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☆ Ipsos: Voters never intended to give Rassemblement National absolute majority in first round elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIpsos: Voters never intended to give Rassemblement National absolute majority in first round electionsMathieu Doiret, Ipsos analyst, discusses the prospect of a hung parliament in France ahead of the second round of the elections.

Persons: Mathieu Doiret Organizations: Rassemblement National Locations: France

☆ Biden and the Democrats can't decide what to blame the disastrous debate on
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Aditi Bharade | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewPresident Joe Biden has offered a new explanation for his disastrous debate performance: jet lag. On debate night, a Biden campaign source told The Wall Street Journal that Biden had a cold going into the event. The Biden blame gamePost-debate, Biden critics and supporters alike have been speculating whether his age might kill the Democratic ticket's chances of winning in 2024. A House Democratic aide told Reuters that 25 Democrats are preparing to call Biden to quit the race. AdvertisementRepresentatives for Biden didn't immediately respond to requests for comment from Business Insider sent outside regular business hours.

Persons: —, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, prepped Biden, Anita Dunn, Bob Bauer, Ron Klain, Karine Jean, Pierre, John Morgon, Dunn, Bauer, Morgan, Whitney Tilson, Tilson, Lloyd Doggett, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, Sen, Amy Klobuchar, Biden didn't Organizations: Service, Business, Biden, Wall Street Journal, Politico, CNN, Democratic, White, Trump, Democratic Party's, Reuters, Texas Rep, Gov, Business Insider Locations: North Carolina, California, Michigan, Minnesota

☆ French elections: Macron on course to lose big as far right surges in first round
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Saskya Vandoorne | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) party has taken the lead in the first round of France’s parliamentary elections on Sunday, initial projections showed, as President Emmanuel Macron’s party slumped to third place. The RN election party in the northern town of Henin Beaumont erupted in celebration as the results were announced. “Nothing has been won – and the second round will be decisive,” she said. Sunday’s vote was held three years earlier than necessary and just three weeks after Macron’s party was trounced by the RN at the European Parliament elections. Total voter turnout on Sunday is expected to be 65.5%, the highest in a first round of parliamentary elections since 1997 – according to Ipsos estimates.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron’s, IPSOS, Pen, Jean, Marie Le Pen, Henin Beaumont, Le Pen, ”, Jordan Bardella, –, – France’s, Macron Organizations: CNN, Front, Rally, National Assembly Locations: Henin, France

☆ The Cost of a Psychic Is a Window Into Americans' Spending Habits
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +15 min

For $25, which wound up being $30 because she didn't have change, Jessica told me my fortune. That psychic is also a pet psychic, which is not Katy's jam. Once, after an accident on her block in Chicago, Katy used a psychic to ensure the person had crossed over. Another time, she bought a bunch of bath oils in New York after a psychic told her she was cursed. In a consumerist society, of course some people are willing to pay to commune with the afterlife.

Persons: I'm, Jessica, IBISWorld, upselling, It's, that's, spellwork, Lisa Stardust, who's, Neil Dagnall, Ken Drinkwater, Dagnall, Drinkwater, —, Jane Risen, Risen, it's, what's, they're, Cleo, Peter Popoff, they'd, Ralph Lewis, There's, we're, Lewis, I've, Katy who's, Katy, Taylor Swift, Emily Stewart Organizations: Pew Research Center, what's, Manchester Metropolitan University, University of Chicago's Booth School of Business, Federal Trade Commission, intel, University of Toronto, Business Locations: Manhattan, New York, Chicago

☆ Where Biden and Trump stand on major issues like the economy, Ukraine, and immigration
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Grace Eliza Goodwin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

