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But some of its beans, known as unwashed or 'natural' arabicas, have not previously been used for high-end benchmark coffee contracts around the world. Unwashed coffee is so-called because its fruit is left to dry whole before the bean is extracted. He added that relatively little Brazilian coffee ends up in ICE warehouses because it usually fetches higher prices in the physical markets. The two companies declined to comment on whether they had got a mix of semi-washed and unwashed beans certified by ICE. Zooming out to inflation adjusted terms however, coffee prices in 1980 were equivalent to about $8 per lb - a whopping 500% higher than they are today, according to Reuters calculations.

Persons: Juan Carlos Ulate, Dagoberto Suazo, unwashed, Marcio Ferreira, Cecafe, Ferreira, Louis Dreyfus, Pedro Mendoza, Maytaal Angel, Gustavo Palencia, Marcelo Teixeira, Frank Jack Daniel Our Organizations: Workers, REUTERS, LONDON, Agricultural, Intercontinental Exchange, Reuters, Producers, IF IT, ICE, Central, Thomson Locations: Grecia, Costa Rica, TEGUCIGALPA, Honduras, Brazil, America, Africa, Cafetaleras, Colombia, Central America, Peru, Europe, Swiss, Sucafina, U.S, London, Tegucigalpa, New York

☆ ICE cuts tortuous path through frosty trustbusters
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Jonathan Guilford | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A screen displays the logo for Black Knight on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 4, 2022. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission agreed on Monday to drop a lawsuit against Intercontinental Exchange’s (ICE.N) $11.7 billion acquisition of mortgage technology provider Black Knight (BKI.N). ICE, as the New York Stock Exchange operator is known, said in May 2022 that it would snap up Black Knight for $13.1 billion. ICE’s Encompass processes nearly half of originations in the United States, with Black Knight’s Empower in second place, according to the FTC. ICE originally said on May 4, 2022, that it had agreed to buy Black Knight for $13.1 billion.

Persons: Knight, Brendan McDermid, Black, Lina Khan, Khan, litigate, Black Knight, Jeffrey Goldfarb, Oliver Taslic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reuters, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Intercontinental, Black, FTC, ICE, UnitedHealth, Change Healthcare, Exchange, Constellation Software, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States

☆ Exchange operator Cboe's profit rises on swelled up trading volumes
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

People walk by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Global Markets headquarters building in Chicago, Illinois, U.S., September 19, 2018. REUTERS/Michael Hirtzer/File PhotoAug 4 (Reuters) - Exchange operator Cboe Global Markets (CBOE.Z), on Friday reported a rise in its quarterly profit, driven by swelled up trading volumes as markets continue to rebound from last year. The Chicago-based group, which provides trading platforms for equities, foreign exchange and derivative products across markets in different regions, saw its net revenue rise 10% to $467.1 million. Cboe's results wrap up a strong quarter for exchange operators. Its peer, New York Stock Exchange-parent Intercontinental Exchange (ICE.N), also reported upbeat results on Thursday.

Persons: Michael Hirtzer, Investors, Cboe, Jaiveer Singh, Milla Nissi Organizations: Chicago, Exchange, REUTERS, Cboe, New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange, Thomson Locations: Chicago , Illinois, U.S, Chicago, Bengaluru

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Amazon, Coinbase, Generac, Wayfair, Disney & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by its overweight rating on Apple after its earnings report Thursday. Rosenblatt downgrades Apple to neutral from buy Rosenblatt said Apple is sitting in a "slowdown phase." Citi upgrades Intercontinental Exchange to buy from neutral Citi said it sees "improving signals across the platform" for the exchange company. Citi opens a positive catalyst watch on Apple Citi said it sees upside ahead of the company's new iPhone unveil in September. Citi reiterates Disney as buy Citi said it's sticking with its buy rating on stock heading into earnings next week. "

