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The anxiety abated for a bit when Vice President Kamala Harris replaced him on the ticket and her poll numbers spiked. With Harris' numbers stagnant now for weeks, many Democrats are once again fretting that the election is slipping away and that Donald Trump may yet regain power. Harris appears to be OK with the collective jitters, recognizing that if Democrats fear they might lose, they're more apt to show up at the polls and help her win. Polling shows that neither Harris nor Trump has built a lead outside the margin of error. Claims that Harris is an underdog amount to “a liberal plot to get us overconfident on the Trump side,” he added.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, —, can’t, That’s, “ She’s, she’s, Hillary Clinton, ”, John McLaughlin, “, She’s, ” Harris, Biden, “ You’ve, you’ve, ” David Plouffe, Barack Obama, “ Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, strode, — Obama, — Clinton, Ellen DeGeneres, “ Hamilton, Lin, Manuel Miranda Organizations: WASHINGTON, Trump, Democratic, Fox News, IGN Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Greenville , North Carolina, Detroit, Erie , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Greenville, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Seattle

What are some strengths that Kamala Harris brings to the table, even if you aren’t voting for her? What are some strengths that Kamala Harris brings to the table, even if you aren’t voting for her? At the same time, half of them said it was important that America have a female president in the next decade, and a few praised Kamala Harris. The women who liked Mr. Trump said they trusted him more on the economy and inflation and were skeptical that costs would go down under Ms. Harris because they blamed the Biden-Harris administration for the state of the economy now. In such a polarized election, we were struck that one woman had switched from Mr. Trump to Ms. Harris and another seemed to be leaning that way.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, ” Organizations: Trump, Democratic, Biden, Mr Locations: America, reconvene

☆ Why working-class White women could be so decisive this fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

Those working-class White women loom as a critical, potentially even decisive, factor in Trump’s third White House bid. But while White women with a college degree have trended toward the Democrats in the presidential campaigns since then, the White women without a college degree have moved sharply in the opposite direction. She acknowledges that Trump’s alarms have resonated among working-class White women, especially older ones. Not only college-educated White women, but also the equivalent White men were much more likely than the blue-collar White women to express positive views about Harris and negative ones about Trump, Gallup found. “I think there is a lot of implicit [gender] bias with” these working-class White women, Lake said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Harris, Harris doesn’t, ”, Lake, “, Evelyn Hockstein, Reuters “, Bradley Beychok, Beychok, gee, ” Beychok, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, Bill Clinton, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Chip Somodevilla, Barack Obama’s, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Biden, – Harris, ” Lake, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, William Frey, ” Trump, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, –, Jackie Payne, Payne, pollsters, Jon McHenry, McHenry, Joe Biden, Mathews, Matthews, Vance, ” Matthews, White, Gallup Organizations: CNN, White, Electoral, Democrats, Trump, Democratic, PAC, Reuters, American, Republican, Edison Research, Pew Research, Michigan, Quinnipiac University, Marquette Law School, Metro, Dodge, Airport, Biden, New York Times, ”, Times, Gallup Poll, Gallup Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Flint , Michigan, Reading , Pennsylvania, Southern, Philadelphia, Juneau , Wisconsin, Siena, White, Wilkes, Barre , Pennsylvania

