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Robinhood is the latest platform to allow traders to wager on the 2024 election. A recent federal court ruling opened the door to wider betting on US elections. For now, only the 2024 election contracts will be available. Until a September federal court ruling, betting on US elections was largely limited to a narrow set of academics and students. Related storiesCFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam has strongly opposed election betting, previously testifying to Congress that allowing such wagers would turn his agency into "an election cop."
Persons: Robinhood, , Donald Trump, Rostin Behnam, Sen, JD Vance, Trump's, Theo Von's, Vance, we've Organizations: Service, Court, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, GOP Locations: New York
This combination of pictures created on October 25, 2024 shows US Vice-President and Democratic Presidential candidate Kamala Harris in Houston, Texas on October 25, 2024 and former US President Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in East Del Valle, Austin, Texas on October 25, 2024. Upstart broker Robinhood is jumping into the prediction betting game, announcing Monday users can begin trading the 2024 presidential election that is eight days away. Shortly after, Interactive Brokers launched various political contracts, including on the election. The election markets have generated some controversary this year with some concerned about light volume allowing the markets to be skewed. For now, only the presidential election contracts will be available to trade on the system.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Robinhood, Kalshi, Polymarket Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Interactive Brokers, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, CFTC, Interactive, Trump Locations: Houston , Texas, East Del Valle, Austin , Texas, U.S
And for the first time since 2020, more farmers expect farmland values to go down rather than up. James Mintert, director of Purdue University's Center for Commercial Agriculture, expects land values to likely flatten in the short term. Higher estate tax exemptions approved under the Trump administration's Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 are set to expire next year. She added: "Let's be clear that the Trump administration resulted in a trade deficit, one of the highest we've ever seen in the history of America." "It also benefits from some of the tax policies that have been supported by the Trump administration [in] the past, including things like accelerated depreciation [and] lower corporate tax rates."
Persons: Farmer, , James Mintert, Mintert, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Michael Langemeier, They're, Langemeier, that's, Kristen Owen, Oppenheimer, That's, Owen, Harris, Trump, Stocks, Owen doesn't, reshoring, Cerity, Jim Lebenthal Organizations: Purdue University, CME, Purdue University's Center, Commercial Agriculture, CNBC, NBC, Purdue, Trump, Biden, Republican, Deere, Caterpillar, Farmers, Management, Democratic, Republicans Locations: U.S, Mexico, China, Green
Gold eyes weekly gains as geopolitical uncertainty boosts appeal
  + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold slipped 0.2% at $2,730.09 per ounce, as of 01:55 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.2% to $2,742.80. "In the next three months, gold may reach $2,800, and from the annual perspective, it can surpass the psychologically important $3,000 barrier." The U.S. asked the Group of Seven allies to consider sanctions on Russian palladium and titanium, Bloomberg News reported. It benefits from its dual role of monetary value and as an industrial metal with growth driven by the breakneck growth of photovoltaics," said Paul Wong, market strategist at Sprott Asset Management.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Julia Khandoshko, Nornickel, Daniel Hynes, Silver, Paul Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Bloomberg News, ANZ, Sprott Asset Management Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, Gaza . U.S, Doha, Gaza, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSOEs and commodity plays are some of the selected opportunities we see in China: Portfolio ManagerBrian Kersmanc from GQG Partners shares that he likes domestic-focused EM markets, such as Brazil and India and underweights China as it works its way through the economic downturn.
Persons: Brian Kersmanc Organizations: GQG Partners Locations: China, Brazil, India
Below, two gold experts share four ways investors can add gold to their portfolios. AdvertisementIn general, physical gold is a less liquid way to own the asset and is quite costly. Synthetic gold ETFs don't hold physical gold, investing instead in gold derivatives such as futures and options. In Milling-Stanley's opinion, investing in mining stocks instead of directly investing in gold erodes some of the metal's portfolio protection, as mining stocks behave more in line with the general equity market. Royalties limit the holder's exposure to the risks associated with directly investing in mines, such as exploration, development, and regulatory compliance.
