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☆ Stock market today: US stocks trade mixed with Fed minutes and rate outlook in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes. Traders are anticipating a quarter-point rate cut in November. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. AdvertisementAccording to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut.

Persons: —, Paul Donovan Organizations: Service, Reserve, UBS Global Wealth Management, Pantheon, Fed, US Department of Justice

☆ Fed officials were divided on whether to cut rates by half a point in September, minutes show
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"A few participants also added that a 25 basis point move could signal a more predictable path of policy normalization." Since the meeting, economic indicators have showed that the labor market is perhaps stronger than officials favoring the 50 basis point move had expected. The minutes noted that the vote to approve the 50 basis point cut came "in light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks" against the labor market. Though the document was more detailed about the debate over whether to approve the 25 basis point cut, there was not as much information about why voters supported the larger move. Since the Fed meeting, both the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields have surged about 40 basis points.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, nonfarm, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Federal, Market, Treasury Locations: WASHINGTON

☆ We see a driver for AMD stock coming up — plus, what's behind the continued market rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

With oil prices sliding and China's market giving back more of its recent gains, U.S. stocks have been free to rally. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, it's, Morgan Stanley, Vimal Kapur, Kapur, Wedbush, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Federal, Fed, CME Fed Watch, Honeywell, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD, Bank of America, Oracle, Microsoft, ZT Systems, PPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Turin

☆ Stock market today: US stocks close at all-time highs ahead of key inflation update
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Indexes hit fresh all-time highs ahead of the key inflation report for September due Thursday. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming inflation data and took in the minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting. The stakes of the next inflation reading have risen after the big September jobs number, and Wall Street could be in for some volatility in the event of an upside surprise, Bank of America said this week. Central bankers predicted inflation would fall to 2% by 2026, while risks to economic strength were "tilted to the downside." According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds for another jumbo-sized rate cut in 2024 have fallen to zero.

Persons: —, Josh Hirt, Oliver Allen Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Investors, Nasdaq, Justice, Treasury, Here's, Fed, Bank of America, Vanguard, Pantheon

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Persons: we've Organizations: Business

☆ Rate cuts were supposed to push mortgage rates lower. The opposite has happened.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Fed easing hasn't led to lower mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed rate actually rising since the first rate cut. Mortgage rates are closely linked to the 10-year US Treasury yield, which have also risen over the period. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's jumbo interest-rate cut in mid-September was welcome news to prospective homebuyers, with the expectation that a lower fed funds rate would help push mortgage rates lower. According to data from Mortgage News Daily, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has jumped about 47 basis points since the Fed rate cut, to 6.62% from 6.15%. Whether that will manifest itself in lower mortgage rates is up in the air.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, Sonu Varghese, it's Organizations: Treasury, Service, Mortgage News, Carson, CME

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Persons: Dyson, we've, Rose, Skip, Braun, Gillette, shea, Heusen, Anne Klein, It's, you've Organizations: Business, Amazon, REVLON, Revlon, Gillette Venus Womens, Panasonic, PURA, Pura, palmetto, Amazon St, St, Sports Locations: Tropez

☆ The economy is facing a 'no-landing' scenario that undercuts the financial relief many Americans hoped for
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

However, the economy and the job market may be too strong to warrant steep rate cuts in the near term. "September's strong employment report and upward revisions in July and August murdered the hard-landing scenario," Yardeni said in a note to clients this week. The 30-year mortgage rate has crept higher, not lower, since the Fed delivered its big rate cut. As the economy reaccelerates, inflation could become a problem again, solidifying a higher for longer interest rate outlook that many had abandoned after the Fed's jumbo rate cut last month. Advertisement"With benchmark interest rates coming down, most prospective borrowers don't feel relieved of high borrowing costs," according to Mark Hamrick, a senior economic analyst at Bankrate.

