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U.S. bank shares dropped on Tuesday after ratings agency Moody's downgraded credit ratings of several U.S. regional lenders and placed some banking giants on review for potential downgrade. It warned lenders will find it harder to make money as interest rates remain high, funding costs climb and a potential recession looms. The warning caught some investors off guard. On Tuesday, SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF's (KRE.P) options-based 30-day implied volatility rose to 31.1%, up from 28.9% touched on Monday. "In the near term, there are reasons for caution about banks in general and we have made changes where appropriate," he said.
Persons: SPDR, Steve Sosnick, There's, David Wagner, David Smith, Brian Mulberry, Michelle Price, Diane Craft Organizations: Moody's Corporation, P Bank, Regional Banking, Silicon Valley Bank, Banking, Interactive, Alert, Aptus Capital, Autonomous Research, Analysts, Zacks Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S, Silicon
Moody's warning this week about the credit worthiness of more than two dozen banks has created a buy-the-dip opportunity in shares of regional lenders, according to JPMorgan. The credit rating agency downgraded the ratings of 10 regional banks on Monday evening, and signaled concern for about 17 more. But JPMorgan analyst Steven Alexopoulos said in a note to clients on Wednesday that those concerns are already priced in to bank stocks, and regional bank stocks now have upside from current levels. That means that many bank stocks look cheaper today than before the downgrades, Alexoloulos said. JPMorgan's top picks among regional banks include New York Community Bancorp.
Persons: Steven Alexopoulos, Moody's, Alexoloulos, JPMorgan's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Silicon Valley Bank, First, Pinnacle Financial, Pinnacle, Regional Banking, New York Community Bancorp, Western Alliance Locations: Silicon, New
Wells Fargo Investment Institute is getting more bullish on Amazon as the e-commerce retailer's Amazon Web Services and North American retail segments "near inflection points." Wells Fargo Investment Institute's focus list aims to beat the S & P 500 over a roughly one-year period on a total return basis. AMZN YTD mountain Shares have rallied more than 65% this year Amazon shares have rallied more than 65% this year. "More importantly, we see re-acceleration in growth, even a modest one, in core AWS functions over the next few years as a key catalyst for the stock," Pfeffer wrote. Wells Fargo is also gaining more confidence in Amazon's retail business in North America, as it builds up regional utilization and benefits from lower transportation rates and shipping costs.
Persons: Lawrence Pfeffer, Wells Fargo's, it's, Pfeffer, Wells Fargo, Michael Bloom Organizations: Investment Institute, Web Services, O'Reilly Automotive, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Amazon Locations: Wells, American, Wells Fargo, North America
Moody's downgraded the credit of 10 small regional banks by one notch apiece, while 17 other banks were either given negative outlook or had their rating put under review. In a note, Moody's cited many of the concerns around interest rate risk that led to the collapse of several regional banks earlier this year. Among the banks that were downgraded on Tuesday, shares of M&T Bank and Webster Financial fell more than 3% each. Shares of PNC Financial and Citizens Financial Group , which were given negative outlooks by Moody's, fell about 4%. That puts the fund on track for its worst day since May 4, when the fund fell nearly 5.5%.
Persons: Moody's Organizations: T Bank, Webster Financial, PNC Financial, Citizens Financial Group, Regional Banking
JPMorgan's top stock picker Marko Kolanovic says investors should stay underweight equities. But Kolanovic said investors are ignoring the risks that could still lead to a recession. These include the small chance that central banks in developed markets around the world would ease back on interest rates anytime soon. Given this, the strategist advised investors remain underweight equities, particularly in riskier growth stocks. "As such, we maintain an overall defensive stance in our model portfolio, and continue to be UW equities and credit vs. OW in cash and commodities," he said.
Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Moody's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Reserve, Regional Banking
Look at the Treasury yield curve and The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, says Rosenberg, who called the 2008 recession. He added: "Even if we could argue about a recession or a soft landing, you have Nirvana priced into the stock market as an asset class right now." 7 places for returns as a recession loomsThe first place Rosenberg said he's bullish on is the Treasury market. Treasury bills have durations of one year or less, while Treasury bonds have durations of 20 years or more. The iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ) is one way to invest in Japanese stocks.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Treasurys, Rosenberg, there's, he's, bullish, underperformance, Warren Buffett Organizations: Treasury, Conference, CNN, Rosenberg Research, Treasury Bond ETF, Regional Banking, Vanguard Utilities, Real, Fidelity MSCI Communication Locations: U.S, Japan
Two western African states said that they would join forces to defend Niger, where soldiers claimed to have seized power in a coup last week, if a major regional bloc carried through on a threat to intervene militarily unless the ousted president is returned to office. The joint statement late Monday by the two states, Mali and Burkina Faso, was a stinging rebuke to the regional bloc, the Economic Community of West African States, or ECOWAS. On Sunday, the bloc vowed to take “all measures necessary,” including possible military action, to force the reinstatement of Niger’s president, Mohamed Bazoum. Mali and Burkina Faso, themselves ruled by military governments that took power in coups, said that any move against Niger would be considered a “declaration of war” against their own countries. It also raised the prospect that the crisis in Niger, where about 2,600 American and French troops are stationed, could spread into a wider regional conflict.
