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☆ How Europe can avoid a trade war in a 2nd Trump term
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

They say the EU will need to employ some retaliatory measures but has to be careful not to escalate. AdvertisementEconomists and analysts said that in order to avoid a trade war, policymakers in Europe need to employ a specific playbook to mitigate the economic drag while keeping trade tensions in check. Kenningham says the EU will likely hit the US with targeted tariffs on certain industries, rather than an across-the-board action. Related storiesTrade deals to avoid tariffsKenningham said EU policymakers could also negotiate a deal to avoid US tariffs. Advertisement"There is a possibility that if the strategy toward Europe is very aggressive, Europeans may change attitudes toward the Transatlantic Alliance.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Trump, Joachim Nagel, Emmanuel Macron, Mario Draghi, Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, Harley, Carlo Bastasin, Bastasin Organizations: Biden, Italian, Capital Economics, European Union, EU, Trade, European, Brookings, Trump, Transatlantic Alliance Locations: Europe, China, European, EU, Trump's, Ukraine, Germany

☆ I moved to Dubai when I became a millionaire at 24. People don't treat me differently here because of my wealth.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( Kelly Burch | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

He got into sales at 16 and became a millionaire last year at 24. I did sales courses and seminars, which made me better and better with this skill set. Related storiesI was uncomfortable with people treating me differentlyEven before I became a millionaire, I noticed that people started treating me differently. Suddenly, the popular crowd — who never paid attention to me in school — started inviting me out. I didn't like that, and I didn't want to be treated differently because of my wealth.

Persons: Ben Grant, there's, —, I'm, I've, we're Organizations: Learn, Lamborghini, Rover Locations: England, Sunderland, Dubai

☆ A boomer who retired with a $2 million net worth despite working modest jobs shares his advice on retiring comfortably
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementAn Idaho couple retired with a net worth of over $2 million by living frugally and making smart investment choices. Richard learned investment strategies later in life after losing thousands in the dot-com bubble. He worked and lived frugally while attending the University of Illinois, which he said cost just $173 his first semester. Advertisement"I haven't been a disciplined, smart investor throughout my life, but I have always lived frugally," Richard said. In retirement, Richard has produced over 70 books about his hometown, American history, and trail guides.

Persons: Richard, weren't, wasn't, it's, I've, He's Organizations: University of Illinois, Air Force, Social, Social Security Locations: Idaho, Illinois, Sacramento, Airbnbs

☆ Postelection stock market thrust unable to be sustained as rate and valuation worries creep back in
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500, 1 month The S & P is still about 3-4% above levels where chart readers would start to get more concerned about the underlying trajectory. Even in Friday's 1.3% slide in the S & P 500, only two-thirds of all stocks were down on the day and the equal-weight S & P was off a modest three-quarters of a percent. It makes sense that the market wasn't able to summon a sustained thrust of exuberance after the election anxiety evaporated, given the somewhat demanding starting point. A more mature economic and risk cycle and vulnerability to higher rates among smaller, lower-quality stocks mean they aren't likely to lead from here, Pies says. Is the market presciently foretelling an unleashing of transactional fervor that will return Wall Steet's middlemen to their former glory?

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jay Powell, Warren Pies, Goldman Organizations: Nasdaq, KBW, ICE, Trump, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank, 3Fourteen Research, Wall Street Locations: Friday's

☆ A 37-year-old who built a seven-figure net worth and considers himself 'semi-FIRE'd' explains how his investment strategy has evolved since picking stocks and 'gambling' money in his 20s
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( Kathleen Elkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

AdvertisementAndre Nader found himself in a financial hole after losing money trading options. He shifted his investment strategy and started buying low-cost index funds. He owns various Fidelity and Vanguard index funds, including VTI and VXUS. Andre Nader lost a good chunk of money in the stock market in his early 20s. Nader, who considers himself "semi-FIRE'd" since his wife still works, owns various Fidelity and Vanguard index funds.

Persons: Andre Nader, VXUS, Nader, Nader —, —, I've Organizations: Fidelity, Vanguard, Bogleheads, Meta, Market, Index Fund Locations: San Francisco

☆ BlackRock's Gargi Chaudhuri shares how to invest as ETF inflows soar to records ahead of a promising 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

AdvertisementHowever, BlackRock's Gargi Chaudhuri doesn't think President-elect Trump deserves all the credit for this astounding market rally. "Obviously, there have been some pretty sharp movements over the course of the last week," Chaudhuri told Business Insider. Corporate earnings growth is arguably the most compelling reason to stick with US stocks following what's been another outstanding performance this year. "One of the things that the equity market has done over and over again is continue to surprise us in terms of earnings growth," Chaudhuri said. AdvertisementWhere to invest in a rosy 2025Two sectors with abnormally strong earnings prospects are financials and industrials, Chaudhuri said.

