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☆ America's offices are about to see a wave of distress that could result in a billion square feet of fresh housing supply
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Advertisement"The banks are going to have to dispose of that real estate," Barkham told Business Insider in an interview. John Vavas, a real estate finance attorney at Polsinelli who works with commercial real estate lenders, has worked on a handful of office-to-residential conversion deals this year. There's around 1.2 billion square feet worth of office space that could be spun into residential space, Yardi said in a separate report. Late payments on commercial real estate loans have climbed to 1.42% in the second quarter, the highest rate in nearly 10 years. Commercial real estate prices, meanwhile, dropped another 9% year-over-year in the first quarter, Fed data shows.

Persons: —, Richard Barkham, Barkham, RentCafe, John Vavas, Yardi, Vavas Organizations: Service, Federal, Silverstein Properties, Washington DC Locations: New York, United States, New York City, Dallas, Chicago, Los Angeles

☆ Why Chinese stocks will climb another 50% from current levels, research CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese stocks are poised for a huge run-up in the next year, according to Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraaf. Other notable investors have been looking to buy the dip in Chinese stocks amid continued stimulus efforts. Other traders on Wall Street have shown interest in buying the dip in Chinese equities, despite fear that Beijing's economic slowdown could stick around. Other strategists on Wall Street have made bullish calls on Chinese equities in recent weeks, with eyes on continued stimulus measures in Beijing. Goldman Sachs predicted China's stock market could rally another 20%, thanks to "more substantial policy measures" and Chinese stocks being oversold, strategists said in a note.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf, —, deGraaf, Beijing didn't, Mario Draghi, Michael Hartnett, Yuan Wei, Yuan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Macro, CSI, Bloomberg, Beijing, Investors, Bank of America, Investment Fund Management Co Locations: —, Beijing, China, Wall, Shenzhen, Hong Kong

☆ Home prices are down as much as 12% in boomtowns in Florida, Texas, and other popular states
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Metros in Florida, Texas, and other states are seeing prices fall by as much as 12%, per Realtor.com. Miami, FloridaPedro Portal/Miami Herald/Tribune News Service via Getty ImagesMedian list price: $525,000Change from last year: -12.4%2. Orlando, FloridaSmithlandia Media/Getty ImagesMedian list price: $429,950Change from last year: -5.6%Advertisement9. Tampa, FloridaJohn Coletti/Getty ImagesMedian list price: $414,948Change from last year: -5.5%10. Nashville, TennesseeJohn Coletti/Getty ImagesMedian list price: $547,865Change from last year: -5.4%

Persons: —, Miami , Florida Pedro, Swapan Jha, San Francisco , California Nicholas Klein, Kansas City , Missouri Edwin Remsberg, Austin , Texas RYAN KYTE, Jacksonville , Florida Dan Reynolds, Tampa , Florida John Coletti, Nashville , Tennessee John Coletti Organizations: Metros, Service, metros, Miami Herald, Tribune, Getty, Kansas, Orlando , Florida Smithlandia Locations: Florida , Texas, Realtor.com, Florida, Texas, Miami , Florida, Cincinnati , Ohio, San Francisco , California, Kansas City , Missouri, Austin ,, Jacksonville , Florida, Denver , Colorado, Orlando , Florida, Tampa , Florida, Nashville , Tennessee

A credit score under these thresholds is also called a sub-prime credit score, which means that creditors might think twice when reviewing your application for a credit line. However, a combination of serious negative marks on your credit score may seriously hurt your credit score, putting you on the lower end of the score range. Minimal credit history: A minimal credit history means you haven't been using credit (like a credit card or loan) for much time. While one credit check on your credit report may dent your credit score by a few points, several of these in a short period of time will significantly hurt your credit score. While one credit check on your credit report may dent your credit score by a few points, several of these in a short period of time will significantly hurt your credit score.

Persons: VantageScore, aren't, you'll, Enoch Omololu, Erik Beguin, Kendall Meade, Jennifer, Read Organizations: New Canadians, Austin Capital Bank, Business, Yahoo, Finance, CBS, MSNBC, CNBC, Forbes, Black Enterprise, USA, The Johns Hopkins University Carey School of Business, Business Journalists Locations: annualcreditreport.com, America, TheGrio, New York City

☆ Russia's ruble hits the lowest level in a year against the dollar and the yuan
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Russia's ruble continued to sag against the dollar and the yuan, hitting its lowest level in a year. That drop comes ahead of a key US Treasury license expiring this month. AdvertisementRussia's ruble sank to its lowest level in a year against the US dollar and China's yuan this week. The ruble fell to around 97 against the dollar on Thursday, its lowest level against the greenback since October of 2023. The ruble traded around 13.72 against the yuan, also the lowest level against China's currency in a year.

