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China plans to increase debt issuance to boost its economy. It announced plans for a new fiscal stimulus package on Saturday. AdvertisementChina has announced plans to ramp up government debt issuance in a bid to boost its economy. "We will increase support for local governments in resolving government debt risks, increase debt limits on a larger scale, and support local governments in resolving hidden debts," he said. Chinese equities rallied in September on the back of a series of easing measures announced by Beijing aimed at stimulating growth.
Persons: , Lan Fo'an, Fo'an, Huang Yan Organizations: Service, China, Asia Investment, CSI, Shanghai QiuYang, Reuters Locations: China, Beijing, Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPrial: We need to be concerned about this earnings season fairly broadly. Nancy Prial from Essex Investment Management discusses the concerns over net interest income for banks, particularly following a warning from JPMorgan's COO that guidance may be too optimistic.
Persons: Nancy Prial Organizations: Essex Investment Management
JPMorgan reported third-quarter earnings on Friday that beat analysts' expectations. The banking giant increased revenue by 7% and earnings per share by 1%. CEO Jamie Dimon warned of a worsening global environment and lingering threats to the US economy. AdvertisementJPMorgan reported third-quarter earnings on Friday that exceeded Wall Street's expectations, even as CEO Jamie Dimon warned of a dangerous and worsening global backdrop. JPMorgan stock added 1.5% in premarket trading in New York, and has gained almost 24% this year.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service Locations: Gaza, New York
Jamie Dimon said he expects to stay at JPMorgan "for a long period" rather than join the government. One way that Dimon might do that after stepping down as CEO is to stay on as chairman. "I intend to be doing what I'm doing — I almost guarantee I'll be doing this — for a long period of time, or at least until the board kicks me out," he said. (The firm has previously said it intends to separate the CEO and chairman roles after Dimon steps down.) The Wells Fargo analyst on Friday suggested Dimon has been commenting on government pontifications in the past year more than at any other time in his career, raising questions about his political aspirations.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Dimon, isn't, Lloyd Blankfeld, David Solomon, I've, wouldn't, Goldman Sachs, he's, Wells, Warren Buffett Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, JPMorgan Chase, Citi, Bank of America Locations: Wells Fargo, American
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should be overweight equities versus fixed income, says JPMorgan's Gabriela SantosGabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management chief market strategist for Americas, joins 'Squawk box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, where investors can find opportunities right now, and more.
Persons: JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos Gabriela Santos Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Honeywell stock received a rare downgrade from JPMorgan on Thursday. "They said they wanted to reshuffle their portfolio," Jim Cramer said Tuesday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: It's, Vimal Kapur, JPMorgan's, Kapur, Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, DOV, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: Honeywell, JPMorgan, DuPont, CNBC, Eaton, Linde, JPMorgan's Honeywell, DD, LIN, Honeywell International Inc, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Eaton, Dover, DuPont, Megatrends, New York
China's CSI 300 index has gained about 25% since the stimulus measures were announced. That would depend on whether the measures announced will likely target China's stock market or the real economy. Even if China's economy improves and its stock market soars, experts suggest it's unlikely to hurt the Indian equity market's growth outlook over the long term. For now, a strong and rapidly growing economy, as well as a "resilient" domestic investor base, continue to be significant drivers of Indian stock markets, according to Wall Street's observers. "The Indian market has numerous positive domestic drivers which underpin our overweight recommendation," Morgan Stanley's Jonathan Garner said in a note to clients this week.
Persons: India's, Chris Ma, Berstein's Rupal Agarwal, David Aserkoff, Aserkoff, Morgan Stanley's, Wall, Morgan, Jonathan Garner, Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, Beijing, Citi, Central Locations: China, India, Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa
Earnings season is getting underway with JPMorgan Chase on Friday, but don't expect its third-quarter results to turn the market around. So far this year, the investment bank has not started the season off upbeat, as shares have fallen in every postearnings trading session. However, he also noted that net interest income may be under pressure. "NII should be modestly lower in the quarter, due to some [net interest margin] compression," he wrote in a note to clients Wednesday. "In addition, results should be impacted by seasonally lower trading activity (flat to up 2% y-o-y) while asset quality continues to normalize."
