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☆ These 16 states are already in a recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Sixteen US states' economies contracted between July and October, according to the Philadelphia Fed. While some economists believe a recession may come in the next year, the economies of 33 states grew. Meanwhile, looking at just the past month, 27 states experienced economic contraction. AdvertisementThe economies of sixteen US states contracted between July and October, even as economists are still betting the US can avoid a recession. Looking at month-over-month rates, 27 states experienced economic contraction, while just 16 grew.

Persons: —, Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe, Ken Griffin Organizations: Philadelphia Fed, Service, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, National Bureau of Economic, Citadel, Bloomberg Locations: West Virginia, Wisconsin, Montana, Missouri , Illinois, Iowa, , Maryland, North Dakota, South Carolina, Texas, Nevada and Wyoming . California, Florida, California, Florida , Pennsylvania , Ohio, Georgia, North Carolina

☆ A default cycle has started amid the Fed's high interest rates, economists say. These 4 charts explain how severe it is.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A default cycle has started, spurred by high rates and debt costs, economists at Apollo Management said. Data on default rates and bankruptcy filings show just how severe the situation is. Advertisement"A default cycle has started with bankruptcy filings rising, and default rates will continue to rise over the coming quarters, impacting in particular middle market companies," they added. US Speculative grade default rates Apollo Management"The ongoing rise in default rates is not just a 'normalization.' AdvertisementUS bankruptcy filings Apollo ManagementWeekly bankruptcy filings for companies with at least $50 million in liabilities Apollo ManagementSløk has previously said that the Fed's rate hikes were to blame for higher bankruptcies.

Persons: —, Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Apollo Management Sløk, Nicholas Colas, Moody's Organizations: Apollo Management, Service, HY, Apollo, DataTrek, Management Locations: Moody's, Europe

☆ Hedge funds have lost $43 billion trying to short the market as the S&P 500 eyes its best month in over a year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Hedge fund short sellers have lost $43 billion in recent days as stocks rally, the Financial Times reported. The S&P 500 is on track for its best month since July 2022. With a more than 7% gain in November, the S&P 500 is on pace for its best month since July 2022. AdvertisementThe FT notes that analysts say some hedge funds have had to repurchase stocks to cover their short bets as a "short squeeze" pushed share prices even higher. According to S3 data, bets against technology, healthcare, and consumer discretionary were the most painful for hedge funds.

Persons: —, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe Organizations: Financial Times, Service, Wednesday Financial, S3 Partners, Federal Reserve, Carnival Corp

☆ Stocks in Asia hit 2-month high, dollar defensive on Fed view
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A passerby walks past an electric monitor displaying various countries' stock price index outside a bank in Tokyo, Japan, March 22, 2023. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was 0.97% higher at 510.11 having touched 511.05, the highest since Sept. 18. In rest of Asia, Japan's Nikkei (.N225) edged higher and remained close to the 33-year high it toucehd on Monday. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.22% to 148.03 per dollar, lifting away from the one-year low of 151.92 it touched last week. The Australian dollar , often seen as a barometer of risk appetite, touched a three-month high of $0.65775 earlier in the session.

Persons: Issei Kato, DAX, Wall, Sam Altman, Ben Bennett, Nicholas Chia, murmurs, Hong, HSI, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Jacqueline Wong, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, . Federal, Nvidia, Microsoft, Stock, Traders, Legal, General Investment Management, Standard Chartered, Japan's Nikkei, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Europe, Thursday's U.S

☆ A key historical indicator says the latest stock market rally is poised to push on through the end of the year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The S&P 500's sector correlations suggest the current rally can go to year-end, DataTrek Research said. The indicator is a sign of investor confidence, and it's hovering near levels seen around bull markets of the past. AdvertisementThe stock market is in the midst of a strong November rally, and according to DataTrek Research, the gains could last through year-end thanks to a key historical trend. "When [investors] see clear skies ahead, correlations tend to be low as they pick and choose between individual sectors and stocks," Colas and Rabe said. When correlations hover above that level, stocks tend to be under pressure; when they are below, stocks tend to rally like they did in 2020-2021, and between January and July of this year.

