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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJay Powell wants to be remembered as Paul Volcker not Arthur Burns: Former Fed Governor KrosznerRandy Kroszner, former Federal Reserve governor, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his thoughts on the latest economic data, the Federal Reserve's upcoming playbook, and whether the Fed will weigh the weaker economic data even more.
Persons: Jay Powell, Paul Volcker, Arthur Burns, Kroszner Randy Kroszner Organizations: Former, Federal Reserve, Federal
The big drop in oil prices is great news for consumers and the war on inflation. Additionally, higher oil prices contribute to inflation directly by increasing the cost of inputs, such as food packaging. It would seem reasonable to assume the opposite is true: falling oil prices will decrease inflation. Energy analyst Andy Lipow tells me that while it is reasonable to assume falling oil prices will reduce inflation, falling prices may not reduce inflation as much or as fast as rising prices increase inflation. "When oil prices fall, we do not see gasoline and diesel prices fall as quickly — certainly not at the retail level."
Persons: Daniel Yergin, CNBC's Becky Quick, Jay Powell, Andy Lipow, Organizations: P Global, Chevron, U.S . Senate, Energy Locations: U.S, China, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Jay Powell is 'crystal clear' about the 2% inflation target: Requisite's Bryn TalkingtonBryn Talkington, Steve Weiss, Josh Brown, and Bill Baruch join 'Halftime Report' to discuss the outlook for interest rates, the possibility of a soft landing, and more.
Persons: Jay Powell, Bryn, Bryn Talkington, Steve Weiss, Josh Brown, Bill Baruch
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. "We've been big fans of what [Fed Chair] Jay Powell is doing and staying the course and our portfolio reflects that," Jim Cramer said Tuesday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, We've, Jay Powell, Stanley Black, Decker, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, they've, They're, Jim, We're, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Federal, Treasury, Procter, Gamble, Nvidia, TJX Companies Locations: Homegoods
What Ended the Market Rally
  + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Andrew Ross Sorkin | Ravi Mattu | Bernhard Warner | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Stock futures this morning are pointing to another weak open. The subdued jobs report released last week led many on Wall Street to predict that the Fed would stop increasing borrowing costs. Not so fast, the central bank’s chief suggested at an event hosted by the International Monetary Fund in Washington. He called out the “head fakes” posed by fluctuating inflation data, and reiterated that the door remained open for further interest rate increases. (Speaking of doors: Powell appeared to lose his cool when climate change protesters disrupted his speech, issuing a profanity as they were escorted off the stage.)
Persons: Jay Powell, , Powell hasn’t, , Powell Organizations: Stock, International Monetary Fund Locations: Ukraine, Washington
To Cramer, stocks able to do well in these uncertain conditions have strong innovation and effective cost-saving measures. "Innovation and self-help are what allows stocks to buck the pull of the bond market," he said. He said Meta and Alphabet are effectively using AI to bolster ad sales, which are higher than many traditional media channels. He also said Apple 's products are "special" enough to withstand pressures from the bond market. Cramer then highlighted Disney , which he said is managing a powerful turnaround despite bond market stress.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell's, Cramer, could've, Jay Powell's, Powell Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Disney
Morning Bid: Waiting for word from the Fed chief
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell answers a question at a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. Last week's surprisingly soft jobs data heightened expectations that interest rates had peaked, but Fed commentary since then has warned against complacency in the fight against inflation. For now, investors have dialled up wagers on near-term rate cuts, with the Fed funds rate showing better than 50/50 odds for one as early as May. In Asia time, long-term Treasury yields are stuck around 4.58% and the dollar is biding its time around $1.07 per euro. While the Fed outlook dominates investors' attention, there is plenty of central bank speak in store from Europe as well.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Kevin Buckland, Jay Powell, Christine Lagarde, Philip Lane, Joachim Nagel, Pablo Hernandez de Cos, Andrew Bailey, Fed's Powell, Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Kevin, Kevin Buckland Markets, Reuters Graphics, Bank of Spain, Bank of England, Adidas, Airbus, Bayer, Continental, Credit Agricole, Federal Reserve Division of Research, Statistics, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Asia, Europe, Germany, Brussels, Irish
There’s a conundrum that economists and political strategists have been chewing on for more than a year: The economy is good, but Americans say it’s lousy. Just 2% of voters say the economy is excellent, according to a New York Times-Siena College poll. But there’s a conundrum within the conundrum, which is that, despite what Americans say, they are not behaving like a people particularly worried about the economy. That’s why Americans are pulling money from their 401(k)s at an alarming rate to pay the bills. For young people living paycheck to paycheck, the dream of homeownership (and the financial security that comes with it) feels frustratingly out of reach.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Bidenomics, Taylor Swift, they’re, It’s, Jay Powell, it’s squishy, don’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN Business, New York Times, Siena, Starbucks Locations: New York, pollsters
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSen. Rick Scott: I wouldn't want to have a report card if I was Jay Powell right nowSen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his calls to hold Fed Chair Powell accountable for failing to reduce the Fed's balance sheet, the rise of antisemitism on college campuses in the wake of the Israel-Hamas war, and more.
