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The S & P 500 could see more upside ahead after breaking out above a key level as artificial intelligence drums up market excitement, according to Evercore ISI. His new target implies the stock market could rally 3.9% from where it finished last week. That puts Emanuel above the median and average S & P 500 targets on Wall Street after previously being right around them. The S & P 500's recent breakout above the 4,200 points is a sign that AI-driven momentum first seen in the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite is now apparent in the S & P 500. Momentum masters He called this investing landscape a "Momentum Market" that requires more risk management a probabilistic thinking.
Persons: Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, he'll, Russell, , selloff, Zscaler, BancShares, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: ISI, American Association of, Investors, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Deposit Insurance Company, P Bank ETF, Banking Locations: Silicon
Premarket stocks: The banking crisis isn't over
  + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Amid the US debt ceiling turmoil, a potential recession and the upcoming Fed meeting, Wall Street has a lot on its plate. Even as US lawmakers race to prevent a catastrophic default, the lingering effects of the regional banking crisis have not been completely extinguished. CEO Jamie Dimon said that his company’s emergency intervention had ended the immediate turmoil of the banking crisis. The SPDR Regional Banking ETF (KRE), which tracks a number of small and mid-sized bank stocks, is down about 3% so far this month and over 30% lower so far this year. Analysts are concerned that as rates get higher, the borrowing environment becomes tougher for regional banks, hurting their ability to lend.
Persons: New York CNN —, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, , Janet Yellen, ” Fitch, , What’s, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Biden’s, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, First Republic Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, JPMorgan, First Republic, Fitch, Governors, Federal Reserve, Banking, PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorp, Republican, Treasury Department, CNN, Saudi, Wall Street Journal Locations: New York, Banking, EY, , Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, China, Vienna
CNBC Daily Open: Goodbye for now, default fears
  + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. PacWest, another regional bank, surged 21.7%, while the broader SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rose 7.4%. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
CNBC Daily Open: Farewell for now, default fears
  + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks and a sign of health at one regional bank gave markets the confidence to rally Wednesday. PacWest, another regional bank, surged 21.7%, while the broader SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rose 7.4%.
U.S. stock futures were flat on Wednesday night as Wall Street hoped that the debt ceiling crisis would soon see a resolution. Futures linked to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures declined by 0.05% and 0.02%, respectively. Investors' sentiment seemed to rise after Washington leaders indicated that they are moving forward on debt ceiling talks. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's head of equity strategy Chris Harvey was skeptical that progress has been made in Washington on the debt ceiling talks. We think people are getting too excited about the debt ceiling in the short term.
Western Alliance shares surged Wednesday after telling investors that deposits continue to stabilize. Deposit growth exceeded $2 billion on a quarter-to-date basis as of May 12, the lender said. Regional bank stocks followed Western Alliance's lead higher. Western Alliance shares zoomed up 12% to $35.45, the highest since May 2 when they traded above $36 each. Western Alliance shares have suffered a loss of more than 40% during 2023.
Analysts on Wall Street are optimistic on Western Alliance after the bank's latest deposit update. Shares of Western Alliance popped more than 9% in the premarket. The analyst has a $71 per share price target on Western Alliance, which represents about 125% upside from Tuesday's closing price of $31.59. WAL YTD mountain Western Alliance stock has broken out in recent days, gaining 15% in the last five trading sessions. His price target points to more than 100% upside over the next 12 months.
Big tech is still the hope in a sideways stock market
  + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
With the S & P 500 down 1% this month, and essentially flat for the quarter, the best you can say is that the overall trend has moved from down in 2022 to mostly sideways in 2023. Lowry, the nation's oldest technical analysis service, has taken to calling the rally in tech "the mega-cap mirage." Lowry noted over the weekend that "core indicators of market health have demonstrated significant deterioration from the early February market high through recent days." Even as the S & P 500 was near a new rally high for the year recently, the S & P Midcap 400 and S & P Smallcap 600 were 12% and 17% below their February 2nd highs last week. Only 46% of S & P 500 stocks are above their 200-day moving averages, hardly a sign of broad market strength.
David Einhorn joined other big investors in shares in several regional bank stocks last quarter in a bet that the financial institutions would survive the industry crisis that felled Silicon Valley and First Republic banks. That's the bank whose subsidiary, Flagstar, acquired Signature Bank assets after that bank was shuttered. Einhorn's additions come amid a broad selloff of regional bank stocks on concern more institutions could fail as depositors withdrew assets and the value of banks' bond holdings narrowed. "Big Short" investor Michael Burry also bought regional bank stocks last quarter. Outside of the bank stocks, Einhorn notably increased exposure to Concentrix , Gulfport Energy and Tenet Healthcare .
The S & P 500 posted its second straight weekly decline, falling 0.3% this week. Given this backdrop, investors have turned to several consumer staples — traditionally seen as defensive stocks — to shore up their portfolios. Mondelez , PepsiCo and Molson Coors — all staples — are the most overbought S & P 500 names through Friday's session. Shares of Mondelez have rallied more than 16% year to date, easily outperforming the S & P 500's 7.4% advance. Estee Lauder is the most oversold S & P 500 stock.
CNBC Daily Open: In the eye of the storm
  + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Indeed, the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) fell by 2%. We might just be in the eye of a storm. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
The continued slide for regional bank stocks after the failure of First Republic last week has created some buying opportunities in the sector, according to Wall Street analysts. "We believe this recent stock reaction is overdone as there is currently no evidence of accelerating deposit outflows. We see accelerating deposit costs, not accelerating deposit outflows, as the most significant headwind for the midcap banks over the next several quarters," Gosalia wrote. Huntington and Webster also rise to the top of the heap for RBC Capital Markets analyst Jon Arfstrom. Both Huntington and Webster are down about 30% for the year, which is better than the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE).
