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Gold and crude oil rallied, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped. On the economic data front, job openings rose unexpectedly in August. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Traders elected to crowd into safe-haven assets like gold as Iran launched a barrage of missiles toward Israel on Tuesday. AdvertisementAs oil rallied, so did gold and the bond market, with investors piling into risk-off assets.
Persons: , Helima Croft, Quincy Krosby, Bill Adams Organizations: Treasury, Service, Traders, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Global, LPL, Labor, Comerica Bank Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon
US electric demand is rising, fueled by everything from data centers to electrified transportation, says BofA. AdvertisementWith resources flooding into infrastructure and tech, US electric demand is charging up. Sempra will rise 13% based on the bank's $94 share target. Northwestern Energy could similarly jump over 13% to reach a $65 price target, Bofa says. TXNM Energy is set to increase 10% from current levels, reaching a price target of $48 per share.
Persons: , Entergy, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Bank of America, Northwestern Energy, Pinnacle, TXNM Locations: Texas, Montana
Stocks and bond yields fell on Tuesday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Crude oil rose more than 3% on speculation that regional conflict will hit production. Gold prices climbed as investors flocked to safe-haven assets. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy .
Persons: Organizations: Service, Israel, White, Traders, Treasury, East Locations: Lebanon, Iran, Israel, West Coasts
China is at risk of falling into a prolonged period of deflation, Yale economist Stephen Roach says. The country's monetary stimulus blitz was a move in the right direction, Roach said in an FT op-ed. The two missing pieces are fiscal support and structural reform, Roach wrote in a new op-ed for the Financial Times. AdvertisementAccording to Roach, China's projected GDP rate of 4% over the next five years virtually mirrors Tokyo's situation 30 years ago. China now needs to do the same with fiscal stimulus.
Persons: Stephen Roach, Roach, , China's, Beijing's hesitancy, Paul Krugman, Krugman Organizations: Yale, Service, Financial Times, Communist Party's Locations: China, Beijing, Japan
China's bond traders are piling into the safe-haven asset despite recent stimulus efforts. The 30-year government bond yield hit its lowest level since 2005 last week and fell again Monday. AdvertisementWhile Chinese stocks have roared on Beijing's stimulus jolt, the country's bond market suggests there's lingering skepticism. But the bond market seemed less convinced, with the 30-year government bond yield falling the next day to close to its lowest level since 2005. Investors may be reacting to the widely held view that despite the size and scope of China's stimulus moves, they still might not be enough.
Persons: , Stocks, it's Organizations: Bank of America, Service, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China, CNY1.85tn
On PBS, Jamie Dimon described the Buffett Rule as a good idea for clamping down on US debt. AdvertisementJPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has put forth a solution to unrestrained US debt: Tax the rich at the same rate as middle-class people, or at a higher rate. It earned its name from the billionaire investor Warren Buffett, who famously criticized the fact that his secretary paid a higher tax rate than he did. If debt remains unchecked amid high interest rates, the government will face higher borrowing costs. AdvertisementOtherwise, higher borrowing costs mean Washington will have less to spend on social initiatives.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Buffett, , Dimon, Warren Buffett, Peter G Organizations: PBS, Service, Congressional, Peterson, Democrats, Republicans Locations: Washington
AdvertisementUS financial firms' interest in China was on its last legs, but a new stimulus package has some investors excited again. The immediate impact of China's $114 billion package, which includes cutting interest rates and reducing the amount of money banks need to keep in reserve, has been big. Traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade , signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." Our annual list of Wall Street rising stars is here. According to a new report from The Wall Street Journal, executives attempted to woo the AI researcher back before rescinding the offer.
Persons: , Andres Martinez Casares, Alyssa Powell, Linette Lopez isn't, Linette, Jon Hicks, that's, David Tepper, He's, Tepper, Pan Gongsheng, BI's Filip De Mott, Wall, Natalie Ammari, Crypto, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Marc Piasecki, Tyler Le, who's, OpenAI execs, Ilya Sutskever, it's, Tara Anand, aren't, Jerome Powell, Ryan Routh, El Chapo, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Amanda Yen, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Traders, Bank of China, bros, Trump, Getty, Houston Chronicle, Hearst Newspapers, Elon, Wall Street Journal, Netflix, Longshoremen's Association, National Association for Business Locations: China, New York, London, Chicago
AdvertisementThe large-cap real estate sector benefits from Wall Street's massive investment in data centers, a necessary infrastructure component of the artificial intelligence buildout. AdvertisementIn Subramanian's view, part of the appeal of value sectors is the high dividends they offer. As the Fed's cutting cycle pulls down short-term yields, money market investors will search for new sources of income. She previously noted that dividend yields are especially alluring in real estate. Since 2008, real estate dividends has doubled the proportion of high-quality market cap.
