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☆ What the August jobs report means for the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-02 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Washington, DC CNN —The long-robust US job market is continuing to cool, according to several economic indicators released this week. It’s clear the labor market has cooledThere are plenty of signs that the job market has continued to weaken and that momentum is largely expected to continue in the months ahead. The August jobs report showed that average hourly earnings grew at a monthly pace of just 0.2%, or 4.3% annually. “Pretty much everything in the labor market has cooled back to the pre-pandemic temperature,” Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, told CNN. It’s also possible the job market holds steady if recession fears continue to fade, allowing businesses to address stubborn staffing shortages.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, “, ”, Steve Wyett, ” Julia Pollak, we’ve, Nick Bunker, ” Bunker, It’s, they’ve, ” Pollak Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Kansas City, Labor, BOK Financial, Fed, of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, CNN, Commerce Department, US, Banks Locations: Washington, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ The US jobs market stayed strong in August
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Truck transportation also saw employment fall by 36,700.Leisure and hospitality saw a job gain of 40,000 from July to August. From wage growth to an increase in labor force participation, various data points suggest the US labor market is still strong. There were 8.8 million job openings in July after 9.2 million in June, according to new Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey or JOLTS data released by BLS earlier this week. "We expect this labor market rebalancing to continue," Powell said. "Evidence that the tightness in the labor market is no longer easing could also call for a monetary policy response."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Lydia Boussour, EY, Boussour, Nick Bunker, Bunker, it's, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Jonathan Fisher, Fisher, Powell Organizations: payrolls, Service, SAG, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, BLS, North America, Washington Center for Equitable Growth Locations: Wall, Silicon, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Amid a return-to-office push, it's still possible for workers to get flexible schedules. 'Think about it like a salary negotiation,' expert says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Most workers are hoping that flexible Covid-era work policies will stay in place. A new survey from Bankrate found 89% of full-time workers, or those looking for full-time work, are in favor of remote and hybrid work or four-day work weeks. The results of the survey, which was fielded in July, come as a remote work reckoning may be brewing. Most sectors are more likely to advertise remote work than they were before the pandemic, Bunker said. But the sectors most likely to be open to remote work then are more likely to advertise those kinds of positions now, he said.

Persons: Bankrate, —, Goldman Sachs, Nick Bunker, Bunker Organizations: Finance

☆ The average job applicant says they won't accept a role paying less than about $80,000 a year
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Lakshmi Varanasi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The reservation wage is the lowest salary at which a job applicant will accept a new role. A recent survey found that the average reservation wage has risen to nearly $80,000. That's a record high — and shows that while the job market has slowed, workers may still have the upper hand. The results, which reflect the responses of 1,000 people nationwide, show that the average reservation wage — the lowest wage at which someone would accept a new job — was $78,645 as of July. That's an almost $6,000 jump from the average reservation wage reported in July 2022.

Persons: That's, —, It's, Nick Bunker, that's, Yolanda M, Owens, she's Organizations: Service, SCE Labor Market Survey, North America Locations: Wall, Silicon, New York

☆ US job growth slowing but labor market still tight
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The Labor Department's employment report on Friday also showed job growth in May and June was revised lower, potentially suggesting demand for labor was slowing in the wake of the Federal Reserve's hefty interest rate hikes. "We haven't approached that fork in the road yet, but there is still a strong possibility that the labor market can rebalance without a recession." The job growth in June was the weakest since December 2020. With the labor market still tight, wages continued to rise at a solid clip. "The Fed will take comfort from moderating job growth, but will continue to fret about the tight labor market," said Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto.

Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Nick Bunker, Sal Guatieri, Lucia Mutikani, Diane Craft, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Labor, Data, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Employment, Treasury, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, Toronto

☆ Job growth slowed in July after a red-hot labor market in the first half of the year
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Madison Hoff | Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Private education and health services saw a one-month job gain of 100,000, with healthcare and social assistance seeing a gain of 87,100. Leisure and hospitality, construction, and financial activities are some of the other industries that saw job growth. Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, told Insider Friday's report from BLS showed a slowing labor market but one that's "still very solid." Different data points before Friday's jobs report suggest that the labor market is still a strong jobs market for workers and job seekers. Pollak described the labor market as sustainable, and Bunker described it as robust. So this is still a strong, resilient, robust labor market."

