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A landmark study of the cardiovascular benefits of weight loss drug Wegovy is being seen as a pivotal step toward broadening access to these drugs. The drug, also known as tirzepatide, is expected to be approved for weight loss by the Food and Drug Administration by year-end. Notably, Medicare does reimburse obese patients for weight loss surgery, but Mounjaro has been able to help patients realize an average weight loss that approaches the typical success of bariatric procedures. If CMS is able to reimburse patients for weight loss treatment that would significantly increase access, boosting sales. "This is the first time a weight [loss] medicinal intervention has shown to have cardiovascular risk reduction.
Persons: enrollees, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Akash Tewari, NVO, Tewari, Wells, Mounjaro, Mohit Bansal, Robert Califf, Goldman Sachs, Chris Shibutani, Shibutani, Goldman, Refinitiv, Morgan Stanley, comorbidities, Bansal Organizations: Nordisk's Ozempic, Centers for Disease Control, Food and Drug Administration, Jefferies, Medicare, Services, GLP, STAT, Goldman, Lilly, Novo Nordisk, BMI, Novo Locations: U.S, GLP, Tuesday's
"On the size of the opportunity, I think, it's a little too early to say," said GE Healthcare CEO Peter Arduini. GEHC YTD mountain GE Healthcare shares are up 31% year to date. So what's the takeaway for GE Healthcare, Quest and others in the diagnostics space? Zimmerman reiterated a neutral rating on GE Healthcare on Wednesday, saying it was fairly valued relative to its peers. Both stocks have had a down week, but GE Healthcare shares are up 31% in 2023.
Persons: Peter Arduini, it's, Gordon Haskett, Don Bilson, Bilson, Eli Lilly, Ryan Zimmerman, Zimmerman, FactSet Organizations: GE Healthcare, Quest Diagnostics, Drug Administration, Biogen, FDA, ARIA, Quest Locations: U.S
"With 8 direct and 15 indirect catalysts in the next ~12-18 months, we see several near-term opportunities to further drive GPCR shares," Rahimi wrote in a research note. Structure's ticker symbol is a nod to the company's research, which focuses on G protein-coupled receptors, or GPCRs, a growing area of drug development. GSBR-1290 is Structure's GLP-1R agonist that is being studied as treatment for type 2 diabetes and obesity. If successful, the drug could one day compete against Novo Nordisk's blockbusters Ozempic and Wegovy and Eli Lilly's Mounjaro. Separately, the analyst said Structure's other early stage drug candidate, LTSE-2578, provides further upside as investors have largely overlooked the opportunity it provides.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Yasmeen, Rahimi, Eli Lilly's Mounjaro, Wegovy Organizations: Therapeutics, Novo, ShouTi Inc, Nasdaq Locations: San Francisco, Shanghai
Morgan Stanley analysts said they are seeing a profound shift in the way diabetes is being treated, with doctors intensifying the focus on weight management, which is accelerating the uptake of GLP-1 medications. Meanwhile, Eli Lilly has been approved to sell Mounjaro, or tirzepatide, as a Type 2 diabetes treatment. Both GLP-1 medications have attracted a lot of attention for their ability to lower blood sugar, curb food cravings and help patients with weight loss. Morgan Stanley said GLP-1 medicines now make up nearly 30% of all new diabetes prescriptions in the U.S. About 22% of all diabetes prescriptions are for this class of drug. The analysts now anticipate the market for GLP-1 medications will reach $77 billion in 2030, up from a prior forecast of $54 billion.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Lilly GLP, Eli Lilly, Lilly, GLP, Morgan, Wells, Mohit Bansal, Bansal, he's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Novo Nordisk, Food and Drug Administration, U.S, GLP Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo
The National Retail Federation is predicting record spending , whether students are heading back to elementary school, high school or college. Bracing for higher prices as wages fall Baked into that outlook was an expectation held by the vast majority of respondents, 82%, that prices will be higher this year than in 2022. As in the KPMG survey, the gain largely reflected the perception that prices will be higher this year. In the JLL poll, Walmart , Target and Amazon were among the top three retailers parents planned to shop, by a wide margin. Stifel reiterated its price target of $163 for Walmart, saying, "We continue to see more upside than downside from current levels."
