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CNBC Daily Open: Markets defied expectations last month
  + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on May 24, 2024 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Winning month and quarterU.S. markets rose on Monday to finish a winning month and quarter. While that may remind investors of the 2015 bubble, when the Chinese stock market doubled in value over six months, analysts think things are different this time.
Persons: Tesla, Jerome Powell, Powell, Cerebras, Stocks Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Nikkei, . Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Nvidia, Systems, Nasdaq, CSI, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, China, Hong Kong, South
US-listed gaming and copper stocks have outperformed since China's stimulus blitz, Trivariate Research says. "We have concluded the intervention is incrementally bullish for US equities," CEO Adam Parker wrote. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementGaming and copper stocks listed in the US have outperformed since China unleashed a blitz of stimulus, and one research firm is recommending investors consider buying. Parker says historically, not all China stimulus measures have impacted US equities, especially when they coincide with other market moving events in the US.
Persons: Adam Parker, , Trivariate Research's, Parker, Trivariate, that's Organizations: Trivariate, Sands, Service, CNBC, US, Wynn Resorts, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, CSI Locations: Freeport, McMoran, Las, China, Monday's, McMoRan, Macau
Chinese property stocks climbed 7% on Monday three major cities eased homebuying rules. China's property sector has struggled amid falling home prices, vacant supply, and debt. AdvertisementChinese property stocks got some positive news on Monday as three major cities announced easing of home-purchase restrictions. The surge comes after the cities of Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou loosened homebuying restrictions, and after nation's central bank said it will allow refinancing of mortgages. The moves are part of China's new stimulus package meant to reinvigorate its slowing economy and weak property sector.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Stephen Cheung Organizations: Service, Mainland Properties, Longfor, Holdings, Hang Lung, CSI Locations: Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Beijing
China's bond traders are piling into the safe-haven asset despite recent stimulus efforts. The 30-year government bond yield hit its lowest level since 2005 last week and fell again Monday. AdvertisementWhile Chinese stocks have roared on Beijing's stimulus jolt, the country's bond market suggests there's lingering skepticism. But the bond market seemed less convinced, with the 30-year government bond yield falling the next day to close to its lowest level since 2005. Investors may be reacting to the widely held view that despite the size and scope of China's stimulus moves, they still might not be enough.
Persons: , Stocks, it's Organizations: Bank of America, Service, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China, CNY1.85tn
Noel Celis | Afp | Getty ImagesShares of Chinese property developers rallied on Monday after major cities in mainland China unveiled easing measures to boost homebuyer sentiment, following the central bank's blitz of policy stimulus. The Guangzhou city government said in a notice on Sunday that all restrictions on home purchases would be removed, effective from Monday. China Overseas Land & Investment and China Vanke climbed 5.06% and 12.89%. Mainland China's CSI 300 surged 6% Monday, after the index logged its best week in almost 16 years on Friday. The easing measures follow the central government's call last week to combat the property slump last week.
Persons: Noel Celis, China Vanke, Allen Feng, Gary Ng, Ng, Xi Jinping Organizations: HK, Afp, Getty, Mainland Properties, Longfor Group Holdings, Hang Lung, China Resources, ., . China Overseas Land & Investment, China's CSI, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: Guangzhou, China's, Guangdong, China, Shanghai, Hong Kong, . China, , Beijing, People's Bank of China
As a result of that excitement, China ETFs are dominating the list of top performing funds in September, according to FactSet. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) was up about 22% on the month, while the KraneSharesCSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) was up more than 32%. Other top performers include the Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) and the Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) , with September gains of roughly 32% and 30%, respectively. The MSCI China Index's total annualized return during that period is under 1%. The average here is a gain of +78% over 176 trading days vs. a decline of -42% over 165 trading days," the note continued.
Persons: Todd Sohn, David Tepper, there's Organizations: People's Bank of, CSI, China Internet, Dragon China Locations: People's Bank of China, China, U.S
Japan's August retail sales climbed 2.8% year on year, beating Reuters poll estimates of a 2.3% rise, and up from a revised 2.7% rise in July. Ishida had beaten Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi in the final round of the Liberal Democratic Party election on Friday, sending the yen into a volatile session. A higher interest rate typically strengthens the yen and puts pressure on Japanese stock markets, which are heavily weighted by exporters. Chinese rally puts pressureThe Nikkei's decline on Monday also comes at a time when China's markets have been surging. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Ishida, Sanae Takaichi, Ryota Abe, Takaichi, Ishiba, Abe, Steven Glass, CNBC's Organizations: Economic, Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of Japan, Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, CNBC, Bank of, Pella Funds Management, CSI Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Pella, Hong
US stocks dipped slightly on Monday as investors await key employment data this week. Economists predict about 145,000 new jobs in September, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%. The Fed's renewed focus on jobs data could influence future interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks edged lower on Monday as investors prepare for a wave of employment data this week. Economists expect about 145,000 jobs added to the economy in September, with the unemployment rate staying flat at 4.2%.