Persons: —, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Megan Horneman, Steven Blitz, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Yardeni, Fed, Verdence Capital Advisors, TS Lombard, Philadelphia Fed

☆ A recession next year is now even less likely following the blowout jobs report, says Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Friday's knockout jobs report has squashed fears of an imminent recession. Goldman Sachs cut the chances of a recession in the next year to 15%, and other analysts cheered. AdvertisementRecession fears have weighed on Wall Street recently, but Friday's blowout jobs report has assuaged worries of an imminent economic downturn. "Friday's US labor report put paid to US recession fears," Rabobank's research team wrote. The latest jobs report has relieved some concerns about the economy, but also dashed hopes for another jumbo cut in November.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Stocks, Goldman, Saxo, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Labor Statistics, Federal Locations: There's

☆ David Roche says misleading 50-basis-point Fed cut will create market instability
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDavid Roche says misleading 50-basis-point Fed cut will create market instabilityDavid Roche, strategist at Quantum Strategy, says the Federal Reserve's initial jumbo cut gives markets the wrong impression that rates will return to rock bottom.

Persons: David Roche Organizations: Quantum

☆ No case for more jumbo rate cuts by the Fed, strategists say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A television broadcasts the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Sept. 18, 2024. Roche said the figures made the Fed's "jumbo interest rate cut look silly, populist and panicky." 1 is that [it gives the impression that] the economy is more fragile than it is ... and the economy is fine, thank you very much, and doesn't need jumbo rate cuts," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." And headline and core inflation will stay above the Fed target of 2%, so the case for aggressive rate cuts [is not there]," he said. "Yes there is a case for modest rate cuts, there is a case for 25 to 50 basis point cuts by January next year, but a case for 50 basis point cut at the next meeting just does not exist," Parker said.

Persons: Michael Nagle, David Roche, Roche, CNBC's, " Roche, Bob Parker, Parker, Dave Pierce Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Quantum, Federal, Market, International Capital Markets Association, Fed, Global, Capital, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Israel, U.S

☆ Earnings season kicks off after a blowout jobs report upended investors' hopes of another interest-rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Tech: Amazon's Prime Day kicks off tomorrow, and there are some deals on surprising items . Amazon's Prime Day kicks off tomorrow, and there are some deals on . Getty Images; Jenny Chang-RodriguezWe've already got one indication companies are in good shape: Friday's blockbuster jobs report . But another blowout report — 250,000 jobs added and at least 4% wage growth — could lead the Fed to reconsider its easing policy. In addition to the usual Prime Day gadgets, like TVs and Airpods, Amazon is dishing out deals on tents, pocket knives, and chainsaws.

Persons: —, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, we'll, Rodriguez We've, there's, Philipp Carlsson, Chelsea Jia Feng, haven't, Donald Trump's, Tyler Le, John Tomac, that's, boomers, They're, Gen Xers, Gen Zers, Kamala Harris, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, . Tech, Amazon's, Pfizer, Wall Street, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Big Tech, Getty, Fed, Boston Consulting, Trump Media, Microsoft, BI, pharma, CBS, ASEAN Locations: Israel, fintech, Vientiane, Laos, New York, London, Chicago

☆ Jim Cramer says Abbott Labs picked up a 'very big win' — here's where the stock is going
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Oil prices also continued their climb higher on escalating tensions in the Middle East — though Jim Cramer cautioned investors against chasing the concurrent rally in energy stocks at this point. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, downgrades, We'll, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Jim, Abbott, Louis, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Apple, DuPont, Constellation Brands, Federal, U.S, Bank, Abbott Laboratories, FDA, CDC, NIH, Abbott Labs, Pfizer, American Express, KB, Netflix, Air Products, Chemicals, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, St

☆ Brace for stock-market volatility this week if inflation comes in hot after the September jobs report, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A blockbuster jobs report raises the stakes for upcoming inflation data, BofA analysts say. AdvertisementThe September jobs report was good news, but it gives investors more reason to brace for the next inflation reading, Bank of America analysts say. Economists forecast the CPI report will show inflation continued to cool last month, rising 2.3% year-over-year compared to 2.5% in August. AdvertisementHowever, with the blockbuster September jobs report, some economists say inflation is still a concern. The September jobs report blew past forecasts, with 254,000 nonfarm payrolls added compared to expectations of 150,000.