Persons: Mohamed Bazoum Organizations: Economic, West Locations: Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso, West African States
Counting of votes from over 233,000 Spaniards living abroad handed one seat in Madrid to the PP that had been awarded to the Socialists in the initial vote count, the PP and Socialists said on Saturday. To form a government, an absolute majority is needed in a parliamentary vote in the 350-seat Congress. This meant Sanchez only had to persuade Junts to abstain, to be voted back into power with a simple majority. Alberto Nunez Feijoo, the PP leader, is still determined to try to form a right-wing coalition. Sumar leader Yolanda Díaz called on all "progressive forces" to support Sanchez.
Persons: Pedro Sanchez, Juan Medina, Sunday's, Esquerra, Junts, Sanchez, EH, Vox, Pablo Simon, Alberto Nunez Feijoo, Feijoo, Pedro Rollan, Sumar, Yolanda Díaz, Graham Keeley, Alvise Armellini, Frances Kerry Organizations: Socialist, REUTERS, Spain's Socialists, Reuters, ERC, Socialists, Vox, Union of, Canarian Coalition, Basque Nationalist Party, Galician Nationalist Bloc, UPN, Canaries, PP, Carlos III University, Italian, Repubblica, Thomson Locations: Madrid, Spain, BARCELONA, Catalan, Basque, Junts, Catalonia, Spanish, Rome
PARIS, July 20 (Reuters) - France's post-Brexit success in attracting banks from London to Paris has exceeded expectations and is increasingly showing up in the country's balance of payments, the central bank said on Thursday. Those efforts are paying off as a number of Wall Street banks like Bank of America or JPMorgan have bulked up in Paris, setting up regional trading hubs in the French capital. "Paris' post-Brexit success has been spectacular, it's recently been picking up and exceeds our expectations," Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau told journalists as he presented an annual report on France's balance of payments. The trend is even showing up in balance of payments data with financial firms relocated from London to Paris contributing 1.5 billion euros ($1.7 billion) to France's financial services surplus last year, the central bank said. Reuters Graphics($1 = 0.8921 euros)Reporting by Leigh Thomas; Editing by Angus MacSwanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Leigh Thomas, Angus MacSwan Organizations: Bank of America, JPMorgan, Bank of France, Financial, CMA, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: London, Paris, Frankfurt, Amsterdam, Dublin, France
July 19 (Reuters) - Three major U.S. regional banks met or beat profit expectations on Wednesday as higher interest rates allowed them to charge more for loans, while deposits stabilized, sending shares across the sector up. Investors have been anxiously awaiting regional bank second quarter earnings as they look for reassurance that the turmoil that rocked the sector earlier this year has finally passed. M&T Bank Corporation (MTB.N) and Citizens Financial Group (CFG.N) both beat Wall Street estimates from charging clients higher interest rates after the U.S. Federal Reserve raised borrowing costs to rein in stubborn inflation. The KBW Regional Bank Index (.KRX) and S&P regional bank index (.SPCOMBNKS) were each gaining nearly 2% in line with the broader market. M&T's deposits rose to $162.1 billion from $159.1 billion at the end of the first quarter, but fell about 4.9% year-on-year.
