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China’s Reopening Pushes Inflation Higher
  + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( Jason Douglas | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
SINGAPORE—Inflation in China accelerated in January as the world’s second-largest economy emerged from almost three years of strict Covid-19 controls. Economists expect China’s reopening to put pressure on prices at home and around the world this year, though the impact probably won’t be enough to prevent a gradual slowdown in global inflation as higher interest rates cool economic growth.
The trade deficit in goods and services was a seasonally adjusted $67.4 billion in December. U.S. imports rose in December as demand for consumer goods and autos picked up, partially offsetting a weakening in global trade late last year and widening the U.S. trade deficit by 10.5%. The trade deficit in goods and services was a seasonally adjusted $67.4 billion in December, the Commerce Department said Tuesday, up from a revised $61 billion November.
U.S. Trade Deficit Hit Record in 2022
  + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( Harriet Torry | Jason Douglas | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
A wider trade deficit is consistent with a U.S. economy growing faster than other parts of the world. The U.S. posted its largest trade deficit on record last year, as global demand weakened amid high inflation, climbing interest rates, disruptions due to the Ukraine war and the pandemic’s continued effects. America’s imports exceeded its exports by $948.1 billion in 2022, up 12.2% from 2021, the Commerce Department said Tuesday.
HONG KONG—China’s latest economic data showed that the country’s zero-Covid policies led to one of the slowest growth rates in decades last year. But economists say another figure released the same day will be a bigger problem for China’s economy in the future: its shrinking population. China has already rolled back the zero-Covid policies that restrained growth for much of 2022, setting the stage for a recovery this year. The U-turn was part of a broad policy reset aimed at boosting the economy, including an easing of regulations on the property sector and signals that the clampdown on the tech sector has ended.
HONG KONG—China’s latest economic data showed that the country’s zero-Covid policies led to one of the slowest growth rates in decades last year. But economists say another figure released the same day will be a bigger problem for China’s economy in the future: Its shrinking population. China has already rolled back the zero-Covid policies that restrained growth for much of 2022, setting the stage for a recovery this year. The U-turn on its pandemic policies was part of a broad policy reset aimed at boosting the economy, including an easing of regulations on the property sector and signals that the clampdown on the tech sector has ended.
China Inflation Picks Up as Covid-19 Restrictions Fall
  + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( Jason Douglas | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
SINGAPORE—Inflation in China picked up in December and is expected to accelerate further in the months ahead as the economy revs up following Beijing’s abrupt dismantling of its zero-tolerance measures to contain Covid-19. Consumer prices rose 1.8% in December compared with a year earlier, faster than the 1.6% annual rate recorded in November, China’s national statistics bureau said Thursday.
SINGAPORE—While the U.S. has sought to persuade countries to reduce their dependence on China, trade ties between the world’s second-largest economy and the rest of Asia are deepening as economies grow and companies refashion supply chains. Behind the trend, economists say, are powerful economic forces that tend to bind smaller economies to bigger ones as well as China’s dominant role as a supplier of the kind of affordable goods that fast-growing countries need, such as cars and machinery.
China’s Economy Struggled in Zero Covid’s Final Month
  + stars: | 2022-12-15 | by ( Jason Douglas | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
China’s economy took a big hit from Covid-19 restrictions in November, in what economists hope will be the last big squeeze on growth from a zero-tolerance strategy toward Covid-19 that Beijing has since abandoned. Retail sales tumbled as locked-down consumers cut back on spending, while industrial production lost momentum as factories grappled with tight Covid restrictions and slowing overseas demand for their products. Unemployment rose and investment into buildings, machinery and other fixed assets slowed.
Hungry for foreign currency to shore up their dwindling reserves, some troubled countries have in recent years turned to an unusual source of funds: The People’s Bank of China. China’s central bank has funneled billions over the past decade to around 20 countries, including Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Argentina and Laos, via swap lines that allow overseas central banks to exchange their domestic currencies for Chinese yuan.
Economists expect China’s growth this year to be the weakest in decades. SINGAPORE—Economic activity in China contracted further in November, adding pressure to a global economy already losing momentum as the war in Ukraine drags on and central banks raise interest rates to combat high inflation. Gauges of activity in Chinese manufacturing, services and construction deteriorated by more than expected this month, a sign of weakening economic output as authorities persist in using widespread curbs on business and daily life to respond to Covid-19 outbreaks.
SINGAPORE—China’s central bank moved to backstop growth by boosting lending to households and businesses, as the world’s second-largest economy struggles with its biggest Covid-19 outbreak since the pandemic began. Economists said the shift in policy will likely have limited impact, as repeated lockdowns, a continuing real estate crunch and fading demand for Chinese exports mean appetite for loans is weak.
SINGAPORE—China’s worst Covid-19 outbreak is squashing hopes for an economic rebound and fanning concern about disruption to the world’s supply chains, heaping more pressure on a global economy that is already losing speed as central banks ratchet up interest rates to beat back inflation. The record number of new cases and the authorities’ tough response have extinguished hopes that China was inching toward reopening. Those hopes were stoked earlier this month when the government published a 20-point plan to refine some virus controls, such as reducing quarantine periods and easing restrictions on close contacts of confirmed cases.
SINGAPORE—Widespread lockdowns imposed across China as authorities there struggled this week to contain the country’s largest Covid-19 outbreak threaten to again create uncertainty in global supply chains and dim the prospects for world economic growth. Beijing’s battle to contain the virus—including sharp restrictions on everyday life and commerce in cities from the major port city of Tianjin in the north to Guangzhou in the south—comes as economies elsewhere lose speed as central banks raise interest rates to beat back inflation.
