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☆ CNBC Daily Open: Nvidia unseats Microsoft as world's most valuable company
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The shift presents challenges for tech-focused ETFs and could affect their holdings of heavyweights like Nvidia , Microsoft , and Apple . Markets are pricing in at least two rate cuts this year, while Fed officials have indicated only one rate cut is likely. Nvidia takes the crown Nvidia on Tuesday surpassed Microsoft to become the world's most valuable public company with a market cap of $3.34 trillion. Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler signaled the likelihood of a rate cut later this year.

Persons: Dave Calhoun, Josh Hawley, Calhoun, Hawley, Paul Ashworth, Susan Collins, Collins, Adriana Kugler, " Kugler, Jeff Cox, Cox, Claudia Sahm, —, Kif Leswing, Bob Pisani, Leslie Josephs, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin, Spencer Kimball, Yun Li, Lim Hui Jie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Federal Reserve, Fed, Boeing, Federal, North, Capital Economics, Boston Federal, Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: New York City, U.S, North America, Boston, Lawrence , Massachusetts, Washington

☆ Nvidia is shaking up this big tech ETF. Here’s what it means for investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The usual rebalancing of the S & P 500 index and the exchange traded funds around it is a quarterly event occurring Friday. There are exchange-traded funds that follow the broad market benchmark and ETFs that track the S & P 500 sector indexes, including technology. The S & P 500 indexes are pure indexes. Nvidia could become 99% of the S & P 500 by market capitalization, and it would be reflected in the index. This trio dominates the S & P 500 technology index.

Persons: Dow, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, We've Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, SPDR Technology, Broadcom, P Technology, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Regulators Locations: Americas, SPDR Americas

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Boeing's 'moment of reckoning'
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Immigrants, jobs and inflationImmigration has helped the U.S. job market sustain a strong run in recent months without reigniting inflation, economists and analysts say. This dynamic — a hot job market and cooling inflation — is in part the result of increased inflows of immigrants. The conglomerate sold 1.3 million shares for $39.8 million, reducing its holding to 6.9%. [PRO] S&P 500 to hit 6,000Evercore ISI predicts the stock market will soar to unprecedented heights, setting a new year-end target for the S&P 500 at a record 6,000.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's Rebecca Picciotto, Ryan Cohen, Keith Gill, Matthew Bartolini, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Tesla Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Federal, GameStop, Fund, Nvidia, SPDR Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, Berkshire, BYD

☆ AI hype is supportive of stock valuations, but cracks are emerging elsewhere, warns Schwab's Sonders
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

But while fundamental factors around these names are supportive of their multiples, the market isn't in the all-clear zone, according to Charles Schwab chief investment strategist Liz Ann Sonders. "AI and its enthusiasm — I think that's very legitimate," Sonders told CNBC's " Squawk on the Street " on Monday. "At this stage in the game, the trajectory of earnings, you could argue, is supportive of valuations." In contrast to the dot-com bubble, the current AI rally has much stronger fundamental factors correlated to momentum, Sonders said. "You're looking at the party of stocks and what they're doing, or just what the index is doing courtesy of a very small number of stocks," Sonders said.

Persons: Charles Schwab, Liz Ann Sonders, Sonders, CNBC's, brining Organizations: Nvidia

☆ Friday's trading could trigger a $10 billion rush of demand for Nvidia shares. Here's how
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

At stake is one of the top two spots in the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) , whose June rebalance is based on market cap values as of Friday's close. The market caps of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia were all within $100 billion of each other as of Thursday's close, according to a FactSet calculation. This type of big shift in an index fund is unusual, but not unprecedented. The fund tracks an index from S & P Dow Jones Indices that uses weighting caps to keep the index in bounds. Depending on how many shares of Nvidia are required, it might cause a short-term spike in the name," Bajaj said.

Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, Mohit Bajaj, SPDR, Bajaj, Todd Sohn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Dow Jones Indices, UBS, SPDR, Amazon, Trading, WallachBeth, Bajaj, Street Global Advisors, NYSE Technology Locations: U.S, SPDR Americas, rebalancing

☆ Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: Now is the time to take gains and redistribute to other value plays
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMorgan Stanley's Sherry Paul: Now is the time to take gains and redistribute to other value playsSherry Paul, Morgan Stanley Private Wealth managing director, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss whether anything in Paul's investing thesis changed this week, when the next market rebalancing pivot will come, and much more.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's Sherry Paul, Sherry Paul, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Morgan Stanley Private Wealth

☆ Bitcoin ETFs bring in a new investor who bucks the 'HODL' culture and rebalances as bitcoin soars
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-08 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Crypto's culture encourages investors to "HODL," or hold on for dear life, in the rollercoaster ride of bitcoin 's extreme fluctuations. But this long-prized practice may diminish as adoption of ETFs grows, particularly if traditional investors who are accustomed to rebalancing their portfolios regularly add in bitcoin exposure. "From a risk management point of view, rebalancing is a good thing. But rebalancing also means that they're going to be sellers along this journey." At the moment, long-term holders are selling, as is normal during bull markets, after accumulating bitcoin during the bear market.

Persons: Donald Marron, rebalancing, Julio Moreno Organizations: Urban Institute Locations: Austin , Texas

☆ Stock market heads into the week ahead at a record, but with some uneasiness underneath the surface
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-08 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The S & P 500 made a new record high, its 25 th of the year. And on the surface, there is a stolid calm that suggests a system in comfortable equilibrium, the market achieving a kind of homeostasis. Four of the past five days last week, the S & P 500 moved less than 0.2%. The S & P 500 is up almost 2% since its closing peak at the end of the first quarter, perhaps the moment of maximum belief in a seamless soft economic landing. Three stocks together now account for fully 20% of the S & P 500 market value, mocking the notion of diversification and dashing most active investors' hopes of beating the bogey.

Persons: Keith Gill, Michael Mauboussin, Scott Chronert Organizations: Nvidia, GameStop, Apple, Microsoft, Federal Reserve, Investment, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Fed, Citi, CPI Locations: rebalancing, U.S

☆ These outperforming stocks are still set to soar, analysts say, giving one 52% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The year has reached its halfway mark — and stocks are still adding on to gains. The S & P 500 hit yet another fresh record on Wednesday , as did the Nasdaq Composite. That brings the S & P 500 to gain 12.93% year-to-date. Some say the U.S. Federal Reserve could be forced to hold off on interest rate cuts if inflation is sticky. "We believe the likely main volatility trigger is still the timing of potential Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts."

Persons: Scott Wren, Wren, Schroders, Jason Yu Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S . Federal, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Asia

☆ It finally looks like the US economy is sticking its soft landing
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

A soft landing is on the horizon, too — or already here depending on who you ask — and recent data reinforces that. AdvertisementThere has been a ton of moderation in this rate particularly when comparing recent changes to those seen in 2022, another sign pointing to a soft landing. AdvertisementThe soft landing might already be hereDavid Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, believes the US has already achieved a soft landing. "To me, a soft landing is when the unemployment rate has basically hit its full-employment level, and the inflation rate is gradually coming down to a rate that's acceptable," Kelly said. Advertisement"In other words, a fairly comfortable soft landing with occasional turbulence," Draho added.

Persons: —, That's, it's, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, Briggs, Nick Bunker, Bunker, David Kelly, Kelly, Jason Draho, Draho, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America, UBS, Morgan Asset Management, UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ With Big Tech’s runaway 2024, it just might be time to part with a few winners. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Those highly appreciated positions can change the risk profile of your portfolio, particularly if it's been a long time since you last rebalanced. Managing the tax hit Trimming heavily appreciated positions in a portfolio that's held in a taxable account may come with a capital gains hit. One potential way to mitigate the tax is to use realized losses to offset those capital gains. In a year when losses exceed capital gains, investors can apply up to $3,000 of those losses to offset ordinary income and then carry over the remainder. Normally, these holdings would be the ones subject to the heftiest capital gains taxes if they were sold.

Persons: Blair duQuesnay, it's, Morningstar, Amy Arnott, Arnott, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, We've, Aliaga, Russell Organizations: Nvidia, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC's, Vanguard, Investors, Federal Reserve, Bond Market, SEC, Aggregate Bond, U.S, Taxpayers Locations: New Orleans

☆ S&P 500 enters June near a record but with growing concerns about the market's narrow leadership
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The S & P 500 is a mere 1.2% from its all-time high, yet only 60% of its member stocks are up for the year and just over 40% last week were above their 50-day moving average. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, 1-year We seem to undergo one of these periods of decrying a lack of market breadth every few months in recent years. Bespoke Investment Group last week looked at the small number of past instances when the S & P 500 was so close to a record yet most stocks were beneath a 50-day average. The 100-day correlation between the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit its lowest level since the dot-com bust of the early 2000s, according to CNBC's Data & Analytics group. The S & P 500 at the highs hit 21-times forward earnings, and we've spent very little time above that outside the pandemic melt-up and the tech boom/bust a quarter-century ago.

