazon.com Inc, Indivior Plc, Trendyol, Viaplay, Volvo, Copenhagen Stock Exchange, Thomson Locations: U.S, Alibaba, Swedish, Sweden, Bengaluru

☆ Investors are moving to defensive, consumer-oriented stocks, says Interactive Brokers' Sosnick
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors are moving to defensive, consumer-oriented stocks, says Interactive Brokers' SosnickSteve Sosnick, Interactive Brokers chief strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how Sosnick is telling his clients to position themselves, the tough macroeconomic backdrop and more.

☆ Here's what the looming debt ceiling crisis means for your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Kate Dore | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Enes EvrenMany investors are bracing for the economic fallout of the deadline for the U.S. to raise the debt ceiling or default on its obligations. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Sunday said that failing to raise the debt ceiling will cause a "steep economic downturn" in the U.S., reiterating the country's early June deadline. Experts say the current crisis could differ from the 2011 debt standoff, which ultimately led to a U.S. credit downgrade and significant market turmoil. One of the big concerns is how the Treasury may prioritize principal and interest payments for assets like bills or bonds in an unprecedented default. Under the 2011 contingency plan, there wouldn't have been a default on Treasurys, according to an August 2011 Federal Open Market Committee conference call transcript.

☆ An investment chief who manages $1 billion in assets shares 10 investments that will reduce your portfolio's volatility while this bear market lasts longer than expected.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here are 10 ways to protect against losses and volatility in this long-lasting bear market. "It went beyond dodging a bullet," Steve Sosnick, the chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, said of first quarter earnings results in a late April interview with Insider. Weaker earnings raise valuation concernsBut some investors aren't impressed by Q1 earnings — at least not enough to get bullish. Besides weaker earnings growth and lofty valuations, another risk for stocks is that upcoming quarterly results will miss higher expectations in a shaky economy. "We're still looking at fairly high-single-digit earnings growth for the next couple of quarters overall," Sosnick said.

☆ Earnings at the half point of the season: no sign yet of any collapse
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

At the halfway point for earnings, bulls are delighted earnings are coming in stronger than expected and expectations for the second half of the year remain high. With 260 companies in the S & P 500 reporting, 79% are beating expectations, according to Earnings Scout. That is an earnings recession, but the declines — all in the low single digits — are not causing a lot of consternation. Now, on the heels of positive earnings reports, many tech stocks are seeing second quarter earnings estimates rising in the past few weeks, including Microsoft, Meta and Alphabet. The second half of 2023: Record earnings, really?

NEW YORK, April 28 (Reuters) - Bearish options traders are ramping up bets on further declines in the beaten-down shares of First Republic Bank (FRC.N), though strategists say they could run into trouble cashing in their wagers if the bank goes into receivership. Profitable put options are typically automatically exercised by selling underlying shares - either already owned by the investors or newly purchased - at a profit. But brokers might restrict share sales when a stock is halted, keeping investors from reaping gains. Some traders found this out the hard way when they ran into trouble cashing in bearish options bets on failed lenders SVB Financial Group and Signature Bank. The Options Clearing Corp and brokerages Charles Schwab, Robinhood, Interactive Brokers and Fidelity did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

REUTERS/Brendan McDermidNEW YORK, April 20 (Reuters) - A debt ceiling fight is looming in the U.S. yet again, giving investors another worry for markets this year. Here is a Q&A about the implications for markets:WHAT IS THE DEBT CEILING? The debt ceiling is the maximum amount the U.S. government can borrow to meet its financial obligations. Outstanding government debt, nominal gross domestic product and federal limit to borrowWHEN WILL THE U.S. HIT THE DEBT CEILING? Some Treasury bills (T-bills) are featuring a premium in their yields that may be tied to an elevated default risk, according to some analysts.

☆ Premarket stocks: JPMorgan steals the show as banks lift curtain on earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

All beat estimates: PNC (PNC) and Wells Fargo (WFM) by about 9%, Citi by around 13% and JPMorgan (JPM) by nearly 21%. PNC stock also felt the pressure. Before the Bell spoke with Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, to discuss Friday’s big bank earnings and explain that stock discrepancy. I’ve always complained about banks reporting their quarterly earnings first because they’re extraordinarily idiosyncratic. Why did JPMorgan stock outperform its competitors?