Persons: Stephens, it's, Morgan Stanley, Apple, tonight's, Rosenblatt, Raymond James, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Oppenheimer, Tim Horton's, TD Cowen, Read, Truist, Lamb Weston, Stifel, Evercore Organizations: bil, Bank of America, AWS, underperform Bank of America, Apple, AMD, Citi, Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, Galactic, Virgin Galactic, Brands, Restaurant Brands, SSS, TH, BK, TD Cowen downgrades Moderna, Apple Citi, Disney, JPMorgan, Petrobras, Petrobras –, PayPal Locations: Coinbase, Burger, F1Q23

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Amazon, Apple, Block, Tupperware and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Apple reported earnings per share for the fiscal third quarter of $1.26, 7 cents more than expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. The company posted adjusted earnings of $37.62 per share on revenue of $5.46 billion in the second quarter. Fortinet posted 38 cents in adjusted earnings per share, while analysts polled by Refinitiv expected 34 cents per share. Dropbox posted 51 cents in adjusted earnings per share, while analysts surveyed by Refinitiv anticipated 46 cents. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of 18 cents Thursday, topping the 10 cents expected from analysts polled by StreetAccount.

Persons: Tupperware, Carl Icahn's, Hindenburg, Jack Dorsey, Nikola —, Nikola, Fortinet, Refinitiv, Opendoor, DraftKings, Dropbox, Sprout, Raymond James, —, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim, Pia Singh, Michelle Fox, Yun Li Organizations: Apple, Refinitiv, Revenue, Holdings, Icahn, Fortinet, Technologies, Refinitiv . Revenue, Tagger Media, Exchange, Citi, StreetAccount, Petrobras —, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, Canada

☆ NYSE-parent ICE beats profit estimates on upbeat trading volumes
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 19, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoAug 3 (Reuters) - Intercontinental Exchange (ICE.N) on Thursday reported second-quarter profit above Wall Street estimates as higher trading volumes at the New York Stock Exchange parent more than offset weakness in its mortgage technology unit. Revenue from ICE's exchanges segment, its biggest business, rose 9% to $1.09 billion from a year earlier, while the company's mortgage technology segment saw a slump of 16% to $249 million. The results round out an upbeat quarter for the biggest U.S. exchanges as Nasdaq(NDAQ.O) and CME Group(CME.O) also reported a rise in profit last month. On an adjusted basis, ICE reported a profit of $1.43 per share for the quarter ended June 30, above analysts' average estimates of $1.37 a piece, according to Refinitiv data.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Pritam Biswas, Anil D'Silva Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Intercontinental Exchange, Wall, Nasdaq, CME, ICE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

Aluminum ended July on a high note and there are several stocks that could benefit from the recent strength in the metal and prove opportunities for investors. Aluminum futures capped July with a 2.72% monthly gain, the most since January and their second-straight monthly advance. CNBC Pro found 11 stocks using data from Refinitiv that tend to move with aluminum prices. Each one is a member of the Russell 1000 and has a 50-day correlation coefficient of at least 0.4, which indicates at least a moderate correlation. Further down the list are stocks with more moderate correlations to aluminum: chipmaker Texas Instruments , Domino's Pizza , Align Technology and Korean e-commerce retailer Coupang .

Persons: Bill Peterson, Russell, It's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Gina Francolla Organizations: JPMorgan, CNBC Pro, Southern Copper Corporation, Air Products, Chemicals, Jefferies, Texas, Technology, Coupang, New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange, Cboe, KKR Locations: China, Freeport, McMoRan, Korean

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Ford, AT&T, Yelp, Figs and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Paramount Global — The entertainment company's stock shed 4.4% after the new "Mission: Impossible" movie underperformed expectations at the box office. The Wall Street firm said Progressive's valuation is now compelling after its poor results in June, and said the company has long-term earnings power and growth potential. Yeti — The cooler company's stock fell 5.8% following a downgrade to underweight from sector weight by KeyBanc. The Wall Street firm cited concerns over Yeti's growth and its heavy wholesale channel inventory. State Street — The asset manager slipped more than 3.1% after the firm was downgraded by multiple Wall Street firms, including JPMorgan.