In his three and a half years already in office, Biden has done pretty well on the core metrics of a healthy economy. Biden vs Trump on immigrationBiden and Trump are sharply divided on immigration, as are Americans. Advertisement"Peace looks like making sure Russia never, never, never, never occupies Ukraine," Biden told TIME in a May interview. Biden vs Trump on Israel-GazaBiden has consistently defended Israel since the country invaded Gaza last year following Hamas' October 7 attack. Biden vs Trump on housingWhile in office, Biden has pushed a number of policy changes on housing, including the " Housing Supply Action" plan.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, he's, He's, Roe, Wade, Vladimir Putin, Read, Gaza Biden, Israel, hasn't Organizations: Service, ABC, Business, Biden, Trump, Dow, Keystone XL, Immigration, Republicans, Union, Department of Housing, Urban Locations: Ukraine, Gaza, Unemployment, Paris, Mexico, Florida, Russia, Israel

☆ ‘Deeply concerned.’ 16 Nobel economists sound the alarm on Trump and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Yet 16 Nobel Prize-winning economists are warning that Trump’s proposals wouldn’t just fail to fix inflation — they would make matters worse. “We the undersigned are deeply concerned about the risks of a second Trump administration for the US economy,” the economists wrote in the Tuesday letter, which was first reported by Axios. The letter, organized by famed economist Joseph Stiglitz, argued there are valid reasons to worry the Trump agenda will “reignite” inflation. Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at the Road to Majority conference in Washington, Saturday, June 22, 2024. Jae C. Hong/Pool/APIn the letter, the 16 Nobel economists expressed concern about the rule of law and stability if Trump wins the White House again.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Axios, Joseph Stiglitz, Trump’s, Manuel Balce Ceneta, Joe Biden, ”, Stiglitz, —, Biden, Jae C, “ Donald Trump, Robert Shiller, Paul Romer, George Akerlof, Janet Yellen, Biden’s, Joe, Donald Trump’s, ” Karoline Leavitt, don’t, Harry Enten, Moody’s Organizations: CNN, Peterson Institute, Oxford Economics, Allianz, Republican, AP Trump, Congressional, Federal Reserve, Trump, World Bank, Biden, ABC, Voters Locations: Washington, China, U.S, Mexico, Nogales, Ariz

☆ What to know about the economy ahead of the presidential debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

That’s because the economy has consistently ranked among the top — if not the very top — voter issues in presidential election after presidential election. Unemployment: Low, but with warning signs aheadThe nation’s unemployment rate stayed below 4% for 27 months, its longest such streak and a match for a period in the 1960s. That streak ended last month, when the unemployment rate rose to 4% from 3.9%. That means job seekers might find it harder to get hired. The number of job openings in the US economy recently fell to a three-year low.

Persons: Bill Clinton’s, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, David Paul Morris, Joe Raedle, they’ve, Frederic J . Brown Organizations: New, New York CNN, ABC, CNN, Bloomberg, Getty, of Labor Statistics, Target, Walmart Locations: New York, AFP

☆ The Biden-Trump debate will lay bare a fateful national crossroads
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

The country is confronting a perilous moment, internally estranged over politics and culture and as multiple foreign policy crises deepen. Biden has dedicated his term to expanding NATO to counter the Kremlin’s onslaught on Ukraine and threat to wider Europe. This leaves Biden badly needing to use Thursday night’s debate to convince voters that he can make their lives better — and soon. Post-game coverage of Thursday’s debate is certain to zero in on the best verbal jabs, soundbites and the stamina and energy of the rival candidates. But the most meaningful impact of the clash between Trump and Biden will only begin to unfold after noon on Inauguration Day, January 20, 2025.

