Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "Khouw"


25 mentions found


Black swans and grey Swans refer to events that profoundly impact markets and economies due to their unpredictability and importantly potential for substantial disruption. Generally, black swans are rare and lie outside regular expectations, but they have a significant impact when they occur. Their rarity is what makes them unique and their impact, when they do occur, is significant. The 2008 "Great Financial Crisis", sometimes abbreviated as "The GFC", the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and the COVID-19 pandemic have been described by some as "black swans". Still, there are ways to maintain some upside exposure without taking all the downside risk other than hedging.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Biden Organizations: Sunday, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Here I'll break down a nuanced options trade for on a transportation stock reporting next week. JB Hunt Transport Services, Inc . Unfortunately, this has been the case for JB Hunt lately. While I'm not prepared to call for a stellar quarter - economic pressures generally don't resolve quickly - much of the near-term damage may be done. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: you've, JB Hunt, Hunt, I'm Organizations: JB, Transport Services, Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: you've, North America's, Lowell , Arkansas
With earnings season kicking off, we'll break down an industrial stock reporting Friday and how to trade it. Historically, Alcoa Inc. marked the start of earnings season, being one of the first major companies to report results. It has underperformed the S & P year-to-date, down nearly 2.5% and declining more than 20% since the late March highs. The company's sales data, reflecting real-time demand for industrial and construction supplies, is closely linked to economic health. The trade Given the expectation that the stock is unlikely to rebound on earnings, a calendar spread could be a suitable trade.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Wells, we're Organizations: Alcoa Inc, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Fastenal, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Wells, U.S, United States, Fastenal
The S & P 500 has yielded an average return of 7.9% since 1928, the year Herbert Hoover was elected. LBJ's presidency was also notable because he chose not to seek reelection in 1968, a year with a modest S & P return of 7.7%. A market correction could be more likely now than it seemed two weeks ago, as suggested by the current pricing of S & P options. Options such as SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) August $535 puts are currently priced around $5.50, about 1% of SPY's price, while S & P 500 5350 puts are around $50. SPY YTD mountain SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust If a correction does occur, investors could monetize, roll, or spread the hedge.
Persons: Herbert Hoover, Hoover, Carter, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, LBJ's, Trump Organizations: Trump, JFK, FDR, Nvidia, Trust, Democratic National Convention, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: George H.W .
Nike, which reports earnings after the bell Thursday, is trading at less than 24 times forward earnings. That's well below the longer-term average of about 29 times forward earnings. On Wednesday, Nike traded more than two times its average daily options volume. The most active call options were the September 100 calls, 8,000 of which traded at an average price of around $3.22. Declining sales (inflation-adjusted) and market share, leading to declining investor confidence, explain the lower-than-average historical multiple.
Persons: Nike's Organizations: Nike, Wednesday, North, Bloomberg, Dick's Sporting Goods, Olympic, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: , NKE, China, Asia, Pacific, America, Europe, Middle East, Africa
How to trade Carnival before earnings using options
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Both the dividend and debt levels have important implications for the stock's volatility, the price of options generally, and the relationship between the price of puts and calls. The trade All else equal, higher levels of corporate debt increase leverage and, therefore, the volatility of a company's equity. Carnival's options are nearly twice as expensive now as they were at the end of 2019, but the higher levels of debt justify higher prices. Typically, we do not recommend selling covered calls into earnings unless options prices are very high, as earnings provide a catalyst that can move a stock. In this case, an 8% implied move is substantial, but due to the high debt levels, it merely represents a fair price for the options.
Persons: Francis Scott Key Organizations: Management, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Baltimore, Norfolk , Virginia
ARM Holdings (ARM) offers several technologies instrumental in AI applications, notably its advanced processor designs and intellectual property. Operationally ARM Holdings is very well positioned. In this case, ARM Holdings is currently valued at about $174 billion, more than 56 times trailing 12 months revenues, and recent price action in particular looks extended. This would provide about $27 worth of upside from here, while providing $40 worth of downside insurance in the event that ARM Holdings pulls back. For example the $140/$175/$200 call spread risk reversal here incurs the risk of owning the stock at $140/share.
Persons: isn't Organizations: ARM Holdings, ARM
I'll review a way to play increased electricity use as electric vehicle adoption progresses around the country. Eversource Energy (ES) , a public utility holding company, operates in the electric distribution, electric transmission, natural gas distribution, and water distribution segments. It is involved in transmitting and distributing electricity, solar power facilities, and natural gas distribution. Eversource Energy was incorporated in 1927 and is headquartered in Springfield, Massachusetts. ES 1Y mountain Eversource Energy, 1-year The stock hasn't traded particularly well recently, but that may present an opportunity.