Persons: Paul Ashworth, Staples, Mark Astrachan, Astrachan, Stifel, Corey Tarlowe, Tarlowe Organizations: Prime, National Retail Federation, KPMG, Big, Capital Economics, Consumers, Walmart, Target, Old Navy, Kohl's, Macy's, Costco, Adobe Analytics, Jefferies, Amazon, Walmart U.S, Bed Locations: American
Investors would be forgiven if talk of a potential suicide risk associated with a new class of diabetes and weight loss drugs led to skittishness last week. Prior attempts to treat overweight or obese patients with medications were often plagued with side effects and drug recalls. The first is that most obesity drugs, including GLP-1s, are "centrally acting," which means they work on a patient's brain. The second is that prior obesity drugs have been withdrawn because of high rates of psychiatric disorders, he said, citing Sanofi's Acomplia as one of the more recent examples. This was not the case for the GLP-1 medications.
Persons: skittishness, Eli Lilly's Trulicity, Lilly's, Wolfe, Tim Anderson, Anderson, Sanofi's Acomplia, Eli Lilly, Wolfe's Anderson, Colin Bristow, Lilly, LLY's, Peter Verdult, Wegovy, Verdult, Bristow, Emmanuel Papadakis, Papadakis, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nordisk's Ozempic, Wall Street, European Medicines Agency, EMA, Wolfe Research, FDA, UBS, Citi, Novo Nordisk, Deutsche Bank, Prevention Locations: United States, U.S
Wegovy was approved as an obesity treatment in June 2021 , but Ozempic, a Type 2 diabetes treatment, has been used off-label for weight loss. Mounjaro uses GLP-1 and gastric inhibitory polypeptide, or GIP, to help patients lose weight. Eli Lilly's oral drug, orforglipron, has an even better profile . They also could be helpful in assisting patients in maintaining weight loss after they've used the injectable versions, he said. Some have highlighted that oral drugs also may be more manageable for patients who can't handle the idea of giving themselves a once-a-week injection.
Persons: Eli Lilly, we're, Jonathan Wolleben, Wegovy, Lilly's tirzepatide, It's, Mounjaro, Wolleben, Eli Lilly's tirzepatide, Lilly, , Novo, Eli, it's, they've, FactSet, Altimmune's pemvidutide, Morgan Stanley, Mark Purcell, Purcell, Graig Suvannavejh, Suvannavejh, Roth, Dylan Dupuis, Dupuis, Trung Huynh, Goldman Sachs, Chris Shibutani, Shibutani Organizations: Novo Nordisk, JMP Securities, Citizens Company, Nordisk's Ozempic, Food and Drug Administration, Nordisk, Novo, Zealand Pharma, Shandong Suncadia, GSBR, Biosciences, Fujian Shengdi Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Securities, Terns Pharmaceuticals, American Diabetes Association, Viking Therapeutics, Pfizer, Credit Suisse, AstraZeneca, Therapeutics, Medicare, Medicaid, CNBC Pro's Locations: Danish, Shandong, Fujian, Viking
What's more, some showed no signs their weight loss was leveling off, suggesting they could continue to shed pounds. (Both use semaglutide, but Ozempic is marketed as a type 2 diabetes treatment, while Wegovy is primarily for weight loss.) Bank of America's Geoff Meacham said retatrutide "exceeded expectations" for weight loss. "This is important, as while the overall 22.4% weight loss was impressive, looking at men and women separately, weight loss was 21.9% and 28.5%, respectively, with the slope in females not yet plateauing. Schott also described the weight loss as "impressive" and said it will likely compare favorably with Novo's next-generation drug CagriSema, which is expected to show weight loss of more than 25% when it releases its next update.