Persons: —, Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe, Colas, Rabe Organizations: Research, Service

☆ ETFs that track meme stocks have been surging, as 'animal spirits' return to markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Meme stocks have been on the rise recently as November's market rally brings a wave of bullishness. "The upshot: the reemergence of meme stocks shows investors' animal spirits are starting to run hot again," DataTrek said. AdvertisementMEME, BOTZ, and IWO have seen gains of 10.8%, 6.6%, and 5.9%, respectively, while the S&P 500 has gained 3.1% in that stretch. AdvertisementStill, the recent outperformance for funds with exposure to meme stocks reflect "generally bullish market conditions," Colas and Rabe maintained. DataTrek also noted on Tuesday that S&P 500 sector correlations suggests the November stock rally should continue through the end of the year.

Persons: —, Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe, iShares Russell, DataTrek, Colas, Rabe Organizations: Service, Robotics, Treasury, IWO, GameStop, AMC

☆ CHART OF THE DAY: Recession fears appear to be cooling among US companies
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Mentions of inflation were down to 55% of companies in the third quarter, down from a peak of 83% in 2022. Taken together, the "recession" and "inflation" mentions points to moderating, but still persistent unease among companies. "Stocks have shrugged off recession fears, but they remain elevated at many companies. But they also note that the still-elevated mentions of inflation and recession don't necessarily bode poorly for stock performance. Big Wall Street firms are mixed in their outlook for the economy next year.

Persons: —, disinflation, DataTrek, DataTrek cofounders Nicholas Colas, Jessica Rabe, Colas, Rabe, bode, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Research, Wall Street, Wall, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Locations: America

☆ Asia stocks meander, yen fragile ahead of US inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was 0.23% higher, on course for its second straight day of gains. The Japanese yen was at 151.71 per dollar in Asian hours, having touched a one-year low of 151.92 on Monday. Investors are waiting for the U.S. inflation report, due later in the day, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other policymakers said they are still not sure that interest rates are high enough to tame inflation. Japan last intervened in the currency market - selling dollars and buying yen - in October last year. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was up 0.057% at 105.69.

Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, DAX, Jerome Powell, Anderson Alves, Moody's, Fitch, Gary Dugan, YEN, Nicholas Chia, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Japanese Finance, Federal, Reuters, U.S, AAA, Dalma Capital, Standard Chartered, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, U.S, New York

☆ Asia stocks rise ahead of US inflation data; yen stumbles
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was 0.49% higher, while Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) gained 0.36%. The Japanese yen was at 151.71 per dollar in Asian hours, having touched a one-year low of 151.92 on Monday. The U.S. inflation report, due later in the day, has investors' attention on Tuesday, especially after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and policymakers have said they are still not sure that interest rates are high enough to tame inflation. YEN WATCH RESUMESThe yen's broad decline has traders back to keeping an eye on whether the Japanese authorities will intervene. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was up 0.057% at 105.69.

Persons: Australia's, Shunichi Suzuki, Jerome Powell, Anderson Alves, HSI, Fitch, Gary Dugan, Dugan, YEN, Nicholas Chia, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Tokyo's Nikkei, Japanese Finance, Federal, Reuters, U.S, AAA, Dalma, Standard Chartered, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, U.S, China, New York

Floors at the abortion clinic where they worked, they told him, were flecked with dried blood. For many people in Louisiana, the allegations against the Delta Clinic of Baton Rouge were a grim confirmation of what they already suspected. Aided by Mr. Johnson, a local TV news investigation would lead Louisiana’s Republican governor to declare a public health emergency. It was Mr. Johnson’s first triumph in a grinding two-decade battle against the Delta clinic — and against abortion more broadly — that would become one of the animating crusades of his public life. “I think the Delta clinic was the pivot point for Mike,” said Gene Mills, president of Louisiana Family Forum, an influential conservative group.

