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This is driving up mortgage rates after years of lower-rate policies, crushing affordability and sinking home prices in some metropolitan areas. In the note, the pair released UBS's most reading of its Global Real Estate Bubble Index. Two cities — Zurich and Tokyo — top the list and are considered to be in "bubble risk" territory by being at least 1.5 standard deviations out of their index norm (Zurich at 1.71 and Tokyo at 1.65). UBS"Such high multiples come from an excessive appreciation of housing prices in the wake of previously low interest rates," Saputelli and Holzhey said. "House prices in all these cities remain vulnerable to corrections should interest rates remain elevated for longer or continue to rise further."
Persons: Claudio Saputelli, Matthias Holzhey, Holzhey Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Reserve Bank of India, Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of, Central Bank of, Bank of Canada, UBS, Swiss, , Tokyo —, Miami Locations: Bank of Korea, Central Bank of Brazil, — Zurich, Tokyo, Zurich, Munich, Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Toronto, Geneva, Los Angeles, London, Tel Aviv, Vancouver, Amsterdam, Stockholm, Paris, Sydney
Apartments in Zurich cost around $19,000 per square meter, according to data from Properstar. Transaction prices for apartments in the Zurich region rose 42.3% between 2013 and 2022. UBS said Wednesday that there was a perception of property in the city as "concrete gold." Renting an apartment in the city, meanwhile, cost around 47 Swiss franc ($58) per square meter, according to the Properstar data. UBS said in its Global Real Estate Bubble Index 2023, released Wednesday, that an increasing number of high-income earners and ultra-low interest rates in recent years had helped push up property prices.
Organizations: UBS, Service, Bloomberg, Henley & Partners, Wüest, Swiss National Bank ., Swiss, Google Locations: Zurich, Properstar, Wall, Silicon, Swiss, London, Lake Zurich, Switzerland
Sizable home-price appreciation could be hard to come by in today's market. But Sotheby's Greg Forest is still bullish on West Palm Beach, Boise, Phoenix, and Durham. As a senior global real-estate advisor for Sotheby's International Realty, Greg Forest is frequently in touch with clients and colleagues in the US and around the world. So while he mainly sells properties in southern Florida, he has a good feel for what's happening in other markets as well. In recent correspondence with Insider, he shared four markets he's been hearing positive things about, and which he's bullish on because of his own fundamental analysis.
Persons: Greg Forest, Forest Organizations: Sotheby's International Locations: today's, West Palm Beach , Boise, Phoenix, Durham, Florida
The recent increase in oil prices could provide a boost to London's prime office real estate market, according to Morgan Stanley. According to their analysis, higher oil prices tend to correlate with increased demand for top-tier commercial properties. When oil prices rise above this threshold, the excess profits are invested by its sovereign wealth fund, PIF, in assets around the world, including tech stocks. Morgan Stanley says that in the past, a similar rise in oil prices has preceded strong 12-month share price performance for London office REITs (real estate investment trusts). For Derwent London, Morgan Stanley forecasts the stock reaching £27.00 ($33.43), up 45% from current levels, within 12 months.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Bart Gysens Organizations: Bank of London, Cooperation Council, Monetary Fund, GCC, Saudi, London, Derwent, Great Portland Estates, Derwent London, Great Locations: London, WTI, Great Portland
Next, Swinkels likes developed market equities, which include stocks in countries like France, Germany, the UK, Australia, Japan, and more. The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) offers exposure to developed market stocks outside of the US and Canada. Exchange-traded funds like the Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF (SCHE) or the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) are one way to invest in emerging market stocks. "The CAPE ratio of global real estate is currently 13.3, well below its average of 19.4 since 2000," Swinkels said. One way to invest in real estate without buying properties directly is through real-estate investment trusts, also known as REITs.
