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Read previewAmerica's wild, multi-year shopping spree has come to an end — and retailers who got used to Americans dropping cash on just about everything are in a tough spot. US retail sales came in stronger than expected in July, with Americans spending more overall compared to the prior month, according to Census data. Around 40% of consumers said they planned to pare back spending on accessories, home decor, jewelry, and furniture, per McKinsey's survey. We're now back in an environment where good retailers, strong brands that offer compelling value … will benefit," Siegel said. In the meantime, that could mean more pain for retailers, Siegel said, speculating that many were caught by surprise by the shift in consumer sentiment.
Persons: , Ted Rossman, Rossman, pare, Simeon Siegel, Siegel, We're, SPDR Organizations: Service, Business, McKinsey & Company, Bankrate, Customers, BMO, Challenger, Walmart, Target, San Francisco Fed, Primerica Locations: FactSet
In today's big story, viewers are opting for free TV, and that's throwing a massive wrench in Hollywood's plans . AdvertisementBut first, what's on (free) TV? The big storyChanging channelsGetty Images; iStock; Natalie Ammari/BIIf the best things in life truly are free, Hollywood is about to learn a brutal lesson. But what's really caught people's attention over the past year has been "free, ad-supported TV" or FAST services. Figuring out how to make money from free TV is a big enough problem.
Persons: , Natalie Ammari, upend, Insider's Lucia Moses, what's, Andy Kiersz, Fox's Tubi, Gen Z, that's, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, cofounders, John Overdeck, David Siegel, Carter Lyons, Scott Hoffman, Warren Buffett's, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Noah Berger, Chelsea Jia Feng, Jensen Huang, Alyssa Powell, Banks, Sam Altman's, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz's, Dana Bash, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Tech, Hollywood, Nielsen, Netflix, Paramount, Pluto, Comcast, Warner Bros . Discovery, YouTube, Getty, Big Tech, Chelsea, Menlo Ventures, CNN Locations: Berkshire, A16z, New York, London
The virus is classified into two distinct groups: clade I and clade II. Clade II was responsible for the 2022 outbreak, which has led to around 100,000 cases worldwide. Clade I is more transmissible than clade II and capable of being more severe, so infectious disease experts are concerned about further international spread. How does this version of mpox spread? Historically, mpox lesions have tended to appear on the face, chest, palms of the hands and the soles of the feet.
Persons: , Anne Rimoin, that’s, Stuart Isaacs, Isaacs, there’s, Rimoin, Marc Siegel, Amira Albert Roess, “ It’s Organizations: Democratic, Health, University of California, Los Angeles Fielding School of Public Health, University of Pennsylvania, George Washington School of Medicine, Health Sciences, , Department of Health, Human Service, George Mason University Locations: Mpox, Democratic Republic of Congo, Sweden, Africa, Pakistan, Los, Congo, U.S, DRC
Retail & state of the consumer: Emerging trends in the sector
  + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRetail & state of the consumer: Emerging trends in the sectorSimeon Siegel, BMO Capital Markets managing director and senior analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of retail, emerging trends in the sector, state of the consumer, and more.
Persons: Simeon Siegel Organizations: Retail, BMO Capital Markets
Tracey Tee founded Moms on Mushrooms, a platform where moms can discuss, both online and in person, their interest and experiences with microdosing psilocybin mushrooms. "Some girlfriends invited me to a camping trip that summer [in 2020] to just camp out with some moms," Tee says. She lives in Colorado where psilocybin mushrooms are legal to grow, use and share. So, Tee sought out an alternative solution for managing her mental health as she began to wean herself off the SSRI: microdosing psilocybin mushrooms. Moms on Mushrooms is the platform Tee created for moms to discuss their interest and experiences with psilocybin mushrooms.
Persons: Tracey Tee, Tee, that's, wean, Tee wasn't, Microdosing, microdosing, Louis, Joshua Siegel, Siegel Organizations: Lancet, Facebook, CNBC, Washington University School of Medicine, Washington University, NYU Langone Health, Center, Psychedelic Medicine, Psychedelic Locations: Colorado, St
Cybercrime is on the rise, but even the best antivirus software can’t thwart scammers who target the human psyche. Some of the most damaging and costly scams involve what’s known as “social engineering.” That’s when fraudsters use time-tested techniques of deception and emotional manipulation, tricking people into divulging personal or financial information, or even granting remote access to their computers. This is what happened to Barry Heitin, a 76-year-old retired lawyer who lost roughly $740,000 to sophisticated swindlers impersonating bank and government officials. People of all ages and socioeconomic levels are potential targets, but older Americans are particularly vulnerable. They’re more likely to have amassed savings, and they’re perceived to be more isolated or perhaps less computer savvy.