Persons: Mike Johnson, Johnson, Johnson’s, “, Mike, ”, Gene Mills Organizations: Delta Clinic of Baton, Delta, Mr, Louisiana Family Forum Locations: Baton Rouge, La, Louisiana, Delta Clinic of Baton Rouge

☆ LETTER FROM THE EDITOR: We're Business Insider!
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Nicholas Carlson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Insider is changing its name to Business Insider. You'll notice I didn't say we're changing our name "back" to Business Insider. As you can tell from our bold new logo:Business InsiderAs you can see, I am fired up to be Business Insider again! Business Insider is a widely recognized name that gets sources on the phone — helping us do better journalism for you. Welcome to the new era of Business Insider.

Persons: — it's, It's, we're, we'll, let's Organizations: Business

☆ An Epic Pilgrimage Across Three Great Religions
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Aatish Taseer | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +111 min

Before there was tourism, there was pilgrimage: a trip of endurance, hardship and ecstasy in celebration of one’s faith. On an epic pilgrimage of his own, one writer ventures into the heart of three great religions in Bolivia, Mongolia and Iraq. The Imam Hussein shrine in Karbala the day after Ashura. “They’re poor, but they come thousands of kilometers for the love of Imam Hussein.” PILGRIMAGE WAS A great equalizer. “Labaik ya Hussein,” came the solemn chorus of surrounding voices.

