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By extension, the move in Washington, D.C. could also spell good news for Chinese stocks. High U.S. interest rates relative to China have made it fairly straightforward for global institutions to pick U.S. Treasurys over Chinese stocks. More than lower rates needed Other global investors say Chinese stocks need more than easier monetary policy to become truly attractive. The "government can push interest rates down, but if households don't want to spend the extra income, it won't go into the economy," he said. Earlier this year, People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng acknowledged U.S. Fed easing would create room for China to further cut interest rates.
Persons: Steven Sun, Laura Wang, Morgan Stanley, Aaron Costello, Yi Gang, Costello, James Wang, Wang, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, HSBC, HSBC Qianhai Securities, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Cambridge Associates, CNBC, People's Bank of China, UBS Investment Bank Research, UBS, Hang Seng China Enterprises, China Southern Airlines, Hengli Petrochemical, Saudi, Aramco Locations: China's, Washington ,, China, 1H24, Asia, U.S, Beijing, Hang, Shenzhen, Shanghai
Four U.K.-listed stocks — one of which was given 110% upside — are among Goldman Sachs' European conviction list. While the S & P 500 fell by 5.85% in the first week of August, the FTSE 100, an index of the 100 largest London-listed stocks, outperformed by falling by only 2.4%. .FTSE .SPX 5Y line The investment bank said the FTSE 100 "can also provide good diversification from the concentrated and Tech-heavy S & P 500 ." The bank notes that SSE's "leading capabilities vs. peers position it well to capture this investment growth." The investment bank said the company "is at the start of a revenue acceleration" supported by increasing market share and expansion into new markets.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Sharon Bell, Tufan Erginbilgic, LSEG Goldman, LSEG Organizations: FTSE, SPX, Tech, BT Group, Royce, London Stock Exchange, BT, London Stock Exchange Group, Bloomberg, Microsoft Locations: British, London, United States
UK leads resurgence in European office investment
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesLONDON — The U.K. is leading a recovery in Europe's long subdued office real estate market, with overall investment in the sector expected to pick up further in the second half of the year. Overall, European office investment transactions in the first half of the year fell 21% year-on-year to 14.1 billion euros, Savills data showed — a 60% decrease on the five-year H1 average. Europe's divided recoveryThe U.K. real estate market was the first in Europe to undergo a significant contraction following its peak in 2022. "London is leading the way a bit, partly because it repriced earlier and quicker and more significantly," Kim Politzer, head of research for European real estate at Fidelity International, told CNBC over the phone. Kim Politzer head of research for European real estate at Fidelity International
Persons: Mike Barnes, Savills, Kim Politzer, Marcus Meijer, Mark, CNBC's, James Burke, Tom Leahy, Leahy, Europe's, JLL Organizations: Getty, Britain, CNBC, Bank of, Fidelity International, European Central Bank, Nurphoto, U.S Locations: London, Europe, Paris, Stockholm, Berlin, Hamburg, La Défense, France, Ireland, Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Southern Europe, Germany
Macquarie Capital: India's steady growth to continue
  + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacquarie Capital: India's steady growth to continueSandeep Bhatia of Macquarie Capital believes India will continue its growth. Attention to some previously unfancied sectors is coming amid India's weightage increase in the MSCI Emerging Markets index.
Persons: Sandeep Bhatia Organizations: Macquarie, Macquarie Capital Locations: India
Utilities — not tech — are now the hottest trade on Wall Street, according to Bank of America. "Note that the total return of S & P 500 Utilities (the 'tortoise') has been in line with Nasdaq's (the "hare') over the long term." Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) , a $6.4 billion market cap-weighted fund, has a total return of 22%. The iShares U.S. Utilities ETF (IDU) , with $1.4 billion in assets, has a 22% total return. Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF (RSPU) , an equal-weighted fund with just $317 million in assets, has a roughly 20% total return in 2024.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, , Invesco, Jesse Pound Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Utes, Utilities, Vanguard Utilities, U.S . Utilities, Fidelity MSCI Utilities Locations: U.S
Instead, JPMorgan increased its overweight recommendations on other emerging markets. Even after the change, JPMorgan still holds 18 China stocks in its global emerging markets model portfolio. The JPMorgan analysts said uncertainties about the China economic outlook range from tensions with the U.S. to "lingering deflation pressure." During three periods of escalating U.S.-China trade tensions in 2018 and 2019, the MSCI China index fell each time, according to JPMorgan China Equity Strategist Wendy Liu. As part of its China stock downgrade, JPMorgan added shares of state-owned utility operator CR Gas , while removing shares of PDD, China Construction Bank and Kingdee International.
