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☆ Why some investors don’t mind waiting longer for rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Stocks and bonds both sold off as investors painfully recalibrated their expectations for five to six interest rate cuts this year to align more with the Fed’s projected three cuts. For example, Yardeni Research has pushed back against the idea that immediate rate cuts are necessary to avoid the Fed overshooting on slowing the economy. Stocks wouldn’t crater even if cuts were off the table completely in 2024, according to Bank of America, despite what Tuesday’s losses suggest. “No cuts could stymie a full-fledged recovery in more credit-sensitive areas,” wrote BofA strategists in a note on February 9. That means regional lenders will no longer have that crutch if they run into trouble after the program’s expiration on March 11.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ”, Ed Yardeni, it’s, Marc Dizard, Allison Morrow, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Antoni Trenchev, ” Read, Alicia Wallace, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, Traders, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, US Treasury, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Yardeni Research, Bank of America, PNC Asset Management Group, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Liberty Street Economics, , New York Fed Locations: New York, pare, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, , New

☆ Americans with low credit scores use ‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ more often
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Americans who are already facing some financial difficulties are more intensive users of “Buy Now, Pay Later” offerings, with the majority of them tapping the short-term installment payment programs five or more times a year, according to new research released Wednesday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Researchers found that almost 60% of financially fragile consumers have used Buy Now, Pay Later five or more times a year, with nearly 30% of them conducting 10 or more of the BNPL transactions annually. “More-fragile households tend to use the service to make frequent, relatively small, purchases that they might have trouble affording otherwise,” researchers wrote in the post. Buy Now, Pay Later offerings have exploded in use and availability in recent years, allowing people to make (often short-term) installment payments on furniture, travel, concert tickets, food delivery and even the grocery store. )”Some of the greatest downside risks for consumers are when they stack multiple BNPL loans and then pay for those programs with a credit card, economists and researchers have previously told CNN.

Persons: ”, Wells Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Liberty Street Economics, , New York Fed, Federal Reserve, CNN Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, , New

☆ The Fed probably won’t cut rates in March. Here’s what that means for markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-11 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Investors now expect that the Fed will begin easing back rates in May or June, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Before the Bell: What does the Fed’s signal that it won’t cut rates in March mean for markets? I think what’s important for the markets themselves is the fact that the Fed has signaled they’re going to cut rates. So, they’re going to cut rates at some point this year, probably May or June is going to be the first cut that we get. There’s a lot of areas where your earnings … start to reaccelerate higher, and that’s a good thing.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Bell, Matt Orton, I’ve, We’re, it’s, Matt Egan, Read, Price Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Investors, Fed, Raymond James Investment Management, The Conference, Conference, Avis Budget Group, Hasbro, Cola, Molson Coors, The, Labor Statistics, Kraft, Heinz, The Commerce Department, National Association of Home Builders, University of Michigan Locations: New York, Wells Fargo

☆ This week will make it clearer if the Fed will cut interest rates in March
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-28 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Washington, DC CNN —A slew of economic news this week will make it much clearer if the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March. The Labor Department is due to release four crucial assessments of America’s job market, gauging labor demand, wage growth, productivity and hiring. Wages and the Fed on Wednesday: The day after, the Labor Department releases its Employment Cost Index for the fourth quarter, a comprehensive measure of employers’ labor costs. The US Labor Department releases December data on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Labor Department releases its Employment Cost Index for the fourth quarter.

Persons: that’s, ”, Christian Scherrmann, Jerome Powell, ” Michael Feroli, “, ” Feroli, Powell, Alicia Wallace, Joe Brusuelas, Jerome Powell’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, DWS, Labor, Survey, Fed, Employers, PCE, Federal, Commerce Department, RSM, Whirlpool, Microsoft, UBS, HCA Healthcare, General Motors, Cleveland Cliffs, Mondelez International, JetBlue Airways, Global, US Labor Department, Board, National Bureau of Statistics, Novo Nordisk, Mastercard, Novartis, Boeing, ADP, Nasdaq, Nomura Holdings, Apple, Shell, Honeywell, Deutsche Bank, Clorox, Quest Diagnostics, United States Steel, Bank of England, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, Exxon Mobil, AbbVie, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Marathon, Cleveland, Chevron

