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Trump Media & Technology — The stock fell more than 13% following Tuesday's debate between majority shareholder former President Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris. Novartis — U.S.-listed shares of the Swiss pharma company slipped nearly 2% on the heels of Bank of America's downgrade to hold from buy. Crypto stocks — Crypto stocks were dragged downward after the price of bitcoin fell slightly overnight, as crypto traders considered central bank policy in Japan . Morgan Stanley — The bank stock lost 1% following a downgrade at Goldman Sachs to neutral from buy. Solar stocks — Solar stocks rose as a group after Vice President Kamala Harris's performance at Tuesday's debate raised confidence in a Democratic victory at the U.S. presidential election.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Rentokil, it's, bitcoin, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Kamala Harris's, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Samantha Subin Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Democratic, Trump Media, Nasdaq, GameStop, Novartis — U.S, Swiss pharma, of, Therapeutics, JPMorgan, Viking Therapeutics, Goldman, Bank of America, U.S, Clean Energy, SolarEdge Technology, Sunnova Energy Locations: North America, Japan
Price action in the stock market suggests markets think Kamala Harris won Tuesday's debate. Investors reacted by selling assets tied to the "Trump trade," with declines in Trump Media stock and bitcoin. AdvertisementThe first Presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is over and markets have named the winner. Following Tuesday night's debate, markets are showing signs that Vice President Harris came out on top, with investors voting with their portfolios and selling assets tied to the so-called Trump trade. On the flipside, assets that could see a boost from a Kamala Harris presidency were up Wednesday.
Persons: Price, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, , Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Ebury, it's Organizations: Trump Media, Service, Trump, Technology Group, Truth, cryptocurrency, ING, ING Economics
According to Bank of America, one area of the market is set to benefit from increased market volatility: quality stocks, or stocks with strong business models and financial fundamentals. And the cherry on top is that quality stocks — which typically become expensive during downturns — are still cheap despite their recent rally, coming out of a two-decade rut. As seen in the graph below, the high-quality factor serves as a hedge against elevated market volatility. Bank of AmericaQuality is still cheapLuckily for investors, this safe-haven area of the stock market is trading at an attractive valuation. Bank of AmericaWhile quality stocks have recently re-rated to a slight premium, they're still reasonably priced, according to Bank of America.
Persons: , Subramanian, Financials, Schwab Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Business, PMI, Investors, of, Companies, Equity Locations: of America's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDownside risks for equities are very high: Cantor's Eric JohnstonCantor Fitzgerald’s Eric Johnston, NB Private’s Shannon Saccocia and Invesco’s Kristina Hooper, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market trends, rate cuts and inflation.
Persons: Eric Johnston Cantor, Eric Johnston, Shannon Saccocia, Invesco’s Kristina Hooper Organizations: Downside
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Cantor Fitzgerald’s Eric Johnston, NB Private’s Shannon Saccocia and Invesco’s Kristina HooperCantor Fitzgerald’s Eric Johnston, NB Private’s Shannon Saccocia and Invesco’s Kristina Hooper, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market trends, rate cuts and inflation.
Persons: Cantor Fitzgerald’s Eric Johnston, Shannon Saccocia, Invesco’s Kristina Hooper Cantor, Eric Johnston, Invesco’s Kristina Hooper
U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night ahead of the August consumer inflation report due Wednesday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both dipped 0.1%. Traders are anticipating a key economic report Wednesday morning: August's consumer price index. The CPI report and Thursday's producer price index could help determine the size of a widely expected rate cut at the end of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Sept. 18. Fed funds futures trading suggests a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 31% likelihood of a 50-basis-point reduction, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, CME's, Kristina Hooper, Hooper Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Nvidia, JPMorgan, CPI, Federal
Then on July 11, things really got started as June CPI came in below expectations and the outlook for the first Fed rate cut became significantly more likely. Let's drill down into the sectors that makeup the Russell 2000 to see who's leading and lagging since that July 5th turning point. Let's find out who is actually profitable and could maintain the rally after the initial shine of a fresh rate cut wears off. Where to look in small caps A big component of the Russell 2000 based on market capitalization representation is health care at 18.7%. Should the Fed strike a dovish tone after the first rate cut I will be shopping for quality names.
