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A Chinese property developer is offering gold bars to buyers in a desperate bid to boost home sales. According to The Guardian and local media outlets, the property developer in question is Huafa Group, which is based in Hangzhou, a city in eastern China. Disgruntled buyers are raging over the gold barsHowever, some buyers have been kept waiting for the promised gold after purchasing a flat. A staff member at Huafa told Insider the Huafa Hui Tianfu development had "nothing to do" with them. Flashy giveaways are commonplace in China's property marketThis is not the first time Chinese property developers have dangled freebies to entice homebuyers.
Persons: , they've, monthslong, Hui Tianfu, China's, Zhu, Xian, Shao, Xiao Qiang, homebuyers Organizations: Service, Guardian, Weibo, China's Twitter, Huafu Group, Jiemian, Huafa, Qianjiang Evening, Estate Development Corporation, China Index Academy, Bloomberg, Wall Street Locations: Hangzhou, China, Hangzhou Yuejia
Recent data shows that China is also contending with worse-than-expected consumer spending, slowing manufacturing and weak home sales. What it means for markets: US-based companies doing business in China stand to lose if the economy continues on a downward trajectory. Qualcomm (QCOM), with a 67% exposure rate to China, issued disappointing forward guidance during earnings last month, citing China’s slow recovery. JD.com (JD), one of the largest Chinese companies trading in the United States, has fallen by nearly 36% this year. The air purifier market is poised to grow as climate change increases air pollution and exacerbates breathing difficulties.
Persons: That’s, China —, Capvision, China Nicholas Burns, , Goldman Sachs, Dow, JD.com, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Ayaz Ebrahim, CARR, Johnson, Ivan Menezes, Diageo, Menezes ’, Menezes, King Charles III, Debra Crew, Johnnie Walker, Ivan, Javier Ferrán, “ Ivan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, International Monetary Fund, Factories, Bain, Group, Micron Technology, Nasdaq, Apple, Intel, Starbucks, Nike, Bank of America, Las, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, MGM Resorts, MGM, China . Companies, Dragon, Goldman Sachs Group, Nomura, Barclays, JPMorgan, Asia Pacific, Bloomberg, Google, Carrier Global, Johnson Controls, Economic Co, Diageo, India, Business, , Whisky Association, Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management Locations: New York, China, Washington, Beijing, United States, Hong Kong, Dragon China, Canada, Pune, India
Jade Gao | Afp | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's economic recovery from the pandemic is set to broaden, meaning the country isn't headed toward Japan-style stagnation just yet, according to Macquarie's Chief China Economist Larry Hu. The meeting, led by Premier Li Qiang, noted the foundation of China's economic recovery is not yet solid. Similar, but not the same as, Japan"While the worst is behind us, the recovery is far from being self-sustaining," Macquarie's Hu said. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon iShares MSCI China ETF"The absence of a self-sustained recovery in China today is mainly a cyclical, not structural, phenomenon," Hu said. The iShares MSCI China ETF is down by about 4% so far this year.
Persons: Jade Gao, Larry Hu, Hu, Macquarie, China's, Premier Li Qiang, Macquarie's Hu, Japan's Organizations: Afp, Getty, BEIJING, China, State Council, Premier, Companies Locations: Beijing, Japan, China
China new home prices, sales fall on soft demand in May
  + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
New home prices among 100 cities fell 0.01% month-on-month in May from 0.02% growth the previous month, according to survey data from the China Index Academy on Thursday. Home sales by value by property developers fell 18.8% from a month earlier, the independent real estate research firm said in a separate statement on Wednesday. "The real estate market was under greater adjustment pressure and homebuyers' sentiment continued to fall in May," said the firm. The property sector gained a boost from the lifting of tough COVID curbs in December, low mortgage interest rates and a slew of policy support measures. "These (bearish) property market data will likely further weigh on China-related assets in the next couple of weeks," said Nomura.
