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☆ China's earnings season is just getting started. Here are some winners to watch
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-23 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Their screen found that home appliances, media and software sectors were among those that fit the bill. When it comes to individual stocks, HSBC looked for names where their estimates were most above the consensus. Top on the list is software company 360 Security, which HSBC's earnings estimate for the year is double the consensus. Baosight, another software company, also made the top 10, as did home appliance company Sanhua. But not all software stocks made the cut.

Persons: Price, That's, Ding Wenjie, There's, Ant, Didi, Ding, Goldman Sachs, Lei Meng, Meng, Steven Sun, iFlytek Organizations: HSBC, That's, China Asset Management, CNBC, Alibaba, UBS Securities China Equity, CSI, HSBC Qianhai Securities Locations: China, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen

☆ We're positive on China's internet stocks, JPMorgan says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're positive on China's internet stocks, JPMorgan saysWendy Liu, JPMorgan's chief Asia and China equity strategist, says digitalization and artificial intelligence development will give companies a "huge edge."

Persons: Wendy Liu Organizations: JPMorgan Locations: Asia, China

☆ Sequential stablization in China data key for improvement in market sentiment: Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSequential stablization in China data key for improvement in market sentiment: Bank of AmericaPolicy support will be needed if there is a continual downward spiral in China's economic data, says Winnie Wu, Bank of America's chief China equity strategist.

Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of America's Locations: China

☆ China has the potential to be a 'powerful competitor' in artificial intelligence, BofA says
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina has the potential to be a 'powerful competitor' in artificial intelligence, BofA saysWinnie Wu, chief China equity strategist at the investment bank, discusses the "massive challenges" that the country faces in the development of artificial intelligence as well as its vast potential for growth in the area.

Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: China Locations: China

☆ Investors channel billions into emerging markets, but China drops again-IIF
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The fifth consecutive month of positive foreign investor cash flows to emerging markets came despite outflows of $7.2 billion from Chinese debt and a small $100 million inflow to the country's equities, the IIF found. Investor appetite for China has been cooling against a backdrop of disappointing data, deteriorating Sino-U.S. relations and regulatory crack-downs from Beijing that unsettled markets. Overall, investors put $6.9 billion into emerging market equities and $3.5 billion into debt. The bulk of the incoming cash - a total of $16.4 billion - went to Asian emerging markets, with equities in India, Taiwan and Korea drawing large investments. Investors pulled a total of $5.8 billion from emerging markets in Africa and the Middle East.

Persons: Amanda Perobelli LONDON, Jonathan Fortun, Fortun, Libby George, Toby Chopra Organizations: REUTERS, Institute of International Finance, Reuters, U.S, Investors, Thomson Locations: Sao Paulo, Brazil, outflows, China, U.S, Beijing, Asian, India, Taiwan, Korea, Africa, Outflows, South Africa

☆ Wall Street faces life in China’s second tier
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Antony Currie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Recent earnings reports from U.S. investment banks defy the sober mood among China-focused financiers. Morgan Stanley’s (MS.N) Asia revenue in the first three months of the year was almost 40% above the final quarter of 2022. Companies going public in Hong Kong have raised $2 billion so far this year, per Dealogic. At some point Hong Kong IPOs and cross-border M&A are likely to perk up. Many of those trades flow through the Hong Kong bourse’s Stock Connect links to the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, outlast, It’s, Morgan Stanley’s, Sharon Yeshaya, Goldman Sachs’s, that’s, Stephanie Hui, Goldman Sachs, ”, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, That’s, Breakingviews, Hong Kong, Peter Thal Larsen, Katrina Hamlin Organizations: MELBOURNE, Reuters, JPMorgan, Communist Party, Companies, HK, KKR, Reuters Graphics, Tuesday, Bank of America, Wall, China Securities, Financial Times, Apple, Hong Kong bourse’s, Goldman, JPMorgan –, Bloomberg, Thomson Locations: China, Shanghai, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Beijing, Washington, United States, People’s Republic, Germany, Hong, Shenzhen, Greater China, Pacific