Persons: Email Sen, Rick Scott, Jay Powell, Sen, Powell Organizations: Email Locations: Israel
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel said the Federal Reserve needs to consider interest rate cuts a lot sooner than expected. "I think Jay Powell has to be on high alert because we did get some weak data," Siegel said. AdvertisementAdvertisementWharton professor Jeremy Siegel said Monday that the Federal Reserve needs to stay flexible and consider interest rate cuts a lot sooner than the market expects. He ultimately expects the Fed's next interest rate move to be a cut rather than a hike, and it should come sometime in 2024. I think the next move is a cut and it might come even sooner than we think given the data," Siegel said.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Jay Powell, Siegel, , I'm, he's, Powell, It's, He's Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, Service
Waiting on the Fed and TreasuryThe Fed hasn’t budged on interest rates since July, and it’s expected to stand pat again today. Still, an anxious Wall Street will be closely watching for any change in the central bank’s higher-for-longer strategy on rates, including the possibility of a new increase as soon as next month. Before Jay Powell, the Fed chair, speaks this afternoon, the Treasury Department will take center stage. But this Treasury update comes against a backdrop of big tensions in the bond market. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes jumped to a 16-year high last month as investors dumped bond holdings, sending borrowing costs higher for consumers and businesses.
Persons: Wall, Jay Powell Organizations: Fed, Treasury, Treasury Department
[1/3] Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 23, 2023. Underlying inflation picked up last month, largely driven by housing costs, a U.S. Commerce Department report showed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 1.12%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 0.48% and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 0.38%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) closed about 1% higher after hitting a fresh 11-month low on Thursday. The yen hit a new one-year low of 150.77 per dollar overnight and was last at 149.59 .
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jeffrey Roach, Jay Powell, Christine Lagarde, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Naomi Rovnick, Stella Qiu, Richard Chang, Alexander Smith, Sandra Maler Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Global, U.S . Commerce Department, Federal, LPL Financial, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intel, Chevron, European Central Bank, Sanofi, . Treasury, Bank of America, ECB, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Charlotte , North Carolina, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Gaza, Boston, London, Sydney
Big central banks hit pause, with rate cuts far off
  + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
On Oct. 23, Fed Chair Jay Powell said a strong economy and tight jobs market could warrant more rate rises. Interest rate futures show traders believe the BoE will not cut rates, now at their highest since 2008, until at least June 2024. "The Governing Council’s past interest rate increases continue to be transmitted forcefully into financing conditions," the ECB said, adding it would follow a "data-dependent" approach and future decisions would be based on incoming data. Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere told parliament last week interest rates may have peaked. Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics8) AUSTRALIAThe Reserve Bank of Australia held rates steady at 4.1% for a fourth meeting in October.
Persons: Jonathan Ernst, Jay Powell, BoE, Jonas Gahr Stoere, Michele Bullock, Naomi Rovnick, Harry Robertson, Alun John, Yoruk Bahceli, Samuel Indyk, Chiara Elisei, Kripa Jayaram, Pasit, Riddhima, Sumanta Sen, Vineet, Amanda Cooper, Giles Elgood Organizations: . Federal, REUTERS, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, UNITED, Reuters, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, BRITAIN, Bank of Canada, BoC, ECB, Norges Bank, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Washington, Japan, hawkish, dovish, NORWAY, SWEDEN Sweden, SWITZERLAND, Swiss, Gaza, JAPAN
At Friday's close of 4224 on Friday, the S & P 500 is off 8% from the July high, with its equal-weighted version down 11%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD Yet the S & P was also at about the current level on Sept. 22, when the 10-year was a half-percentage-point lower, as well as on June 2, when it was at 3.7%. It's taken as a given in most corners of the investment business that higher rates available on bonds serve mechanically to compress equity valuations. Which is how the stock market finds itself here, with real or incipient breakdowns in regional banks and transportation stocks, the median S & P 500 component down for the year. The S & P 500 has gone on to drop a bit further, rally weakly and then roll back toward a five-month low.