Persons: Nomura, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, Kim Coghill Organizations: China Index Academy, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China
HONG KONG, May 25 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Foreigners that once piled into offshore Chinese equities are evacuating as confidence in the country’s economic recovery sags. The China trade has always been unbalanced towards overseas-listed Chinese consumer and internet firms, and foreigners preferred building factories, acquiring large stakes in companies and the like over portfolio trading. Even at a peak in 2021, they held barely over 8 trillion yuan ($1.1 trillion) of yuan-denominated Chinese stocks and bonds, per official data, compared to $27 trillion of American equivalents. Now the former figure has fallen below 7 trillion yuan. Major Chinese indexes in Hong Kong and New York have also slid, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index having lost around 15% in the last three months.
Investors trimmed their exposure to China amid economic uncertainty in the country, rising geopolitical tensions and Beijing’s crackdown on international consulting firms. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index has lost more than 5% since April 18. Another concern for global investors is the country’s “fundamental investability,” he said, referring to geopolitical and Chinese policy risks. Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, one of the world’s largest pension funds, has closed its Hong Kong-based China equity investment team. “The more cracks appear in Western economies,” the more global investors will need to put money into Chinese assets, he added.
China’s economy rebounded in the first quarter, and consumption has also come back strongly. Photo: Eduardo Leal/Bloomberg NewsOne mystery in global markets this year is that while China’s economy appears to be rebounding strongly, its stock market hasn’t been doing as well. The MSCI China index has risen only 1.8% so far this year, underperforming many of the major markets. Stocks listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen have done a bit better—the CSI 300 index has gone up 4.9% in 2023. That seems to be in contrast to the rebounding economy, after China scrapped its strict “zero-Covid” pandemic restrictions in December and scaled back its regulatory crackdown on its technology companies.
The flow may be signalling a shift in sentiment among foreign investors who have been notably absent while China's markets and economy roared back to life after Beijing abruptly lifted its stringent zero-COVID policy in December. Alibaba's shares (9988.HK) are up more than 14% in the five days since the company's announcement and some 11.7 billion yuan ($1.7 billion) in foreign cash has flowed into China's markets. That's already more than the net 9.2 billion yuan in inflows in February and drove March flows to 35.4 billion yuan and the quarter's inflow to a record of 186 billion yuan. Premier Li Qiang assured foreign investors that China would unswervingly adhere to reform and opening up, expanding market access and optimising the business environment. Ernest Yeung, a portfolio manager at U.S. asset manager T. Rowe Price, anticipated "a gradual process of stabilisation" of private enterprises and the internet sector.
China new home sales rise sharply in March - survey
  + stars: | 2023-04-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
BEIJING, April 3 (Reuters) - China's new home sales rose sharply in March, as a slew of support policies boosted a pickup in demand across the board in 14 surveyed cities, a private survey showed on Monday. The sales of new homes rose 55.7% month-on-month, up from growth of 31.9% in February, according to data from the China Index Academy — one of the country's largest independent real estate researchers. Tier-one cities — including the nation's capital Beijing and the commercial hub of Shanghai — rose the fastest, jumping 73% last month. Sales in tier-two cities and tier-three cities grew 54.7% and 28.6%, respectively. Prices of new homes in 100 Chinese cities rose at the fastest pace in nine months in March, a separate survey by the researcher showed on Saturday.
UBS has named a number of Chinese stocks it says have remained "resilient" during periods of heightened geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. Chinese stocks were volatile after tensions rose between the U.S. and China over alleged spy balloons shot down over North America in February. To combat such swings in investors' portfolios, UBS identified stocks it said have historically been resilient during periods of heightened geopolitical tension. The Swiss bank said the stocks that tend to outperform during periods of geopolitical tension are typically domestic-focused, have lower foreign investor ownership, and are stable and defensive. In contrast, UBS said the 20 stocks that historically perform the worst during times of geopolitical tension tend to be listed in the U.S. and are typically in the internet and biotech sectors.
After three years of turbulence under the Covid pandemic, China's leaders are expected to lay out goals to get growth back on track. China's onshore stocks often see a modest rally after the country's party congress sessions, but economists and strategists are mixed on whether that pattern will carry on this year. "The market tends to have reasonable performance pre- and after-twin sessions," Hao Hong, chief economist of Grow Investment Group told CNBC. But there's been fluctuation ahead of this year's sessions: He pointed to a recent decline after Hong Kong stocks rallied roughly 50% and China's mainland stocks rose by 15%. He expects the indexes to move between gains and losses of 3%, "unless there are policies unexpected by the market," he said.
REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File PhotoHONG KONG, Feb 27 (Reuters) - JPMorgan (JPM.N) is proposing a new Asia credit index with slashed China weighting in parallel to its existing $85 billion Asia credit index, two sources said, amid growing geopolitical tensions and dimming appetite for Chinese property bonds. For the new index, JPMorgan has suggested the weighting of China be cut to close to 30% compared with a level of about 43% in its existing JPMorgan Asia credit index (.JPMACI) (JACI) in which China is the largest component, according to one person with direct knowledge of the matter. JACI is a premier Asia credit index, tracked by fund managers controlling more than $85 billion worth of assets, according to the January proposal. INDEX RESHUFFLEThe proposal to reduce China weighting came after some fund managers pushed JPMorgan to cut JACI's China debt exposure, two sources said, as its poor performance dragged down popularity of the passive products that track the index. Jane Cai, a fixed income portfolio manager at China Asset Management (Hong Kong), said at a media briefing this month that JPMorgan was also internally discussing an ex-China Asia credit index.
Feb 24 (Reuters) - Shares of Chinese companies listed in the United States fell in early trading on Friday as reports that Washington was looking to expand the number of troops helping train Taiwanese forces added to rising Sino-U.S. tensions. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF slipped 2.9%, while KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF shed 2.8%. China's blue-chip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) closed 1% lower during Asia hours, while shares of aerospace defense companies jumped. Relations between the world's two largest economies worsened this month over the shooting down of the Chinese spy balloon, weighing on China ADRs after a sharp rally starting late last year. A multitude of factors weighed on China ADRs last year including a risk of delisting from U.S. exchanges over an audit dispute, trade friction and geopolitical worries.
Stabilising the crisis-hit property sector will be a key challenge for policymakers this year as they try to kick-start an economic recovery. The number of families opting to stay on the sidelines for property in the last quarter rose to 27.2% of respondents from 20.1% in July-October, the survey showed. Respondents' willingness to allocate money to domestic stocks, funds, and overseas asset classes also increased, the survey showed. Cities with high numbers of foreclosures were mostly in central and western China, as well as the prosperous Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions, according to the property research firm. But analysts expect a sustainable recovery in the sector will only kick in towards the second half of this year.
BEIJING, CHINA - FEBRUARY 09: Citizens walk at Wangfujing Pedestrian Street in the snow on February 9, 2023 in Beijing, China. Goldman Sachs strategists see an economic shift from "reopening to recovery" driving Chinese stocks as much as 24% higher by the end of this year. The firm sees a potential 24% upside to the MSCI China index as the country moves past the reopening that followed its stringent zero-Covid policies to a growth phase, according to a Monday note. Chinese stocks entered bull market territory around the Lunar New Year earlier this year – with the MSCI China index peaking at the end of January up nearly 60% from lows seen in October. MSCI China tracks more than 700 China stocks listed globally, including Tencent, BYD and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China.
Herald van der Linde, HSBC's head of equity strategy for Asia Pacific, points out that travel and gaming stocks have already benefited. That has led investors to hunt for sectors and companies with depressed valuations outside China. Reuters GraphicsMSCI China Vs MSCI Asean vs MSCI Asia excluding JapanGLOBAL PUSH OR CHINA PULL? After a torrid 2022, investors have been betting that a swift recovery in China's economy will somewhat cushion the impact of a global slowdown and possible recession. "China and its reopening trade, on the other hand, are in early stages and may be the additional tailwind for Asian equities later this year."
Goldman Sachs says stocks with greater exposure to China or Europe are beating US-focused stocks. That's partly why he believes stocks in China and Europe have more upside than the S&P 500. He thinks the trajectory of the US economy isn't clear right now, but things in China and Europe are getting better. He added that stocks with high international exposure — not just exposure to China — were outperforming their US-centric competitors for the same reasons. In short, he believes that stocks with a large percentage of international sales are poised for a very strong 2023.
