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Just how high prices would go depends on whether OPEC uses its spare oil capacity to plug the gap, Struyven said. Here are today's energy prices:Though oil prices have surged this week on geopolitical tensions, they have risen from a low baseline. "The risk to the oil price outlook are definitely significant," Struyven told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" Friday. The oil market had largely ignored the escalating war in the Middle East until Iran launched nearly 200 ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday. The risk premium has been modest because there haven't been sustained supply disruptions over the past two years despite high geopolitical tensions, Struyven said.
Persons: Joe Biden, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, Struyven, CNBC's, Brent, haven't Organizations: OPEC Locations: Israel, Israeli, China, East, Iran
U.S. crude oil prices rose nearly 2% on Thursday for a third consecutive session of gains, as the market braces for Israel to retaliate against Iran. The risk of oil supply disruptions increases as fighting in the Middle East intensifies, but OPEC+ is sitting on a large amount of spare crude that could step into the breach, according to Claudio Galimberti, chief economist at Rystad Energy. U.S. crude oil has gained 5% this week. "That would add a significant risk premium to oil," he told CNBC's "Street Signs Europe." As a consequence, oil prices could surge to $200 per barrel if Israel hits Iran's oil infrastructure, he said.
Persons: Claudio Galimberti, Galimberti, Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, CNBC's Organizations: Rystad Energy Locations: Israel, Iran, OPEC, Swedish, Strait, Hormuz
The expanding war in the Middle East, however, has reached a new boiling point as Israel has vowed a "painful" response to Iran's attack. The government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could take aim at the Islamic Republic's oil infrastructure in retaliation, geopolitical and crude market analysts say. "The next turn in this retaliation spiral may very well involve oil – via the degrading of Iran's oil capacityor Iran's proxies attacking oil and gas shipping from the Persian Gulf," Piper Sandler analysts told clients in a Wednesday research note. If Iran's oil exports of around 1.8 million bpd were taken offline, prices would likely jump by at least $5 per barrel, McNally said. An escalation on this scale could send oil prices higher in increments of $10 per barrel, the analyst said.
Persons: Ali Mohammadi, Benjamin Netanyahu, Helima Croft, Jack Jacobs, Jacobs, Croft, Piper Sandler, Bob McNally, McNally Organizations: Persian Gulf, Bloomberg, Getty, OPEC, RBC Capital Markets, U.S, Army, Rapidan Energy Locations: Bandar Abbas, Iran, Israel, China, Persian
U.S. crude oil rose nearly 3% on Wednesday as traders fear Israel could target Iran's oil infrastructure in retaliation for a ballistic missile attack. Israel's ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon, vowed late Tuesday that Israel will exact a "painful" response against Iran. Danon's threat came hours after the Islamic Republic launched around 180 ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation for the assassination of top Hamas and Hezbollah leaders. Israel might take aim at Iran's oil industry to hit Tehran's income and degrade its ability wage war, they said. OPEC+ is planning to increase oil production in December, and U.S. output has been set records.
Persons: Danny Danon, Piper Sandler, Goldman Sachs, Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby Organizations: United Nations, Islamic Locations: Israel, Iran, Islamic Republic, Persian, China
U.S. crude oil prices drifted lower Tuesday as the risk of rising supply from OPEC+ overshadows a dramatic escalation of the war in the Middle East. Israel has dispatched ground forces into southern Lebanon after pounding the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah with airstrikes for days, eliminating much of the group's leadership. For now, traders remain focused on weak demand in China and the prospect of OPEC+ producing more oil starting in December, Croft said. Here are Tuesday's energy prices at 8:43 am ET:OPEC leader Saudi Arabia might be prepared to allow more oil back onto the market to pressure members such as Iraq with lower oil prices, said Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy. Saudi has become increasingly frustrated with Iraq producing more crude than then their production targets, McNally said.