Refinitiv data shows foreigners sold $1.71 billion worth of mainland shares this month via Stock Connect, a key cross-border link between the mainland and Hong Kong exchanges, after selling $659 million in April. Despite outflows in February, April and May, foreigners' net purchases of mainland shares still stood at $25.05 billion for the first five months of this year, compared with net buying of about $6.36 billion worth over the whole of 2022. "Foreigners seem to have been selling because of the underwhelming near-term economic data points and, perhaps, because of the opportunities available to investors with a broader (pan-Asia or global) mandate," Pershad said. "We presume other investors have re-allocated some capital from China to those markets (and others) this year." Reporting By Patturaja Murugaboopathy and Gaurav Dogra in Bengaluru; Editing by Vidya Ranganathan & Simon Cameron-MooreOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Pruksa Iamthongthong, Refinitiv, Alexander Davey, Vikas Pershad, Pershad, Patturaja Murugaboopathy, Gaurav Dogra, Vidya Ranganathan, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Stock Connect, Reuters, National Bureau of Statistics, P Global, PMI, Morningstar, Allianz All China Equity WT, HK, HSBC Asset Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, G Investments, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, China, Morningstar ,, Taiwan, Shanghai, Asia, Bengaluru

☆ China's economy is growing again. So why are investors dumping stocks?
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Investors trimmed their exposure to China amid economic uncertainty in the country, rising geopolitical tensions and Beijing’s crackdown on international consulting firms. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index has lost more than 5% since April 18. Another concern for global investors is the country’s “fundamental investability,” he said, referring to geopolitical and Chinese policy risks. Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, one of the world’s largest pension funds, has closed its Hong Kong-based China equity investment team. “The more cracks appear in Western economies,” the more global investors will need to put money into Chinese assets, he added.

☆ China's economic data misses expectations as economy continues to show uneven recovery
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

YANGZHOU, CHINA - MAY 02: Aerial view of tourists visiting the Dongguan street during the May Day holiday on May 2, 2023. China's economic data for April broadly missed expectations as the economy continued to show an uneven path of recovery from the impact of its stringent Covid restrictions. Industrial production for April rose by 5.6% year-on-year, compared to the 10.9% expected by economists surveyed in a Reuters poll. "It's not good enough to meet with investors' expectations – that's a problem," Wu said, adding that the momentum from China's pent-up demand seems to be fading away. "The recovery of income, of job security, and confidence will take time," she said.

"We are looking into ways to express this (China recovery) theme in our portfolio rather than just say 'let's go long China equity'. "Given the higher risk premium of China stocks, the demand for 'shadowing' China will continue to be strong," Jefferies said. The relative cheapness of European stocks, at least at the start of this year, has also been important. Luxury stocks - less vulnerable to sanctions - have performed well, but geopolitical worries have bruised tech firms, and manufacturing difficulties have hurt commodity stocks. "What is doing extremely well this year is luxury; if you'd bought European miners hoping that China would stimulate, you'd have got it wrong."

☆ Geopolitics is shrinking India’s risk premium
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( Una Galani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

They are lured by a country whose potential as an alternative investment destination to China increasingly outweighs the local challenges of doing business. India’s $3 trillion economy is forecast to grow by 6.5% this fiscal year, continuing to outpace the rest of the world. Executives and investors also see a business-friendly government that is likely to remain in power for the next half-decade. Morgan Stanley analysts and strategists expect India to become the world’s third-largest economy and stock market before the end of the decade. The India risk premium is rapidly disappearing.

HONG KONG, May 2 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Money flowing into the People's Republic is getting uncomfortably hot. Yet recent reversals in New York, Hong Kong and Shanghai suggest that is driven by fickle short-term funds – exactly what Beijing doesn’t want. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsFollow @mak_robyn on TwitterCONTEXT NEWSChinese spirit maker ZJLD shares closed down 18% lower than their initial public offering price on their trading debut April 27. The KKR-backed company raised $676 million in what was the biggest offering in Hong Kong since October 2022. Separately, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan, Canada's third largest pension fund, closed down its China equity investment team based in Hong Kong, Reuters reported on April 25, citing sources.

