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US stocks jumped on Friday as S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 aimed for a five-day win streak. Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate cut announcement next week. The Fed is expected to cut rates for the first time since 2019, with about even odds for a 25- or 50-basis point cut. Based on probabilities from the CME's FedWatch Tool, there's a 49%/51% split on whether the Fed will deliver a 50-basis point or 25-basis point interest rate cut, respectively. AdvertisementNext week's expected interest rate cut from the Fed will represent the first time the central bank has lowered rates since 2019.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, it's, Aditya Bhave Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America Locations: Here's
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer said earlier Friday that Nvidia received a do-over from Wall Street . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Nvidia, Financials, Love, Lilly, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, haven't, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Tech, Nvidia, Broadcom, Wall, Federal, Energy, Citi, and Drug Administration, Fed, Market, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Ireland, Kisunla, U.S, Europe
None other than the legendary Larry Ellison, founder of the enterprise software company that is Oracle , said it on Monday. That investment by Google and that lack of investment by Microsoft may be two sides of one of the most pivotal decisions in history. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. Larry Ellison, co-founder, chairman and chief technology officer of Oracle, speaks during the Oracle OpenWorld conference in San Francisco on Oct. 1, 2017.
Persons: Larry Ellison, Ellison, Eaton —, Microsoft's Bing, Bing, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: Oracle, Club, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, Devices, Google, Justice Department, DOJ, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: San Francisco
U.S. stock futures were little changed Thursday evening as traders sought to shake off a sluggish September. S&P 500 futures traded near the flatline. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added just 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.02%. During Thursday's regular trading, investors snapped up shares of Big Tech names, including Nvidia , lifting the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite for a fourth consecutive day. The three major averages are also on track to post weekly gains, with the S&P 500 up 3.5% and the Nasdaq on track for a 5.3% jump.
Persons: Dan Greenhaus, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, Dow, Salesforce, Microsoft, Federal, Management Locations: U.S
It's been a topsy-turvy stock market since the Club's August Monthly Meeting. These were two of our top performers since the August Monthly Meeting. The stock closed nearly 5% higher on the eve of the September Monthly Meeting. The S & P 500's health care sector is up 2.2% since the August Monthly Meeting, slightly outperforming the broad index's 1.8% rise in that timeframe. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: It's, We've, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, Jerome Powell, it's, DA Davidson, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Andy Jassy's, TJX, Jensen Huang, Abbott, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investor, Federal, Procter, Gamble, Dover, Abbott Laboratories, TJX, Amazon, Micro Devices, Jackson, Bank of America, Telsey Advisory Group, JPMorgan, Oracle, Devices, AMD, Nvidia, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: seesaw, Wednesday's, U.S
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Thursday listed the CEOs he trusts even when the market doesn't, primarily naming executives from top tech companies. Cramer said investors shouldn't doubt solid companies every time a negative data point surfaces. Cramer said he's giving Amazon 's Andy Jassy, Broadcom 's Hock Tan and Nvidia 's Jensen Huang "the benefit of the doubt." Tech stocks can be hampered by investors who don't completely understand the companies' operations or trajectories, according to Cramer. "In tech, the complexity is such that Wall Street often reaches conclusions that have little to do with reality."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, he's, Andy Jassy, Hock Tan, Jensen Huang Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Broadcom, Nvidia, Amazon Locations: Tan
Defensive and dividend plays Alexander's strategy in playing the market right now is through defensive sectors and dividend players. As for dividend plays, Alexander is bullish on the utilities and telco sectors amid falling Treasury yields . Big pharma plays Alexander is also likes health-care and biotech players, especially big pharmaceutical companies producing products serving medical needs. Names he likes include AbbVie , AstraZeneca , Novartis and Johnson & Johnson . Johnson & Johnson, meanwhile, has been building out a "pipeline of drugs," Alexander added.