“I really do believe Erie is the top bellwether county in Pennsylvania. Certainly top five in the nation,” Fetterman said, citing its mix of urban and rural areas. Tim Walz, the vice presidential nominee, will campaign this week in Wisconsin and western Pennsylvania, the Harris official said. The Trump campaign is seeking to capitalize on a new wave of polls that indicate Harris’ edge is shrinking. Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg said Harris should work to limit the margins of defeat in rural areas.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Trump, Joe Biden, ”, Sen, John Fetterman, “, ” Fetterman, Harris, Obama, Josh Shapiro, Fetterman, “ Trump, Taylor, Biden, Governor Walz, Harris can’t, Tuesday’s, Tim Walz, Tony Fabrizio, Chris LaCivita, Susie Wiles, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, Hillary Clinton, Walz, Nikki Haley, Paulette Aniskoff, Liz Cheney, ” Aniskoff Organizations: Pennsylvania, Democratic, Republican, Erie County, Senate, Census, Gov, Trump, Sun, Harris, Black, Minnesota Gov, Congressional, GOP Locations: ERIE, Pa, Erie County, Pennsylvania, “ Pennsylvania, Erie, Lake Erie, Ohio, New York, Pittsburgh, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Detroit, Grand Rapids, Lansing, Oakland County, Milwaukee, La Crosse, Green Bay, Minnesota, Nebraska’s, Omaha, America, California

(Read more here from NBC News’ pollsters on why this poll measures registered voters and not likely voters.) That’s a change from September’s NBC News poll, which found Harris leading Trump by 5 points, 49%-44%, though that result was within the margin of error. Independent voters are essentially split in the poll, with Harris getting support from 44% of them versus 40% choosing Trump. Harris’ popularity declinesAnother significant change in the NBC News poll since September is Harris’ popularity. The NBC News poll of 1,000 registered voters, 898 of whom were reached by cellphone, was conducted Oct. 4-8.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, ” McInturff, “, doesn’t, Joe Biden, Trump’s, — Trump, Horwitt, ” Horwitt, — Harris, That’s, Biden’s, —, Harris ’, Biden Organizations: NBC News, Trump, Republicans, Harris, Democratic, Republican, NBC, Republicans —, Democrats —, Black, Independent, Biden, September’s Locations: America

☆ Lithuanians vote in parliamentary election with many looking for change despite a strong economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A recent survey by pollster Vilmorus says that the Social Democratic Party, led by Vilija Blinkevičiūtė, would top the poll, with twice as many votes as Šimonytė's Homeland Union. However no party would obtain more than 20% of the vote, forcing anyone hoping to govern to to look for alliances. "Šimonytė and the entire Homeland Union looks battered, worn out and they would better spend some time on the spare bench." In 2020, Šimonytė led her Homeland Union to victory in the parliamentary election. The runoff is Oct. 27, when the majority of single-member constituencies will vote to choose between the two leading candidates.

Persons: Ingrida, Rima Urbonaitė, Šimonytė, pollster Vilmorus, Vilija Blinkevičiūtė, Nemuno, Remigijus Žemaitaitis, Žemaitaitis, Darius Mikalauskas, Urbonaitė, Gitanas Nauseda Organizations: Social Democrats, Union, Mykolas Romeris University, Social Democratic Party, Šimonytė's, Analysts, Homeland Union, Freedom Party, Liberal Locations: Lithuania, Vilnius, Belarus, Russia, Africa, Russia's Kaliningrad, Ukraine

Even as swing-seat Republicans attempt to paint a more nuanced view of the GOP’s stance on abortion, the national party has often muddled that message. “You can’t hide from it,” said Rep. Kelly Armstrong, a Republican from North Dakota, reflecting on the lessons Republicans learned in the 2022 midterms. Hudson accused Democrats of “creating a false and distorted impression” of the GOP’s abortion position in the 2022 midterms and attacked Democrats for espousing their own “extreme” views on the issue. Since then, Chamberlain has used her own polling to help convince key swing-seat House Republicans to shift their approach. “This is a desperation move by Republicans,” said House Democrats’ campaign chief, Rep. Suzan DelBene of Washington state.

