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☆ An aggressive Fed move is unlikely to spur a surprise Bank of England rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Commuters outside the Bank of England (BOE) in the City of London, UK, on Monday, Sept. 16, 2024. The central bank's Monetary Policy Committee's interest rate decision is scheduled for release on Sept. 19. Either way, this would be Fed's first rate cut in the current cycle. Meanwhile, money market pricing for a BOE cut at Thursday's September meeting dipped from 35% late Tuesday to 26% Wednesday morning, still slightly higher than it was last week. The move came after U.K. inflation came in at 2.2% for August, steady on July and in-line with expectations — thus backing the need for a little more caution in Threadneedle Street.

Persons: BOE, —, Sanjay Raja, Raja, George Lazarias, Mazars, they're, Lazarias Organizations: Bank of England, City of, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Deutsche Bank, Monetary, MPC Locations: City, City of London, China

☆ Here's what Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo stand to gain from lower interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The Club has stayed with Morgan Stanley on expectations that its investment banking outfit will flourish again. At Wells Fargo , the Club's other financial name, lower rates should help its burgeoning investment banking business. Wells Fargo shares year-to-date have performed better than Morgan Stanley, gaining 11%. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) year-to-date performance The Corporate and Investment Banking division makes up 23% of overall revenue. To be sure, Wells Fargo management said during July's second-quarter earnings call that the bank will continue to de-risk its office portfolio.

Persons: Banks, Erica Groshen, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Jim, Goldman Sachs, Charlie Scharf, Wells, July's, Jim Cramer's, Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, CNBC, Cornell University, Fed, Investment, Morgan Stanley's Institutional Securities, Morgan Stanley's, Wells, Investment Banking, CIB, Federal Reserve Bank, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, Washington ,

☆ Fed slashes interest rates by a half point, an aggressive start to its first easing campaign in four years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The matrix of individual officials' expectations pointed to another full percentage point in cuts by the end of 2025 and a half-point in 2026. In all, the dot plot shows the benchmark rate coming down about 2 percentage points beyond Wednesday's move. On core inflation, the committee took down its projection to 2.6%, a 0.2 percentage point reduction from June. In fact, the last time the monthly hiring rate was this low – 3.5% as a share of the labor force – the unemployment rate was above 6%. At his press conference following the July meeting, Powell remarked that a 50 basis point cut was "not something we're thinking about right now."

Persons: Michelle Bowman, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Market, Dow Jones, Fed, Gross, Atlanta Fed

☆ Gen Z's love of discount stores could send these 3 retail stocks soaring as much as 18%, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Millennials and Gen Z are increasingly shopping at discount stores like TJ Maxx, Burlington, and Ross. AdvertisementGen Z wants more bang for their buck, and their love of a good deal could drive shares of some discount retailers up nearly 20%, Bank of America says. AdvertisementThe report from BofA on Wednesday attributes the rise in popularity among discount stores to inflation weariness. The analysts see Burlington and Ross Stores shares rising 16% and 18% from Wednesday highs, respectively. "Off-price has attracted the customer, helped by the quest for value amidst persistent multi-year inflation pressures," Bank of America's analysts wrote.

Persons: Millennials, TJ Maxx, Ross, —, Ross . Younger Organizations: Service, Bank of America, TJ Maxx, Goods, Burlington, Ross Stores, Bank of Locations: Burlington, Millennials, BofA

☆ The Fed forecasts lowering rates by another half point before the year is out
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, U.S., July 31, 2024. The Federal Reserve projected lowering interest rates by another half point before the end of 2024, and the central bank has two more policy meetings to do so. Through 2025, the central bank forecasts interest rates landing at 3.4%, indicating another full percentage point in cuts. Through 2026, rates are expected to fall to 2.9% with another half-point reduction. The central bank lowered the federal funds rate to a range between 4.75%-5% on Wednesday, its first rate cut since the early days of the Covid pandemic.

Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington , U.S

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Intuitive Machines, U.S. Steel, Victoria's Secret and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Intuitive Machines — Shares soared 51% after the space exploration company secured a roughly $5 billion space network contract from NASA. The move is likely intended to push a decision on the politically controversial takeover past the presidential election in November. Victoria's Secret — The intimate apparel maker gained 5% after Barclays upgraded shares to equal weight from underweight, citing a more balanced risk/reward backdrop. The investment firm said VF Corp should start to see benefits from last year's CEO change this fall. Casella Waste Systems — The recycling company fell 5% after announcing a $400 million public offering of its Class A common stock.

Persons: Steward, McGrath RentCorp —, McGrath, Eli Lilly's GLP, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Lisa Han, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh Organizations: NASA, United States Steel, Nippon Steel, Barclays, Medical Properties, Medical Properties Trust, WillScot Holdings, Wolfe Research, Casella Waste Systems Locations: U.S

☆ Powell: We may have cut earlier if we had gotten July report before meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell: We may have cut earlier if we had gotten July report before meetingFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell takes questions from reporters after announcing that the Central Bank has lowered interest rates by half a point, its first cut since 2020.

Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: Central Bank

☆ Powell: Proposed changes to Basel Endgame have my support
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell: Proposed changes to Basel Endgame have my supportFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell takes questions from reporters after announcing that the Central Bank has lowered interest rates by half a point, its first cut since 2020.

Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: Central Bank

☆ What a Fed rate cut could mean for the world
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

watch nowThe U.S. Federal Reserve is on Wednesday heading for its first interest rate cut since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic — and despite the move being widely forecast, global investors are braced for impact. Global impactA key concern is the pressure interest rate differentials put on currencies. Oil and other commodities, usually priced in dollars, often receive a boost with a rate cut as a lower cost of borrowing can stimulate an economy and increase demand. "Interest rate cuts reduce the cost of borrowing in U.S. dollars, thereby creating easier liquidity conditions for companies around the world," Quilter Cheviot's Richard Carter continued via email. That includes whether the initial cut will reduce the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points or 50 basis points below its current 525 to 550 range.

Persons: —, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Cheviot's Richard Carter Organizations: U.S . Federal, Turkish, U.S ., Fed, Federal, Equity Locations: U.S, Canada, Mexico, Switzerland, Sweden

☆ Fed Chair Powell: We're now in a good position to manage risks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: We're now in a good position to manage risksFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell takes questions from reporters after announcing that the Central Bank has lowered interest rates by half a point, its first cut since 2020.

Persons: Powell, We're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Central Bank

☆ Apple could fall to $200 on iPhone worries and that's when you buy, says Morgan Stanley
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Concerns about iPhone 16 lead times could send Apple shares lower in the near term, according to Morgan Stanley. This has led to the stock underperforming by an average of five points in the three months following an iPhone launch. "What will matter most over the next 10 days is the trajectory of iPhone 16 lead times, as historically iPhone lead times elongate through the first in-store availability date (Friday, September 20th) before gradually trending lower in the weeks thereafter," the analyst wrote in a Wednesday note to clients. "Therefore, a more sustained elongation in iPhone 16 lead times from today should be viewed positively, while a sharp reversal in iPhone 16 lead times after Friday would likely indicate a greater risk of negative iPhone build revisions." With 48 analysts covering the stock, 36 of them have a strong buy or buy rating, while 11 are neutral.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Woodring, Wall Organizations: Apple

☆ A lone dissenting vote on the Fed's rate cut marks the first split by a central bank governor in 2 decades
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Fed's decision to cut rates by 50 basis points garnered support from 11 of 12 voting members. Fed governor Michelle Bowman dissented, marking the first split by a central bank governor since 2005. Bowman advocated for a smaller, 25 basis point cut. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman dissented, advocating for a smaller, 25 basis point cut as the committee opted for a large, 50 basis point cut. Bowman's dissent marks the first time a central bank governor has strayed from consensus on an interest rate decision since 2005.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, Bowman, — Organizations: Service, Federal, Business

☆ The stock market got just what it wanted from the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed just issued its first interest rate cut in four years. AdvertisementStocks got a brief leg up to a new intraday record on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve issued its first rate cut since 2020. "The Fed has given the market what it was looking for with the bigger 50-basis point rate cut," Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group said in a statement. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4 p.m. closing bell on Wednesday:AdvertisementStocks have historically reacted well to Fed rate cuts. "All we needed today was for Powell to validate market expectations that the Fed is acknowledging the downside risks to the labor market and responding appropriately."