But Iowa caucusgoers and New Hampshire primary voters also exposed noticeable chinks in Trump’s electoral armor and worrying general election headwinds that he and his campaign will face in the coming months. Yes, Trump handily won a head-to-head matchup in a New Hampshire primary contest that wasn’t limited to just Republicans. “Twenty percent of GOP voters will not vote for him,” the Republican member told CNN. Visibly miffed by Haley’s conviction to continue on after New Hampshire, Trump spent the evening lashing out at her online and trashing her appearance in his victory speech. Of the 30% of New Hampshire GOP primary voters who named immigration as their top concern, nearly 8 in 10 voted for Trump, according to CNN’s exit poll.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, –, Ronna McDaniel –, McDaniel, “, ” McDaniel, Chris Sununu, ” Sununu, you’re, ”, Biden, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Trump’s, Reagan, ” DeSantis, Steve Deace, “ He’s, ” Trump, Sen, Tim Scott, Trey Gowdy, ” Jim McLaughlin, pollsters, Brett Loyd, they’ve, ” Loyd, “ They’ve, CNN’s Manu Raju, Donald Trump’s Organizations: CNN, Iowa, Advisers, Trump, Democratic, South Carolina Gov, Republicans, New, White, GOP, Republican, Republican National, Fox News, RNC, New Hampshire Gov, Biden, Hill, “, Florida Gov, South Carolina Rep, Fox, New Hampshire GOP, University of Michigan Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, Florida, ‘, Trump, Arizona, Pennsylvania

☆ Premarket stocks: Crypto fans got what they wanted. So why is bitcoin falling?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

So, why is the price of bitcoin falling, even after investors got what they wanted? Part of the reason is likely a “buy the rumor, sell the news” mentality, according to Antoni Trenchev, co-founder of crypto lender Nexo. Interestingly, bitcoin ETF activity actually shows net buying. Greyscale’s fund is the largest bitcoin ETF, holding roughly $20 billion in assets. ETFs hold just a small portion of the bitcoin that’s traded, says Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.

Persons: cryptocurrencies, bitcoin, Antoni Trenchev, that’s, Eric Balchunas, ”, Bitcoin, FTX, “ We’re, Craig Erlam, vibing, Bryan Mena, Read, It’s, Janet Yellen, Matt Egan, Yellen, Biden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, US Securities and Exchange, SEC, Investors, Bloomberg Intelligence, CNN, Economic, of Chicago, Treasury Locations: New York, America, Chicago, Covid

☆ Your 401(k), gas prices and homes: 3 surprising reasons to be happy — for now
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Consumer sentiment is surging. A tough housing market and exorbitant child care costs continue to bedevil budgets, but the inflation pendulum is finally swinging in the other direction. A slowly improving US housing marketAmerica’s housing market is still tough, but there are some subtle signs of improvement. Builder confidence surged in January, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, climbing seven points to a reading of 44. It’s unclear when the Fed will begin to cut rates, and how many cuts there will ultimately be this year, but rate cuts in general mean even lower mortgage rates, further improving affordability.

Persons: vibing, aren’t, it’s, Anna Rathbun, ”, isn’t, bode, Joe Biden’s, ” James McCann, Biden, Alicia Huey Organizations: Washington CNN, Big Tech, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CBIZ Investment Advisory Services, CNN, Fed, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, of Michigan’s, AAA, National Association of Home Builders Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Premarket stocks: January’s turnaround could be a good omen for the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

New York (CNN) — US stocks rallied powerfully last week after a topsy-turvy start to the month. History indicates that if the market can cling to those gains, that could bode well for the rest of the year. But last week, all three major indexes turned positive for the year as tech stocks led the broader market higher. The January barometer, introduced in the Stock Trader’s Almanac, states that however stocks perform during January, their year-end performance will follow suit. That is good news for the 85 million homeowning households that enjoyed further gains in housing wealth, said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR.