Persons: , Jeff Muhlenkamp, they'll, George Milling, Stanley, Muhlenkamp Organizations: Service, Costco, Muhlenkamp & Company, State Street Global Advisors, Trust, MiniShares, Mining, Eagle Mines, Newmont Mining Corp, Wheaton Precious Metals Locations: Franco, Nevada
Gold's record rally pauses due to stronger dollar, higher yields
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices surged to a record high on Wednesday as the conflicts in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. election spurred demand for safe-haven assets. Gold prices fell over 1% after hitting a record high on Wednesday, as a stronger dollar and a rise in U.S. Treasury yields countered support from safe-haven demand linked to the Nov. 5 U.S. election and Middle East war. Spot gold was down 1% to $2,721.12 per ounce as of 12:25 p.m. EDT (1410 GMT) after hitting a record high of $2,758.37 earlier in the session. However, gold could see the $2,800/oz level by the week's end on safe-haven demand, Haberkorn added. The dollar index rose 0.3% to near a three-month high, making gold less appealing for other currency holders, while U.S. bond yields climbed to a three-month high.
Persons: Bob Haberkorn, Haberkorn, Ole Hansen, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Treasury, Saxo Bank, U.S, Republican, Reuters Locations: U.S
BMO Capital Markets dropped its 2024 election guide last week. "We are not taking a view on the election outcome but rather sharing our views from a policy perspective," the firm said. The majority of analysts polled by LSEG have a buy rating, with a price target implying shares can rise more than 6%. The average price target of analysts polled by LSEG implies shares can bounce more than 25%. The average price target implies the stock can advance more than 20% over the next year.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, LSEG, Donald Trump, Dow Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, House, BMO, CNBC Pro, Brookfield, LSEG, White, Trump, Dow Jones, Analysts
Lost Silk Road cities mapped using LiDAR remote sensing
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Katie Hunt | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
CNN —Lost for centuries, two cities lay buried, nearly 5 kilometers (3 miles) apart, underneath grassy pastures in the mountains of Uzbekistan. “It’s a really different environment up there,” Frachetti said of the newly discovered Silk Road settlements. However, the newfound highland cities were too big to simply be trading posts or Silk Road stopovers, Frachetti and his colleagues believe. The research marked the first time that light detection and ranging (LiDAR) equipment had been used in the region for archaeological purposes. Using drone-borne light detection and ranging equipment, archaeologists have mapped two abandoned cities in the mountains of Uzbekistan.
Persons: Michael Frachetti, Tugunbulak, , Frachetti, , ” Frachetti, Michael Frachetti “, Farhod Maksudov, Zachary Silvia, ” Silvia, Tashbulak, It’s Organizations: CNN, Washington University, , National, of Archeology, Academy of Sciences of, Joukowsky Institute for Archaeology, Brown University Locations: Uzbekistan, , It’s, St . Louis, Machu Picchu, Peru, Republic of Uzbekistan, , Tugunbulak, Tashbulak, Central America, Rhode Island, Samarkand, Kashgar, China
Oil prices fell on Tuesday, paring the previous day's nearly 2% rise as the top U.S. diplomat renewed efforts to push for a ceasefire in the Middle East, and as slow demand in China, the world's top oil importer, continued to weigh on the market. Oil prices fell on Tuesday, paring the previous day's nearly 2% rise as the top U.S. diplomat renewed efforts to push for a ceasefire in the Middle East, and as slow demand in China, the world's top oil importer, continued to weigh on the market. "Crude oil prices have been fluctuating in response to mixed news from the Middle East, as the situation alternates between escalation and de-escalation," Satoru Yoshida, a commodity analyst with Rakuten Securities. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken headed to the Middle East on Monday seeking to revive talks to end the Gaza war and defuse the spillover conflict in Lebanon. China's oil-demand growth is expected to remain weak in 2025 despite recent stimulus measures from Beijing as the world's No.