Persons: James Carville, Bill Clinton, Stocks, it's, It's, Savita Subramanian, Jay Powell, LEI, Bond Organizations: Treasury, Bank of America, Group, Bloomberg News Locations: Friday's, corporates, Israel
A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. Comments from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will also be on investor radar during the day as Fed officials will be entering a media blackout starting Saturday ahead of their meeting on Nov 1. The 10-year Treasury yield , which briefly crossed 5% on Thursday for the first time since July 2007, were last at 4.9392%. ET, Dow e-minis were down 78 points, or 0.23%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 13 points, or 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 61 points, or 0.41%. Shares of solar firms Enphase Energy (ENPH.O) and First Solar (FSLR.O) were also down 15.6% and 5.2%, respectively.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jay Powell, Michael Hewson, Lorie Logan, Patrick Harker, Loretta Mester, CME's, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Economic, of New, CMC, Fed Bank of Dallas, Market, BofA, Research, U.S, Philadelphia Fed, Cleveland Fed, Traders, American Express, Investors, Dow e, Enphase Energy, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, of New York, East, Israel, Gaza, Bengaluru
Detrick: We favor investing in small-caps and cyclical stocks
  + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDetrick: We favor investing in small-caps and cyclical stocksRyan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, discusses the market environment following Jay Powell's comments yesterday.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, Jay Powell's Organizations: Carson Group
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer Fed Vice Chair Roger Ferguson on his expectations for rates into year-endFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chair Roger Ferguson discusses the road ahead for monetary policy following Chair Jay Powell's comments yesterday.
Persons: Roger Ferguson, Jay Powell's Organizations: Former, Federal
Worries are growing about how much the turmoil could cost the global economy. Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, hit a three-week high this on Fridayfears that a military escalation could disrupt already tight supplies. In a speech largely focused on inflation, interest rates and economic growth, Jay Powell, the central bank’s chair, warned on Thursday that “geopolitical tensions are highly elevated and pose important risks to global economic activity.”The Middle East is becoming a wild card for the global economy. That would probably sap growth but might also slow the economy enough to negate the need for an additional interest-rate increase. The measures were announced days after the U.S. imposed tighter restrictions on sales of more advanced semiconductors to China.
Persons: Biden, , Brent, Jay Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Kamala Harris, Jay Monahan, David Zaslav, Jim Jordan, Patrick McHenry, Jordan, there’s, Fran Drescher, George Clooney, ” Drescher, Sidney Powell, Donald Trump’s Organizations: Gaza, Israel, U.S . Navy, Intel, Siemens, European Commission, Digital Services, PGA, Warner Bros, Hollywood, SAG, Trump Locations: Mideast, Israel, Ukraine, Lebanon, U.S, Iran, Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Lisbon, Ohio, Trump . China, Beijing, China
Treasury yields rose further and the benchmark 10-year note yield was at a 16-year high of almost 5%. The rate-sensitive real estate sector (.SPLRCR) dropped 2.4% and was the day's worst-performing S&P 500 sector. [1/2]Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The labor market is showing strength even though the central bank has raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 525 basis points since March 2022. The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 37 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 370 new lows.