Persons: payrolls, Daniel Zhao, Julia Pollak, Pollak, it's, Nick Bunker, Tuesday's, Bunker, Labor Julie Su, we're Organizations: payrolls, Service, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Friday's BLS, North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Locations: Wall, Silicon, Friday's

☆ Job openings, layoffs declined in June in a positive sign for the labor market
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Job vacancies and layoffs edged lower in June, according to a Labor Department report Tuesday that points to a stable labor market. Employment openings totaled 9.58 million for the month, edging lower from the downwardly revised 9.62 million in May, the department said in its monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Along with that, the JOLTS report said layoffs nudged down to 1.53 million, after totaling 1.55 million in May. "The pace of the current slowdown may be too gradual for many policymakers at the Federal Reserve, as job openings are only gradually declining. There are now about 1.6 job openings per every available worker, according to Labor Department data.

Persons: Rachel Sederberg, Nick Bunker, Quits Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Federal, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

While recent inflation data was encouraging, he said, "one data point does not make a trend." Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics'STRANGE BUSINESS CYCLE'Until the Fed declares its inflation war at an end, however, economists and market analysts say risks to a benign outcome will remain. "At 3.5%, July won't be the last time the Fed hikes," Furman said in an interview. Ed Al-Hussainy, senior rates analyst at Columbia Threadneedle, meanwhile, is skeptical that the impact of rapid rate hikes has already been absorbed. "To say we have the same economy with real rates at negative 2% as we do at positive 2%, I don't buy it."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Waller, Thomas Barkin, Nick Bunker, Jason Furman, Obama, Furman, Ed Al, Columbia Threadneedle, Raphael Bostic, Austan Goolsbee, shouldn't, Goolsbee, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics, Richmond Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Fed, Harvard University, White, Columbia, Atlanta Fed, Chicago Fed, CNBC, Thomson Locations: U.S

☆ The economy is doing exactly what we need to avoid a recession and keep booming
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Recent data reveals inflation is cooling, the labor market is slowing, and a recession may not come after all. Inflation data released Wednesday showed that inflation is coming down fast. The Fed may be pleased by this data, though a rate hike may still be on the table later this month. Other measures also show that the job market is still very healthy. The Fed may be happy to see slower job growth and the prime-age labor force participation rate rising, Bunker said.

Persons: doesn't, Julia Pollak, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Jerome Powell, Bill Adams, Pollak, " Pollak, Powell Organizations: Service, Labor, Survey, North America, Federal, Consumer, CPI, National Federation of Independent Business, Congress, Fed, Comerica Bank, Comerica Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ You can use A.I. to land a job, but be careful: 'It can backfire,' career expert Suzy Welch says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"Nothing is guaranteed, but the U.S. labor market continues to point toward a slower, but more sustainable pace of economic growth," Bunker said. "In many ways, the labor market of 2021 and 2022 was an anomaly and isn't really a good baseline for understanding what a sustainable and healthy labor market looks like," said Bunker. These videos are often still reviewed by recruiters and hiring managers, Rose said. "AI doesn't know your experience and ... the certain specific anecdotes that highlight why you're a great candidate," Rose said. Ask hiring managers how A.I.

Persons: Nick Bunker, Bunker, Will Rose, Rose, Welch Organizations: CNBC, New Locations: U.S, York City, New York City

☆ The job market slowed down a bit in June, with 209,000 jobs added
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US jobs market saw less jobs added in June than in May. The unemployment rate fell from 3.7% in May to 3.6% in June. After the unemployment rate soared from 3.4% in April to 3.7% in May, the rate dropped. June's unemployment rate was 3.6%, equivalent to the forecast of 3.6%. The Bureau of Labor Statistics published new job openings and quits data on Thursday.

Persons: —, Mark Hamrick, Bankrate, that's, Nick Bunker Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Labor Statistics, North America

☆ Job Openings Dipped in May, a Sign of Continued Cooling
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( J. Edward Moreno | More About J. Edward Moreno | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The NewsJob openings fell in May while the number of workers quitting their jobs increased, the Labor Department reported Thursday. There were 9.8 million job openings in May, down from 10.3 million in April, according to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, known as JOLTS. The report shows that the labor market is maintaining ample opportunities for workers, but it is losing momentum. The quits rate, which is often used to gauge a worker’s confidence in the job market, increased in May, particularly in the health care, social assistance and construction industries. A rise in quitting often signals workers’ confidence that they will be able to find other work, often better paying.

