DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ CNBC Daily Open: With a stagnant PPI, the Fed’s nearly at the finish line
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Winning week for marketsAll major U.S. indexes rose Friday on the back of encouraging inflation data and positive earnings from big banks. That gave them a winning week. Banks' earnings in good shapeJPMorgan Chase , the biggest bank in the U.S., reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that beat estimates.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Europe's, Tesla's, Tesla, Elon Musk, Musk, of Finance Lan Fo'an, Lan, Banks, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: US Federal Reserve, National Association of Business Economics, CNBC, of Finance, JPMorgan, It's Bank of America Locations: Nashville , Tennessee, U.K, China, Beijing, U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: With an unchanged PPI, the Fed’s near the finish line
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Persons: Tesla's, Tesla, Elon Musk, Musk, of Finance Lan Fo'an, Lan, Banks, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, of Finance, JPMorgan, It's Bank of America Locations: New York, Asia, Pacific, Shanghai, Beijing, China, U.S

☆ Financial stocks are still being woefully underappreciated by investors, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Positioning in financial stocks is light relative to other sectors, Morgan Stanley says. AdvertisementInvestors are lingering in defensive trades that don't take advantage of the economy's strength, Morgan Stanley said, highlighting opportunities in underinvested sectors. The firm — which just last week upgraded cyclical stocks to "overweight" relative to defensives — described the financials group as particularly attractive. Morgan Stanley said net exposure to financials was in the bottom 15th percentile of a historical data series that goes back to 2010. Morgan Stanley noted that this weakness lowered earnings-season expectations for investors, making it easier for major lenders to outperform forecasts.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, financials, Mike Wilson, Wells Fargo, Wilson Organizations: Service, Bank, JPMorgan, Utilities, defensives, ISM Locations: Basel

☆ 5 reasons why inflation will be stickier than expected going forward, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Investors need to be wary as sticky inflation remains a risk, Deutsche Bank says. But it's not yet time for investors to relax, Deutsche Bank wrote on Monday. "If inflation does return, this could have very important implications for markets," Deutsche Bank strategists said. While that much is true, history shows that easing cycles are precisely the time to be cautious over inflation, Deutsche said. The firm cited the fact that in August, US M2 money supply rose 2.0% year-over-year, the highest growth rate since September 2022.

Persons: —, Brent, Deutsche Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Deutsche, Atlanta Locations: China, Israel, Iran, Iranian

☆ Don't let September's jobs report fool you — the labor market is still deteriorating at a worrying rate, economists warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Small businesses also face tight credit conditions and are slowing hiring. AdvertisementThe September payrolls report seemed to switch the investor narrative around the labor market on a dime. Given the usual lags involved between changes in rates and activity, things will probably get worse for small businesses before they get better." "The labor market is not out of the woods just yet, and I continue to see another hiccup in the jobs market before year-end," Dutta wrote. AdvertisementStill, it's unclear how much pressure the labor market will come under in the months ahead.

Persons: —, bearish David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, September's, Rosenberg Research, Pantheon, Macro Research, The Conference Board

☆ A 32-year market vet shares 5 labor market indicators showing the US economy is barreling toward a recession — putting an overvalued stock market at risk for major declines
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

This is while S&P 500 valuations remain high, putting the market at risk for big declines. In a September note, Wolfenbarger shared the below chart from Bank of America showing 19 of 20 valuation measures they monitor as being overvalued. That means the S&P 500 would have to fall 60% just to return to the historical average. But it's still unclear how accurate the September jobs data is. Future revisions and further lackluster jobs data could resume investor fears that a downturn is a serious potential threat.

Persons: Jon Wolfenbarger, —, Merrill Lynch, St, Louis Fed, Wolfenbarger, September's, it's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, JPMorgan, Conference Board, Global, Bank of America, Rosenberg Research, Nvidia Locations: St

☆ Stock market today: US stocks edge up after wholesale inflation comes in cool
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose as September's wholesale price data showed cooling inflation. The producer price index was flat, and core PPI rose less than expected in September. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday after Producer Price Index data for September came in lower than expected, signaling a continued cooling of wholesale inflation. The producer price index was flat month-over-month, below economist estimates of a 0.1% rise. Apart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch.