Persons: Pedro Martins, Chetan Seth, Jake Sullivan, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Harris, Donald Trump, Wendy Liu, ByteDance, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Wednesday, Sunday, Reuters, Nomura's, Nomura, JPMorgan China Equity, CR Gas, China Construction Bank, Kingdee International, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Hong Locations: China, U.S, Nomura's Asia, Japan, Beijing, PDD, Hong Kong, Thursday's
For investors holding Japanese assets denominated in yen, the decline of the currency led to the value of their gains increasing. McManus isn't the only one who increased his exposure into the Japanese market following the early August sell-off. Before the yen started to strengthen, "Japanese investors could benefit because their lives and portfolios are denominated in yen. As a result, an appreciating yen will help overseas investors realize gains from the Japanese market as it continues its rebound. "This suggests that, if the cycle is heading towards [a] period of persistent yen strength, global investors should overweight Japan," Jefferies said.
Persons: , we're, Janus Henderson, Julian McManus, McManus, Jefferies, Shrikant Kale, Janus Henderson's McManus, Morgan Stanley, Daniel Blake, Peter Perkins, Perkins Organizations: Toyota, Bank of, U.S, Nikkei, Bank of America, Macro Research, Partners, Federal Reserve Locations: Japan
The buzz around artificial intelligence may have quietened after a volatile week for some of the sector's biggest names, but Morgan Stanley continues to see promise in a raft of European stocks. Morgan Stanley's "European AI shopping list" includes names ranging from semiconductor equipment and data center plays to software and healthcare companies. Morgan Stanley has a target price of 1,000 euros ($1,092) on the stock, giving it over 27.5% potential upside. Segro Morgan Stanley describes British REIT Segro as the "landlord of Europe's largest cluster of data centers." Morgan Stanley has a target price of 224 euros on the stock, giving it around 18.3% upside potential.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, ASML Morgan Stanley, Lee Simpson, ASML's, Simpson, Segro Morgan Stanley, Segro, Bart Gysens, SAP Morgan Stanley, Adam Wood, Merck KGaA, Morgan, Thibault Boutherin, Boutherin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Euronext, Nasdaq, London Stock Exchange, Euronext Paris, American Depository, SAP, Frankfurt Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, Merck, EMD Group, Canada, Merck KGaA's Electronics Locations: Europe, TSMC, Euronext Amsterdam, U.S, United States, Frankfurt
To start, the major funds that are marketed as "low volatility" or "minimum volatility" have been living up to the label. JPMorgan Asset Management has been a leader in this area, with Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) and Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ) now holding more than $48 billion in combined assets, according to FactSet. Another area is preferred stock funds. The biggest preferred stock ETF, the iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF (PFF) , has gained 0.5% in the third quarter, though it has dipped 1.4% over the past month. "And those call features of a growing part of the preferred market has also helped in terms of the rate volatility and the impact."
Persons: Robert Hum, It's, it's, Hum, Yang Tang, John Burrello, Gary Kessler, Dodd Frank, Kessler Organizations: Trust, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nasdaq Equity, Nasdaq, Income Securities ETF, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Preferred, Hybrid Securities, Federal Reserve Locations: BlackRock
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on May 31, 2024 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Asia markets climb higherAsia-Pacific markets were mostly higher on Monday ahead of U.S. economic data later in the week. [PRO] Distinct marketWhile U.S. and Japanese indexes fell sharply amid recent volatility, the MSCI China index rose slightly, reinforcing China's distinct market status despite slower growth.