Persons: paring, Brent, WTI, recouping, Satoru Yoshida, Antony Blinken Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Rakuten Securities, International Energy Agency Locations: China, Iran, Gaza, Lebanon, Beijing, Saudi Aramco
"The global battle against inflation is almost won," the IMF report trumpeted, even as it called for "a policy triple pivot" to address interest rates, government spending, and reforms and investment to boost productivity. The fund kept its global growth estimate at 3.2% for 2024 and 2025 — which it called "stable yet underwhelming." Market volatility among key downside risksHeightened financial volatility is another threat to global growth, the IMF report said. Further challenges to global financial markets could come in the final stretch of the fight against inflation. The IMF forecasts global growth will rise 3.1% annually at the end of the 2020s, the lowest level in decades.
Persons: Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Global, Vigilance, IMF Locations: Washington , DC, United States, The Washington, Brazil, Mexico, America, Europe
IMF: Global battle against inflation ‘largely won’
  + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
“It looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries,” the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook. The rosy outlook on consumer prices comes just weeks before the US election, with inflation a key issue for voters. While upside risks to inflation are receding around the world, threats to economic growth are multiplying, according to the IMF. The IMF sees the global economy expanding 3.2% this year, as it forecast in July. “Economic growth must come instead from ambitious domestic reforms that boost technology and innovation, improve competition and resource allocation, further economic integration and stimulate productive private investment,” it argued.
Persons: Downside Organizations: London CNN —, International Monetary Fund, IMF, US Consumer Locations: East, Europe, China, India
Reddit CEO Steve Huffman said the company is working to find its place in the AI "arms race." The platform has become a power player in the race to train AI models. Huffman hinted at large companies that are taking advantage of Reddit's content. AdvertisementReddit CEO Steve Huffman said the platform's content is among the world's best training data for artificial intelligence — and an increasingly valuable commodity as the company aims to find its place in the AI "arms race." "We've invested a lot in the last couple of years in locking that down, but it is an arms race."
Persons: Steve Huffman, Huffman, , he's, Reddit, We've Organizations: Service, Tech, Google, Microsoft
Oil prices ended down 7% last week and are lower this year-to-date, despite Middle East tensions. Oil prices have been depressed this year because China — the world's largest oil importer — is in a prolonged economic downturn. Last year, they each accounted for 11% of the world's oil supply. This means that Saudi Arabia is looking to corner a larger market share instead of targeting higher profit margins by restricting output. Advertisement"But the problem is when oil prices spike, it sends oil companies searching for temporarily profitable oil," he added, referring to the US shale boom as the most recent example.
Persons: , Abishur Prakash, Prakash, Anton Siluanov, Matthew Huber, we're, Huber Organizations: Service, , Financial Times, International Energy Agency, Brent, US West Texas, Syracuse University, Saudi, Trump, OPEC Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Toronto, Israel, Iran, Europe, OPEC
Silver's breakout in absolute terms has the potential to result in relative outperformance versus gold in the weeks ahead. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein.
Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
ACCRA, Ghana — Illegal small-scale gold mining in Ghana has been linked with the destruction of the environment and illness. A protest in Accra, Ghana, demanding government action on illegal gold mining. Yaw Amoafo, who owns several small gold mines employing 20 to 30 people each, said public anger at galamsey mining has forced him to cease operations. He added that he feared the government would introduce a short-term ban on small-scale mining, like the one it implemented in 2017. Earlier this year it opened the government-backed Royal Ghana Gold Refinery, with the intent of getting it accredited by the LBMA.