Persons: , Shigeru Ishiba Organizations: Service, Here's, Overseas, CSI, Nikkei Locations: China
China's aggressive stimulus measures have sparked a significant stock market rally. Still, traders, investors, and speculators have sent China's stock market to its best month in nearly a decade, signaling that the market players think that Beijing's moves are a "bazooka." The People's Bank of China's stock market stimulus was unusual. An active stock market and improved investor confidence will improve expectations for economic development," the media outlet wrote. Mainland China's stock markets will also be closed from Tuesday to Monday.
Persons: , Vishnu, Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Criss Wang, Data.TS, Varathan Organizations: Service, CSI, People's Bank, China Securities Journal, Chinese Communist Party, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Asia, Japan
The Chinese stock market just had its best single day in more than a decade. It's also the last trading day of the week in China due to the Golden Week holiday. Against this backdrop, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara highlighted one S & P 500 sector that might benefit the most from a rebound in China's economy: materials. Some materials stocks highlighted by O'Hara as potential winners, at least based on their price charts alone, are O-I Glass , Corteva and Freeport-McMoRan . To be sure, investors should tread carefully in materials, O'Hara said.
Persons: It's, Roth MKM's JC O'Hara, O'Hara Organizations: CSI, Seaport, Disney Locations: China, Freeport, McMoRan
Until the government's measures pan out, investment strategists are recommending a handful of oversold stocks in China. U.S. hedge fund billionaire David Tepper said Thursday on CNBC's " Squawk Box " that he bought more Chinese stocks after the change in China policy. That hedge fund allocation rose to 7.3% on Tuesday, which saw the largest single day purchases by hedge funds since March 2021, Rubner said. Retail investors account for the majority of trading activity in mainland Chinese stocks, also known as A shares. Mainland Chinese stock exchanges are scheduled to close from Oct. 1 to Oct. 7 for a holiday, which this year commemorates the 75th anniversary of the People's Republic of China.
Persons: Wendy Liu, Rupal Agarwal, Bernstein, David Tepper, Donald Trump, Tepper, Pan Gongsheng, Xi Jinping, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Goldman, China hasn't, Li Dongfang, Li, financials, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, JPMorgan, Tal Education, Huawei, People's Bank of China, CNBC, HK Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Tsingtao, U.S, Zhejiang, Asia, Hong Kong, Beijing, Mainland, People's Republic of China
Chinese markets clocked their best week in almost 16 years as the mainland’s CSI 300 rallied 15.7% this week, buoyed by several economic stimulus measures by the central bank. The last time the index saw a bigger weekly gain was the week ending Nov. 14, 2008. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index recorded a weekly gain of 12.75%, making it the index’s best week since February 1998, according to FactSet data. Tokyo’s headline inflation rate eased to 2.2%, down from August’s 2.6%. A slate of fresh U.S. economic data also supported the market’s gains, with weekly jobless claims falling more than expected, pointing to a steady labor market.
Persons: Hong, PBOC, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi, Korea’s Kospi, Australia’s, Organizations: CSI, People’s Bank of China, Google, Shanghai Stock Exchange, Reuters, Japan’s Nikkei, of Japan, U.S ., Micron Technology, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China, Shanghai, Asia, Pacific, Tokyo, August’s, U.S
China's stock markets surged this week, marking the best weekly performance since late 2008. AdvertisementChina's stock markets closed sharply higher Friday, notching their best week in 16 years as investors joined the rally party. The stock market party overwhelmed tech systemsThe stock market party got too hot to handle. AdvertisementFurthermore, the US Federal Reserve has started cutting interest rates, which has historically benefited Chinese markets, they added. So even if Beijing's stimulus isn't enough for China's economy, a liquidity or leverage-driven market rally could still be "very powerful," they wrote.