Persons: Manu Raju, ”, John Duarte, Tom Kean Jr, Matt Gunderson, Bill, ” Gunderson, Mike Levin, Melania Trump, —, Donald Trump’s, Sen, J.D, Vance of, it’s, Zach Nunn, Kelly Armstrong, “ He’s, ” Levin, Gunderson, “, Mike Johnson, he’d, Roe, Richard Hudson of, they’ve, Hudson, ” Hudson, Sarah Chamberlain, Chamberlain, ” Chamberlain, Joe Kent, Kent, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez —, Nunn, Lanon Baccam, PAC —, Levin, Suzan, Marc Molinaro, Molinaro, ” Molinaro, hasn’t, Dobbs, Duarte, ” Duarte, Trump, Juan Ciscomani, Ciscomani Organizations: House Republican, Washington CNN — Republicans, GOP, Democratic, House Democrats, Republican, Republicans, CNN, Republican Mainstreet, — Democratic, PAC —, PAC, Democrats, New York Republican, California Republican Locations: Tucson, Des Moines, Syracuse, Central Valley, New Jersey, San Diego, Mexico, Vance of Ohio, Iowa, North Dakota, New York, California, Richard Hudson of North Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, Washington, Florida, Arizona

Trump and the Republican Party have made “an unprecedented lean in and targeting of African American men,” Belcher said. Yes, it’s absolutely smart on their side.”But, he said, recent polling shows a shift among Black voters in the last month and a half toward Harris' campaign. “We want to make sure that Black men are showing up to vote in numbers that we haven’t seen since Obama. So victory and success for us will be record numbers of Black men showing up to vote in November.”He said there has been an Obama-like energy with Harris. Has anyone ever heard of Barack Hussein Obama?” Trump said as the Scranton crowd lit up with boos.

Persons: Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, Obama, Harris, Donald Trump, “, ”, Jesse Lee, —, ” Lee, Republicans — Obama, Mitt Romney, ’, Paulette Aniskoff, ” Aniskoff, ” Eric Schultz, ” Schultz, ” Harris ’, Harris ’, Obama pollster Cornell Belcher, Joe Biden, “ She’s, Belcher, Trump, ” Belcher, Quentin James, ” James, MAGA, ” Trump, decry, Barack Hussein Obama, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, ” Greenberg, Hillary Clinton Organizations: Indian, Black, Biden White, Republicans, NBC News, Obama White House, Trump, Democrats, Republican Party, Collective PAC, GOP, Democratic Locations: SCRANTON, Pa, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Scranton, America

While Harris has gained ground on stewardship of the economy, Trump still leads in most surveys about the issue, which frequently ranks as the top concern for voters. The Harris campaign and Democratic allies believe she must erode that advantage and at least fight it to a draw. Tim Walz, argued in the recent debate that Trump’s economy was weak even before the Covid-19 pandemic hit. The economic issue is still Trump’s core advantage and one of the only reasons this race is as close as it is.”Still, Harris is performing better than Biden did on the economy against Trump. “People almost always say ‘I hate him but,’ or ‘I like him and’ — ‘but he did a good job on the economy,’ ‘the economy is better under him,’” she said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Trump, Tim Walz, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Chris Kofinis, ”, Biden, ABC’s, “, ” Harris, ” Trump, Karoline Leavitt, ” Leavitt, Alyssa Cass, Anna Greenberg, ’, ’ ”, they’re Organizations: Democratic, Minnesota Gov, Trump, NBC, Biden, New York Times, Siena College, Social Security, Medicare, Affordable Locations: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada

☆ Voters think America’s economy stinks. There’s nothing that will change that before the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

In reality, the data — no matter how bad or good — probably won’t make an ounce of difference for most voters. Most voters likely don’t even follow the overall economic trends, let alone one month’s data, he said. Instead, their views on the economy are shaped by how far their dollars are stretching today compared to recent times. That’s a higher share compared to when voters were asked the same question in 2022. But the average American does not wait for news to come out to form an opinion on how the economy is functioning, she said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, “, ”, Micah Roberts, Republican pollster, Roberts, That’s, don’t, Joanne Hsu Organizations: New, New York CNN, Harvard Center, American Political Studies, Republican, NBC News, CNN, University of Michigan, Consumers Locations: New York

