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☆ How Europe can avoid a trade war in a 2nd Trump term
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

They say the EU will need to employ some retaliatory measures but has to be careful not to escalate. AdvertisementEconomists and analysts said that in order to avoid a trade war, policymakers in Europe need to employ a specific playbook to mitigate the economic drag while keeping trade tensions in check. Kenningham says the EU will likely hit the US with targeted tariffs on certain industries, rather than an across-the-board action. Related storiesTrade deals to avoid tariffsKenningham said EU policymakers could also negotiate a deal to avoid US tariffs. Advertisement"There is a possibility that if the strategy toward Europe is very aggressive, Europeans may change attitudes toward the Transatlantic Alliance.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Trump, Joachim Nagel, Emmanuel Macron, Mario Draghi, Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, Harley, Carlo Bastasin, Bastasin Organizations: Biden, Italian, Capital Economics, European Union, EU, Trade, European, Brookings, Trump, Transatlantic Alliance Locations: Europe, China, European, EU, Trump's, Ukraine, Germany

☆ Russia pumping gas via Ukraine but volumes to Austria cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Last week, Gazprom accused Ukraine of withholding gas supplies destined for Moldova and threatened to reduce those flows, although Ukraine denied the accusation. Russian gas giant Gazprom continued to pump steady volumes of gas to Europe via Ukraine on Saturday, but supplies to Austrian energy company OMV were halted hours after Vienna said Russia had given notice it would cut off flows. Gazprom said it would send 42.4 million cubic metres of gas to Europe via Ukraine on Saturday, the same volume as on Friday. Flows into Slovakia from Ukraine were stable but nominations for flows to Austria from Slovakia were around 16% below averages seen this month, data from transmission system operator Eustream showed. OMV usually accounts for around 40% of Russian gas flows via Ukraine, or some 17 mcm per day.

Persons: Moscow, OMV, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Vladimir Putin, Donald Organizations: Gazprom Locations: Ukraine, Moldova, Europe, Austrian, Vienna, Russia, Germany, Soviet, Kyiv, Slovakia, Czech Republic, Austria

☆ Dollar eyes weekly gain on slower Fed easing, inflation outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The euro was in turn on track for its worst weekly performance in seven months with a fall of 1.75%. Sterling traded 0.02% lower at $1.2666 and was similarly set to lose 2% for the week, its worst weekly fall since January 2023. Higher trade tariffs and tighter immigration under President-elect Trump's incoming administration are projected to fuel inflation, potentially slowing the Fed's easing cycle longer term. The yen was last 0.2% lower at 156.57 per dollar, on track for a weekly decline of 2.5%. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar eased 0.06% to $0.6450 and was set to lose just over 2% for the week, its worst weekly performance in four months.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Sterling, Jerome Powell, Carol Kong, CBA's, bitcoin, Joshua Chu Organizations: Traders, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S ., Treasury, New Zealand, Hong Kong Web3 Association Locations: U.S, CBA's Kong

☆ UK economy ekes out 0.1% growth in the third quarter, below expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bank of England in the City of London on 6th November 2024 in London, United Kingdom. The City of London is a city, ceremonial county and local government district that contains the primary central business district CBD of London. The City of London is widely referred to simply as the City is also colloquially known as the Square Mile. Gross domestic product came in at 0.1% in the three months to September compared to the previous quarter. That's below the 0.2% growth expected by economists polled by Reuters and follows an expansion of 0.5% in the second quarter of the year.

Persons: Mike Kemp, Rachel Reeves, Thiru, Donald Trump, Trump's, Andrew Bailey, I'm Organizations: of England, Getty, Gross, Reuters, National Statistics, Bank of England's, Bank of England, Labour, Finance, Institute of Chartered Accountants, U.S Locations: City of London, London, United Kingdom, The City, U.K, That's, Britain, England, Wales

☆ One of the big postelection gainers could soon stall out, Fundstrat warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The U.S. dollar could soon see a sharp reversal from its postelection gains, according to Fundstrat. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency's performance against six rival currencies, including the euro and the yen, is up more than 3% since President-elect Donald Trump secured a second term. That move comes as investors assess the potential macroeconomic policies likely coming in a second Trump administration, particularly on tariffs and trade. .DXY YTD mountain Dollar index in 2024 But Mark Newton, technical strategist at Fundstrat, thinks the greenback "stalls out and reverses in the weeks ahead." Bearish seasonal trends: the dollar has "historically reversed sharp rallies into November, and December stands out as the most bearish month of the year" for the dollar index, the strategist said.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Mark Newton, Newton, Piper Sandler, Campbell Organizations: U.S, Trump Locations: China