Persons: turvy, bode, Bell, Anna Rathbun, we’re, it’s, we’ve, Bryan Mena, ” Joanne Hsu, Anna Bahney, Lawrence Yun, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CBIZ Investment Advisory Services, The University of Michigan’s, National Association of Realtors Locations: New York

☆ Americans are feeling much better about the economy thanks to slowing inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans’ attitudes on the economy are improving substantially as inflation slows. The University of Michigan’s latest consumer survey showed that sentiment improved greatly this month, soaring 13% from December, according to a preliminary reading released Friday. The university’s latest survey showed that US consumers’ expectations for inflation rates in the year ahead and over the next five years also improved. Americans still have some concernsWhile Friday’s survey showed that consumers are feeling some much needed relief, there are still lots of pain points for many Americans. In addition to high prices, Americans continue to grapple with an impenetrable housing market, persistent income inequality, and rising debt, prompting some to think that the so-called “American Dream” is broken.

Persons: ” Joanne Hsu Organizations: DC CNN, University of Michigan’s Locations: Washington

☆ Consumer sentiment surges while inflation outlook dips, University of Michigan survey shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The University of Michigan's Consumer Survey of Consumers showed a reading of 78.8 for January, its highest level since July 2021 and up 21.4% from a year ago. On a two-month basis, sentiment showed its largest increase since 1991, said Joanne Hsu, the survey's director. "Consumer views were supported by confidence that inflation has turned a corner and strengthening income expectations," Hsu said. Along with the improved outlook on general conditions, survey respondents displayed more confidence that inflation is coming down. The outlook for the inflation rate a year from now declined to 2.9%, down from 3.1% in December for the lowest reading since December 2020.

Persons: Joanne Hsu, Hsu, Andrew Hunter, Stocks Organizations: Veteran, The Department of Labor, The University of Michigan's Consumer Survey, Consumers, Republicans, Federal Reserve, AAA, Capital Economics Locations: Long Beach , California

☆ The biggest risks US businesses face in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

But, while businesses have plenty to be grateful for and much to be optimistic about, the coast isn’t clear. Last week, surveys from the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) and The Conference Board detailed the biggest risks that businesses are currently worried about. Here are some of the biggest risks for American businesses in 2024. Those financial stresses can reduce the willingness of banks to lend to others businesses and also to consumers,” she said. Bank earnings look really bad this quarter.

Persons: there’s, “, John Maynard Keynes, ”, ” Dana Peterson, Bill Dunkelberg, ” Peterson, ” Suzanne Clark, We’re, Mike Johnson, Chuck Schumer, Fitch, Clark, JPMorgan Chase, Nicole Goodkind, Krystal Hur, FactSet, Martin Luther King Jr, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Federal, National Federation of Independent Business, Board, US, of Commerce, of American, Conference Board, Conference, CNN, Fed, Corporate, US Chamber of Commerce, chamber’s State of American, AAA, Moody’s Investors Service, US Chamber, Commerce’s, Google, Citigroup, Bank, JPMorgan, FactSet, Revenue, Profit, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Bank of America, FDIC, Citi, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Alcoa, National Statistics, US Commerce Department, US Labor Department, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, Wells, Corporate America, chamber’s State, BlackRock, Amazon, Argentina, Japan

☆ Mortgage rate decline pulls buyers back into the housing market
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-08 | by ( Diana Olick | In Dianaolick | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

watch nowA sharp drop in mortgage interest rates in December may have kickstarted this year's spring housing market early. Optimism about mortgage rates increased sharply in December, according to a monthly consumer survey by Fannie Mae. "This significant shift in consumer expectations comes on the heels of the recent bond market rally," said Palim. "Notably, homeowners and higher-income groups reported greater rate optimism than renters." The average rate on the 30-year fixed has been on a wild ride since the start of the Covid pandemic.

Persons: Fannie Mae, Mark Palim, Ryan Paredes, Ariadna Paredes, Ryan Ratliff, Joe Raedle, Paul Legere Organizations: Max Advance Realty, Getty, . Washington , D.C Locations: Cutler Bay , Florida, . Washington ,

☆ Inflation has created a dark cloud over how everyday Americans view the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-25 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

There's rising hope that monetary policymakers have successfully cooled inflation without tipping the economy into a recession. Yet closely watched survey data from the University of Michigan shows consumer sentiment, while improving, is a far cry from pre-pandemic levels. Inflation vs. the job marketContinued strength in the labor market is something economists expected to sweeten everyday Americans' views of the economy. While the Michigan index compiles questions focused on financial conditions and purchasing power, the Conference Board's more closely gauges one's feelings about the job market. A hot job market can be a double-edged sword for sentiment, Michigan's Hsu noted.