Persons: Al, George H.W, Richard Nixon’s, Donald Trump’s, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Trump, Robert Frost’s, Biden, he’s, “, he’d, Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un, Nikoletta Stoyanova, didn’t, they’ve, Trump’s, Jerome Powell, Kamala Harris, Lyndon Johnson, He’s Organizations: CNN, White, GOP, NATO, Trump, North, America, 57th Motorized Brigade, Republican Party, Federal, ABC Locations: America, Russia, China, Ukraine, Europe, Beijing, Gaza, United States, Vovchansk, Kharkiv Region, Nevada

☆ Outside advisers urging Biden team to focus on Trump – not first-term record
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Kayla Tausche | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

“He wants the credit, but it’s not working,” one top Democrat, who recently shared these concerns with the campaign, said of Biden. Biden and Trump square off in the first presidential debate at 9 p.m. As a result, the economy has become both the biggest priority for voters and their biggest frustration with the incumbent president. You want people to know you’re doing a really good job,” one major donor told CNN. “I think Biden can’t help but talk about what a good job he’s done.”CNN’s MJ Lee contributed to this report.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump, “, it’s, Biden, they’ve, Biden’s, Ron Klain, Klain, That’s, Racine , Wisconsin –, Trump, – Biden, “ We’ve, ” Biden, CNN’s Erin Burnett, Bidenomics ”, “ Donald Trump, Joe Biden, he’s, Snickers, CNN’s MJ Lee Organizations: Washington CNN, White, America, Trump, CNN, Federal Reserve, ABC, Biden, Biden White House Locations: Racine , Wisconsin

☆ How Support for Britain’s Conservative Party is Collapsing
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Josh Holder | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +16 min

How Support for Britain’s Conservative Party is Collapsing2024 polls suggest the Conservatives may lose most of their seats. Most Conservative voters plan to vote for somebody else 2019 election 2024 election polling Fewer than half of Conservative voters say they are sticking with the party. 3% Other Most Conservative voters plan to vote for somebody else 2019 election 2024 election polling Fewer than half of Conservative voters say they are sticking with the party. 3% Other Most Conservative voters plan to vote for somebody else 2019 election 2024 election polling Fewer than half of Conservative voters say they are sticking with the party. How party support has changed since the 2019 election Conservative party Conservative support has dropped across the board, even among older voters who formed their base.

Persons: Mori, Ipsos Mori, Survation YouGov Ipsos Mori, Nigel Farage, Rishi Sunak’s, Liz Truss, David Cameron, pollsters, —, Keir Starmer, It’s, Starmer, Boris Johnson, Farage, ”, Will Jennings, ” Mr, Jennings Organizations: Britain’s Conservative Party, Conservatives, Labour, Conservative, Health, Crime Defense, Housing Education Education Brexit Defense, Welfare, National Health Service, Liberal Democrats, Greens, Conservative Party, Bristol Central, Green, Labour Conservatives S.N.P, Dems, Greens Plaid Cymru Reform, Northern Ireland, Northern, Brexit, University of Southampton, “ Locations: British, Britain, YouGov, Russia, Europe, Britain’s, Israel, Gaza, England, Northern Ireland, Midlands, England's, London

☆ Presidential debate: The Biden-Trump face-off is anything but a rerun
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Steve Contorno | Jeff Zeleny | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —The historic rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is anything but a rerun, with their first presidential debate next week set to showcase a vastly different set of issues driving their bitter duel for the White House. It feels like an upside-down lifetime ago since the pair last appeared together on a debate stage. “That’s the thing you’re going to see coming out in this debate: What was the world like under Trump?” Waltz said on CNN. Trump suggested Biden would be “pumped up” for the debate, before insinuating, without any evidence, that the president uses cocaine. Yet this showdown is without parallel as the 45th and 46th presidents seek to define their rival in what is the earliest general election debate in memory.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, “, Roe, Wade, Mike Waltz, ” Trump, ” Waltz, ”, it’s Trump, “ Trump, Brian Bartlett, Mitt Romney’s, ” Biden, Joe, Jill Biden, Biden’s favorability, Trump –, Brett O’Donnell, ” O’Donnell, Betsy Klein, Kate Sullivan Organizations: CNN, White, Biden, Trump, Democrats, Florida Republican, ”, Trump White House, Copa, ABC, Secret Service, Republican Locations: Atlanta, Wisconsin, Ukraine, Florida, year’s State, Green Bay , Wisconsin