Persons: we've, Helima Croft, CNBC's, Croft, Bob McNally, McNally Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Rapidan Energy, Saudi Locations: East, Israel, Lebanon, Iran, China, Saudi Arabia, Iraq
The Palisades nuclear plant in Michigan has closed a $1.5 billion loan to support the first reactor restart in U.S. history, the Department of Energy announced Monday. Palisades' owner, Holtec International, hopes to restart the plant in the fourth quarter of 2025, subject to approval by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Demand for nuclear power is growing as the U.S. seeks carbon-free energy to meet rising electricity demand while meeting its climate goals. In the case of Palisades, the power is spoken for by Wolverine Power Cooperative, a nonprofit that provides electricity to rural communities in Michigan. Palisades will support 600 jobs in Covert Township near Lake Michigan and provide enough power for 800,000 homes, Turk said.
Persons: Nick Culp, Holtec, Culp, David Turk, Turk Organizations: Department of Energy, Holtec, U.S . Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NRC, . Company, U.S . Palisades, Palisades, Constellation Energy, Microsoft, Wolverine Power Locations: Michigan, Jupiter , Florida, Palisades, U.S, Covert, Lake Michigan
Flowserve supplies fluid motion controls and instrumentation to nuclear plants, with that side of the business currently accounting for about 5% of total revenue. TD Cowen sees 11% upside for Flowserve with a stock price target of $57. TD Cowen sees a big opportunity servicing nuclear reactors for maintenance, repair, advanced diagnostics and retrofitting. "This is especially pertinent for the U.S. market, given it has the largest amount of existing nuclear reactors in the world," Giordano told clients. Nuclear plants with the equivalent of 85 gigawatts of capacity are in various stages of shutdown across the U.S. and Europe, according to TD Cowen.
Persons: TD Cowen, Cowen, Joe Giordano, " Giordano, Flowserve, Giordano Organizations: Flowserve, Constellation Energy, U.S Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Europe
FTC clears Chevron-Hess deal, bans John Hess from board
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
John Hess, chief executive officer of Hess Corp., speaks at the 2024 CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston, Texas, US, on Tuesday, March 19, 2024. The Federal Trade Commission has banned Hess Corp . CEO John Hess from Chevron 's board as a condition for the oil companies' $53 billion merger to move forward. Hess Corp. and Chevron, however, have agreed that they will not appoint Hess to the board in order to facilitate the completion of the merger, according to the companies. The FTC voted 3 to 2 in favor of the order banning Hess from Chevron's board.
Persons: John Hess, Hess, Lina Khan, Andrew Ferguson, Hess's, Ferguson, Scott Sheffield Organizations: Hess Corp, P Global, Federal Trade Commission, Chevron, FTC, ., Exxon Mobil, Exxon, Democratic, Natural Resources, OPEC Locations: Houston , Texas, Chevron, Guyana, U.S
U.S. crude oil prices are on pace for a third monthly loss in a row in September as rising supplies from OPEC+ and weak demand in China haunt the market. The U.S. benchmark has declined more than 7% for the month, while global benchmark Brent has fallen about 9%. "Oil markets are experiencing a panic attack," Amarpreet Singh, energy analyst at Barclays, told clients in a Friday note. Here are Monday's energy prices:Oil prices remain under pressure in part because OPEC+ plans to begin increasing production in December, and as demand in China, the world's largest crude importer, remains soft. The Netanyahu government is pummeling the Iran-backed militia group, with concerns growing that Israel might launch a ground operation in Lebanon.
Persons: Amarpreet Singh, Brent, Israel, Hassan Nasrallah, Netanyahu, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Brent, Barclays Locations: China, U.S, OPEC, Beirut, Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, Saudi Arabia
The U.S. needs to add 200 gigawatts of nuclear, Goff told CNBC in an interview. “A lot of the data centers are coming in and saying they do need firm, 24/7, baseload clean electricity,” Goff said. But restarting reactors in the U.S. will only provide a small fraction of the nuclear power that is needed, he said. From coal to nuclearCoal communities across the U.S. could provide a runway to build out a large number of new nuclear plants. Between coal and nuclear sites, the U.S. potentially has space for up to 269 gigawatts of additional nuclear power.