Persons: galamsey, Nana Akufo, Nipah Dennis, Cristina Aldehuela, Addo, Yaw Amoafo, , , Amoafo, Eddie James Richmond, Neil Harby, Harby, Francis Kokoroko, Swissaid Organizations: West, Water Resources Commission, Getty, Ghana’s Ministry of Land, Resources, Ghana Water Ltd, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Watch, Ghana’s Minerals, International Monetary Fund, Sahara Royal Gold Refinery, London Bullion Market Association, Reuters, State Department, Royal, Royal Ghana Gold Refinery Locations: ACCRA, Ghana, Accra, , AFP, Cape Coast, Pra, Kibi, London, U.K, South Africa, Africa, Switzerland, Mali, Zimbabwe, Royal Ghana
S & P 500 money is oblivious to stock valuations of any kind and ignorant to upgrades and downgrades. The Lilliputian sellers regularly fail to do damage when matched with the oblivious index money. A 4% 2-year note isn't competitive to the magnet of the S & P 500 and its kin. That's emblematic of what happens with a big buyback without stock-based compensation (something many tech firms use that renders moot the S & P 500 inflows). Because of the way that the S & P 500 money is divvied up, the share base becomes overwhelmingly index-fund based and the index fund shareholders do not sell.
Persons: Morningstar, Smoot, Herbert Hoover's, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Jerome Powell, haven't, Charlie Scharf, Wells, Banks, Charlie, Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, James Gorman, Schwab, Gamble, Jim Umpleby, that's, Butch Cassidy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Charles Scharf, Kyle Grillot Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Taiwan Semi, Trust, Fed, Triple AAA Robinhood, Morgan, Procter, United Airlines, Exxon, Caterpillar, Boeing, Apple, Meta, Sundance, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Milken Institute Global Conference, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Hawley, McCumber, Taiwan, Arizona, American, Wells Fargo, Wells, China, Chevron, Beverly Hills, Calif
The author paid a company, Renewable Recycling, to pick up and recycle his queen-size mattress in New York City. Greg IacurciI paid $95 to recycle a mattress. Why mattress recycling can be expensiveShredded old mattress materials. Guillaume Souvant | Afp | Getty ImagesThe $95 fee I ultimately paid to Renewable Recycling is "pretty standard" among mattress recyclers, Conway said. For example, cotton remnants must be picked off steel mattress springs before it can be shredded or baled for sale to scrap markets, according to the Mattress Recycling Council.
Persons: Greg Iacurci, Alicia Marseille, Robert Brook, , Meg Romero, Charles, Mark Rightmire, Romero, Peter Conway, Conway, Guillaume Souvant, Charles County, " Romero, Staples, Reid Lifset, Amanda Wall, Wall Organizations: Renewable, U.S, Mattress, Arizona State University, MRC, Salvation Army, Goodwill, Freecycle, Recycling Inc, MediaNews, Orange, Getty, Spring, Afp, Yale School of, Colorado, Environmental Resources, Arizona State University Individuals, International Sleep Products Association Locations: New York City, Brooklyn, Charles County , Maryland, East Rockaway , New York, San Juan Capistrano , California, Spring Back Colorado, Commerce City, Colorado, Oceanside , New York, Charles, California, Mexico, Canada, India, Egypt, Texas, Marseille, — California, Connecticut, Rhode, Oregon, Rhode Island, New York , Massachusetts, Maryland, Virginia
Human life has no price and is not a commodity.”People demonstrate near Italy's Senate this week to oppose the country's new legislation. Francis has shifted the church’s approach on welcoming LGBTQ people, but has maintained a strong line opposing both abortion and surrogacy. The new Italian law does not differentiate between same-sex and heterosexual couples, nor between altruistic or paid surrogacy, but it will disproportionately affect the LGBTQ community, advocates fear. “Law or no law, same-sex families exist and will continue to exist. LGBTQ activists who protested outside the Senate on Wednesday said that heterosexual couples make up 90% of all surrogacies.
Persons: Giorgia Meloni’s, Pope Francis an, Meloni, Simona Granati, Francis, , , ” Laura Boldrini, ” Alessia Crocini, Michela Calabro, Mauro Scrobogna, Elon Musk, Francis ’ Organizations: CNN, Italy, Catholic Church, Italian Catholic Church, Italy's Senate, Catholic, , Families, European Union Locations: Italy, United States, Canada, Italy's, Vatican, Italian, ” Italy, , Albania
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's too soon to write off the story in the Middle East entirely, says RBC's Helima CroftHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the recent drop in oil prices, impact of MIddle East tensions and China demand, market outlook, and more.