☆ Opinion: Don’t expect footballer Kylian Mbappe to swing the French election
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Opinion Adam Plowright | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Paris CNN —French soccer superstar Kylian Mbappé made a dramatic foray into the country’s election campaign this week, but don’t expect the striker to have an influence on the outcome. The far-right National Rally party of anti-immigration leader Marine Le Pen is leading in the polls, and most pundits suspect her populist movement has never come this close to power. Leaders of the French far-right National Rally, Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella, attend a rally ahead of the European Parliament elections where the party had huge success earlier this month. In 2006, Marine Le Pen’s father, far-right patriarch Jean-Marie Le Pen, suggested there were too many “players of color” on the national side. While millions will cheer them on at the Euros, they serve as a visible reminder of the country’s changing demographics — an issue which animates voters for the National Rally like no other.

Persons: Adam Plowright, “, Emmanuel Macron —, Read, Kylian Mbappé, Adam Plowright Adam Plowright, ”, Marcus Thuram, Mbappé, Emmanuel Macron, Marine, Macron, Le Pen’s, Le Pen, Jordan Bardella, Gonzalo Fuentes, Bardella, today’s TikTok, Thuram —, Lilian, Aime Jacquet, Stu Forster, Marcel Desailly, Zinedine Zidane, Didier Deschamps, Le, Jean, Marie Le Pen Organizations: Paris CNN —, UEFA, “, Real Madrid, Ipsos, Reuters, YouTube, Brazil, National Locations: Paris CNN — French, Germany, Paris, Cameroon, Algeria, France, United States, Europe, Guadeloupe

☆ I've been to all 50 states. I'm not in a rush to return to these 5, even though I liked visiting them.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Emily Hart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

As a frequent solo traveler, I've been lucky enough to visit all 50 US states. Although I've loved aspects of every state, there are some places I'm not in a rush to return to. Indiana, North Dakota, and Kansas are some of the states I don't plan to return to anytime soon. But as a frequent solo traveler, I've been lucky enough to visit all 50 US states. Although I've found beauty in all 50 states and would honestly return to them all, there are some that I'm in less of a rush to visit again.

Persons: I've, I'm, — Organizations: Service, Business Locations: . Indiana , North Dakota, Kansas

☆ German chancellor says it's 'very likely' that President Joe Biden could win a second term
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Cameron Manley | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewGerman chancellor Olaf Scholz believes it is "very likely" that President Joe Biden could be reelected in November. I think it is very likely that the current president could win the election," said the German leader. Advertisement"He is committed to togetherness and cohesion in his country," Scholz added. But the German chancellor dismissed such worries, saying the president is "very clear." AdvertisementThe German chancellor was speaking ahead of a Ukraine peace conference set to be held in Switzerland.

Persons: —, Olaf Scholz, Joe Biden, Biden, Scholz, Axel Springer, Trump, Vladimir Putin, Putin Organizations: Service, Business, Reuters, Trump, Biden, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Switzerland, Moscow, Russia

☆ Donald Trump turns 78, a birthday he wishes ‘doesn’t exist’
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Steve Contorno | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Trump is now 78 years old. “Just remember what I’m telling you: 78 is not old,” Trump asserted to a New York Post gossip columnist almost two years ago. “This is a degraded version of an already horrible person,” Emhoff said in reference to Trump’s Vegas speech. The Biden campaign called Trump “feeble” on social media when the former president ended a post-meeting news conference after five minutes without taking questions. But the observations about Trump’s age and mental state are not just coming from inside the Biden campaign.