CNBC Daily Open: A deceptive calmness
  + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Indeed, the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) fell by 2%. April's consumer price index report, expected Wednesday, and the producer price index on Thursday will either reinforce or dispel some of those fears. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
PacWest Bankcorp led a relief rally in regional banks again on Monday, after the struggling lender slashed dividend to build capital amid the banking crisis. PacWest CEO Paul Taylor reassured investors that the bank's businesses remains "fundamentally sound." Other regional banks also rebounded for a second day. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) rose by 2.8% in premarket, following a 6.3% rally Friday. Western Alliance jumped 8% in premarket Monday after gaining 49% in the previous session, and Zions Bancorp rose 4% Monday.
Bank stocks could be due for a rally, if history repeats itself. The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) , which is focused on regional banks, climbed 6.3% on Friday. Meanwhile, the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) , a fund that tracks financial stocks more broadly, advanced 2.5%. The KRE was down more than 1% on Monday as regional bank stocks were once again under pressure. Notably, closely watched PacWest was able to avoid the regional bank downturn, adding 10% on Monday after surging almost 82% Friday.
CNBC Daily Open: Investors like jobs growth
  + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Broader markets were boosted by April's jobs report, which showed a higher-than-expected increase in jobs growth and an unemployment rate of 3.4% — a record low since 1969. Recall January's jobs report: There were 517,000 new jobs in December, almost three times the forecast. A strong jobs market increases the probability that the U.S. economy can tame inflation without contracting too severely. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
The Vanguard Small-Cap Index ETF (VB) is down 10% over the past three months, and the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) has plunged 40%. VB 3M mountain Passive small-cap funds like VB have been hurt by the regional banking crisis. "Of the 130+ passively managed small-cap ETFs, the average Financials sector exposure is 16%. Small-cap funds is one category where active funds should have plenty of room to grow, Sohn said. Research shows that very few active managers can consistently beat index funds, and the index funds are almost always cheaper for investors by expense ratio.
CNBC Daily Open: Investors liked April's jobs growth
  + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Broader markets were boosted by April's jobs report, which showed a higher-than-expected increase in jobs growth and an unemployment rate of 3.4% — a record low since 1969. Recall January's jobs report: There were 517,000 new jobs in December, almost three times the forecast. A strong jobs market increases the probability that the U.S. economy can tame inflation without contracting too severely. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
The stock market could become "untouchable" if the regional banking crisis continues to spiral out of control. "This raises too many tail risk issues including credit tightening, commercial real estate, and wide economic implications," Lee said. Lee's cause for concern about the banking crisis and the chilling effect it could have on the stock market is based on the type of risks that could percolate if the instability continues. "This raises too many tail risk issues including credit tightening, commercial real estate and wide economic implications," Lee explained. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF surged more than 6% on Friday, suggesting that the regional banking crisis could ultimately be contained without spilling over into a bigger problem for the stock market.
The full moon, otherwise known as a strawberry supermoon, is seen over the Skyline of the CBD in Sydney, Australia June 15, 2022. Asia-Pacific markets fell as banking fears were reignited on Wall Street, sending the three major U.S. indexes into a four day losing streak. Regional bank shares sold off, with the SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) dropping more than 5% and some banks seeing volatile trading. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 19,904, pointing to a lower open compared to its last close of 19,948.73. China's Caixin services purchasing managers index for April will be published later today, a day after the Caixin manufacturing PMI fell into contraction territory.
CNBC Daily Open: Trading on fear, not fundamentals
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Regional bank stocks continued tumbling Thursday; shares of PacWest and Western Alliance were halted more than once. At one point on Thursday, every stock in the KRE traded lower as investors sold off regional banks. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
CNBC Daily Open: Fear, not fundamentals
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Regional bank stocks continued tumbling Thursday; shares of PacWest and Western Alliance were halted more than once. At one point on Thursday, every stock in the KRE traded lower as investors sold off regional banks. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
Why the inflows? A 'two-sided equation' for bank ETFs
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Kevin Schmidt | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
"It's a two-sided equation here," Reggie Browne, principal of GTS, told Bob Pisani on CNBC's 'ETF Edge' on Monday. "If you look at the entire suite of regional bank ETFs, they're picking up assets." While regional bank ETFs continue to tumble, the funds still netted more than $105 million in inflows within the past month, according to FactSet. Flows were largely into the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) , which pulled in $108 million during the same period. The dividend yield on the KRE stands at 3.84%, while the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) offers 3.59%.
Regional bank stocks were poised to bounce back on Friday, but the beaten down sector was still on track for steep losses for the week after the failure of First Republic. PacWest entered down more than 68% for the week and closed at just $3.17 per share on Thursday. Analysts at JPMorgan Chase upgraded Western Alliance, Zions and Comerica to overweight on Friday, saying the bank stocks "appear substantially mispriced to us." Many on Wall Street are looking to Washington for regulatory changes to calm the banking system, such as potentially expanding deposit insurance rules. Some have raised the possibility of temporarily banning short-selling on bank stocks.
May 3 (Reuters) - PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) is exploring strategic options including a sale or capital raising, a source familiar with the matter said, sending the shares of the bank and several other U.S. regional lenders tumbling in after-market trading. The Phoenix-based regional lender said it was "reaffirming its financial strength as well as its deposit growth guidance in response to recent industry events." PacWest stock has lost almost 90% of its value since the regional banking crisis started on March 8. Zion Bancorp (ZION.O), First Horizon (FHN.N) and Comerica (CMA.N) each slumped more than 7% and the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE.P) dropped 5%. The cost of insuring against further losses in regional U.S. bank stocks stood on Wednesday near a one-month high in options markets.
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