Persons: Disney, Indiana Jones, Donald Trump, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Elon Musk, Elon Musk's, Warren, Tesla, Robyn Denholm, Musk, Hai Precision Industry —, , Australia's, Hong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Magic, Hollywood, Inc, Animal Kingdom, Trump, Trump Media, SpaceX, Twitter, Hai Precision Industry, SK Hynix, China's CSI, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Magic Kingdom, Disney's California, Friday's, Asia, Pacific, Taiwan, Australian, China
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.
Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo
Activist Commentary: Oasis Management is a global hedge fund management firm headquartered in Hong Kong with additional offices in Tokyo and Austin, Texas, as well as the Cayman Islands. Kobayashi Pharmaceutical is a Japan-based pharmaceuticals and consumer products company. It would imbue the company with a sense of urgency to improve operational performance, corporate governance and shareholder value maximization. But that is also a long shot, even at a company with corporate governance issues as we have here. The firm is a top-tier Japan shareholder activist and if anyone can get board seats in Japan, it is Oasis.
Persons: Seth Fischer, Oasis, Kobayashi, Akihiro Kobayashi, Kazumasa Kobayashi, Satoshi Yamane, Ken Squire Organizations: Kobayashi Pharmaceutical, Business, Company, Oasis Management, Oasis, Ain Holdings, Kobayashi's, Tsuruha Holdings, Kao Corp, Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdings, 13D Locations: Japan, Hong Kong, Tokyo, Austin , Texas, Cayman Islands, Asia, Europe, Kobayashi, Hokuetsu, Ain
As Japanese stocks plummet, confirming a bear market, there are opportunities in small-cap and domestic-focused companies, according to fund manager Richard Kaye. 'Yen is just getting normal' Kaye believes the Yen's appreciation is a return to normalcy rather than an anomaly. "If you look even on Friday in all the bloodbath, domestic names, small cap names [were] actually outperforming," he noted. Indeed, the MSCI Japan Small Cap index has fallen 8.6% since July 11, outperforming the 14.4% decline in the MSCI Japan index on a local currency basis. In U.S. dollar terms, the losses, while proportionate, are smaller, with ETFs such as the iShares MSCI Japan Small-Cap ETF falling by 2.1% compared to the iShares MSCI Japan ETF, which is down 8.9% over the same period.
Persons: Richard Kaye, Kaye, Yen, CNBC's, They've, Warren, sayonara, I've Organizations: Growth, Toyota, Sony, U.S ., Japan ETF, Kobe, U.S, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Sumitomo Locations: Comgest, Japan
ETFs hold a collection of securities , like stocks or bonds, and so offer more diversification than a single asset. CNBC Pro asked Dennison for his top ETF picks that someone looking to invest $50,000 can buy and hold long-term. Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF Dennison says he's "very happy" with the Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF (AVDV-US). DFA Dimensional U.S. Small Cap Value ETF Another small-cap-focused ETF on Dennison's radar is the Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF (DFSV-US), which owns companies that are "in corners of the market that are harder to reach." The Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF is currently around 6% higher over the year to date.
Persons: Tariq Dennison, Dennison, he's, Spencer, Weizhen Tan, Ganesh Rao Organizations: Fidelity, GFM Asset Management, CNBC Pro, Value, U.S, Abercrombie, Fitch, Cadence Bank, Commercial Metals, JPM Global Equity, Global Equity, Arista Networks, Walmart, Deutsche Telekom, ASM International, Novo Nordisk, Vanguard Locations: U.S, Swiss, Dennison
Amid the backdrop of the US' polarized political environment, it might seem like the differences between Harris and Trump are night and day. DWS Group identified the following three areas of the market that'll perform well under a Trump or Harris presidency. Big Tech and AI aren't going anywhere this November, according to DWS Americas Chief Investment Officer David Bianco. If Trump wins, tax cuts will provide a boost to corporate America and increase consumer spending. If Harris wins, the dollar will strengthen for different reasons.
