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The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell more than 4 basis points to 4.232%, after briefly rising above 4.3% in the previous session to notch its highest level since July. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was down over 2 basis points at 4.094%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday, with investors poised to scrutinize economic data for further clues on the rate cut outlook. Ahead of the all-important October jobs report at the end of the week, investors will monitor a fresh batch of economic data on Wednesday. The Fed joined several other major central banks in easing monetary policy when it lowered rates by 50 basis points in September.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Commerce Department, Traders, Federal Reserve, Fed
CNN has reached out to Terada for comment on the R-FBI’s role in Russian disinformation efforts, and ties to the state. Storm-1516 and R-FBI network members have spread at least 54 different disinformation narratives online since August 2023, according to Clemson and CNN’s analysis. “Does anyone believe that an American would be the spearhead of what some call the biggest Russian Disinformation operation since the cold war? TelegramAnother prominent figure in propagating Russian disinformation is American Tara Reade, a former Senate staffer who in 2020 accused then-presidential candidate Joe Biden of sexual harassment. The links between Terada’s group and other Russian disinformation efforts are at best opaque, which is likely no accident.
Persons: , Yevgeny Prigozhin, Wagner, Mira Terada, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Harris, Walz, Morgan Finkelstein, “ Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump, Trump, , Win McNamee, ” Darren Linvill, Patrick Warren, , Biden, Warren, Kamala, Influencers, John Mark Dougan, Dougan, he’s, Andrew Harnik, MAGA, IMbaMm8YVF, Darren Linvill, Linvill, ” Clemson, Maxim Shugaley, Terada, Vladimir Putin’s “, ” Prigozhin, Konstantin Pridybaylo, Ruslan Ostashko, Colin Gerard, Gerard, Alexander Dugin, picturing, Tara Reade, Joe Biden, Reade, ” Chay Bowes, Simeon Boikov, podcaster, Bowes, ” Warren, Sean Lyngaas, influencers Organizations: CNN, Clemson University’s, Russian Foundation, FBI, Storm, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, Clemson, Getty, NBC, Wired, Prigozhin’s, Internet Research Agency, Miami Chronicle, Boston Times, DC, IRA, Russian, Gov, National Intelligence, US State Department, Minnesota, Apple, Trump, Infrastructure Security Agency, , Federal Bureau, Investigation, Kremlin, Wagner Group, US Justice Department, ANO Dialog, BRICS Journalists Association, Washington Post, Center, Forensics Locations: Russian, Ukraine, West, San Francisco, Zambia, Savannah , Georgia, , , American, Zambian, St . Petersburg, Florida, Moscow, Russia, Kazakhstan, Minnesota, Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, Bucks County , Pennsylvania, Bucks County ,, French, Irish, Sydney, European
An Australian one dollar coin sits atop a United States one dollar bill in this illustration photo taken February 12, 2016. The dollar hovered close to a three-month peak on Wednesday in a big week for macroeconomic data that could reveal the path for U.S. monetary policy. The Australian dollar edged closer to a three-month trough after some stickiness in inflation suggested a Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut is unlikely this year. The ADP employment report is due later in the day, ahead of the potentially crucial monthly payrolls report on Friday. "The U.S. dollar continues to garner strong support as markets adjust their rate path expectations," said James Kniveton, senior corporate FX dealer at Convera.
Persons: James Kniveton, Kniveton, Donald Trump, Rachel Reeves, Keir Starmer, Liz Truss Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Treasury, Republican, European Central Bank, Sterling, Labor Locations: States, U.S, Australia, Europe
While the cumulative effect of inflation has had a pronounced influence on the U.S. economy, the view in relative terms is getting progressively better. Judging by the personal consumption expenditures price index, inflation was expected to run at just a 0.2% rate in September and 2.1% from a year ago, according to Dow Jones estimates. "Another strong quarter of GDP growth and close-to-target quarterly inflation reading will be welcomed by the Fed stuck between balancing the risks of inflation and the labor market," Citigroup economist Alice Zheng said in a note Wednesday. Within the GDP report, the PCE rate for the quarter was just 1.5%, suggesting that the battle has been won. While the market is still betting heavily on more rate cuts this year, the Fed likely will be cautious.
Persons: Dow Jones, Alice Zheng, Shruti Mishra Organizations: Commerce Department, Labor, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: U.S
September's payrolls report exceeded expectations, but economists see weak gains for October. Even with lower expectations, a poor print could reset the market's narrative around a soft landing. AdvertisementThe narrative around ongoing labor-market strength revived with September's payrolls report, which topped economists' expectations by over 100,000 jobs. "The October jobs report will likely show a severe but short-lived hit from hurricanes Helene and Milton," Adams said. Another sign that September's jobs numbers may have been overstated is that other employment indicators haven't started to trend upwards.