Persons: Laurens Swinkels, Peter van der, Swinkels, we've Organizations: Federal, iShares, Yield Corp, Exchange, Schwab, Equity, Vanguard FTSE, Markets, Simon Property Group Locations: France, Germany, Australia, Japan, Canada, China, Brazil, India, Saudi Arabia
Chart a 10-mile path down the Miami coast, and the options for luxury shopping are endless. But from Fendi to Missoni to Porsche to Bentley, the branded products many shoppers are buying aren’t items you can take home. Branded real estate is surging: The market for name-brand luxury condominium units is projected to grow 12 percent each year between now and 2026, according to a report from the global real estate consultants, Knight Frank. Like blue jean makers and handbag designers, developers have long understood the power of a label, and today in nearly every major city, homeowners can shop residences from well-known hospitality brands like Four Seasons, Aman and Ritz-Carlton. Now more surprising brands are getting in on the trend, with purveyors of both luxury cars and couture looking to condos for their next frontier.
Persons: Knight Frank, jean, Aman, Armani Casa Organizations: Porsche, Bentley, Ritz, Carlton, Armani, Bentley Residences Locations: Miami, Fendi, Missoni, Dade County, British
Mount Rainier is losing its glaciers. That is all the more striking as it is the most glacier-covered mountain in the contiguous United States. The changes reflect a stark global reality: Mountain glaciers are vanishing as the burning of fossil fuels heats up Earth’s atmosphere. According to the World Glacier Monitoring Service, total glacier area has shrunk steadily in the last half-century; some of the steepest declines have been in the Western United States and Canada. Mount Rainier National Park, a popular tourist destination that gets roughly 2 million visitors every year, is feeling the effects acutely.
Organizations: Rainier, Monitoring, Western, Mount Rainier Locations: United States, Western United States, Canada
WeWork's lease liabilities accounted for more than two-thirds of its operating expenses for the second quarter of this year, Tolley said. As of June 30, WeWork had 777 locations in 39 countries. The shuttering of select WeWork locations isn’t new. The process to renegotiate so many leases could take months, if not longer, he said. WeWork’s plans to renegotiate most of its leases also arrive at a time when demand for office space is weak overall.
Persons: — WeWork, , WeWork, David Tolley, Tolley, ” Tolley, , Jonathan Adelsberg, Herrick, Feinstein, Sam Chandan, Chao, Chen, University’s, ” Chandan, David Putro, “ It's, ” Putro, WeWork’s, Chandan, Adam Neumann, It's Organizations: New, Real Estate Department, Chen Institute, Global Real Estate Finance, University’s Stern School of Business, Morningstar Credit, Major, D.C, Putro Locations: New York, Major U.S, San Francisco , New York, Chicago, Washington, San Francisco,
U.S real estate investment trusts today manage $4.5 trillion in real estate worldwide. KKR's real estate business is one of the big players in the REIT game. The KKR Real Estate Select Trust, which currently manages $1.5 billion in assets, paid a dividend of 5.4% to its investors in July 2023. said Billy Butcher, CEO of KKR's global real estate business. Watch the video above to learn the fundamentals of real estate investment trusts.
Persons: Billy Butcher, Sher Hafeez, Jones Lang LaSalle, Michael Pestronk, REITs Organizations: KKR, Trust, CNBC, Jones, P Global Investments, Post, Invitation Locations: Philadelphia
Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva attends in a round table to discuss global economy during the New Global Financial Pact Summit at the Palais Brongniart in Paris, France June 22, 2023. Ludovic Marin/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Aug 29 (Reuters) - International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva will visit China from Wednesday to meet with top leaders, before travelling to Indonesia and India for ASEAN and Group of 20 summits, an IMF spokesperson said on Tuesday. "During Aug. 30 to Sept. 3 the Managing Director will be visiting China to engage in bilateral discussions with China's senior leadership team," they said. Last month, the IMF raised its 2023 global growth estimates slightly given resilient economic activity in the first quarter, but warned that persistent challenges were curtailing the medium-term outlook. Georgieva will be in Jakarta from Sept. 4 to Sept. 7 and New Delhi from Sept. 8 to Sept. 10, the spokesperson added.
Persons: Kristalina Georgieva, Ludovic Marin, China's, Georgieva, Joe Cash, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: International Monetary Fund, New Global Financial, Palais, Rights, Monetary Fund, China, ASEAN, Group, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Fund, Thomson Locations: Paris, France, Rights BEIJING, Indonesia, India, China, Jakarta, New Delhi
You can actually finish work at five, rather than finishing at five spending 45 minutes trying to get home." When you have a jolt, you never return to the way the world was," said John Buchanan, head of the University of Sydney's Health and Work Research Network. That same week, the public sector union struck a deal the which lets Australia's 120,000 federal employees request work-from-home an unlimited number of days. By comparison, Canada's federal workers ended a two-week strike in May with a wages agreement that came without the WFH protections they wanted. Among employees with WFH experience, 19% wanted to return to the office full-time, the survey found.