NUSA DUA, Indonesia—Leaders of the Group of 20 countries unanimously endorsed a declaration saying the war in Ukraine is hurting the global economy, a message that showed Russia’s increasing isolation on the world stage as the costs of the conflict mount. G-20 representatives, including those from Russia and China, signed a statement that focused on the economic damage caused by the violence and called for an end to the fighting. The joint declaration marks a diplomatic victory for Western diplomats seeking to rally global opposition to Russia’s aggression.
NUSA DUA, Indonesia—After nine months of warfare, tens of thousands killed or wounded, and billions of dollars in lost economic output, it might not sound like a diplomatic breakthrough to describe the conflict in Ukraine as a war. But for leaders of the Group of 20 advanced and developing economies, meeting in Bali for a summit dominated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and its economic fallout, such a declaration would represent exactly that.
‘My workload has recently increased quite a lot,’ Elon Musk said in a virtual appearance in Indonesia on Monday. NUSA DUA, Indonesia—Elon Musk said he has too much work to juggle since the billionaire added running Twitter Inc. to his tasks with the $44 billion takeover of the social-media platform. “My workload has recently increased quite a lot,” Mr. Musk said in a virtual appearance Monday at the B20 business conference in Indonesia, on the sidelines of a summit of leaders of the Group of 20 advanced and developing economies. “I have too much work on my plate, that is for sure.”
With the specter of recession looming over the global economy, reviving flagging growth will be near the top of the agenda at a summit for the leaders of the Group of 20 advanced and developing economies. The problem: Discord among G-20 members is a big reason for the slowdown.
SINGAPORE—Prices charged by Chinese companies at the factory gate recorded their first annual fall in almost two years, another downbeat signal for the global economy as bulging inventories and cautious consumers in the West hit overseas demand for Chinese-made goods. Chinese producer prices fell 1.3% in October compared with a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said Wednesday, the country’s first year-over-year decline in producer-price inflation since December 2020.
China’s Exports Drop Sharply as Global Economy Slows
  + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( Jason Douglas | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
SINGAPORE—China’s exports to the rest of the world shrank unexpectedly in October, a big sign that global trade is in sharp retreat as consumers and businesses cut back spending in response to central banks’ aggressive moves to tame inflation. Exports from China declined 0.3% last month compared with a year earlier, China’s General Administration of Customs said Monday, the weakest pace of growth since May 2020, when trade was hobbled by countries’ early efforts to contain a worsening global pandemic. That was well below the expectations of economists polled by The Wall Street Journal, who had expected exports to increase 4% year over year.
It took Jacob Rothman two decades to build a Chinese manufacturing business with his friends and family. Now the 49-year-old American executive says customers want him to make some of his grilling tools and kitchen products elsewhere. Yet “there’s nothing like China,” he added. “We’ve built this supply chain for 30 years to work like a Swiss clock. There’s just nothing like it.”
SINGAPORE—China’s economy grew more strongly than expected in the third quarter as the country bounced back modestly from crippling Covid lockdowns in the spring, though challenges remain as leader Xi Jinping consolidates control of the political apparatus for another five years. China’s gross domestic product grew by 3.9% for the three months ended Sept. 30 from a year earlier, China’s National Bureau of Statistics said Monday in a data release that was unexpectedly delayed as Communist Party leaders gathered for a key meeting in Beijing.
China’s Inflation Rises at Fastest Pace in Two Years
  + stars: | 2022-10-14 | by ( Jason Douglas | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
SINGAPORE—Consumer prices in China rose in September at their fastest annual pace in more than two years, though inflation in the world’s second-largest economy remains mild compared with rates seen in Europe and the U.S. Annual inflation hit 2.8% in September, China’s National Bureau of Statistics said Friday, driven by a sharp rise in prices of food, especially pork. That compared with a 2.5% annual rise in consumer prices in August, and marked the fastest rate of inflation since April 2020.
As Yuan Hits New Lows, China Responds With Restraint
  + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( Jason Douglas | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
A chaotic depreciation of the yuan could unsettle households and businesses in China’s already struggling economy. SINGAPORE—Confronted by the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar, China’s central bank is seeking to slow, rather than halt its currency’s decline, highlighting the difficulties of rowing against the powerful currents in the global economy that are propelling the dollar higher. The strategy also reflects the awkward policy trade-off between managing the yuan’s value and supporting economic growth that is confronting officials in the world’s second-largest economy.
SINGAPORE—The World Bank said it expects developing economies in East Asia to grow faster than China this year for the first time since 1990, as the world’s second-largest economy struggles with a real-estate crunch and the government’s zero-tolerance approach to Covid-19. The Washington, D.C.-based lender cut its forecast for Chinese growth this year but said it expects growth among 22 neighboring economies to more than double in 2022 compared with the pace they notched last year, as countries benefit from dismantling most Covid-19 restrictions and a revival in tourism.
War, Inflation Knock World Economy Off Balance
  + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( Tom Fairless | Jason Douglas | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
The global economy outside the U.S. is stuttering, knocked off course by soaring inflation, an energy crisis and now Russia’s nuclear war threats. Business surveys published on Friday indicate that economic activity in Europe declined sharply in September, raising the risk of recession in one of the world’s industrial powerhouses as governments grapple with surging prices and disruptions from Moscow’s attack on Ukraine.
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