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According to Bank of America, the most recent market pullback is a symptom of a "buffalo" market. Related stories"A buffalo market is still in the bull family," McGregor said. She expects that the buffalo market will roam around this summer before stabilizing into a bull market later this year. "We're expecting this earnings growth story to broaden beyond the Magnificent Seven in tech in the coming quarters." Bank of America believes small-caps could lead the stock market for the next ten years if interest rates come down and remain favorable.
Persons: , Marci McGregor, we've, McGregor, We're, Russell Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Business, Energy, Vanguard Health Care Locations: Buffalo
Yen eases as Nikkei jumps, central bank meetings loom
  + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Sterling was steady near a 2-1/2-week low to the euro ahead of the Bank of England's policy announcement on Thursday. The dollar gained 0.29% to 154.24 yen early in the Asian day, after dipping as low as 151.945 on Thursday for the first time since May 3. Last week, the dollar sank 2.36% against the yen for its worst weekly performance since late April. Speculation has grown that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates on Wednesday at the same time as significantly reducing its monthly bond purchases. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar gained 0.31% to $0.6568, recovering from Friday's low of $0.65105, a level not seen since the start of May.
Persons: Sterling, Tony Sycamore, bitcoin, Donald Trump Organizations: Bank of, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, IG, Federal Reserve, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Australian, Republican Locations: Japan, U.S, China
Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Monday as investors awaited key corporate earnings and the beginning of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both traded 0.1% higher. That compares to a five-year average earnings beat rate of 77%. "Both 2024 and 2025 consensus EPS are holding up, with 2024 EPS tracking a typical non-recessionary year revision trend. "Inflation is trending lower, supporting Federal Reserve rate cuts," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Jerome Powell, Seema Shah Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Merck, Pfizer, PayPal, Procter, Gamble, JetBlue, Microsoft, Devices, Bank of, Fed, Asset Management
Yen heads for strongest week in 3 months as carry trades unwind
  + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen was poised for its strongest week in nearly three months on Friday as traders unwound their long-held bets against the frail currency ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data that could cement rate cut expectations. The yen was poised for its strongest week in nearly three months on Friday as traders unwound their long-held bets against the frail currency ahead of crucial U.S. inflation data that could cement rate cut expectations. The euro was a tad stronger at $1.0853 but is down 0.35% for the week, its steepest weekly decline since early June. The souring risk sentiment this week has weighed heavily on the Aussie and the New Zealand dollar . The Aussie is down 2% for the week, its worst weekly performance since November 2023.
Persons: James Athey, Ben Bennett, they're Organizations: Marlborough Investment Management, Federal, Fed, Traders, Bank of Japan, Legal, General Investment Management, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Asia, Pacific
In the game of climate change, there are both winners and losers. AdvertisementMany of these climate change "winners" are hardy, fast-breeding scavengers that already live in some of the most degraded habitats on Earth: cities. When it comes to what they eat, they aren't picky, which means they probably don't have to worry about climate change eliminating their food source. If climate change is driving a "ratpocalypse," as some evidence suggests, that could have big consequences for human health. But as climate change raises temperatures and alters precipitation trends, their range is expanding and shifting to new geographic areas.
Persons: Giovanni Strona, Shutterstock, they've, We're, , they're, They're Organizations: Service, Business, Commission's, Research Centre, Pest Control, South America, AP, CDC Locations: York, Africa, Asia, South America, South, Florida, Texas, Europe, Vermont
AdvertisementSpeed and ease — that's how generative AI is changing the game for finance professionals. In a survey of 780 banking and capital-markets employees by Accenture Research, 62% of respondents expect generative AI to increase people's stress and burnout. "Employees with AI skills will replace people without AI skills," Andrew Chin, the chief AI officer at the $759 billion money manager AllianceBernstein, told BI. AdvertisementA data scientist at a midsize hedge fund told BI that generative AI models are a "superpower for coders." The firm's ultimate aim is to use generative AI to replicate the success of its best bankers for all advisors.
