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Gold defies strength in dollar, yields as global rates peak
  + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold firmed on Friday despite pressure from a stronger U.S. dollar and bond yields, as investors assessed major central banks' decisions to stand pat on interest rates as a signal of imminent global economic pain. Spot gold was up 0.3% to $1,924.45 per ounce by 0551 GMT, having logged its biggest daily drop since Sept. 5 on Thursday. "The markets looked at central banks and said you're not stopping hikes because inflation is beaten, you're stopping because you're worried that global growth is about to stop," said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive. The dollar stood near a six-month peak on the prospects of higher-for-longer U.S. rates, while benchmark 10-year Treasury yields climbed a 16-year high and global equities eyed their worst week in a month. Investors traditionally buy gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, but higher rates tend to weigh on non-interest-paying bullion.
Persons: Ilya Spivak, Silver Organizations: Investors, U.S . Federal Reserve, of Locations: U.S
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Interest rate-sensitive megacaps, led by Amazon.com (AMZN.O), Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O), Apple Inc (AAPL.O) and Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) dragged the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to their lowest closing levels since June. "It gives people another chance to say that the lag time of higher rates – which we're just starting to feel – might really bite." All 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 lost nearly 1% or more, with real estate stocks (.SPLRCR) suffering its biggest one-day percentage drop since March. The S&P 500 posted three new 52-week highs and 29 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 22 new highs and 373 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, dampening, Thomas Martin, we're, , Martin, Rupert Murdoch, Stephen Culp, Ankika Biswas, Shristi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, FedEx, Broadcom, Google, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Amazon.com, Nvidia Corp, Apple Inc, Inc, UAW, Dow Jones, . Semiconductor, SOX, Klaviyo Inc, Arm Holdings, Fox Corp, News Corp, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Atlanta, Philadelphia, New York, Bengaluru
Global central banks unite in "higher for longer" credo
  + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( Mark John | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
The so-called "higher for longer" mantra is now the official stance of the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England, as well as being echoed by monetary policy-makers from Oslo to Tapei. U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers had a similar message on Wednesday. Turkey's central bank confirmed its hawkish turn while in Asia, Taiwan's central bank flagged continued tight policy. Reuters Graphics"TIPPING POINT"Belgian central bank chief and ECB board member Pierre Wunsch - an early voice urging tougher central bank action to counter inflation from end-2021 - said on Thursday that monetary policy was now at the right level. That said, the prospect that global interest rates are pretty close to peak will be of huge relief to emerging economies suffering from heavy debt servicing loads.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Ann, BoE, Andrew Bailey, Pierre Wunsch, Wunsch, COVID lockdowns, Jerome, Powell, Krishna Guha, Howard Schneider, Balazs Koranyi, Catherine Evans Organizations: European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Kansas City Federal, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, U.S . Federal, Swiss National Bank, South African Reserve Bank, People's Bank of, Reuters, ECB, Reuters Global Markets, Economics, Sterling, Swiss, United, Thomson Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Central, Oslo, Tapei, Europe, Norway, Sweden, Asia, People's Bank of China, Belgian, United States, Ukraine, Washington, Frankfurt, London, Stockholm, Zurich, Ankara
For Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who spoke to the press after the two-day session ended, "Resetting market expectations about real rates was his most important mission," Colas said. But this week's meeting indicated that Fed officials expect rates to stay higher for longer. The thinking there is that if inflation moves lower, the Fed won't need to keep nominal rates as high because real rates will be rising. "But, until one or both of those things happen, higher real rates are the Fed's strategy to tame inflation," Colas said. "This tells us that current equity market churn is unlikely to end until bond markets have settled out."