Persons: Mike Goff, Goff, , ” Goff, Goldman Sachs, , “ It’s, Doug True Organizations: of Nuclear Energy, Department of Energy, U.S, CNBC, Bank of America, Microsoft, DOE, Holtec, Palisades, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Nuclear Energy Institute Locations: U.S, New York City, Georgia, Michigan
A bulldozer moves coal that will be burned to generate electricity at the American Electric Power coal-fired power plant in Winfield, West Virginia. The U.S. currently maintains the largest nuclear fleet in the world with 94 operational reactors totaling about 100 gigawatts of power. The U.S. needs to add 200 gigawatts of nuclear, Goff told CNBC in an interview. "A lot of the data centers are coming in and saying they do need firm, 24/7, baseload clean electricity," Goff said. But restarting reactors in the U.S. will only provide a small fraction of the nuclear power that is needed, he said.
Persons: Mike Goff, Goff, Goldman Sachs Organizations: American Electric Power, of Nuclear Energy, Department of Energy, U.S, CNBC, Bank of America, Constellation Energy, Microsoft Locations: Winfield , West Virginia, U.S, New York City
U.S. crude oil on Friday was on pace for its first weekly loss in three weeks, as the prospect of growing oil supplies from Saudi Arabia overshadowed China's efforts to stimulate its economy. The U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate is down nearly 6% this week, while global benchmark Brent has pulled back nearly 4%. OPEC+ recently postponed planned output hikes from October to December, but analysts have speculated that the group might delay the hikes again because oil prices are so low. The oil selloff erased gains from earlier in the week after China unveiled a new round of economic stimulus measures. Soft demand in China has been weighing on the oil market for months.
Persons: there's, Dan Yergin, CNBC's, There's, Yergin Organizations: Texas, Brent, P Global, Oil Locations: Saudi Arabia, U.S, Israel, Lebanon, OPEC, China
A rainstorm expected only once every 1,000 years deluged parts of southern Appalachia on Wednesday night, with as much as 8 inches falling in a day’s time in Asheville, North Carolina. Now, the area awaits some of the most intense rainfall forecast from fast-moving Hurricane Helene. In some areas, Helene could dump an additional 6 to 12 inches of rain, according to the National Hurricane Center. Wind gusts could reach hurricane strength at hilltops. Asheville is nearly 400 miles from Florida’s Big Bend, where the hurricane is expected to make landfall Thursday night.
Persons: Helene, “ We’re, , Andrew Kimball, ” Kimball Organizations: National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, Greenville - Locations: Appalachia, Asheville , North Carolina, Greenville, Greenville - Spartanburg , South Carolina, Asheville, Florida’s Big Bend
U.S. crude oil prices fell nearly 3% on Thursday on a report that Saudi Arabia is committed to pressing ahead with production increases later this year. Saudi is prepared to ditch its unofficial oil price target of $100 per barrel, people familiar with the kingdom's thinking told The Financial Times. Saudi officials are ready to increase oil production in December even if the move results in a prolonged period of low oil prices, the people said. Here are Thursday's energy prices:Prices are also under pressure on the expectation that oil production will rise in Libya. Oil prices rallied earlier in the week after Beijing announced a new stimulus package.
Organizations: Financial Times, Beijing Locations: Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Libya, China
He expects Oklo to break ground at the Idaho site in 2026, with plans to have the reactor up and running by the following year. The CEO acknowledged there's a risk the 2027 start date gets pushed out depending on how long the NRC review takes. The average nuclear reactor in the current U.S. fleet is around 1,000 megawatts, according to the Department of Energy. The CEO acknowledged the NRC review could delay the 2027 start date for the Idaho microreactor: "There's definitely risk. At the end of the day, we can't control the NRC review timeline," he said.
Persons: Jacob DeWitte, Oklo, DeWitte, there's, Sam Altman's SPAC, Altman, Oklo's Organizations: CNBC, Department of Energy, Idaho National Laboratory, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, AltC, Department of Energy ., Industry, Constellation Energy, NYSE, NRC, World Health Organization, Idaho Locations: Idaho, Idaho Falls, Aurora
U.S. Steel CEO David Burritt on Tuesday defended the company's planned sale to Japan's Nippon Steel, expressing confidence that the deal will "close on its merits" despite President Joe Biden's vocal opposition. "We strongly believe the deal closes on its merits," Burritt said in an interview on CNBC's "Money Movers." "It strengthens national security, it strengthens economic security and it strengthens job security." CFIUS told Nippon that the sale could "lead to a reduction in domestic steel production capacity," according to a letter obtained by Reuters earlier this month. The committee said supply chains could be disrupted in sectors critical to national security such as transportation, infrastructure, construction and agriculture.
