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That shakiness around when the cuts are coming, as well as the expectation that rates could remain higher for longer creates an opportunity for active managers. Rick Rieder, BlackRock's global chief investment officer of fixed income, told CNBC in a phone interview. Indeed, core bond funds were among the winners in the 2008 crisis. For starters, they should think about the role they want a given bond fund to play within their portfolio: Is it to offset equity risk or to boost returns? "You're not investing in bond funds to shoot the lights out and build your wealth pile," said Morningstar's Jacobson.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, Eric Jacobson, Morningstar, John Croke ,, Morningstar's Jacobson, Jaime Quinones, they're, Quinones Organizations: Federal Reserve, Barclays, Bank of America, Citigroup, CNBC, Bloomberg, SEC, Morningstar, Vanguard, Stockade Wealth Management, Mutual Locations: Marlboro , N.J
The fall of Gucci was inevitable
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Madeline Berg | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +13 min
"We got used to hearing about double-digit growth at Gucci," Fflur Roberts, the head of luxury goods at Euromonitor, told Business Insider. "I think of what a fashion editor is wearing — it's not Gucci," Lindsey Solomon, a fashion publicist, told BI. After taking the top spot on the Lyst Index of fashion's hottest brands in 2022, Gucci dropped to number 11 last quarter. "We still believe the Gucci brand's current growth rate, which is 10 times higher than that of the industry, represents a risk going forward," Morningstar's Sokolova wrote in a 2017 note. Gucci relied heavily on China for its growth, but stores — perhaps including this one in China's Hainan Province — have struggled recently.
Persons: Alessandro Michele's, loafers, Gigi Hadid, Sienna Miller, Steve Madden, ASOS, Sally Singer, Michele, Fflur Roberts, Alessandro Michele, Harry Styles, Billie Eilish, Jared Leto, Kevin Mazur, Bauer, Griffin, Jeff Kravitz, Gucci, Sabato De Sarno, Lindsey Solomon, De Sarno, François, Henri Pinault, China —, Jelena Sokolova, Solomon, Daniele Venturelli, Michele —, Sokolova, It's, Thomas Chauvet, Morningstar's Sokolova, Michele's Gucci, wasn't, Jeremy Moeller, Chauvet, Roberts, Chanel, Gucci's, Gucci hadn't, Hermès, Birkin, Louis Vuitton's Neverfull, Pinault, Louis, Euromonitor's Roberts Organizations: Creative, Gucci, The Recording Academy, Axelle, Morningstar, BI, Citi, Disney, Getty, Revenue, China News Service, Bain, Louis Vuitton Locations: Euromonitor, China, The Asia, Pacific, China's Hainan Province, Asia
Investors with cash on the sidelines may want to start moving some of that money into bonds, according to a new report from BlackRock. The bond market has seen some volatility amid the uncertainty around interest rates and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Bond yields move inversely to prices. US10Y YTD mountain 10-year Treasury yields Yields are at levels not seen in 20 years, he pointed out. Aggregate Bond ETF year to date The iShares Core Total USD Bond Market ETF (IUSB) is also a passively managed, broad bond market fund which adds exposure to potentially higher-yielding names.
Persons: Steve Laipply, shouldn't, Laipply Organizations: Federal, Treasury, BlackRock, Fed, Core, Aggregate Bond, Bloomberg U.S, SEC, Aggregate, Bond Locations: BlackRock
There's one dividend stock that Morningstar says is "deeply undervalued" right now and which it's bullish on for the long term. "Yet we're bullish on this undervalued stock for the long term. Goldstein noted that FMC's products lean toward insecticides, which generate over half of its revenue. According to FactSet, FMC has an indicated annual dividend yield of 4% for 2024. "FMC stock looks deeply undervalued, trading at half of what we think it's worth," Goldstein added.