London CNN —China’s swift reopening after nearly three years of strict coronavirus controls could provide a much-needed boost to global economic growth, but may also stoke inflation just as it has shown signs of falling back. The revival of the world’s second largest economy — and its biggest consumer of commodities — threatens to push up global prices for fuel, industrial metals and food this year. The speed of the reopening, as well as indications that infections may have already peaked, has been surprising, analysts told CNN. Yet, if global food and energy prices start rising again, that could feed through into higher consumer prices. China’s reopening could bump up demand for agricultural goods, while the world is still in the grips of the worst food crisis in modern history.
Since the turn of the year, investment banks have become increasingly bullish on the world's second-largest economy, upgrading their outlook on its stocks. But Morgan Stanley is going even further: It's predicting that Chinese stocks will beat global markets this year. "This actually implies that the Chinese equity market will top global equity market performance for 2023. So, this is the time to get back into China," Wang said. Stock picks Wang said the "number one trade" she would recommend to investors is to buy "large-cap, highly liquid" Chinese internet names.
The hedge funds that used that as a buying opportunity profited, with tourism and consumption stocks quickly rebounding after Beijing adopted a more targeted COVID-19 policies and reduced quarantines following widespread anti-lockdown protests. The MSCI China index rose by 36% over November and December, even as a surge in case numbers cast doubt over the economic recovery in the short term. The strategy, managed by chief investment officer Peng She, made a 20% net return in 2022. For 2023, hedge fund managers said they were even more bullish about China, expecting traditional valuation metrics to return to focus after a year driven by macro events. Reporting by Summer Zhen; Editing by Vidya Ranganathan and Jamie FreedOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
"'We believe Asian markets are well positioned vs. developed markets as we expect China re-opening to be a key driver, which would benefit even Asia ex China markets," McCarthy wrote. Broadening that out even further, emerging markets in general are a favorite of many investment strategists. But emerging markets can be tricky for investors, and volatile. Another way for investors to play a recovery in emerging markets, with more dispersed currency and political risk, could be sector funds tied to commodities. "I can buy ETFs that have exposure to say BHP, Rio Tinto, Anglo American, Glencore," Sohn said.
New York CNN —Investors are holding their breath in anticipation of Thursday morning’s Consumer Price Index inflation report — arguably the most important piece of economic data so far this year. There’s a lot riding on the outcome — if inflation keeps falling, that could support a market rally, while higher-than-expected inflation could send stocks sinking. Asian stocks enter bull market as investors bet on ChinaUS stocks may be volatile, but in Asia markets are soaring. The retreat will likely cause Wells Fargo to lay off at least some employees, though the bank did not announce any specifics. The move comes as Wells Fargo continues to be in trouble with regulators.
The Chinese and Hong Kong flags flutter outside the Exchange Square complex in Hong Kong on Feb. 16, 2021. Asia-Pacific's leading index entered a bull market this week, fueled by a rally in Chinese stocks from optimism surrounding the nation's reopening and the weakening of the U.S. dollar on prospects of a pivot in the Federal Reserve. The MSCI Asia Pacific index hit a high of 162.33 on Tuesday – roughly 21% higher than its 52-week low of 133.93 reached on Oct. 24, according to Refinitiv data. A bull market is technically defined as a surge of 20% or more from recent lows. In regional equities, the Hang Seng index hit an intraday high of 21,470.69 on Monday, or 47% higher than the end of October.
Asian stocks enter bull market as investors bet on China
  + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
London CNN —Stocks in Asia are starting 2023 in a bull market. The rally has been driven by a rebound in investor sentiment towards Chinese stocks. The MSCI China index rose 2.4% on Tuesday to stand 50% above its low on October 31. Nasdaq’s Golden Dragon China index — which tracks Chinese companies listed in the United States — rose 0.72% on Monday, putting it 71.3% above where it was trading in late October. Investors have snapped up Chinese stocks as the country rapidly unwound its strict zero-Covid policy.
Premarket stocks: Bonds are back, but for how long?
  + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —Stocks soared on Friday to their best day in more than a month. But the big turnaround story during the short first week of the year isn’t just about equities, it’s also about bonds. Bonds are particularly sensitive to those increases — as rates are hiked, the price of existing bonds falls as investors prefer the new debt that will soon be issued with those higher interest payouts. This time around, investors are scooping up bonds as they anticipate the pace of Fed interest rate hikes will soon ease. Core bonds, or US investment grade debt, tend to perform well during Fed rate hike pauses.
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