☆ India’s central bank chief warns growing risk of global inflation returning
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Shaktikanta Das, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), during an event at the Peterson Institute of Economics (PIIE) during the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Oct. 25, 2024. Central banks have managed to engineer a soft landing through a period of "continual and unprecedented shocks," but there is still a risk of global inflation returning and of economic growth slowing down, according to India's central bank chief. Speaking Thursday in Mumbai, India, at CNBC-TV18's Global Leadership Summit, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das said monetary policy from global central banks had largely "performed well" in recent years despite conflicts, geopolitical tensions and higher volatility. "A soft landing has been ensured but risks of inflation — as I speak to you here today — risks of inflation coming back and growth slowing down do remain," Das said. Das pointed to several contradictions in global markets to underline his view, including the appreciation of the U.S. dollar, even as the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates.

Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Das Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Peterson Institute of Economics, International Monetary Fund, Bank, CNBC, Leadership, U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Washington , DC, Central, Mumbai, India, London

☆ Europe could try to stop — or get around — damaging Trump tariffs
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Critics of the proposed tariffs say the policy could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers. That leaves Asia and Europe having to quickly consider ways to mitigate the future impact of export tariffs, and whether to retaliate or to try to negotiate a get-out deal. But economists also say that the EU could try to use the carrot instead of the stick with the U.S., suggesting there are three other ways Europe might try to stop, limit or avoid Trump's likely tariff policy altogether. German Chancellor Angela Merkel deliberates with U.S. President Donald Trump during the G-7 summit in Canada on June 9, 2018. Jesco Denzel | Bundesregierung | Getty ImagesWhether there Europe can reach consensus on how or whether to do a deal with Trump is debateable, however.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Reuters Donald Trump's, Europe scrabbling, Trump, Flach, Donald Trump, Jean, Claude Juncker, Andrew Kenningham, Didier Lebrun, Photonews, Mujtaba Rahman, Ursula von der, Von der, Joe Biden, Kenningham, Angela Merkel deliberates, Denzel, Carsten Brzeski, Emmanuel Macron, Angela Merkel, There's Organizations: Reuters, Trump, ING, Germany's, International Economics, Germany, U.S, EU, Capital Economics, European Union, Getty, Eurasia Group, Sustainable Steel, US Trade, Technology Council, Bundesregierung Locations: Upper Bay, New York, U.S, Europe, EU, China, Asia, Germany, Ukraine, Canada, France

☆ Dollar braces for U.S. inflation data and several Fed speakers
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar started in a cautious mood on Monday as markets braced for U.S. inflation data and a throng of Federal Reserve speakers this week, while the yuan nursed a hangover from Beijing's latest underwhelming stimulus package. The dollar started in a cautious mood on Monday as markets braced for U.S. inflation data and a throng of Federal Reserve speakers this week, while the yuan nursed a hangover from Beijing's latest underwhelming stimulus package. Reports on retail sales and industrial output due Friday should show whether Beijing's various attempts at stimulus are having any real effect on demand. The dollar stood at 7.1970 yuan , having jumped 0.7% on Friday, and looks set to again test the 7.2000 barrier. The dollar index was a fraction firmer at 105.00, after gaining 0.6% last week mainly against the euro.

Persons: Olaf Scholz, Donald Trump's, Michael Feroli, Jerome Powell, cryptocurrencies Organizations: Federal Reserve, New, U.S, Fed Locations: China, New Zealand

☆ Europe's banks brace for tougher competition under Trump 2.0
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

JPMorgan , Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley shares all soared while the STOXX Europe 600 Banks index is down more than 1% for the week. "If U.S. banks get the expected policy support, they could ramp up loan volumes and optimize capital in ways that Europe's banks just can't match right now," Materazzi said. Since early 2010, European banking shares have fallen 10%, while U.S. lenders have more than tripled. The European Central Bank has estimated that euro zone banks' return on equity fluctuates around 5%, against 10% in the U.S., linking it to higher U.S. fee income and legacy non-performing loans with which European banks still grapple. A wave of deregulation should give European banks some leverage to lobby for easing the rules in Europe, which are already more onerous, one banking executive told Reuters.

Persons: Boris Roessler, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, David Materazzi, Materazzi, Karin Keller, Sutter, Rachel Reeves, Trump Organizations: Getty, JPMorgan, Galileo, European Central Bank, Trump . Swiss, Reuters, The Locations: Frankfurt, U.S, Britain, Basel, Italy, USA, Europe, The U.S

☆ Dollar winds down after volatile week, China NPC in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar further unwound some of its sharp gains from earlier in the week as traders closed out profitable bets on a Trump presidency after his election victory. That helped lift sterling back toward the $1.30 mark, while the yen similarly got some respite and hovered closer to the 153 per dollar level. Sterling last traded $1.2983, recovering from its fall to a roughly three-month low earlier in the week. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar ticked up 0.03% to 104.44, on track to gain just above 0.1% for the week. "All eyes are on what may emerge from China's policy toolkit after the conclusion of the NPC standing committee meeting."