Persons: David Burritt, Joe Biden's, Burritt, Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, CFIUS Organizations: . Steel, Japan's Nippon Steel, Steel, NBC News, Nippon, U.S, Foreign Investment, Reuters Locations: American, Nippon North America, U.S, United States
Shares in Bloom Energy could double if the fuel cell company wins a large deal to power data centers similar to the Three Mile Island nuclear plant restart , according to Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley values Constellation's contract with Microsoft at $100 per megawatt hour, compared to the typical market price of about $50 per megawatt hour. Including grid charges, the prices rises to $130 per megawatt hour, according to the bank. Bloom, however, is positioned to capture a so-called "time-to-power" premium by directly supplying a major data center, according to Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley raised its price target to $22 from $20 in mid-August, 2024, and has rated Bloom Energy overweight since April 2023.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Andrew Percoco, Bloom, Percoco, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bloom Energy, Constellation Energy, Microsoft, BE Locations: Harrisburg , Pennsylvania
Constellation Energy stock is still rising after the power company's landmark announcement last week that it plans to restart the Three Mile Island nuclear plant in Pennsylvania. The operational risk to bring the plant back online in 2028 appears manageable, Morgan Stanley told clients in a note on Monday. Renewable energy and natural gas stocks could also indirectly benefit from nuclear deals, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Byrd. Renewable stocks such as AES Corp. , NextEra Energy and First Solar could get a tailwind for the same reason, according to Morgan Stanley. CEO John Ketchum said the company is looking at restarting the Duane Arnold nuclear plant in Iowa.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, David Arcaro, Arcaro, Stephen Byrd, Byrd, NextEra, John Ketchum, Duane Arnold, Wells, Neil Kalton, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Constellation Energy, Constellation, Microsoft, Vistra Corp, Vistra, Public Service Enterprise Group, Tech, . Companies, GE Vernova, Siemens Energy, Mitsubishi Power, NRG Energy, AES Corp, NextEra Energy Locations: Pennsylvania, Iowa, Wells Fargo
Constellation Energy plans to restart the Three Mile Island nuclear plant , with operations slated to resume in 2028 subject to approval by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. It demonstrates the growing financial opportunity that nuclear power represents for utilities and their investors. VST YTD mountain Vistra shares, YTD The power company, headquartered outside Dallas, is viewed as one of the lead contenders to ink a data center nuclear deal next. "Vistra's timely acquisition of nuclear portfolio Energy Harbor in 2023 gives the company a coveted nuclear portfolio," the analysts said. Burke specifically called out Comanche Peak, a twin reactor nuclear plant with 2.4 gigawatts of capacity outside Forth Worth, Texas.
Persons: Vistra, Shahriar Pourreza, Jefferies, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, Jim Burke, Burke, John Ketchum, Duane Arnold, Ketchum, NextEra, Robert Blue Organizations: U.S, Constellation Energy, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Microsoft, Vistra Corp, Nvidia, Energy, Guggenheim Securities, Wall Street, Jefferies, NextEra Energy, Dominion Energy, Dominion Locations: Dallas, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Energy Harbor, Forth Worth , Texas, Iowa, FactSet, Waterford , Connecticut
Norma Field walks under power lines coming off of the nuclear plant on Three Mile Island (TMI), with the operational plant run by Exelon Generation, in Middletown, Pennsylvania. Constellation Energy plans to restart the Three Mile Island nuclear plant and will sell the power to Microsoft, demonstrating the immense power needs of the tech sector as they build out data centers to support artificial intelligence. Constellation described the agreement with Microsoft as the largest power purchase agreement that the nuclear plant operator has ever signed. Three Mile Island would be the second nuclear plant to restart operations in U.S. history. The Palisades nuclear plant in Michigan would be the first, with that plant expected to return to service at the end of 2025.