Persons: September's, , Hurricanes Milton, Helene, Tom Essaye, Ben McMillan, McMillan, Goldman Sachs, there's, Goldman, Claudia Sahm, Michael Cuggino, Bill Adams, Milton, Adams, Neil Dutta, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Dutta Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, IDX Advisors, of Labor Statistics, Comerica, Funds, Federal Reserve, Macro, BLS, PMI
When asked whether it's been worth the cost ( $30 monthly per user in the case of Copilot), tech leaders say they aren't sure. According to recent Deloitte research, two-thirds of organizations are increasing gen AI investments based on "strong early value to date." There are multiple reasons why companies will still be short on confidence when it comes to enterprise AI adoption, according to Deloitte. The Azure cloud offering from its biggest AI partner and AI investment, OpenAI, is in use at nearly two-thirds of companies. Forty-six percent of CNBC survey respondents said that within their organizations at least half of employees are now using AI.
Persons: it's, Jim Rowan, Anthropic, Mistral, Eric Schmidt —, Morgan Stanley, Copilot, Rowan Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, CNBC Technology, Council, Deloitte, Microsoft Microsoft, Fortune, Capital Group, Disney, Dow, Kyndryl, Novartis, Deloitte Consulting, Meta, Silicon, OpenAI, AIs Locations: Europe
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: Jack, JACK, Katie Stockton Organizations: McDonald's Corp, Brands Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
AdvertisementWe're not in a recessionTo determine whether the economy is in recession, it helps to first define the term. Sure, the yearlong payrolls were adjusted down, but the story has largely been the same: This is a cooling but not collapsing labor market. Despite the 50-basis-point interest-rate cut by Chairman Jerome Powell and the rest of the Fed, there's evidence of additional slowing in the labor market. Since the rate cut, I've grown more confident that it will act in the face of weaker employment data. If the labor market deteriorates and the unemployment rate increases, we ought not to rule out another 50-basis-point move.
Persons: We're, , Jerome Powell, there's, Powell, Stocks Organizations: Federal, National Bureau of Economic Research, Social Security, Conference Locations: America
And how should investors be thinking about future equity returns as the bull market enters its third year riding stellar multi-year performance and facing demanding valuations? So, expansionary policies that would quicken the economy's metabolism and produce more inflation was exactly what the market craved then – but now? Right now, the S & P 500 is up 42% from 18 months ago and fetches 22-times expected earnings. No reliable augurs of a coming bear market are in evidence: S & P up 10 of 11 months, making a new high in September, credit spreads resolutely narrow, all point to an upside bias over a span of months, at least. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD Which leaves the question of just how much upside, if any, a bull should reasonably expect from here.
Persons: Warren Pies, Pat Tschosik, Ned Davis, Donald Trump, payrolls, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, 3Fourteen Research, Trump, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Leuthold, quicken, Wall Locations: U.S, China, Wells
John Hussman warns of poor S&P 500 returns over the next 12 years. Current expectations have the S&P 500 underperforming Treasurys by 9.9% annually over the next 12 years. But valuations are causing skepticism about future market returns among others on Wall Street, even if not to the same degree. Related storiesEarlier this week, Goldman Sachs forecast that the S&P 500 would average 3% annual returns over the next decade. His Strategic Growth Fund is down about 55% since December 2010 and has fallen 16% in the past 12 months.
Persons: John Hussman, , you'll, you'd, Hussman, Hussman's, it's, Goldman Sachs, It's Organizations: Treasurys, Service, Hussman Investment Trust
For Carter Worth, there's one that stands out above all others: volume. They say it's all in the price action. … but volume is the essential criteria," Worth, the founder of Worth Charting with more than three decades on the Street, told CNBC's Dominic Chu in this special Pro Talks discussion available to all readers. "The study of volume and price volume correlation is the single most important thing one can do if one wants to engage in pattern recognition and studying price action trying to profit in the market." "[Philosophers] Camus and Sartre would argue that existence precedes essence, and in markets, volume precedes price," he added.
Persons: Carter Worth, CNBC's Dominic Chu, Camus, Sartre, Worth Organizations: Worth, CNBC PRO Locations: Worth
London CNN —Iceland’s economy is outperforming most European peers after the nationwide introduction of a shorter working week with no loss in pay, according to research released Friday. In two large trials between 2015 and 2019, public sector employees in Iceland worked 35-36 hours per week, with no reduction in pay. The trials involved 2,500 people — more than 1% of Iceland’s working population at the time — and were aimed at maintaining or increasing productivity while improving work-life balance. Following the trials, Icelandic trade unions negotiated reductions in working hours for tens of thousands of their members across the country. That is much higher than the country’s average growth rate of almost 2% in the decade between 2006 and 2015.