Persons: they're, Subramanian, , Savita Subramanian, BofA's, BofA, Scott Chronert Organizations: Bank of America, Service, CNBC, Bloomberg Locations: China, Beijing
But the past week's stimulus blitz did not offer fiscal support to China's discouraged consumers. AdvertisementChina's latest stimulus blitz offers everything but one key fix: new incentives to revive consumers. While Tuesday's stimulus package didn't address fiscal support, Chinese officials appear to be getting around to it. Even if China commits to bigger fiscal support in the near term, it could be too late to change things this year, Huang said. For instance, Chinese consumers are staying away from new housing projects even as China has introduced looser mortgage rates and downpayment rules.
Persons: , Liz Young Thomas, Tianlei Huang, Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Investment, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Reuters, Communist, Barclays, Bank of America Locations: China, Beijing
A major Trump Media shareholder has sold nearly all of its company shares, an SEC filing showed. It's the first known sale of Trump Media shares following a September 19 lock-up expiry. AdvertisementTrump Media shareholder United Atlantic Ventures has sold nearly all of its stake in the company, amounting to nearly 11 million shares. The sale is the first known case of company insiders ditching Trump Media shares now that restrictions have expired. AdvertisementGiven how volatile the Trump Media stock is, UAV may have received anywhere between $128 million and $170 million for its sale.
Persons: , Andrew Litinsky, Wes Moss, Donald Trump's, Moss, Trump, DJT Organizations: Trump Media, SEC, United Atlantic Ventures, Service, Social, UAV, Trump
Russia's central bank says inflation is rising while the nation's economy cools. These are the key ingredients for stagflation, a scenario that's harder to combat than a recession. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAs Russia's GDP and inflation figures move in the wrong direction, the worst-case scenario for any economy looms large over Moscow.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business Locations: Moscow
Why oil prices have plunged 3% today
  + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Saudi Arabia is committed to boosting oil output in December, the FT reported. The kingdom is resigning itself to a period a lower prices, sources told the FT.Oil markets spiraled on the news, falling as much as 4% on Thursday. AdvertisementA report that Saudi Arabia would ditch its unofficial crude price target sent crude oil prices sharply lower on Thursday. In essence, the kingdom is giving in to lower prices, FT sources said. The eastern-based faction has committed to reopening the country's oil fields in response, a move that could bring more crude output back online.
Persons: , Brent Organizations: FT ., Service, Financial Times, West Texas Intermediate, Saudi, Bloomberg Locations: Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Iraq, Kazakhstan, China, Libya
US home prices hit yet another record high
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +1 min
US home prices hit another record in July, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index. Prices rose 5% nationwide, a slowdown from prior months. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . New data from Case-Shiller showed home prices rose 5% in July from a year before, marking another record high.
Persons: , Brian D, Luke Organizations: Service, Business
Beijing's latest housing-support measures won't fix China's property crisis, JPMorgan wrote. The nation announced this week that it will reduce mortgage rates and downpayment rules. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementChina's all-out stimulus package will fail to meaningfully reverse ongoing chaos in the nation's property market, JPMorgan said in new research. Though Beijing committed on Tuesday to reduce mortgage rates and downpayment rules, the bank said these efforts will not bolster housing consumption as hoped.
Persons: , Haibin Zhu Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Business Locations: Beijing, China
Investors are parsing through data and Fed commentary to determine future rate cuts. On Tuesday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman explained why she dissented against a deep cut in September. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! Both indexes closed at all-time highs on Monday amid rising outlooks that the Federal Reserve will deliver another half-point interest rate cut in November. To better understand where monetary policy may be headed after the Fed's first rate cut in four years, investors are tuning into Fed commentary and parsing through incoming data.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, , dovish, Michelle Bowman's, Bowman Organizations: Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal Reserve, Fed, Richmond, Here's Locations: Kentucky
A weak consumer confidence reading caused indexes to briefly drop early morning. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Investors reacted with dismay after the latest consumer sentiment reading, with confidence among US consumers logging its largest one-month drop in more than three years. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index came in at 98.7 for September, well below consensus estimates of a 104 reading. Advertisement"It's never good to see consumer confidence fall this much.
Persons: , Jamie Cox, Jensen Huang Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Harris Financial, Federal Locations: China
The stock market could jump as much as 10% by the year-end, Citi's stock-trading strategy head said. He said the economy only needs to avoid a recession, which will ultimately depend on the labor market. And that is now a plausible scenario," the firm's head of US equity-trading strategy told Bloomberg TV on Tuesday. If this is achieved, stocks can surge another 5% to 10% by the end of this year, Kaiser said. But though the Fed emphasized that it was not forecasting a looming downturn during its latest policy meeting, it all hinges on incoming labor market data, he noted.