Persons: Jason Goldberg, Goldberg Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, Investment Group, JPMorgan, Barclays
Indexes dipped Thursday as investors took in hotter-than-expected inflation data. Traders see the latest data solidifying odds of a 25 basis point rate cut next month. AdvertisementUS stocks edged lower on Thursday as investors took in slightly hotter-than-expected inflation data after last week's blockbuster jobs report. The core CPI reading, which excludes food and energy costs, came in at 3.3% year-over-year, slightly above forecasts of 3.2% and 0.3% higher than the August reading. JPMorgan's top strategist, one of Wall Street's biggest bears, is turning upbeat on the stock market for the first time in two years.
Persons: , Milton, Bill Gross Organizations: Traders, Service, CPI, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Labor Department, FEMA, Hurricanes Locations: Here's
The Justice Department's proposals included "behavioral and structural remedies" that would prevent Google from using its products against its rivals. GOOGL YTD mountain Google shares in 2024 Overall, Alphabet shares likely won't change much on the DOJ's initial framework in the short term, according to JPMorgan. The myriad of potential outcomes for Google means there isn't much near-term clarity for the stock. Indeed, Alphabet shares are up 15% in 2024, versus S & P 500's 21% gain. The bigger catalyst for Alphabet shares is the company's opportunity to further reduce its headcount and save on costs, analyst Thomas Champion wrote in a Sept. 30 research note.
Persons: Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, JPMorgan's Anmuth, Craig Moffett, Moffett, Piper Sandler, Thomas Champion, — CNBC's Jennifer Elias, Michael Bloom Organizations: Justice, Google, DOJ, JPMorgan, Meta Locations: U.S
Earnings season is right around the corner, and there are some stocks investors should be wary of, according to Piper Sandler. The season unofficially kicks off this week, with JPMorgan's third-quarter results due Friday before the bell, and it ramps up from there. The remaining four have a strong buy or buy rating. The department store chain is set to report its quarterly results in November. By contrast, only two have a strong buy or buy rating.
Persons: Piper Sandler, they've, Paramount's, Skydance, Nordstrom, it's, Piper, Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Paramount Global, Warner Bros, Paramount, GameStop, Southwest Airlines, Southwest Locations: U.S, GME
JPMorgan's top strategist had something positive to say about stocks for the first time in a while. "While it is too soon to assume that this is a turning point, it does suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near term." Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But that seems to be changing, based on a Tuesday note from JPMorgan chief global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas. "We are neutralizing our long Defensive and short Cyclicals view," Lakos-Bujas said.
Persons: Dubravko Lakos, Bujas, Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Reserve, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: China, buybacks
Nouriel Roubini says stagflation risk will rise if Donald Trump wins the election. AdvertisementThe US economy might confront a fate more challenging than a recession if Donald Trump retakes the White House, famed economist Nouriel Roubini said. According to Roubini, Trump's proposals would fuel these two key ingredients: lower growth and higher inflation. In July, JPMorgan's chief global strategist David Kelly called Trump's tariff and immigration policy mix an "elixir for stagflation." AdvertisementRoubini said tensions in the Middle East make the threat of stagflation under Trump worse.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Donald Trump, Doom, , Donald Trump retakes, Trump, Kamala Harris, stagflation, Roubini, Larry Summers, David Kelly Organizations: Greenwich Economic, Treasury, Service, Bloomberg, Barclays, Republican, Peterson Institute, Trump Locations: Greenwich, Israel, Iran
4 trends to watch this bank earnings season
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Expect lots of questions about how lower rates will affect business going forward. JPMorgan and Wells Fargo will kick off earnings on Friday, followed by Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Bank of America on Tuesday. Related storiesHere are the top four things to look for this bank earnings season. AdvertisementGoldman Sachs CEO David Solomon described a "more challenging macro environment, particularly in the month of August," and said the bank's trading business was "trending down close to 10%." In good news, the compensation expert Johnson Associates sees bonuses up this year across the board, an analysis that's reflected in part of Wall Street's earnings results so far this year.