Persons: NII, Dennis Dick, Michelle Price, Manya Saini, Jaiveer Singh Shekhawat, Johann Cherian, Chibuike, Nick Zieminski Organizations: T Bank Corporation, Citizens Financial, Wall, U.S . Federal Reserve, Citizens, US Bancorp, Big, Regional, Zions Bancorp, Truist, Fifth Third Bancorp, Bank, Triple D, Thomson Locations: Big U.S, Silicon, Bengaluru, New York
Morgan Stanley — Shares of the James Gorman-led bank jumped more than 6% after the firm posted second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analysts' expectations. Bank of America – Bank of America shares rose nearly 4% after the company reported second-quarter financial results. Bank of New York Mellon — Shares rose more than 4% after Bank of New York Mellon reported second-quarter revenue and profit that beat Wall Street's expectations. PNC Financial — Shares gained 2.6% after PNC Financial reported second-quarter earnings that topped Wall Street's earnings expectations but came in slightly short on revenue. The Swiss pharmaceutical firm reported second-quarter earnings that topped estimates, according to StreetAccount.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley —, James Gorman, Morgan Stanley's, Refinitiv, PacWest, Bernstein, UnitedHealth, Pinterest, intraday, Masimo preannounced, Stifel, Lockheed Martin, Macheel, Sarah Min, Yun Li, Alex Harring, Michelle Fox Organizations: Bank of America – Bank of America, Regional Banking, Western Alliance, FB Financial, Verizon, AT, Bank of New York Mellon, PNC, PNC Financial, Novartis — U.S, Novartis, Sandoz, Masimo, Lockheed Locations: San Francisco , California, Swiss, FactSet
The new corporate earnings season revs up next week, and some stocks could do well on the back of their reports. The regional bank has beat earnings expectations in 70% of its past reports and typically advances 1.7% on the back of a report. Blackstone Investment firm Blackstone also made the list, with the company beating expectations 70% and 79% of the time for earnings and revenue, respectively. Horton , which is also set to report Thursday, has beat earnings expectations 76% of the time and sales forecasts 70%. The company, which reports Thursday after the bell, has beat earnings and sales expectations 87% and 83% of the time, respectively.
Persons: revs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, they've, Wells, Jared Shaw, WAL, Blackstone, D.R, Horton D.R, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert Organizations: Bank of America, Netflix, United, Investors, CNBC Pro, Investment, Western Alliance, Western Alliance Bancorp, Regional Banking, Blackstone Investment, Truland Locations: Horton, Friday's
Lucid Group — Lucid shares jumped 9% after the electric vehicle maker said it will provide powertrain and battery systems to British luxury automaker Aston Martin. Davidson upgraded the stock to buy from neutral, noting WSFS could benefit from a higher-for-longer interest rate environment. UBS upgraded the pharmaceutical stock to buy from neutral, saying the potential for other vaccines for the company isn't fully appreciated by investors. Alphabet — Shares of Alphabet fell 1.8% after UBS downgraded the tech giant to neutral from buy. Tesla — The electric vehicle maker dropped 2.8% after Goldman Sachs downgraded Tesla to neutral from buy.
Persons: Aston, Davidson, WSFS, Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Jesse Pound Organizations: Aston Martin, D.A, Regional Banking, Pfizer, Cruise, Moderna — Moderna, UBS, Barclays Locations: Royal Caribbean
A major financial services CEO warns the economy hasn't fully absorbed higher interest rates yet. "The bite of these higher rates is gaining traction almost every day." Michaud delivered the call hours after the Federal Reserve decided to leave interest rates unchanged. According to Michaud, the regional bank rally is a short-term bounce. He sees a shift from adjusting to the new interest rate environment to credit quality in the second half of this year.
Persons: Thomas Michaud, there's, CNBC's, " Michaud, Michaud, Banks, haven't Organizations: Federal Reserve, Regional Banking
A small bank based in West Virginia has positioned itself as a key figure in the online betting world, and that first-mover advantage should have staying power, according to JPMorgan. "We find that the MVB team has been forming an ecosystem around the bank over the past five years serving the online gaming industry (which was legalized at the federal level in 2018). MVB Edge Ventures is a subsidiary of the bank, and it provides management oversight for the firm's tech investments. JPMorgan first initiated coverage of MVB with an overweight rating on Feb. 27 , before the failure of Silicon Valley Bank. MVBF YTD mountain Shares of MVB Financial have performed better than many other regional bank stocks in 2023.
Persons: Steven Alexopoulos, MVB, that's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, MVB, Edge Ventures, MVB Edge Ventures, Silicon Valley Bank, Regional Banking Locations: West Virginia, Silicon, MVB
Investors could have reason to warm up to regional bank stocks. Over the past month, the regional bank fund has added nearly 17%. While the KRE is still well below its crisis-era lows from early May, some regional bank stocks seem to have swayed analysts that the worst is behind them. KRE 1M mountain The regional bank ETF over the past month. While the bank felt the pressure from the broader regional banking crisis, analysts aren't fleeing the stock.