Persons: , Harris, Trump, David Bianco, Bianco, Amanda Rebello, DWS, Frank Kelly, Biden, Kelly, Russell Organizations: Service, Trump, Big Pharma, DWS, Business, Big Tech, Republicans, Vanguard Utilities, International Stock ETF Locations: America
The rise in violent weather events over the past few years are driving a decline in real estate values in Texas, Florida, and Louisiana, according to a recent note from Capital Economics. Related storiesAccording to data from MSCI, insurance costs in Florida have more than doubled from less than 2% of income receivable in 2017 to 4.5% at the end of 2023. And those higher costs have ultimately helped drag down property values in impacted regions, especially in the multifamily sector. Capital EconomicsBut there has been a sign of hope in that the rate of growth in insurance costs appears to have peaked, according to Pattison. But she says the ongoing trend of violent weather could still exacerbate the issue in the future, further driving real estate values down in the most impacted regions.
Persons: Imogen Pattison, Beryl —, Karen Clark, they're, Pattison, CBRE Organizations: Service, Capital Economics, Business Locations: Texas , Florida, Louisiana, MSCI, Florida, multifamily, Florida , Texas
Read previewFaced with higher rates and a daunting fundraising climate, hedge funds are wooing investors with a seemingly antithetical pitch: index investing with a twist. Hedge fund industry insiders are abuzz right now about "portable alpha," a blast-from-the-past strategy that's undergoing a revival. According to the Morgan Stanley white paper, it can take on a variety of forms, including "dedicated portable alpha funds, portable alpha share classes, portable alpha feeder funds and other solutions." Advertisement"It's a nice way of smuggling hedge funds into your portfolio if you're an allocator," said Jon Caplis, CEO of hedge fund research firm PivotalPath. He said much of the industry still hasn't woken up to the appetite for portable alpha solutions and the potential boon to hedge funds.
Persons: , punchier, Kim Shaw, Morgan Stanley, There's, Shaw, Penny Novick, Morgan, Novick, Bill Gross, Myron Scholes, PIMCO's, Roark Stahler, Jon Caplis, Russell, PIMCO, Sabrina Callin, Brian Payne, Payne, Caplis, hasn't Organizations: Service, Trading, Business, Man, CME Group, BlackRock, Barclays, Russell Investments, Institutional, State, Investor, BCA Research, Teachers, Investors Locations: Winton, American, Illinois
Certain areas of the stock market that benefit from lower rates could see a boost. AdvertisementInstead, plug some money into longer-duration bonds to lock in higher returns while they're still around, Milan said. In addition to tying down solid returns, longer-duration bonds could also appreciate when rates fall, he said. AdvertisementLook at rate-sensitive areas of the stock marketCertain areas of the stock market should also benefit from Fed rate cuts. But investors should keep their eye on the labor market the more the Fed cuts rates, Young Thomas said.
Persons: , Daniel Milan, they're, Ed Mahaffy, Mahaffy, Robert Phipps, Bernstein, Liz Young Thomas, Shmuel Shayowitz, Kristy Kim, Young Thomas Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Cornerstone Financial Services, Treasury, ClientFirst Wealth Management, Corporate, Per Stirling Capital Management, Bloomberg, Bond, Index, Fed, Vanguard, ®, Schwab, Fidelity Locations: Michigan, Milan, TreasuryDirect, TomoCredit
AI models, such as OpenAI's ChatGPT or Anthropic's Claude, are built by running complex algorithms on large amounts of data. Khodjamirian, who also manages the Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF , named four stocks that he sees as potential winners: Moody's , S & P Global , MSCI , and Intuit . Moody's Using Moody's as a prime example, the fund manager highlighted the company's extensive database on credit decisions. MCO 5Y line S & P Global and MSCI Similarly, Khodjamirian sees potential in S & P Global and MSCI due to their vast troves of financial and index data. His thesis rests on the idea that as AI use becomes more widespread, the value of software — the AI models — may diminish.
Persons: Yuri Khodjamirian, Claude, Khodjamirian, CNBC's, Moody's, they're, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, MCO, Meta, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Tema ETF's, P, Intuit, Facebook, Microsoft Locations: Tema, Moody's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMSCI China: The internet sector is one area with growth prospects, says KraneSharesBrendan Ahern, chief innovation officer of KraneShares, says, "at the same time, the valuations of these companies are very, very low. Ownership is very low."