☆ Harris is borrowing from 'Republican playbook' as she leads Trump in new national poll
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Harris "is taking pages out of the Republican playbook," Luntz said on CNBC's "Squawk Box." "If you just listen to these general statements, she actually sounds like a moderate Republican," Luntz said. The prior Times/Siena poll in mid-September found the candidates tied at 47%. And for the first time in the Times/Siena poll, more respondents identified Harris as the candidate representing change instead of Trump. But, "They move towards Kamala Harris after that first debate," Luntz said, referring to her Sept. 10 showdown with Trump.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, pollster Frank Luntz, Harris, Luntz, Trump, Joe Biden Organizations: Democratic, Republican, GOP, Democratic National Convention, New York Times, The Times, Siena College, Trump, Republicans, Times Locations: Siena

☆ Kamala Harris sounds like a 'moderate Republican,' says Pollster Frank Luntz
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKamala Harris sounds like a 'moderate Republican,' says Pollster Frank LuntzFrank Luntz, pollster and political strategist, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss the key takeaways from the Vice President Kamala Harris’ Interview on ‘60 Minutes, state of the 2024 race, and more.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Pollster Frank Luntz Frank Luntz, Kamala Harris ’ Organizations: Republican

☆ How Harris could secure a historic winning record for Democrats in November – and still lose
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

By contrast, the modern day Democrats’ historic success at winning the popular vote hasn’t translated into nearly as much governing power for them. Over this record run of popular vote success, Democrats have already twice lost the Electoral College – and thus the White House – while winning more votes. Amazingly, Republicans won unified control of government in two elections when Democrats won a plurality of the national presidential vote: 2000 and 2016. The Democrats’ popular vote winning stretch began in 1992 with Clinton’s victory over George H.W. The highest share of the popular vote Democrats have won over this period is the 52.9% that Obama garnered in 2008.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D, Roosevelt, –, ”, Paul Pierson, Harris isn’t, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Evan Vucci, Grover Cleveland, Kyle Kondik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Biden, Lee Drutman, Dwight Eisenhower, Eisenhower, Truman, “, Pierson, Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Mark Schiefelbein, George H.W, Clinton, Al Gore, Obama, Hillary Clinton, George W . Bush, William McKinley, Teddy Roosevelt’s, William Howard Taft’s, Warren Harding, Calvin Coolidge, Herbert Hoover, Harding, Lyndon B, FDR, John Sides, Lynn Vavreck, Michael Tesler, Kondik, that’s, Drutman, Mitch McConnell, ” Drutman, Mitt Romney’s, Nikki Haley, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, centrists, Jim Kessler, Reagan, H.W, H.W . Bush, haven’t, ” Pierson, Ruffini Organizations: CNN, Democrats, Deal, TR Republicans, FDR Democrats, Electoral College –, TR, Supreme, University of California, Electoral, House, Senate, AP, Republican Senate, Democratic, University of Virginia’s Center, Politics, FDR, White, White House, “ Republicans, New America, Republicans, Republican, Dort Financial, Electoral College, Trump, GOP, kinks, Democratic Party, “ Party, The Locations: Berkeley, Butler , Pennsylvania, LBJ, Dort, Flint , Michigan, George H.W . Bush, Bush, Vermont, Arkansas, North Carolina, –, ”, H.W .

Since August, we’ve been talking weekly with a group of young voters who are torn among Donald Trump, Kamala Harris and a write-in choice, to track their changing opinions. These undecided voters are really, really troubled by Trump’s refusal to admit he lost the 2020 election (and Vance’s refusal to say that in the debate). But Tim Walz’s question to Vance at the debate — did Trump lose the 2020 election? But I don’t know if I trust Trump to be a normal person for the next three months,” said Lillian, a 27-year-old Virginian who voted for Trump in 2020 but is now undecided. These voters suggest that Trump should be more worried than Harris right now.