Persons: scammers, Barry Heitin
The wildest week of 2024 has investors bracing for more volatility in the week ahead, with key insight on the consumer and inflation coming at a time when recession fears are top of mind. Inflation, labor data Next week's inflation data could get less attention than it has over the past year when the Fed's fight against pricing pressures put inflation reports on center stage. Recently, it's been the labor market getting the most attention. "The market's caring much more about about labor markets and growth, than they do inflation right now," Ladner said. Week ahead calendar All times ET Monday, Aug. 12 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (July) Tuesday, Aug. 13 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (July) Earnings: Home Depot Wednesday, Aug. 14 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (July) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Scott Ladner, it's, Ladner, , Strategas, Ryan Grabinski, RJ Assaly, Jeremy Siegel, Chen Zhao, Zhao, Price Organizations: Federal, Walmart, Home, Horizon Investments, Bank of Japan, Wharton, Fed, UBS, Investments, Treasury Budget, Price, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Materials, Tapestry, Deere, Co, Housing Locations: U.S, NAHB, Michigan
New York CNN —After a prolonged period of calm, financial markets went into a tailspin this week. One trigger for the selloff was the unraveling of the Japanese yen carry trade. Some investors say there could be more volatility to come, particularly since it’s unclear how much more the yen carry trade could unwind. The carry trade is “enormous. The unwinding of the carry trade and weak labor data came at a delicate time rife with uncertainty for Wall Street.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Steve Sosnick, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dow, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Companies, Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Interactive Brokers, Markets, Republican, Home Depot, Walmart Locations: New York, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
In just a few short days, markets have taken some of the urgency off the table for the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates. Earlier in the week, there were even some calls for an emergency intermeeting rate cut. At the least, markets figured the Fed was a near-certainty to reduce benchmark rates by at least a half percentage point. Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel has been one of the loudest voices for aggressive Fed action, calling Monday for an emergency cut . The Fed has been holding its benchmark rate in a range between 5.25%-5.50% for more than a year.
Persons: we've, Steven Wieting, Wieting, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Jerome Powell, Siegel, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve, Citi Wealth, Labor Department
Wharton School Professor Jeremy Siegel no longer thinks it's vital for the Federal Reserve to implement an emergency interest rate reduction, but still wants policymakers to cut quickly and aggressively. "Obviously, I wanted to shake things up," Siegel said of his call for an intermeeting move. However, those expectations have been volatile as investors watch how quickly the Fed thinks it should ease policy. An emergency cut under these circumstances is "just not the way Jay Powell does things," Siegel said. "But Jay Powell has done things way too slow, certainly on the way up, and I just want to make sure he doesn't make the same mistakes on the way down."
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jay Powell Organizations: Wharton, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: WisdomTree
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The Dow plummeted over 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3% and 3.4%, respectively. Wharton finance professor Jeremy Siegel urged the Federal Reserve to make an emergency 75-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate following Friday's disappointing jobs data. Siegel believes the current fed funds rate "should be somewhere between 3.5% and 4%," citing the higher-than-expected unemployment rate and declining inflation as reasons for the cuts. "How much have we moved the fed funds rate?
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Amit Mehta, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, CNBC's, Korea's Kospi, Richard Kaye Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Tesla, Berkshire, Google, Department of Justice, Federal Reserve, Chicago Federal, Nikkei, Honda, Renesas Electronics, CSI Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific
CNBC Daily Open: Dow sheds 1,000 points
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Abid Ali | Kevin Lim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wall Street sinksThe Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 suffered their sharpest declines in nearly two years, as growing concerns about the U.S. economy rocked global stock markets. The Dow plummeted over 1,000 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 3% and 3.4%, respectively. Wharton finance professor Jeremy Siegel urged the Federal Reserve to make an emergency 75-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate following Friday's disappointing jobs data. [PRO] Don't panicDespite a global stock market rout, several investors and strategists advised against panicking at this point.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Amit Mehta, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, CNBC's, cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Nexo, Antoni Trenchev, panicking Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Nvidia, Tesla, Berkshire, Google, Department of Justice, Federal Reserve, Chicago Federal, bitcoin Locations: U.S
Data released Friday showed 114,000 jobs were created last month, far below a Dow Jones estimate of 185,000. The S & P 500, accounting for Monday's expected losses, will be down around 9% from its recent high. She sees support emerging for the S & P 500 around the 5,000 level, or another 6.5% from here. If market conditions get very dire in the meantime, there is a chance the Federal Reserve could step in, investors hope. "The fed funds rate right now should be somewhere between 3.5% and 4%," he said .