Persons: Wells Fargo, , Daniel Pinto, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, What's, David Solomon, Solomon, Pinto, Banks, Johnson Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Citi, Bank of America, Investment, LSEG, Renaissance, Barclays Financial Services Conference, Lending, Fed, Wall, Barclays
Lemkau told BI why you shouldn't skimp on sleep or be overly obsessed with your job. As CEO of JPMorgan Wealth Management, Lemkau runs a unit with $1 trillion in client assets and nearly 10,000 employees. She disagrees with Wall Street's "work until you drop" culture that encourages skimping on sleep to get the job done. Lemkau got used to sleeping less in order to balance her career at JPMorgan and raising two children. Lemkau chose sleep and unplugging from technology, aiming for eight hours of sleep a night and not using her phone before bed.
Persons: JPMorgan's Kristin Lemkau, Lemkau, , Kristin Lemkau, Wall, Arianna Huffington, shortchanging, Stephen Squeri, Goldman Sachs, Brian Robinson Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Wealth Management, Huffington, American Express Locations: Manhattan
Alphadyne Asset Management hired JPMorgan's Thomas Byuen as a commodity index portfolio manager. Hedge funds like Balyasny and Jain Global have poached big bank commodity traders in recent years. Byuen, global head of commodity index trading, joined the bank in 2012 out of college, according to his LinkedIn profile and industry records. More recently, Jain Global, the most hyped new hedge fund launch in years, hired BofA's Max Lee, head of commodity and FX systematic strategy trading. Commodities is a top strategy at the fund, which brought in ex-Macquarie exec David Hochberg to lead the unit.
Persons: JPMorgan's Thomas Byuen, , wasn't, Thomas Byuen, Max Lee, Mike Severo, LMR, Goldman Sachs, Will Scott, Morgan Stanley, Dan Deighton, Balyasny, Deighton's, BofA's Max Lee, David Hochberg Organizations: Asset Management, Jain, Service, Alphadyne, Management, JPMorgan, Verition Fund Management, Balyasny Asset Management, LMR Partners, Commodities, Macquarie Locations: BofA
Yet, as markets eye a soft landing, potential shocks pose a higher risk to investors, David Kelly says. The firm's chief global strategist says the promise of a soft landing has encouraged Americans to pour into riskier assets at the exact time they shouldn't be. "I will say that although I think this is positive for the equity market, I am getting increasingly queasy about the fact that the equity market keeps on pricing in a soft landing," Kelly told Business Insider. He said that as the market prices in a soft landing, valuations rise, which means any shock to the market could send asset prices tumbling. According to Fed data, the total aggregate wealth of American households grew by about $50 trillion in the last five years.
Persons: David Kelly, , Kelly, shouldn't, you've, payrolls Organizations: Service, Asset, Business, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy's on the track the Fed wants and they can follow the dot plot, says JPMorgan's David KellyDavid Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management chief global strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Friday's jobs report in regards to the Fed's monetary policy, if there's a risk-on signal for equity markets, and much more.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly David Kelly Organizations: JPMorgan Asset Management
Despite the major indexes trading near their all-time highs, there are still plenty of stocks that JPMorgan is bearish on in the coming quarter. Against this backdrop, JPMorgan surveyed its analysts for their top short ideas, or stocks that might underperform going into the fourth quarter. Shares have risen 9% in 2024, leading to what JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut believes is an expensive valuation. JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Goldman also has an underweight rating on Beyond Meat . "Plant-based meat continues to struggle as the fad fades," the analyst wrote.
Persons: Stocks, Stanley Black, Decker, Michael Rehaut, Kenneth Goldman, Stephen Tusa, Mark Strouse Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Traders, Rockwell Automation, ROK, FuelCell Energy Locations: , underinvestment
Much of the office market may be mired in a downturn, but demand has been strong for high-end space. New office construction has dropped off sharply, leading to a potential upcoming shortage. That demand has persisted even as office construction has been stifled by higher interest rates and inflation, which have pushed up costs. Worries over the health of the office market have also made lenders reluctant to finance new development. 8 million square feet of that is pre-leased, meaning that there is only about 10 million square feet of upcoming available top quality space.