Persons: KraneShares Brendan Ahern, KraneShares Locations: China
AdvertisementETF enthusiasmInstead of single stocks, clients across the board are putting their money into ETFs. Bank of AmericaEven though clients sold off individual small-cap stocks, they're not shying away from that size segment of the market at all. Clients invested more money in small-cap ETFs than large-cap ones, providing small-caps with the biggest boost since May of this year. Similarly, while individual tech stocks experienced a sell-off, tech ETFs saw the largest capital inflow out of all sectors last week. Small-cap ETFs include Vanguard Small-Cap Index (VSCIX) and Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Revenue ETF (RWJ).
Persons: , Jill Carey, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America's, Bank of America, Equity, Business, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Big Tech, Health, Bank of America Investors, Communication, Fidelity MSCI Information Tech, NYSE Technology, Vanguard Infomation Technology, Vanguard
Interest in emerging markets has been growing and investors are now looking out for sectors and stocks best placed to benefit. "Emerging markets are too important to ignore," says Malcolm Dorson, a senior portfolio manager at the U.S.-headquartered Mirae Asset, which has around $600 billion in assets under management. "Emerging markets have a multi-decade story with significant opportunities. More than 4 billion people live across emerging markets, Dorson noted, adding that each country will have "significant domestic consumption stories [and] long-term opportunities." One of the simplest routes to investing in emerging markets is through exchange-traded funds.
Persons: Malcolm Dorson, Dorson, Javier, Milei Organizations: CNBC Pro, India Active, Global, India, Companies, Infosys, Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy, U.S . Federal, Brazil Active, Brazil IMI, Argentina IMI, Fitch, IMI Locations: U.S, India, Brazil, Brazilian, FactSet, Argentina, American, Greece, Europe
However, one exchange-traded fund (ETF) has done just that, beating the S & P 500 index for five consecutive years. The JPMorgan US Research Enhanced Index Equity ETF has beaten the benchmark every year since 2019 and is also outperforming in 2024. However, it wasn't until 2018 that JPMorgan decided to marry this time-tested strategy with the increasingly popular ETF structure. For instance, JPMorgan's ETF is overweight Microsoft shares by 45 basis points compared to the weighting for the stock in the iShares Core S & P 500 ETF. This extensive coverage forms the backbone of the REI strategy, according to Grassi.
Persons: Piera Elisa Grassi, Raffaele Zingone, Grassi, REI, Berkshire, we've Organizations: JPMorgan US, Equity, London Stock Exchange, Borsa Italiana, Deutsche Borse, Six Swiss Exchange, JPMorgan Asset Management, JPMorgan, JPMorgan Global, Vanguard, Berkshire Hathaway, GE Aerospace, Asset Management, CNBC Locations: United States, U.S, Grassi, iShares
Analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a July 24 note that the Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) appears to be on the verge of a breakout. "The ETF has carved out a very compelling multi year base and is on the verge of breaking out through $34. The timber ETF closed at $33.56 per share on Wednesday. CUT launched in 2007 and is a relatively small ETF, with about $55 million in assets, according to FactSet. Basic Materials ETF (IYM) is up 0.7% in July, compared to a decline of 0.6% for the S & P 500 .
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, WestRock, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, ETF, Basic Materials
Executives at Blackstone Mortgage Trust, or BXMT, have said that it was well-positioned to withstand stresses in the commercial real estate market brought on by the pandemic and sharply rising interest rates. Executives at Blackstone have also said that they see the real estate market bottoming. The fund's loan book is tied largely to strong segments of the commercial real estate market, including residential apartment buildings, industrial warehouses, and hotels. Executives have described its loan balances as conservative relative to the value of the real estate assets that serve as their collateral. AdvertisementBut BXMT has significant exposure to the office market, where value declines have been steep enough to dip below outstanding loan balances in some cases.
Persons: , behemoth Blackstone, Katherine Keenan, Anthony Marone, Katie Keenan, BXMT, Keenan Organizations: Service, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Business, Blackstone
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