Persons: Eli Lilly, What's, Lilly, Lilly's, Carter Gould, Gould, orforglipron, Bank of America's Geoff Meacham, retatrutide, Meacham, Chris Schott, Schott, Novo's, Evan David Seigerman, Seigerman, Morgan Stanley, Terence Flynn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: American Diabetes Association, Wall, Novo Nordisk, Barclays, Bank of America's, JPMorgan, Lilly, BMO Capital, Indianapolis, ~$ Locations: Novo
Amazon has made it official: Prime Day will return on July 11 and 12 this year. Most analysts see room for Amazon stock to run, despite its nearly 50% year-to-date gain. Amazon began the Prime Day event in 2015 as a way to boost its Prime membership, and has held it annually ever since. On Wednesday, Amazon shares were trading down more than 1% after the Federal Trade Commission announced a lawsuit against the company, alleging "deceptive" sales tactics tied to the Prime program. A Prime membership costs about $139 a year and includes perks like free shipping and access to Amazon's streaming service.
Persons: Michael Dick, Amazon, FactSet, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, Doug Anmuth Organizations: Bank of, Jefferies, Web Services, Walmart, Amazon, Rivals, Target, Federal Trade Commission, FTC Locations: U.S
A safer, quicker way to treat some heart arrhythmia cases could be on the horizon, creating an opportunity for medical device companies Boston Scientific and Medtronic, according to Piper Sandler analyst Matt O'Brien. He estimates that Boston Scientific will ring up $454 million in sales by 2025 for its Farapulse catheter. Meanwhile, Boston Scientific shares hit a record high on Friday. BSX YTD mountain Boston Scientific shares have gained more than 17% so far this year. He expects that this could prompt consolidation, providing a way for any larger AF treatment providers that have fallen behind on innovation to catch up.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Matt O'Brien, O'Brien, Medtronic, Medtronic's, Abbott, Johnson Organizations: Boston Scientific, Centers for Disease Control, PFA, Boston, EU Locations: U.S
Credit Suisse analyst Trung Huynh has combed through social media and is impressed by the awareness — and demand — for GLP-1 medications such as Eli Lilly 's Mounjaro. Among those observations are reports of other potential benefits that patients taking Mounjaro, or tirzepatide, are seeing. Others taking the drug reported benefits such as a reduction in addiction behaviors such as smoking, drinking, gambling and shopping, among other things. However, this may be a function of patients who are trying to use Mounjaro off-label for obesity, he said. Credit Suisse has an outperform rating on Lilly shares, with a $490 price target, which implies more than 9% upside from where Lilly shares closed Wednesday.
Persons: Trung Huynh, Eli Lilly, Huynh, Mounjaro, agonism, Lilly hasn't, semaglutide —, Lilly, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Credit Suisse, Food and Drug Administration, Novo Nordisk
With the Federal Reserve expected to pause its rate-hiking campaign at this week's meeting, regional banks stocks have made a comeback, but that doesn't mean all the trouble is in the rearview mirror. Still, the upward march resumed on Tuesday, begging the question of what's ahead for bank stocks. As the Treasury sells tens of billions of dollars in Treasury bills, it could pressure bank deposits. Graseck predicts that a reacceleration of deposit outflows would snuff out the bank stock rally. In addition, regional bank earnings estimates, which had been cut severely in March and April, had leveled off in May.
Persons: Jack Ablin, Ablin, outflows, SVB, Aditya Bhave, Bhave, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Graseck, Nicholas Colas, Huntington Bancshares, Matt O'Connor, KeyCorp, Albin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Cresset, Silvergate, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, PacWest Bancorp, Bank of America, Treasury, DataTrek Research, Citizens Financial Group, Truist, Morgan Stanley U.S, Financials, CRE Conference, Deutsche Bank, TFC Locations: Silicon, Federal, U.S, 2Q23, New York
UBS downgraded Apple shares to neutral from buy late Monday, saying iPhone demand is likely to remain under pressure despite growth in emerging markets. Apple shares closed Monday at a record high of $183.79. Vogt increased his price target to $190, but said the potential shareholder return doesn't justify a buy rating, especially given its "softer fundamentals." The analyst expects to see iPhone unit growth fall 1% to 2% in the second half of this year. Meanwhile, surveys done by UBS suggest that consumers seem less likely to buy a new iPhone in the next 12 months.