Persons: Eduardo Quintela Gonzáles, ” Quintela, JAN, “, ”, Quintela, Victor, Edith Turner, Chaucer, ferne, sondry londes, Vaishno Devi, Lyra Skinner, Lyra, Victoria Preston’s, —, Prophet Muhammad, Virgin Mary, Bath, Naipaul, Augustus, Ryan, garret, Virgin, Monica Machicao, Nicholas Casey, ” Monica, Casey, Evo Morales, sloughing, Columbus, Cortés, Francisco Pizarro, Monica, glitzy cholets, Peru —, Viracocha, it’s, Pablo Quisbert, Leandro Chitarroni, Eichmann, Father Chitarroni, Father Chitarroni’s, Conquistadores ”, Fernando Cervantes, Bernabé Cobo, Quisbert, Edgar Quispe, Tatiana Huayhua, Francisco Tito Yupanqui, Mary, Yupanqui’s, su, Yupanqui, Chitarroni, she’s, Friar Abelino Yeguaori, Friar Yeguaori, Friar Yeguaori’s, Irene, Juana, hajji, Waka, Aracely Alcón, Santiago, Alcón, ‘, don’t, ” Alcón, Tito Yupanqui, Uma Marka, Pachamama, haggard, Amaru Fiorilo Barrios, he’d, ” Fiorilo, Fiorilo, who’d, Valeria Alcón, Laureano Jose Quisbert, Elena Ticona Flores, Eduardo Quintela’s, Ensamble, pang, padre, consolations, Sincrético, El, Rodrigo Paz Pereira, Axel, amauta, strode, La, Aatish Taseer, Saint Helena —, Constantine I, La Paz, Orgilbaatar Tsolmon, Orgil, Genghis Khan, Edward Gibbon, ” Orgil, Araniko’s, Kublai Khan, Genghis Khan’s, Kubla Khan, Coleridge, Kublai, Stalin, sybarite, Khamar, Dalai Lama, Lama, Christopher Kaplonski, ger, I’d, banshtai tsai, Prim, Egi, Munkhdul, Gandantegchinlen, Haidav, herder, “ Um sain, boltugai, Danzanravjaa, Zanabazar’s, Erdene, Mandakhtsog Monkhbaatar, Monkhbaatar’s, Dalai Lamas, prostrated, He’d, Zuu, she’d, Santiago de, L.K, Advani, Emperor Babur, Ram, kar sevaks, Ayodhya, Narendra Modi, Munkhbaatar Batchuluun, Henry Wallace, Franklin D, Potemkin, Munkhbaatar, Gerelmaa, Giimaa, She’d, Eduardo Quintela, Aracely, Santiago’s, Joseph Brodsky’s, Muhammad’s, Hussein, William Keo, ” Khuder, pillion, Labaik, Hussein ”, O Hussein, hearkened, Prophet, Ali —, Ali, Yazid, Imam, crackling, chickpeas, Imam Ali, Imam Hussein, Saddam Hussein, Tusi, Qasim, Imam Hussein’s, Khuder, “ Will, Najaf, prestes, — I, Yasir Yaseen, Ashura, Ali Akbar, Abbas, Ali Asghar, “ We’re, Francisco Goya’s, Hussein’s, Groom, Joseph, ” Wissam, Turfi, Saddam —, Arbaeen, Saddam, “ Imam Hussein, WE, Muhammad, Barnaby Rogerson, Prophet Muhammad ”, ” Ali, Muhammad — Muhammad, formlessness, Muqtada al, Abrams, chiding, Abu Musab Al, Zarqawi, Al Qaeda, William, “ They’re, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, flagellants, ruddy, stylishly, Hussein — shahid —, Farman Ahsan, Syed Salman Raza —, Saddam’s, ” Raza, William “, Ali Zayn al, Abidin, Labaik ya Hussein, thrall —, Lloyd, Susanne Rudolph — Organizations: CITY LA, LA, LA PAZ, Virgin, Crusaders, Dolorosa, Sun, The New York Times, Bolivian, Spain, La, Cordillera, Universidad Mayor de, Catholic, Good, La Paz, Dominican, Pakistan, Caesars, Nissan, Coke, Communists, Communism, ardor, Communist, Hyundai, flails, sacra, Apache, Mahdi Army, Al, ISIS, Karachi —, Princeton Locations: Bolivia, Mongolia, Iraq, Aatish Taseer Bolivia Mongolia Iraq, CITY LA PAZ, BOLIVIA, NAJAF, IRAQ, ULAANBAATAR, MONGOLIA, LA PAZ, La Paz, Bolivian, Copacabana, Lake Titicaca, New York, Christian, British, sondry, India, Delhi, Varanasi, Europe, American, Mecca, Arabia, Long, Vino Tinto, Chile, Peru, Monica, Plurinational State, Bolivia —, Americas, Spain, Columbian, Aztec Mexico, Inca Peru, Calvary Hill, Virgen del Cerro, South America, Puerto Rico, Huatajata, ”, Argentine, Universidad Mayor de San Andrés, Mexican, revelry, Spanish, “, morena, La, “ India, multilayered, Potosí, Argentina, Warisata, Scotch, Santiago de Compostela, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Nepal, Nations, El Alto, Buenos Aires, Bombay, Tibet, Bolivia’s, Yamuna Rivers, United States, Buddhist Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolian, Istanbul, Asia, Islam, China, Beijing, Dadu, Erdene Zuu, Soviet, Gobi, Los Angeles, gers, Qing China, Karnataka, Töv Province, Karakorum, Khamar, Erdene, Ukraine, Korea, Golden, Bayankhongor, Lhasa, Dalai, Inner Mongolia, Mongol, Nalaikh, Santiago, Santiago de Compostela and Canterbury, Bulgan Province, Somnath, Gujarat, Ayodhya, Uttar Pradesh, ger, East German, Uvs Province, Pakistani, Indian, Tennessee, Najaf, Baghdad, Khuder, —, abayas, KARBALA, Kufa, Medina, Saudi Arabia, Karbala, Imam Ali, Bab, Kuwaiti, Bohras, South Asia, Tajikistan, Zaydis, Yemen, Alawites, Anatolia, Syria, Iran, Bahrain, Azerbaijan, Sadr, U.S, Jordanian, Al Qaeda, Mesopotamia, Al, Multan, Pakistan, Punjab, Pakistan’s, Islamabad, Lahore, Kuwait, Karachi, Doha, Qatar

☆ Why market timing doesn't work: S&P 500 is up 14% this year, but just 8 days explain the gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 is up 14% this year, but just eight days that explain most of the gains. If you want a simple indication of why market timing is not an effective investment strategy, take a look at the data on the S&P 500 year to date. How to explain that the S&P is up 14% but the number of up days is about the same as the down days? Here's a hypothetical example of an investment in the S&P 500 over 50 years. The key to investing is not market timing: it is consistent investing, and understanding your own risk tolerance.