Persons: Russell, Piper Sandler, Hamilton Lane, Jefferies, JEF, Todd Gordon, Gordon, ARES Organizations: Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC PRO, Ares Management, Fed, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: financials
Utilities — not tech — are now the hottest trade on Wall Street, according to Bank of America. "Note that the total return of S & P 500 Utilities (the 'tortoise') has been in line with Nasdaq's (the "hare') over the long term." Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) , a $6.4 billion market cap-weighted fund, has a total return of 22%. The iShares U.S. Utilities ETF (IDU) , with $1.4 billion in assets, has a 22% total return. Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF (RSPU) , an equal-weighted fund with just $317 million in assets, has a roughly 20% total return in 2024.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, , Invesco, Jesse Pound Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, Utes, Utilities, Vanguard Utilities, U.S . Utilities, Fidelity MSCI Utilities Locations: U.S
The Invesco S & P 500 Low Volatility ETF (SPLV) has advanced close to 13% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite is up 13.8%. SPLV follows the S & P 500 Low Volatility Index, which is based on 100 stocks within the broad market index with the lowest realized volatility over the past 12 months. SPLV YTD mountain Invesco's S & P 500 Low Volatility ETF (SPLV). On Tuesday, the S & P 500, Nasdaq and Dow Jones Industrial Average posted their worst session since the early-August slide as a batch of weak manufacturing data spurred investors' worries over the economy. Elsewhere, the ‎CBOE Volatility Index has ticked up above 20 since September has started, and it surged over 65 during the early-August rout, which was its highest level since 2020.
Persons: SPLV, Warren Buffett's Berkshire, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab Organizations: Nasdaq, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Mobile, Dow Jones Locations: Warren
More than halfway through the third quarter, many of the biggest commodity ETFs in the United States are in sizable holes. Kathy Kriskey, senior commodities ETF strategist at Invesco, said that oil supply is actually tight at the moment. The commodities slump could be partially due to mechanical factors in the market, such as low trading volumes combined with large commodity trading advisors betting against the sector, Kriskey said. "The price of corn has taken almost three full years from those 2022 spike highs to get back down. And oil, one of the biggest weights in commodity indexes, could see stepped up supply in coming months.
Persons: It's, Ryan Grabinski, Strategas, Kathy Kriskey, Kriskey, Sal Gilbertie, We're, Gilbertie, What's, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Matijn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Strategy, United States Oil Fund, U.S ., Commodities, 4Q, DB Base Metals Fund Locations: United States, Ukraine, U.S, China
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewDon't expect the stock market's seemingly unstoppable rally to continue through the end of the year, says Stifel's Barry Bannister. "If Russia makes a countermove in Kursk, it would probably be between the election and January," Bannister said. 4 trades to make amid market turbulenceWith the market poised for a turbulent period ahead, Bannister said he prefers defensive value stocks, particularly the healthcare, utilities, consumer staples, and real estate sectors. "Seventy percent of all the outperformance of defensive or value occurs before a recession is actually declared," Bannister said.