Persons: Morningstar, Seth Goldstein, Goldstein, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera Organizations: Morningstar, FMC Locations: FactSet
That said, in general, most investors would be best served buying a diversified bond fund, said Mulach. What to look for in bond fundsThere are several factors to consider when investing in a bond fund. Intermediate-core durations typically range between 75% and 135% of the three-year average of the effective duration of the Morningstar Core Bond Index. Top Morningstar Bond Funds Ticker Fund Morningstar Category Type 30-day SEC yield Adj. Aggregate Bond ETF can be a great option to simply replicate that index, he said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, shouldn't, Morningstar, Mike Mulach, Chuck Failla, Failla, Mulach, You'll, Baird, BSBSX Baird, Morningstar's Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Sovereign Financial, Morningstar, SEC, Mutual, FLTB Fidelity, Fidelity, Hartford, Aggregate
One strategist, however is looking keenly at European equities, and notes that "Europe isn't a boring market." "You would hope that will translate through to the stock market in terms of company earnings growth in Europe. "While you might see some kind of short-term downturn, in the longer-term the picture is very positive for the sector," Field added. He sees value in payments, which he described as "one of the most undervalued parts of European financial services." The sector has trailed market performance, with valuations looking "interesting" over the last 12 months, Morningstar noted in its recent report.
Persons: Michael Field, Field, Morningstar Organizations: CNBC Pro, European Central Bank, Consumer, Swatch Group, Financial, Morningstar, ING Bank, Group, Health, Novo Nordisk Locations: U.S, Europe, Netherlands, British, Swiss
Investors have been raking in income thanks to attractive yields in the U.S. bond market. Investing in global bond funds Individual investors can add exposure to foreign bonds through global bond funds. There are hedged funds, which hedge foreign currency exposure back to the U.S. dollar and therefore reduce currency risk. "It's good to be diversified because foreign bond exposure is a massive part of the global bond markets," Mulach said. Here are Morningstar's top picks for global bond exposure: The Pimco strategies keep the bulk of their non-U.S. currency exposure hedged back to the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, Collin Martin, Martin, It's, Mike Mulach, Mulach, Rick Rieder's, Darla Mercado Organizations: BlackRock, SEC, Investment, U.S ., European, European Central Bank, Federal, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Morningstar, U.S, Strategic Global Bond Fund, Investor, Morningstar . Dodge, Cox's Global Bond Fund Locations: U.S, Europe, BlackRock, Mexico, Brazil
Many shares look expensive in today's market, but there are still cheap stocks to be found — some of which can be held for the next 10 years, according to the pros. They shared with CNBC Pro their tips for picking cheap stocks that hold long-term promise, as well as their top picks. How to pick cheap stocks Morningstar's Susan Dziubinski says she believes in owning stocks that offer "some sense of certainty" in terms of cash flow and company fundamentals. Freddie Lait, chief investment officer at Latitude Investment Management, says a willingness to invest in some cyclical stocks is key. Cheap stocks to hold for the long term Morningstar's Dziubinski named three cheap stocks that investors can hold for the next decade: U.S. consumer health firm Kenvue , regional U.S. bank U.S. Bancorp , and medical equipment firm Zimmer Biomet .
Persons: Susan Dziubinski, isn't, Freddie Lait, Lait, he's, Dziubinski, Zimmer Biomet, Morningstar, Bancorp Morningstar, AutoZone Organizations: CNBC, Latitude Investment Management, U.S . Bancorp, Companies, Bancorp Locations: U.S, AutoZone
Arm , the British semiconductor design company, has seen its share price skyrocket since reporting third-quarter earnings in February. However, Morningstar believes the current share price is overvalued and could drop by 54% to $57. Morningstar's price target for Arm, which the firm calls a fair value estimate, is $57 per share. The consensus price target of 31 analysts covering Arm polled by FactSet points to a 14% downside. The research firm has raised its price target for Arm to $160, representing 28% upside from current levels.
Persons: Morningstar, Javier Correonero, FactSet, Vijay Rakesh Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, ARM, Mar, CNBC Pro, Mizuho Securities, Morningstar, Mizuho
Spencer Platt | Getty ImagesThe stock market could hit a milestone if the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaches 40,000. However, even as stocks have climbed higher, investors are worried there could be a pullback, financial advisors say. For investors who have gravitated toward cash, certificates of deposit, or bonds, a pullback may be an opportunity to deploy those funds in the market, Kourkafas said. "The stock market is a long-term investment," said Jenkin, who is also a member of CNBC's Financial Advisor Council. That may be done through a fund that reflects global market capitalization, such as the Vanguard Total World Stock ETF.