Persons: Nicholas Colas, there's, JP Morgan, Colas Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Facebook, Netflix, JP, Signature Bank Locations: Republic

The MSCI world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS), which tracks shares in 47 countries, fell 0.4%. Earlier, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) slipped 1.2%, snapping three straight days of gains. Hong Kong's Hang Seng (.HSI) fell 1.7%, while mainland China blue chips (.CSI300) fell 0.4%. The index fell 1.3% last week, its steepest decline since mid-July, part of the wider risk-on mood in markets. The euro slipped 0.4% to $1.067, down from an eight-week peak of $1.0756 hit on Monday.

Persons: Toby Melville, Michael Hewson, Nicholas Chia, HSI, Tom Wilson, Tom Westbrook, Ankur Banerjee, Lincoln, Kim Coghill, Christina Fincher Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, Nasdaq, CMC, Standard Chartered, Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia, Brent, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, London, Singapore

☆ Asia stocks snap winning streak, Aussie slips
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 1.2% following a three-day rally that lifted the benchmark by nearly 6%. South Korean shares (.KS11) fell 3% as traders unwound some of Monday's surge on the reimposition of a short-selling ban. Treasuries were broadly steady in Asia, having unwound a little of last week's rally on Monday. Ten-year yields hovered at 4.92% - about 10 basis points above where they closed on Friday, but below where they were a week earlier. "It was a dovish hike...it's not pointing to any immediate need for a follow-up," said RBC Capital Markets rates strategist Rob Thompson on the phone from Sydney.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Nicholas Chia, it's, Rob Thompson, Alan Ruskin, George Saravelos, Gold, bitcoin, Ankur Banerjee, Lincoln Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Reserve Bank of Australia, South, Japan's Nikkei, Shanghai, Nasdaq, Standard Chartered, Fed, Capital Markets, U.S, Deutsche Bank, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Sydney, Taiwan, East, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore

☆ Fact Check: Clips of nuclear attacks are from movies, not released by Kremlin
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Reuters Fact Check | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A compilation of scenes of nuclear weapons attacks is made up of excerpts from several movies, and is not, as suggested in online posts, an animation released by the Kremlin depicting nuclear attacks on U.S. cities. Posts on social media said: “The Russian Kremlin just released this animation depicting multiple nuclear strikes on American cities. Does this worry you?” The video shows various nuclear missiles in flight followed by explosions across North American cities. The scene in timestamps 0:17-0:25 of the circulating video shows nuclear weapons launched from the sky toward a city. The social media video is a compilation of explosion scenes from several well-known movies, and there is no evidence it was released by the Kremlin.

Persons: Ethan Hunt, Tom Cruise, Arnold Schwarzenegger, ”, Nicholas Cage, Read Organizations: Russian Kremlin, Russian, Russia’s Ministry of Foreign, Facebook, Galactica, YouTube, MetLife, Empire, Kremlin, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Vancouver, British Columbia, San Francisco , California, ”, Manhattan , New York, New York City

UBS lowered its rating on Albemarle to neutral from buy, slashing its price target by more than 40%. Analyst Matthew Hedberg initiated coverage of the data stock at an outperform rating with a $22 target price for shares. Hedberg's price target implies shares could climb 23.9% over the next year from Friday's close. In addition to the downgrade, analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich slashed her price target on the stock to $9 from $32. Analyst Joshua Spector downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and slashed his price target to $140 from $253.