Persons: Christina Melas, Rowe Price's Sébastien, Eric Burl, Alyssa Powell, Thomas H, Lee, Keri Smith, Smith, Ken Griffin, They've, Goldman Sachs, Marco Argenti, Argenti, It's, I've, drudge, Andrew Chin, AllianceBernstein, Lisa Donahue, Donahue, Jobs, who's, He's, he'd, ChatGPT, Accenture's Smith Organizations: Bain Capital Ventures, Management, Business, Bain Capital, Man Group, Accenture Research, Finance, Wall Street, Blackstone, Sigma, Citadel, Milken Institute Global Conference, Excel, Accenture, Northern Trust, Citibank, Citi, JPMorgan Locations: New York City, New York
How the hedge fund superstar went extinct
  + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
But for now, we're examining how the hedge fund superstar has gone extinct . The big storySo long, superstarGetty Images; Alyssa Powell/BIWhere have all the hedge fund superstars gone? AdvertisementIn years past, even rubbing shoulders with a legendary hedge fund manager was enough for aspiring fund managers to raise capital. Meanwhile, the hedge fund industry has also evolved. Aaron Weiner, a 31-year-old from Coatue, got a multibillion-dollar check from Millennium for his to-be-launched hedge fund .
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Harris, Alyssa Powell, Insider's Linette Lopez, Julian Robertson, Griffin's, Izzy Englander's, Goldman Sachs, Jared Siskin, Bobby Jain, it's, Aaron Weiner, Jonathan Xiong's, Maja Hitij, Carl Godfrey, Apple, Sam Altman's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Democratic, Democratic Party Convention, Business, Getty, Management, Goldman, Madison, Park Conservancy, Citadel, Credit Suisse, Jain, ExodusPoint, Investment Partners, Blackstone, Elon Musk's, Big Tech, Bank of America, BI Founders, Forge, Apple, Google, General Motors Locations: Venture, Wall, Park, Coatue, Miami, London, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA's Savita Subramanian on why we are heading into a 'tricky' part of the yearSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what has changed in the strategist's thoughts on the S&P 500, estimates for AI capital expenditures, and much more.
Persons: Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities
This report comes amid a strong year for the megacap tech stock's valuation, which is up about 31% compared to the start of 2024. Food chains Wingstop and Texas Roadhouse also both made the list. WING TXRH YTD mountain Wingstop and Texas Roadhouse, year to date Despite those jumps, Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Harbour warned that pressure on the lower-end customer can be a challenge for the industry. He listed Wingstop and Texas Roadhouse as part of a group that can win, but may see more limited upward revisions. The typical price target implies about 7% more upside for Wingstop and slightly more than 2% for Texas Roadhouse.
Persons: Jefferies, Baird, Colin Sebastian, Sebastian, LSEG, Morgan Stanley, Brian Harbour Organizations: Texas, Texas Roadhouse Locations: U.S, Texas
SandboxAQ CEO on their Nvidia collaboration
  + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSandboxAQ CEO on their Nvidia collaborationJack Hidary, SandboxAQ, and Jim Breyer, Breyer Capital founder and CEO, join 'Money Movers' to discuss what Sandbox is and the technological edge the company has, why Breyer is so excited about the large quantitative model, and how to think about the opportunity for quantitative AI.
Persons: Jack Hidary, Jim Breyer, Breyer Organizations: Nvidia, Breyer Capital
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with SandboxAQ's Jack Hidary and Breyer Capital's Jim BreyerJack Hidary, SandboxAQ, and Jim Breyer, Breyer Capital founder and CEO, join 'Money Movers' to discuss what Sandbox is and the technological edge the company has, why Breyer is so excited about the large quantitative model, and how to think about the opportunity for quantitative AI.