Persons: BlackRock's Gargi Chaudhuri, —, Donald Trump's, there's, BlackRock's Gargi Chaudhuri doesn't, Trump, Chaudhuri, They've, they're, " Chaudhuri Organizations: Service, BlackRock, Federal Reserve Locations: Americas

☆ Disney is avoiding more political dust-ups, but Netflix is bringing the fight to the media giant when it comes to live sports
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. In today's big story, Disney reported strong earnings and has a bright outlook on the future, but it doesn't want to discuss politics . The big storyLet's not talk politicsBob Iger, CEO of Disney Charley Gallay/Getty ImagesWhen it comes to Donald Trump, Disney is taking a page from its famous mascot and being as quiet as a mouse. But the king of streaming — Netflix — seems unstoppable , and it's threatening a space that Disney's ESPN previously had a stronghold: live sports.

Persons: —, it's, Bob Iger, Disney Charley Gallay, Donald Trump, didn't, Iger, we've, Minnie Mouse, Iger's, BI's Lucia Moses, Ron DeSantis, Trump, Hulu —, Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, Michael Ostuni, Tyler Le, Fiona Carter, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, it's Elon, Steve Schwarzman's, Sam Altman, Elon Musk, Tesla, Lina Khan's, Rebecca Zisser, Dan DeFrancesco, Grace Lett, Ella Hopkins, Hallam Bullock, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Disney, Revenue, Trump, Walt Disney World, Anadolu, Getty, Disney's ABC, ESPN, Netflix, Federal Reserve, EV, Microsoft, Federal Trade Commission Locations: Asia, Hollywood, Florida, Blackstone, ChatGPT, New York, Chicago, London

☆ Inside Microsoft's struggles with Copilot
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Ashley Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +23 min

In September 2023, Microsoft's famously soft-spoken CEO, Satya Nadella, unveiled the company's flagship AI product, Copilot, with sweeping fanfare. Some of Microsoft's own employees and executives are privately concerned that Copilot won't be able to deliver on its ambitions. Copilot's struggles have created an opening for Microsoft's rivals, some of whom have seized on the opportunity to promote their own agendas. "Now, when Joe Blow logs into an account and kicks off Copilot, they can see everything," said one Microsoft employee familiar with customer complaints. As complaints and questions over Copilot mount, so does the pressure to justify Microsoft's unprecedented level of spending on AI.

Persons: Microsoft's, Satya Nadella, Gartner, Copilot, it'll, Copilot's, Marc Benioff, Benioff, Goldman Sachs, Marc Andreessen, Andreessen Horowitz, Ethan Miller, Jared Spataro, Spataro, —, Joe Blow, Joe, Nadella, Gary Marcus, Marcus, Wile, Coyote, Brontë, Judson Althoff, Jason Zander, Zander, We've, OpenAI, Tasos Katopodis, Steve Jobs Organizations: Microsoft, Venture, Getty, Goldman, BI, Fortune, Excel, Lumen Technologies, Honeywell, Gartner, Wall Street, Initiative, Department of Homeland Security, Employees, San Francisco, Software, Apple, Jobs Locations: Microsoft's, Copilot, New York City

☆ Eva Longoria, 49, says she's doing 'everything' to age well — from cold-plunging to red-light therapy
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Erin Liam | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Eva Longoria shared wellness practices that she lives by. Longoria, who will turn 50 in March, added that she's 'excited' to age. Not because I don't want to age but because I do want to age," said Longoria, who turns 50 in March. "For me, age is just a number, but I'm excited," Longoria added. In 2016, Longoria told "The Cut" that people should prioritize their time and efforts toward wellness.

Persons: Eva Longoria, Longoria, —, Eva Longoria's, Marie Claire, I'm, Venki, Mary Ní Lochlainn, It's Organizations: Service, M University, Kingsville, Business Insider, King's College London Locations: kinesiology, Texas

☆ My husband and I felt like we didn't save enough money to retire in the US. So we moved to Mexico and built our dream home.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

My husband and I made reasonable salaries living in NYC but weren't happy about retirement. We moved to Mexico in 2020 into our dream house and now feel far more secure about retirement. We eventually settled on Mexico, a country that's long been a favorite of American retirees where an estimated 1.6 million already live. We moved to Mexico ahead of retirement so we could enjoy it moreWe moved to Mexico before retiring because we thought the transition to retirement in another country would be easier if we had already lived there. AdvertisementWe make less money in Mexico, but our cost of living is lowerOur combined income is less than it was when we were living in New York.

