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Indexes slipped Thursday as investors priced in a higher-than-expected inflation reading. The data raises the possibility of a "no landing" scenario for the US economy. AdvertisementStocks fell on Thursday from records reached in the previous session, as traders took in a sticky inflation reading for September. September consumer price index data released on Thursday showed inflation rose 2.4% year-over-year, slightly above consensus forecasts of a 2.3% rise. AdvertisementThe core CPI reading, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs, was up 3.3% year-over-year and just above forecasts of 3.2%.
Persons: , Stocks, Hurricane Milton, Jamie Dimon, Buffett Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, CPI, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Investors, Labor Department, Here's, Insurance Locations: Hurricane
CNBC Daily Open: Stocks are dancing in September
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Andrew Kelly | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks' defiant showing this September was helped by positive sentiment generated by the U.S. Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut and upbeat economic data. Relatedly, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for September rose to a better-than-forecast 70.1 from 67.9 in August. "Inflation continues to keep its head down, and while economic growth may be slowing, there's no indication it's falling off a cliff."
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, , Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Pia Singh Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, U.S . Federal, University of, U.S . Bureau, Atlanta Locations: U.S .
CNBC Daily Open: Shiny September days for stocks
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Brendan Mcdermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks' defiant showing this September was helped by positive sentiment generated by the U.S. Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut and upbeat economic data. Relatedly, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for September rose to a better-than-forecast 70.1 from 67.9 in August. "Inflation continues to keep its head down, and while economic growth may be slowing, there's no indication it's falling off a cliff."
Persons: Brendan Mcdermid, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, , Jeff Cox, Brian Evans, Pia Singh Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, U.S . Federal, University of, U.S . Bureau, Atlanta Locations: U.S .
The yield on the 10-year Treasury added more than 3 basis points to 3.787%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.637% after rising more than 7 basis points. U.S. Treasury yields advanced Monday as investors considered the state of the economy after the latest data release and commentary from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Investors were assessing the state of the economy, including the path ahead for inflation and what this could mean for interest rates after the release of key data. The 12-month inflation rate came in at 2.2%, down from 2.5% in July and the lowest since February 2021.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Investors, PCE, Fed, PMI
FED positioning is appropriate so far, says Palmer Square's CEO
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFED positioning is appropriate so far, says Palmer Square's CEOChris Long, founder and CEO of Palmer Square Capital Management, previews U.S. PCE data.
Persons: Palmer, Chris Long Organizations: Palmer, Capital Management, PCE
The Fed's target inflation rate is 2%, so we're getting closer. In the week ahead, we get quarterly results from Club name Constellation Brands and the government's September employment report. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs This coming Friday's big update on the state of the labor market is the main market event and could have big implications for Wall Street and the path for Fed rate cuts. However, the market took the news in stride because recent weakness in the stock was already reflecting the sluggish sales environment. ET: September ADP Report Before the bell: Conagra (CAG) After the bell: Levi Strauss (LEVI) Thursday, Oct. 3 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Thursday's, Jerome Powell, we'll, We're, Levi Strauss, LEVI, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Core PCE, GE Healthcare, Costco, Constellation Brands, Wall, ADP, Pacifico, McCormick &, PMI, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Covid, Corona, New York City
Then there's the upside progress made in the third quarter without the leadership of super-cap tech – the equal-weighted S & P 500 is up nearly 9% since June 30 and the Nasdaq 100 up less than 2%. Goldman Sachs here plots the S & P 500 forward P/E at the time of each initial rate cut in a cycle. For sure, a breather would make sense for the broad market, with the S & P 500 up 11 of the past 15 days. In either case, it's a notable deviation from the story of placid strength being told by the S & P 500 itself. The median Wall Street strategist target for the S & P 500 is now well below the current index level, usually not something one sees at an ultimate market peak.