Persons: SandboxAQ's Jack Hidary, Breyer Capital's Jim Breyer Jack Hidary, Jim Breyer, Breyer Organizations: Breyer Capital
Bank of America's Savita Subramanian said investors are neglecting this one corner of the market with upside potential: "old school capex." Subramanian anticipates stocks can still go higher from here, on balance. Instead of big-cap tech, the strategist favors what she calls "old school capex," stocks that have yet to price in any gains from artificial intelligence, as well as from the nearshoring trend. "Our view is that there is probably more upside elsewhere in the market, which is why we like old school capex, and we don't think that's getting a lot of attention," Subramanian said. So, that's where we really see the strength in the market," Subramanian added.
Persons: America's Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, we've, CNBC's Organizations: America's
Read previewThe results are in for Sam Altman's much-anticipated basic income study, one of the largest of its kind. AdvertisementThe debate over basic incomeThe study was inspired by Altman's belief in the importance of a basic income in the age of AI, which some fear could render millions of jobs obsolete. Related storiesThe idea of a universal basic income has been around for awhile, but rose to prominence as the center of Andrew Yang's 2016 presidential campaign. Other significant figures in the tech industry have since voiced support for some kind of basic income, including Twitter cofounder Jack Dorsey and Tesla CEO Elon Musk. Earlier this year, Altman also floated another kind of basic income plan, which he called a "universal basic compute."
Persons: , Sam Altman's, Altman, OpenResearch, Elizabeth Rhodes, Cash, Andrew Yang's, Jack Dorsey, Elon Musk, Geoffrey Hinton, Sarah, Cara Organizations: Service, Business, OpenResearch Locations: Texas, Illinois
Read previewThe results are in for Sam Altman's much-anticipated basic income study, one of the largest of its kind. AdvertisementThe debate over basic incomeThe study was inspired by Altman's belief in the importance of a basic income in the age of AI, which some fear could render millions of jobs obsolete. Related storiesThe idea of a universal basic income has been around for awhile, but rose to prominence as the center of Andrew Yang's 2016 presidential campaign. Other significant figures in the tech industry have since voiced support for some kind of basic income, including Twitter cofounder Jack Dorsey and Tesla CEO Elon Musk. Earlier this year, Altman also floated another kind of basic income plan, which he called a "universal basic compute."
Persons: , Sam Altman's, Altman, OpenResearch, Elizabeth Rhodes, Cash, Andrew Yang's, Jack Dorsey, Elon Musk, Geoffrey Hinton, Sarah, Cara Organizations: Service, Business, OpenResearch Locations: Texas, Illinois
“His last act will not be getting knocked down,” said one longtime Biden 2020 campaign aide of the family and the inner circle. They loved saying in 2020 that Joe Biden won because the party, and not the pundits. Some have already “quiet quit,” going through the motions until Joe Biden gets to the end that many of them now believe is inevitable. It feels like if he could go to Congress and make a rousing speech, he would,” said one Democratic operative involved with the campaign. “Here in HQ, we’re working really hard because on winning campaigns, you work really hard,” said Biden campaign spokesman Kevin Munoz.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, It’s, Biden, , , they’ve, Illinois Sen, Dick Durbin, Reagan, they’ll, who’s, Faith, , we’re, it’s, Kevin Munoz, Mike Novogratz, Abigail Disney, Trump, Joe, Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries, ” Biden, Kamala Harris, I’ve, Dan Kanninen, Kanninen, ” Kanninen, that’s, Donald Trump –, California Sen, Alex Padilla Organizations: Washington CNN, CNN, Biden, Democrats, Democratic, White, White House, Republican, Galaxy Digital, Democratic National Committee, Senate Democratic, Democrat, Google, West, , Trump, Senate, Electoral College Locations: Illinois, Wilmington, Chicago, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina, California
China must "adapt to the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation," an official English-language communique said. It also said China would "improve the new system for mobilizing resources nationwide to make key technological breakthroughs." The readout affirmed Beijing's commitment to balancing development with ensuring national security, and did not otherwise reveal policy changes. "I would highlight 'innovation and managed markets' as the top two keywords in the Third Plenum," Xu said. Regarding the latest plenary meeting, "we think any market-oriented reform will be measured and carried out insofar as it doesn't compromise national security," Xu said.