Persons: Spencer Platt, They're, Christine Benz, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Kourkafas, it's, Ted Jenkin, Jenkin, Joe Biden, Donald Trump —, Louis Barajas, Barajas, Morningstar's Benz, Benz Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Dow Jones, CNBC, Morningstar, CNBC's, Council, Investors, International Private Wealth, CNBC FA Council Locations: New York City, Atlanta, Irvine , California, U.S
CNBC Pro asked three fund managers for their stock picks to to buy now and hold for the longer term. The average price target for PepsiCo is $186.77, according to FactSet data, giving it potential upside of 6.7%. According to Factset data, of 30 analysts, 18 give the stock a buy or overweight rating while 12 have a hold rating. According to FactSet data, of 18 analysts, 14 give the stock a buy or overweight rating, three have a hold rating and one has a sell rating. The average price target for PDD is $180.12, according to FactSet data, giving it potential upside of 54.9%.
Persons: David Dietze, PepsiCo Dietze, Dietze, Bud Light, Michael Field, Edenred, Jason Hsu, Hsu, OpenAI, Elon Musk, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, Altman Organizations: Wealth Management, CNBC Pro, PepsiCo, Coca Cola, Anheuser, Busch, Brussels Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, Euronext Paris Stock Exchange, Microsoft, Rayliant Global Advisors, OpenAI, Nasdaq Locations: Belgian, U.S, South America, Europe, Edenred, China
Claims from the container ship Dali's crash into Baltimore's Key Bridge could cost insurers a lot. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . With the crash of the container ship Dali into the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore on Tuesday, insurance underwriters are updating those books as a picture of the true cost of damages emerges. Economists told Business Insider the port closure itself will cost $15 million a day in lost economic activity, with other disruptions pushing the total into the tens of millions a day. AdvertisementStill, the collapse of the Key Bridge could lead to "one of the largest claims ever to hit the marine (re)insurance market," John Miklus, the president of the American Institute of Marine Underwriters, told Insurance Business.
Persons: , Dali, Francis Scott Key, Marcos Álvarez, Edward, doesn't, Lloyd's, John Miklus Organizations: Service, Barclays, Bloomberg, Port, Reuters, Lloyd's, American Institute of Marine Underwriters, Insurance Business Locations: London, Baltimore, Port of Baltimore, Britannia
Eight economists, investment chiefs, and strategists that Business Insider recently spoke to credited healthier-than-anticipated consumer balance sheets and spending for the continued expansion. "Either that, or they're going to be maxed out — they can't get any more money. They're not going to have any liquidity to be able to continue to do the things they're going to do." He's also sticking with defensive stocks as consumer spending softens, including those in the consumer staples sector like Clorox (CLX) and Procter & Gamble (PG). Real estate is a "hated asset class" that's negatively correlated with interest rates, Sekera said.
Persons: shouldn't, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they're, Sue Crotty, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clark Bellin, Bellin, David Rosenberg, They're, Rob Swanke, Swanke, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Christopher Barto, Gordon, Clissold, He's, Morningstar's Sekera, Crotty, Segal Marco Advisors, She's, Barto, that's Organizations: Business, Consumers, Segal Marco, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Morningstar, Fort Pitt Capital Group, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Exxon, APA Corp, Duke Energy, Segal, Energy, Healthcare Locations: Devon, Real, NiSource
Some investors looking for steady income in retirement are turning to managed payout funds. There are just a handful of these niche mutual funds, which pay monthly income to investors, Morningstar portfolio strategist Amy Arnott said. Schwab offers three such funds: Schwab Monthly Income Fund - Income Payout (SWLRX), Schwab Monthly Income Fund - Flexible Payout (SWKRX) and Schwab Monthly Income Fund - Target Payout (SWJRX). The Schwab Monthly Income Fund - Target Payout (SWJRX), on the other hand, aims to offer a 5% annual payout. Managed payout funds are not offered in many defined contribution plans, such as 401(k)s. In fact, a 2022 Cerulli survey of defined contribution plan consultants showed just 17% of the plans offered any managed payout funds.
Persons: Morningstar, Amy Arnott, Schwab, Inga Rachwald, Schwab's, Morningstar's Arnott, Rachwald, Arnott, Brett Lozowski, doesn't Organizations: Schwab, Income, Schwab Asset Management, Planning Partners
The Simplify Tail Risk ETF , which trades under the cheeky ticker "CYA," is headed for liquidation later this month after a brutal money-losing stretch. CYA 1Y mountain Simplify's Tail Risk ETF has been beaten down by the market rally. "Tail protection, which was heavily desired in 2020, has no bids right now. And that way if you're losing money on it, and it's a tail risk ETF where you're buying a put [option], then you understand why that's happening," Armour said. "A tail risk ETF is going to go potentially over a decade without working, and that's okay.