Persons: , Stifel's Barry Bannister, Bannister, — Bannister, there's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, we're Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Utilities, Consumer, UCITS Locations: Russia, Kursk, Iran, China
Goldman Sachs went big in the quarter, while rival Morgan Stanley trimmed its crypto holdings. In the period from March through June, Goldman Sachs made its debut in the crypto ETF market, purchasing $418 million worth of bitcoin funds. Up to this point, wealth management businesses have only facilitated trades if customers requested exposure to the new spot crypto funds. The vast majority of the bank's spot bitcoin holdings are now through the iShares trust. HSBC has nearly $3.6 million worth of spot bitcoin holdings, all from the fund issued by Ark 21Shares, UBS has around $300,000 worth of spot bitcoin ETF holdings, and Bank of America has collective holdings of around $5.3 million, mostly from BlackRock and Fidelity.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, JP Morgan, Ark 21Shares Organizations: SEC, Wall, JPMorgan, Securities and Exchange Commission, Fidelity, BlackRock, HSBC, UBS, Bank of America Locations: BlackRock's, Grayscale's, BlackRock
The secular megatrend of AI remains strong as Big Tech companies continue to invest billions into developing the technology. Forward earnings estimates for the tech sector are rising to all-time highs, indicating continued optimism. Investor expectations have now become recalibrated after the correction, providing tech stocks with more room to grow, in Lerner's opinion. AdvertisementTruistA cooling macroeconomic environment will also provide a boost to tech stocks as investors flock back to Big Tech, according to Lerner. With the Fed likely to begin cutting rates in September, many of the Big Tech companies are poised to benefit.
Persons: , Keith Lerner, Lerner, that's, shouldn't, Truist, outperformance, He's Organizations: Service, Business, Semiconductor, Big Tech, Tech, Vanguard Information Technology, VanEck Semiconductor
To start, the major funds that are marketed as "low volatility" or "minimum volatility" have been living up to the label. JPMorgan Asset Management has been a leader in this area, with Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) and Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ) now holding more than $48 billion in combined assets, according to FactSet. Another area is preferred stock funds. The biggest preferred stock ETF, the iShares Preferred & Income Securities ETF (PFF) , has gained 0.5% in the third quarter, though it has dipped 1.4% over the past month. "And those call features of a growing part of the preferred market has also helped in terms of the rate volatility and the impact."
Persons: Robert Hum, It's, it's, Hum, Yang Tang, John Burrello, Gary Kessler, Dodd Frank, Kessler Organizations: Trust, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nasdaq Equity, Nasdaq, Income Securities ETF, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Preferred, Hybrid Securities, Federal Reserve Locations: BlackRock
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is telling us there's a higher probability of a recession, says Invesco's Kristina HooperKristina Hooper, Invesco chief global market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed, the markets and earnings.
Persons: Invesco's Kristina Hooper Kristina Hooper
On Monday, stocks struggled ahead of this week's inflation data, which will likely set the tone for short term market action. The S & P 500 was little changed, the Nasdaq Composite made a small advance while the Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back about a third of a percent. The first trade is a so-called tail hedge against a hotter-than-expected CPI print, i.e. buying S & P 500 put options. The value of the put contracts will increase if the S & P 500 falls on a surprising resurgence of inflation.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: JPMorgan, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Federal Reserve
Commodity prices have tumbled over the past month, signaling underlying weakness in the global economy despite the U.S. stock market bouncing back from recession fears. But commodity markets may be telling a different story about the global economy. The Invesco DB Base Metals Fund is down more than 7% over the past month, while crude oil futures dropped 14% from July 5 through Aug. 5. @HG.1 YTD mountain Copper futures, YTD Weakness in China, the world's second-largest economy, is weighing on copper and oil in particular, Melek said. OPEC on Monday lowered its global oil demand growth forecast this year by 135,000 barrels per day as expectations in China have softened.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bart Melek, DBB @HG, We've, Melek, I'm Organizations: U.S, Investors, Invesco DB Base Metals, Wolfe Research, TD Securities, DBB, Metals, Copper, CNBC, Global, Beijing, European Union, World Trade Organization, Federal Reserve, Securities Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.
Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo
.VIX YTD mountain Cboe Volatility Index in 2024 That is literally what the VIX measures: expectations for volatility over the next 30 days. Was Monday a 'flash crash'? A "flash crash" is a sudden and severe price drop that lasts for a very short period, usually a few hours. "It appears that the sell-off of August 5th qualified as a flash crash, although it was rather modest by historical standards," he told me. During the 1987 flash crash, Higgins said an investor was trying to orchestrate trades on the phone while he was preparing to go to his relative's funeral.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Alec Young, haven't, Mark Higgins, Higgins Organizations: Bank of Japan, Yen Trust, JPMorgan Chase, Fund, Dow Jones Locations: Japan, backwardation
A contractor carries a SunRun solar panel on the roof of a home in San Jose, California, U.S., on Monday, Feb. 7, 2022. Sunrun stock jumped 11% on Wednesday as the rooftop solar installer sees an opportunity to snag market share after competitor SunPower filed for bankruptcy this week. "This presents an opportunity for Sunrun to continue our industry leadership and gain share in a financially disciplined and measured way," Powell told analysts on the company's second-quarter earnings call Tuesday. Sunrun has hired two former SunPower executives, Matt Brost and Ellen Struck, to lead the company's new homes business. Sunrun's stock is up about 50% over the past month, though shares are down about 6.7% so far this year.
Persons: SunPower, Mary Powell, Powell, Sunrun, Matt Brost, Ellen, Goldman Sachs, Brian Lee Organizations: Wall Locations: San Jose , California, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Trivariate's Adam Parker, NB Private’s Shannon Saccocia and Invesco’s Brian LevittTrivariate Research CEO Adam Parker, NB Private’s Shannon Saccocia and Invesco’s Brian Levitt, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the markets, earnings and their second half outlook on the year.
Persons: Trivariate's Adam Parker, Shannon Saccocia, Brian Levitt Trivariate, Adam Parker, Brian Levitt
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMore market volatility expected in coming weeks, portfolio manager saysBen Gutteridge, portfolio manager at Invesco, discusses the outlook for global markets after recent volatility.
Persons: Ben Gutteridge
In its simplest form, the yen carry trade has investors borrowing cheap yen to invest in higher yielding assets, often currencies. For example, because there is not a central source to track currency trades, we have no idea how big the yen carry trade is. The yen is rising, and that is making the yen carry trade less profitable. If the yen goes from 155 to 145, which is where it traded Monday, it will take $68,965 to repay that 10 million yen (10 million yen divided by 145 = $68,965). One positive sign: the ETF to watch is the Invesco Japanese Yen ETF (FXY), which tracks the price of the Japanese yen, had volume six times normal yesterday.
Persons: That's, Nicholas Colas Organizations: Nikkei, Street Journal, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, U.S, U.S ., Yen ETF Locations: U.S, Japan
We saw another EMA crossover in May, signaling the end of the pullback and the start of a new bull run. July 2023 : Although the majority of the current correction unfolded in August, the EMA crossover signal had already appeared in July. For example, in May 2023, waiting for the EMA crossover would have meant missing out on 4.6% of the move. The trade setup: QQQ bull call spread To take a bullish trade on QQQ, I will be using a trade structure called a "bull call spread." For example, if QQQ is trading at $440 at the time of the EMA crossover, one could consider buying a 440-441 call spread.
Persons: bullish, Nishant Pant Organizations: Nasdaq, Corrections, Trust, EMA, ITM, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: QQQ
Cash has poured into money market funds since the Federal Reserve began its rate hiking cycle. Short-term debt has been a popular investment over the past few years, and money market funds are a top example. For perspective, there was roughly $4 trillion in total money market funds as of the fourth quarter of 2019, according to the St. Louis Fed . Money market funds hold very short-term debt, and many currently offer a yield above 5%. "Historically, you don't tend to see money market inflows stop or convert to outflows until you get below say 3% on those rates.
Persons: Cash, Louis Fed, Sam Huszczo, Huszczo, Todd Sohn, Ken Brodkowitz, weren't, Brodkowitz, Strategas, Sohn, " Sohn, Callie Cox, Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, SGH Wealth Management, Federal, Bond, SEC, Gries Financial Partners, Fidelity, Income, Morningstar, US Treasury, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Ritholtz Locations: Detroit , Michigan, BlackRock
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