Persons: Scott Olson, Kyle Connolly, Connolly, she's, Joanne Hsu, we're, Hsu, That's, Camelia, Kuhnen, Michigan's Hsu, UNC's Kuhnen, Karen Dynan, Marissa Lyda, Lyda, She's, there's, There's, Harvard's, Dynan, Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque Organizations: Toyota, Facebook, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department, Conference, University of North, U.S . Treasury Department, Walmart, Federal, Committee Locations: Chicago , Illinois, Florida's panhandle, Michigan, University of North Carolina, Harvard, Phoenix, Portland, Kroger, Washington , U.S

☆ Here’s why some bond traders care so much about the US government’s budget deficit nowadays
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-03 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

And as the mountain of debt keeps piling up, and the government’s budget deficit remains massive, some bond traders are now joining politicians in decrying the government’s ever-growing financial obligation. Those bond traders are seemingly up in arms over the government’s gaping budget deficit — something that occurs when the government’s spending outstrips revenues — which currently stands at roughly $67 billion so far for the current fiscal year. For the full 2023 budget year, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that the deficit stood at a staggering $1.5 trillion. How do we manage the budget deficit? Our interest rate team is looking at the 10-year (US Treasury) yield to be closer to 4% than 5% next year.

Persons: ”, Jerome Powell, Bell, Joe Quinlan, It’s, it’s, what’s, You’d, Powell, ” Powell, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Treasury Department, Congressional, Office, Federal, Merrill, Bank of America Private Bank, Treasury, Spelman College, US Labor Department, Institute for Supply Management, US Commerce Department, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, Atlanta

☆ GLP-1 weight loss drug boom to boost energy drink stocks, Lululemon, Stifel says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Further uptake of the blockbuster weight loss drugs rocking the health-care world can bode well for select energy drink makers and fitness-focused retailers, Stifel said. Indeed, Stifel found an additional 21% said they would be interested in the drug if it showed proven results, was widely available and had approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for weight loss specifically. Wegovy was approved to treat weight loss in 2022 and Eli Lilly's Zepbound recently received that same nod . These shifting food and health habits can also affect consumer spending — and stocks tied to specific retailers, Astrachan said. If half of those interested in GLP-1 drugs begin taking them, the firm expects U.S. energy drink consumption could increase about 2%.

Persons: bode, Stifel, Wegovy, Eli Lilly's Zepbound, Mark Astrachan, Astrachan, Atkins, Levi Strauss, Lululemon, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nordisk's Ozempic, U.S . Food, Drug Administration, Monster Beverage, Holdings, Food, BellRing Brands, Brands Locations: Stifel's U.S, U.S

☆ US stocks climb ahead of Thanksgiving as investors weigh lower oil prices and jobless claims
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Jason Ma | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks climbed on Wednesday as Wall Street headed into the Thanksgiving holiday break. Oil prices and weekly jobless claims dropped, and shares of Nvidia after it reported earnings. Bond yields edged up after a consumer survey showed higher inflation expectations. AdvertisementUS stocks climbed on Wednesday as Wall Street eyed the Thanksgiving holiday break amid fresh economic and earnings reports. Bond yields ticked slightly higher after declining earlier in the day as the data could put more pressure on the Fed to keep rates higher for longer.

Persons: — Organizations: Nvidia, Service, University of Michigan, Fed

☆ Small business owners gear up for the biggest shopping weekend of the holiday season
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( Eva Rothenberg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

According to a new American Express survey of small business owners, “55% anticipate Small Business Saturday will make a significant contribution to their overall holiday sales this year.” In a consumer survey conducted by the company in October, half of respondents said they plan to participate in the upcoming Small Business Saturday, and 85% said they anticipated shopping small this holiday season. Over the past 13 years, the company says consumers have reported spending nearly $184 billion during Small Business Saturday. American Express estimated that Small Business Saturday drove nearly $18 billion in consumer spending last year. Donnell Johns, who runs Veterans Growing America, an organization that supports veteran- and military-spouse-owned small businesses, said that Small Business Saturday is valuable because it creates an awareness for shopping small. For Ken Moorman, founder of Jirani Coffeehouse in Manassas, Virginia, Small Business Saturday means an average 10% uptick in sales than a typical Saturday.