Persons: wasn't, Nicholas Colas, Jerome Powell, Colas, Krishna Guha, Claudia Sahm, Guha, Powell, Powell's, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Mericle, Goldman doesn't, Mericle, DataTrek's Colas Organizations: DataTrek Research, Companies, Evercore ISI, U.S ., Fed
Sept 19 (Reuters) - Bitcoin isn't the only asset experiencing a late summer slump. It has shrunk by almost a tenth this year, standing at $124.4 billion as of Sept. 14. A jump in the dollar index on interest rate hikes last year was accompanied by a big rise in stablecoin volumes, he added. Yet all is not equal: Dollar-pegged Tether, the biggest stablecoin, is bucking the losing trend. Reporting by Hannah Lang in Washington; Editing by Michelle Price and Pravin CharOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: James Butterfill, CoinGecko, Paolo Ardoino, Paxos, USDC, TerraUSD, Dante Disparte, it's, Hannah Lang, Michelle Price Organizations: U.S ., New York Department of Financial Services, U.S, Silicon, Bank —, Thomson, Reuters Locations: South America, Central Asia, U.S, Washington
Sept 14 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The global policy picture, however, could be a lot clearer on Thursday when the European Central Bank delivers its latest rate decision. The Asian and Pacific economic data calendar has a few top-tier releases lined up for Thursday, including Australian unemployment, Japanese machinery orders, Indian wholesale inflation and Indian trade. Annual wholesale inflation in India is expected to be negative for a fifth straight month but continue moving further away from July's 4% deflation. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: Reserve, European Central Bank, Reuters, hawkish Bank of Japan, Apple, Commission, Wednesday, Thomson Locations: U.S, India, July's, China, Beijing, Australia, Japan
CNN —Travelers looking to rent an apartment for a few days in New York City will find slimmer pickings now that city officials have started enforcing new rules cracking down on short-term rentals. Airbnb has called the rules a “de facto ban” on short-term rentals (STRs) that will hurt hosts and the tourism economy. The requirements for approval are strict and follow laws that pre-date the new registration rules. Hanson said that long-term average hotel occupancy in New York City is between 80% and 85%, well above the national average between 62% and 67%. Thousands of listings across various booking sites will be affected as the new registration rules are enforced.
Persons: Airbnb, , Christian Klossner, Andrew Lichtenstein, ” Theo Yedinsky, Bjorn Hanson, Jonathan M, Hanson, ” Hanson, ” Airbnb Organizations: CNN, Travelers, NYC’s, Special, Expedia, New York, Tisch Center of Hospitality, New York University, isn’t, Marriott, Hilton, CNN Travel, Local Locations: New York, , York, New York City, “ New York
As a congressman in 1994, Richardson visited reclusive communist-ruled North Korea to discuss a nuclear accord struck by Clinton. As Richardson was traveling to the country, North Korea shot down a U.S. military helicopter that had entered its territory, killing one pilot and capturing the other. Richardson stayed for weeks to negotiate, flying home with the dead pilot's remains while the surviving pilot was released soon thereafter. In 1996, Richardson negotiated the release of an American named Evan Hunziker, jailed on spy charges in North Korea. Richardson later attended a prep school in Massachusetts, where he became a star baseball pitcher with dreams of a professional career.
Persons: New Mexico Bill Richardson, Gus Ruelas, Bill Richardson, Richardson, Mickey Bergman, Bergman, Bill Clinton, you've, You've, Barack Obama, Obama, Danny Fenster, Clinton, Evan Hunziker, Saddam Hussein, Fidel Castro, William Blaine Richardson, Will Dunham, Lucia Mutikani, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: University of Southern California's Schwarzenegger Institute for State, Global, REUTERS, Rights, New, Richardson Center, U.S, Richardson, Democratic, U.S . House, Representatives, United Nations, Foreign Policy, Cuban, Citibank, Tufts University, State Department, Thomson Locations: New Mexico, Los Angeles , California, U.S, Chatham , Massachusetts, Mexican, American, United States, North Korea, Myanmar, Sudan, Iraq, Iran, Cuba, New Hampshire, Iowa, Korean, Kuwait, Iraqi, Miami, Pasadena , California, Mexico City, Oaxaca, Massachusetts, Washington
An electronic board shows Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes, at the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China October 25, 2022. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 28 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. As the week gets underway, asset markets across Asia yet again will be dominated by key economic indicators, market- and growth-supportive policy steps and diplomatic signals from China. The Asian market headwinds are strong and clear - financial conditions are tightening sharply, in large part due to the steady rise in U.S. Treasury yields. According to Goldman Sachs's financial conditions indexes, global, emerging market and Chinese financial conditions last week hit their tightest levels this year.