Persons: —, Fabian Martinezv, Marc Perrotta, We're, We'll Organizations: Service, Foreign, Security Locations: Mexico, Spain, Canada, California, Florida, Mérida, Yucatán, Bushwick , Brooklyn, United States, Mérida's, NYC, New York

☆ Disney stock surges on streaming growth, guidance
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Lillian Rizzo | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Disney | PixarDisney reported its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings Thursday, narrowly beating analyst estimates as streaming growth helped propel its entertainment segment. During Disney's fiscal 2025, the company expects high-single-digit adjusted earnings growth compared with the prior fiscal year. Disney anticipates double-digit percentage growth in operating income for its entertainment segment for fiscal 2025. Streaming stridesThe atmosphere at the Disney Bundle Celebrating National Streaming Day at The Row in Los Angeles on May 19, 2022. During the fiscal fourth quarter Disney's streaming entertainment ad revenue was up 14% due to Disney+, and executives expect it to be a driver of streaming revenue going forward.

Persons: —, Bob Iger, who's, they're, Hugh Johnston, Disney, Presley Ann, Walt Disney Organizations: Disney, Pixar Disney, Revenue, Warner Bros, Getty, Hulu, ESPN, Discovery, Netflix, Comcast, Paramount Global, " Media, U.S, Walt Locations: Los Angeles, India

☆ Lavish gold-domed penthouse in New York City on sale for $25 million
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Jacqui Palumbo | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Visitors to New York City’s famed Flatiron Building may have noticed the landmark’s lesser-known neighbor — a narrow high-rise that would be modest if not for its extravagant gold dome. Now, the 5,777-square-foot penthouse that occupies the shimmering dome (and the two-story octagonal cupola it crowns) is on sale for $25 million. The five-bedroom, five-bathroom property sits atop 170 Fifth Avenue, which was built in 1898 and predates the Flatiron Building by four years. The building has been standing four years longer than its famous neighbor, the Flatiron Building. Alexander Alland, Jr. /Corbis Historical/Getty ImagesHaving once contained various businesses, including a publishing house, 170 Fifth Avenue was converted into a condominium at the turn of the millennium.

Persons: Eitan Gamliely, ”, Lawrence Treglia, it’s, Treglia, Robert Maynicke, Maynicke, Jay Maisel, Alexander Alland, Gregory C, Carr, ” Treglia Organizations: CNN, Visitors, New York Times, Tiffany Locations: New York, York, preschools, Mozambique

☆ This fund has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 5 years. Here's how
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Select Quality Equity Fund (GQEPX) is up 33% in 2024, outpacing the S & P 500's 27% year-to-date total return. It has also outperformed 99% of funds in its category over the past five years, per Morningstar. This matches the rest of the firm's fund strategies, GQG portfolio manager Brian Kersmanc told CNBC. "We focus on this concept of forward quality," Kersmanc explained. So they're considered that sort of a blue chip, almost widow-and-orphan stock within the portfolio," Kersmanc said.

Persons: Morningstar, GQEPX, Brian Kersmanc, Eli Lilly, Kersmanc, Rajiv Jain, it's, Philip Morris, —, It's, they're Organizations: GQG Partners, Equity Fund, CNBC, Nvidia, Exxon Mobil, Kersmanc, Exxon Locations: Florida, GQEPX

☆ Personal luxury goods market to shrink for first time since the 2008 financial crash, research finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Lauren Decicca | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThe personal luxury goods market looks set to face its first slowdown since the Global Financial Crisis this year, as macroeconomic uncertainty and a pronounced slowdown in China weigh on consumer spending, according to the Bain & Company's annual luxury report . This is the first slowdown in demand for personal luxury goods — which include clothing, bags, jewelry and cosmetics — in 15 years, excluding the Covid-19 lockdown period, according to the Wednesday findings. It noted that overall luxury spending is forecast to remain flat year-on-year in 2024 at around 1.5 trillion euros ($1.59 billion), even as segments including autos, travel and fine wine record modest growth. Luxury demand in Europe and the U.S. has shown signs of gradual improvement quarter-on-quarter this year, with Japan leading the way due to favorable currency exchange rates. As such, the report forecast the sector will grow slightly next year, barring any major economic headwinds.