Persons: Donnell Johns, We’ve, ”, Ken Moorman, “, Covid, ” Moorman, it’s, ” Elizabeth Rutledge, Isabel Casillas Guzman, “ The, Harris, Bidenomics, Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Amazon, Walmart, American Express, ”, Small, Express, Business Administration, American Express ’, SBA, “ The Biden, Harris Administration, American, Pacific Islanders Locations: New York, Manassas , Virginia, ”

☆ UK retail sales slide again in October in new blow for economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Andy Bruce | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Phil Noble/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 17 (Reuters) - British retail sales volumes fell unexpectedly in October as stretched consumers stayed at home, official data showed on Friday in a new warning sign for the economy. Retail sales volumes dropped 0.3% month-on-month, following a revised 1.1% decline in September that was worse than first estimated, the Office for National Statistics said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast that sales volumes would rise by 0.3% on the month in October. Overall the figures fitted with the darkening outlook for Britain's economy, with economic growth stagnant and strong price pressures now fading, albeit slowly. The figures also showed a small downward revision in retail sales for the third quarter.

Persons: Phil Noble, Spencer, James Davey, William James Our Organizations: Shoppers, REUTERS, National Statistics, Reuters, Investors, Bank of England, Retailers, Britain, Tesco, Thomson Locations: Altrincham, Britain

☆ Why Great G.D.P. Growth Isn’t Good Enough for Bidenomics - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Karen Petrou | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Bidenomics’ mortal enemy isn’t Donald Trump — it’s a reliance on aggregate and average numbers that masks the nature of the economy Americans experience. Although the Fed’s most recent Survey of Consumer Finances showed that wealth inequality has dipped a bit because of recent, generous fiscal spending, income inequality is worse than ever. In a nation this unequal, the income generated by a growing G.D.P. may look robust, but 64 percent of households live paycheck to paycheck from time to time, according to a March consumer survey. These families are barely making it through the week, let alone accumulating the wealth essential for financial resilience and, over time, financial security.

Persons: Donald Trump — Organizations: Consumer Finances, White, Harris Locations: United States

☆ Most Americans think the economy should be in fairly good shape this time next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Consumers’ expectations for inflation one year and five years from now both dropped 0.1 percentage points from the month before, to land at 3.6% and 2.7%, respectively. However, median inflation expectations at the three-year horizon remained unchanged at 3%, a yearly high. On Friday, the University of Michigan’s closely watched consumer survey showed sentiment was waning about the current economic state and that inflation expectations ticked up over the long run. The median expected growth in household income ticked up a tenth of a percentage point to 3.1%. Overall, more respondents to the New York Fed survey said their households were better off than they were this time last year.

Persons: they’ll Organizations: Minneapolis CNN —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Michigan’s, New Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, York

☆ The Fed is terrified Americans could get used to high inflation. It may already be happening.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-12 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Fed officials don’t expect inflation to reach 2% until 2026, according to their latest economic projections released in September. If there’s one thing that would make the Fed quake in its boots, it would be worsening inflation expectations. The keyword there is “timely.”Sticky inflation could possibly “un-anchor” inflation expectations or elicit a consistent deterioration in Americans’ perception on inflation. “The Fed really just wants people to not expect inflation will run at 4% forever.”So what’s kept inflation expectations in check this long? For individuals and married people filing separately, the new federal standard deduction will increase to $14,600, up from $13,850 this year.