Persons: Donald Trump, ’, “, ” Trump, Ivanna, Joe Biden, Biden, –, J.B, Pritzker, deferments, They’re, Trump, ”, Nikki Haley, Nancy Pelosi, Barack Obama, Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump “, ” DeSantis, can’t, I’m, pounced, Doug Emhoff, ” Emhoff, Taylor Swift, Pelosi’s, Steven Cheung, Biden “, ” Cheung, Alyssa Farah Griffin, ” Griffin, Trump’s, Jonathan Turley, ” Turley, ” CNN’s Edward, Isaac Dovere, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Kristen Holmes, Annie Grayer, Melanie Zanona, Lauren Fox, Kit Maher Organizations: CNN, Las, New, New York Post, Trump, White, ”, Wisconsin Democratic, South Carolina Gov, Republican, GOP, Florida Gov, Congressional Republicans, Wisconsin Republicans, Biden, House, George Washington University Law School Locations: New York, ” Illinois, Wisconsin, Vietnam, Florida, Washington, Milwaukee

☆ How the economy will change under Trump vs Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

And yes, a former president, Donald Trump, has been found guilty on felony charges. The US economy is expected to grow at double the rate of its G7 peers, according to the International Monetary Fund. Trump loved touting new Wall Street records; under Biden, the Dow hit over 40,000 for the first time. The president proposed hiking the corporate tax rate to 28%; billion-dollar companies would also face a higher corporate minimum tax. Some of the stock market and unemployment records that were set under Trump pre-COVID-19 have been surpassed by Biden.

Persons: Roe, Donald Trump, James Carville's, Biden, Joe Biden, Trump, qtN5DBOjAS — Heather Long, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, ABC, Business, International Monetary Fund, Dow, Department of Agriculture, Auto, Federal Reserve, Union, Trump, Wall Street, NPR Locations: Russia's, Ukraine

☆ 'Huge political gamble': France's Macron calls for snap election his rival Le Pen could easily win
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Chesnot | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesFrench President Emmanuel Macron's decision to call a snap national election after a surge for his far-right rivals is a high-stakes move and a huge political gamble, analysts say. Macron's decision to call a snap parliamentary vote comes after the right-wing National Rally (RN) party, led by Marine Le Pen, won around 31% of the vote in Sunday's European Parliament election. That was more than double the 14.6% seen for Macron's pro-European and centrist Renaissance Party and its allies. France's CAC 40 slumped 1.8% in the early hours of trading Monday morning with French banks trading sharply lower. "This is an essential time for clarification," Macron said in a national address Sunday evening as he announced his decision to dissolve parliament.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, Le Pen, Macron —, —, Daniel Hamilton, Johns Hopkins University SAIS, Antonio Barroso, Teneo, Barroso, Le, Douglas Yates, Yates Organizations: Getty, Getty Images, Marine, Sunday's, Renaissance Party, CAC, BNP, Societe Generale, Foreign, Institute, Johns Hopkins University, CNBC, Research, National Assembly, American Graduate School Locations: Chesnot, France, Paris

☆ RFK Jr. may have already peaked in the presidential race
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is perhaps the biggest X factor remaining in the presidential race. That’s better than any third-party or independent candidate has polled in an individual survey at this stage in the cycle since Ross Perot in 1996. Biden is likely aware that Kennedy voters tend to skew younger – a demographic that traditionally leans Democratic. Perhaps more concerning for the independent candidate is what’s going on under the hood. He’d previously never had a net negative favorable rating in the double digits.

Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy –, Republicans –, Kennedy, Ross Perot, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Jill Stein, isn’t, He’d, Marquette, Kevin Mohatt, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, Perot, Johnson, Kennedy aren’t Organizations: CNN — Independent, Republicans, White House, Quinnipiac University, Marquette University Law School, Democratic, Fox News, Quinnipiac, Reuters, Green Party, Democrat, Republican, May’s, Biden, Trump, Marquette, Libertarian, Electoral Locations: Marquette, May’s Quinnipiac, Quinnipiac, he’s, Aurora , Colorado, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada

☆ White House again forced into damage control effort to dispel concerns about Biden’s age
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —It’s the recurring threat President Joe Biden’s reelection bid will never be able to fully outrun. Democrats accused Republicans quoted or referred to in the account of making false claims and contradicting previous statements to damage Biden politically. But all it takes is one halting on-camera moment or media report to revive the frenzy over Biden’s age. Biden’s team habitually dismisses any concern over his capacity, and his doctors have certified him fit for duty. But they are concerned about Biden’s age.