Persons: we’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, JD Vance —, Trump, Tim Walz’s, Vance, Kamala, ”, Lillian, Harris, Nikki Haley, —, “, Jan Organizations: Trump, Republican Locations: America, Pennsylvania

☆ Brazil votes in local elections with eyes on 2026 presidential showdown
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Traffic outside the Central Bank of Brazil headquarters in Brasilia, Brazil, on Monday, June 17, 2024. Marçal, an anti-establishment political novice who has surged in the polls with his vitriolic attacks on adversaries, ran a social media campaign with little funding and no TV time. Polls showed that candidates linked to Lula are facing trouble as the president's popularity has slipped in his third non-consecutive term. On the right, candidates associated with hard-right former President Jair Bolsonaro have fared better, even though he was banned from seeking elected office until 2030 for his unfounded attacks on Brazil's voting system. "The anti-establishment views of the right have become the trend," said political risk expert Creomar de Souza.

Persons: Ricardo Nunes, Pablo Marçal, Guilherme Boulos, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, pollster Datafolha, Lula, Jair Bolsonaro, Creomar de Souza, Andre Cesar, Bolsonaro, Nunes, Marçal Organizations: Central Bank of, Workers Party, Lula's Workers Party, Sao Locations: Central Bank of Brazil, Brasilia, Brazil, Sao Paulo, Brazil's

Michigan, which Joe Biden narrowly won in 2020, will be a crucial battleground again this November and is home to a large Arab American population. CNN has reached out to the Harris campaign for comment about the meeting. He cited growing frustration with what he described as a campaign more concerned with optics than addressing the anger and anxiety among Arab American voters. There were no leaders,” Zogby said of the Wednesday conversation. That call and other communications with the Harris campaign, and Biden’s before that, have irked the longtime Democratic pollster.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, Abbas Alawieh, Alawieh, ” James Zogby, Zogby, Phil Gordon, ”, ” Zogby, they’ve, ‘, ’ ” Abed Ayoub, Ayoub, Harris ’, Tim Walz, ” Walz, “ Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Biden, Democrats, Capitol Hill, Arab American Institute and, Democratic National Committee, Harris, “, Minnesota Gov Locations: Flint , Michigan, Lebanon, Israel, Iran, Iranian, Yemen . Michigan, Gaza, Detroit, Palestinian American, Chicago, Michigan, Palestine

☆ A trio of crises threatens to upend the race 5 weeks before Election Day
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | Erin Snodgrass | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

A trio of emergencies has all struck just five weeks ahead of the 2024 presidential election. Both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris will be forced to reckon with the crises in the final days of their campaigns. AdvertisementViolence in the Middle East, a massive labor strike among East Coast and Gulf Coast dockworkers, and the devastation of Hurricane Helene all struck with only five weeks before the 2024 presidential election. "What we've seen out of Vice President Harris is we've seen steady leadership," he said when talking about the Middle East. What matters most now is how the candidates' messaging lands with specific communities impacted by these crises, Loge said.

Persons: Hurricane Helene, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, —, Israel, Peter Loge, David Jones, Trump, Joe Biden, Randall Adkins, Adkins, Loge, it's, Sen, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Vance, Harris, Walz, Biden, she's, BRYAN R, SMITH, Jones, Grace Cary, Helene Organizations: Service, East, School of Media, Public Affairs, George Washington University, Baruch College, City University of New, Trump, University of Nebraska, Gov, Logistics, JPMorgan, Getty, Biden Locations: Hurricane, East Coast, Gulf Coast, East, Middle, Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Tehran, City University of New York, University of Nebraska Omaha, American, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Michigan

"Thanks for showing up for us," Erik Hooks, the deputy administrator at the Federal Emergency Management Agency told her. Harris plans to visit areas smacked by the storm “as soon as possible without disrupting emergency response operations,” a White House official said. In North Carolina, recent polls from CNN and Marist showed Harris and Trump tied at 49-49%. Looking to capitalize on the moment, Trump has tried to paint Harris as inept in her response to the hurricane. Then there were reports that he once asked officials if he could use a nuclear bomb to destroy a hurricane.