Persons: , Hilary Goldfarb, Goldfarb, Crowell, there's, Scott Rechler, Rechler, Vanderbilt, Philippe Visser, CBRE, Visser, Larry Silverstein, Norman Foster, Silverstein, Randolph St, Ross, Stephen Ross, Jordan Rathlev, Rathlev, Jessica Morin, Morin, Banks, RXR, I'm, you'd Organizations: Service, Rockefeller Development, Fifth St, RXR, Skidmore, Owings, Merrill, TF Cornerstone, Grand Central, Citadel, Yards, Companies, Oxford Properties, Hudson, Hudson Yards, KKR, Meta, World Trade Center, American Express, Trade, Related's, Central Locations: Washington ,, Washington, DC, New York, San Francisco, midtown Manhattan, Manhattan, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Lower Manhattan, Chicago, Fulton, West Palm Beach , Florida, CBRE
How the port strike could actually boost Costco sales
  + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Club stock Nvidia jumped more than 3% — bucking the pressure on Big Tech. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Oppenheimer, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Wall, Nvidia, Big Tech, Blackwell, Broadcom, Devices, Food and Drug Administration, Costco, AMD Locations: New Jersey
"The jobs market is slowing down and becoming less tight," said Katie Nixon, chief investment officer at Northern Trust Wealth Management. Then there are the monthly revisions that have been dramatic at times, causing the Labor Department to overcount hiring by more than 800,000 for the 12-month period through March 2024, adding uncertainty to jobs market analysis. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the report at 8:30 a.m. Looking for cluesStill, markets will in fact be watching the report closely. At the same meeting where they approved the reduction, policymakers indicated another half percentage point, or 50 basis points, in cuts before the end of 2024 and another full percentage point in 2025.
Persons: Angus Mordant, Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Katie Nixon, We've, there's, David Kelly, Helene —, JPMorgan's Kelly, Kelly Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Trust Wealth Management, Labor Department, Asset Management, Labor Statistics Locations: Albany, Latham , New York
Here are JPMorgan's top stock picks heading into October
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
For October, the additions include Best Buy and Carmax , while Wayfair , CarGurus and First Citizens BancShares are among those removed. The bank cited positive existing home sales, and an expansion in AI adoption, believing Best Buy will see continued growth in average selling prices . Analyst Christopher Horvers says Best Buy will increase its profitability over time, noting an uptick in operating margins to 5% from last year's 4.1%. He has an overweight rating on the stock, and his price target of $111 implies more than 9% upside from Tuesday's close. The bank's price target for Schwab implied about 22% upside and for Ulta Beauty about 18% potential appreciation, based on Tuesday's close.
Persons: JPMorgan's, Christopher Horvers, BBY, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Charles Schwab, Schwab Organizations: JPMorgan, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wall, AT, TPG Locations: Israel, Richland , Minnesota, Dallas, DirectTV, Lilly, Ireland
The best-case scenario for stocks is if Friday's jobs report comes in slightly above consensus, according to JPMorgan. Here are the bank's five scenarios: Above 200,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 trades flat or as much as 0.5% higher. Between 160,000 to 200,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 gains between 1% and 1.5%. Between 140,000 to 160,000 jobs added: The S & P 500 rises by 0.75% to 1.25%. Between 110,000 to 140,000 jobs added: JPMorgan traders see the S & P 500 sliding between 0.5% and 1.5%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Dow Jones, JPMorgan's, Michael Feroli, nonfarm Organizations: JPMorgan, Investors, Federal Locations: U.S
Patrick Lenihan, 33, JPMorgan Asset ManagementJP Morgan Asset ManagementAt JPMorgan Asset Management, Lenihan manages $21 billion in 8,000 customizable portfolios that provide generous tax advantages for the firm's clients. The dual role of fund manager and product developer combines his interest in finance with his engineering background. Lenihan led the development of a product that required buy-in from across internal tech teams, third-party partners, and operations. Lenihan also launched a mentoring program that seeks to build connectivity among different teams at the asset manager. "I have learned firsthand about how successful you can be with those close partnerships when you work together, " he said.
Persons: Patrick Lenihan, Lenihan, Ted Dimig Organizations: JPMorgan Asset, Asset Management, JPMorgan Asset Management, JPMorgan, Chrysler, University of Michigan, CFA, Wharton
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