Persons: Scott Chronert, isn't, Goldman Sachs, it's, John Kolovos, Bitcoin's Organizations: Nasdaq, Citi, Fed Locations: China
We raised our price target on the stock. Best Buy was added to JPMorgan's analyst focus list after a meeting with the electronics and appliance retailer's management team. Deutsche Bank restarted coverage of Dell Technologies with a buy rating and price target of $144 a share. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Bristol Myers, Morgan Stanley, Wynn, Jim Cramer, Dan Ives, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: Club, Costco, Drug Administration, Bristol, Bristol Myers Squibb, Wynn Resorts, United Arab, Citigroup, Analysts, Walmart, Deutsche Bank, Dell Technologies, PepsiCo, HP Inc, Bank of America, HP, Wedbush Securities, Jim's, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: what's, New Jersey, Las Vegas, United Arab Emirates, China, Macau
US stocks were mixed Friday, with the Dow closing at a record high while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged lower. All three major averages achieved a three-week win streak as investors cheer a resilient economy and cooling inflation. Investors await key jobs data next week, including the September jobs report on Friday morning. But the main event is next Friday, when the September jobs report is released. AdvertisementAccording to Interactive Brokers senior economist José Torres, the jobs report could have a big impact on the broader market.
Persons: , Dow Jones, Clark Bellin, José Torres, Torres Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Service, Fed, Labor, Survey, ADP, Interactive Locations: Here's
Key Fed inflation gauge at 2.2% in August, lower than expected
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting all-items PCE to rise 0.1% on the month and 2.3% from a year ago. Excluding food and energy, core PCE rose 0.1% in August and was up 2.7% from a year ago, the 12-month number 0.1 percentage point higher than July. "All quiet on the inflation front," said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade from Morgan Stanley. Personal income increased 0.2% on the month while spending rose 0.2%. At their meeting last week, policymakers indicated a likelihood of another half percentage point in cuts this year then a full point in reductions for 2025, though markets expect a more aggressive path.
Persons: Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Stock Locations: U.S
US stocks rose after cool inflation data suggested more room for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The personal consumption expenditures price index increased 0.1% in August, matching estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Friday after cool inflation data suggested that the Federal Reserve has more room to cut interest rates. The personal consumption expenditures price index, which is considered the Fed's preferred inflation measure, increased 0.1% in August, in-line with economist estimates. On a year-over-year basis, the PCE Index rose 2.2%, slightly below economist estimates of 2.3%.
Persons: , Clark Bellin, Bellin, Sonu Varghese, that's, Varghese Organizations: Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Bellwether Wealth, Business, Carson Group, Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPCE does not change our base case for quarter-point cuts through rest of year, says Julia CoronadoCNBC's Steve Liesman and Julia Coronado, founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, join 'The Exchange' to discuss their reactions to the August PCE data.
Persons: Julia Coronado CNBC's Steve Liesman, Julia Coronado Organizations: PCE
LONDON — European markets headed for a higher open on Friday as investors weighed the outlook for the economy and looked to fresh data. European stocks had climbed Thursday, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 closing 1.25% higher after being boosted by gains in Asia-Pacific markets. Those widely continued their climb on Friday, still buoyed by China's announcement of stimulus measures earlier in the week. Economists are expecting headline PCE to have risen 2.3% on an annual basis and 0.1% from the previous month. Back in Europe, preliminary inflation data for September is expected out of France, and the latest German unemployment data is also due.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, MIB, LONDON, People's Bank of, PCE Locations: Asia, Pacific, People's Bank of China, U.S, Europe, France
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation is doing exactly what the FOMC hoped it would, says Fmr. Fed President Loretta MesterLoretta Mester, Former Cleveland Fed President, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss PCE data, Fed speak and more.
Persons: Fmr, Loretta Mester Loretta Mester Organizations: Former Cleveland Fed
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Despite Thursday's gains, Wells Fargo shares are having a tough month. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stanley Black, Decker, Wells Fargo, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, JPMorgan, Wells, Bloomberg, Fed
Stock futures traded near the flatline Thursday night as Wall Street awaits a key inflation reading. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were little changed, as were S&P 500 futures . In the fiscal fourth quarter, the warehouse retailer reported earnings of $5.29 per share on $79.70 billion in fourth-quarter revenue. The so-called PCE is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric, and policymakers and Wall Street alike are hoping for figures that show a cooling trend. The three major indexes are higher for the week, with the S&P 500 up nearly 0.8% and the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average on pace to rise 0.3%.