Persons: Donald Trump's, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Kerry Craig, Trump, Wells, Jay Bryson, Sterling, David Chao Organizations: White, National People's Congress, Trump, Federal Reserve, Morgan Asset Management, Traders, Bank of England, NPC, New Zealand, Asia Pacific, European Union Locations: U.S, Beijing, Germany, Wells Fargo, Japan, Invesco

The three remaining ministers of the Free Democrats resigned in response, leading to the downfall of the government coalition. Scholz is expected to lead the country with a minority government, but the opposition is calling for an immediate no-confidence vote. Tobias Schwarz / AFP - Getty Images fileScholz’s left-leaning Social Democrats will now effectively lead a minority government with the remaining coalition partner, the environmentalist Greens. Lindner’s pro-business Free Democrats had rejected tax increases or changes to Germany’s strict self-imposed limits on running up debt. Scholz’s Social Democrats and the Greens wanted to see major state investment and rejected the Free Democrats’ proposals to cut welfare programs.

Persons: Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Christian Lindner, Scholz, Volker Wissing, Lindner, Frank, Walter Steinmeier, ” Scholz, Olaf Scholz, Tobias Schwarz, Friedrich Merz, Merz, “, ”, ” Merz, Achim Wambach, Donald Trump Organizations: Free Democrats, German Finance, AFP, Getty, Social Democrats, Greens, Christian Democrats, German Bundestag, Scholz’s Social Democrats, Leibniz Center for European Economic Research Locations: Berlin, German, Germany, “, Europe

☆ Goldman Sachs slashes European growth forecasts on Trump win
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

London CNN —President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed protectionist policies, including hefty tariffs, will hurt Europe’s economic standing — leaving crisis-hit Germany particularly vulnerable, Goldman Sachs predicts. Goldman Sachs expects gross domestic product across the 20 countries that use the euro to expand 0.8% next year, down from the 1.1% it forecast previously. Goldman Sachs’ central expectation is for “a more limited set of tariffs on European economies,” targeting primarily their auto exports. Goldman Sachs now expects the German economy to grow only 0.5% next year because of trade tensions, just over half the 0.9% growth it forecast previously. “For European businesses, Trump’s return to the White House implies considerable trade policy risks and geopolitical uncertainty,” Berenberg chief economist Holger Schmieding wrote in a note Thursday.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Goldman Sachs, Trump’s, Trump, ”, Holger Schmieding, “ Organizations: London CNN —, NATO, Republican, European Union, Volkswagen, VW Locations: Germany, United States, Europe, Ukraine, China

Ukrainian soldiers told BI of their hopes, fears, and uncertainty over what Trump's victory means. Trump's election win could have a huge impact on the war in Ukraine. AdvertisementUkrainian soldiers holding back Russia's invasion woke up to an uncertain future after Donald Trump's presidential election victory on Wednesday. Olga Bigar, a Ukrainian officer, also had some optimism about Trump: "I really like his determination and steadfastness in making decisions," she told BI. AdvertisementA US veteran fighting in Ukraine, who goes by the call sign Jackie, told BI that helping Ukraine continues to be in the US' best interest.

Persons: —, Donald Trump's, Vladimir Putin, Trump, Oleh, Dan Rice, Donald Trump, Jabin, Rice, Holubenko, Putin, Kim Jong Un, Kim, JD Vance, Diego Herrera Carcedo, Vitaliy, Joe Biden's, Oleksandr Pleskov, Kamala Harris, Pleskov, Olga Bigar, Bigar, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Bogdan Zelenyi, Jackie Organizations: Service, Wednesday, Ukraine, Trump, Ukraine's Territorial Defense Forces, US, Washington, American University Kyiv, Republicans, Congress, Anadolu Agency, Getty Images Trump, Bradley, Getty, Former US Army, Kyiv Independent, Putin Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kyiv, West Palm Beach , Florida, Europe, Ukrainian, UN

☆ CBDC comes about when consumers move from cash to digital payment: ECB's Ulrich Bindseil
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCBDC comes about when consumers move from cash to digital payment: ECB's Ulrich BindseilUlrich Bindseil from European Central Bank talks about the future prospects of digital Euro.