Persons: I've Organizations: California Air Resources Board, Nvidia, Eversource Energy, Utilities, Energy Locations: California, United States, Los Angeles, Connecticut , Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Springfield , Massachusetts
Geologist M. King Hubbert developed the "peak oil" theory in the 1950s. He famously projected that U.S. oil production would peak between 1965 and 1970, which seemed accurate as U.S. oil production did peak around 1970. Hubbert's prediction about the U.S. oil production peak was largely accurate for conventional oil production. Still, global oil production has not followed Hubbert's anticipated timeline due to discoveries, technological advancements, and new extraction techniques. Hydraulic fracturing (fracking) and deep-water drilling have significantly increased oil production beyond what was initially thought possible.
Persons: M, King Hubbert, Hubbert, Hubbert's, I've, Ford Organizations: Federal Electric Vehicle, ICE, GM, Ford, Trade Locations: United States, California
While most of the S & P 500 has reported first quarter earnings, three notable names — where the options trade quite actively — have yet to report. Signs of improvement in this area showed up with their last earnings report on March 11th. The stock was flat when they reported earnings in June of 2023, but it fell double digits when they reported in September and December last year. ORCL YTD mountain Oracle, Year-to-date A more cautious approach to a bullish bet on Oracle could be to buy call options. One could offset a portion of this cost (and the volatility crush that generally follows an earnings report) by selling a June 14th weekly $130 call.
Persons: aren't Organizations: Oracle, Oracle Corp, Broadcom Inc, Adobe Inc, Broadcom, Adobe, Gamestop, Microsoft, Amazon, AWS, Morningstar
Pavlo Gonchar | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesAlmost five years ago, GameStop champion Keith Gill revealed a $53,000 bet in his favorite video game retailer. By the end of the jaw-dropping episode in April 2021, Gill exercised his call options position to have 200,000 common shares. Put another way: If the stock closes above $20 that day, Gill could exercise the options at $20 apiece, leaving him owning an additional 12 million shares. A total of 17 million shares would make him the fourth-biggest shareholder in GameStop, coming in behind Vanguard, BlackRock and Ryan Cohen's RC Ventures, according to FactSet. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwardsThe notional value, if exercised, would be $240 million worth of stock bought at $20.
Persons: Keith Gill, Pavlo Gonchar, Gill, Michael Khouw, Khouw, Morgan Stanley's, Ryan Cohen's Organizations: GameStop, Lightrocket, Street Journal, CNBC, Vanguard, BlackRock, Ryan Cohen's RC Ventures
CNBC Daily Open: Opec extends cuts, Nvidia showcases new chip
  + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. OPEC+ extends cutsOPEC and it allies agreed to extend official crude production cuts into 2025 amid lackluster demand. Saudi Arabia's energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said OPEC+ wants concrete rate cuts before factoring in the potential impact on energy demand. New AI chip RubinNvidia unveiled its next generation artificial intelligence chip, Rubin, a mere three months after launching its Blackwell model.
Persons: Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Rubin, Blackwell, Dow, UnitedHealth, Bill Ackman, It's, Michael Khouw Organizations: CNBC, Saudi Aramco, Rubin Nvidia, AMD, Intel, Microsoft, Google, Dow Jones, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Tesla, Pershing, Moderna, Drug Administration, GSK, Pfizer Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi, U.S, Moderna
Investors may not have sufficiently accounted for the impact of stretched consumer finances on the discretionary sector. We'll review the dichotomy going on in the consumer discretionary sector and give a bearish trade on an outperforming stock once thought to be immune from some of the pressures. To some extent, the haves and have-nots divide explains the difference between the consumer discretionary stocks that have outperformed versus underperformed this year. Horton, YTD However, two industry groups within the consumer discretionary sector have not followed this pattern to the same degree. The trade: Chipotle The best-performing restaurant in the consumer discretionary sector so far this year is Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) up a market-crushing 36.8%.
Persons: Roland Garros, Ralph Lauren, Hermes, Versace, Prada, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Van Heusen, Horton, TOL, D.R, Tesla, Darden, YTD, Chipotle Organizations: Monaco, PVH Corp, IZOD, Carnival Corp, CCL, GM, Grill Inc, Darden, Starbucks Locations: Royal Caribbean, Horton
Institutional options traders frequently refer to "buying" or "selling" volatility, but what does this mean? These allow investors to trade future realized volatility against current implied volatility. A buyer of a variance swap pays the "implied volatility" - consider this to be the market's current expectation for future volatility over some predetermined period, in return for receiving the "realized volatility". A variance swap buyer will profit if realized volatility exceeds implied volatility, and a seller will profit if implied volatility exceeds realized. The first is that a VIX future is not as reactive to changes in the VIX Index as one might expect.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, I'm, I've Organizations: Snowflake Inc, Cloud Locations: Snowflake, The Bozeman , Montana, San Francisco
Options Action: What to expect from Dell next week
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOptions Action: What to expect from Dell next weekOptions traders Carter Worth and Mike Khouw, join 'Options Action' to give the implied moves on several stocks reporting next week.
Persons: Carter Worth, Mike Khouw Organizations: Dell
Traditionally, value investing and growth investing are considered two distinct investment strategies. Value investors look for stocks they believe the market has undervalued and may be trading for less than their "intrinsic" value. Value investors often employ "bottom-up" investing, which focuses on individual companies rather than the overall market or industry. Growth investing focuses on companies expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to other companies. Is there a way to introduce a margin of safety to a growth stock using options?