☆ China investment consensus cracks as politics fuel fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

It is unlikely to be resolved quickly even if the markets keep rallying and China economy keeps global growth ticking. Data paints a murky picture, but supports brokers' analysis that the bid from long-only money managers is absent. Allocation analysis from data firm EPFR shows a broad downtrend, especially to U.S.-domiciled China funds. EPFR figures show allocation to China funds outside the U.S. has increased for two years and mainland markets' recent performance has also been encouraging. "Our reservations about China's long-term investment prospects are based on our outlook for returns to capital."

☆ China is home to one of the world's biggest luxury markets, and it's starting to make a comeback after the country's 3-year COVID lockdowns
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Nidhi Pandurangi | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China is an important luxury market. Bain expects these consumers will account for 46% of the global luxury market by 2025. However, Wu's comments echoed Bain's positive outlook for China's luxury market. China's consumer price index, or CPI — the monthly change in prices paid by consumers — showed bleak data for March. It could be the reason Bank of America's Wu told CNBC that strong recovery across China's consumer sector has not yet been seen.

☆ From hotpot to bubble tea, BOFA says China may be seeing signs of consumption recovery
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Signs of recovery may be emerging in China's luxury and consumer discretionary goods sectors, said an analyst from Bank of America, even as China released data showing consumer inflation at an 18-month low. "In terms of luxury high-end [consumption] — we're seeing quite strong recovery," said the bank's chief China equity strategist Winnie Wu. "On the lower end, the bubble tea, the Shabu Shabu, those hotpots — we're seeing good recovery." China's luxury market fell 10% in 2022, declining for the first time in five years, according to Bain & Company. Wu, however, maintained that a good overall recovery across China's consumer sector has yet to be seen.

☆ Most Asian equities see outflows in Feb as rate-hike jitters weigh
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-07 | by ( Gaurav Dogra | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Foreigners sold equities worth a net $2.1 billion in Thai, Indian, the Philippine and Vietnam markets, data from stock exchanges showed. The trend of money flowing from South Asia into North Asian equities continued in February due to China's plans to reopen borders. Thai equities suffered $1.28 billion worth of foreign outflows, the biggest monthly net selling by outsiders since April 2020. Meanwhile, Indian and Philippine equities also recorded $647 million and $155 million worth of foreign outflows. On the other hand, Indonesian equities received $378 million in February after seeing outflows worth $1.55 billion in the previous two months.

HONG KONG, March 3 (Reuters) - Bank of America (BAC.N) and Citigroup (C.N) have cut some investment banking jobs in Asia, people familiar with the matter told Reuters, joining global peers in paring headcount as China dealmaking slows. Citi on Thursday trimmed four jobs from its China investment banking team, said one of the two people and a separate person. BofA and Citi both declined to comment on layoffs involving investment bankers in Asia. JPMorgan (JPM.N) has also cut around 20 investment banking jobs, mostly mid-level bankers focused on China deals, according to two separate sources. Nomura Holdings Inc (8604.T) has cut 18 Asian banking jobs, most of them China-focused investment banking roles, sources have said.

☆ Is Asia's bull market over? Strategists say there's room for stocks to rally further
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The region's rally – supported by China's reopening – seems to have hit a wall, but economists say MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan has further room to run. I still expect the Asian stock markets will outperform their U.S. peers after a short-term correction on China's reopening in 2023. "Modest valuations, light investor positioning and good fundamentals are buffers that should help Asian stocks withstand near-term volatility," BNP's Liu said. She added that domestic demand in the region will be the "driver of economic growth," and she expects trade volumes to recover with China's market reopening. "I still expect the Asian stock markets will outperform their U.S. peers after a short-term correction on China's reopening in 2023," she said.