Persons: David Vogt, Vogt Organizations: UBS, Apple Locations: U.S, China, Europe, Japan
As the market reassesses the value of office properties, investors have been steering clear of many commercial real estate stocks. Greg Kuhl, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson, said he likes the outlook for Alexandria Real Estate Equities , a pure-play owner of life sciences centers. Malhotra said he sees lab REITs as a "lower-beta way to play the volatile Life Sciences environment." But each of these companies are more broadly diversified and have exposure to other types of commercial real estate. Kilroy, for example, had been focused in properties in the tech hubs, but it now has a growing life sciences portfolio.
Persons: Greg Kuhl, Janus Henderson, Kuhl, hasn't, Vikram Malhotra, Mizuho, Malhotra, Healthpeak's, Kilroy Organizations: Alexandria Real, stoke, Food and Drug Administration, Research, Biotech, Sciences, iShares Biotechnology, Boston Properties, Kilroy Locations: Alexandria, Ventas
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Anheuser-Busch InBev shares hit a 52-week high of $67.09 on March 31. Bud Light has tried to win back customers with a $15 off rebate program on Budweiser, Bud Light, Bud Select and Bud Select 55. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Target's stock hit a 52-week low on Thursday. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon VF Corp. shares traded as low as $16.77 on Thursday. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Kohl's shares on Thursday hit a low of $17.89, the stock's lowest level since May 22, 2020, when it traded as low as $17.19.
Persons: BUD TGT, Justin Sullivan, Bud Light, Dylan Mulvaney, Pattie Gonia ., it's, Brayden King, Cowen, Vivien Azer, Miller, Azer, Bud, Brandon Bell, King, Sarah Kate Ellis, recouping, Christopher Horvers, Horvers, Wells, Edward Kelly, Kelly, Americus Reed Organizations: TAP, Anheuser, Busch, Target, VF Corp, North, Pride, Busch InBev, Coors, Molson Coors, Lite, Bud, Budweiser, Walmart, Bud Light, Companies, GLAAD, JPMorgan, Americus, University of Pennsylvania Locations: San Francisco , California, Austin , Texas, Wells Fargo
Developments in cancer research will be in the spotlight as the American Society of Clinical Oncology hosts the world's biggest cancer research conference in Chicago, starting Thursday. The pair has already has won regulatory approval for Enhertu for metastatic HER2-low breast cancer, but the companies are also studying its use in a variety other HER2 tumors in breast cancers. Lilly's drug, Verzenio, is used in high-risk patients with HR-positive HER2-negative breast cancer that is more likely to reoccur and has already breached the patient's lymph nodes. In a research note earlier this month, Guggenheim analyst Seamus Fernandez said Kisqali is already taking market share from Pfizer's Ibrance in metastatic breast cancer. Merck's Keytruda is also being watched for what benefits it could offer early-stage lung cancer patients .
As biopharma investors follow the latest buzz around advancements in clinical research, they may be under-appreciating opportunities in neurology, psychiatry and genetic medicine, according to a report from Oppenheimer. "Valuation multiples across disease areas show CNS [ or central nervous system] and Genetic Medicine at relative low points." In July, the Food and Drug Administration could grant full approval to Leqembi , its Alzheimer's Disease treatment. As a very new area of medicine, gene therapy has greatest potential to accelerate sales growth as treatments come to market. He described immunology multiples as "generally stable" and genetic medicine multiples as highly volatile.