Persons: —, Brian Rose Organizations: Service, Bank of America, CPI, Fed, UBS

☆ Insider Today: Consultants hit the exits
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

This post originally appeared in the Insider Today newsletter. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This week's dispatchHot jobs reportgradyreese/Getty, Tyler Le/BIThe US economy added way more jobs in September than expected. AdvertisementThe jobs report on Friday showed 254,000 jobs added, way ahead of the 147,000 expected, while unemployment dropped to 4.1%. Here's what it all means:Rates: The strong job numbers likely mean a longer wait for lower rates.

Persons: —, Tyler Le, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Alyssa Powell, Marc Rowan, Apollo, Rowan, Natalie Ammari, Scooping, Van Cleef, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Business, Service, UC Berkeley, Fed, Dow, Deloitte, Accenture, Reuters, Apollo Management, Apollo, JPMorgan Locations: Zegna, Bridgewater

☆ There’s too much negativity about the stock market. Focus on these 3 positives instead
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

After all of these years, after all of the rather incredible rallies and gains in the stock market from so many groups, the typical morning still starts with a bevy of negativity. We hear about OpenAI and its brilliant $167 billion valuation , but we don't see any stock available to public-market investors. I have been furious at myself for thinking the Chinese government couldn't do anything about the country's struggling stock market. The Chinese stock market has been rallying nicely since the stimulus announcements. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: —, Elon Musk, he's, isn't, Carl Quintanilla, David Tepper, holler, That's, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal Reserve, Walmart, Fed, SpaceX, Nike, Walgreens, CVS Health, Club, GE Healthcare, Wynn Resorts, Chinese Communist Party, Apple, PDD Holdings, JD.com, Baidu, Diamondback Energy, Exxon Mobil, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, China, —, New York City

☆ Inflation, earnings and AI are the three market drivers we're watching this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Friday's rally on a strong jobs report gained momentum into the close and pushed the stock market into the green for the week. Inflation data: The September consumer price index (CPI) report is out Thursday. The September producer price index (PPI) is out Friday. Jim said last week that investors who don't own AMD shares should buy some ahead of CEO Lisa Su's presentation. ET: Consumer price index 12 p.m.

Persons: we'll, Jim Cramer, Friday's, Matthew Graham, Israel, Joe Biden, Wells, Jim, we're, We're, Morgan Stanley, Lisa Su's, Su, Jim Cramer's, Michael M Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage News Daily, CNBC, Devices, PPI, Bank, Nvidia, SOXX Semiconductor, PepsiCo, Delta Air Lines, DAL, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, New York City

☆ What a hot job market means for inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —The US job market is still piping hot. That comes after the Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates by a jumbo half-point, signaling that it is turning its attention from tamping down inflation to keeping the job market steady. But some warn that a still-strong labor market could make it more difficult for inflation to continue cooling. That’s because a low unemployment rate and hot job market underline a strong American consumer, whose spending helps drive up the cost of goods and services. Consumer inflation eased to its slowest annual pace since February 2021 in August, continuing a trend of cooling down in recent months.

Persons: FactSet, ”, Seema Shah, “, Gina Bolvin Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Investors, “, Fed, Asset Management, Labor Statistics, Bolvin Wealth Management Group, International Longshoremen’s Association, United States Maritime Alliance Locations: New York, July’s, Israel, Iran, Russia, Ukraine

☆ 'Inflation is not dead': Consumer prices are still in focus for investors despite the Fed's labor-market pivot
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The upcoming inflation report will help determine the Fed's next move. Friday's surprisingly strong jobs data has slashed bets of a half-point rate cut. AdvertisementBut with September's jobs report crushing expectations, concerns may have been premature. AdvertisementHow inflation data could compound these forecasts will be known on Thursday, when the CPI report comes out. Still, with inflation still slightly above the central bank's 2% target , some analysts are cautioning investors not to forget about price pressures.