Persons: Ferrari, Matthew Hedberg, Hedberg, Alex Harring, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, — Alex Harring, Jefferies, Brent Thill, Thill, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Reif, Vivek Arya, Arya, Nicholas Campanella, Campanella, " Campanella, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Citi's Paul Lejuez, Baird, Mark Altschwager, Morgan Stanley, Edouard Aubin, Aubin, there's, Henning Cosman, Cosman, Joshua Spector, Spector Organizations: CNBC, UBS, Barclays, Bank of America, Nvidia, RBC, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, Disney, Jefferies, Paramount, Paramount Global, Dominion Energy, Dominion, Wall, JPMorgan, Ferrari, U.S, UBS downgrades Locations: Albemarle, Friday's, China, Birkenstock

☆ Rising air pollution in China suggests its economy is growing faster and oil prices will climb
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Rising air pollution in China suggests its economy in on track to see a jump in growth, according to DataTrek Research. Oil prices should rise if China's economy is accelerating, as its air quality suggests. This proves our basis point that air pollution readings can give investors an early call on a country's economy," DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas said. In fact, the air quality in Beijing has seen a "very visible" increase in air pollution in the last two weeks, as has Guangzhou, Chongqing, Shenzhen, and Shanghai. AdvertisementAdvertisementTo be sure, it will take weeks for the recent rise in China's air pollution to register in the official economic data.

Persons: DataTrek, —, Nicholas Colas, Colas, Brent Organizations: Research, Service, DataTrek Research Locations: China, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Shanghai

☆ The surprising thing that helps you cope with change
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Opinion Maggie Jackson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

The arousal sparked by uncertainty puts us right where we should be in times of flux, at the raw edge of change. “It means we’re in tune with the environment.”In other words, it pays to lean into uncertainty in times of change. It pays to lean into uncertainty in times of change. Maggie JacksonPeople whose stress levels were most attuned to the game’s fluctuating levels of uncertainty made the most accurate predictions. It may seem surprising that people who can cope with and are even drawn to disquieting not-knowing take such delight in life.

Persons: Maggie Jackson’s, Maggie Jackson Karen Smul, Nicholas Bloom, Maggie Jackson, ”, Joseph Kable, Robb Rutledge, Rutledge, Todd Kashdan, Paul Silvia, Stephanie Gorka of, disquieting, Nicholas Carleton, Stephen Bird, Stephen Organizations: Prometheus Books, CNN, Stanford University, University of Pennsylvania, Yale University, George Mason University, “, University of North, Stephanie Gorka of Ohio State University, University of Regina, Twitter, Facebook Locations: Rhode Island, University of North Carolina, Greensboro, Canada

☆ Asian stocks waver, yen wobbles as BOJ takes centre stage
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Passersby walk past an electric monitor displaying the Japanese yen exchange rate against the U.S. dollar outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan October 4, 2023. On Tuesday, the 10-year JGB yield jumped 6.5 basis points to 0.955%, its highest since May. "Markets seem to assume that the ceiling will be lifted by another 50 basis points, but I think the possibility of another doubling (i.e. The dollar index , which measures U.S. currency against six rivals, rose 0.104%. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was up 1.1 basis points to 4.888%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was up 0.7 basis points to 5.042%.

Persons: Issei Kato, Nicholas Chia, Chia, Sterling, Hong, HSI, Jerome Powell, Gary Dugan, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Lincoln Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of, Nikkei, Standard Chartered, Japan's Nikkei, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, BOJ, Federal Open Markets, Dalma, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Shanghai, U.S, Singapore

☆ After a miserable October, the setup for stocks in November is looking better
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After a miserable October, the setup for November is looking better. Barring a huge rally Tuesday, October will be the third-consecutive down month for the S & P 500 — that's unusual. 1 month for the S & P 500. It's just that stocks have sold off during earnings season because of the cautious outlook being projected on many earnings calls. The chances the S & P 500 would be down four months in a row is very small.