Persons: Norma Field, Constellation, Joe Dominguez, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Exelon, Constellation Energy, Microsoft, Constellation, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Clean Energy Center, Rystad Energy, Turkey . Tech, Amazon Web Services, Talen Energy, Susquehanna, Oracle Locations: Middletown , Pennsylvania, Turkey, Pennsylvania, Michigan
Talen's surge comes on the back of its deal to sell a data center campus to Amazon Web Services and supply the facility with nuclear power from the Susquehanna station northwest of Allentown, Pennsylvania. The deal is viewed as a trailblazing agreement for the power industry, and Wall Street has taken notice. A year ago, Talen was not covered by any Wall Street analysts, according to FactSet data. And Talen's assets are located almost entirely in the PJM grid, a predominantly mid-Atlantic region where power prices are expected to explode as demand outstrips supply due in part to growing data center load. Data center developers are expected to spend $250 billion annually on data centers, Barclays analyst Nicholas Campanella said in a note this week.
Persons: Talen, Shahriar Pourreza, Pourreza, TLN, William Appicelli, Nicholas Campanella, Campanella, amortization, Appicelli Organizations: Talen Energy Corporation, Amazon Web Services, Street, Barclays, Guggenheim, Jefferies, UBS, Susquehanna, Talen Energy, AWS, American Electric Power, AEP, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Locations: Susquehanna, Allentown , Pennsylvania, Wednesday's
U.S. crude oil rose nearly 1% on Thursday, one day after the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates for the first time in more than four years and as tensions in the Middle East continued to escalate. The Fed surprised the market on Wednesday with a bigger-than-expected cut of a half percentage point. Oil prices, however, closed slightly lower as rate cuts had largely already been priced in. Here are Thursday's energy prices:Crude futures are on the rebound again as tensions soar between Israel and the Iranian-backed militia group Hezbollah in Lebanon. Oil market analysts have warned for months that an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah, which until now have traded rocket fire, could force OPEC member Iran to directly intervene, raising the risk of disruptions to Middle East crude oil supplies.
Persons: Israel, Yoav Gallant Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, NBC News, Israeli Locations: Israel, Lebanon, Lebanon . U.S, Gaza, Iran
U.S. crude oil fell Wednesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's pivotal decision on interest rates later this afternoon. The oil market has been rattled this month by worries about a growing imbalance between supply and demand. Bulls are hoping that a decision by the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time in years could put a bid into the market. Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, said a 25 basis point cut is probably already priced into the oil market. Traders are also waiting for the latest data on U.S. crude oil inventories at 10:30 am ET.
Persons: Matt Smith, Andy Lipow, Lipow Organizations: Federal, Americas, Kpler, Brent, Bulls, Fed, Lipow Oil Associates, Hezbollah, Traders Locations: U.S, China, OPEC, Canada, Brazil, Guyana, Israel, Iran, Lebanon
U.S. crude oil traded above $70 per barrel on Tuesday, as production in the Gulf of Mexico is still in recovery mode after Hurricane Francine. More than 200,000 barrels per day remained offline in the Gulf as of Monday, according to Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement. Production from undamaged facilities will be brought back online immediately after checks have been completed, according to the agency. The central bank is widely expected to lower rates, though Wall Street is divided on the magnitude of the cut. U.S. crude oil is down more than 13% this quarter while Brent has fallen nearly 16% as demand slows in China, the world's largest crude importer, and OPEC+ plans to increase production in December.
Persons: Francine, Brent Organizations: of Safety, Environmental Enforcement, Federal Reserve Locations: Gulf, Mexico, China, OPEC
U.S. crude oil jumped more than 1% to trade above $68 per barrel on Thursday, after Hurricane Francine churned through the Gulf of Mexico, disrupting oil production before making landfall in Louisiana. Oil futures rose more than 2% in the previous session as the storm threatened supplies. "Hurricane Francine has likely disrupted about 1.5mn barrels of US oil production, which we estimate will reduce September production in the Gulf of Mexico by around 50,000bpd," Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, told clients in a Thursday note. Staunovo said the recent slump may be due to traders losing confidence in OPEC's ability to maintain compliance with production cuts at lower price levels. UBS expects oil prices will continue to rise, at least the short term.
Persons: Hurricane Francine, Francine, Giovanni Staunovo, Staunovo, Brent Organizations: UBS, bbl Locations: Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana, Gulf, Mexico, 50,000bpd
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