Persons: CNN —, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Washington Sen, Patty Murray, Donald Trump isn’t, Trump, it’s, Biden —, —, he’s, ” Biden, that’s, ” Massimo Calabresi, Calabresi, ”, Joe, Kevin McCarthy, “ He’s, Mike Johnson, “, Andrew Bates, Robert Hur’s, — François Mitterrand, Helmut Kohl –, Ronald Reagan Organizations: CNN, Wall, White, Republicans, ABC, “, Trump, Republican, White House, Congressional, Atlantic Locations: Ukraine, Time’s Washington, “, New York, Hell, Egypt, Mexico, ”, France, California, Italy

☆ Opinion: What we can glean from a prisoner who ran for president
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Opinion Thomas Balcerski | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —Donald Trump is the first former president to be found guilty of felonies, but he isn’t the first convicted person to run for president in the US. Despite having been sentenced to 10 years in prison for sedition, Debs incredibly received some 914,191 votes, a higher number than when he ran as a free man in 1912. 9653.”Even from prison, Debs cleverly electioneered through the new medium of motion pictures. Following the election of Warren G. Harding in 1920, pressure was placed on outgoing President Woodrow Wilson to pardon Debs. They will choose whether the verdict at Trump’s trial undermined faith in our legal system or was justice being served.

Persons: Thomas Balcerski, James Buchanan, William Rufus King ”, CNN — Donald Trump, Eugene V . Debs, Debs, Trump, ” Eugene Victor, Gene, ”, “, Warren G, Harding, Woodrow Wilson, Wilson, — Organizations: Eastern Connecticut State University, Oxford University Press, CNN, Socialist Party, Justice Department, Debs Universal, Republicans, Twitter, Facebook, Reuters, Republican, Trump Locations: Canton , Ohio, Atlanta, America, York

☆ Analysis: Another trial, this one of Biden’s son, will deepen the election’s legal entanglement
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Four days after presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts in his hush money trial in New York, President Joe Biden’s son Hunter will be called to answer for federal gun charges in Wilmington, Delaware. But a CBS/YouGov poll released Sunday showed that Americans believe 57% to 43% that the Manhattan jury reached the right verdict. His inflammatory remarks did not reflect the fact that his refusal to accept his 2020 election loss and his demagoguery are far more reflective of developing-world banana republics than a fair jury trial. Hunter Biden is entitled to the same presumption of innocence and a trial by a jury of his peers that Trump was. “I’d rather be on President Biden’s side of that contrast than on the extreme MAGA Republican side,” he said.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, Hunter, It’s, Trump, Stormy Daniels, Biden, —, ”, “ It’s, We’ve, Lara Trump, CNN’s Kasie, it’s, Adam Schiff, ” Schiff, don’t, ” Biden, Robert Menendez, Hunter Biden, David Weiss, General Merrick Garland, Roe, Wade, Chuck Schumer, “ Donald Trump, ” Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries, ” Jeffries, Jeffries, Biden’s, “, Joe Biden, Sen, Tom Cotton, we’ve, quagmire Organizations: CNN, Israel, Republicans, Trump, Republican National Committee, CBS, Manhattan, Republican National Convention, Fox News, RNC, California, Senate, GOP, Justice Department, Democratic, Robert Menendez of New, Democratic National Committee, Texas Supreme, Court, New York, MAGA Republicans, New York Democrat, Press, Democrats, Republican, NBC, Arkansas Republican Locations: New York, Wilmington , Delaware, South, “ State, America, United States, Robert Menendez of, Robert Menendez of New Jersey, Rehoboth Beach , Delaware, Beverly Hills , California, Nevada