Persons: Ted Alexander, we've, we're, Alexander, it's, bullish, Durex, They've, Mead Johnson, Johnson Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Sydney, Telecommunications, AT, Verizon, Frontier Communications, London Stock Exchange, Big pharma, AstraZeneca, Novartis, Johnson Locations: U.S ., South Dallas, U.S
Gold inches higher as investors eye U.S. data for rate cues
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, with traders focusing on the upcoming U.S. economic data that may offer further insights into an expected reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate next week. Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, with traders focusing on the upcoming U.S. economic data that may offer further insights into an expected reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate next week. Data on Wednesday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose marginally in August, but underlying inflation showed some stickiness, which could discourage the Federal Reserve from delivering a half-point interest rate cut next week. CPI data showed no major inflation spikes, which is supporting gold prices to hold above $2,500 and suggesting no immediate changes to Fed policy, Wong added. Palladium climbed 1.3% to $1,021.84, its highest since July 8, following comments on export regulations from Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Price, Wong, Vladimir Putin, Putin Organizations: Asia Pacific, Traders, U.S, PPI, Reserve, West Locations: U.S, Moscow
The pace of inflation likely moderated again in August — further relief for beleaguered consumers still smarting from pandemic-era price shocks. Though price growth has largely returned to the Federal Reserve's official 2% target, the sting of rapid price increases over the past four years lingers for many consumers. The latest inflation report is likely to cement a 0.25% cut in the Federal Reserve's key interest rate, currently at about 5.3%, later this month. But experts say it will take some time for consumers to feel the impact of the lower interest rate — and the relatively small size of the cut means borrowing costs will still be somewhat elevated. While the Fed is now widely expected to cut interest rates, a cut of just 0.25% may not be enough to stave off that scenario.
Persons: , There's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Zillow, Paul, ” Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, Torsten Slok, Slok, Sophia Kearney, Jerome Powell's, Kearney, Lederman Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, Democratic, Labor Statistics, Princeton, , Mortgage Bankers Association, Apollo Global Management, FHN, NBC News, Fed Locations: U.S, New York, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, St, Las Vegas, Phoenix
Gold prices holds steady with U.S. CPI data on radar
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices steadied on Wednesday, as investors keenly awaited the U.S. inflation data for hints on the size of the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut next week. The U.S. Consumer Price Index data is due at 1230 GMT, while the Producer Price Index reading and initial jobless claims are due on Thursday. The Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment amid lower interest rates and geopolitical turmoil.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Price, Jerome Powell's, Peter Fung, Yoav Gallant Organizations: Aurum, Federal, Index, U.S, Consumer, Metals Locations: Gaza, Lebanon
Shoppers at a Walmart store in Secaucus, New Jersey, U.S., in March 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory on Wednesday as global markets focus on the latest U.S. inflation data set to be released later in the day. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 4 points higher at 8,208, Germany's DAX up 25 points at 18,304, France's CAC 40 flat at 7,404 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 66 points at 33,259, according to data from IG. Traders have their eyes on two key economic reports out of the U.S. this week, with the consumer price index report for August due Wednesday, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. The data comes before a widely anticipated interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting that could help assuage concerns over a weakening U.S. economy.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: Walmart, LONDON, CAC, IG, Traders, Federal Locations: Secaucus , New Jersey, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy this Wells Fargo strategist expects a full percentage rate cut by end of 2024Aditya Bhave, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Securities, and Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to discuss their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy decisions and more.
Persons: Wells, Aditya Bhave, Paul Christopher Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo
"I say keep it simple: Rate cuts are good," he said. "Small rate cuts are great, because they project confidence and give you a lot more rat cuts later on, and they do not allow for panic." While overall inflation declined to its lowest level since February 2021, one key metric rose slightly more than expected, disappointing some who hoped the Fed would make a 50 basis-point rate cut instead of a 25 basis-point cut. He stressed that even a smaller rate cut than hoped would be positive for many businesses. But Cramer stressed the palpable tension on Wall Street does not set the stage for any steadfast conclusions.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Morgan Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Fed
Steve Eisman of "The Big Short" fame said he's unfazed by the weakness in bank stocks as well as any uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's next easing cycle. To Eisman, there's nothing to worry about. Eisman shot to fame by shorting collateralized debt obligations to profit from the demise of subprime mortgage loans before the 2008 financial crisis. Wednesday's data showed the consumer price index , a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, increased 0.2% in August , in line with the Dow Jones consensus. The economy Concerns about lower-income consumers have also increased recently, but Eisman said they are not indicative of a systemic issue endangering the wider economy.
Persons: Steve Eisman, he's, Neuberger Berman, shorting, Michael Lewis's, Eisman, Dow Jones Organizations: Federal, JPMorgan, Ally Financial, Dollar Locations: U.S
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, at the ECB And Its Watchers conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on March 20, 2024. Traders are widely anticipating an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting, as well as at the ECB's meeting this week. "The rate cut this Thursday should be largely uncontroversial," Holger Schmieding, the chief economist at Berenberg Bank, told CNBC in an email to clients. In July, the ECB left interest rates unchanged in a unanimous vote following June's landmark cut. The ECB's key interest rate — which helps to price all sorts of loans and mortgages across the bloc — is currently at 3.75% after years of aggressive hikes.