Persons: Alda Organizations: London CNN, Autonomy Institute, Iceland’s Association for Sustainability, Democracy, Iceland …, International Monetary Locations: Iceland, Europe, United Kingdom, Malta, United States, Ireland
After a months-long negotiated rulemaking process, President Joe Biden and his administration have unveiled a new proposed regulation to provide debt relief to student loan borrowers facing financial hardship. It goes on to list 17 non-exclusive factors that could substantiate hardship. The other pathway will likely be primarily application-based and will see the department considering individual cases for debt relief using these factors or other evidence of hardship. The proposal will soon be entered into the Federal Register where it will undergo a 30-day public comment period. This debt relief action stems from the Supreme Court's ruling against President Biden's plan to enact broad student loan forgiveness in June 2023.
Persons: Joe Biden, Pell Grant, Biden's Organizations: Federal, Federal Student, Department of Education, CNBC
A queue of people forms outside a money changer (L) as people wait to buy and sell the Japanese yen against foreign currency, along a street in central Tokyo on April 29, 2024. In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar. The Japanese yen is hovering near three-month lows against the U.S. dollar, after hitting 153.18 late Wednesday. "The annualised 1-month deposit rate for yen is +0.03%, while it is 4.76% for the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Alvin Tan, Homin Lee, Lombard Odier, Donald Trump, Lee, RBC's Tan, Hugh Chung Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, U.S, U.S ., Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Swiss, U.S
We can see the cup-with-handle pattern developing on the daily chart, consisting of a six-month rounded bottoming pattern followed by a brief pullback in the month of October. The key to a cup with handle pattern is the "rim" of the cup, which is essentially a trendline connecting the highs during the price pattern. Other indicators on the chart seem to suggest that an impending breakout is likely, especially the RSI which has been in a bullish range since July of this year. Similar to the daily chart, we can see the weekly RSI has been in a bullish range for the last five years. This continued bullish momentum range suggests a bullish secular trend, reinforcing the upside potential represented on the daily chart.
Persons: I'm, I've, David Keller Organizations: Kroger Co, Kroger, RSI, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Bond market investors are having trouble figuring out an economy that looks good from 30,000 feet, but less so closer to the ground. Whether it's payrolls, gross domestic product or retail sales, or a host of other measures, growth looks solid, at the very least. On Wall Street, the general view was of concern: The Beige Book "showed no material improvement in a generally bleak outlook," Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst wrote. However, if growth deteriorates, as the Beige Book indicates it has, that likely would push the Fed towards more reductions. "Despite recent stronger-than-expected data on U.S. employment, retail sales, and consumer inflation, the Fed's latest Beige Book signals a still weakening economy."
Persons: it's, Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Goldman, Andrew Hollenhorst, Kathy Bostjancic, Peter Boockvar, Jerome Powell, Nicholas Colas Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Citigroup, Nationwide, Bleakley Financial, DataTrek
Workers have been losing leverage in a challenging job market over the last year, but the slide could be hitting a rebound point, according to new data. Other indicators of workers' bargaining power, like being recruited into their role, negotiating their offer and receiving a signing bonus also fell slightly in the last quarter. But the small dips could indicate that workers' struggles are reaching a plateau, says Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter. Overall, the share of workers who describe their recent job search as "poor" reached a record high of 10%. As of mid-2024, 24% of recent hires said their new job was their dream job, a sharp fall from 42% of job-switchers who felt that way a year ago.
Persons: Julia Pollak, Pollak, it's, switchers Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve Locations: ZipRecruiter .
The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. The U.S. dollar traded close to a three-month high against major peers on Thursday, underpinned by expectations for a slower pace interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and growing bets of a possible second Donald Trump presidency. This week, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid said he would prefer to "avoid outsized moves", and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker backed "a slow, methodical approach" to further easing. The dollar has now "punched through key technical resistance levels" against the yen, "opening the door for higher levels", Catril said. Although opinion polls indicate a neck-and-neck race with Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, cryptocurrency-prediction exchange Polymarket has seen a sharp rise in bets for a Trump win.