Persons: David Gray, SYDNEY, Nicholas Coomber, Coomber, Jamie Dimon, Elon Musk, John Buchanan, We're, Jones Lang Lasalle, Melissa Donnelly, WFH, Mathias Dolls, Jim Stanford, Stanford, Byron Kaye, Miral Organizations: REUTERS, JPMorgan Chase, Twitter, University of Sydney's Health, Work Research, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank, NAB, European Union, Community, Public Sector Union, CBA, ifo, Macroeconomics, Stanford University, Workers, Centre, Australia Institute, Thomson Locations: Melbourne, Southbank, Australia, New Zealand, Tokyo, New York, JLL.N, Hamburg
Five hedge funds shared five trading ideas on global property markets, adding that they cannot reveal trading positions for regulatory reasons. CM REITs are companies that own mortgages of multi-family residential homes as well as commercial real estate loans. Cell phone data Litt bought to research a REIT run by Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE.N), showed that buildings which that were supposed to be almost fully occupied were only half full. Alexandria Real Estate responded pointing to public filings which said that it was the advancement of science and related intellectual property in Alexandria’s Labspace buildings, and not employee foot traffic that drove its demand for space. But Litt believes that the shift away from office working will also hurt life and sciences real estate, generally.
Persons: Jonathan Mizrachi, CMBSs, David Amaryan, Ben Hunsaker, Hunsaker, Jonathan Litt, Litt, ANSON, Moez Kassam, Vistry, Kassam, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alison Williams Organizations: Property, Capital, Beach, Beach Point Capital Management, REITs, Alexandria Real, Reuters, Vistry, Thomson Locations: York, Russia, Russia's, Ukraine, Armenia, Beach Point, Alexandria, Alexandria’s, London, Carolina, New York
REUTERS/Ken Cedeno/File PhotoWASHINGTON, July 25 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday raised its 2023 global growth estimates slightly given resilient economic activity in the first quarter, but warned that persistent challenges were dampening the medium-term outlook. The 2023-2024 growth forecast remains weak by historical standards, well below the annual average of 3.8% seen in 2000-2019, largely due to weaker manufacturing in advanced economies, and it could stay at that level for years. This was also related to the aging of the global population, especially in countries like China, Germany and Japan, he said. The impact of higher interest rates was especially evident in poorer countries, driving debt costs higher and limiting room for priority investments. It left its forecast for growth in China, the world's second-largest economy, unchanged at 5.2% in 2023 and 4.5% in 2024.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Ken Cedeno, we're, Gourinchas, Andrea Shalal, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Research Department IMF, International Monetary Fund, REUTERS, WASHINGTON, Monetary Fund, IMF, Reuters, Health, El, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, China, Germany, Japan, United States, Ukraine
He learned about target-date funds, which pool a basket of individual funds designed to rebalance the securities based on your years to retirement. Then, he compared the result to having 100% of the amount invested in a target-date index fund called the Fidelity Freedom Index 2050 Investor (FIPFX). "If I could go back in time, I would dump every penny to my name in a single target-date index," Schneider said. Pie chart breakdown of nine initial index funds Portfolio Visualizer, Jeremy Schneider. Additionally, holding a target-date fund in a regular brokerage account instead of a tax-advantaged account may not be tax optimal.
Persons: Jeremy Schneider, wouldn't, Schneider, patted, Visualizer, it's, FIPFX Organizations: Finance, DB, Fidelity
The rapidly aging population is expected to be a boon for senior housing. About 50% of those in assisted living facilities, for example, are aged 85 and older, while 31% are between 75 and 84 years old, according to the National Center for Assisted Living . Bumpy road but 'attractive valuation' ahead Right now, senior housing is seeing favorable demographics, as well as improving fundamentals and margins, said NIC's Clapp. There's a point where for each incremental bed added in senior housing, you might not need another worker in the building, he explained. Other names tied to the trend include Ensign and Omega Healthcare Investors , which both provide skilled nursing and senior living services, as well as Brookdale Senior Living , an operator of senior living communities with just a $755 million market cap.