Persons: WASHINGTON, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Hurricane Maria, ”, Whit Ayres, ” Harris, hustling, Hurricane Helene, Erik Hooks, Harris, Trump, —, Brian Kemp, Joe Biden, Kemp, ” Kemp, Biden, “, Caitlin Legacki, You’ll, Donald Trump, Johnny Carson, aren’t, Alex Conant, George W, Bush, ” Conant, Hassan Nasrallah, ” Trump, Dorian, Nikki Fried Organizations: Republican, Hurricane, Federal Emergency Management Agency, White, Georgia Republican, Air Force, CNN, Marist, Fox, CBS News, Trump, Democratic, North, Hezbollah, Biden, House, Puerto Ricans, Florida Democratic Party Locations: Puerto, Nevada, Washington ,, Hurricane, ”, Valdosta , Georgia, Georgia, North Carolina, Asheville, Boone, U.S, Israel, Washington, Lebanon, Alabama

☆ The unexpected gender dynamic shaping the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

CNN —All signs suggest that the partisan divide over changing gender roles in society could widen even further in the 2024 election, adding a new source of uncertainty to a contest already on a knife’s edge. That was only the latest example of his campaign signaling its support for traditional gender roles. “The messaging on gender coming out of the campaign broadly is very much about reaffirming traditional roles for women and for men,” Cassese said. In PRRI polling this year, nearly half of Republicans agreed with two absolutist statements about gender roles. His problem is that most voters outside the core GOP coalition are generally comfortable with the changes in gender roles and family dynamics since the “Father Knows Best” era in the 1950s.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, “, ”, Trump, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, it’s, Rosetta Stone, Kamala Harris, ” Trump, Daniel Cox, Cox, Matthews, Joe Biden, Louis, Dobbs, Harris, ” Erin Cassese, Chip Somodevilla, Hulk Hogan, Dana White, JD Vance, ” Cassese, Robert P, Jones, –, Ipsos, homemaking, Tresa Undem, ” Undem, that’s, ” Kamala Harris, Josh Edelson, ” Cox, Trump’s, I’ll, Donald Trump, Undem, ” Matthews, ‘, ’ ” Harris, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Suburban Housewives, America, GOP, Trump, University of Delaware, Fighting, Public Religion Research Institute, Pew Research Center, AEI, Politico, “, ”, Air Force, San Francisco International Airport, Getty, Democratic, ” “, Harvard Kennedy School Institute, Politics, White Locations: Trump, New York, Pennsylvania, St, Washington ,, “, AFP, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania

☆ Trump picks up the pace: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

Plus, senior political editor Mark Murray breaks down the fault lines in our new poll of Latino voters. Leading the charge for more events is Trump himself, a campaign official said, saying Trump was supposed to have a slow Sunday but insisted instead, “We got to do something,” leading to the rally in Erie, Pennsylvania. Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump 54%-40% among registered Latino voters nationwide, the poll shows. “We are looking at Latino voters rather than a consolidated Latino community,” she added. Read more: Nnamdi Egwuonwu dives into how the Harris and Trump campaigns are targeting the increasingly fragmented Latino electorate in very different ways.

Persons: Donald Trump, Mark Murray, Harris, Katherine Doyle, Jake Traylor, Jonathan Allen, Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, lobbed, ”, “, Helene, Hurricane Helene, Matt Dixon, Adam Edelman, Megan Lebowitz, Brian Kemp hasn’t, Biden, Kemp, North Carolina’s Roy Cooper, ” Biden, Read, There’s, Democratic pollster Aileen Cardona, Arroyo, Republican pollster Micah Roberts, Telemundo’s Julio Vaqueiro, ’, — Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Trump, GOP, Labor, ”, Georgia Gov, Republican, FEMA, Democratic, NBC News, Telemundo, CNBC, Catholic, Latina, Hart Research Associates, Press Locations: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, U.S, Mexico, Erie , Pennsylvania, Butler , Pennsylvania, Valdosta , Georgia, Hurricane, Georgia, North

