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☆ Fed caution may be justified if the labor market starts to deteriorate. Here's why that could happen
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A strong jobs outlook raises the potential of greater inflation pressures, meaning the central bank might be less eager to ease policy. Indeed, there are some signs that the labor market's strength may not be as robust as the headline nonfarm payrolls numbers indicate. Economists both on Wall Street and at the Fed suspect swelling immigration numbers are playing a role in boosting employment and keeping the labor market so tight. With political clamoring intensifying for the U.S. to tighten its border controls, the resilience of the labor market then could be jeopardized depending on how large a role immigration is playing. "Another strong report raises the potential that the deterioration in labor markets we have been expecting will be avoided.

Persons: nonfarm, Seema Shah, Shah, Mohamed El, There's, Goldman Sachs, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Andrew Hollenhorst Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, Asset Management, Allianz, Fed, CNBC, Wall, Congressional, Citigroup, Citi Locations: it's, Italy, U.S, South America, Central America, Mexico

☆ Unemployment rate among Black Americans jumped in March, contrasting overall trends
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Lindsey Nicholson | Universal Images Group | Getty ImagesThe unemployment rate among Black Americans jumped in March, according to data released Friday by the Department of Labor. That's higher than the overall unemployment rate, which edged lower to 3.8% last month, as well as the 3.4% jobless rate for white Americans, which held steady from February. When accounting for gender, the unemployment rate for Black women aged 20 or older spiked to 5.6%, a big increase from the 4.4% rate in February. Gould pointed out that the unemployment rate for Black Americans has been steadily increasing since December. For Black women, the rate ticked lower to 63% from 63.4%, while it inched down to 69.6% from 69.8% among Black men.

Persons: Lindsey Nicholson, Black, Elise Gould, Gould Organizations: Universal, Getty, Black, Department of Labor, Economic, Institute Locations: Queens , New York

☆ Here's where the jobs are for March 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Health care and social assistance were the top sector for job gains — a common theme in recent years — adding 81,300 jobs. The U.S. labor market surprised economists with its strength once again, adding more than 300,000 jobs in March, with a few key sectors continuing to fuel its growth. Within health care, ambulatory services and hospitals combined to add 55,000 jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Bureau of Labor Statistics noted that the labor force participation has changed little in the past year despite consistent upside surprises for job gains. It's been the key to rebalancing the labor market.

Persons: It's, we've, Stephanie Kelton Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics ., BLS, Labor Statistics, Brook University Locations: U.S

☆ Stock futures turn higher following third straight day of losses for the Dow: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on April 02, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures rose Wednesday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average registered its third straight losing session. Investors' fears that the Federal Reserve may keep rates higher longer have weighed on stocks this week. The result trounced Dow Jones' estimate of 155,000 and spurred investors' fears that rates may indeed stay higher longer. "I don't think that the Fed really has any reason to cut rates.

Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Dow Jones, Larry Tentarelli Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, CNBC, Federal, ADP, Treasury, Blue Locations: New York City . U.S, U.S

If either of these reports come in hotter than expected, mortgage rates could spike up. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 6.11%, a 10-basis-point decrease from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased over three percentage points in 2022. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed Monday evening: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on April 1, 2024. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were little changed Monday night after the broad market index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped to begin April. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures each dipped lower by less than 0.1%. Futures tied to the 30-stock Dow slipped 118 points, or 0.3%, as shares of UnitedHealth fell. To conclude Monday's session, the Dow fell nearly 241 points, or 0.6%, while the S&P 500 slid 0.2%.

Persons: Dow, UnitedHealth, David Miller, — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Medicare, Services, Humana, CVS Health, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Capital Advisors, CNBC, Labor, Survey Locations: UnitedHealth

☆ March's consumer sentiment comes below consensus
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarch's consumer sentiment comes below consensusCNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.