Persons: Rivian, Tesla —, Knight, Yelp, Goldman Sachs, Raymond James, Cantor, —, Samantha Subin, Alex Harring, Tanaya Macheel, Brian Evans Organizations: Ford —, Ford, Tesla — Elon, Constellation Software, Intercontinental Exchange, Citi, BridgeBio Pharma —, Activision, Microsoft, Sony, PlayStation, Activision Blizzard, Paramount Global, Variety, Apellis Pharmaceuticals, American, JPMorgan, Wall, State Street's, Iris Energy

☆ FTC chair defends tenure as lawmakers battle over consumer agency's impact
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Diane Bartz | David Shepardson | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Representative Kevin Kiley, Republican from California, asked Khan about the cases that the agency had lost. “We fight hard when we believe there was a law violation, and unfortunately things don’t always go our way,” responded Khan. The agency also lost a fight to stop Facebook parent Meta Platforms from buying VR content maker Within Unlimited. Democrats on the committee sought to defend Khan, occasionally joined by Republicans on the panel including Rep. Ken Buck. Rep. Scott Fitzgerald, a Republican, however, worried about investors in small businesses losing their exit strategies.

Persons: Lina Khan, Lina M, Khan, Bill Nelson, Graeme Jennings, Activision Blizzard, Kevin Kiley, “, don’t, ”, ” Kiley, ” Khan, Darrell Issa, Trump, Ken Buck, Michael Kikukawa, Scott Fitzgerald, “ you’re, you’re, Black Knight, Jim Jordan, Elon, Jerry Nadler, Nadler Organizations: WASHINGTON, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Republican, Commerce, Science, NASA, Capitol, Committee, Microsoft, “, Activision, Facebook, Republicans, White House Press, Rep, Black, Horizon Therapeutics, Twitter, FTC, Democrat Locations: Washington , U.S, California, U.S

[1/2] The sun sets behind the U.S. Capitol dome in Washington, U.S., on midterm election day, November 6, 2018. It was not the first loss for the agency under Khan. In addition, an internal FTC judge ruled for Illumina's (ILMN.O) purchase of Grail (GRAL.O). Lawmakers are also expected to bring up the committee's requests for documents regarding the agency's review of billionaire Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter. Conservatives have accused social media companies, including Twitter before it was acquired by Musk, of seeking to stifle conservative voices.

Persons: James Lawler Duggan, Lina Khan, Jim Jordan, Trump, Black Knight, Amgen's, Elon Musk's, Diane Bartz, Matthew Lewis Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, WASHINGTON, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Republican, Committee, FTC, Microsoft, Activision, Khan, Facebook, Illumina's, Black, Horizon Therapeutics, Twitter, Musk, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Washington

☆ These 10 states are running America's best economies for residents
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Scott Cohn | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

To determine which states have the best economy, we look at overall economic growth and annual job growth on a percentage basis, as well as the health of state finances. We measure the breadth of each state's economy by looking at how many major corporations are headquartered there. IndianaWhile the Hoosier State's economy is hardly a barnburner, Indiana offers stability. The state's debt rating is solid. UtahThe Beehive State's economy just keeps buzzing.