SYDNEY/NEW YORK, March 13 (Reuters) - U.S. regulators may have stemmed a banking crisis by guaranteeing deposits of collapsed Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), but some experts warn that the move has encouraged bad investor behaviour. Following a weekend of discussions over the future of SVB owner SVB Financial Group , banking regulators unveiled emergency funding plans for the bank. Yet by guaranteeing that depositors would lose no money, authorities have again raised the question of moral hazard - removal of people's incentive to guard against financial risk. "If all bank deposits are now insured, why do you need banks?" Some 89% of around $200 billion in deposits held by SVB at the end of 2022 was uninsured, according to the FDIC.

☆ VIEW US intervenes to shore up SVB deposits, stem financial fallout
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +10 min

March 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. government announced actions to shore up deposits and stem any broader financial fallout from the sudden collapse of tech startup-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) (SVB), sending U.S. stock futures higher. "The market turbulence sparked by SVB has upended rising market expectations on the Fed rate path. The fact that SVB and Signature Bank depositors will be made whole is critical in maintaining trust in the financial system and should help stem contagion fears this week. But it also means that 50 basis points (a possible Fed interest rate hike) is off the table." Given what's happened in the U.S. financial system, a 25 basis point hike is more likely than a 50 basis point hike."

☆ Instant view: US intervenes to shore up SVB deposits, limit financial fallout
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +11 min

March 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. government announced actions to shore up deposits and stem any broader financial fallout from the sudden collapse of tech startup-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) (SVB), sending U.S. stock futures higher. ALVIN TAN, HEAD OF ASIA FX STRATEGY, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, SINGAPORE:"Markets remain unsettled from the SVB failure. "The market turbulence sparked by SVB has upended rising market expectations on the Fed rate path. ANTHONY SAGLIMBENE, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, TROY, MICHIGAN:"It was imperative that regulators stepped in and decisively acted before markets around the world opened for the week. GREG MCBRIDE, CHIEF FINANCIAL ANALYST, BANKRATE:"While the Fed has talked about a lot in the past year, until today it has been in the context of monetary policy.

☆ The FDIC response to SVB is just a bandaid for the problem, says Interactive Brokers' Steve Sosnick
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe FDIC response to SVB is just a bandaid for the problem, says Interactive Brokers' Steve SosnickSteve Sosnick, Interactive Brokers chief strategist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss deposit insurance limits, the political response to Silicon Valley Bank's fallout, and more.

☆ Silicon Valley Bank crisis: Everything you need to know about SVB Financial as its share collapse rattles major stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

SVB Financial's share plunge is dragging on major bank stocks like JPMorgan and Bank of America. Here's everything you need to know about Silicon Valley Bank and its parent company SVB Financial. SVB is a Santa Clara-based bank that lends money to and takes deposits from Silicon Valley tech startups. Why has SVB's stock price crashed? "The failure of SVB Financial could destroy an important long-term driver of the economy as VC-backed companies rely on SVB for loans and holding their operating cash," he said on Twitter Thursday evening.

☆ SVB debacle sparks rush to defensive options on fears of contagion
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A California regulator shut Silicon Valley Bank on Friday and appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation as receiver, according to the agency's statement. With many stocks in the sector falling sharply on Friday, traders rushed in to defensive bets. SVB is battling cash burn due to declining deposits from startups struggling with a venture capital funding drought. While investors had largely shrugged off Silvergate’s troubles as strictly crypto-related, "(SVB Financial Group) was a giant wake-up call about the effects of rising rates and an inverted yield curve," Sosnick said. Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed in New York Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Matthew LewisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

The real estate sector (.SX86P) dropped 3.2% to more than two month lows, with shares in Germany's LEG Immobilien (LEGn.DE) tumbling 11.4% after the firm suspended its dividend. The STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) closed down 0.2% after recouping some of its losses earlier in the trading session. Although European stocks had a good start to the year, mixed economic data from China and worries that the ECB would stay hawkish for longer strained momentum in equities to the end of February and into March. Hugo Boss (BOSSn.DE) fell 2.1% after the German fashion house forecast 2023 sales to grow more slowly than last year. Shares of Dassault Aviation (AM.PA) soared 12.2% to a record high after the French aircraft manufacturer reported better-than-expected results for 2022.

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