Persons: Rick Santelli

☆ Stock futures are little changed as major averages’ rally takes a breather: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on March 20, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Monday night, after the major averages took a breather from their rally. Month to date, the major U.S. stock benchmarks are on pace for their fifth straight month of gains. Despite some concerns that the market rally has crossed into overbought territory, investors still can't be underweight on equities as of now, according to 3Fourteen Research cofounder Warren Pies. Durable goods orders and the Richmond Fed's manufacturing survey will also provide insight on the health of the manufacturing sector.

Persons: Dow, Warren Pies, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Richmond Locations: New York City . U.S, U.S, overbought

☆ Stock futures slip ahead of shortened trading week: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on March 20, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures were slightly lower Sunday evening ahead of March's last—and shortened—trading week. S&P futures and Nasdaq 100 futures lost nearly 0.1%. Overall investor sentiment remains above its historical average, according to the latest weekly American Association of Individual Investors Sentiment Survey, reflecting persistent market optimism. This week, investors will gain further insight about the path of inflation from the February personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, released Friday morning.

Persons: Ryan Grabinksi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, American Association of, Strategas Securities Locations: New York City, March's, U.S

☆ Bank of America sees opportunity in dividend stocks. Here are a few names it's highlighting
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-22 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Select dividend stocks could help boost investors' portfolio returns as the U.S. economy continues to improve, according to Bank of America. Investors should seek out companies with above-market dividend yields that are secure, not stretched, Subramanian advised. Among the energy names on the list is Chevron , which has a 4.2% dividend yield. The stock has an average rating of overweight and 14% upside to the average analyst price target, according to FactSet. Meanwhile, with Fifth Third Bancorp , investors can enjoy a 3.8% dividend yield.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Michael Wirth, CNBC's Organizations: Bank of America, Investors, Chevron, American Electric Power, Consolidated Edison, Utilities, Fifth Third Bancorp, Bancorp, Essex, Hotels, Resorts Locations: U.S

☆ Miami Beach to spring breakers: Respect curfews and closed beaches, or go somewhere else
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Miami Beach has launched an ad campaign "breaking up" with spring break tourism. Last year, two people were fatally shot during spring break, leading Miami Beach to declare a state of emergency. Police made 573 arrests in Miami Beach last spring break, as well as confiscated over 100 guns, The Wall Street Journal reported. Though many travelers have already made plans — and may not have seen the ad campaign — the "breakup" could reduce disorder. Still, some commenters on YouTube and X noted that these restrictions may not stop spring break travelers from coming.

Persons: —, it's, Dan Gelber, Miami Beach Mayor Steven Meiner Organizations: Miami Beach, Service, YouTube, Police, Street Journal, Miami Beach's, Beach, Miami Beach Mayor Locations: Florida, Miami, Miami Beach

☆ Investors should tread carefully in March after bitcoin's explosive rally to $60,000
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-03 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

With bitcoin on a hot streak this past week, investors should brace themselves for a cooling in March. "But cash inflows into spot bitcoin ETFs are accelerating, and that seems to have been overpowering those technical signals." Although Bitcoin traded above $62,000 to end the week, it's realized price was down at the $42,000 level, according to CryptoQuant. CryptoQuant also showed the cost of opening new long positions in the futures market spiked in the recent rally, which historically signals a coming correction in the bitcoin price. Ether, however, has ended the month higher in six of the last eight March's since its inception, with an average gain on the month of 25%.

Persons: Yuya Hasegawa, Hasegawa, Julio Moreno, Bitcoin, it's, bitcoin, CryptoQuant, David Duong, Duong, Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, CNBC, Federal, New York Community Bancorp Locations: New York

☆ Cramer's week ahead: Watch for earnings from Target, CrowdStrike, Kroger and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday told investors what to look for next week on Wall Street, including earnings from retailers like Target . Tuesday brings earnings from Target and Cramer said he's optimistic about the big-box retailer's performance. On Thursday, Cramer will be paying attention to earnings from grocers Kroger and Costco , as well as Marvell Technology . Friday brings February's unemployment report. If there's a slight boost in unemployment while wages stay steady, Cramer said he thinks investors won't have to fight the Fed.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Forget, he'll, it's, George Kurtz, Campbell Soup, Kroger's, he's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Palo Alto Networks, Abercrombie, Fitch, Kroger, Costco, Marvell Technology, Federal Trade Commission, Albertsons