Persons: — Organizations: Treasury, Reuters, Service, Moscow Exchange, National Clearing Center, US Treasury Locations: Moscow, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Video: Dramatic drone footage shows Tropicana Field roof blown off
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

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☆ Oil oversupply could send prices tumbling in 2025, energy analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Oil could see a decline to a "much, much" lower price, according to crude analyst Tom Kloza. Oversupply will weigh on oil prices in 2025, Kloza predicted. AdvertisementThe oil market is headed into a troubled year in 2025, and crude prices may fall "much, much" lower, according to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at Oil Price Information Service. The oil analyst said crude prices would experience more downward pressure in 2025 despite concerns that conflict in the Middle East could escalate and send prices higher. "It was pointing lower, and I think it's still pointing lower.

Persons: Tom Kloza, Kloza, —, Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: Service, Oil Price Information Service, Traders, CNBC, Energy Information Administration, Giants, Jets Locations: Saudi Arabia, Iraq

☆ People trapped in apartments send SOS signals after Milton floods area
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ Viral kayaker from Helene says he’ll ride out Milton in similar fashion
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ Why the interest-rate cut isn't delivering the relief consumers were hoping for
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

In today's big story, we got our first interest-rate cut, but it doesn't feel like it for many consumers . We finally got an interest-rate cut, but borrowing costs are still high. First off, last month's interest-rate cut wasn't going to provide immediate relief. Yes, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has gone up 47 basis points since the Fed cut rates , writes BI's Matthew Fox. So the Fed cut rates but borrowing costs went up?

Persons: —, Milton, Alyssa Powell, isn't materializing, Jennifer Sor, Let's, BI's Matthew Fox, I'm, It's, BI's James Rodriguez, who's, Warren Faidley, Hurricane Milton, Hindenburg, Chelsea Jia Feng, Vinod Khosla, OpenAI, Mark Zuckerbergs, Gen Zers, haven't, Rebecca Zisser, Elon Musk's, Tesla, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Gas, Hindenburg, Tech, DOJ, Google, Walt Disney World, Hurricane Milton, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Hurricane, Energy, Futures, Bank of America, Disney Locations: Florida, Warren, Tampa, Chelsea, Robotaxi, Hurricane, New York, London

☆ Stock market today: US stocks close at all-time highs ahead of key inflation update
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Indexes hit fresh all-time highs ahead of the key inflation report for September due Thursday. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders looked ahead to coming inflation data and took in the minutes of the Federal Reserve's last meeting. The stakes of the next inflation reading have risen after the big September jobs number, and Wall Street could be in for some volatility in the event of an upside surprise, Bank of America said this week. Central bankers predicted inflation would fall to 2% by 2026, while risks to economic strength were "tilted to the downside." According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds for another jumbo-sized rate cut in 2024 have fallen to zero.

Persons: —, Josh Hirt, Oliver Allen Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Investors, Nasdaq, Justice, Treasury, Here's, Fed, Bank of America, Vanguard, Pantheon

☆ Tesla is approaching its 'most hyped' event in a decade. Here's what Wall Street is expecting from Robotaxi Day.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Tesla is about to unveil its Robotaxi, the self-driving car Elon Musk has talked about for years. Tesla will host its long-awaited Robotaxi event on Thursday, where the company is set to unveil the self-driving car Musk has teased for years. Tesla shares slumped earlier this year after Musk moved the Robotaxi event from August to October, which fueled concerns about the new technology. Tesla is hosting the Robotaxi event at Warner Bros. That venue may be able to demo the self-driving car with a Hollywood polish, analysts have said.

Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, —, Elon, Jay Woods, They've, Woods, Musk, UBS Tesla, Wedbush, Garrett Nelson, Nelson, CFRA Organizations: Service, Freedom Capital, Schwab Network, UBS, Warner Bros, Bloomberg, Truist Securities Truist Securities, Optimus, Wedbush, Tesla, CFRA Research Locations: Hollywood

☆ Stock market today: US stocks trade mixed with Fed minutes and rate outlook in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks traded mixed as investors looked ahead to the central bank's meeting minutes. Traders are anticipating a quarter-point rate cut in November. Monetary policy is in focus after an unexpectedly hot job report in September, fueling doubt over whether the Fed will issue another jumbo rate cut this year. "The tone of the Fed minutes should not change expectations of further rate cuts—the Fed is still scrambling to catch up with inflation slowing in the US, and started cutting rates late. AdvertisementAccording to Pantheon Macroeconomics, the Fed is more likely to begin cutting rates in 25-basis-point increments rather than issuing another 50-basis-point rate cut.

Persons: —, Paul Donovan Organizations: Service, Reserve, UBS Global Wealth Management, Pantheon, Fed, US Department of Justice

☆ Russia has lost another banking partner as more lenders turn their back on Moscow over fear of sanctions
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp will stop processing Russian transactions in November, Bloomberg reported. The Singaporean bank is following lenders in China, which have largely pulled back from Russia. AdvertisementAnother bank has turned its back on Russia as lenders grow worried about doing business with Moscow under threat of Western sanctions. The changes come as more lenders grow hesitant about doing deals with Russian clients after the West threatened to impose secondary sanctions on firms doing business in the country. A Russian state media outlet reported that nearly all Chinese banks have stopped processing payments from Russia out of fear of being targeted.

Persons: —, Oversea, hasn't Organizations: Chinese Banking Corp, Bloomberg, Service, Banking Corp, Business Locations: Russia, China, Moscow, Singapore, Russian

☆ I've been to 86 countries and learned to travel on a budget. I book tours once I'm in the country and embrace public transportation.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Jennifer Sizeland | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Since then, I've been to 86 countries and have learned how to travel on a budget. I book directly with local businesses and I embrace public transportation, among other things. Now, 20 years later, I've visited 86 countries on a shoestring budget. It feels more ethical, too, as our money went straight to people living by the river instead of a tour company based elsewhere. If that is the case, make sure to book the tours while you're in the country, as it will save you money.

Persons: I've, —, who'd, Jennifer Sizeland, we'd Organizations: Service, Raffles Locations: Tanzania, Borneo, Chile, Argentina, Tunisia, Carthage, South, Southeast Asia, Baku, The Gambia, Singapore

☆ The economy is facing a 'no-landing' scenario that undercuts the financial relief many Americans hoped for
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

However, the economy and the job market may be too strong to warrant steep rate cuts in the near term. "September's strong employment report and upward revisions in July and August murdered the hard-landing scenario," Yardeni said in a note to clients this week. The 30-year mortgage rate has crept higher, not lower, since the Fed delivered its big rate cut. As the economy reaccelerates, inflation could become a problem again, solidifying a higher for longer interest rate outlook that many had abandoned after the Fed's jumbo rate cut last month. Advertisement"With benchmark interest rates coming down, most prospective borrowers don't feel relieved of high borrowing costs," according to Mark Hamrick, a senior economic analyst at Bankrate.

Persons: —, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Megan Horneman, Steven Blitz, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Yardeni, Fed, Verdence Capital Advisors, TS Lombard, Philadelphia Fed

☆ Traders are betting Hurricane Milton will knock out electricity and leave power plants idling
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Energy traders are betting that Hurricane Milton will spark power outages in Florida. US natural gas futures have fallen 8% in the last three days. Front-month US natural gas futures have dropped 8% over the last three days, from $2.97 to $2.74 per million British thermal units as of Tuesday morning. The price drop comes as the Southeast prepares for Hurricane Milton, which is expected to hit Florida by Wednesday evening. Energy traders have leaned more bullish on natural gas in recent weeks before the latest bout of extreme weather.

Persons: Hurricane Milton, —, Helene Organizations: Hurricane, Traders, Service, Energy, Southeast, Florida, Gas, New York Mercantile, Intercontinental Exchanges, Reuters Locations: Florida

☆ The Fed is done cutting rates this year as the 'phantom recession' is finally dead, market vet says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed is done cutting interest rates for the rest of the year, according to Ed Yardeni. Fears of a recession have been almost completely eliminated, the market vet said in a note. The no-show Fed-triggered recession will remain a no-show, especially now that the Fed has started to lower the FFR even though it isn't warranted by the performance of the economy," Yardeni wrote. I think it broadens out from the Magnificent Seven to the S&P 493," Yardeni added, speaking to Bloomberg on Monday. "We're going to have another quarter where I think earnings will go to a record-high in the third quarter."