☆ Reopening to recovery: Goldman Sachs sees China stocks surging as much as 24% by end of 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-20 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

BEIJING, CHINA - FEBRUARY 09: Citizens walk at Wangfujing Pedestrian Street in the snow on February 9, 2023 in Beijing, China. Goldman Sachs strategists see an economic shift from "reopening to recovery" driving Chinese stocks as much as 24% higher by the end of this year. The firm sees a potential 24% upside to the MSCI China index as the country moves past the reopening that followed its stringent zero-Covid policies to a growth phase, according to a Monday note. Chinese stocks entered bull market territory around the Lunar New Year earlier this year – with the MSCI China index peaking at the end of January up nearly 60% from lows seen in October. MSCI China tracks more than 700 China stocks listed globally, including Tencent, BYD and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China.

But retail investors are haunted by the regulatory purges, volatility and losses since 2021. With 212 million retail investors, equal to Brazil's population, the conservatism of China's retail army has implications for the viability of the rally. Individual retail investor transactions accounted for about 60% of the total A-shares turnover in late 2022, China Securities Regulatory Commission Chairman Yi Huiman said in November. But data shows barely any investor accounts being opened and the margin financing that retail investors typically use has plateaued. Retail investors are waiting for clearer policy signals, said Lei Meng, China equities strategist at UBS Securities.

☆ 'The worst is over': Tech investors are bullish on investing in China again
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-07 | by ( Sheila Chiang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Liu Ranyang | China News Service | Getty ImagesTech investors say the worst is over as China reopens and exits its zero-Covid policy. The firm raised nearly $500 million for a new China tech fund set to close by early this year — more than earlier plans for $400 million. Tech companies see government supportInvestors are not worried of new challenges on the regulatory front. Gobi's Tang said, "I do think that they're going to do everything they can to try to spur the economic growth. "There's still a lot to catch up [in semiconductor tech] for China.

☆ Morgan Stanley says China's market will be the biggest winner in 2023 and these stocks stand out
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( Zavier Ong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Since the turn of the year, investment banks have become increasingly bullish on the world's second-largest economy, upgrading their outlook on its stocks. But Morgan Stanley is going even further: It's predicting that Chinese stocks will beat global markets this year. "This actually implies that the Chinese equity market will top global equity market performance for 2023. So, this is the time to get back into China," Wang said. Stock picks Wang said the "number one trade" she would recommend to investors is to buy "large-cap, highly liquid" Chinese internet names.

☆ Know what's in your ETFs: Wild divergence in retail funds to start 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

At the same time, several online retail stocks have boomed, thanks in part to China abandoning its zero Covid policy. That has created a large gap between some retail ETFs, with broader funds lagging behind those with an e-commerce focus. For example, the Amplify Online Retail ETF (IBUY) and ProShares Online Retail ETF (ONLN) gained 7.7% and 8.1%, respectively in the first five trading days of the year. IBUY YTD mountain Online retail ETFs like IBUY are off to a fast start in 2023. Any reversal there could push retail ETFs that also hold more traditional "brick-and-mortar" stores, back into the lead.

Shifts in tones at big banks suggest they are warming up to Chinese equities, especially as the strong returns so far and the fear of missing out on more gains start to apply pressure. "This is still a long path and we remain very bullish on Chinese equities ...and also the currency," he said. "When the market goes up, naturally that will attract international investors to look at China again," said Nicholas Yeo, head of China equities at abrdn. Foreign investors bought a net 41 billion yuan ($6.06 billion) of China stocks via the China-Hong Kong Stock Connect Scheme so far this year, compared with 90 billion yuan of China stocks bought in all of 2022. They bought a net 35 billion yuan of China stocks in December.

Global stocks rallied and the dollar dropped. The upbeat market momentum continued on Monday, with Asian stocks up after China reopened its borders, bolstering the outlook for the global economy. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose to its highest in more than six months. Redha said that there was "over-excitement" in the market reaction to the U.S. jobs data, and that more wage data would be needed. Emerging market stocks (.MSCIEF) were up 2.4% on the day, and have risen by more than 20% since their October lows.

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