Persons: , Vishnu Varathan, Hong, Hao Hong, Pan Gongsheng, Data.TS, Freya Beamish, Rory Green Organizations: Service, Grow Investment, Shanghai Stock Exchange, of America, Bank of America, US Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China Locations: China, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Shanghai, India
Wang, chief China equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, told CNBC's " Street Signs Asia " Friday that the index could rise by another 10%. But she cautioned that more details on Beijing's recent economic stimulus measures were needed for a sustained rally. Chinese stocks rose further after Beijing on Thursday called for halting the real estate slump and a strengthening of monetary and fiscal policy. He said he's bought more Chinese stocks since. "After the break, we would really like to see as soon as possible the execution details on the physical spending and on the market stabilization measures," Wang said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Laura Wang, Wang, Morgan Stanley, CNBC's, Goldman Sachs, David Tepper, he's Organizations: CSI Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Beijing
CNBC Daily Open: More all-time highs? Yes please
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Why are Treasury yields rising? Treasury yields tend to move in tandem with interest rates. When the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates last week, it's not unreasonable to expect Treasury yields to dip.
Persons: Hong, it's, they've, Jeff Cox, Sam Altman, Bret Taylor, Sarah Friar, OpenAI's, Ishiba, Shigeru Ishiba, Sanae Takaichi Organizations: CNBC, Major, CSI, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Altman, PM, Liberal Democratic, Bank of, People's Bank of China, Barclays Locations: Major U.S, Asia, Pacific
City of London skyline on 10th June 2024 in London, United Kingdom. The City of London is a city, ceremonial county and local government district that contains the primary central business district CBD of London. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in positive territory Thursday, spurred on by gains in Asia-Pacific markets overnight. The positive start to the trading day anticipated in Europe comes after Asia-Pacific markets rose overnight, with markets in the region led by Japan's Nikkei 225 and Chinese markets extending gains. Japan's Nikkei climbed 2.12%, while the broad based Topix was up 1.65%, as the Bank of Japan released minutes of its July meeting.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: LONDON, CAC, IG, Japan's Nikkei, Bank of Japan, China's CSI Locations: London, United Kingdom, The City, Asia, Pacific, Europe
Stocks in China rose in response, with the CSI 300 Index climbing 4.3% Tuesday, its best day since July 2020. But whether or not the latest policy steps succeed, CNBC Pro screened for China stocks that analysts praise regardless of the pace of economic growth at home. About three quarters of analysts covering PDD rate it a buy, and the stock could climb roughly 43% based on analysts' consensus price target. On Tuesday, after the announcement of the latest policies to revive the flagging China economy, PDD shares in the U.S. jumped more than 11%. Other names on the list of favored China stocks included online learning and tutoring provider TAL Education Group and digital shipping platform Full Truck Alliance .
Persons: Hong, Morgan Stanley, Terence Flynn, Flynn, CoreValues, Ben Harburg, CNBC's, Harburg, Biden Organizations: People's Bank of China, CSI, CNBC Pro, China ETF, Therapeutics, YE25, U.S, TAL Education Group, Alliance Locations: China, Ph3, U.S
Red flags fly at Tiananmen Square in Beijing, China, on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. Asia-Pacific markets rose on Thursday, with markets in the region rebounding and Chinese markets poised to extend gains. Mainland China's CSI 300 has notched a five-day winning streak, hitting its highest levels in almost two months after Beijing rolled out a slate of economic stimulus measures on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index is set for a third straight day of gains, according to futures data.
Persons: Hong Organizations: China's CSI Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific
The measures were significant because Beijing has been holding back on a "bazooka" stimulus even though China's economy has been struggling to stage a convincing recovery post-pandemic. To be sure, this is not the first attempt China has made at boosting its economy in the past few years. However, Beijing's display of resolve also triggered market speculation that it's alarmed and panicked over the state of its economy, which is facing multiple challenges. Related storiesNotably, even on the heels of China's big stimulus announcement, most analysts also think Beijing still needs to do more to boost China's economy, particularly in boosting gloomy domestic demand. "Onshore stocks are a policy- and momentum-driven market, and policy signals don't get much clearer than this," they wrote.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Andrew Rocco, Rocco didn't, Pan, Freya Beamish, Rory Green, Anthony Sassine, Sassine, Rocco, macroeconomy, China's CSI300 Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Lombard, Investors, Zacks Investment Research, Global Data.TS, Yahoo Finance, Data.TS Locations: China, Beijing, Swiss, London
A General view showing the Hong Kong Skyline in Hong Kong, Saturday, May 22, 2021. (Photo by Vernon Yuen/NurPhoto via Getty Images)Asia-Pacific markets open higher on Wednesday, while futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index suggested a 4% rise for the index when trading starts. HSI futures were at 19,763, compared to the index's last close of 19,000. Chinese markets rallied yesterday after the country's central bank announced a slate of economic support measures, with the HSI seeing its best day in seven months, while mainland China's CSI 300 recorded its largest one-day gain in over four years. Investors will be watching Australia's inflation numbers on Wednesday, with the consumer price index expected to post a 2.7% rise year on year, according to economists polled by Reuters.
