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Strategist Mislav Matejka said equities are coming up against a seasonally weak period and advised investors buy traditionally defensive stocks such as utilities and staples. "The latest market move to a more Defensive trading should have legs, such as recent outperformance of Utilities and Staples." "We continue to believe that will happen irrespective of bond yields direction from here, alongside a more positive performance of commodity sectors - Energy and Mining," he said. XLU 1M mountain Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) Utilities have outperformed quarter to date, while most other sectors have shown weakness. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) advanced 4.7% this quarter, making it top performing sector in the S & P 500.
Persons: Mislav Matejka Organizations: JPMorgan, Stocks, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Utilities, Staples, Energy, Mining, NRG Energy, NextEra Energy, Communication
The U.S. economy is flashing a sign that's favorable for dividend stocks, according to Bank of America. In this environment, investors want to own dividend stocks with above-market yields, she said. For those characteristics, she looks to quintile two of the Russell 1000 by trailing dividend yield. Her screen guards against owning distressed companies that might move into the first quintile, the highest dividend yield group, if prices fall ahead of potential dividend cuts. APA has a 3.1% dividend yield, while HF Sinclair yields 3.5%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Jeffrey Martin, CNBC's Jim Cramer, John Christmann Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, AES, APA, Sinclair, Callon Petroleum, CNBC, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S
Aging population plays In developed markets with aging populations , health-care needs will rise, creating an investment opportunity in the sector, Li said. "The relative outperformance of the health-care sector is to be expected in the context of an aging population," Li said. It tracks the health-care sector of the S & P 500 . "An economy-wide, sustained productivity boom is very hard to achieve, especially in the context of the supply constraint coming from, among other things, demographic shortage, aging population," Li said. "If India is able to bring more people into the working population, especially women, that will significantly boost its growth trajectory," she said.
Persons: Wei Li, dwindles, BlackRock, Li, It's, it's Organizations: BlackRock, World Health Organization, United Nations, Healthcare, Bank Locations: BlackRock, Japan, U.S, Indonesia, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, India, China
The energy sector has pulled up from behind to overtake nearly every other sector of the market this year and may still have room to advance, according to analysts. The energy sector has gotten a lift as crude oil prices are on a tear this year after plummeting in the last quarter of 2023. The refiners Marathon Petroleum , Phillips 66 and Valero also hit all-time highs on Friday. Diamondback Energy is trading at all-time highs Monday dating back to its IPO in October 2012, while ConocoPhillips is at levels that have not been seen since November 2022. "We think it's a theme that has more to go as well," Ginsberg said of the energy sector rally.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, it's, Rob Ginsberg, Brent, Iran teeter, Ginsberg, Valero Organizations: Energy, BTIG, Exxon Mobil, Wolfe Research, Fund, JPMorgan, OPEC, refiners, Petroleum, Phillips, Diamondback Energy, ConocoPhillips Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Iran, Occidental
The move higher for energy stocks comes as West Texas Intermediate crude oil approaches the mid-2022 highs of $88.31 per barrel. Theoretically, one can make bullish bets on oil using an ETF, such as the United States Oil Fund (USO) . However, I would caution against using this as an investment vehicle to make a long-term bullish bet on oil. SPR decline As the chart below illustrates, the country's Strategic Petroleum Reserve declined sharply in the lead-up to the 2022 midterm elections – keeping oil prices in check. The total cost of the spread risks just under 4.4% of the current stock price.
Persons: It's, Brent, Biden, Kinder Morgan Organizations: West Texas, United States Oil Fund, USO, country's Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Halliburton, Schlumberger, Valero, Marathon Petroleum, Marathon, MPC Locations: Marathon
Energy could be a hot trade this summer, according to Robert Schein, chief investment officer at Blanke Schein Wealth Management. That, in turn, would bode well for shares of energy stocks, Schein said. "I think energy could be the story of the summer," Schein told CNBC Pro. But the ETF rallied more than 57% in 2022, even as the S & P 500 tumbled more than 19%. XLE .SPX YTD mountain The XLE vs. the S & P 500 this year Schein said energy has begn to break out after being "left behind."
Persons: Robert Schein, bode, Schein, Hightower Organizations: Wealth Management, CNBC, Energy, Fund, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, LSEG Locations: of Baltimore, The California
Multiple stocks are lagging the market this year, but Wall Street says don't write them off yet — they could soon be due for a turnaround. With this in mind, CNBC Pro screened for stocks in the S & P 500 that might be positioned for a rebound this year. Shares were down 2.3% in 2024 thru the open Wednesday March 27, but the average price target implies around 22% upside potential, according to FactSet. Match was also highlighted as one of Goldman Sachs' favorite asset-light stocks earlier this month. According to the consensus analyst price target, the stock could rise 20.1%, per FactSet.