Persons: Christine Lagarde, Holger Schmieding, Joachim Nagel, Anatoli Annenkov, what's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Bloomberg, Getty, FRANKFURT, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, Berenberg Bank, CNBC, ECB Council, , Bank Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Société, Ljubljana, Slovenia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed cutting 25bps next week should be 'more than enough', says Apollo's Torsten SlokTorsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what to expect from the Federal Reserve's rate decision next week.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect the Fed to cut rates by 25bps for the next five meetings, says BofA's Aditya BhaveAditya Bhave, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America Securities, and Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment, join CNBC's "The Exchange" to discuss their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy decisions.
Persons: 25bps, BofA's Aditya Bhave Aditya Bhave, Paul Christopher Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was 2 basis points higher at 3.721%, with the 2-year Treasury yield also up by 2 basis points at 3.691%. Treasury yields rose early Tuesday ahead of the final major inflation prints before the Federal Reserve's September meeting. Treasury yields have stablized after tumbling through last week when a series of labor market releases missed estimates. Debate has erupted over whether the Fed could opt for a 50 basis point rather than a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the Sept. 17-18 meeting.
Organizations: Treasury, Investors Locations: July's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNo recession in sight despite weakening labor market: iCapital's Anastasia AmorosoAnastasia Amoroso, iCapital chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss if she is still worried about inflation, which of the Federal Reserve's moves would be seen as positive, and much more.
Persons: iCapital's Anastasia Amoroso Anastasia Amoroso
U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night ahead of the August consumer inflation report due Wednesday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both dipped 0.1%. Traders are anticipating a key economic report Wednesday morning: August's consumer price index. The CPI report and Thursday's producer price index could help determine the size of a widely expected rate cut at the end of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Sept. 18. Fed funds futures trading suggests a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 31% likelihood of a 50-basis-point reduction, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, CME's, Kristina Hooper, Hooper Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Nvidia, JPMorgan, CPI, Federal
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said the worst outcome for the US economy is stagflation. Speaking at a Tuesday conference, Dimon said he "wouldn't take it off the table." Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementEven as inflation approaches the Federal Reserve's target, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon says stagflation is still a possibility. "I would say the worst outcome is stagflation — recession, higher inflation," Dimon said.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , stagflation Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, of Institutional, CNBC, Business
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBarclays CEO on growth targets: We expect investors to continue to appreciate what we're doingC.S. Venkatakrishnan, Barclays CEO, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss Barclays three-year plan, his reaction to the Federal Reserve's newly unveiled regulation proposal, and more.
Organizations: Barclays, Federal Locations: Venkatakrishnan
Here’s a look at what could happen to inflation, jobs and the deficit if Trump or Harris win in November. That, among other things, would keep the top tax rate individuals pay at 37% compared to 39.6% before it went into effect. Meanwhile, the tax proposals Harris has put forth so far mostly involve imposing higher taxes, which would have a positive impact on the deficit. For instance, she’s endorsed raising the top individual income tax rate to 44.6% and the top long-term capital gains tax rate to 28% versus the current 20%. Taken together, the Penn Wharton Budget model estimates Harris’ proposals could increase the deficit by an additional $1.2 trillion by 2034.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Warwick McKibbin, Goldman, she’s, , Justin Wolfers, Kevin Dietsch, He’s, Elon Musk, She’s, Joshua Gotbaum Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Gross, University of Michigan, CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Wharton Budget, Social Security, Penn, Wharton Budget Model, Penn Wharton Budget, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, United States, Penn
For investors who just weathered a bout of summer turbulence, Goldman Sachs said expect more patchiness in stocks, but believes the bull market will remain intact. "However, we think the risk of a bear market remains low with relatively low recession risk, helped by a healthy private sector and central bank easing." The stock market benchmark has since recouped much of the losses, recently trading some 3.4% below its July 16 all-time high. A bear market represents at least a 20% decline from the S & P 500's record high, while even a correction would amount to a 10% drawdown. … Encouragingly, though … we are not staring at a severe slowdown," Bank of America said in a note to clients on Tuesday.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Goldman, Mueller, Glissmann, Organizations: U.S, Bank of America, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Wells Fargo bank analyst Mike Mayo highlighted Citigroup stock as his favorite bank name on Tuesday while speaking on CNBC's " Squawk on the Street ." Shares of Citigroup could double over the next two-and-a-half years "simply by going back to tangible book value," Mayo said. Citigroup sold for 73% of tangible book at the end of June, up from 60% at the end of last December, according to FactSet data. "Even after running this model, banks still have plenty of excess capital to support the economy," Mayo noted. "Recession or no recession; higher rates or lower rates … whatever hits you, I think banks are able to weather it quite well now."
Persons: Mike Mayo, Mayo, Jane Fraser Organizations: Citigroup, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lehman Brothers, Credit Suisse, Prudential, Deutsche Bank, Federal Locations: Wells Fargo, . U.S
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