Persons: Christina, Dupont De Nemours, Incyte Carlos Hernandez, Eileen T, Meslar, Eli Lilly, Kyle Green, Lucas Jackson, George Frey, Zions, Tim Aeppel, —, Justin Sullivan, Lindsey Nicholson, Matthew Busch, payrolls, Jim Watson Organizations: Companies, Business, Getty, Bureau, AAA, Reuters, Indiana, Hoosier, Federal Housing Finance Agency, National Association of Realtors, Simon Property, Bloomberg, Gem, Data Solutions, Micron Technology, Lamb Weston Holdings, South, South Carolina, Union Pacific, Automotive Designs, . Tennessee The Volunteer State, Headquarters, FedEx, Tractor, Delta Airlines, Peach State, Assurant, Intercontinental Exchange, Universal, North, Bank of America, Duke Energy, Just Energy Group, Texas, Lone Star State, Oracle, Tesla, AFP Locations: U.S, States, Wilmington , Delaware, Delaware, Middlebury , Indiana, , Indiana, CBH, Calvary Springs, Nampa , Idaho, Idaho, California, York County , South Carolina, South Carolina, Palmetto, South, Salt Lake City , Utah, Utah, Bristol , Indiana, Tennessee, Alpharetta , Georgia, Georgia, Denver , North Carolina, North Carolina, Houston , Texas, The Texas, Texas, New York, Miami , Florida, Florida

☆ Biden names two Republican nominees for FTC commissioner, White House says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

WASHINGTON, July 3 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden has nominated Virginia Solicitor General Andrew Ferguson and Utah Solicitor General Melissa Holyoak to fill Republican slots at the Federal Trade Commission, the White House said Monday. The FTC "operates best at full strength, and I will look forward to working with them," she said. A native of Virginia, Ferguson has an undergraduate degree from the University of Virginia and a law degree from the University of Virginia School of Law. Holyoak is the Utah Solicitor General with the Utah Attorney General's Office. Her undergraduate degree is from the University of Utah, as is her law degree.

Persons: Joe Biden, Andrew Ferguson, Melissa Holyoak, Lina Khan, Khan, Ferguson, Holyoak, Biden, Donald Trump's, Mitch McConnell, Lindsey Graham, Chuck Grassley, Myers, Amgen's, Black Knight, Diane Bartz, Kanishka Singh, Eric Beech, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Federal Trade Commission, U.S, Senate, FTC, Democratic, Facebook, Amazon.com, Albertsons, Senate Republican, University of Virginia, University of Virginia School of Law, Utah Attorney General's, Myers LLP, Hamilton Lincoln Law Institute, Competitive Enterprise Institute, Center for, University of Utah, Activision, Horizon Therapeutics, Black, Thomson Locations: Utah, Virginia

☆ Fidelity spot bitcoin ETF application refiled with U.S. SEC
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

June 29 (Reuters) - Asset manager Fidelity is once again seeking to list and trade shares of its Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund, according to a filing by listing exchange Cboe Global Markets (CBOE.Z) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Fidelity is one of several big asset managers that have applied to list bitcoin ETFs recent weeks. The SEC has rejected dozens of spot bitcoin ETF applications in the past few years, including one from Fidelity in January 2022. The first bitcoin futures ETF was approved in October 2021, helping send the volatile bitcoin to an all-time high of $69,000 in November 2021, and raising hopes that a spot bitcoin ETF would soon be approved. Spot ETFs directly track the price of the cryptocurrency, while futures-based ETFs follow the price of bitcoin futures contracts.

Persons: VanEck, Bitcoin, Niket, John McCrank, Shinjini Ganguli, Shweta Agarwal, Daniel Wallis Organizations: Fidelity, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, BlackRock, Nasdaq, NYSE Arca, Intercontinental Exchange Inc, Coinbase, SEC, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru, New York

The benchmark September contract for cocoa in London gained more than 2% on Wednesday to 2,590 pounds per metric ton. Prices are rising in reaction to a tight market for cocoa beans, which are mainly produced in Ivory Coast and Ghana. Arrivals of cocoa at Ivory Coast ports for export are down nearly 5% this season. The International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) widened this month its forecast for a global deficit on cocoa supply from 60,000 metric tons previously to 142,000 metric tons. Arabica coffee settled down 5 cents, or 3%, at $1.6195 per lb, while robusta coffee fell $99, or 3.6%, at $2,616 a metric ton.

