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☆ Wall Street Week Ahead Recession fears pose challenge to energy shares after stellar year
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 energy sector (.SPNY) is up 4.2% year-to-date, slightly lagging the rise for the broader index (.SPX). Goldman Sachs, RBC Capital Markets and UBS Global Wealth Management are among the Wall Street firms recommending energy stocks. He said he is slightly overweight the energy sector, including shares of Chevron and Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD.N). But earnings are expected to decline 15% this year, the biggest drop among the 11 S&P 500 sectors. Energy companies executed $22 billion in share buybacks in the third quarter, just over 10% of all S&P 500 buybacks.

Shares of Microsoft (MSFT.O) fell 3.9% after it warned that growth in its lucrative cloud business could stall, while its PC unit continued to struggle. The S&P 500 technology index (.SPLRCT) shed 2.1% to lead declines among the 11 major sector indexes. Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O), Salesforce Inc (CRM.N) and ServiceNow Inc (NOW.N), which have substantial cloud businesses, fell between 2.5% and 4.5%. Other major growth stocks, including Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), also dropped between 1.5% and 3.0%. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 29 new highs and 16 new lows.

☆ Wall Street surges, powered by tech rebound
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-23 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

"No one wants to be watching from the sideline with a bunch a cash as the market gets away from them." All 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 were higher, with tech (.SPLRCT) up the most, jumping 2.8%. Fourth-quarter reporting season has shifted into overdrive, with 57 of the companies in the S&P 500 having posted results. Of those, 63% have delivered better than expected earnings, according to Refinitiv. The S&P 500 posted 11 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 14 new lows.

☆ Guitar Center Details Cloud Move
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( Belle Lin | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +4 min

Guitar Center Chief Technology Officer Ravi Balwada Photo: Guitar Center Inc. Such downtimes can result in losses of more than $5 million for retailers like Guitar Center, Mr. Balwada said. Guitar Center had filed for bankruptcy in November 2020, citing Covid-19-related store closures and looming debt maturity, and emerged from bankruptcy in December of that year. Guitar Center has also reduced its cost per transaction by about 1.5% and increased its online shopping conversion rates by an estimated 1.6%, Mr. Balwada said. PREVIEWMr. Balwada said he aims to more fully integrate Guitar Center’s offerings so that customers are interacting with a single, common platform that is built on Oracle’s cloud.

☆ Chip stocks tumbled in 2022. How to play the sector in the new year
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-08 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Semiconductor stocks suffered a series of blows in 2022 as demand for consumer discretionary items fell off a cliff and supply chain disruptions continued. Betting on semiconductor favorites Despite ongoing volatility, some analysts and investors are still betting on once high-flying names in 2023, even though the challenges of 2022 continue. One of those is Advanced Micro Devices, a chip stock commonly connected with PC and server chips that fell hard in 2022. Texas Instruments held up better than the rest of the semiconductor market in 2022, shedding a little more than 12%. Bailey is mostly shying away from former, rapid growth names, with small bets on ASML and Marvell for clients looking for possible higher growth.

All the major S&P 500 sector indexes rose, with consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) and technology (.SPLRCT) leading the pack with a near 3% rise. The Fed's aggressive rate hikes have hammered equities this year, with the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) shedding 19.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq tumbling nearly 33%. The CBOE Volatility index (.VIX), known as Wall Street's "fear gauge", slipped, signaling an easing in investor anxiety. Tesla shares (TSLA.O) rose 8.3% after Chief Executive Elon Musk told staff they should not be "bothered by stock market craziness". The S&P index recorded no new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 40 new highs and 117 new lows.

[1/2] A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 14, 2022. Adding to angst, New York Fed President John Williams said it remains possible the U.S. central bank raises rates more than it expects next year. The policymaker added that he does not anticipate a recession from the Fed's aggressive tightening. The simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts later in the day, known as triple witching, could cause volatility through the trading session. The S&P index recorded no new 52-week highs and 15 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 29 new highs and 267 new lows.

☆ November PPI a bit hotter than expected
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Data for October was revised higher to show the PPI gaining 0.3% instead of 0.2% as previously reported. "I don’t believe this changes anything about what the Fed was going to do on Wednesday in terms of raising rates by 50 basis points." The strength of the data was broad based with ex-food, energy, and trade also topping estimates at 0.3% MoM vs. 0.1% MoM anticipated in an acceleration from last month's 0.2% MoM print. If there’s any positive signs it’s the yearly decline.”“Bottom line is inflation is in a down-trend but month-on-month it’s hotter than expected. Then, in March I expect it to be a 25 basis points after which they’ll hold to see how all these rate hikes have played out unless something dramatic happens.