Persons: Patek Philippe, Lauren Decicca, Kering, Cartier, Richemont, Bain Organizations: Dolce, Gabbana, Tiffany, Getty, Bain, LVMH, Burberry, Gucci, Bain & Company, U.S Locations: Siam, Bangkok, Thailand, China, Europe, Japan

☆ Boeing got the easy part done. Now comes the tougher, existential problems
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

But its more serious problems – ongoing massive losses, quality and safety problems – are as bad as ever, and could even get worse. Renewed problems in ChinaAmong the most serious problems Boeing faces is President-elect Donald Trump’s promise to impose large tariffs on imports from China. “There needs to be a full accounting for everything they do.”Need for new planesAnd there’s yet more mess Boeing needs to sort out. Ortberg told investors last month that Boeing needs to reduce its portfolio and repair its balance sheet so that Boeing has “a path to the next commercial aircraft.”The good news for Boeing is it is in little danger of going out of business, despite its many problems. And Airbus has a backlog of orders stretching back years, as does Boeing, so airline customers can not easily switch orders from one to the other.

Persons: New York CNN —, It’ll, Kelly Ortberg, “ We’re, Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, ”, Richard Aboulafia, Max, “, Ortberg Organizations: New, New York CNN, Boeing, Trump, Airbus, Federal Aviation Administration, Alaska Airlines, FAA, Alaska Locations: New York, China

☆ This open enrollment mistake can cost you and your family thousands, according to a doctor and CFP
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Take workplace life insurance policies, which you can often opt into during open enrollment by simply checking a box. "The biggest mistake I see during open enrollment is people not listing beneficiaries or listing minors as beneficiaries on their workplace life insurance," she says. Be smart about beneficiariesIt's easy to gloss over the life insurance portion of the open enrollment. In the event of your death, the payout on your policy — often the equivalent of about a year's salary — will go to whomever you choose during open enrollment. Her advice to parents of small children: Name your spouse as a primary beneficiary and secondarily leave the money to a trust you have set up for your children.

Persons: Carolyn McClanahan Organizations: Planning

☆ Home Depot’s sales are improving, but it says consumers are still cautious about spending
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Melissa Repko | In Melissa-Repko | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

It previously expected total sales to rise by between 2.5% and 3.5% for the year. Home Depot customers have continued to put off projects, even though they're in good financial shape, he said. It marked the eighth consecutive quarter of negative comparable sales at Home Depot, though the smallest drop since the string of declines began. Sales related to Hurricanes Helene and Milton contributed about one half a percentage point of sales growth to the quarter. Even as Home Depot reports modest growth, some investors have bet the company will see stronger sales in the near future.

Persons: Richard McPhail, They're, McPhail, Hurricanes Helene, Milton, Donald Trump, We've, Steve Madden, Skelly Organizations: CNBC, LSEG, Revenue, Home, Shoppers, Weather, Home Depot, Hurricanes, Federal Reserve, Depot Locations: Mexico City, Mexico, U.S, Texas, China, North America, Santa Claus

☆ Buy this chipmaker as demand for autos chips picks up, Loop Capital says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

NXP Semiconductors has a strong growth runway ahead, according to Loop Capital. Analyst Gary Mobley initiated coverage of the Netherlands-based semiconductor manufacturing and design company with a buy rating and $300 price target. That forecast suggests more than 32% upside for the stock, which is down more than 1% year to date. Now, with the stock at current levels, it may be an attractive entry point for investors, Mobley said. "NXPI checks many of these boxes in automotive secular growth drivers," he said.

Persons: Gary Mobley, Mobley Organizations: Semiconductors, Capital Locations: Netherlands

☆ London startup Agemo has exited stealth. Now, it's building AI reasoning for software to take on Poolside and Magic.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Riddhi Kanetkar | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Agemo has exited stealth with $4 million to build AI that turns text prompts into software. Essentially, this required them to train their AI models to reason like a team of engineers. Agemo finds itself up against the likes of Poolside, which raised $500 million in October, and Magic, which raised $320 million in August. To combat this problem, Agemo is building AI systems that can "reason" in software. AdvertisementEurope's answer to Poolside and MagicTo differentiate it from competitors such as Poolside and Magic, the startup says it has developed a neurosymbolic AI system for software reasoning.