☆ Russia may be moving to pull the plug on letting the only anti-war candidate run for president because the Kremlin's worried he might take too many votes from Putin, experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Chris Panella | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Russia appears poised to bar the only remaining anti-war candidate from presidential election. Election officials rejected almost 10,000 of the signatures Nadezhdin needed to run. Nadezhdin's popularity appears larger than expected, experts say, and may hurt perceptions of Putin and the war. AdvertisementAhead of next month's presidential election, Russian officials appear poised to bar the only anti-war candidate, Boris Nadezhdin, from running. Russian election law states that candidates have to gather 100,000 signatures to run.

Persons: Putin, —, Boris Nadezhdin, Nadezhdin, Vladimir Putin, didn't, it'll, ISW, Alexei Navalny's, Ivan Zhdanov, Zhdanov Organizations: Service, Kremlin, Commission, Russian, Washington Post, Putin, Institute Locations: Russia, Ukraine, US

☆ Not a lot has changed despite Powell's comments on rate hikes, says New York Life's Goodwin
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNot a lot has changed despite Powell's comments on rate hikes, says New York Life's GoodwinLauren Goodwin, New York Life Investment Management, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the playbook after Jerome Powell's recent comments, if March's Fed meeting even matters, and Goodwin's thoughts on the credit markets.

Persons: Life's Goodwin Lauren Goodwin, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Life Investment Management, Fed Locations: New

☆ Apple analysts are starting to get a bit worried ahead of earnings this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Some Wall Street firms are sounding the alarm on Apple heading into the iPhone maker's earnings after the bell Thursday. Some analysts are bracing for soft iPhone numbers and a potential guide down in March's forecast. AAPL YTD mountain Apple shares year to date Apple's earnings report comes as the technology giant lags its mega-cap peers and the overall market. Apple shares are flat on the year, while the S & P 500 is up 2.5% in that time. Despite these fears, the firm remains bullish on the stock over the long run, sticking with its buy rating.

Persons: Tim Long, Tesla, Long, David Vogt, Apple, William Power, Baird Organizations: Barclays, Apple, UBS, Mar Locations: China

☆ Where to invest $50,000 with Treasury yields rising again
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The 10-year Treasury yield started the new year trading around 3.8% after a steep decline in late 2023. Against this backdrop, CNBC Pro asked three strategists and money managers how they would allocate $50,000 with yields rising again. Specifically, he recommended bills with a three- to six-month maturity, which investors can gain exposure to through exchange-traded funds such as the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) or SPDR Portfolio Short Term Treasury ETF (SPTS) . Exchange-traded funds that offer exposure to these assets include the iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) . Invest in dividend-growing value stocks Newton Investment Management's John Bailer recommended investors solely allocate into value stocks with sustainable and growing dividends.

Persons: Kumar, VGSH, VCIT, John Bailer, JPMorgan Chase, They've, they've, Bailer, Northrop Grumman, James Abate, Abate, Johnson, Geoff Martha, Colgate's Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CNBC Pro, Sri, Kumar, CNBC, AAA, Exchange, Treasury Bond ETF, Vanguard, Stock Market, U.S, Bloomberg, Newton Investment, JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, Northrop, Asset Management, Johnson, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: Bailer's