Persons: Dan Ives, Jensen Huang, Vince Lombardi Organizations: Nvidia, Intel Locations: Wedbush
Cybersecurity stock Palo Alto Networks (PANW) will be reporting Monday after the close. The following table includes ten stocks reporting earnings this week where the options market is implying moves of 7% or greater. Palo Alto Networks was hard hit after they reported earnings on February 20th. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks, YTD Palo Alto Networks is a global network security solutions provider. Palo Alto has recovered roughly half the decline the stock suffered following its earnings release last quarter.
Persons: Nikesh Arora, Zscaler, PANW Organizations: Palo Alto Networks, Networks, Palo Locations: Palo, Palo Alto
As we think about the multiple premium afforded to online retailers such as Amazon, Walmart's global eCommerce sales rose 21%. Walmart shares, at 26 times earnings, are value-priced relative to Costco's 46 times earnings. Amazon trade Amazon (AMZN) is growing topline considerably faster. Amazon revenues overtook Costco in 2016, and 2025 could be the first year that Amazon revenues exceed Walmart's. If growth is what you're after buy Amazon.
Persons: eCommerce Organizations: Walmart, Costco, Sam's
Options Action: Nvidia earnings on deck
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOptions Action: Nvidia earnings on deckCarter Worth and Mike Khouw join 'Fast Money' with the latest Nvidia trades ahead of earnings.
Persons: Carter Worth, Mike Khouw Organizations: Nvidia Locations: Carter
How I think about Jim Simons' legacy, and a trade on one of the most successful retailers, Costco, follows. First, a contrarian view in Costco: Costco (COST) is one of the best performing retailers over the past year. Last week, Costco released their four-week retail sales results for the period between Monday, April 8th and Sunday, May 5th. There is only one thing I don't like about Costco, the price. The weak form suggests past market prices, which are generally observable, are fully reflected in stock prices.
Persons: Jim Simons, that's, Jim, James Surowiecki, Francis Galton, Eugene Fama Organizations: Costco, Fund Locations: Costco, U.S, New York, Surowiecki
The consumer, making up 70% of the U.S. economy, is being hit by higher interest rates and sticky inflation. Consumer spending, also known as personal consumption expenditures (PCE), typically represents about two-thirds of the U.S. GDP. While that is attributed to easing consumer demand for EVs, dealer inventories of ICE vehicles have recovered significantly since the pandemic. Away from consumer discretionary and towards consumer staples. The Consumer Staples Select Sector ETF (XLP) is trading 21 times trailing earnings and about 19.6 times forward earnings estimates versus 25.7 times trailing and 22.83 times forward for the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index.
Persons: there's, Tesla, Power Organizations: Starbucks, Investors, PPI, CPI, Federal Locations: U.S
We'll take a deeper dive into what options traders are betting on in Disney and propose an alternative with a higher probability for a profit. Disney (DIS) traded above average call volume on Friday, with calls outpacing puts by nearly two-to-one. While that is higher than the long-term average earnings-related move, Disney has been quite volatile in recent quarters. Buyers of those calls are betting Disney will rally at least 6.75% by the end of the week. An investor who is willing to take more risk in exchange for a higher probability of profit might instead consider a diagonal call spread.
Persons: outpacing, Julie Biel Organizations: Disney, DIS, week's Locations: Disney
Starbucks (SBUX) on Wednesday traded nearly seven times the 20-day average equity volume and 10 times the average daily options volume as the shares fell nearly 16%. It was the fourth-worst trading day for Starbucks since the company's IPO in 1992. And with respect to China specifically, Starbucks said the recovery there has been "choppy" with intense price wars. Starbucks reported $8.56 billion in second-quarter revenue, which represents a year-on-year decline of 1.8%. Don't try to catch a falling knife This presents a significant challenge for an investor in Starbucks stock.
Persons: Clinton, James Carville, SBUX Organizations: Wednesday, Starbucks Locations: China
Options Action: Traders bullish on Amazon ahead of earnings
  + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOptions Action: Traders bullish on Amazon ahead of earningsOptions trader Mike Khouw joins CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Options Action traders to talk Amazon ahead of earnings.
Persons: Mike Khouw, Melissa Lee Organizations: Options
Today, I'm focusing my attention on minerals used in modern technology and presenting a way to use options to play a lithium miner. The strategy gives a lower-risk way to get somewhat long this beaten-up miner without going all-in, and generating some income in the process. Lithium is used, as the name suggests, in lithium-ion batteries which are crucial for portable electronics, energy storage, and electric vehicles. Combined with understandably elevated options premiums this could set as a spot to begin entering a partial position, with some options overlays. Or, if the stock falls, would add to the long position at the short-put strike.
Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, Albemarle Organizations: Albemarle Corporation, Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes, Hyundai, GM, Ford, Toyota, Kia, Renault, Nissan Locations: Charlotte , NC, U.S, Albemarle, ALB
Total: 25