Persons: Agemo, Aymeric Zhuo, Osman Ramadan, —, IBM's Jonathan Adashek, Mehdi Ghissassi, Olivier Pomel, Zhuo, Ramadan, ChatGPT, we've, We've Organizations: Service, Firstminute Capital, Mistral, Fly Ventures, Cambridge University, Microsoft, Activision, BI Locations: DeepMind, OpenAI, Sudan, London, Europe, Bay

☆ Ukraine hoped to force Russia to pick between 2 fronts. Putin chose both.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ukraine's big move this year was to invade Russia's Kursk region, hoping to divert Russia's main invasion. While it took ground in Kursk, Russia was also able to keep up its advance into eastern Ukraine. Russia is now amassing troops in Kursk, hoping to retake it without having compromised its main invasion. AdvertisementWhen Ukraine began its audacious incursion into Russia's Kursk region in August, it hoped to force a choice. That force amassed even as Russia kept up a steady advance on the main front line in eastern Ukraine.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Putin, Andrii Kovalenko Organizations: Service, The New York Times, Moscow Times, Ukraine's Center, North Korean Locations: Russia's Kursk, Kursk, Russia, Ukraine, North Korea, Ukrainian, Ukraine's, The

☆ Oil slips as U.S. storm threat eases, China stimulus disappoints
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices extended declines on Monday as the threat of a supply disruption from a U.S. storm eased and after China's stimulus plan disappointed investors seeking fuel demand growth in the world's No. Oil consumption in China, the world's driver of global demand growth for years, has barely grown in 2024 as its economic growth has slowed, gasoline use has declined with the rapid growth of electric vehicles and liquefied natural gas has replaced diesel as a truck fuel. Oil prices have also eased after concerns about supply disruption from storm Rafael in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico subsided. More than a quarter of U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil and 16% of natural gas output remained offline on Sunday, according to the offshore energy regulator. Looking ahead, uncertainty from policies under U.S. President-elect Donald Trump have clouded the global economic outlook although expectations that he could tighten sanctions on OPEC producers Iran and Venezuela and cut oil supply to global markets partly caused oil prices to gain more than 1% last week.

Persons: Tony Sycamore, Rafael, Donald Trump, refiners Organizations: Brent, West Texas, National People's Congress, ANZ, Central Economic Work Conference, U.S Locations: U.S, China, U.S . Gulf, Mexico, Iran, Venezuela

☆ ETF world buzzing about new cash flooding into funds seen winning from Trump trades
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."

Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico

Chinese authorities last month announced high-level plans for subsidies and tax breaks to households with children under the age of 3. China's efforts to bolster birth rates have yet to address the core reasons for their rapid decline, according to analysts. Births in China have been on a drastic downward trend since the government implemented its "one-child policy" nationwide in 1980. An increasingly pressing factor for families in China is uncertainty about income for raising a child. After decades of rapid expansion, China's economy has slowed down, dragged down by a real estate slump.

Persons: Lauren Johnston, Harry Murphy Cruise, Austin Schumacher, Schumacher, Sheana Yue, Yue Organizations: Dongfang, China Studies Center, University of Sydney, United Nations, Moody's, Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington, Oxford Locations: Lianyungang, China, U.S

☆ Trump's proposed trade war raises the odds of a US recession to 75%, Wall Street strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Recession risk has jumped to 75% due to the potential for a trade ware under Trump, BCA Research said. Trump's proposed tariffs could lower household income and depress corporate investments. In a Friday note, Berezin increased the probability of an economic recession to 75% from 65%, citing the risk of a new trade war under Trump. On the campaign trail, Trump proposed implementing universal tariffs of 10%-20% on goods imported into the country and a 60% tariff on goods from China. Berezin cited a study from the Budget Lab at Yale that estimates Trump's proposed tariffs could reduce real disposable income for the median US household by $1,900-$7,600.

Persons: Trump's, —, Peter Berezin, Donald Trump's, Berezin, Trump Organizations: Trump, BCA Research, Service, Yale Locations: China

☆ An analyst sees a key catalyst for Wells Fargo early next year — and it's a big reason we own it
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A crucial catalyst for shares of Club holding Wells Fargo may be around the corner, according to one Wall Street firm. Bank of America also raised its price target on Wells Fargo to $84 a share from $75, and reiterated its buy rating on the stock. Bottom line We've long called out the asset cap removal as a big catalyst for Wells Fargo — and it's been central to our overall investment thesis for the stock. That's because once these restrictions are lifted, Wells Fargo can finally grow its balance sheet past that nearly $2 trillion threshold again. Wells Fargo bank signage is seen on Broadway on April 12, 2024 in New York City.

Persons: Wells, Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Charlie Scharf's, Scharf, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Bank, Wells Fargo, Bloomberg News, CNBC, Broadway, Santiago, Getty Locations: Wells, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo —, New York City

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