Persons: Friday's, —, it's, they're, Mohamed El, Erian, Brian Rose, Seema Shah Organizations: UBS, Service, US, Bloomberg, CPI, Fed, Bank of America, Barclays

☆ US economy added 254,000 jobs in September, logging surprisingly robust growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —US job growth surged in September, blowing past expectations and providing solid reassurance for the ongoing stability of the labor market. Employers added an estimated 254,000 jobs in September, according to data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. “The outlook for the economy in the months ahead is quite favorable, according to the September jobs report. As job gains dropped off from their once breakneck pace, economists were quick to note that the labor market was merely slowing and not at risk of imminent collapse. “The labor market is strong,” she said.

Persons: “, ” Brian Bethune, —, Chris Rupkey, ”, Elise Gould, Gould, Jerome Powell, September’s, it’s, ” Bethune, ‘, ’, Josh Hirt, ” Hirt, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Employers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Boston College, Service, Federal Reserve, FwdBonds, Economic Policy Institute, Federal, Vanguard, Boeing

☆ Treasury yields dip ahead of September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 10-year Treasury yield was lower by one basis point at 3.84%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was also one basis point lower at 3.697%. U.S. Treasury yields were slightly lower early Friday as investors gear up for the closely watched September jobs report. Treasury yields rose on Thursday after ADP data showed private payrolls grew by more than expected in September. Private companies added 143,000 jobs, ahead of August's figure of 103,000 and a forecast of 128,000. That was given as justification for the jumbo 50-basis-point interest rate cut carried out by the Fed last month.

Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Fed

☆ The jobs market had a very strong September
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed is pivoting away from fighting inflation to supporting the labor market. The encouraging numbers doubled down on a labor market that's showing signs of strength after a slowdown. The Federal Reserve signaled a pivot from fighting inflation to supporting the job market with a 50-basis-point interest rate cut in mid-September, the first cut in four years. AdvertisementWage growth was another highlight for the labor market in September. The latest jobs report didn't just indicate a strong September.

Persons: —, Glen Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, BLS, GDS Wealth Management, Fed

☆ The September jobs report dashed hopes for another jumbo rate cut next month
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe September jobs report offered good news all around — except to those expecting a second straight jumbo 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%, bucking estimates that it would stay unchanged at 4.2%. Analysts agree that September's blowout job numbers make an aggressive interest rate cut harder to justify. Advertisement"Did the Fed even need to cut rates in September, let alone cut by 50 basis points?" Late last month, the bank predicted that investors would take on more risk if the unemployment rate hit 4.1% and if payrolls reached above 150,000.

Persons: —, Seema Shah, Glen Smith, Morgan Stanley, payrolls, Smith Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Asset Management, GDS Wealth Management, Federal

Banks up : Financials were also strong Friday, with Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley our top performers on the session. Beer boss : Shares of Club stock Constellation Brands were bouncing Friday, one day after a steep post-earnings slide . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, WTI, Prices, Banks, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Jim, Goldman Sachs, Beer, Bill Newlands, Newlands, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, ., Fed, West Texas, Drug Administration, Centers for Disease Control, National Institutes of Health, NEC, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Constellation, Morning, Costco, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, Israel, Mexico, Wells

☆ Why one firm is skeptical about the blockbuster September jobs report — and is still expecting another jumbo rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed will still deliver jumbo rate cuts to stabilize the weakening job market, the firm predicted. AdvertisementThough most on Wall Street are cheering September's blowout labor report, not everyone is so sure the labor market is booming. Advertisement"The extremely low response rate to the payroll survey waves a red flag," the firm wrote on Friday. The firm scrutinized last month's payroll strength against the fact that other labor market indicators have shown a pullback in hiring. Meanwhile, this week's JOLTS data prompted Deutsche Bank to question how tight the labor market really is.

Persons: —, Larry Summers Organizations: Macroeconomics, Service, Deutsche Bank, of Labor Statistics, Conference, Federal, Bank of America Locations: joblessness, tanked

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