Persons: Leonardo Rosseti, Rosseti, Maytaal, Mark Potter, David Gregorio Our Organizations: YORK, Intercontinental Exchange, International Cocoa Organization, StoneX, Refinitiv Commodities Research, Thomson Locations: London, West Africa, Ivory Coast, Ghana, West, New York

☆ Exchange operator Cboe launches global listing offering
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

NEW YORK, June 2 (Reuters) - Exchange operator Cboe Global Markets (CBOE.Z) said on Friday it will let companies list across its U.S. and international exchanges, expanding in a fiercely competitive field dominated in the United States by the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ.O). Cboe, which has stock exchanges in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region, currently lists only its own stock, along with exchange-traded funds, on its U.S. exchange. But financial software firm Abaxx Technologies Inc (ABXX.NLB), which is listed on Cboe Canada, has received conditional approval to be intralisted on Cboe U.S., the exchange operator said. "Cboe has built an expansive, global equities footprint unrivalled in the industry that uniquely positions us to deliver the first-ever truly global listing experience for issuers seeking to tap new markets beyond their home region," Dave Howson, global president of Cboe Global Markets, said in a statement. Exchanges earn recurring revenue from listings and charge various listing fees based on factors such as the amount of shares a company lists.

Persons: Cboe, Dave Howson, John McCrank, Hugh Lawson Organizations: YORK, Cboe, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq Inc, Abaxx Technologies, Intercontinental Exchange Inc, NYSE, Nasdaq, Thomson Locations: United States, North America, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Cboe Canada, Cboe, Canada, Netherlands, Australia, Chicago

☆ NYSE to bust erroneous CDW Corp trades as shares briefly dive 96%
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Medha Singh | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

May 18 (Reuters) - NYSE Arca Equities is looking into likely erroneous trades in the shares of IT solutions provider CDW Corp (CDW.O) after they briefly plunged as much as 96% to $7 in premarket trading on Thursday. The exchange operator, owned by Intercontinental Exchange (ICE.N), said it would bust all trades in the stock between 04:00 a.m. CDW Corp shares quickly recouped most of their losses and were last down 0.7% at $172.09 before the bell. ET, closed at $173.25 with a market value of $23.35 billion on Wednesday. CDW Corp and CaliberCos did not immediately respond to a Reuters requests for a comment.

☆ Exchange operator Cboe profit rises as market volatility lifts trading volumes
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

May 5 (Reuters) - Cboe Global Markets (CBOE.Z), reported a rise in first-quarter profit on Friday, as the exchange operator's trading volumes swelled on heightened market fluctuations amid a banking crisis and rising interest rates. The Chicago-based company, which provides trading platforms for equities, foreign exchange and derivative products across markets in different regions, saw a 13% rise in net revenue to $471.4 million. Cboe's results wrapped up a strong quarter for exchange operators. Earlier this week, New York Stock Exchange-parent Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE.N) reported upbeat results. Last month, both Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ.O) and CME Group Inc (CME.O) also beat profit estimates.

☆ NYSE-parent ICE tops profit views as market volatility spurs trading
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

May 4 (Reuters) - Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE.N) on Thursday reported first-quarter profit slightly above Wall Street views, as market volatility boosted the New York Stock Exchange parent's exchange unit, helping offset a rates-driven slump in its mortgage technology business. Revenue from ICE's exchanges segment, its biggest business, grew 1% from a year earlier to a record $1.09 billion, while the company's fixed income and data services segment revenue rose 11% to a record $563 million. However, a sharp rise in interest rates have quelled demand for mortgages, hurting ICE's mortgage technology unit, which helps businesses originate, review and process mortgages. The main driver of the profit beat was lower-than-expected expenses, Jefferies analyst Daniel Fannon said in a client note. Reporting by Siddarth S in Bengaluru; Editing by Krishna Chandra EluriOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Markets next week have to contend with how aggressive the Fed drumbeat sounds
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

"Is Chairman Powell going to say, 'It is likely that we pause now and assess what the economy is going to do?' "The tone on that balance is going to be very critical to how the market is going to move next week." "What is [Powell] going to do? June Fed meeting The betting on Wall Street right now is that, after next week, the Fed will standpat at its next meeting six weeks later, on June 13-14. Beyond Apple, some 161 other companies in the S & P 500 index are scheduled to report latest-quarter results next week.