Persons: Wells, Connor Siversky, Welltower, Ventas, Raymond James, Jonathan Hughes, You've, they've, Caroline Clapp, Greg Kuhl, Janus Henderson, We've, we've, Kuhl, Siversky, NIC's Clapp, Clapp, there's, Stocks, Janus Henderson's Kuhl, that's, Hughes, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: . Census, National Center for, National Investment Center, Seniors Housing, Care, U.S . Census Bureau, NIC, Investors, Estate Fund, Omega Healthcare Investors Locations: U.S, NOI
CNN —HSBC is halving the size of its global headquarters and moving out of Canary Wharf, a business district built in the abandoned docklands of east London in the 1980s. It follows similar moves by other big companies to get rid of expensive office space in cities around the world. The bank has long been a mainstay of Canary Wharf, where it occupies 1.1 million square feet of office space. HSBC is a key tenant in Canary Wharf, and its planned departure raises questions about whether other companies will also think about leaving. Canary Wharf Group, which manages real estate in the area, declined to comment when asked about the matter Monday.
Persons: San Francisco —, Knight Frank, Noel Quinn, Quinn, Jones Lang, Elizabeth, — Hanna Ziady Organizations: CNN, HSBC, Europe’s, Panorama St, City of, San, Canary, Canary Wharf Group, Lloyds, Standard Chartered, Barclays, BCS, Jones Locations: Canary Wharf, London, Panorama, City, City of London, Asia, Wharf, Canada, San Francisco, Canary, Jones Lang LaSalle .
The New York Times Audio app includes podcasts, narrated articles from the newsroom and other publishers, as well as exclusive new shows — including this one — which we’re making available to readers for a limited time. Download the New York Times Audio app here. As authoritarian nations like China and Russia try to assert their power, President Biden has said the United States is fighting a global battle to save democracy. So why is America building relationships with countries that are far from democratic utopias? On this episode of “Matter of Opinion,” the hosts talk about global realignment with sometimes imperfect allies and how risky this moment could be.
Persons: Biden Organizations: New York Times Locations: China, Russia, United States, America
But for those willing to shell out, tourism and research company OceanGate Expeditions offered eight-day missions that allow customers to explore the Titanic more than 13,000 feet below the ocean’s surface using five-seat carbon fiber and titanium underwater vessels. OceanGate launched successful expeditions to the Titanic wreckage in 2021 and 2022. Geoffrey Kent, the founder of luxury travel company Abercrombie & Kent, has recently planned trips for clients including race car driving on ice in Finland and orangutan trekking in Borneo. OceanGate CEO Stockton Rush has also repeatedly claimed that existing submersible regulations needlessly prioritize passenger safety over commercial innovation. But it also hasn’t innovated or grown—because they have all these regulations,” Rush said in an interview that appeared in a June 2019 issue of Smithsonian Magazine.
Persons: , , Nick D’Annunzio, TARA, OceanGate, Stockton Rush, Andrea Doria, Bill Sikes, Rush, Knight Frank, , Gideon Kimbrell, Everest’s, Richard Branson, Jeff Bezos, Geoffrey Kent, Sal Mercogliano, hasn’t, It’s, ” Rush, David Pogue, don’t, “ Don’t, ” It’s, D’Annunzio, Ann Epting, Epting, Brad Lendon, Parija Kavilanz Organizations: CNN, OceanGate Expeditions, US Coast Guard, Expeditions, Stockton Rush, Rescuers, OceanGate Foundation, Virgin Galactic, Virgin, VSS Unity, Origin, Elon Musk’s SpaceX, Abercrombie, Kent, Campbell University, Smithsonian Magazine, CBS, Federal Aviation Administration, SpaceX, FAA, Kent’s, Abercrombie & Kent Locations: Everett , Washington, Boston, Stockton, Finland, Borneo, North Carolina, Oman
June 20 (Reuters) - NV5 Global Inc (NVEE.O), a U.S. engineering consultant whose business has taken a hit from its exposure to commercial real estate, is exploring a sale, according to people familiar with the matter. NV5 could decide not to go through with a transaction, the sources added, requesting anonymity because the matter is confidential. This exposure to commercial real estate has weighed on NV5's business and stock price. The company's municipal services business has been negatively affected too, he added. NV5 shares have lost about a fifth of their value since the start of the year, underperforming a 31% rise in the NASDAQ Composite Index.