Persons: Warren Pies, Dow, Scott Chronert, we've Organizations: Investment, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Dow Jones, Dell Technologies, Citi, UBS Locations: Banks

☆ Goldman Sachs names top global stocks to play the coming power boom in AI and other areas
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The artificial intelligence boom is fueling demand for power, with many tech companies rapidly developing infrastructure as they compete for dominance. Data centers house vast amounts of computing power needed for AI workloads, and are intense power-guzzling workhorses. But the need for power goes beyond data centers and other infrastructure, according to Goldman. Goldman cited studies which showed that AI data centers can consume up to 10 times the energy of their regular counterparts. Taiwan's tech industry extends across a "comprehensive global AI supply chain," with tech manufacturers consuming a "substantial" amount of power.

Persons: Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Asia, China, Taiwan, South Korea, India, South Korea's, Power, Australia

☆ Some central banks have sold gold at record prices, cashing in on the global boom
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewCentral banks around the world have been snapping up gold, sending prices of the metal to record highs. The country's gold stash accounted for nearly three-quarters of its reserves as of March this year, according to WGC data. In 2022, Uzbekistan produced 110.8 tons of gold, making it the 10th top gold producer in the world, per WGC. Uzbekistan gold mining in March 2024. The country legalized private gold digging in 2019, and any gold found must be traded via its central bank.

Persons: —, it's, VYACHESLAV OSELEDKO, Shavkat Mirziyoyev Organizations: Service, Business, World Gold, Central Bank of, Uzbek, AFP Locations: China, Saudi, Central Bank of Uzbekistan, Thailand, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kazakh

☆ Money or talent? What's actually driving hedge funds to Abu Dhabi and Dubai
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Millennium, Brevan Howard, Schonfeld, and ExodusPoint are just a few of the funds that have put roots down in either Abu Dhabi or Dubai. Meanwhile, Bridgewater's Ray Dalio bought a penthouse in Abu Dhabi as he compliments the country's policies. When one US-based hedge fund fundraiser met with Abu Dhabi officials late last year, he didn't expect much to come of it. He lauded everything from the Louvre outpost in Abu Dhabi to the warm weather to the responsiveness from government officials. A Bloomberg story on Abu Dhabi notes that it's fast-tracking country-club admissions for new wealthy immigrants.

Persons: —, Brevan Howard, Schonfeld, Bridgewater's Ray Dalio, Austen Smart, Tighe, Smart, Alan Howard, Greg Coffey, Danny Yong, hoover, Doug Greenig, Morgan, Point72, Steve Cohen, Viking Global's Andreas Halvorsen, keynotes, Howard, Abu Dhabi, Craig Bergstrom, Bobby Jain's, Florin Court's Greenig, Abu, Floring Organizations: Service, United Arab Emirates, titans, Business, Tighe International, Florin Court Capital, Morgan Stanley's, Dubai Financial Services Authority, Abu, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Mubadala Investment Company, Corbin Capital, Abu Dhabi Global, Hong Kong, pats, Bloomberg Locations: Dubai, Abu Dhabi, London, New York, Mumbai, UAE, Asia, Switzerland, It's, Gaza, Iran, Palm, Europe, Cayman Islands, Jersey, Miami, San Franciso, Riyadh, Saudi

☆ How Termina selected and ranked the 2024 Seed 100 and Seed 40 lists of the top early-stage venture capitalists
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Jake Ellowitz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewThe Seed 100 and Seed 40 lists are derived from a statistical analysis of investor track records. Incubated by Tribe Capital, Termina is an AI-software platform that powers quantitative due diligence for leading investors around the world. Show intermediate signs of future success with seed investments that consistently receive follow-on investment. Ten percent of all seed investors in scope were women, up from 8% when the first Seed 100 was released in 2021. The result in just one year is the largest-ever rebalancing of how investors allocate seed capital across sectors.