Persons: financials, Goldman Sachs, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC Pro, UnitedHealth, Caesars Entertainment, LSEG, Lines
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But Jim Smiegel, the CIO at $1.4 trillion SEI, thinks the stocks' run could be over soon. Tesla shares are down 32% since December, while shares of Apple are down 14% over the last few months. Historically, higher interest rates hurt growth stocks with higher valuations. 2 areas to look insteadSmiegel listed two areas of the market that look more attractive to him at the moment: energy and financials.
Persons: , Meta —, Jim Smiegel, Smiegel, There's Organizations: Service, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Meta, SEI, Business, Federal, CPI, Vanguard
Select dividend stocks could help boost investors' portfolio returns as the U.S. economy continues to improve, according to Bank of America. Investors should seek out companies with above-market dividend yields that are secure, not stretched, Subramanian advised. Among the energy names on the list is Chevron , which has a 4.2% dividend yield. The stock has an average rating of overweight and 14% upside to the average analyst price target, according to FactSet. Meanwhile, with Fifth Third Bancorp , investors can enjoy a 3.8% dividend yield.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Michael Wirth, CNBC's Organizations: Bank of America, Investors, Chevron, American Electric Power, Consolidated Edison, Utilities, Fifth Third Bancorp, Bancorp, Essex, Hotels, Resorts Locations: U.S
April 15 is the deadline for taxpayers to file their income tax returns and pay sums owed for 2023. MLPs themselves aren't subject to federal income taxes, but limited partners owe taxes on the income distributed. MLPX has a total return of 7.6% in 2024, and MLPA's year-to-date total return is 9.3%, according to Morningstar. In 2024, IYK has a total return of nearly 4.7%, while XLU's total return is about 0.7%, according to Morningstar. MFM's total return this year is 3.66%, and NZF has a total return of 3.4% in 2024, according to Morningstar.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, , MLPX, IYK, Morningstar, XLU, NZF Organizations: Bank of America, MLP & Energy Infrastructure, X MLP, Morningstar, Consumer Staples, Income Trust, Income Locations: MLPs, Indonesia, America, Nuveen
U.S. crude oil futures might be showing signs of a break out after topping $80 this week, though some analysts caution against reading too much into the move. The move higher came after the International Energy Agency forecast a crude supply deficit this year and Ukraine attacked several oil refineries in Russia. U.S. crude performed the same pattern this week, wiping out and closing above last week's intraday high of $80.67. U.S. crude has also held above its 200-day moving average of $78.13 a barrel almost all month, he said. As the market enters a supply deficit this year, Riyadh could start rolling barrels back on the market, Melek said.
Persons: Matt Maley, Miller, Tom Fitzpatrick, R.J, O'Brien, WTI, Brent, Fitzpatrick, Maley, Malley, Bart Melek, Melek, We're, Carter Worth, It's, it's, Worth Organizations: West Texas Intermediate, International Energy Agency, SPDR, Energy, TD Securities, U.S, Worth Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Riyadh, U.S, United States
The utilities sector is living in the shadows of mega-cap tech, but a power player name is emerging — and it's toting year-to-date gains of more than 40%. Constellation Energy , headquartered in Baltimore, is the top winner in the utilities sector in 2024, with NRG Energy in a distant second place with a 22.7% advance. Indeed, the utilities sector and real estate are the two laggards of the S & P 500 , down about 1% and 3.5% in 2024, respectively. CEG XLU 1Y line Constellation Energy versus the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund over the past year Constellation, which currently has a dividend yield of 0.8%, isn't your father's utility. So-called 24/7 carbon-free power involves purchasing electricity generation from the same region where a corporate client will use it.
Persons: it's, CEG, James Thalacker, It's, Daniel Eggers, Sophie Karp, BMO's, Joseph Dominguez, Steve Fleishman, Ross Fowler Organizations: Constellation Energy, NRG Energy, Utilities, SPDR Fund, BMO Capital, Atlantic City Electric, Baltimore Gas and Electric, Delmarva Power, Constellation, Microsoft, Wolfe Research, Republican, UBS Locations: Baltimore, Virginia
This prompted us to investigate the group further, which revealed that various stocks are sporting constructive technical formations. Restaurant stocks charts showing strength McDonalds (MCD) has had a wild ride over the last 10 months and now sits at the same price level that it was trading at last April — eleven months ago. MCD isn't the only restaurant stock that's sporting an attractive technical pattern. On the weekly chart, Restaurant Brands International (QSR) looks very similar to MCD, having formed its own inverse-head-and-shoulders formation over the last year. While this is no indication of what could happen now to MCD, YUM and QSR, it shows how breaking through multi-year resistance can attract momentum.