Persons: Hector Retamal, Liqian Ren, Tianchen Xu, Xu, Biden Organizations: AFP, Getty, BEIJING —, Communist Party's, Economist Intelligence Unit Locations: Beijing, China, WisdomTree, U.S
PIMCO economist Peder Beck-Friis says that high US debt levels do not pose an immediate threat. Before that happens, volatility will rise in financial markets and the macro economy, he noted. AdvertisementInvestors shouldn't fear US debt crisis just yet, as the situation is more benign than it appears, PIMCO econmist Peder Beck-Friis wrote on Thursday. In an op-ed in The Financial Times, Beck-Friis wrote that investors will need to prepare for higher instability before policymakers treat the debt seriously. Like many other big-name market observers, he argued that the aggressive rise in the US debt will eventually hit unsustainable levels.
Persons: Peder Beck, Friis, , PIMCO econmist Peder Beck, Beck, Bill Gross, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton Organizations: Financial Times, Service, Financial, US Locations: Washington, Europe
New York-based Hudson River Trading is best known for its market-making capabilities. Hudson River Trading winning any trade over its competitors, like Citadel Securities, Virtu, and Jane Street, comes down to its pricing engine. To help it get there, Hudson River Trading turned to Google Cloud, where its quants have been conducting their research for several months without the constraints of an on-premise environment. "Google Cloud allows us to do that without limits to computing power." Advertisement"In other words, what I'm saying is that we need to predict the future of the stock market," Dunning said.
Persons: , Jane Street, Iain Dunning, Kevin Lee, Dunning, Ken Griffin's, Italo Brito, Brito Organizations: Service, Hudson, Hudson River Trading, Citadel Securities, Virtu, Business, Trading, Google, Nvidia, HRT, Sigma Locations: New York, Hudson
Instead, the team determined that the shape of the cut marks was consistent with those made by stone tools. “The cut marks were not randomly distributed but focused on those skeletal elements that harbored large muscle packs like the pelvis and the tail,” he said. A detailed examination of cut marks on the fossils revealed they were made by stone tools in a deliberate sequence. Along with three perforated giant sloth bones found in Brazil that archaeologists believe humans used as pendants 25,000 to 27,000 years ago, the butchered armadillo bones suggest that humans were in South America a surprisingly long time ago. “Until recently, the traditional model indicated that humans entered the continent 16,000 calendar years ago,” he said.
Persons: CNN —, , , Miguel Delgado, ” Delgado, Delgado, Miguel Eduardo Delgado et, , paleoanthropologist Briana, Pobiner, wasn’t Organizations: CNN, National University of La, Smithsonian National Museum of, North Locations: what’s, Argentina, Americas, National University of La Plata, Buenos Aires, Merlo, Washington ,, North, South America, Africa, New Mexico, North America, New York City, Cincinnati, Des Moines , Iowa, Asia, Alaska, Brazil
The Astoria US Equal Weight Quality Kings ETF (ROE) , which launched in 2023, is up 17.6% year to date through Tuesday's close, according to FactSet. By comparison, the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and iShares MSCI USA Equal Weighted ETF (EUSA) are up 9.7% and 10.1%, respectively. ROE YTD mountain This equal weighted ETF is outperforming some of its rivals in 2024. The Astoria fund is underperforming some other funds that focus on quality, like the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) . The Astoria fund also has a higher expense ratio than some of its rivals at 0.49%.
Persons: John Davi, ROE, Davi, Frank Tedesco, Todd Sohn Organizations: Astoria, RSP, EUSA, Nvidia, Big Tech Locations: ROE
IMF sees ‘bumps’ in path to lower inflation
  + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday that upside risks to inflation have increased, calling into question the prospect of multiple Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. In its latest World Economic Outlook update, the IMF said "the momentum on global disinflation is slowing, signaling bumps along the path." The rise in sequential inflation in the U.S. earlier in 2024 has put it behind other major economies in the quantitative easing path, the report said. However, IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Tuesday that one rate cut from the Fed is most appropriate this year, highlighting still-stubborn services and wage inflation as complications to the path to lower inflation. Despite the encouraging CPI report, Gourinchas stated the uptick in inflation earlier in the year indicates that the path toward lower inflation and rate cuts "could take a little bit longer than maybe the markets are expecting."