Persons: Dow Jones, Katie Stockton, There's, Stockton, CNBC's, Jeremy Siegel, They've Organizations: Nikkei, Federal, Wharton Locations: Japan, U.S
(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Monday's Wall Street chatter as global markets sell off. — Lisa Kailai Han 7:02 a.m.: How long sell-offs typically last Bad news: The current market sell-off may have further to go. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:09 a.m.: Oppenheimer's Stoltzfus: Best to not 'jump to conclusions' Investors need to have a cool head as global markets sell off, according to Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus. — Fred Imbert 5:51 a.m.: Global markets in an 'aggressive risk-unwind', Vital Knowledge says Fears of a U.S. recession are pressuring global markets, leading investors around the world to sell some of this year's top winners, according to Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge. "Markets are caught in an aggressive risk-unwind as equities plunge around the world, with tech getting hit particularly hard," he wrote in a note Monday.
Persons: Wharton's Siegel, Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, hasn't, it's, … They're, , Lisa Kailai Han, Tom Lee, Lee, Duncan Toms, Toms, Fred Imbert, Victoria Greene, Greene, It's, Nimrit Kang, — Lisa Kailai Han, Dan Ives, Gene Goldman, Gennadiy Goldberg, Ives, Goldman, Goldberg, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Evercore, Ed Hyman, Hyman, Adam Crisafulli, Crisafulli Organizations: CNBC, Stock, Nikkei, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wharton, Federal Reserve, Fundstrat Global, HSBC, G Squared, Wealth, NorthStar Asset Management, Street, Wedbush, TD Securities, Federal, NASDAQ, U.S, Fed, Global Locations: U.S, Europe, Japan, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed needs to make an emergency cut, says Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business and Wisdom Tree chief economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, why he's calling for emergency rate cuts from the Fed, and more.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel Organizations: University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business
Why the stock market is freaking out again
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
The Dow tumbled more than 1,000 points at the open, and the broader market plunged 3% Monday. The Nasdaq, full of risky tech stocks, dropped 3.7%. Although that’s not in and of itself an unhealthy unemployment rate, its sudden march higher is alarming: Last year, the unemployment rate was at its lowest level since the moon landing. Traders are beginning to unwind big trades on Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and other tech stocks that had been surging since the beginning of last year. Monday’s rout, if it ends at current levels, wouldn’t even crack the top 100 worst days in market history.
Persons: Dow, that’s, Goldman Sachs, That’s, Jeremy Siegel, , , Siegel, Stocks, it’ll, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: CNN, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Citigroup, JPMorgan, CNBC, Traders, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Berkshire Locations: Wall
Wharton's Jeremey Siegel on Monday called on the Federal Reserve to make an emergency 75 basis-points cut in the federal funds rate after Friday's disappointing jobs report. On Friday, the jobs report showed slower growth than expected and an unemployment rate that moved higher to 4.3%, its highest since October 2021. That unemployment figure "blew through" the central bank's target unemployment rate of 4.2%, said Siegel, chief economist at WisdomTree. Siegel isn't concerned that an emergency cut will send the markets into a downward spiral. If the Fed does not make an emergency cut before September's meeting, the market will react badly, Siegel predicted.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremey Siegel, Monday, , Siegel, Alan Greenspan, They've, we're Organizations: Federal Reserve, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School Locations: WisdomTree
The Federal Reserve is catching some heat for the historic stock market plunge. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve is to blame for the historic stock market plunge since last week, according to a growing chorus of market experts. JPMorgan strategist Mislav Matejka said in a Monday note that the lack of Fed rate cuts in the first half of the year will weigh on economic growth in the second half, and that any coming interest rate cuts from the Fed likely won't be enough. AdvertisementRegardless of what the Fed's motivation might be with waiting until September to cut interest rates, the market is taking away a pretty clear message. "There is growing sentiment is that the Fed has waited too long to cut interest rates and is now behind the curve," Comerica Wealth Management CIO John Lynch said.