Persons: Aly, Jamie McGeever, Jackson, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Gina Raimondo, Goldman, Fed's MIchael Barr, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, China Securities Regulatory Commission, . Commerce, Treasury, Higher, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Asia, India, Indonesia, Vietnam, Beijing, Japan, U.S, Australia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPowell's tone was hawkish but his comments were very moderate, says Evercore ISI's Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI head of global policy, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' with reaction to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments at Jackson Hole.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore, Jerome Powell's, Jackson
If the Federal Reserve's main policy goal these days is to tighten financial conditions, then it should be pretty close to achieving its goals, according to an Evercore ISI analysis. In fact, the Fed recently set up its own measure — the Financial Conditions Impulse on Growth , or FCI-G. "The Fed will have to consider the tightening in financial conditions when setting rates in coming months, including the decision whether to hike in September." "Our base is that the Fed will not raise rates further and developments in financial variables reinforce our call." Market pricing is largely in line with the call that the Fed halts its hiking cycle after raising rates 11 times since March 2022.
Persons: Evervore, Krishna Guha, Guha, Marco Casiraghi Organizations: Federal, U.S ., Fed, FCI, Evercore ISI, Treasury, Traders, Group, Citi, Cleveland
Dollar retreats from 2-month high, yuan turns higher
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Samuel Indyk | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar index , which measures the currency against six other majors, was last down 0.2% at 103.18, but still close to Friday's two-month high of 103.68. Ten-year yields rose 14 basis points last week and touched a 10-month high of 4.328%, within a whisker of a 15-year high. The offshore yuan had fallen to the weak side of 7.3 per dollar before firming after Reuters reported that state-owned Chinese banks were seen actively mopping up offshore yuan liquidity, a move that raised the cost of shorting the currency. China's currency reversed course in the offshore market and was last up 0.2% to 7.2909 per dollar. Sterling rose slightly to $1.2756 and the Swiss franc was just above a six-week low hit last week at 0.8793 per dollar.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jackson, Michael Brown, I'm, Brown, Jerome Powell, Vishnu Varathan, Adam Cole, Sterling, Samuel Indyk, Tom Westbrook, Kirsten Donovan, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Trader, Wall, Treasury, Mizuho Bank, New Zealand, Authorities, RBC Capital Markets, Reuters, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Europe, Wyoming, Singapore, China, London
Dollar gains intact as China disappoints, traders eye Jackson Hole
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yuan slid to the weak side of 7.3 per dollar despite a firm fixing of its trading range by the central bank. The Antipodean currencies often function as a liquid proxy for the yuan owing to the region's exports to China. Like the yuan, the yen is also on intervention-watch, having fallen to levels around which authorities stepped in last year. The Swiss franc was just above a six-week low made last week at 0.8817 per dollar. "Two things that may come across are: decades of ultra-low rates backed by ultra-low inflation may be over," said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank in Singapore.
Persons: Jackson, Sterling, Jerome Powell, Vishnu Varathan Organizations: Federal, Treasury, New Zealand, Australian, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Swiss, Mizuho Bank Locations: China, London, New York, Wyoming, Singapore
Samsung's 11-year-old investment in ASML has been hugely lucrative. Over the past decade, ASML shares have delivered a whopping 25% annualised return to its shareholders. It's part of Samsung's ambitious $230 billion commitment to bolster South Korea's semiconductor and high-tech sectors over the next 20 years. Moreover, Samsung's cash is probably held in overseas affiliates and subsidiaries across different jurisdictions; its annual report lists hundreds of entities abroad. That should help ease Samsung’s vexing cash bind, but the company may still need to come up with some creative funding choices.
Persons: Taiwan's TSMC, ASML, Antony Currie, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Samsung Electronics, Korean Economic, Intel, Samsung, HK, SFA Engineering, Apple, Korea Economic, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, KS, ASML, United States, Korea
A child plays the game "Honour of Kings" by Tencent at home in Dezhou, Shandong province, China July 2, 2017. REUTERS/Stringer Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG, Aug 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - China's economic woes have gifted Tencent (0700.HK) an unexpected silver lining. Revenue rose a decent 11% to 149 billion yuan ($20.4 billion), but fell slightly short of the average analyst forecast compiled by Refinitiv. That compares to the 151.7 billion yuan average analyst forecast of 21 analysts compiled by Refinitiv. Adjusted net profit, after excluding certain one-time and non-cash items, rose 33% to 37.5 billion yuan.