Producer prices climbed 7.4% last month on an annual basis, the Labor Department's report showed, compared with economists' expectations of a 7.2% increase. Core producer prices, which exclude volatile food and energy components, jumped 6.2% compared with estimates of a 5.9% rise. Consumer prices data for November, due Tuesday, will provide fresh clues on the central bank's monetary tightening plans. U.S. stocks had snapped a recent run of losses on Thursday after data showed initial jobless claims modestly rose last week, suggesting the labor market was deteriorating. The S&P index recorded five new 52-week highs and one new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 24 new highs and 96 new lows.

Rare protests in major Chinese cities over the weekend against the country's strict zero-COVID curbs have hit growth expectations in the world's second-largest economy. U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies such as Bilibili Inc , Alibaba Group Holding Ltd , JD.com Inc , Baidu Inc and Nio Inc , however, eked out gains, rising between 1% and 2.2%. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.47-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.95-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 74 new highs and 102 new lows. Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Shreyashi Sanyal in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta and Anil D'SilvaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

The Labor Department's producer prices index rose 8% in the 12 months through October, lower than an estimated 8.3% rise, according to a Reuters poll of economists. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the index rose 5.4% on an annual basis last month after increasing 5.6% in September. The report follows softer-than-expected consumer prices data late last week, which sparked a massive rally on hopes of a less aggressive monetary policy. "It (the data) is going to confirm people's hopes that inflation is starting to turn the corner. The S&P index recorded no new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 23 new highs and 27 new lows.

☆ Instant View: Comfortably cool U.S. CPI suggests aggressive Fed hikes taking hold
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

read moreMARKET REACTION:STOCKS: S&P 500 futures turned sharply higher and were up 3.1%BONDS: The yield on 10-year Treasury notes tumbled and was down 21.5 basis points at 3.927%; The two-year U.S. Treasury yield was down 26.6 basis points at 4.362%. The dollar index was off 1.3%COMMENTS:BRIAN JACOBSEN, SENIOR INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN“Well, that was a relief. And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.

☆ VIEW Comfortably cool US Oct CPI spells relief for Fed
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. Next, we immediately turned our attention to the CPI and that clearly came in better than expected. It rocketed the futures higher and then to top it off, weekly initial unemployment claims came in higher than expected. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.

☆ Comfortably cool US CPI suggests aggressive Fed hikes taking hold
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

read moreMARKET REACTION:STOCKS: S&P 500 futures turned sharply higher and were up 3.1%BONDS: The yield on 10-year Treasury notes tumbled and was down 21.5 basis points at 3.927%; The two-year U.S. Treasury yield was down 26.6 basis points at 4.362%. And I think the expectation now is the Fed hikes rates 50 basis points in December. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. Next, we immediately turned our attention to the CPI and that clearly came in better than expected. "Given just this data, it would allow the Fed to raise by only 50 basis points rather than 75 at the next meeting.

☆ 3 Markets rejoice after surprisingly cool inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +9 min

YUNG-YU MA, CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, BMO WEALTH MANAGEMENT, CHICAGO“The better-than-expected CPI numbers are welcome but show a lot of underlying volatility. What Powell said is that we are going to need a few more reads on good CPI data before he can say we’re done." Shelter is the main contributor to inflation and everyone should know by now that it’s a garbage indicator of where inflation is headed. ART HOGAN, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, B. RILEY WEALTH, NEW YORK"A softer than expected inflation report is acting as a tailwind for markets. “The good news is that we saw a significant sequential improvement, inflation is clearly moving in the right direction.

☆ Top investors say it's foolish to ignore the value in tech stocks right now. What to buy and when
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +25 min

Schatz of Heritage Capital looks for what he calls "high-flier" or "second-tier" technology stocks severely battered this year but pushing higher. Playing defense When looking outside of big tech, investors may also want to consider looking out for more defense-focused names. His picks include IBM, which trades at just 14 times forward earnings and offers a sticky revenue base. Schatz of Heritage Capital looks for what he calls "high-flier" or "second-tier" technology stocks severely battered this year but pushing higher. His picks include IBM, which trades at just 14 times forward earnings and offers a sticky revenue base.

The U.S. central bank is likely to raise rates by 75-basis points for the fourth straight time this year in November. "That probably won't be coming until we start to see some weakness in the labor market, which is helping fuel inflation pressures." Dow components Procter & Gamble Co and Travelers Companies Inc (TRV.N) rose 3.4% and 2.6%, respectively, after the companies posted better-than expected quarterly profit. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.56-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.92-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded two new 52-week highs and five new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 18 new highs and 100 new lows.