Persons: —, That's, Nicholas Colas, Colas, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, It's, hasn't, Jonathan Krinsky Locations: DataTrek, Israel, BTIG

“There aren’t that many Russian Orthodox followers (anymore), but it’s part of our heritage and we do want to see it preserved." The Russian Orthodox church was established in Alaska on Kodiak Island in 1794 and missionaries spread the faith, baptizing an estimated 18,000 Alaska Natives. Experts estimate about 80 historic Orthodox churches exist across Alaska, but weather and time are taking a toll, making restoration efforts even more critical. Deacon Thomas Rivas, the episcopal secretary to the Alaska Orthodox bishop. “However, its primary function is sacred and that’s important to all of us, even those of us that are not Russian Orthodox.”

Persons: Romanov, Nicholas Church, ”, Charlene Shaginaw, “, Aaron Leggett, Peter the Great, Vitus Bering, Bering, baptizing, Richard Nixon, Deacon Thomas Rivas, Leggett, Gina Ondola, Rivas, Romanov czars, Jobe Bernier Organizations: Alaska Natives, National Park Service, Church, National Register of Historic Places, Mission Society Locations: EKLUTNA, Alaska, Alaska's, Anchorage, Eklutna, Eklutna’s, Russian, Danish, Russia, Unalaska, United States, U.S, Kodiak, Kenai, Sitka, ”, Cook, St, Siberia

☆ How Elon Musk Changed the Meaning of Twitter for Users
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Kate Conger | More About Kate Conger | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

After Nicholas Campiz evacuated from Kyiv, Ukraine’s capital, in February 2022, he stayed glued to Twitter. “As more Ukrainians hopped onto Twitter to tell their story, you had a lot of good accounts from them,” Mr. Campiz said. When war broke out this month in Israel and Gaza, Mr. Campiz, 40, a cartographer who now lives in Florida, turned to Twitter again. With the war in Ukraine, “Twitter was invaluable because you were able to get connected to accounts that were providing good information,” he said. “I feel really helpless in this Israel-Gaza thing because on Twitter now, the ability to do that is just gone.”

Persons: Nicholas Campiz, ” Mr, Campiz, ”, “ Organizations: Twitter Locations: Kyiv, Ukraine’s, Tbilisi , Georgia, Israel, Gaza, Florida, Ukraine

Hundreds of thousands of Palestinians who heeded the Israeli military’s order to evacuate portions of the Gaza Strip are confronting deadly airstrikes from Israeli warplanes even after they’ve moved. And a grim question hung over the enclave on Tuesday: Was there anywhere safe to go? Last week, after the deadly Oct. 7 cross-border attacks by Hamas, Israel ordered all of Gaza’s northern residents — some 1.1 million people — to abandon their homes ahead of an expected ground invasion of the strip and to head south. Hundreds of thousands obeyed, leaving by car, motorcycle and even on foot. He added that southern Gaza was relatively safer than the north, but not entirely safe.

Persons: they’ve, Israel, Khan Younis, Nir Locations: Gaza, Rafah

☆ Shares of luxury brands are tumbling in a sign consumers' high-end spending spree is over
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-14 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The boom in luxury goods is over as consumers pull back on their multiyear high-end spending spree. AdvertisementAdvertisementIn the US, card spending for luxury fashion has been on the decline for six quarters in a row, with luxury fashion spending down 16% year-over-year over the past quarter, Bank of America card data shows. Card spending on luxury fashion has declined for six quarters in a row. Bank of AmericaUS card spending on luxury fashion declined 16% year-per-year the past quarter, Bank of America forecasts. That's because European investors often say tech stocks are a competitor to luxury stocks in their portfolios, Colas said.

Persons: —, LVMH, DataTrek, Nicholas Colas, Ralph Lauren, Colas, Kelly Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Bank of America US, Industry, Consumers, San Francisco Fed, Tech Locations: LVMH, Paris

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