Persons: , Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, they've, we're, Kamala Harris, Mislav Matejka, Matejka, Paul Volcker, Volcker, DataTrek, Nicholas Colas, John Lynch Organizations: Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, CNBC, Washington DC, JPMorgan, Fed, Comerica Wealth Management Locations: Iran, Japan, Washington
US stocks plunged Monday amid recession fears and the yen carry trade unwind. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Monday as investors worried about a potential recession and the knock-on effects from the unwind of the yen carry trade. All of those factors have drummed up fears that a recession could be imminent, especially given that the Federal Reserve could be "behind the curve" in its failure to cut interest rates last month. AdvertisementHere's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Monday:Some believe the Fed should implement an emergency interest rate cut, including Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel. AdvertisementBut perhaps the biggest driver of Monday's stock market decline was the unwind of the yen carry trade.
Persons: Dow Jones, , payrolls, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, LPL, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank of, Service, Dow Jones, Apple, Amazon, Intel, Federal, Here's, Bank of Japan, Yahoo Finance Locations: Japan
It’s been a year since interest rates reached a two-decade high, but they may soon begin to reverse course. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady on Wednesday, while signaling that a cut is possible when policy-setting officials meet again in September. If interest rates are elevated for too long, they risk weakening the employment picture. The central bank uses interest rates to influence the broader economy. Home-equity lines of credit and adjustable-rate mortgages — which each carry variable interest rates — generally rise within two billing cycles after a change in the Fed’s rates.
Persons: It’s, ” Jonathan Smoke, that’s, Freddie Mac, , Sam Khater, , “ Banks, Ken Tumin Organizations: Federal, “ Manufacturers, Cox Automotive, Treasury, Savings Vehicles Locations: Edmunds
Interest rates influence our financial lives in numerous ways: Savers are now benefiting from higher-yielding bank accounts, while people carrying heavy revolving debt loads continue to be squeezed. It’s been a year since interest rates reached a two-decade high, but they may soon begin to reverse course. Now, Fed officials want to be sure prices remain under control while considering its second objective, which is to keep a strong job market. If interest rates are elevated for too long, they risk weakening the employment picture. The central bank uses interest rates to influence the broader economy.
Persons: It’s Organizations: Federal
On Today’s Episode:Trump’s First Major Ad Attacking Harris Hits Her on Immigration, by Shane Goldmacher and Michael GoldProtests Erupt in Venezuela as Nations Denounce Election Result, by Frances Robles, Jack Nicas and Alejandro CegarraOlympic Men’s Triathlon Postponed Because of Pollution in the Seine, by John Yoon and Catherine PorterChina, Citing Tainted Burgers, Cleared Swimmers in a New Doping Dispute, by Tariq Panja and Michael S. Schmidt
Persons: Harris, Shane Goldmacher, Michael Gold, Frances Robles, Jack Nicas, Alejandro Cegarra, John Yoon, Catherine Porter China, Tariq Panja, Michael S, Schmidt Locations: Venezuela, Seine
The stock market is about to see a major shift once the Fed cuts rates, Jeremy Siegel said. The top economist thinks value stocks could start outperforming growth stocks once the Fed eases policy. Cooling inflation data supports a Fed rate cut by September, Siegel predicted. The Wharton School finance professor pointed to opportunity lurking in value stocks, an unloved group of the market that's underperformed this year when compared to growth stocks. Growth stocks have outperformed partly due to Wall Street's AI craze, which has ignited investor fervor for growth stocks, like mega-cap tech firms.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Powell Organizations: Service, Wharton School, CNBC
He was actually assisting criminals in stealing hundreds of thousands of dollars — of his own money. “They kept telling me, ‘This is a big case and we are going to stop a whole ring of people,’” Mr. Heitin said. I was going down the hole with them.”It cost him almost all of his retirement savings: roughly $740,000. Americans spend a lot of energy saving for retirement and worrying about losing money to the gyrations of the stock market. But these days, sophisticated criminals — on dating sites, social media, in messaging apps, or using malicious software — present an ever-growing risk to people and their savings.
Persons: Barry Heitin, , , Heitin
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYou're not going to get value moving until the Fed drops rates, says Wharton's Jeremy SiegelJeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business and Wisdom Tree chief economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from June's PCE inflation data today, impact on the Fed's interest rate decision, and more.
Persons: Wharton's Jeremy Siegel Jeremy Siegel Organizations: University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business
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