Persons: that's, , Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Brands, Texas
That's one of 10 investing predictions for the next 10 years by the Trivariate Research market strategist. "We have always said 'we prefer a basket of high-quality US growth equities'" when asked about crypto, Parker said in a note over the weekend. "Missing the appreciation of the asset class is not good, but participating in US growth equities has been more than adequate." "Because it is just a proxy for risk taking, investors can mirror the exposure of a basket of crypto through low quality hyper growth stocks," he added. "This sector checks all the boxes … We think there will be continued consolidation, so owning oil-sensitive energy stocks that are mid-cap likely will prove prudent," he said.
Persons: Adam Parker, That's, Bitcoin, Parker Organizations: Trivariate Research, Metrics, Own U.S, Mining, BHP Group, Microsoft, BHP, Vale, Southern Copper, Marathon Petroleum, Treasury, U.S . Treasury Locations: CRE, New York, San Francisco, Chicago, decarbonization, Freeport, McMoRan, Australia, Rio Tinto, Greece, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal
"Investors have registered $195mn of outflows from HY muni ETFs over the past year while piling $3,130mn into long duration US Treasury bond funds. … In our view, Treasury bond ETFs have too much inflation risk and will continue to underperform Prudent Yield credit assets. Municipal bonds are debt issued by state and local governments whose interest payments can be tax-free for investors. But municipal bonds look relatively safe within that group, according to Bank of America. Bank of America's top-rated municipal bond ETFs include the SPDR Nuveen Bloomberg High Yield Municipal Bond ETF (HYMB) and the VanEck High Yield Muni ETF (HYD) .
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, munis, HYMB Organizations: Bank of America, HY muni, , Federal Reserve, Bank of America's, Bloomberg, ETF, Muni Locations: HY
A frenzy around AI-adjacent stocks fueled the sector to robust gains: the Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC) was up 43%, and the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) was up 56%. And yet, in addition to outperforming the broader market, Ivana Delevska’s Spear Alpha ETF (SPRX) managed to smash its peers in the tech sector. The fund was up 88% on the year and beat 99% of similar funds, according to Morningstar data . We were like the only ones buying it at the bottom, it really felt totally abandoned,” Delevska told Business Insider. 3 AI stocks to buyThe first is chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA).
Persons: Ivana Delevska’s, , , ” Delevska, Delevska, they’re Organizations: Nasdaq, Technology, Alpha, Morningstar, Business, Citadel Asset Management, Nvidia, Palo Alto
As megacap tech stocks continue to fuel the rally on Wall Street, investors appear to be betting even more heavily that the big run for those market leaders will continue. Between the start of December and Feb. 2, tech sector funds brought in about $5.2 billion — more than double the next closest sector — according to Strategas. In fact, cumulative flows into all other sector funds combined have been net negative over the past three months. Not all tech sector funds will include every member of the Magnificent 7. The biggest health care sector funds on the market include the Health Care Select SPDR Fund (XLV) and the Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) .
Persons: Todd Sohn, " Sohn, Sohn's, Chris Verrone, Verrone Organizations: Nvidia, Vanguard Information Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Vanguard Health Care
Advertisement"I don't want to doubt this market," Salama said. Stocks will pause soon but still have upsideFollowing a brief consolidation period in early January, the S&P 500 has taken off again and set a streak of record highs. Chances are, the S&P 500 will top out around current levels of 4,900, Salama said. Even if the S&P 500 takes a hit, Salama doesn't think it will be down for long. Within the consumer discretionary sector, Salama expressed interest in e-commerce, cloud computing, and media powerhouse Amazon ( AMZN ).
Persons: , John Salama, wasn't, Salama, we've, Stocks, It's, Salama doesn't, Russell, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, Devices, Apple, AMD, Communication, Healthcare Locations: what's
There are some trades for investors looking to avoid a possible asset bubble and other potholes that could be ahead. The standard 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose even further, a function of both the rising risk-free rate and the rising spread. Buying bonds has interest rate risk. Moreover, the spread between mortgage rates and Treasuries is unusually high. Risk-free rates stay static or even rise mildly, but if the spread narrows mortgage rates could fall, a tailwind for a mortgage portfolio.