Persons: NV5, Clark, Dickerson Wright, Wright, David Carnevali, Nick Zieminski Organizations: NV5, Inc, Bock, Global Realty Services, NASDAQ, Thomson Locations: U.S, Hollywood , Florida, NV5, New York
This week, Amazon formally opened the doors of the first part of its new East Coast headquarters, dubbed HQ2, in northern Virginia. It raises the question why Amazon, with its sprawling campus in Seattle and a growing real estate footprint globally, needed to build a second headquarters. HQ2 has some of the same quirks as Amazon's Seattle campus. The towers feature plant-filled terraces and a rooftop urban farm that echoes the feel of the "Spheres," botanical gardenlike workspaces that anchor Amazon's Seattle office. Amazon's HQ2 features some of the same quirks as its Seattle headquarters, like a community banana stand.
Persons: Jeff Bezos, John Schoettler, Schoettler, John, Glenn Youngkin, Tasha Dooley, Bezos, Holly Sullivan, Sullivan, HQ2, wouldn't Organizations: Amazon, Microsoft, Puget, Seattle, Metropolitan Park, Companies, Employees Locations: Coast, Virginia, Arlington, Seattle, Redmond , Washington, HQ2, North America, New York's Long Island City, Crystal City, Arlington , Virginia, Long Island City, Nashville , Tennessee, Bellevue, There's
People say money can't buy happiness. And Barbara Corcoran, star of ABC's "Shark Tank" and real estate entrepreneur, would say those people are absolutely right. "I​​'m not going to use that cliché and say, 'money doesn't buy happiness,' but it's true," Corcoran tells CNBC Make It. To Corcoran, there are two major misconceptions people have about being rich: money brings happiness and money doesn't corrupt relationships. 2: Money doesn't change relationships
Persons: Barbara Corcoran, Corcoran, I've, They're, they're Organizations: CNBC, Corcoran, Corcoran Group, University of Pennsylvania
How to trade it Let's remember the elements of a bubble, as defined by many market historians who have written about such financial market phenomena (myself included). The public increasingly has been buying related tech stocks and associated ETFs, but we have yet to see the single-minded focus of the entire stock buying world come to bear on AI stocks. In 1999 alone, some 456 stocks went public at the height of the internet mania. If there is to be a bubble in AI, it's the early days. Also, "easy money" from the Federal Reserve, a key component of financial frenzies, is not fueling speculation in publicly traded AI shares, or any other asset class for that matter.
Persons: Jaap Arriens, Charles MacKay, John Kenneth Galbraith, Edward Chancellor, Charles Kindleberger, David Faber Organizations: Nurphoto, Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Oracle, Adobe, Fund, Nasdaq, CNBC, Federal Reserve Locations: Sea, Mississippi, England, France
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIvanhoe Cambridge CEO on return to office and commercial real estate stressNathalie Palladitcheff, Ivanhoe Cambridge CEO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the state of the global real estate market and corporate real estate stress.
Persons: Nathalie Palladitcheff Organizations: Ivanhoe Cambridge
Boston-based Tomorrow.io began as a software company that offered hyper-precise, street-level weather forecasting. The company recently launched Tomorrow-R1, what it claims is the world's first commercially built weather-radar satellite, via SpaceX's Falcon 9 rocket. Tomorrow.io used proprietary software not just to predict but also to help companies plan for severe weather. The new radar satellite, however, will offer a much broader scope of data. Elkabetz said the company intends to launch more than two dozen of its own satellites over the next two years.
Still, it is also true that a lot of disruption occurred in between the events that prompted the "apocalypse" chatter and the firmer ground where retail real estate stands today. Recalling how these events played out is helpful in understanding the situation facing U.S. office properties. For office buildings, the pandemic knocked things out of whack. The same idea is being discussed for office buildings, but one-size will not fit all. There may be no surprise that there has been a huge drop-off in the number of loans with office properties as collateral since March.
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