Persons: Michael Green, Green, subpar, Bryan Armour, Armour, CYA, Philip Toews, Vix, Toews Organizations: CNBC, Fidelity, North, Asset Management Locations: North America
Private credit has become a hot investment on Wall Street as institutional investors seek out alternative investments with attractive dividends. "Investors might consider allocating a portion of their portfolio to private credit, depending on their individual risk tolerance, investment horizon and financial goals." Private credit funds have yields generally in the low-teens, although it can vary, he said. In a February report on U.S. life insurance ratings, Fitch Ratings said, "elevated private credit borrower leverage and a relative deterioration in private credit terms and conditions during more competitive lending environments are adding to pressures in the credit quality of private credit assets." The majority of the portfolio is in direct lending private credit, but a portion is also in publicly-traded securities of larger corporate issuers.
Persons: SoFi, Vivek Paul, Paul, Goldman, Greg Olafson, David Solomon, Fitch, Lisa Kwasnowski, Blackstone, Kwasnowski, Chuck Failla, it's, Failla, Oppenheimer, Mitchel Penn, Penn, Ares Capital, They've Organizations: Street, Franklin BSP Private Credit Fund, CNBC, Wall, BlackRock, Research, Management, UBS, Blackstone Private Credit Fund, Sovereign Financial Group, Securities and Exchange Commission, Owl, Golub, Ares, Sixth, SEC Locations: DBRS Morningstar's
Mounting inflation and interest rates have put significant pressure on several sectors — especially real estate. He suggests that investors look to have 10% of their portfolio exposed to "real estate in some form, as a good rule of thumb." "That exposure can come from REITs [real estate investment trusts] or direct ownership, or other real estate investments if you are a large investor. Rick Romano, Head of Global Real Estate Securities at PGIM Real Estate, agrees, saying that REITs offer investors "a unique and fantastic" opportunity to invest across geographies and segments right now. "It's an area that we see some of the best growth rates within the real estate space," he added.
Persons: Kevin Brown, Brown, Rick Romano, PGIM's Romano, Morningstar's Brown Organizations: Morningstar, CNBC Pro, Global Real Estate Securities, Fund Locations: U.S, Canada
He said it's "always a stock picker's market," but that this is even more pertinent this year. Morningstar gives the company a five-star rating, and according to Sekera it has a healthy dividend yield and is trading at a 34% discount to Morningstar's fair value. Of the 23 analysts covering the stock, 11 give it a buy or overweight rating, while 12 have hold ratings. The average price target on the stock is $39.40, according to FactSet data, giving it potential upside of 13.2%. On GSK, Sekera noted that the London Stock Exchange-listed company is trading at a 27% discount.
Persons: David Sekera, Morningstar, Sekera, Kraft Heinz, it's Organizations: U.S . Federal, CNBC Pro, Kraft Heinz, Kraft, GSK, London Stock Exchange, Reuters Locations: United States
The electric vehicle industry is seeing cutthroat competition between investor favorite Tesla and several Chinese automakers like BYD . "While Tesla grabs all the headlines, we don't necessarily think that it's going to be the electric vehicle manufacturers that do the best. Morningstar gives stocks a rating of between one and five stars, with a top rating indicating that the shares are undervalued. We think lithium prices are probably bottoming out here," he told CNBC Pro on Feb. 2. Shares of the U.S. lithium company have had a bumpy ride over the past days.
Persons: Tesla, David Sekera, Volkswagen —, Sekera, it's, Albemarle Organizations: Morningstar, Ford Motor, Volkswagen, CNBC Pro, International Energy Agency, Reuters Locations: BorgWarner, Albemarle, U.S
Chinese stocks had an eventful week last week — with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index hitting a five-year low of about 2,650 points on Feb. 5, before edging up to end the week at 2,865.90. A slide in Hong Kong-listed Chinese shares on Feb. 9, however, proved that investors may still have lingering concerns on the prospects of Chinese stocks in the new year. As the festive season gets underway, Redmond Wong, market strategist at investment firm Saxo, sees several opportunities to play the market. Boom in green transformation Beyond the traditional sectors, Saxo's Wong is watching an up-and-coming area in China: energy security and a green transformation. Data from the International Energy Agency shows that the Asian giant's clean-energy sectors contributed 11.4 trillion Chinese yuan ($1.6 trillion) to the Chinese economy in 2023, up 30% year-on-year.