☆ Goldman breaks down the laggard trade and gives its comeback picks for first quarter 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Today's market-leading stocks may not have the luxury to sit on their laurels, according to Goldman Sachs. Since Goldman Sachs began tracking the "Laggards" trade in 2022, the trend has held up 13 years out of 21, according to Mehta. The laggards have on average outperformed the S & P 500 by 130 basis points. The first, "differentiated buys," includes opportunities where Goldman Sachs analysts have out-of-consensus buy ratings. Finally, Goldman Sachs analysts also identified stocks with a "track record of CROCI [cash return on capital invested] generation," a metric that evaluates a company's cash return against its total equity.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, there's, Deep Mehta, Mehta, Laggards, laggards, Locker, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Financial, Barclays, Mosaic, CF Industries, Clear, Chesapeake Energy, Shoals Technologies, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, Body Works, Mohawk Industries, Bristol, Myers Squibb, Honeywell International, United Parcel Service Locations: . Norfolk Southern, Bath

☆ Slovenia qualify for Euro 2024 after victory over Kazakhstan
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Nov 20 (Reuters) - Benjamin Verbic scored a late winner as Slovenia secured qualification for the Euro 2024 finals in Germany, but opponents Kazakhstan will have to earn their place through March's playoffs following the 2-1 loss in Ljubljana on Monday. Slovenia finish runners-up in qualification Group H behind Denmark on head-to-head record. Kazakhstan needed victory for a first ever qualification, but knew they had secured a playoff spot at least before kick-off following their promotion to League B of the 2024-25 Nations League. Slovenia were awarded a penalty late in the first half after a Video Assistant Referee review when Yan Vorogovskiy fouled Petar Stojanovic in the box. Reporting by Nick Said Editing by Christian RadnedgeOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Benjamin Verbic, Yan Vorogovskiy, Petar Stojanovic, Benjamin Sesko, Ramazan Orazov, Maksim, Jaka Bijol, Islambek Kuat, Nick Said, Christian Radnedge Organizations: Slovenia, Kazakhstan, League B, Nations League, Thomson Locations: Germany, Ljubljana, Denmark, South Africa, Kazakhstan, Maksim Samorodov’s

Rather, asset managers increasingly position these as now a feature of global investing choices rather than all-consuming shocks per se. Likely for the same reason, geopolitical risk monitors are at their highest in over 18 months too. Ebbing demand from a Chinese economy hobbled by property busts and a foreign investment withdrawal due to U.S. investment curbs also hurts. The VIX (.VIX) index of U.S. stock volatility is currently five points below its historic average 19 - and even July VIX futures hover on that mean. The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for ReutersReporting by Mike Dolan Editing by Mark PotterOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: there's, Washington's, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, What's, Melissa Brown, Axioma, Andrew McCaffery, Mike Dolan, Mark Potter Organizations: Bank of, Treasury, UBS Global Wealth Management, Barclays, Global CIO, Fidelity, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Israel, United States, India, Taiwan, Mexico, Britain, Gaza, Russia, China, Wall

Logos of Swiss banks Credit Suisse and UBS are seen before a news conference in Zurich Switzerland, August 30, 2023. The state-engineered merger led to a wipeout of $17 billion of Credit Suisse's AT1 bonds. "Their structure is very new and shows they listened to investors who were angry about the permanent write-down feature," said Jerome Legras, head of research at Axiom Alternative Investments, who held Credit Suisse AT1 bonds before the March banking crisis. The Credit Suisse AT1s wipeout spurned a number of claims against Switzerland's financial regulator FINMA, which inverted the long-established seniority of bondholders over shareholders over the assets of a company in distress. That dented sentiment in the key market for bank bonds and prompted regulators in Europe and Asia to reassure investors.