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, —, landers, they're Organizations: Service, Reserve, Yardeni, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Services, Institution of Supply Management, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Bloomberg, Investor

☆ The job market is in the 'Twilight Zone,' top economist Claudia Sahm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US job market is in a strange quandary, according to Claudia Sahm. The September jobs report was huge, but Sahm said the labor market is still cooling. AdvertisementThe job market is in a weird spot, even after Friday's stunningly strong nonfarm payroll report, Claudia Sahm says. The former Federal Reserve economist and the creator of a highly watched recession indicator pointed to signs that the labor market is cooling, despite September's blowout jobs report. Other forecasters have said the job market remains in uncertain territory, though labor conditions are generally on strong footing.

Persons: Claudia Sahm, Sahm, —, they're Organizations: Employers, Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Challenger, Atlanta Fed

☆ Falling home prices and fed-up residents show the Texas housing boom is slowing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The Texas housing market has cooled after a frenzy of activity during the pandemic. The shift in attitudes is an indicator for the state's housing market, which boomed during the pandemic. Median home prices in Texas have fallen around 7% from their highs in mid-2022, according to data from Redfin. The decline is an outlier compared to the broader US housing market, which is still prices hovering around record highs. But those issues are minor relative to things like economic growth and housing affordability, Fairweather says, which she described as two of the biggest factors that could determine if the Texas housing market picks back up.

Persons: Austin, —, Peter Hoholick, Roe, Wade, Hoholick, it's, James Willoughby, Willoughby, he's, Redfin, William Wheeler, Price, Daryl Fairweather, " Fairweather, Fairweather, they're, Samuel Cobb, couldn't, Cobb, hasn't, We're Organizations: Lone Star, Service, Texas —, Lone Star State, realtors, Texas, Census Bureau, . Texas realtors, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BI Locations: Texas, Austin, California, Dallas, Amarillo, Florida , Texas, LendingTree, Fort Worth, Arlington, East Texas

☆ Chinese stocks could rally 15% as more stimulus spurs a GDP growth spurt next year, SocGen says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Chinese stocks could climb as much as 15% on the nation's expected fiscal stimulus package, SocGen said. The stimulus measures could push China's GDP to grow as much as 5% next year, strategist said. The package could amount to as much as 3 trillion yuan, or $427 billion, and include an "open-ended commitment" for a bigger stimulus package the following year. "The exact magnitude of the boost will be subject to the size and details of the fiscal package … the sustainability of housing stabilization and household wealth recovery." AdvertisementOther experts have noted that China's monetary stimulus measures are unlikely to be effective without fiscal stimulus to go along with it.

Persons: SocGen, —, Société Générale Organizations: Service, National People's Conference Locations: Beijing, China

☆ Russia is facing a 'time bomb' at the heart of its economy, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russia is breaking down institutions and "borrowing from the future," Konstantin Sonin says. The economist notes Russia is taking measures to exert more control over its economy. But those actions are hurting Moscow's economic future, Sonin said. Konstantin Sonin, a professor at the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy, said he foresaw a dark economic future ahead for Russia. Putin's war not only imposes on today's Russians a worse life than they otherwise would have had.

Persons: Konstantin Sonin, Sonin, — Organizations: Service, University of Chicago Harris School of Public, Syndicate, Heineken, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow

☆ ‘Take a look at that blow up’: CNN reporter breaks down ‘surprising’ jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ ‘You are a charlatan’: Judge blasts former Colorado county clerk Tina Peters at sentencing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ Why China's massive stimulus effort might not have any effect until next year
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The direct effects of China's latest stimulus may not kick in until 2025, one researcher says. That's because Beijing needs to ramp up spending in addition to monetary stimulus measures. Lower interest rates, for one, may not entice households and businesses to borrow, or banks to ramp up lending, given China's already-sluggish economic environment. In particular, Beijing needs more fiscal stimulus to go alongside its monetary stimulus measures, Huang said. Experts have warned that China's economic problems could stick around for the long term given some of the nation's deep-rooted issues, like its population decline.

Persons: —, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National, Terry Locations: Beijing

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