Persons: Tesla, Jerome Powell, Elon Musk, Oliver Pursche, Jay Powell, Powell, Brendan McDermid, Caroline Valetkevitch, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Dhanya Ann Thoppil, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Netflix, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Wealthspire Advisors, Economic, Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Data, U.S . Labor Department, Netflix Inc, American Airlines, United Airlines, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Westport , Connecticut, New York, U.S, New York City, United States, Britain, France, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Treasury yields rose further and the benchmark 10-year note yield was at a 16-year high of almost 5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 254.24 points, or 0.76%, to 33,410.84. Data this week has pointed to strong consumer demand and a tight labor market. A U.S. Labor Department report on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to a nine-month low last week.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Elon Musk, Oliver Pursche, Jay Powell, Powell, Caroline Valetkevitch, Shubham Batra, Shashwat Chauhan, Dhanya Ann Thoppil, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Netflix, Tesla, Treasury, Wealthspire Advisors, Economic, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S . Labor Department, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Westport , Connecticut, New York, United States, Britain, France, Bengaluru
Investors turn to the Fed amid Israel-Hamas turmoilThe Middle East crisis has put markets on edge, pushing up oil prices and driving demand for safe havens, like gold. A key update comes Thursday at noon Eastern, with Jay Powell, the Fed chair, set to speak at the Economic Club of New York. In recent months, inflation has begun to ease, but the path has been bumpy as hiring remains robust and consumers continue to spend. That’s fueled fears in the bond markets that Fed policymakers will keep their prime lending rate at around 5 percent well into next year. The conviction has prompted a mammoth sell-off in Treasuries in recent weeks, pushing the yield on the 10-year T-bill to a 16-year high.
Persons: Jay Powell Organizations: Economic, of New Locations: Israel, of New York, Treasuries
Jim Cramer's week ahead: Focus on September jobs report
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
CNBC's Jim Cramer said next Friday's nonfarm payrolls — the employment data over the past month — may decide if October will see a market rally. On Tuesday, spice and flavor manufacturer McCormick will report earnings, and beverage company Molson Coors will have an analyst meeting. Cramer said the tech company is coming off the report of a great quarter and forecast, and he thinks the stock could have more room to run. Cramer again emphasized Friday's labor report, saying in order to have a "strong October," the nonfarm payrolls need to show some slack in the workforce. Cramer noted the jobs report will not come out if the government shuts down.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Kellogg, WK Kellogg, McCormick, Okta, we'd, Jay Powell Organizations: Labor, Molson Coors, Dell, Federal Reserve, Fed
(Excluding Aurora's stock price, shares of the Nasdaq-listed Better Home & Finance are down more than 59% from the opening day.) In an emailed statement, Schaefer said that the company plans to replace at least some of the laid-off employees. Employees were given 30 days of pay, and up to three months of company-provided COBRA coverage, according to two laid-off employees. The mortgage industry has been hit hard by rising rates, leading to revenue declines and layoffs across the industry. Both former employees told Insider that they were optimistic that the cash infusion might offer some relief after a year of what felt like constant layoffs.
Persons: Vishal Garg, Kevin Ryan, Jessica Schaefer, Schaefer, Jay Powell, Garg, Slack Organizations: Staff, Aurora Acquisition Corp, Aurora, Nasdaq, Finance, Employees Locations: India
Morning Bid: Fed fireworks set nervy stage for BoE
  + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Reuters GraphicsU.S. yields pushed even higher in the Asian time zone, while U.S. stock futures pointed lower. Asian shares slumped region-wide (.MIAP00000PUS) - including a 1% slide for Japan's Nikkei - while crude oil extended its retreat from a 10-month peak. But the BoE is actually the last of the European central banks to set policy on Thursday, with the SNB and Riksbank kicking things off, followed shortly by Norges Bank. This week's central bank bonanza doesn't end in Europe either. Japan's currency, though, is at the mercy of the dollar, sinking to the weakest since the start of November to 148.465 yen , increasing the risk of central bank intervention.
Persons: Kevin Buckland, Jay Powell, BoE, Kazuo Ueda, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Reuters Graphics, Japan's Nikkei, Norges Bank, of, Yomiuri, Swiss National Bank, Thomson Locations: Europe
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday gave investors tips for what to focus on during the coming week, highlighting the Federal Reserve's Wednesday decision on interest rate hikes for the rest of the year. Grocery-delivery company Instacart may also release initial public offering pricing Monday night, Cramer said, and Tuesday will bring an earnings report from AutoZone. "When there's a Fed meeting coming up in less than a week and nobody seems worried about it, maybe you want to brace yourself for a little turbulence," he said. On Thursday, Cramer will be looking at Olive Garden owner Darden 's earnings report, which may provide some clarity on whether consumers are spending money dining out. And Friday will mark a week since the United Auto Workers union went on strike against the country's primary automakers.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, We've, there's, Jay Powell, Cramer, Jerome Powell, I'm, Powell, General Mills, Darden, Shawn Fain Organizations: Disney, ESPN, ABC, Nexstar, AutoZone, FedEx, KB, Fed, Olive Garden, United Auto Workers Locations: Orlando , Florida, General
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