Persons: ECB's Ulrich Bindseil Ulrich Bindseil Organizations: European Central Bank

☆ Digital Euro should complement cash, not replace it: Luxembourg Finance Minister
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDigital Euro should complement cash, not replace it: Luxembourg Finance MinisterGilles Roth, Luexmbourg's Finance Minister discusses his position on the digital Euro, blockchain

Persons: Gilles Roth Organizations: Luexmbourg's Locations: Luxembourg

CNN —Germany’s governing coalition has collapsed after disagreements over the country’s weak economy led Chancellor Olaf Scholz to sack his finance minister. The coalition has been at loggerheads over how to revive Germany’s economy. What problems is Germany’s economy facing? Germany’s economy, Europe’s largest, shrank last year for the first time since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. Party leader Alice Weidel has already hailed the coalition’s collapse as a “liberation” for Germany.

Persons: Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Christian Lindner’s, Scholz, Donald Trump, Europe’s, Angela Merkel, Gerhard Schröder, Merkel, Christian Lindner, Christoph Soeder, Friedrich Merz, Lindner, Liesa Johannssen, “ Lindner, ” Lindner, ”, Carsten Brzeski, “, Robert Habeck, Annegret Hilse, Merz, Alice Weidel, ” Weidel Organizations: CNN, Free Democrats Party, Scholz’s Social Democratic Party, SPD, Green Party, CDU, Trump, Social Democratic Party, Greens, ING, Volkswagen, CDU –, Christian Democratic Union, Party Locations: Germany, Germany’s, Nazi, Thuringia, France, Italy, Ukraine, China, ”

☆ Firm dollar keeps peers on back foot ahead of BOE, Fed decisions
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Trump's policies on restricting illegal immigration, enacting new tariffs, lowering taxes and deregulation may boost growth and inflation and crimp the Fed's ability to cut rates. Following the election, markets now see about a 70% chance the Fed will also cut rates next month, down from 77% on Tuesday, according to the CME Group's Fed Watch Tool. Anything less than a "dovish cut" from the Fed on Thursday could see traders trim back bets for a December cut and the dollar and yields rising higher, Simpson added. The yen was up 0.22% at 154.30 per dollar, after touching 154.7 on Wednesday, its lowest against the greenback since July 30. The Riksbank is seen easing by 50 basis points, and the Norges Bank is set to stay on hold.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, Trump, Treasuries, Simpson Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Trump, White, Index, Treasury, Fed, Republicans, CME, Bank of England, Norges Bank, Bitcoin Locations: U.S, Index ., cryptocurrencies

☆ UniCredit and Commerzbank square off with target hikes amid takeover battle
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Ruxandra Iordache | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The logo of German bank Commerzbank seen on a branch office near the Commerzbank Tower in Frankfurt. Daniel Roland | Afp | Getty ImagesTwo months since UniCredit played its opening move to woo German lender Commerzbank , the lenders flaunted their financial strength as one of Europe's largest banking mergers still hangs in balance. Both banks reported third-quarter results on Wednesday, with UniCredit posting an 8% year-on-year hike in net profit to 2.5 billion euros ($2.25 billion), compared with a Reuters-reported 2.27-billion euro forecast. It raised its full-year net profit guidance to above 9 billion euros, from a previous outlook of 8.5 billion euros. When the Italian lender showed its hand by using derivatives to build a potential 21% stake in Commerzbank, the German lender appointed a new CEO and sharpened its financial targets.

Persons: Daniel Roland, UniCredit, Commerzbank, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, Bettina Orlopp, Orlopp, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, waylay, Let's, hadn't, Andrea Orcel, CNBC's Charlotte Reed Organizations: Afp, Getty, Reuters, CNBC, Wednesday, German Ministry of Finance Locations: Frankfurt, Europe, Commerzbank, Berlin

☆ Dollar climbs as Trump makes early gains in exit polls; Bitcoin rises
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The dollar rallied broadly on Wednesday as early exit polls in the extremely close U.S. presidential election appeared to give an edge to Republican Donald Trump. The dollar rallied broadly on Wednesday as early exit polls in the extremely close U.S. presidential election appeared to give an edge to Republican Donald Trump. Trump won eight states in the election while Harris captured three states and Washington, D.C., Edison Research projected. The early results were as anticipated, with the contest expected to come down to seven swing states. The dollar index — which measures the currency against six major peers including the euro and yen — rose 0.76% to 104.14 as of 0048 GMT.