Persons: Vernon Yuen Organizations: Hong Kong Skyline, Getty Images, CSI, Reuters Locations: Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific
The Chinese yuan has weakened sharply against the U.S. dollar in the last several weeks as the greenback strengthens and investors worry about China's economic growth. China's yuan hit its strongest level in over 16 months on Wednesday after Beijing unveiled a slate of stimulus measures to shore up the slowing economy on Tuesday. The Chinese offshore yuan strengthened briefly to 6.9946 per dollar, the strongest since May 2023. China's onshore yuan is currently trading at 7.0319 against the greenback, also holding at the strongest levels since last May. China bonds rallied after the PBOC announcement with 10-year and 30-year yields hitting record lows.
Persons: Ben Emons, Edmund Goh, Zerlina Zeng, CreditSights, Pan Gongsheng, Emons, Hong, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: U.S, Beijing, greenback, Fed Watch, BNP, U.S ., Asia Credit, People's Bank of China Gov, CSI Locations: China, abrdn, Hong Kong, London, Singapore, New York
"Today's policy measures are bold by historical standards," Betty Wang, the lead economist at Oxford Economics, wrote in a note on Tuesday. Stimulus measures don't address consumptionDespite the fanfare, analysts are divided over whether the moves that ease monetary policy constitute a massive "bazooka" stimulus. AdvertisementMost say the monetary easing policies don't address the lack of confidence contributing to depressed consumer spending. China has pulled out multiple support measures this year to shore up its economy and stock markets, but any kneejerk optimism has been shortlived. Advertisement"Overall, we feel today's measures are a step in the right direction, especially as multiple measures have been announced together rather than spacing out individual piecemeal measures to a more limited effect," Lynn Song, the Greater China chief economist at ING bank, wrote on Tuesday.
Persons: , Pan Gongsheng, Pan, Betty Wang, Wang, it's, Nomura, Lynn Song Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Analysts, Oxford Economics, CSI, Nomura, ING Locations: Beijing, China, Greater China
The boost comes shortly after China introduced a swath of new stimulus measures to prop up its sluggish economy and boost domestic demand. AdvertisementThe new stimulus measures also boosted China's CSI 300 of Shanghai- and Shenzhen-listed shares, with the index closing 4.3% higher on Tuesday in its best day in four years. And the Stoxx Europe 600 index climbed as much as 0.9%, led by luxury stocks amid hopes that sluggish Chinese consumer spending will rebound. Yet, some analysts remain wary that China's stimulus measures won't have drastic enough impacts to actually rescue the country from its economic woes. AdvertisementIn recent months, China's economy has struggled to escape weak consumer sentiment and continues to face a struggling property sector.
Persons: , Yingrui Wang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Tencent Holdings, Alibaba, Holding, Business, CSI, US Federal Reserve, AXA Investment Locations: Hong Kong, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Europe
Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Tuesday, tracking gains on Wall Street after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average touched new closing highs in Monday's trading session. The broad market index added 0.28% to end at 5,718.57, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 61.29 points, or 0.15%, to close at 42,124.65. The briefing is set to begin before Chinese markets open at 9:30 a.m. Currently, futures for the mainland Chinese CSI 300 are at 3,205.6, slightly lower than its last close of 3,212.76. As such, CBA expects a slightly less hawkish statement, but does not see a material shift in language or tone.
Persons: Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial, Traders, People's Bank of China, PBOC, CSI, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, CBA Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia's
The sails of the Opera House are illuminated with projections on the opening night of Vivid Sydney 2023 in Sydney, Australia, on Friday, May 26, 2023. Anadolu Agency | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets mostly fell on Friday, putting a halt to gains from Thursday even as Wall Street's tech rally continued. This was above July's revised figure of 3.6% and also beat expectations of 3.5% from economists polled by Reuters. Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 17,294, higher than the HSI's last close of 17,240. Futures for mainland China's CSI 300 stood at 3,176, just slightly higher than the index's last close, a near six-year low of 3,172.47 on Thursday.
Persons: Australia's Organizations: Opera, Vivid, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Reuters, Nikkei, Futures, China's CSI Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific, India, Hong Kong
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