Persons: Donald Trump, Jeffrey Schmid, Patrick Harker, Rodrigo Catril, Catril, Trump, Kamala Harris, Christine Lagarde, Mario Centeno Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Kansas, Philadelphia Fed, Treasury, National Australia Bank, UST, Republican, Democratic, Trump, of, Traders, European Central Bank, Wednesday Locations: Japan, Sunday's
Israel’s war could set Gaza back 69 years, UN warns
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Isaac Yee | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —The impact of Israel’s war in the Gaza Strip could erase “over 69 years of progress” in the enclave, the United Nations has warned in a new report, saying that measurement for indicators such as life expectancy, education, income and standard of living are projected to drop to a level estimated for 1955. Israel launched a war on Hamas in Gaza on October 7 last year after the group attacked southern Israel, killing 1,200 people and taking more than 250 hostages. The Israeli offensive has killed more than 42,000 people in Gaza, according to the health ministry there, displaced most of its people and flattened large swathes of the enclave. The UN report, which looks at estimates for the Palestinian territories as a whole, says that over 4 million people in them were affected by poverty in 2024, including 2.6 million newly impoverished people. This brings the poverty rate to 74.3% across the Palestinian territories, according to the report.
Persons: , Achim Steiner, State Anthony Blinken, Mahmoud Abbas, Israel Organizations: CNN, United Nations, UN, Programme, UNDP, State, State Department, Israel, Palestinian Locations: Gaza, Palestinian, Israel
McDonald's shared more insights Wednesday into its investigation into a deadly E. coli outbreak. McDonald's said early indicators suggest slivered onions as a likely potential containment, but it couldn't rule out fresh beef. Two ingredients — the slivered onions and fresh beef patties — are being examined as potential sources of contamination. The Chipotle cases involved the handling and preparation of food in restaurants, McDonald's executives said. McDonald's said the slivered onions sold at affected restaurants come from a single supplier and are served raw on the sandwich.
Persons: McDonald's, Chipotle, , they're, Joe Erlinger, coli, Dominick Organizations: Executives, Service, CDC, NBC, McDonald's, FDA, Business Locations: McDonald's USA
CNN —Russian operatives created and amplified false online content attempting to smear Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz, US intelligence agencies said on Tuesday. The statement was based on newly available intelligence and analysts worked over the weekend to analyze the media content, the official said. Some posts circulating the fake content on X garnered hundreds of thousands of views and were amplified by right-wing personalities. The Harris-Walz campaign has expressed concern that media coverage could amplify the false Russian claims. US intelligence officials will also be closely watching Iranian operatives after Election Day.
Persons: Tim Walz, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Walz, “ Vladimir Putin, ” Harris, Morgan Finkelstein, , Trump’s Organizations: CNN, Russian, Democratic, National Intelligence, Trump, Justice Department Locations: Russia, Iran
I'm a former divorce attorney and can pick up on red flags in relationships around me. Many of my clients regretted ignoring the red flags they saw in their failed relationships. Below are five subtle red flags to consider when considering whether your partner is matrimony material. When you can't feel your own feelingsLet's say you discover your partner saw an ex and didn't tell you. So many of my clients regretted ignoring these kinds of red flags.
Persons: I'm, Organizations: Service Locations: Vegas
Asking prices for UK homes barely rise in October, Rightmove says
  + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Asking prices for British homes rose only marginally in October as more properties came onto the market, according a survey on Monday that also suggested some buyers were waiting for clarity on tax changes in the new government's upcoming budget. Asking prices rose by just 0.3% in October, well below their average for a 1.3% monthly increase for the month, property website Rightmove said. Overall activity in the property market remained strong, with buyer demand rising. "Despite a budget-shaped cloud on the horizon, the big picture still looks positive for the market heading into 2025. Mortgage lenders Halifax and Nationwide both reported rises in house prices in September.
Persons: Rightmove, Tim Bannister, Bannister Organizations: Bank of England, Nationwide Locations: London's Muswell Hill, London, Halifax
Quantitative and technical strategist Javed Mirza pointed out in a note to clients that the Nasdaq 100 has not set a record high since July. On Monday, the Nasdaq 100 was trading about 2% below its record close. "The Nasdaq 100 just triggered a new short-term 'mechanical sell' signal, diverging from the other North American equity indices," Mirza said. The Nasdaq 100's slump is not the only factor pointing to toward a new phase for the bull market. To be sure, even the late stage phases of a bull market can last for quite a while.
Persons: Raymond James, Javed Mirza, Mirza, Dow Jones Organizations: Nasdaq, TSX, Canadian
During a recent Indeed Leadership Connect cohort, where like-minded TA leaders come together to share challenges and solutions, AI technology in recruiting was the main topic. How do hiring professionals respond to job candidates who are also using AI? When using AI tools to generate external-facing content, always include human oversight to mitigate the risk of irrelevant or biased content. This still saves time versus starting from scratch — and the more you use AI technology, the smarter it becomes. Key takeaways: Think beyond automation with AI; use the efficiency gains to rethink parts of your hiring process.
Persons: Amy Jordan, Trey Causey, Causey Organizations: TA, Connect, Insider Locations: Causey
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