Persons: Redmond Wong, Saxo, I'm, Wong, Saxo's Wong, Morningstar, Zijin Organizations: CNBC Pro, Monetary Fund, Technology, Shenzhen, Baidu, Sands, Tsingtao, Morningstar, Tsingtao Brewery, International Energy Agency, Companies, Zijin Mining Locations: Shanghai, Hong Kong, China, Zhejiang, Sands China, Macao, Shandong
CNBC Daily Open: U.S. CEOs turn positive on the economy
  + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
US President Joe Biden speaks about the economy and the deal between the United Auto Workers (UAW) Union and the big-three automakers, in Belvidere, Illinois, on November 9, 2023. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Nikkei fresh highsJapan's Nikkei hit new highs on Friday, while most markets in the region were either fully or partially closed for Lunar New Year holidays. Biden pushes backU.S. President Joe Biden in a White House address said his "memory is fine," and disputed a special counsel's claims that he willfully retained classified material at his Delaware home.
Persons: Joe Biden, Dow, Sissie Hsiao, Bard, Biden, Donald Trump, David Sekera Organizations: United Auto Workers, UAW, Union, CNBC, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Google, Bard, Gemini, Bank of Japan, Nevada Republican, NBC Locations: Belvidere , Illinois, Delaware
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Milestone crossedThe benchmark S&P 500 hit the 5,000 level for the first time on Thursday, but closed just under the milestone. Japan's zombie problemsDespite strong performance since the beginning of 2023, Japan's stock market faces several issues over zombie firms. [Pro] Bypassing the Magnificent 7Morningstar's chief markets strategist David Sekera highlighted that the Magnificent Seven stocks "are starting to run out of steam."
Persons: Dow, Sissie Hsiao, Bard, David Sekera Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Google, Bard, Gemini, Bank of Japan
"The Magnificent Seven stocks generally are starting to run out of steam at this point because their valuations are getting pretty full at this point of time," Morningstar's Chief Markets Strategist David Sekera told CNBC Pro on Feb. 2. However, Sekera thinks things are looking up for small-caps and value stocks — the latter of which he says are trading at an 11% discount relative to Morningstar's fair value and look like a "good area for investors to overweight in U.S. stocks right now." Tech stocks The chief strategist remains bullish on tech, albeit outside of the Magnificent Seven, and named Cognizant Technology Solutions and Snowflake as picks to play the theme. Value in energy The energy sector — one of the laggards of the stock market last year — is also on Sekera's radar. Morningstar gives stocks a rating of between one and five stars, with a top rating indicating that the shares are undervalued.
Persons: David Sekera, Morningstar, Sekera, Russell, , We're, doesn't, NiSource, Entergy Organizations: Big Tech, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, CNBC Pro, Dow, Nasdaq, Tech, Technology Solutions, APA Corp, Morningstar, Exxon, APA, Entergy, WEC Energy Locations: Suriname, United States
That could be a sign that workers feel less confident about the state of the labor market. AdvertisementFriday's blowout jobs report confirmed the labor market is still holding firm, but one often-ignored statistic could signal a looming slowdown. "The second straight 2.2% quits rate — just below the pre-Covid level — is more important, because it clearly signals slower wage gains." "All that air is coming out of the labor market, even though hiring remains strong." "The job market is steadily returning to its pre-pandemic self," Morningstar's Preston Caldwell said in a research note.
Persons: , José Torres, Ian Shepherdson, Philipp Carlsson, Szlezak, Optimists, Morningstar's Preston Caldwell Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Macroeconomics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Boston Consulting Group, Business, eBay, Los Angeles Times
Right now, they are the most attractive part of the market, trading at a 25% discount, he noted. "Initially, small caps were hit the hardest during the early stages of the pandemic," Sekara said. "I think a lot of people just worried if those companies would actually survive the pandemic or not, just because as small-cap stocks, they didn't have the same financial wherewithal as large-cap stocks." AdvertisementWhy small caps now? AdvertisementBelow are seven stocks from Morningstar's list of small-cap value stocks with five-star ratings.
Persons: , it's, Dave Sekara, Sekara, Morningstar Organizations: Service, Business, Google, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Morningstar
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