For all the Democratic Party energy behind Kamala Harris, she is in a dead heat in all seven swing states against Donald Trump, despite his low favorability ratings and divisive policies like tax cuts for the wealthy and opposition to abortion rights. The participants felt torn about whether America’s best days were ahead or in the past and had seen some modest improvements in the economy — especially the job and housing markets — but felt worried personally about inflation and the future. The participants reviled Mr. Trump; this group wasn’t undecided in the sense that most would swing to him. The participants didn’t know a lot about her policies on the economy, Israel and Gaza, climate change, transgender kids, housing and immigration. The tight polls in the swing states make more sense after listening to these 15 voters.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Harris, America’s, Trump, Trump’s Organizations: Democratic Party, Mr, Biden Locations: Pennsylvania , Michigan, Wisconsin, —, North Carolina, Israel, Gaza

☆ Fact check: 12 election lies Trump is using to set the stage to dispute a potential 2024 defeat
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Marshall Cohen | Daniel Dale | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +26 min

“Our elections are bad, and a lot of these illegal immigrants coming in, they’re trying to get them to vote,” Trump said. “THE FBI CAUGHT IRAN SPYING ON MY CAMPAIGN, AND GIVING ALL OF THE INFORMATION TO THE KAMALA HARRIS CAMPAIGN. Despite Trump’s claims, there is no evidence the Iranian hackers provided the Harris campaign with “all of the information” they stole. False claim: Election officials use early voting to commit fraudTrump has encouraged his supporters this year to make use of early voting. False claim: Trump won Minnesota in 2020Trump declared in March and May that he won Minnesota in the 2020 election.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, ”, Lindsay Daniels, ” Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, we’ve, it’s, Harris Trump, Biden, Biden’s, —, Mike Johnson, Elon Musk, “, US Postal Service “, General Louis DeJoy, we’re, ” DeJoy, DeJoy, Ronald Reagan, David Becker, ” Becker, Trump’s, KAMALA HARRIS, Iran’s, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Jesus, let’s, Harris —, Tim Walz, Tucker Carlson, Carlson, FactCheck.org, ‘, don’t, Jack Smith, Smith, General Merrick Garland, Garland Organizations: Washington CNN, Capitol, Democracy Fund, Trump, CNN, Biden, Democratic, Republican, Republicans, ”, US Postal Service, U.S . Postal Service, USPS, Governors, National Association of, State, Uniformed and Overseas Citizens, Trump baselessly, Election Innovation, Research, Democratic Party, FBI, US, Minnesota, Attorney, Pennsylvania Republican Party, WIN Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania’s Department of State, Rasmussen, Michigan Locations: Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Trump, IRAN, Iran, California, Minnesota, U.S, Manhattan , New York, Fulton County , Georgia

☆ Netanyahu rides wave of euphoria in Israel over Hezbollah assassinations as his political fortunes turn around
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Mick Krever | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

“It’s clear enemies of Israel,” she said, referring to those whom Israel says it is targeting. The next day, an explosion in a Tehran government guest house killed Hamas’ political leader, Ismail Haniyeh. But that scheme drew withering criticism from national security veterans and was finally quashed when Israel escalated the war in Lebanon. Jalaa Marey/AFP/Getty ImagesBroader political supportNadav Shtrauchler, a political strategist who has worked closely with Netanyahu, told CNN that bringing Sa’ar into government was intended to have three effects. Finally, he told CNN, broader political support is important as the war with Hezbollah escalates, and the possibility of a ground invasion looms.

