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But stock markets are not out of woods yet, according to Goldman Sachs Chief Global Equity Strategist Peter Oppenheimer. He believes contagion fears around the banking sector are just one of several risk factors afflicting stocks, and predicts the market will remain "fat and flat" in the near term. He said U.S. stocks continue to look stretched and offer "very little return," while cash and short-duration debt looks "very attractive" relative to stocks. How to trade it Despite uncertainty in the European banking sector, Oppenheimer believes European stocks will continue to outperform their U.S. peers. Outside of stocks, he is also overweight cash in his global asset allocation, given greater uncertainty about the near-term path for corporate profits.
Silicon Valley Bank executives went to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in late February looking for advice: They needed to raise money but weren’t exactly sure how to do it. Soaring interest rates had taken a heavy toll on the bank. Deposits and the value of the bank’s bond portfolio had fallen sharply. Moody’s Investors Service was preparing for a downgrade. The bank had to reset its finances to avoid a funding squeeze that would badly dent profits.
Goldman’s new strategy gets baptism of fire
  + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Jeffrey Goldfarb | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
NEW YORK, March 15 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank is providing a slightly awkward showcase for Goldman Sachs’ (GS.N) manifold talents. It’s true to the new unified “One Goldman Sachs” strategy expounded by Chief Executive David Solomon, dampened by the client not living to tell the tale. The investment bank Solomon now leads scrambled throughout the financial crisis to help panicked clients shore up their finances. SVB’s financial models had to be revised on the fly and approved by its board as the situation deteriorated. There also was no soothing imprimatur from Buffett, or a rich Silicon Valley grandee such as Larry Ellison, Steve Ballmer or Larry Page.
Former Prime Minister Najib Razak is serving a 12-year prison sentence after being convicted by a Malaysian court of receiving $10 million from a former 1MDB unit. He spent six months in a Malaysian prison before waiving his right to contest extradition to the United States in 2018. He pleaded guilty and testified against Ng as part of a cooperation agreement. Malaysian officials have said Low is in China, which Beijing denies. In October 2020, Goldman agreed to pay $2.9 billion and its Malaysian unit pleaded guilty to a corruption charge.
Equity duration is the time until the company's cash flows are received, weighted by their present values. Goldman defines its equity duration estimates as a weighted-average distribution of cash flows. However, short-duration stocks are the ones with strong earnings today, but no promise of earnings growth down the road. These short-duration names may provide a hedge against rising rates. The median implied equity duration for stocks in the basket is 18.3 years versus 22.2 years for the Russell 1000.
Instead, he indicated that the wealth business would be a “key driver for growth." One key pillar of that plan is Goldman’s alternative assets business, which includes running buyout, private credit and real-estate investing funds. For example, Goldman plans to take $2 billion in management and other fees from the alternative business next year. Last year, of the $72 billion Goldman raised for alternative, a third of that came from its wealth business. Goldman has dabbled in this now-dubbed “One Goldman” concept before, and gave it significant airtime on Tuesday.
That's because many of the decisions Solomon made over the next four years — along with aspects of the firm's hard-charging, ego-driven culture — ultimately led to the collapse of Goldman's consumer ambitions, according to a dozen people with knowledge of the matter. Goldman executives were eager to seal the deal with the tech giant, which happened before Solomon became CEO, they added. The rapid growth of the card, which was launched in 2019, is one reason the consumer division saw mounting financial losses. Within months, Ismail left Goldman, sending shock waves through the consumer division and deeply angering Solomon. Goldman should plow some of those volatile earnings into more durable consumer banking revenues, the thinking went.
The bank expressed interest in several credit-card programs in recent years. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is pausing its efforts to acquire new credit-card programs, according to people familiar with the matter. The Wall Street firm recently ended advanced discussions to launch a co-branded credit card for T-Mobile US Inc., these people said. The account was close to becoming Goldman’s third card program, following Apple Inc. and General Motors Co. It would have been T-Mobile’s first credit-card program.
A billionaire entrepreneur who owns more of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. than Chief Executive David Solomon is leading an effort to refresh the Wall Street stalwart’s Main Street lending ambitions. Goldman is shrinking Marcus, its homegrown consumer-banking business. But it is doubling down on GreenSky , a home-improvement lender it bought last year over the objection of some senior executives.