"That probably won't be coming until we start to see some weakness in the labor market, which is helping fuel inflation pressures." Apple Inc (AAPL.O) fell 1.3% in premarket trading after a report of iPhone 14 Plus production cut within weeks of starting shipments. Other growth stocks including Tesla Inc (TSLA.O), Amazon.com (AMZN.O), Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) fell between 0.1% and 0.2%. ET, Dow e-minis were down 134 points, or 0.44%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 21 points, or 0.56%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 57.25 points, or 0.51%. United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL.O) jumped 5.8% as the U.S. carrier posted its strongest quarterly earnings in three years.

☆ U.S. stocks extend rally, Treasury yields dip after solid earnings, economic data
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-18 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 17, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidNEW YORK, Oct 18 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks closed higher and Treasury yields dipped on Tuesday as upbeat earnings and better-than-expected factory data stoked a risk-on rally. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.34% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 1.13%. Emerging market stocks rose 1.50%. The dollar index rose 0.02%, with the euro up 0.17% to $0.9855.

☆ Wall Street extends rally, Treasury yields waver after solid earnings, economic data
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-18 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 17, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidNEW YORK, Oct 18 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks surged and Treasury yields oscillated on Tuesday as better-than-expected earnings and robust factory data fueled investors' risk appetite. Extending Monday's broad rally, all three major U.S. stock indexes were last up well over 1%, with gains across the board. Emerging market stocks rose 1.47%. read moreThe dollar index rose 0.08%, with the euro up 0.12% to $0.985.

The headline consumer price index gained at an annual pace of 8.2% in September, compared with an estimated 8.1%. Core CPI, which eliminates volatile food and fuel prices, gained 6.6% last month, compared with the estimates of a 6.5% increase. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com Register"It's saying that inflation is still not under control. The Fed will most likely continue its pace of rate increases," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager, Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. FEDWATCHThe report follows data on Wednesday that showed U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in September amid strong gains in the costs of services and goods, suggesting inflation could remain uncomfortably high for a while.

☆ Reactions: US Sept CPI fortifies hawkish case in Fed inflation battle
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

FOREX: The dollar index turned 0.44% higherCOMMENTS:KEN POLCARI, MANAGING PARTNER, KACE CAPITAL ADVISORS, BOCA RATON, FLORIDA“Not good, hello – market collapsing. With a 3.5% unemployment rate, there's no way the Fed is going to stop raising rates until after the end of the year." The Fed has got to get a handle on inflation right now. RYAN DETRICK, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, CARSON GROUP, OMAHA“This is a yet another disappointing sign that inflation continues to stay stubbornly high. There are still two more CPI prints before the December meeting with the Fed, but for now, the pivot is on pause.

The Dow and S&P 500 e-minis fell for the seventh time in eight sessions, while megacap growth names such as Amazon.com Inc , Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Microsoft Corp , Meta Platforms Inc and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) lost between 1.6% and 2.7% in premarket trading. read moreIn the previous session, the S&P 500 recorded its first gain in seven sessions. The benchmark index has lost about $9.1 trillion in market value this year and was last valued at $31.2 trillion, according to Datastream. ET, Dow e-minis were down 364 points, or 1.22%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 55 points, or 1.47%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 207.75 points, or 1.8%. read moreShare of peers United Airlines Holdings (UAL.O), Southwest Airlines (LUV.N) and Delta Air Lines (DAL.N) fell between 1.6% and 2.0%.

☆ 4 S&P 500 renews slide, hits near two-year low
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com Registerread moreMARKET REACTION:STOCKS: The S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 10.94 points, or 0.30%, to stand at 3,644.1, just above the old low at 3,636.87. Even if the inflation data gets better with the next report in mid-October, we won’t know how the Fed will react to it. There is a good case for that to happen if we get some inflation data that is a lot less scary than the last report." "(The support level for the S&P is) "a stretch at 3400, maybe 3200 and the worst case is probably 3000." But in terms of a sustained rally, I think it really takes anticipating the end of Fed rate hikes."

☆ S&P 500 falls to two-year low, bear market rally snuffed out
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-27 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 touched a session low of 3,623.29, its lowest point on an intraday basis since Nov. 30, 2020. The index has tumbled more than 12% since Powell's speech and has shown little signs of stabilizing. Many analysts had looked at 3,900 as a strong technical support level for the index. Detrick said that coordinated hikes by multiple central banks left investors wondering how hawkish they all will end up being. Robert Pavlik, Senior Portfolio Manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut said he is looking at a worst case of 3,000 for the S&P as a support level.

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