Persons: aren't Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, Regional Banking, CNBC, JPMorgan, FactSet, National, Western Alliance, WAL, Citizens Financial, Bancorp Locations: Republic
The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) , brought in nearly $1.2 billion in cash over the past week, according to FactSet. Investors bought into the iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (USHY) . The interest in high yield debt comes ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting. "High yield's kind of in a sweet spot right now. The spread between high yield and safer debt could widen in coming months if the labor market continues to weaken, but the high yield market appears to be of better quality than in previous economic cycles, Silapachai said.
Persons: It's, Komson Silapachai, Silapachai Organizations: Investors, Sage Advisory, P Regional, Corporate Locations: Austin , Texas
China objects to NATO labelling it a "threat" - embassy
  + stars: | 2023-06-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
SHANGHAI, June 3 (Reuters) - China "strongly opposes" NATO repeatedly labelling it a threat, China's embassy to Norway said on Saturday, referring to remarks by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg during a recent visit to the Scandinavian country. "China urges NATO to stop stirring up regional conflicts and creating divisions and unrest," the embassy said in a statement. Stoltenberg had accused China of threatening neighbouring countries and suppressing countries that do not comply with it, according to the embassy release. "It is clear to the international community who the real threat to regional and global peace is." Reporting by Shanghai Newsroom; editing by Robert BirselOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jens Stoltenberg, Stoltenberg, Robert Birsel Organizations: NATO, Shanghai, Thomson Locations: SHANGHAI, China, Norway, Asia
US house prices rose modestly in the first quarter, said the FHFA on Tuesday. The agency's House Price Index reached just under 400, hitting an all-time high with figures tracking back to 1991. "However, year over year prices in many western states have started to decline for the first time in over ten years." Over the last four quarters, house prices rose in 78 of the top 100 largest metropolitan areas, fronted by a 14% rise for the Miami area. The start of the spring selling season showed house price gains in March in a separate S&P CoreLogic report released Tuesday.
Persons: , Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Anju Vajja, Black Knight, San, FHFA Organizations: Service, Federal Housing Finance Agency, FHFA's Research, Statistics, of Columbia, Pacific, Federal Reserve, Black, Nationwide Locations: . Utah, Nevada, Washington, Idaho , Oregon, Colorado, West Coast, San Francisco, Seattle, Miami, San Mateo, Redwood City , California
Insiders are snapping up regional bank stocks following the crisis in the sector, according to a Raymond James analysis. During the period between March 10 and May 15, shares purchases totaled 2.3 million shares, while shares sold reached 335,000 shares. Since the first quarter of 2005 to the first quarter of 2023, only seven quarters notched positive net insider transactions. It's also the greatest number of net insider transactions since the end of 2009. Raymond James recently reiterated an outperform rating on the stock, citing its rising earnings power, though it also lowered its price target to $26.
CNBC Daily Open: Farewell for now, default fears
  + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday. PacWest, another regional bank, surged 21.7%, while the broader SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rose 7.4%.
Walmart — Shares of the big box retailer rose slightly after the company reported an earnings and revenue beat for the fiscal first quarter. However, its adjusted earnings guidance for the fiscal second quarter came in lower than expectations. Bath & Body Works — The retailer's shares jumped more than 9% after its fiscal first quarter earnings topped expectations. Take-Two Interactive — Shares surged almost 13% and hit a new 52-week high following the company's earnings announcement Wednesday. To be sure, the company's guidance for bookings in the first-quarter and full-year fell below Wall Street's expectations.
Sale signs inside the Bath and Body Works store in Edmonton. Walmart also reported stronger-than-expected adjusted earnings and revenue, according to Refinitiv. Take-Two Interactive Software — The video game company surged 14% after posting better-than-expected revenue for its fiscal fourth quarter. Bath & Body Works — The retailer of body care and fragrance saw its stock surge nearly 10% in premarket after the company posted stronger-than-expected earnings and revenue for the latest quarter. Bath & Body Works also raised its full-year earnings guidance.
CNBC Daily Open: Goodbye for now, default fears
  + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. PacWest, another regional bank, surged 21.7%, while the broader SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rose 7.4%. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
U.S. stock futures were flat on Wednesday night as Wall Street hoped that the debt ceiling crisis would soon see a resolution. Futures linked to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures declined by 0.05% and 0.02%, respectively. Investors' sentiment seemed to rise after Washington leaders indicated that they are moving forward on debt ceiling talks. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's head of equity strategy Chris Harvey was skeptical that progress has been made in Washington on the debt ceiling talks. We think people are getting too excited about the debt ceiling in the short term.
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