Persons: LSEG, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: NYSE, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Costco Wholesale, Financial, Traders Locations: U.S
Chipping away: Shares of Wells Fargo popped around 5% on signs of progress in its multiyear journey to clean up its operations and have its Federal Reserve-mandated asset cap removed. In addition, this news pushes back on the idea that Wells Fargo recently suffered a regulatory setback. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Wells, Wells Fargo, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Micron, Street, Department of Justice, AMD, Starbucks, Chipping, Reserve, Bloomberg News, Fed, Bloomberg, Currency, Club, Costco, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: China, Wells
Gold lingers near record highs, Powell's speech eyed for rate cues
  + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Gold prices were steady on Thursday, hovering close to record highs, on expectations of another big U.S. rate cut this year, although gains were limited ahead of remarks by key Federal Reserve policymakers later in the day. Bullion has risen nearly 29% so far in 2024 and hit record highs several times this year, largely fueled by monetary policy easing by major global banks and geopolitical concerns. Last Wednesday, the Fed delivered a 50-basis-point rate cut, with traders seeing a 62% chance of an additional half-percentage-point reduction in November, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Additionally, U.S. jobless claims data on Thursday and the core personal consumption expenditure index — the Fed's preferred inflation — on Friday, will be eyed for further rate cues.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Bullion, Jerome Powell, John Williams, Michael Barr, Nicholas Frappell Organizations: U.S ., KCM, Fed, New York Fed, ABC Refinery Locations: .
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigher US PCE prices could weaken the case for further rate cuts: StrategistSteve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers, highlights some of the key economic risks to keep an eye out for, and says we should be 'rooting' for moderate rate cuts to help guide a soft landing.
Persons: Steve Sosnick Organizations: Interactive
Markets are bracing for the latest GDP revision, jobless claims, and PCE inflation data in the coming days. Traders are still pricing in considerable rate cuts well into next year, per the CME FedWatch tool. AdvertisementUS stocks were mostly lower on Wednesday, ending a record-setting streak of gains as traders looked ahead to coming economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 300 points and the S&P 500 slipped from record highs, ending the day about 0.2% lower. Traders are still expecting steep rate cuts over the course of the next year.
Persons: , Scott Wren, Wells Organizations: Traders, Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, US, Micron Technologies, Micron Locations: Wells Fargo, East, Ukraine
The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 3.533% after rising by just over one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher on Wednesday as investors weighed economic data and considered the state of the economy. Economic data points will therefore be watched closely in the coming days and weeks as concerns about a potential slowdown of the economy linger. Later this week, investors will also hear from various Fed officials including Chairman Jerome Powell. At the end of the week, key economic data in form of the latest personal consumption expenditures price index is also set to be published.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, PCE Locations: U.S
CNBC Daily Open: Recession concerns still linger
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In terms of financial markets, financial firm BTIG sees a possible pullback. Last week's burst of euphoria was mostly driven by anticipation and celebration of the Fed's rate cut. Markets this week will look at the hard data coming out, like the preliminary measure of PMI, consumer confidence and PCE report.
Persons: QCOM, Brendan McDermid, It's, Piper Sandler, Nancy Lazar, Lazar, BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, , Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Friday, FedEx, Nasdaq, Dow, PMI Locations: New York City, U.S
Here’s what could knock the stock market’s momentum
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The S & P 500 also reached an all-time high last week and posted a weekly advance of 1.4%. Here's a look: Valuations The S & P 500 trading near record highs is a double-edged sword, as valuations are also at historically high levels. "The S & P 500 is already trading a little above where it deserves to at year-end 2024." Scott Chronert of Citi also noted that six of the 11 S & P 500 sectors have "valuation composites near/at top decile levels." The S & P 500 has averaged a 2.3% loss in September over the past 10 years, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Stocks, it's, Lori Calvasina, Scott Chronert, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Gonzalo Asis, RBC's Calvasina, Citi's Chronert Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, NBC, Presidential, PCE, Bank of America
As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: It's, Dow, Jim Cramer's takeaways, Cowen, Bernstein, Davidson, Dr Pepper, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Micron, Jefferies, Costco, Nasdaq, Intel, Qualcomm, Apollo Global Management, JPMorgan, Nike, Dow, General Motors, Microsoft, Club, Holdings, Bank of America, Citi, Apple, Barclays, Constellation Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: San Francisco
Stephanie Keith | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In terms of financial markets, financial firm BTIG sees a possible pullback. Last week's burst of euphoria was mostly driven by anticipation and celebration of the Fed's rate cut. Markets this week will look at the hard data coming out, like GDP figures for the second quarter, consumer confidence and PCE report.
Persons: Stephanie Keith, It's, Piper Sandler, Nancy Lazar, Lazar, BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, , Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Friday, FedEx, Nasdaq, Dow Locations: New York City
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