Persons: —, We've, We're, OpenAI, Termina, Jake Ellowitz Organizations: Service, Business, Tribe Capital Locations: USA, Canada

☆ Morgan Stanley's new wealth boss Jed Finn shares his playbook from playing matchmaker with E-Trade clients to getting advisors to teach each other how to use AI
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Hayley Cuccinello | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

AdvertisementThe units are combining their outsourced investment services for ultra-high-net-worth wealth clients and institutional customers. The wealth management arm is there to help them pay less taxes on their windfall and manage their fortune. That said, Morgan Stanley has drawn the line in the past at some offerings like health savings accounts. AdvertisementFor Finn, those offerings are a means to an end: converting as many of these clients as possible to become fee-paying wealth management clients. The revenue and margins of the workplace channel and E-Trade, which Morgan Stanley acquired for $13 billion in 2020, are "irrelevant," he said.

Persons: —, Morgan, Jed Finn doesn't, Finn, Andy Saperstein, James Gorman's, Saperstein, Jacques Chappuis, Ben Huneke, Andy Saperstein's, Larry Lettera, Wagner, multibillion, Morgan Stanley, Finn isn't, We're, Jeff McMillan Organizations: Service, McKinsey, bank's, Business, Wall Street, Solium, OpenAI, AIMS

☆ Buy this little-known Brazilian wholesale retailer with nearly 30% upside, JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

JPMorgan thinks Assaí Atacadista, one of the largest retailers in Brazil, is a strong investment play as the company begins to reflect better operating trends. Analyst Joseph Giordano upgraded Assaí, a Brazilian self-service wholesale company with almost 300 stores that trades on the New York Stock Exchange, to overweight from neutral. JPMorgan also raised its price target by $2.50 to $17.50, implying upside of almost 30% over the next year. "We revisit our views on the Brazilian cash & carry space ahead of 1Q24 results," Giordano wrote in a note Tuesday. A more flexible balance sheet would enable Assaí to take advantage of the fact that major competitors are not opening new stores, he said.

Persons: Assaí Atacadista, Joseph Giordano, Giordano, Atacadão, Assaí Organizations: JPMorgan, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Brazil, Brazilian, U.S

☆ Peter Thiel says AI will be 'worse' for math nerds than for writers
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Lauren Edmonds | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Peter Thiel discussed artificial intelligence on Wednesday's episode of "Conversations with Tyler." Thiel said Silicon Valley is "biased" toward math and a "rebalancing of our society" is overdue. AdvertisementPeter Thiel believes the expansion of artificial intelligence will be "worse" for math aficionados — not wordsmiths. Palantir, a company he cofounded in 2003, provides artificial intelligence models to world militaries like Ukraine and Israel. Business Insider outlined 10 roles that artificial intelligence will most likely replace as the sector grows in March 2024.

Persons: Peter Thiel, Tyler, Thiel, —, Tyler Cowen, Mark Muro, Muro Organizations: Service, PayPal, Getty, Brookings Institution Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Silicon Valley

☆ Tension in the Middle East, hot inflation rattle stocks. Take these steps to shore up your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Conflict in the Middle East escalated over the weekend as Iran launched drones and missiles at Israel, and traders braced for a response. Investors have already been on edge as of late amid climbing oil prices and recent economic data that shows inflation is remaining sticky. Rockier times could be ahead, too, noted Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. Tax-loss harvesting involves selling losers in your taxable account and using these losses to offset realized gains within your portfolio. Extending duration involves adding exposure to bonds with greater price sensitivity to changes in rates.

Persons: Paul Christopher, Christopher, rebalancing, Gargi Pal Chaudhuri Organizations: Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Information Technology, Communications Services, BlackRock, Treasury Bond ETF Locations: Fresh, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, BlackRock

☆ Stocks are undergoing a needed, and (so far) modest, pullback in a longer-term bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The result was a 1.5-percent weekly drop in the S & P 500 , with Friday's setback exacerbated at least somewhat by a collective clenching-up of risk markets on some geopolitical worry. This dynamic hasn't been reversed, but the signal has grown a bit staticky, draining some conviction from the macro bullish case with the S & P 500 still 24% above the October low. Bull market's backdrop First, it's a bull market, and not a particularly mature or excessively generous one yet. Yet both stocks are still outperforming the S & P this year. The S & P 500 closed Friday at exactly the same level of five weeks earlier, on March 8 – which was perhaps the moment of maximum investor confidence in the "we can have it all" thesis.