Persons: Stocks, —, Jerome Powell's, Joel Kruger, Morgan Stanley, Kruger, Tom Lee, Priya Misra, Powell, Jason Pride Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, LMAX, JPMorgan Asset Management Locations: Glenmede

☆ Meet the ex-Googler joining Goldman Sachs to build tech and optimize its investment banking and trading business
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Bianca Chan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

As the incoming global head of technology engineering for Goldman Sachs' global banking and markets division, the ex-Googler will run the engineering team for Goldman's investment banking and sales and trading units. And lots of different challenges in the space given how much is being invested in this particular business," Goldman told Business Insider, referring to efforts to build systems that can handle the firm's anticipated growth in a compliant and resilient way. Goldman Sachs' core business of advising companies through mergers, acquisitions, and raising capital, has come under the spotlight recently as investment-banking activity continues to be slow. AdvertisementWith an anticipated decline in trading volumes across Wall Street, Goldman's sales and trading business will continue to lean on technology to win market share among institutional investors. During her first stint at Goldman, she managed various tech teams and was named managing director in 2008.

Persons: Melissa Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, she's, couldn't, You've, I'm, I've Organizations: Service, Goldman, Google, JPMorgan, Wall, Big, Bank of America Locations: Wall, Bermuda, Big Tech

☆ Fed Chair Powell: Risk of downturn not heightened following rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell: Risk of downturn not heightened following rate decisionFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell takes questions from reporters after announcing that the Central Bank has lowered interest rates by half a point, its first cut since 2020.

Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: Central Bank

☆ Meet the ex-Googler joining Goldman Sachs to build tech and cut costs for its investment banking and trading business
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Bianca Chan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

☆ Ray Dalio names the top five forces shaping the global economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Dalio made his remarks Wednesday ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Debt, money and the economic cycleWith uncertainty still circling around what the Fed will do at its meeting this week, Dalio raised concerns about how the country's debt will be managed. 'Acts of nature'Dalio then said "acts of nature" have historically posed a bigger threat to humanity and society than war. "Acts of nature, droughts, floods and pandemics have killed more people and been responsible for more domestic orders and international orders changing," Dalio noted. According to the World Economic Forum, the climate crisis results in a 12% loss in global GDP for each 1°C increase in temperature.

Persons: Ray Dalio, Dalio, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, Milken Institute Asia Summit, Bloomberg, Getty, SINGAPORE, Milken, Summit, U.S, CNBC Fed, Economic, Technology Locations: Singapore, U.S, U.S . Federal, China, The U.S, South China

☆ Where the tech trade could head now that the Fed is cutting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Markets are gearing up for a long-awaited rate cut from the central bank Wednesday after more than two years of aggressive hiking to stem the spread of sticky inflation. Apple has been another big winner following a rate cut, rising a median of 16.2% in the past. To be sure, not every technology stock is destined for upside in the face of a cutting cycle. The stock has fallen a median of nearly 14% in the three months following an initial cut. Other potential losers following a rate cut include Analog Devices , Teradyne and IBM .

Persons: bode Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, CNBC, Digital, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Nvidia, Micron Technology, Micron, Devices, IBM

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Apple, Meta, Marriott, Starbucks, Roku & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Stifel initiates Penumbra as buy Stifel said it's bullish on shares of the medical device company. Bank of America reiterates FedEx as buy Bank of America lowered its price target to $345 per share from $347 but said it's bullish heading into earnings next week. " Bank of America reiterates TJX Companies, Burlington and Ross as buy Bank of America said the off-price retailers are best positioned for younger generations. Bank of America reiterates Starbucks as buy The firm said it's standing by shares of the coffee giant. Bank of America reiterates Alphabet, Meta, Amazon and Uber as buy Bank of America said the internet tech companies are the best way for "more defensive positioning."