Persons: ”, Nick Bunker Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Survey

American workers are still quitting their jobs, per Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' newly released monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey shows that job openings are still high, even though they dropped slightly from April. Plus, the number of workers quitting their jobs actually grew in May, all while layoffs stayed near historic lows. It signals a labor market where workers — especially blue-collar workers — still feel comfortable leaving their jobs, with plenty of opportunities awaiting them, including remote and hybrid options. The sector — which houses, in part, tech workers — was one industry among a handful that saw a dip in its quit rate.

Persons: —, Nick Bunker, it's, Bunker, Joanne Hsu, Hsu, There's Organizations: Labor Statistics, Service, Privacy, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, University of Michigan, Consumers

June 21 (Reuters) - Generative AI-related job postings in the United States jumped about 20% last month as companies look to harness a technology that has been widely touted as the next big growth driver, according to data from job portal Indeed. The May figure, at 204 per million job postings, was also more than double the 2021 level and underscored the buzz around AI, sparked by the runaway success of OpenAI's ChatGPT. Data scientist roles made up 5% of the AI job postings on Indeed's U.S. platform, while roles such as software engineer, machine learning engineer and data engineer were also in demand. Indeed's data showed that searches for generative AI jobs jumped to 147 per million total jobs searched in May from virtually zero a year earlier. Its U.S. website showed generative AI job listings from companies such as Meta Platforms (META.O), Apple (AAPL.O), Tiktok, Pinterest (PINS.N) and Amazon.com (AMZN.O).

Persons: OpenAI's, Nick Bunker, Chavi Mehta, Anil D'Silva Organizations: U.S, Amazon.com Inc, Apple, Reuters, Thomson Locations: United States, Bengaluru

☆ The job market enters a new phase as the Great Resignation ends
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Amid a tight labor market, many were also able to find a better job, with better pay. The combination of a tight labor market and structural change from the pandemic catalyzed job reshuffling over the past three years, he said. The BLS shows the rate of job growth is up in the construction, manufacturing, health, education and food services industries. Despite the apparent end of the Great Resignation, the job market continues to hum along; the US economy added 339,000 jobs in May. The fact that quit rates are down indicates that there’s low confidence in the job market,” Kriegel said.

Persons: ”, Nicholas Bloom, that’s, “, Bloom, Nick Bunker, Jessica Kriegel, ” Kriegel, Bunker, “ There’s, there’s, ” Bunker Organizations: Los Angeles CNN, Federal Reserve, Stanford University, Bureau of Labor Statistics bolsters, Labor, BLS, Federal Reserve Bank of, Conference Board, Bed, Stanford, Workers, Gallup, Bank of America, Georgetown University Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

☆ Why the new bull market is headed for more Fed stress after a rate hike pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-11 | by ( Natalie Rose Goldberg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

And even if the Fed does pause, Ferguson says it doesn't mean that more rate hikes aren't coming over the rest of the year. He isn't alone in the view that a Fed pause won't last long. This view is underpinned by, among other things, a labor market that continues to be tight. Others see recent cooling the labor market as a signal the Fed may soon have more need to moderate its rate hike strategy. "The broad picture here is the labor market is cooling in a sustainable way.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Roger Ferguson, That's, Ferguson, CNBC's, isn't, Michelle Girard, Steve Liesman, Dennis Lockhart, Lockhart, Fed's, Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, — Ferguson, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Jerome Powell's, Rucha Vankudre, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon —, Solomon, Goldman, Frederic Mishkin, it's, Mishkin, we've Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, NASDAQ, Bank of America, Fed, NatWest Markets, Atlanta Fed, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Conference Board, Labor, Lightcast, Former Fed, Bank of Canada, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: U.S

☆ The U.S. economy keeps skirting recession, but consumer sector might slowly be splitting apart
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The signals that economists lean on to gauge the odds of a recession are contradictory at the moment. The yield curve remains deeply inverted, and manufacturing surveys have been flashing recession signals for months. On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs lowered its odds of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months to just 25%. watch nowBut can the strong consumer sector continue to hold up as the pandemic-era savings fade away and interest rates remain elevated? Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Dollar General's stock fell sharply after the retailer cut its full-year outlook.