Persons: Israel CNN —, Minister’s Benjamin Netanyahu’s, ”, Netanyahu, pollster, Dahlia Scheindlin, “, Amir Cohen, Israel, Hezbollah’s, Fu’ad, Ismail Haniyeh, Hassan Nasrallah, Gideon Sa’ar, Sa’ar, ” Netanyahu, Yoav Gallant, Gideon Sa'ar, Jalaa Marey, Nadav, Sa’ar –, –, Itamar Ben, Gvir, ” Shtrauchler, Netanyahu “, Gallant, ” Scheindlin, Benny Gantz, ” Gantz, toasting Organizations: Israel CNN, Hamas, Likud, Israel’s, CNN, Reuters, Revolutionary Guards, Getty, National, Israel Defense Forces ’ Locations: Tel Aviv, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Syria, Beirut, Tehran, Yemen, AFP, Sa’ar

Harris’ campaign is pouring more money and effort into advertising, targeted messaging and on-the-ground organizing. “One in five Latino voters in this election are going to be voting for the first time, so they’re forming their opinions about the candidates. English is predominantly our first language,” Enriquez said on a Trump campaign press call earlier this month. “A full 55% of Latino voters had not heard from anybody, not just candidates, but nonpartisan or any other type of organization. The Latino Victory Fund on Saturday kicked off a plan to bus volunteers from New York to Pennsylvania to engage with the state’s more than 400,000 eligible Latino voters.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, “ Harris, ” Mya Brady, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Clarissa Martinez De Castro, ” De Castro, they’ve, Harris ’, —, Abraham Enriquez, ”, ” Enriquez, Tony Fabrizio, ” Fabrizio, Vianca Rodriguez, “, Anuel AA, Emmanuel Gazmey Santiago, ” Trump, Nicky Jam, Nick Rivera Caminero, “ It’s, Nicky, Caminero, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Walz, ” Rodriguez, Miguel Cardona, Xavier Becerra, Rodriguez, Sen, Ben Ray Luján, Adriano Espaillat, Canelo Alvarez, Edgar Berlanga, Victor Martinez, It’s, Maca Casado, ” Harris, Liza Colón, Zayas, Anthony Ramos, Tim Walz, Hurricane Maria, Colón, “ Trump, can’t, De Castro, “ You’ve Organizations: NBC, Democrats, NBC News, Telemundo, CNBC, Latino, Republicans, ”, Trump, “ Republicans, Republican Party, Black, Puerto Ricans, Trump ., Puerto, Dominican, Let’s, Latina, Education, Human Services, New York, Harris, Fund Locations: TUCSON, Ariz, West, Pittsburgh, UnidosUS, Nevada and Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Puerto Rican, Johnstown , Pennsylvania, Trump . ” Pennsylvania, Las Vegas, Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico, New, Spanish, Douglas , Arizona, Lehigh County , Pennsylvania, Hurricane, Puerto Rico, New York

Similarly, Latino voters’ preference for which party controls Congress stands at 54% Democrats, 42% Republicans — a much narrower gap than in past years. Surveying 1,000 Latino voters nationwide in English and Spanish, the poll also finds a striking split on immigration between Latino voters who prioritize a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants and preventing discrimination, and those who focus more on border enforcement. Sixty-two percent of Latino voters believe immigration helps more than it hurts, versus 35% who think it hurts more than it helps. In this poll, 54% of Latino voters prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, versus 42% who want Republicans in charge. The NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC Latino poll of 1,000 registered Latino voters was conducted Sept. 16-23.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden’s, ”, Democratic pollster Aileen Cardona, Arroyo, Republican pollster Micah Roberts, ” Trump, Victor Gutierrez, Gutierrez, Michelle García, Matthew Delao, Fredy Arguello, Delao, Arguello, ” Arguello, Harris ’, Biden, García Organizations: ’, NBC News, Telemundo, CNBC, Democratic, Trump, NBC, Republicans —, “, Hart Research Associates, Republican, Democratic Party —, Young, Catholic Locations: New Jersey, Puerto Rican, Peruvian, Maryland, California, United States, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Spain, Cuba, Dominican Republic

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