Persons: we’ve, Raphael Bostic, “, ” Luke Tilley, ”, Jerome Powell, presser, Powell, Michelle Bowman, Tilley, ” Drew Matus, what’s, Matus, “ They’re, Jeanne Sahadi, Lisa Cook, Phillip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, John Williams, Christopher Waller, Mary Daly Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Michigan’s, Atlanta Fed, Bloomberg, Investment Advisors, CNN, ”, New York Bankers Association, New York Fed, MetLife Investment Management, IRS, Tyson Foods, Depot, US Labor Department, National Federation of Independent Business, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Target, National Statistics, US Commerce Department, Walmart, National Association of Home Builders, San Francisco Fed Locations: Washington, Wilmington, Palm Beach , Florida

☆ Morning Bid: Powell pushback puts cloud 9 beyond reach
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell answers a question during a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. Curiously, there was little change in that basic market pricing after Powell spoke - with end-2024 futures still pointing at a rate of 4.50-4.75% versus the current 5.25-5.50%. But the Treasury market did suffer a bigger jolt - as they were also undermined by poor demand at the latest long bond auction. But others pointed to a ransomware attack on the U.S. arm of The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which reportedly disrupted trades in the Treasury market on Thursday. Whatever the main cause, fresh bond market jitters were enough to knock the S&P500 out of its winning streak and close almost 1% lower.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's pushback, Powell's, Powell, 5bps, Sterling, Janet Yellen, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, REUTERS, Veterans, Commercial Bank of China, Treasury, University of Michigan, Dallas Federal, Atlanta Fed, European Central Bank, Financial Affairs, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, United States, HK, Washington, Beijing, Atlanta

☆ M&S echoes UK peers on early Christmas demand, Ahold looks to loyalty
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( James Davey | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] A logo of food and clothes' retailer Marks and Spencer (M&S) is seen at a branch in London, Britain March 10, 2022. "We are definitely seeing good sales performance in our Christmas ranges," CEO Stuart Machin told reporters after M&S reported much better-than-expected first half results. BIGGER FAMILY CHRISTMASM&S's Machin said research showed about 20% of its customers wanted to stock up on Christmas food products "slightly earlier" this year, with most of those customers planning for a bigger family Christmas. Still, the retail bosses are hopeful of strong demand for food, drinks and presents from now until the end of December. Reporting by James Davey; Editing by Sarah Young, Kate Holton and Emelia Sithole-MatariseOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Marks, Spencer, Toby Melville, Ahold, Stuart Machin, S's Machin, I'm, Machin, James Davey, Sarah Young, Kate Holton, Emelia Organizations: REUTERS, Major, British Retail Consortium, Marks, Tesco, Accenture, Deloitte, PwC, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, Europe, United States

The source, who declined to be named, did not say when production would begin. A general view shows the Tesla logo on the Gigafactory in Gruenheide near Berlin, Germany, August 30, 2022. At the same meeting, he informed staff of plans to build the 25,000-euro vehicle there, the source said. German union IG Metall said in 2022 that Tesla wages were around 20% below those offered under collective bargaining agreements at other carmakers. ($1 = 0.9315 euros)Reporting by Victoria Waldersee, Editing by Rachel More, Bernadette Baum and Emelia Sithole-MatariseOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Musk, Tesla, Annegret, Elon Musk, Europe's, Metall, Victoria Waldersee, Rachel More, Bernadette Baum, Emelia Organizations: Staff, JATO Dynamics, Reuters, Volkswagen, REUTERS, Thomson Locations: BERLIN, Berlin, United States, Europe, China, Gruenheide, Germany

☆ Deal-hungry shoppers will squeeze holiday sales growth to pre-pandemic levels, retail group says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Melissa Repko | In Melissa-Repko | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Over the past decade, holiday sales have grown roughly 5% year over year on average, according to the NRF. Elevated prices are driving the reported sales growth, too. NRF's holiday forecast is not adjusted for inflation, which means the actual sales gains may not be as large as they seem. Despite the NRF's expectations for sales growth, major retailers including Target and Macy's have tempered expectations for the holidays. In the year-ago holiday season, retail sales rose 5.3% compared with 2021 and reached $936.3 billion, according to the NRF.

Persons: Jack Kleinhenz, Matt Shay, Shay, Brian Cornell, they're, Prosper Organizations: National Retail Federation, Bureau, Labor, Target, Walmart, Home Depot

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