Persons: Mike Blake, Goldman Sachs, Marko Kolanovic, Lauren Goodwin, Goodwin, It's, Nick Bunker, they're, Bunker Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, PMI, JPMorgan, New York Life Investments, Target, American Airlines, Labor, Meta, Disney, North America Locations: Carlsbad , California, U.S

☆ US employers boost hiring in May; unemployment rate jumps to 3.7%
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The increase in the unemployment rate from a 53-year low of 3.4% in April reported by the Labor Department on Friday was mostly driven by Blacks. The backfilling of these retirements and increased demand for services are some of the factors driving job growth. Most economists expect overall payrolls growth to continue at least through the end of the year. The drop in household employment combined with a 130,000 increase in the labor force to boost the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate for blacks jumped to 5.6% from 4.7% in April.

Persons: payrolls, Sal Guatieri, Nick Bunker, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Labor Department, Blacks, BMO Capital Markets, Fed, Reuters, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Leisure, Writers Guild of America, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Toronto, joblessness

☆ The US labor market is still red-hot, adding 339,000 jobs in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Madison Hoff | Andy Kiersz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The unemployment rate climbed to 3.7% in May, according to the jobs report on Friday. This monthly job growth came in far above the forecast of 180,000. Job openings data for April was released by the BLS on Wednesday. Data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed that after a few months of job openings consecutively falling, there was an uptick from March to April. The number of layoffs and discharges fell by 264,000 from March to April to 1.6 million, according to the latest JOLTS report.

Persons: —, Daniel Zhao, Glassdoor's, Nick Bunker, Nela Richardson Organizations: Service, payrolls, Labor Statistics, BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Labor, Bank of America Institute, Bank of America

The number of unemployed people jumped by 440,000, the most since November 2010. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsYet the rise in Black unemployment in particular is something critics of Fed policy have been concerned could be a leading-edge sign that the job market was turning sour. Fast initial job losses among Black workers are a feature of U.S. downturns and recessions. Reuters GraphicsDespite the outsized job gains, the details of the report may suggest a labor market "normalizing" after the disruptions of the pandemic. "The fact is that the labor market is still very tight, aided by shortfalls in some service sectors, as well as by historic demographic trends" like population aging, Rieder said.

Persons: Biden, Nick Bunker, Rick Rieder, Rieder, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao Organizations: U.S, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reuters, BlackRock, Thomson

☆ The Great Resignation is giving way to the 'Big Stay' as job-hopping slows down
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-13 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

It may be accurate to say the quitting situation is evolving into the "Big Stay," per ADP's chief economist. "The Big Quit of 2022 could be easing into the Big Stay of 2023," Richardson wrote in her recent commentary. "A year later, all three of these dynamics are abating, and the great resignation itself is looking like a thing of the past." Pollak said that "to the extent that there is a big stay, it is not taking place across the economy." Even if the Great Resignation might not be prevalent in all areas of the economy right now, it could emerge again.

☆ How a shockingly resilient jobs market saved the US from a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Several measures from Friday's jobs report show the labor market is stronger than it's been in decades. But Terrazas pointed to potential concerns in the labor market and for interest rates. "If it's the former, it's just a matter of time before gravity catches up with the labor market," Terrazas said. Overall though, the different robust labor market data suggests the US could maybe avoid a recession as has been the case so far in 2023. Despite potential risks in the job market, Pollak believes there's a possibility that the US continues to avoid a recession.

☆ Premarket stocks: This is how the banking crisis ends
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

London CNN —US regional bank stocks look set to rebound Friday but are still down sharply this week, accentuating fears that federal regulators have not yet contained a crisis in the sector that could shake the financial system. Breaking it down: Wall Street is on the hunt for any signs of vulnerability in the banking system after the high-profile demise of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank in a matter of weeks. While authorities stepped in to protect depositors at those banks, investors were left with stocks that were suddenly worthless. “I believe it really only ends after we get some type of government intervention,” Michaud told me. The value of short positions in regional bank stocks reached $15.1 billion in mid-April, up from about $13.7 billion one year ago, according to data from S3 Partners.

☆ Here’s where the jobs are for April 2023 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Broad job gains across the economy helped the labor market show resilience in the face of a banking crisis and growing recessionary concerns. Friday's data bolsters the argument that the labor market has remained idiosyncratically strong despite signs that the broader economy has slowed. Almost one out of every four of the new jobs were in health care and social assistance, which added about 64,200 in the month. Professional and business services saw the second largest growth in April at 43,000, which is more jobs than it has added in an average month over the past half-year. Professional, scientific and technical service jobs accounted for the bulk of the sector's gains with a 45,000 increase.

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