Carlyle's new boss will be virtuoso second fiddle
  + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Jonathan Guilford | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
That’s the best way of interpreting the private equity firm’s appointment of former Goldman Sachs (GS.N) banker Harvey Schwartz on Monday. He never quite made it to the CEO job at Goldman, though served in a number of high-level roles like chief financial officer and chief operating officer. They felt that the ousted Lee, who pushed hard to diversify Carlyle’s business, hadn’t adequately consulted them on big moves, according to Reuters. The firm’s co-founder Bill Conway, also one of Carlyle’s two co-chairmen, has been filling the role on an interim basis. Schwartz previously held various senior roles including chief financial officer and chief operating officer at investment bank Goldman Sachs, which he left in 2018.
Goldman’s Marcus is a lesson in self-made failure
  + stars: | 2023-02-02 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
Being a consumer bank was a good idea when Goldman’s leaders cooked it up eight years ago. Fast forward to 2023, and consumer banking is still highly lucrative. The practice of working through the night is common in the investment banking division Solomon once headed but rare in consumer banking. For example, Goldman’s engineers had to fight to host consumer banking systems on the cloud rather than on the bank’s own servers. That year, nobody from the consumer bank was promoted to the firm’s prestigious partner level.
Goldman Sachs cuts Solomon, and his pay, down to size
  + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Or at least that is the apparent message Goldman Sachs (GS.N) is trying to send by slashing boss David Solomon’s pay by a third for 2022, to $25 million. Measured by Goldman’s performance last year, Solomon actually did fairly well. Goldman also grew its book value – accounting-speak for shareholders’ claim on the lender – by a respectable 6%. Solomon’s humble pie may taste good to his Goldman colleagues, but it could present a different flavor profile to shareholders. loadingCONTEXT NEWSGoldman Sachs said its board had awarded Chief Executive David Solomon compensation of $25 million for his work in 2022, compared with $35 million the previous year.
Goldman cuts Solomon, and his pay, down to size
  + stars: | 2023-01-27 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Or at least that is the apparent message Goldman Sachs (GS.N) is trying to send by slashing boss David Solomon’s pay by a third for 2022, to $25 million. Measured by Goldman’s performance last year, Solomon actually did fairly well. Goldman also grew its book value – accounting-speak for shareholders’ claim on the lender – by a respectable 6%. It would have been hard to reward Solomon at a time when employees are feeling the chill, and hot on the heels of 3,200 layoffs. Solomon’s humble pie may taste good to his Goldman colleagues, but it could present a different flavor profile to shareholders.
The Federal Reserve is investigating Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s consumer business to determine whether the bank had appropriate safeguards in place as it ramped up lending, according to people familiar with the matter. The regulator has concerns that the bank didn’t have proper monitoring and control systems inside the consumer business, known as Marcus, especially as it grew larger, the people said.
The Problem at Goldman Sachs Isn’t What You Think
  + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( Telis Demos | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
For Goldman Sachs , identifying the right problem is the first step. Much of the conversation lately around Goldman Sachs has focused on its foray into consumer banking and lending, with its newly created platform-solutions unit reporting billions in cumulative pretax losses since 2020. Yet the reality is that the consumer business isn’t a huge factor in Goldman’s overall performance in metrics such as return on equity. The unit remains relatively small in that equation, and as of the fourth quarter consumed less than 4% of the common equity allocated to its three business units.
Goldman slams into unwelcome sort of volatility
  + stars: | 2023-01-17 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
NEW YORK, Jan 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The similarities between Goldman Sachs (GS.N) and Morgan Stanley (MS.N) are drawing attention to what makes them different. Investment banking fees halved year-on-year for each, though Goldman generated roughly 50% more from deal advice and underwriting stocks and bonds than its archrival. During the decade before he took over, Goldman traded at a premium to Morgan Stanley. Separately, rival Morgan Stanley reported earnings per share of $1.26 for the same three-month period, 37% less than for the same span in 2021, and slightly higher than analysts’ forecasts, according to Refinitiv. Goldman reported a $2 billion full-year loss for its new “platform solutions” division, which includes the credit card it offers alongside iPhone maker Apple.
In their 2023 outlook, Goldman analysts noted that disagreement about the economic forecast abounds within their own circles. Bill Dudley, a former Goldman Sachs partner and president of the New York Fed, puts the chance of recession this year at about 70%. Goldman analysts say that even with a sour economy, they predict the 2023 investment return on the S&P 500 will most likely be between 9-12%. The Fed’s days of three-quarter-point rate hikes are behind us, said Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Patrick Harker in a blog post Friday. Better-than-expected price data shows that the Fed’s aggressive and economically painful rate hikes are successfully slowing the economy and fighting inflation, he said.