Persons: There's, Murray Rothbard, Milton Friedman, Ben Bernanke, Bernanke's, Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, Howard Marks, Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway, Marks, Steve Eisman, Neuberger Berman, they've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Vanguard Value, Technology, MBS Locations: U.S, deflate, Berkshire
The utilities sector suffered so much in 2023, that it's due for a snapback in the new year, according to Barclays. They also made the stocks' dividend payments less attractive compared to the risk-free yields on Treasurys. But now these stocks are priced to move, according to Barclays analyst Nicholas Campanella. "We still like the stock," Barclays said, pointing to upside to consensus earnings per share as one of the factors behind its call. Duke offers a dividend yield of 4.2%, but 12 out of the 20 analysts following the stock rate it a hold, per LSEG.
Persons: Nicholas Campanella, XLU, Campanella, Evergy, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays . Utilities, Barclays, SPDR, Fed, Electric Power, Dominion Energy, E Corporation, Duke Energy, Duke Locations: Kansas, Kansas City
Like many sectors, the consumer discretionary sector has enjoyed a strong year, rallying more than 16% in 2023. Against this backdrop, one sector to watch is consumer discretionary. With this view in mind, I am looking to put on a bearish options trade on the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR fund (XLY) , which tracks the performance of the S & P 500 consumer discretionary sector. When selling credit spreads, you bring in a premium when you open the trade. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Wall Street's, XLY, Nishant Organizations: XLY Locations: Red
"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.
Persons: , Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries
While the S&P 500 index (.SPX) ended little changed, the Amplify Online Retail ETF climbed 0.4% and the broader SPDR S&P Retail ETF gained about 0.7%. The SPDR S&P Retail ETF, which has net assets of $396.6 million, recorded weekly outflows of $115.6 in the week ended on Wednesday, according to data from Lipper. Still, the bulk of 2023 returns for investors in U.S. retail ETFs have come in recent weeks. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH.O) has generated half of its 12.8% year-to-date gains in the last two months. But Thomas Hayes, chair at Great Hill Capital LLC in New York, anticipates better-than-expected gains in retail stocks this holiday season.
Persons: Vincent Alban Acquire, Michael Ashley Schulman, Schulman, Thomas Hayes, Suzanne McGee, Lananh Nguyen, Josie Kao Organizations: Woodbury, REUTERS, Exchange, P Retail, Retailers, National Retail Federation, Walmart, United Auto Workers, Hollywood SAG, Running, Retail, Great, Capital, Thomson Locations: Central Valley , New York, U.S, New York
Bank stocks are at an all-time low compared with the S&P 500 based on relative prices, according to data from BofA Global Research. One key factor for bank stocks is whether the Federal Reserve is close to wrapping up a monetary tightening cycle that has brought the highest U.S. interest rates in decades. Yet signs the Fed may keep rates around current levels through most of next year have weighed on bank stocks. This month, analysts at BofA Global Research said investors should “selectively” add exposure to bank stocks in anticipation of an interest rate peak. Overall, about 61% of all outstanding mortgages have an interest rate below 4%, according to the Apollo Group, leaving consumers little incentive to refinance or move.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, , Quincy Krosby, Bill Gross, Neville Javeri, Goldman Sachs, Jeff Muhlenkamp, David Randall, Bansari Mayur, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Silicon Valley Bank, Bank, BofA Global Research, LPL, Federal Reserve, Fund, Allspring Global Investments, Fifth Third Bancorp, Investors, Apollo Group, financials, Fed, Muhlenkamp & Company, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Silicon
Oct 27 (Reuters) - Bargain hunting drove investors to exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking technology companies after shares fell sharply on mixed earnings from heavyweights. The fund's price fell nearly 4% in the week, as mixed results from megacaps like Alphabet (GOOGL.O) weighed on the sector. Tech funds saw inflows of $2 billion in the week to Wednesday, their largest in eight weeks, according to BofA Global Research, which it attributed to investors "buying the dip". The $14 billion ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ.O) posted net weekly inflows of $68.15 million, even as the price of the fund fell 9.5%. The $46.5 billion Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund and the $9 billion VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.O) posted net inflows of $205.7 million and $280.6 million, respectively, for the week.
Persons: Todd Sohn, Todd Rosenbluth, Vanda Research's, Bansari Mayur, Shweta Agarwal Organizations: Technology ETF, Apple, Microsoft, Strategas Securities, VettaFi . Tech, Nasdaq, Tech, BofA Global Research, Fund, Semiconductor, Thomson Locations: VettaFi, Bengaluru
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