Persons: Stuart Kaiser, , Citi's Stuart Kaiser, Kaiser, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve
Nvidia stock closed 4% higher on a report that CEO Jensen Huang is done selling shares. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementNvidia shares climbed as much as 5% on Tuesday as Barron's reported CEO Jensen Huang is done with planned sales of stock. According to an SEC filing from September 18th, the executive holds over 75 million worth of Nvidia common stock; that's aside from another 785 million held through various trusts and partnerships.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Huang, Organizations: Nvidia, Service, SEC, Microsoft
Morgan Stanley is now looking ahead at the perfect mixture of conditions for a strong fourth quarter. The firm is squarely focused on an improvement in the labor market driving the best possible returns. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve nailed the rate-cut scenario that Morgan Stanley called its best-case result leading into the decision. Heading into last week's announcement, Morgan Stanley was looking for a 50-basis-point cut that didn't also stoke worries about unnecessary growth. To be sure, job conditions are not the only thing Morgan Stanley is watching.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, , didn't, Mike Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Federal, Service, Reserve, stoke, Bank of America, Conference Board
In a Monday-morning appearance on CNBC, Evercore founder Roger Altman praised the Fed for delivering "nearly perfect" economic conditions, citing strength in equities, profits, and employment. Only inflation — which still hovers above the Fed's 2% target rate — is holding off an official soft landing declaration, he said. AdvertisementAlthough there are some concerns rate cuts will reignite inflation, Altman is expecting to see a slowdown this week when new consumption-expenditures data is released. Related stories"I think what essentially happened was that the Fed saw the path on inflation steadily downward as more certain than the path on labor markets, a little more uncertainty about labor markets," Altman said. "So it took a stronger step to fortify labor markets, and went for 50."
Persons: , Roger Altman, Powell, Altman, Larry Summers Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business, Fed
Value-investing legend Bill Nygren says the S&P 500 lacks the diversification it once had. Nygren mentioned Corebridge Financial as a top pick that checks all his boxes. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 isn't as risk-free as investors might think, says Oakmark Funds' Bill Nygren, who lamented the S&P 500's growing lack of diversification. "It's become so important to us that we invest with companies that are taking matters into their own hands and using excess capital to repurchase their own stock," Nygren told the outlet on Monday. One stock he pinpointed that fits the bill is Corebridge Financial.
Persons: Bill Nygren, Nygren, , CNBC he's, It's Organizations: Service, CNBC
The Fed's interest rate cut will ease financing conditions for homebuilders, analysts told BI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's rate cut will surely impact the housing market, but its effect likely won't affect arguably the most important part of the equation: keeping affordability tight. But how this translates into a much-needed supply boost is a different story, and there are factors the Fed cut won't fix. Lingering uncertaintiesAdvertisementFor instance, Nanayakkara-Skillington noted that material pricing, from drywall to steel mill products, has weighed heavily on homebuilders since the pandemic.
Persons: , it'll, NAHB's, Skillington, NAHB, Michael Neal, Fitch, Neal Organizations: Service, National Association of Home Builders, Urban Institute senior, Fitch
Read previewThe presidential election is running on promises that just don't hold up, according to billionaire investor Howard Marks. "Like me, you've undoubtedly noticed that politicians ranging from former President Trump and Vice President Harris to down-ballot candidates are back to making promises that ignore economic reality," Marks wrote in his latest memo. AdvertisementDonald Trump: Tariffs and taxesIn Trump's case, plans for higher tariffs on virtually all US imports are equivalent to a price hike on average American consumers, Marks said. As these disappear, consumers should prepare for higher prices. Kamala Harris: Price gouging and housingMarks' primary criticism aimed at Harris' anti-price gouging policy.
Persons: , Howard Marks, you've, Trump, Harris, Marks, Donald Trump, they'll, Kamala Harris, Price, Marks isn't Organizations: Service, Business, Oaktree
The Federal Reserve cut rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday. Inflation is no longer the central focus on the Federal Reserve, they said. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve has finally delivered its first interest-rate cut in four years — and a jumbo-sized one at that. While inflation has long been seen as the Fed's sole mandate, it's also starting to show signs of concern for the job market.
Persons: , it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Reserve, Business
That contrasts with what some people saw as a "silver tsunami" of boomers giving up their houses. The lack of available homes could exacerbate an affordability crisis even as mortgage rates fall. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementFrom falling mortgage rates to slipping home prices, things are starting to look a bit more upbeat for younger homebuyers.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Business
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