Banks’ profit picnic will attract ant invasion
  + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
JPMorgan (JPM.N), Bank of America (BAC.N), Wells Fargo (WFC.N) and Citigroup (C.N) all report fourth-quarter earnings on Friday. The good news is that for the year ahead, rising interest rates twinned with growing loan books should more than make up for sliding investment banking fees. The CFPB squeezed a $3.7 billion settlement from serial miscreant Wells Fargo in December for wrongly levying charges on customers. CONTEXT NEWSJPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo will report fourth-quarter 2022 earnings on Jan. 13. The CFPB said that Wells Fargo will also allocate over $2 billion in redress to customers.
Goldman Sachs is laying off fewer employees than feared, but the cut is still a deep one. The global investment bank is letting go of as many as 3,200 employees starting Wednesday, according to a person with knowledge of the firm’s plans. That amounts to 6.5% of the 49,100 employees Goldman had in October, which is below the 8% reported last month as the upper end of possible cuts. Goldman CEO David Solomon kicked off Wall Street’s layoff season in September and then opted to enact the industry’s deepest cuts so far. Meanwhile, Goldman is still moving forward with plans to hire junior bankers and in other areas as needed, the source said.
Amid a slump in technology stocks, Goldman’s investment bankers who cover tech could be hit hard by layoffs, according to people familiar with the matter. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is planning to lay off several thousand employees, according to people familiar with the matter, another consequence of this year’s deal-making slump. A person familiar with the situation said the bank will be leaner in 2023, but it will still have more employees than it did before the pandemic. Goldman had some 49,000 employees as of September, up from about 38,000 at the end of 2019.
Goldman Sachs is predicting zero earnings growth in 2023, with stocks ending the next year essentially flat. The firm is pegging 2023 S & P 500 earnings-per-share flat at $224 and the index ending next year at 4,000, just over 1% from Monday's close. The bank's EPS yield for the next 12 months is 14%, while its estimated EPS will decline by 12% in 2023, according to Goldman. Walgreens's EPS yield for the next 12 months is 11% and its estimated 2023 earnings growth is 2%, Goldman found. Its next-12-month EPS yield is 7% and its estimated EPS growth for 2023 is 4%, according to Goldman.
NEW YORK, Nov 8 (Reuters) - An unexpected result in Tuesday’s U.S. midterm election could roil markets positioned for relative calm, options strategists said. Control of the U.S. Congress is at stake in Tuesday's midterms, with Republicans favored by polls and betting markets to win control of the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate. At the individual stock level, certain names have the potential for higher election-related volatility, strategists at Goldman Sachs said in a note earlier this month. Meanwhile, shares of tobacco company Philip Morris International Inc (PM.N) could be volatile around regulatory restrictions, Goldman’s analysts wrote. Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed in New York Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Matthew LewisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil and commodities are the best hedge right now, Goldman’s Jeff Currie saysGoldman’s Jeff Currie tells CNBC's Dan Murphy oil and commodities are the best hedge for the environment that we’re in right now.
PREVIEWHistorically, developers were asking “how” questions, Mr. Argenti said Wednesday during an online Wall Street Journal CIO Network members event. Mr. Argenti joined Goldman in 2019 as co-CIO after serving as vice president of technology at Amazon Web Services. Developers have only gained more power in business since then, Mr. Argenti said. “It’s kind of an evolution…to really manage the customer as one, no matter how many touch points they have within Goldman Sachs, ” Mr. Argenti said. The process can help developers feel more empowered and has led to higher retention rates, Mr Argenti said.
The group’s reorganization sees its investment banking and trading businesses merged into a single unit, two people familiar with the matter told Reuters. It is the biggest shakeup since the company’s investor day in early 2020 when it outlined plans for four core units: investment banking, global markets, consumer and wealth management and asset management. “They’re excellent at trading, excellent (at) investment banking,” said Marinac. But the consumer banking unit that launched in 2016 has struggled to gain traction and suffered from delays. The combined investment banking and trading group will be overseen by Dan Dees and Jim Esposito, who are currently global co-heads of Goldman’s investment banking division, and Ashok Varadhan, now co-head of its global markets division, according to Bloomberg.
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