Persons: Wells, —, Price, David Russell, Russell, Jamie Dimon Organizations: PPI, JPMorgan, BlackRock, Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock

☆ Stock market today: Indexes hit records and notch 5-week win streak after upbeat earnings, cool inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

JPMorgan and Wells Fargo reported strong earnings that eased fears of a consumer slowdown. September's producer price index was flat, calming inflation concerns amid rising yields. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon praised his bank's performance in the earnings release but warned that geopolitical conditions are "treacherous and getting worse." AdvertisementApart from earnings results, retail sales data, set to be released on October 17, is the next big data release for investors to watch. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Friday:AdvertisementHere's what else is going on:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:

Persons: Dow Jones, Wells, —, Wells Fargo, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, David Russell Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Dow Jones, PPI, Business, Bank of America

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6.20%, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the mid 5% range, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates are a bit higher today after dropping in September. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 5.89%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.19%.

Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, refinance Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ Ron Insana: September consumer inflation report was a mere blip in a wider cooling trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ The job market may be strong, but tell that to anyone looking for work or feeling stuck
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Madison Hoff | Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

September's robust job growth signaled what looks like a booming labor market. In general, the job market is booming. There's some tension hiding in the dataOn its face, the labor market is looking rosy. Job openings ticked up in August but have been broadly declining since 2022, adding to the tough labor market picture for job seekers. Related storiesEven though the labor market has cooled, it's largely done so without mass layoffs or a full-blown recession.

Persons: —, Cory Stahle, they're, Liz Wilke, Elizabeth Renter, Matt Colyar, Claudia Sahm, Julie Su, Wilke, It's Organizations: Service, Workers, Moody's, New Century Advisors, mhoff

☆ Earnings growth should continue to drive the S&P 500, says UBS
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 touched a record in early trading and was headed for its fifth-straight winning week. Excluding the energy sector, S & P 500 profit growth should be 8-10%," the bank wrote in a note to clients. "Many of these companies are benefiting from continued strong growth in AI investment spending and monetization," UBS added. "In aggregate, the Magnificent 7 will account for 21% of S & P 500 profits in 2024 and closer to 25% in 2025." The bank sees the S & P 500 climbing to 5,900 by year end and 6,200 by June 2025.

Persons: Banks, Wells Organizations: UBS, Investors, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock

☆ Dollar hovers near two-month peak as Fed easing bets ebb before inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar traded near a two-month peak against major peers on Thursday as markets grew more confident about a patient approach from the Federal Reserve to further monetary easing, even as a key inflation report loomed later in the day. The U.S. dollar traded near a two-month peak against major peers on Thursday as markets grew more confident about a patient approach from the Federal Reserve to further monetary easing, even as a key inflation report loomed later in the day. The euro languished near its lowest since Aug. 13, while against the yen, the dollar hovered close to its strongest level since Aug. 15. The dollar index was little changed at 102.86 as of 0024 GMT, sticking close to Wednesday's high of 102.93. The greenback eased 0.18% to 149.035 yen , but was not far from the overnight peak of 146.365.

Persons: Kyle Rodda, —, Rodda, Mary Daly Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Reuters, U.S, CPI, Francisco Fed, Traders, New Locations: U.S

☆ Stock futures are flat as traders await another inflation reading, big bank earnings: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on January 11, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures were little changed on Thursday evening, as investors looked ahead to a wholesale inflation reading and quarterly results from major banks. Futures tied to the S&P 500 inched higher by 0.08%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered just below the flatline. September's consumer price index rose 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.4% from a year earlier. The S&P 500 is up 0.5% week to date, while the Dow is toting a 0.2% gain.

Persons: Dow Jones, Preston Caldwell, Wells Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Futures, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, JPMorgan Chase Locations: New York City

☆ Inflation was hotter than expected in September, but continued its downward trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The unexpectedly hot inflation reading complicates the prospect of further rate cuts from the Fed. This index was expected to see a year-over-year increase of 2.3%, a cooler rate than August's 2.5%. The surprisingly hot inflation reading is a sign that the economy is running strong, and complicates the Fed's next rate decision, since in theory higher inflation would make further cuts less likely. AdvertisementThat could be because the market also digested weekly jobless-claim figures that came in higher than expected. Following a surprisingly strong September jobs report, speculation rose that the Fed might slow its pace of rate cuts — or even stop them altogether.

Persons: — Organizations: Service Locations: mull

But right now, borrowers should expect mortgage rates to remain near their current levels for the rest of 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.20%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down.

Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government

☆ Stock futures are little changed as September consumer inflation report looms: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Wednesday night as investors looked ahead to the release of September's consumer price index report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded near the flatline. Fed funds futures trading data suggests a roughly 70% likelihood of a quarter-point cut, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Economists polled by Dow Jones see core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rising by 0.2%.

Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Stephanie Roth Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Wolfe Research, Delta Air Lines Locations: New York City . U.S

☆ Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2025: Here's how benefits may change
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, could be 2.5% next year, Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare analyst, predicted last month. The Social Security Administration is expected to announce the COLA for 2025 on Thursday. Social Security COLAs have averaged about 2.6% over the past 20 years, according to the Senior Citizens League. More from Personal Finance:House may force vote on bill affecting pensioners' Social Security benefitsWhy children miss out on Social Security survivor benefits72% of Americans worry Social Security will run out in their lifetimesCould the Social Security COLA estimate change? The official Social Security cost-of-living adjustment will factor in one more month of government inflation data when it is announced.

Persons: Mary Johnson, Joe Elsasser, Elsasser, Alicia Munnell, Johnson, Hurricane Helene Organizations: Social, Social Security, Social Security Administration, Senior Citizens League, Center for Retirement Research, Boston College, Finance, Urban, Clerical Workers

This has helped push mortgage rates back up near where they were this summer, when 30-year rates were above 6%. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron

☆ CNBC Daily Open: U.S. economy’s fine, but markets driven by fear
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Markets are back to contending with rising oil prices, inflation possibly reaccelerating, fewer-than-expected rate cuts and potentially even a distant recession. The yield curve inverted in early July 2022 and normalized in early September. It's not inconceivable, then, for investors who take stock in what the yield curve signals to panic a little.

Persons: IXIC, Brendan McDermid, That's, Jeff Cox, It's, David Roche, Bob Parker, – CNBC's, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Quantum, International Capital Markets Locations: U.S

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Fear is the stock killer
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Michael M. Santiago | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The yield curve inverted in early July 2022 and normalized in early September. It's not inconceivable, then, for investors who take stock in what the yield curve signals to panic a little. But there's an undercurrent of fear that can perhaps run contrary to what some of those numbers are saying.

Persons: Michael M, That's, Jeff Cox, It's, David Roche, Bob Parker, – CNBC's, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, CNBC, Quantum, International Capital Markets Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge up as oil prices ease and traders look to key inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices slid, while investors shrugged off sluggishness in China stocks. Wall Street is gearing up for CPI, which is in focus after the strong September payroll report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStock markets opened higher on Tuesday as oil prices dipped, helping investors recover slightly after Monday's losing session. Instead, Wall Street is largely focused on earnings and upcoming inflation data, scheduled for release on Thursday.

Persons: Stocks, —, Monday's, Brent, Wells Organizations: CPI, Service, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, PepsiCo, JPMorgan, BlackRock Locations: sluggishness, China, Beijing, Wells Fargo, Here's

☆ The economy is facing a 'no-landing' scenario that undercuts the financial relief many Americans hoped for
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

However, the economy and the job market may be too strong to warrant steep rate cuts in the near term. "September's strong employment report and upward revisions in July and August murdered the hard-landing scenario," Yardeni said in a note to clients this week. The 30-year mortgage rate has crept higher, not lower, since the Fed delivered its big rate cut. As the economy reaccelerates, inflation could become a problem again, solidifying a higher for longer interest rate outlook that many had abandoned after the Fed's jumbo rate cut last month. Advertisement"With benchmark interest rates coming down, most prospective borrowers don't feel relieved of high borrowing costs," according to Mark Hamrick, a senior economic analyst at Bankrate.

Persons: —, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Megan Horneman, Steven Blitz, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Yardeni, Fed, Verdence Capital Advisors, TS Lombard, Philadelphia Fed

☆ The Fed is done cutting rates this year as the 'phantom recession' is finally dead, market vet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed is done cutting interest rates for the rest of the year, according to Ed Yardeni. Fears of a recession have been almost completely eliminated, the market vet said in a note. The no-show Fed-triggered recession will remain a no-show, especially now that the Fed has started to lower the FFR even though it isn't warranted by the performance of the economy," Yardeni wrote. I think it broadens out from the Magnificent Seven to the S&P 493," Yardeni added, speaking to Bloomberg on Monday. "We're going to have another quarter where I think earnings will go to a record-high in the third quarter."

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, —, landers, they're Organizations: Service, Reserve, Yardeni, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Services, Institution of Supply Management, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Bloomberg, Investor

☆ The job market is in the 'Twilight Zone,' top economist Claudia Sahm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US job market is in a strange quandary, according to Claudia Sahm. The September jobs report was huge, but Sahm said the labor market is still cooling. AdvertisementThe job market is in a weird spot, even after Friday's stunningly strong nonfarm payroll report, Claudia Sahm says. The former Federal Reserve economist and the creator of a highly watched recession indicator pointed to signs that the labor market is cooling, despite September's blowout jobs report. Other forecasters have said the job market remains in uncertain territory, though labor conditions are generally on strong footing.

Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, —, they're Organizations: Employers, Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Challenger, Atlanta Fed

Search resuls for: "September's"

25 mentions found