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, CNBC's, Gourinchas Organizations: Monetary Fund, Traders, U.S . Labor Department Locations: U.S
As the second half of the year kicks off, Bernstein shared its latest selection of stocks that look attractive on both a quantitative and fundamental level. Bernstein's basket of stocks includes 14 names across six sectors that are highly ranked on a quantitative basis, not crowded and rated as overweight by the firm's analysts. The updated basket comes as the broader market trades at record highs, making it difficult for investors to find attractively valued stocks. Here is a look at some of the names in Bernstein's latest quantitative and fundamental basket of stocks: Telecommunication giant T-Mobile made the list. Analyst Daniel Roeska's $55 price target corresponds to another potential 19% upside from the stock's Tuesday closing price.
Persons: Bernstein, Ottavio Adorisio's, David Barden, Barden, Danilo Gargiulo, Goldman Sachs, Daniel Roeska's, Motors Organizations: Mobile, Bank of America, Automobile, General Motors
So far this year, hedge fund managers have failed to beat the S & P 500 , one of the cheapest, easily available investment vehicles for ordinary investors. Hedge funds returned just 5% in the first half of the year after a 0.2% loss in June, with event-driven strategies the biggest laggards, according to data firm HFR. The performance may come as a disappointment as hedge funds often tout star stock pickers and niche strategies to justify their high fees. Hedge funds typically charge a 2% management fee on the total assets under management plus a performance fee of 20% of the fund's profits. Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage data showed hedge funds have been rotating out of tech stocks, especially winning chipmakers over the past few weeks, while pouring into financial stocks and commodities.
Persons: Hedge, Morgan Stanley's, Bill Meany, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Ken Griffin's, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Dan Loeb's, Cliff Asness, AQR Organizations: Citadel, Apex, Equity Locations: Wellington
Quiver Quantitative mirrors the portfolios of certain Congress members and groups, rebalancing every time a new disclosure or report is made. AdvertisementQuiver Quantitative's strategy is a little simpler than the exact trades that Congress members are making, for two reasons. By backtesting, or applying this strategy to multiple years of historical data, many Congress members' portfolios exhibit significant outperformance relative to the S&P 500. Congress members could be managing their portfolios independently, or they could be using a financial advisor, for example. Congress' top performersBelow, we've listed five Congress members' portfolios with triple-digit total returns, their one-year return, as well as their current top portfolio holdings.
Persons: , Nancy Pelosi, James Kardatzke, Dan Meuser, Sheldon Whitehouse, Donald Beyer, Josh Gottheimer, Pelosi, Morgan McGarvey, Stephen Lynch, Paul Pelosi, Kardatzke, it's, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Nvidia, Broadcom, Tesla, Visa Locations: California
Those dividends may begin to look more attractive to investors as the Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates. UBS compiled a list of global, high-quality dividend stocks using its quantitative models, as well as its fundamental analysts. "Throughout the process, we emphasise the stability and growth potential of dividend streams, as opposed to the current yield," analyst Claire Jones said. Investors can grab a 2.69% dividend yield with Home Depot . The oil giant boasts a 3.35% dividend yield and is up more than 11% so far this year.
Persons: What's, Claire Jones, Richard McPhail, Giovanni Staunovo, Brent, Jonathan Woloshin, Sempra, Jeffrey Martin, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Melissa Repko, Spencer Kimball Organizations: UBS, Federal Reserve, Depot, CNBC, Exxon Mobil, Exxon, Pioneer Natural Resources, CME Group, JPMorgan, Group, Utilities Locations: Saudi, Aramco
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