Persons: I've, Jerome Powell, Powell, Wall, it's, We're, John Butters, Fastenal, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, ICE, Treasury, CPI, Fed, Grainger, Citi

☆ Here's why JPMorgan's top brass are doubtful that a major M&A comeback is on the horizon
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Reed Alexander | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWall Street has been hopeful that M&A activity will return this year as rates fall. On Friday, the bank reported $41.9 billion in revenue for the quarter, up 9% year-over-year — a figure that surpassed analysts' expectations. The retreat from dealmaking produced a nine-year low in terms of the number of individual M&A transactions in the quarter, LSEG reported. Dimon's warningsThe comments from JPMorgan's top brass come as Dimon issues warnings about the prospect of a gloomier economic environment.

Persons: —, Jamie Dimon, Jeremy Barnum, Barnum, Biden, that's, Goldman Sachs, Stephan Feldgoise, LSEG, EY, Dimon, Reed Alexander Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Business, London Stock Exchange Group Locations: megamergers, dealmaking, Asia, Pacific

☆ Morgan Stanley is betting on AI to free up advisors' time to 'be more human.' Nearly 100% of advisor teams use it, and here's how.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Hayley Cuccinello | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Now, he can answer those questions mid-call by asking the bank's AI chatbot, which typically takes 15 to 20 seconds. Morgan Stanley plans to expand AI projects firmwide, promoting wealth management tech head, Jeff McMillan, in March to lead the effort. It can only reference the bank's internal content, can't use metaphors or analogies, and only answers questions related to wealth management. When asked if Donald Trump would make a good president, AIMS declined to answer, McMillan demonstrated to Business Insider. AdvertisementBefore AIMS, Morgan Stanley had a product called FAST that could answer about 5,000 questions.

Persons: —, Patrick Biggs, Morgan Stanley, couldn't, Jeff McMillan, Donald Trump, McMillan, doesn't Biggs, Biggs, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan, We're, Morgan Stanley's chatbot, Dr, Seuss, Morgan Stanley McMillan, hasn't, Jed Finn, Patrick Biggs Stavros Panopoulos, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley's, Biggs isn't Organizations: Service, Business, OpenAI, AIMS, IBM, Morgan Locations: Cayman Islands

☆ Morgan Stanley is betting on AI to free up advisors' time to be 'more human.' Nearly 100% of advisor teams use it, and here's how.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Hayley Cuccinello | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Now he can answer those questions mid-call by asking the bank's AI chatbot, which typically takes 15 to 20 seconds. Morgan Stanley plans to expand AI projects firmwide, promoting Jeff McMillan, the head of wealth-management tech, in March to lead the effort. It can reference only the bank's internal content, can't use metaphors or analogies, and answers questions related only to wealth management. When asked if Donald Trump would make a good president, AIMS declined to answer, McMillan demonstrated to Business Insider. Related storiesBefore AIMS, Morgan Stanley had a product called FAST that could answer about 5,000 questions.

Persons: Patrick Biggs, Morgan Stanley, couldn't, Jeff McMillan, Donald Trump, McMillan, doesn't Biggs, Biggs, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan, OpenAI, We're, Dr, Seuss, ChatGPT, Morgan Stanley McMillan, hasn't, Jed Finn, Patrick Biggs Stavros Panopoulos, Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley's, Biggs isn't Organizations: Business, OpenAI, AIMS, IBM, Morgan Locations: Cayman Islands

☆ The economy is sending mixed signals about a recession, and that's made the timing of the next rate cut less meaningful
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The economy is sending mixed signals about a potential recession in the near future, according to Ned Davis Research. The conflicting data suggests the Fed should de-emphasize when it will cut interest rates. AdvertisementThe US economy is sending mixed signals about when the next recession will arrive. Other economic indicators that measure manufacturing activity have been improving lately and argue for a long runway of economic growth ahead. That advice appears especially poignant following the release of the hotter-than-expected March CPI report, which plunged the probability of the first Fed interest rate cut happening in June from 50% to about 20% and pushed out the likelihood of a rate cut to July.

Persons: Ned Davis, Joseph Kalish, Kalish, Powell Organizations: Ned Davis Research, NDR, Federal Reserve Locations: Europe

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