Persons: Denis Balibouse, Jerome Legras, Joost Beaumont, March's writedown, Noele Illien, Dhara Ranasinghe, Elaine Hardcastle, Alexander Smith Organizations: Credit Suisse, UBS, REUTERS, CS, AT1s, ZURICH, P Global, Suisse, ABN AMRO, Singapore, Thomson Locations: Zurich Switzerland, Swiss, Switzerland's, Europe, Asia

☆ Disney pulls Jonathan Majors movie 'Magazine Dreams' from schedule amid assault case
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( Mike Calia | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Jonathan Majors, and his girlfriend, Meagan Good, flanked by his lawyer Priya Chaudhry (R), arrive to Manhattan Criminal court for his pre trial hearing on August 03, 2023 in New York City. Disney on Friday said it was pulling troubled star Jonathan Majors' next film, "Magazine Dreams," from the schedule this December. Majors' trial for assault charges is scheduled to begin Nov. 29 in New York. Disney hasn't weighed in on the matter, despite Majors being front and center for the company's plans for its lucrative Marvel Cinematic Universe. "Magazine Dreams," a drama about a bodybuilder played by Majors, premiered at the Sundance Film Festival earlier this year to critical acclaim.

Persons: Jonathan Majors, Meagan, Priya Chaudhry, Majors, It's, Disney hasn't, Disney didn't, Grace Jabbari, Disney Organizations: Disney, Majors, Marvel Cinematic, Marvel, , New York, Sundance Film Locations: New York City, New York, HBO's, , New

☆ Almost half of Russians say salary does not cover basic spending - survey
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Evgenia Novozhenina/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsMOSCOW, Oct 23 (Reuters) - The number of Russians who say their salary does not cover basic spending has jumped by 20 percentage points in two years to almost half, a survey by recruiter Headhunter showed, as Moscow diverts record fiscal resources to funding its war in Ukraine. Asked whether their salary was enough to cover basic spending, without taking into account income from second jobs or investments, just one in five Russians surveyed said yes. That is up from 25% in 2021 and 39% in 2022, Headhunter's survey showed. Of the 45% lacking the money for basic spending, more than half said they were at least 20,000 roubles ($212) short per month. The average monthly nominal wage earned by Russians was 71,419 roubles ($756) in July, Rosstat's statistics show.

Persons: Evgenia, Headhunter, Vladimir Putin, Alexander Marrow, Gareth Jones Organizations: U.S ., Russian, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Russia's, International Monetary Fund, Thomson Locations: Moscow, Russia, Ukraine

☆ With the economy holding up, why is the market still so down on America's banks?
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-10 | by ( Tim Mullaney | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Regional bank stocks, in particular, gained as much as 35% before the bond warnings and downgrades began. The higher interest rates bond analysts cited hurt profits some, but most banks' net interest income and margins were higher than a year before. The ratings actions pushed the regional bank stock index 10% lower for the month-long period ending Sept. 8, according to Morningstar (the Moody's bank warning was issued August 7). By any reckoning, the argument about banks is about two things: Interest rates and real estate, specifically office buildings. The average regional bank stock rose 8% after earnings, Morgan Stanley said, with banks beating profit forecasts by an average of 5%.

Persons: Morningstar —, downgrades, Morgan Stanley, Jill Cetina, Cetina, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Scott Rechler, Jeff Greene, Alexander Yokum, Dick Bove, Bove, Yokum Organizations: First, JPMorgan, Bloomberg, Getty, Moody's Investors Service, Poor's, Fitch, Morningstar, Federal Reserve, Fedwatch, RXR, Research, Odeon Capital Locations: First Republic, Regional, Moody's, U.S

☆ US banks hoard $3.3 trillion in cash amid fears of an economic slump
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Joseph Wilkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Since the collapse of SVB and Signature Bank in March, US banks have become cautious on lending. They're holding a cash pile of $3.3 trillion amid fears of an economic slowdown, Reuters reported. The sector remains subdued after Moody's slashed the credit ratings on 10 US banks in August. US banks are now holding back almost $3.3 trillion in cash amid fears of an economic slowdown, ongoing deposit withdrawals, and stricter liquidity rules, Reuters reported. The banking sector has remained subdued this year and was hit with a ratings downgrade in August.

Persons: Moody's, David Fanger Organizations: Signature Bank, Service, Silicon Valley Bank, Reuters, Moody's, BNY Mellon, US Bancorp Locations: Wall, Silicon

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