Persons: Tencent, Stringer, HONG KONG, Refinitiv, James Mitchell, pare, Alibaba, Antony Currie, Thomas Shum Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, HK, Revenue, Tencent, Citi, Refinitiv, Thomson Locations: Dezhou, Shandong province, China, HONG, Tencent, Hong Kong
A child plays the game "Honour of Kings" by Tencent at home in Dezhou, Shandong province, China July 2, 2017. REUTERS/Stringer Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG, Aug 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - China's economic woes have gifted Tencent (0700.HK) an unexpected silver lining. Revenue rose a decent 11% to 149 billion yuan ($20.4 billion), but fell slightly short of the average analyst forecast compiled by Refinitiv. That compares to the 151.7 billion yuan average analyst forecast of 21 analysts compiled by Refinitiv. Adjusted net profit, after excluding certain one-time and non-cash items, rose 33% to 37.5 billion yuan.
Persons: Tencent, Stringer, HONG KONG, Refinitiv, James Mitchell, pare, Alibaba, Antony Currie, Thomas Shum Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, HK, Revenue, Tencent, Citi, Refinitiv, Thomson Locations: Dezhou, Shandong province, China, HONG, Tencent, Hong Kong
HONG KONG, Aug 15 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Hong Kong has lost some permanent appeal. The introduction of two sets of approvals was mandated three decades ago when foreign investors wanted additional protections to invest in the first wave of Chinese firms listing in Hong Kong. China's domestic securities laws have since developed and global investors can now directly buy shares onshore through various channels. That could lead to more onshore shares being issued relative to offshore shares, further diluting minority owners in Hong Kong. In 2020, Hong Kong shareholders vetoed the Bank of Zhengzhou's proposal to avoid such an outcome.
Persons: Hong Kong, HKEX, Una Galani, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Hong Kong Exchanges, HK, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Asia Securities Industry, Financial Markets Association, Corporate Governance Association, China Life Insurance, Wall, Hong, Bank of, Companies, Global, Hang Seng China Enterprise Index, Graphics Global, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Hong Kong, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong
HONG KONG, Aug 3 (Reuters Breakingviews) - South Korea’s dealmaking skeletons are back to haunt. Paul Singer's Elliott opposed a $9 billion union eight years ago of Samsung C&T (028260.KS) and Chiel Industries. South Korea’s successful prosecution of Lee, Park and a former minister that oversaw NPS, provided cause for Elliott to demand payback. Elliott sued in 2018 and the Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague in June awarded the U.S. fund over $100 million. Far from being the end of it though, President Yoon Suk Yeol’s government is contesting that award in a British arbitration court.
Persons: Samsung's Lee, Paul Singer's Elliott, Elliott, Jay Y, Lee, Park Geun, Yoon Suk, Hague, Yoon, Taiwan's TSMC, Una Galani, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Korea Inc, Samsung, Chiel Industries, National Pension Service, NPS, U.S ., Korea, Trade, Global, Samsung Electronics, Apple, Tokyo, Korea's Ministry, Justice, Elliott Investment, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, U.S, Hague, Seoul, Korea, China, Beijing, Washington, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, United States
But the benign reaction across markets to the BOJ's latest "yield curve control" tweak suggests BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda may have timed this one just right. In those eight months global inflation has topped out and is now clearly falling, and major central banks are closer to "peak rates." Barclays analysts reckon the BOJ will scrap YCC in October, which would be "sufficiently justified" by Japan's strengthening inflation dynamics. BOJ GETS MARKET BUY-INWhenever the BOJ decides to start offloading its JGBs, there will be plenty of pent-up demand. But the early signs suggest investors believe the BOJ has timed it right and can, to coin a phrase, achieve its own "soft landing."
Persons: Issei Kato, Kazuo Ueda, Government Bond, Jamie McGeever, Paul Simao Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Government, Reuters, HSBC, Barclays, International Monetary Fund, U.S . Federal, European Central Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, ORLANDO, Florida
E-commerce app Temu is taking on the larger Shein by selling cheap Chinese-made goods to Western consumers. The company owned by $119 billion PDD (PDD.O) is more like an online dollar store. Moreover, Temu offers generous discounts and free or subsidised shipping to users. Parent company PDD, whose Pinduoduo e-commerce unit competes with Alibaba (9988.HK) and JD.com (9618.HK) in China, discloses little about its overseas business. Temu offers everything from home appliances to electronics to toys, making it more of a direct competitor to Amazon.