Exchange operators' shares have outperformed in the past few weeks, with traders and analysts pointing to signs of investors rotating into exchanges, partly at the expense of banks. "Exchange operators are data and technology businesses with defensive utility-like features, while banks are highly cyclical and exposed to idiosyncratic business model risks". Average daily value traded at the London Stock Exchange (LSEG) (LSEG.L) rose 12.9% month-over-month in March. "Investors tend to look at the exchanges as defensive names. "We continue to like exchange stocks."

☆ FTC seeks temporary halt to Intercontinental Exchange deal for Black Knight
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

WASHINGTON, April 10 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Trade Commission opened a new front in its fight against the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE.N) deal to buy Black Knight (BKI.N) by asking a federal court for a preliminary injunction to halt the deal while its internal administrative process moves forward. The agency on March 9 said it would seek to stop New York Stock Exchange parent Intercontinental Exchange from acquiring mortgage data vendor Black Knight in a $13.1 billion deal. The agency said in its complaint, filed in U.S. District Court in San Francisco, that the companies planned to close after a vote of Black Knight shareholders on April 28. The FTC's administrative hearing on the deal will begin on July 12. Reporting by Diane Bartz; Editing by Mark Porter and Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ FTC asks for temporary halt to Intercontinental Exchange deal for Black Knight
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

WASHINGTON, April 10 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Trade Commission opened a new front in its fight against the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE.N) deal to buy Black Knight (BKI.N) by asking a federal court for a preliminary injunction to halt the deal while its internal administrative process moves forward. The agency on March 9 said it would seek to stop New York Stock Exchange parent Intercontinental Exchange from acquiring mortgage data vendor Black Knight in a $13.1 billion deal. The agency said in its complaint, filed in U.S. district court in San Francisco, that the companies planned to close after a vote of Black Knight shareholders on April 28. The FTC's administrative hearing on the deal will begin on July 12. ICE said in a statement in March that it would "vigorously oppose" the FTC action.

☆ A 31-year market vet who called the current bear market says the S&P 500 has another 45% downside as investors remain blind to signs that a recession is hurtling toward the US economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-08 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Yet, stock market investors remain bullish, he said. He's been warning of a significant stock market decline since late 2021,"People are ignoring all the lessons of history," Wolfenbarger told Insider on Friday. His bearish outlook stems from how high stock valuations are relative to 10-year Treasury yields. Wolfenbarger also has company in thinking that stock market investors aren't heeding the warnings of a coming downturn. Yet, the stock market doesn't seem to reflect this uncertainty, he said.

☆ 5 must-see charts that show why the economy is barreling toward disaster — putting stocks at risk for massive declines
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-01 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Reducing inflation is likely to require a period of below-trend growth and some softening in labor market conditions," Powell said. "Restoring price stability is essential to set the stage for achieving maximum employment and stable prices over the longer run." A large enough pullback in lending will send the economy into a downward spiral, he said. "If you get a credit crunch, you could have an immediate downturn in the economy, a very quick downturn," he said. Credit spreads are the gap between high-risk bond yields and yields on risk-free bonds.

☆ A bond-market indicator shows there's trouble brewing in the banking system, warns a top market researcher — and investors are underestimating the risk posed to the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The index measures volatility in the bond market, like the CBOE VIX does for stocks. The bond market is flashing a warning sign that something is going awry in the banking system, says Jim Bianco, the founder of market research firm Bianco Research. That alarm bell is heightened volatility in the bond market, Bianco told Insider this week. The Intercontinental Exchange Bank of America MOVE Index — which measures bond-market volatility, similar to how the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) measures volatility in the stock market — has shot up to its second-highest level in three decades. "Every time it's spiked this high in the past, things have gotten bad," he said, referring to the bond volatility index shown above.

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