☆ Opinion: Trump is now in a club no one ever wants to be part of — convicted former leaders
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-02 | by ( Opinion Chris Good | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

The criminal trial and conviction of (mostly former) national leaders has happened in stable, mature democracies, just as it has in former dictatorships. The track record of convicted leaders shows just how risky it is to try to predict what will happen. In 2017, South Korea impeached and later criminally convicted now-former President Park Geun-hye in a bizarre corruption scandal involving the influence of a friend and confidante. After a scandal emerged involving the state oil company Petrobras, Lula was convicted in 2017 of corruption and money laundering. “Political leaders can choose how they will speak about these institutions.”

Persons: Chris Good, Donald Trump, —, Trump, Stormy Daniels, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, Sebastian Kurz, ” Kurz, Park, “, Nicole Bibbins Sedaca, Nicolas Sarkozy, Bertrand Guay, Bibbins Sedaca, Jacques Chirac, ” Bibbins Sedaca, Sarkozy, Moammar Gaddhafi illicitly, Silvio Berlusconi, Yara Nardi, Berlusconi “, ”, Berlusconi, Matteo Salvini, Giorgia Meloni, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Nelson Almeida, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Lula, Jair Bolsonaro, Oliver Stuenkel, Fundação Getulio Vargas, ” Stuenkel, Politicization, Stuenkel, didn’t, Lula “, Mark Peterson, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Lula —, Chirac, Trump’s Organizations: CNN, ABC News, Economist Intelligence Unit, Freedom House, Getty, Freedom, Reuters, Forza Italia, Five Star, AFP, Brazil, Petrobras, Bolsonaro, School of International Relations, Fundação, NEW, Manhattan Criminal, Trump, Twitter, Facebook Locations: The, Manhattan, Argentina, Austrian, South Korea, Washington, DC, France, Italy, Brazil, Paris, AFP, Moroccan, Milan, Trump, America, São Paulo

☆ 10% of GOP voters are less likely to back Trump after conviction, new survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-02 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Trump is poised to lose a small — but significant — share of GOP voters over his conviction. A Reuters/Ipsos survey found that 10% of GOP voters were now less likely to vote for Trump. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Most GOP voters also backed Trump. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: Trump, —, Donald Trump Organizations: GOP, Reuters, Trump, Service, Republican, Business

☆ What the polls can’t tell us about the Trump verdict’s effect on the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —The guilty verdict against Donald Trump in his New York hush money trial is a momentous news story in itself. What’s far less clear, and what no polling can predict, is the effect it will have on voters’ willingness to support Trump in the presidential election. Fifteen percent said they’d be more likely to vote for Trump and 17% that they’d be less likely to do so. Take the roughly one-quarter of Trump supporters in the NPR/PBS/Marist poll who said that a conviction would increase their chances of supporting him over President Joe Biden. The best gauge of any immediate, tangible effect on voters’ preferences might be polls of the presidential race.

Persons: Donald Trump, That’s, –, Trump’s staunchest, Joe Biden, Trump, aren’t, ”, They’ve Organizations: CNN, Trump, NPR, PBS, Marist, Reuters, Republicans, Biden Locations: New York, Quinnipiac

☆ Trump has been convicted — but that may not weigh down his White House bid. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Recent polls suggest that the guilty verdict could affect how key voting blocs view Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee. Nearly three-fourths of registered independents said that a guilty verdict against Trump would make no difference to their vote, according to the survey from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist released Thursday morning. However, 23% of independent registered voters in that poll said a Trump conviction would make them less likely to back him. Most people on either side of the political spectrum have already made up their minds about Trump, the professor explained. Quinnipiac polled 1,374 registered U.S. voters from May 16 to May 20, with a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Erik Gordon, Biden Organizations: Democratic, Trump, NPR, PBS, Marist, Quinnipiac University, University of Michigan's Ross School of Business, Politico, House, Quinnipiac Locations: American, New York, —

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