Persons: Shein, Breakingviews, Temu, PDD, Bernstein, Peter Thal Larsen, Aditya Munjuluru, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, United States, Wall Street, Temu, Bloomberg, HK, PDD, Thomson, & $ Locations: HONG KONG, Western, China, U.S, United States, Shein
Police agencies across Maryland are using drones from DJI, a Chinese technology company. DJI was added to a US investment blacklist after officials say they sold drones to Chinese police for Uyghur surveillance. Several law enforcement agencies across Maryland are using drones made by a Chinese company that was added to a US investment blacklist in 2020 and is banned in four states. Maryland police are using drones from DJI, a Chinese technology company that dominates the global drone market, local station WBAL TV reported. Furthermore, officials with Maryland state police say they have not found another supplier that lives up to the quality of DJI drones.
Persons: DJI, Adam Welsh —, DJI —, WBAL, Michael Wilsinski Organizations: Morning, US Treasury Department, Washington Post, United Nations Locations: Maryland, Chinese, Xinjiang, Arkansas, United States
LONDON/SYDNEY, July 31 (Reuters) - Commercial real estate investors and lenders are slowly confronting an ugly question - if people never again shop in malls or work in offices the way they did before the pandemic, how safe are the fortunes they piled into bricks and mortar? WALL OF DEBTGlobal banks hold about half of the $6 trillion outstanding commercial real estate debt, Moody's Investors Service said in June, with the largest share maturing in 2023-2026. U.S. banks revealed spiralling losses from property in their first half figures and warned of more to come. Borrowers in the UK real estate holding & development category were 4% more likely to default. But the whale could be commercial real estate in the U.S.".
Persons: Richard Murphy, Jeffrey Sherman, Charles, Henry Monchau, Bank Syz, Jones Lang LaSalle, Savills, JLL, Dhara Ranasinghe, Huw Jones, Clare Jim, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Employers, UK's Sheffield University, Reuters, Investors, Moody's Investors Service, Fed, Federal, Bank, Suisse, Washington D.C, HSBC, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, London, Los Angeles and New York, U.S, New York, Beijing, San Francisco, Tokyo, Washington, Shanghai, North America, Hong Kong
Taking in to account everything from stock prices to measures of borrowing costs for the government, businesses and households, financial conditions matter to monetary policy. On Friday, the Federal Reserve reported that its Financial Conditions Impulse on Growth for June moved to 0.458, from May’s 0.603 reading. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs’ closely watched Financial Conditions Index has been easing fairly steadily since May. An explicit goal has been to tighten financial conditions. Even as many key aspects of the economy have remained strong in the face of higher rates, inflation pressures are easing.
Persons: Benson Durham, Piper Sandler, Goldman Sachs ’, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Piper Sandler's Durham, Michael S, Dan Burns, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Derby, Thomson Locations: Chicago, New York
“In the age of AI, where data is the new oil, China is the new Saudi Arabia”, venture capitalist Lee Kai-fu declared in 2018. Washington may soon tighten export restrictions to China by targeting AI semiconductors, according to the Wall Street Journal. A slowing economy and brutal price war in the fiercely competitive cloud market will only make monetising AI products harder. China’s AI moment has arrived, only with far less promise than initially hoped. China wants to become a world leader in AI by 2030, according to a 2017 roadmap released by the State Council.
Persons: Lee Kai, OpenAI's, Xi Jinping, Goldman Sachs, Robin Li, Baidu’s, Bernstein, SenseTime, Xi, Una Galani, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Saudi Arabia ”, OpenAI's ChatGPT, European Union, Baidu, HK, Nasdaq, Washington, Wall Street, Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft, CloudWalk Technology, Cyberspace Administration, China, State, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, Republic, Saudi Arabia, United States, Beijing, York, Shanghai
Risk factors usually flag uncertainties in how Chinese laws are interpreted and enforced as well as the government's "substantial oversight and influence" over businesses. Chinese regulators want those boilerplate disclosures dropped; if not, offshore listing applications could be denied approval. Trying to appease both American and Chinese regulators will get tougher. On Friday, Chinese regulators held a rare meeting with KKR (KKR.N), Blackstone (BX.N), Carlyle (CG.O) and others to ensure they can continue to invest in the country. China's new offshore listing rules came into effect on March 31.
Persons: Didi Global, underwriters Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Carlyle, Una Galani, Thomas Shum Organizations: Reuters, Global, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, underwriters, JPMorgan, KKR, Blackstone, Bloomberg, Communist Party, China Securities Regulatory Commission, SEC, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Beijing, Hong Kong, United States, New York, China
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