Persons: RBC's Helima Croft Helima Croft Organizations: RBC Capital Markets Locations: China
Markets: The S & P 500 is on pace for another record close and its sixth straight positive week. Financials also continued their strong run this week thanks to strong earnings from banks such as Club holding Morgan Stanley and other financial services companies. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, hasn't, Financials, Morgan Stanley, Danaher, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., ASML Holdings, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, bellwether, Abbott Laboratories, UBS, Mizuho, . Energy, Texas, OPEC, International Energy Agency, Coterra Energy, Dow Jones, Dover, Honeywell, Jim Cramer's Charitable
Price of gold is proving an unstoppable force lately
  + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold recently regained momentum after the Federal Reserve began its easing cycle with a half-percentage point rate cut last month. However, the latest upturn comes despite rebounds in Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar too, which might be expected to take the wind from gold's sails. Higher yields typically make gold less attractive, as the metal doesn't offer any yield. The 10-year Treasury yield has soared to 4.08% from around 3.7% over the past month. The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency's performance against the euro, Japanese yen and others, is up nearly 3% over the past month.
Persons: Gold, Andrew Brenner, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Hayes Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, NatAlliance Securities, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Treasury Locations: NatAlliance
“The global water crisis is a tragedy but is also an opportunity to transform the economics of water — and to start by valuing water properly so as to recognize its scarcity,” said Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Director General of the World Trade Organization and one of the commission’s co-chairs in a statement. With nearly three billion people already in areas experiencing unstable water trends and several cities sinking due to the loss of below-ground water, densely populated areas such as northwestern India, northeastern China and southern and eastern Europe will bear the brunt of global water mismanagement, the report says. “The global water crisis is a ticking time bomb. Even so, a lack of public funds being devoted to water issues by lawmakers around the world will do little to solve the problem. Governments “can’t even react to the symptoms of the water problem, let alone solve the problems if they’re being fiscally strangled,” said UCL's Mazzucato.
Persons: , Ngozi, Mariana Mazzucato, we’ve, Mazzucato, Tim Wainwright, , they’re, UCL's Mazzucato Organizations: World Trade Organization, University College London Institute for Innovation, Purpose, NBC News, OECD, United Nations Locations: India, China, Europe, Netherlands
Momo Productions | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesWhile many investors have flocked to exchange-traded funds, they haven't gained much ground with 401(k) plan participants. The report found that 401(k) plans used ETFs most readily for sector and commodity funds — but even then, they did so just 3% of the time. Key benefits are 'irrelevant'Mutual funds, collective investment trust funds and separately managed accounts held the lion's share of the 401(k) assets across all investment categories, PSCA data shows. However, those benefits are "irrelevant" in 401(k) plans, Blanchett said. Blanchett said 401(k) plans are also long-term accounts in which frequent trading is generally not encouraged.
Persons: Momo, David Blanchett, hasn't, Philip Chao, Chao, Warren Buffett's, Blanchett Organizations: Exchange, Mutual, Morningstar, Investment Company Institute, ICI, of America, Vanguard Locations: John , Maryland
Gold prices inched higher on Wednesday, as U.S. Treasury yields eased, while market participants waited for more U.S. economic data to determine the number of interest rate cuts the Federal Reserve is likely to deliver in the near term. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $2,667.97 per ounce by 0217 GMT, $17 shy of a record high hit last month. The 10-year Treasury yields slipped for a third straight session, making zero-yield bullion more appealing. "The game changer in gold prices is the U.S. monetary policy easing as it sets the stage for investment demand," said ANZ commodity strategist Soni Kumari. Delegates to the London Bullion Market Association's annual gathering predicted gold prices would rise to $2,941 over the next 12 months and silver prices would jump to $45 per ounce.
Persons: Soni Kumari, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Benjamin Netanyahu, Emmanuel Macron Organizations: SA, Treasury, Federal Reserve, ANZ, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta Fed, London Locations: Budapest, Hungary, U.S, rearming
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