Persons: Stifel, it's, Bernstein, Apple, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, BTIG, JPMorgan, Wells, Wolfe, Ross, ROST, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Needham, Uber, William Blair Organizations: PEN, HSBC, KKR, Co, Apple, Bank of America, FedEx, GE Healthcare, UBS, Talen Energy, JPMorgan, Civitas Resources, Micron, MU, Barclays, TJX Companies, BURL, Marriott, Computer, Guggenheim, Sirius XM, " Bank of America, Google, Nvidia, Broadcom Locations: China, Burlington, InfiniBand

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Hoping for a 50-basis-point cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Without any warning signs flashing red, it's difficult for the Fed to justify lowering rates by more than a quarter point. That's why some economists and analysts hope the Fed will cut by half a point. "But I suspect they'll cut 25," Zandi added.

Persons: Anna Moneymaker, Mark Zandi, they'll, Zandi, Hope, Jeff Cox, Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Dow, Moody's Locations: Washington , DC, U.S

☆ Dollar catches footing ahead of Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar steadied on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales had traders slightly trimming bets that the U.S. easing cycle will begin with an outsized interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in more than four years at 1800 GMT, which will be followed by a news conference half an hour later. A rate cut is fully priced, with interest rate futures implying a 63% chance of a 50 basis point cut, after flirting with 70% a day earlier. Traders say the Fed's tone as well as the size of the rate cut will drive the next moves in the foreign exchange market. China's stock, bond and currency markets resume trade on Wednesday after the mid-autumn festival break, though it is a holiday on Wednesday in Hong Kong.

Persons: Nathan Swami, Swami Organizations: Federal, Traders, Citi, Australian, New Zealand, Sterling, Bank of, ANZ Bank Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Asia, U.S, Japan, Atlanta, Singapore, Hong Kong, Bank of England

☆ Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz on the Fed, state of private equity and economic outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCarlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz on the Fed, state of private equity and economic outlookCNBC’s Leslie Picker and Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, central bank's monetary policy, rate path outlook, state of private equity, Carlyle's private credit strategy, and more.

Persons: Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Leslie Picker

☆ UN members vote to demand Israel end occupation of Palestinian territories within 12 months
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Christian Edwards | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —United Nations members voted overwhelmingly on Wednesday to demand that Israel end its occupation of Palestinian territories within 12 months. Fourteen countries voted against, including the United States, Hungary, Israel, Argentina, Czechia, Fiji, Malawi, Micronesia, Nauru, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Tonga, and Tuvalu. In its advisory opinion, the ICJ said Israel should end its occupation “as rapidly as possible.” The UN’s resolution gives a 12-month timeline. During the 1967 war, Israel captured the West Bank, East Jerusalem, the Gaza Strip and the Golan heights from neighboring Arab states. The Palestinians want the West Bank and Gaza for a future state, with East Jerusalem as its capital.

Persons: Riyad Mansour, Danny Danon, Benjamin Netanyahu, Mahmoud Abbas, ” Louis Charbonneau, Israel, ”, Agnes Callamard Organizations: CNN — United Nations, UN, International Court of Justice, West Bank, Assembly, Palestinian, Human Rights Watch, HRW, Amnesty International Locations: Israel, United States, Hungary, Argentina, Czechia, Fiji, Malawi, Micronesia, Nauru, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Tonga, Tuvalu, East Jerusalem, Palestinian, Palestine, New York, UN, Gaza, Jerusalem

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Carlyle CEO Harvey SchwartzCNBC’s Leslie Picker and Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, central bank's monetary policy, rate path outlook, state of private equity, Carlyle's private credit strategy, and more.

Persons: Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Leslie Picker

☆ Former Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida: Sticking with our call of a 25 basis point cut today
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida: Sticking with our call of a 25 basis point cut todayRichard Clarida, PIMCO global economic advisor and former Federal Research Vice Chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's policy meeting this week, what to expect from the central bank's interest rate decision today, state of the economy, and more.

Persons: Richard Clarida Organizations: Former, Federal Research

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