Persons: Republican Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Bitcoin, James Kniveton Organizations: Republican, Edison Research, D.C, U.S ., Trump Locations: Georgia, Washington, Mexico, China

☆ Trump vow on new trade war sends shockwaves through supply chain, importers scramble to move up orders
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The global tariff threat is fueling calls for frontloading from all around the globe," he said. But they added it is based on the belief is tariffs increase the costs of trade, in turn lowering demand and volumes. "Shipping is a global industry feeding on international trade, so another Trump presidency is a step in the wrong direction," said Sand. "The knee-jerk reaction from U.S. shippers will be to frontload imports before Trump is able to impose his new tariffs." Logistics companies serving the Mexico to U.S. cross-border trade tell CNBC new Trump tariffs can have a negative impact on historic cross-border truck trade.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Paul Brashier, Brashier, Swift, Ben Slupecki, Morningstar, Lars Jensen, Jensen, Peter Sand, Slupecki, Jefferies, Omar Nokta, Robert Lighthizer, Piper Sandler, Matthew Rubel, USTR, Obama, Peter Boockvar, Stephen Lamar, Lamar, Matthew Shay, Elect Trump Organizations: ITS Logistics, Trump, frontloading, Trucking, Hunt Transport Services, Schneider National, Norfolk Southern, CSX, Republican, U.S ., Maersk, . Shipping, Vespucci, CNBC, Shipping, U.S . Trade, Committee, Trade, White, Bleakley Financial, American Apparel and Footwear Association, National Retail Federation, Congress, Biden, Logistics Locations: United States, U.S, Maersk, East Coast, Mexico

☆ Volatility, higher rates, and surging bitcoin. Here's what analysts are saying about Trump's victory.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Will Martin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Analysts expect Trump's economic policies to increase inflation, and push interest rates higher. AdvertisementDonald Trump's victory is set to herald a new era of higher inflation, tighter monetary policy, and surging cryptocurrencies, analysts said in initial reactions to the presidential election result. The economic impact of Trump's second term is likely to be volatile, said Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK-based Quilter Investments. However, such cuts could be shortlived if Trump's trade policies, which include proposed near-universal tariffs, prove to be inflationary as expected. Bitcoin could hit $100,000One asset that analysts expect to surge in the wake of Trump's victory is bitcoin, which rallied sharply early on Wednesday morning.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Donald Trump's, Lindsay James, Elon Musk, Thomas Matthews, Trump, Russ Mould, AJ Bell Organizations: Service, Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Rabobank, White

☆ Trump's presidency will hurt Europe's economic growth amid renewed trade tensions, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Europe could take a hit to GDP in a second Trump presidency, Goldman Sachs analysts say. Europe could face a big hit to economic growth as trade tensions increase, Goldman Sachs analysts said. The analysts downgraded their growth forecasts across the region, down to 0.8% from their previous forecast of 1.1% for 2025. AdvertisementThe analysts point to renewed trade tensions fueled by Trump's proposal for sweeping tariffs on all US imports. More significant than the actual tariff increases, though, will be the trade policy uncertainty that comes with them, the analysts say.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Trump, Joachim Nagel, Christine Lagarde Organizations: Trump, Service, EU, NATO Locations: Europe, TPU, Germany, Sweden, Switzerland, China, Ukraine

☆ Dow set to surge more than 1,200 points as Trump is reelected
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, ”, Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai

☆ U.S. dollar is little changed Tuesday night as presidential election winds down
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The U.S. dollar was little changed against other global currencies on Tuesday evening as voting began to wind down in the presidential election. The foreign exchange market could be one of the first areas of the financial system to react as election results roll in. Traders generally expect that a strong night for former President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress could push the greenback higher. The dollar has generally strengthened in the runup to Election Day. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose more than 3% in October, though it has dipped in recent days.

Persons: David Zervos, Donald Trump, Paul Christopher Organizations: U.S, greenback, U.S ., Jefferies, Traders, Republicans, Wells, Investment Institute, ICE Locations: Mexican, U.S

☆ How European investors can hedge against a Trump win, according to Barclays
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors in Europe who are concerned about former President Donald Trump's potential return to the White House have several options at their disposal, according to Barclays strategists. European markets are already trading with a risk premium ahead of a potential Trump win, and the investment bank believes the full impact may not be reflected in current valuations. "The possibility to bypass Congress increases the risk of tariff implementation in the event of a Trump win," said Barclays strategists led by Emmanuel Cau in a note to clients on Oct. 23. "Compared to a status quo scenario under a Harris win, a Trump win may have broader and more discriminant implications for markets." Under such a scenario, Barclays strategists warned that investors would have nowhere to hide anywhere.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Emmanuel Cau, Harris, Kamala Harris, DAX, Trump, isn't, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Trump, White Locations: Europe, China, U.S, Russia, Ukraine

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