Still, it is also true that a lot of disruption occurred in between the events that prompted the "apocalypse" chatter and the firmer ground where retail real estate stands today. Recalling how these events played out is helpful in understanding the situation facing U.S. office properties. For office buildings, the pandemic knocked things out of whack. The same idea is being discussed for office buildings, but one-size will not fit all. There may be no surprise that there has been a huge drop-off in the number of loans with office properties as collateral since March.
PWSC YTD mountain PowerSchool shares have fallen sharply since January, when they traded as high as $26.05. "For us, it's not a disruption from a negative perspective, it's actually phenomenal," he said, of the advancements in generative AI. Gulati expects generative AI will make it possible for PowerSchool to accelerate its goals to offer personalized learning plans. Still, PowerSchool shares are down 27% since the start of the year. Generative AI systems must be "trained" on data.
Watch the 2023 Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders meeting via CNBC's livestream in English or Mandarin or read about it here throughout the day. The CHI Health Center in Omaha, Nebraska, is welcoming tens of thousands for Berkshire Hathaway 's annual meeting on Saturday. The main event begins on Saturday when Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger take the stage at 10:15 a.m. If previous gatherings are any guide, there will be a lively conversation about a wide range of topics. To prepare viewers for the main event, CNBC will begin its coverage at 9:45 a.m.
Recent events may be chipping away at confidence in the U.S. financial system, according to the findings of a Gallup survey. Nearly half of the 1,013 adults polled said they were "very worried" (19%) or "moderately worried" (29%) about the safety of the money they had tucked away in a bank or other financial institution, Gallup said. The level of concern expressed in the poll is similar to the findings that Gallup found shortly after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September, 2008. Still, a December 2008 reading had shown sentiment had already improved from those worst levels as steps were taken to ease the impact of the financial crisis. When the poll was conducted from April 3-25 this year, Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank had already failed.
Consumers across all income levels are pulling back on spending, according to a Barclays Capital promotions tracker, prompting analyst Adrienne Yih to downgrade a host of retail stocks. However, Yih said, the pace of sales and discounting suggests that this scenario — a V-shaped recovery — is now less likely. FIGS 6M mountain Barclays downgraded Figs shares to underweight from equal weight. Figs shares shed 6%, Canada Goose fell more than 5% and Victoria's Secret was down more than 3%. CPRI YTD mountain Capri shares have fall 31% since the year started.
Lilly manufactures tirzepatide, which is sold under the brand name Mounjaro as a type 2 diabetes treatment. It's the chronic nature of obesity that will make these drugs so profitable, analysts have said. Huynh increased his target due to higher expectations for Mounjaro sales this year. Huynh boosted his prediction for the drug's sales this year to $3.7 billion from an prior estimate of $2.7 billion. "$48 billion is a monster number," Holz said, referring to an annual sales estimate that Bank of America has floated for future Mounjaro sales.
As concerns about regional banks roiled markets, investors weighed another threat: commercial real estate. Also, layered on top of the property value pressure, are the tightening credit conditions brought on by the recent turmoil in the banking sector. There is no doubt this scenario is a toxic mix for the capital-intensive real estate industry. At the moment, many experts say the real estate market isn't causing trouble for banks, but fears about the financial system are likely worsening conditions in real estate because liquidity is being reduced. The biggest concern is seeing how many other companies join Brookfield , Blackstone and Pimco in handing back the keys on office properties, Clancy said.
The wide-ranging survey saw teenagers reporting their spending this year will rise 2% from the spring of 2022 to $2,419. Gen Z girls are planning to pull back on clothing spending, which could spell trouble for apparel stocks in the months ahead. It's the top choice of places to shop for about 9% of the upper-income teens in the survey, Piper said. According to the survey, 49% of upper-income teens have purchased clothes on secondhand marketplaces like Poshmark, The RealReal and ThredUp , or at local thrift stores. Nike remains entrenched as the top apparel brand among all teens, a position it's held for more than 12 years.
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