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☆ New Hampshire Primary: Wake-Up Call or Last Call?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Susan Milligan | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +7 min

Should Trump's lead hold, says Andrew Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire poll, Trump will become the first candidate – aside from sitting presidents – to win both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. "We're so far past the days when voters nationally were really just waking up" to the campaign debates in the early weeks of a presidential election year, says Dante Scala, a University of New Hampshire professor and author of the book "Stormy Weather: The New Hampshire Primary and Presidential Politics." New Hampshire GOP voters, however, are a different breed of Republicans, Smith says, focusing more on fiscal conservatism and small government. Haley has 36% support and DeSantis 6% backing among primary voters. Trump seems to think so, too: He has focused much of his vitriol in the waning days of the New Hampshire campaign on Haley.

Persons: Bill Clinton, Sen, John McCain's, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, aren't, isn't, Marianne Williamson, Dean Phillips, Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Andrew Smith, –, Haley, Williamson, Phillips, Biden, Dante Scala, Smith, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Christie, Ramaswamy, DeSantis, Michael Binder, Binder, He's, Barack Hussein Obama Organizations: Hillary Clinton Democratic, Democratic, Democratic National Committee, New Hampshire, Gov, Florida Gov, University of New, New, Biden, Trump –, GOP, New Hampshire GOP, Independents, Trump, New Jersey Gov, Saint Anselm College Survey Center's New Hampshire Institute of Politics, United Nations, Suffolk University, Boston Globe, University of North, Palmetto State, Republican Party, Social Security Locations: New Hampshire, New, University of New Hampshire, Iowa, Hawkeye, New Jersey, Boston, University of North Florida, South Carolina, Palmetto, Portsmouth

☆ Lindsey Graham says the longer Haley campaigns against Trump, 'the less likely it is' she becomes his VP pick
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Sen. Lindsey Graham said Nikki Haley may hurt her chances of being Trump's VP running mate. Graham said the longer his fellow South Carolinian challenged Trump, "the more scar tissue accumulates." "I think he would pick her if he thought it would help him win," Graham told Politico's Jonathan Martin. I do not want to be vice president, period," Haley told WMUR, a New Hampshire TV station, earlier this week, referring to former Gov. "Nikki Haley as VP would be an establishment neocon fantasy and a MAGA nightmare," Rep. Matt Gaetz, a Florida Republican, told Politico.

Persons: Sen, Lindsey Graham, Nikki Haley, Graham, Trump, Haley, —, Donald Trump's, Politico's Jonathan Martin, Ron DeSantis, I'm, Chris, WMUR, Chris Christie, assailing Haley, MAGA, Matt Gaetz, Politico Organizations: Service, UN, GOP, Trump, Gov, New Hampshire TV, Florida Republican, Naval Observatory Locations: Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, New Jersey, MAGAworld

And I think he’s right there with Reagan as far as his track record, what he did overall throughout his presidency. I think it really does set her up well as you do move on into some other states. nick corasanitiSo New Hampshire has a long history of really just going against Iowa, right? Those independents is where the question of the final results really, really come in. They were economic voters, taxation voters, pro-gun voters, not any of those kind of evangelical issues that we heard in Iowa.

Persons: I’m, We’ve, I’m Astead, ”, Iowans, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki ”, Haley, it’s, Ames, Harrison Barnes, Doug McDermott, Troy Hill, Nikki Haley, Vivek, — he’s, wouldn’t, “, aren’t, Reagan, DeSantis, Nikki, Ramaswamy, Ron, he’s, Biden, Ron DeSantis, —, I’ve, who’s, It’s, hasn’t, caucusing, Roe, Astead Herndon, Aaron, it’s Trump, They’re, Mike Pence, you’ll, we’re, Anna, Teresa didn’t, Teresa, haven’t, Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump’s, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nick Corasaniti, astead herndon, Nick, Trump’s, astead, There’s, they’re, Rand Paul, herndon, Bill Clinton, — astead herndon Isn’t, John McCain, George W, Bush, isn’t, They’ve, unquote, astead herndon It’s, He’s, Chris Christie, Christie, that’s, “ Trump, it’ll, she’s, I’d Organizations: Trump, The New York Times, Republican, CNN, Iowa, America, Iowa State University, NBA, Republicans, Republican Party, Associated Press, NBC, CBS, Iowa Republican, New, astead herndon, New Hampshire, Democrat, New Hampshire Republican, Prosperity Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, I’m Astead Herndon, , Iowa, Ames , Iowa, Des Moines, Trump, Troy, Ukraine, Congo, , New Hampshire, COVID, Indiana, Ames, “, Hampshire, astead herndon, Portsmouth

☆ Trump escalates attacks on Haley as he seeks New Hampshire knockout
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Eric Bradner | Kristen Holmes | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

On Wednesday morning, Trump attacked Haley again, posting an altered photo of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton with Haley’s face superimposed on it. Those ads have attacked Haley on immigration, something Trump’s team views as a top issue for Republicans in New Hampshire. During a rally in Atkinson, New Hampshire, on Tuesday, Trump accused Haley of “artificially boosting her numbers” by appealing to “Democrats and liberals to infiltrate” the GOP primary. Only Republicans and undeclared voters can participate in the New Hampshire GOP primary, and the deadline for Democrats to change their registration passed months ago. Rather than attacking Trump directly, Haley has lumped her former boss together with President Joe Biden — taking swipes at their ages.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, Nimarata Nikki Randhawa, Trump, Barack Obama, Obama, Hussein, Hillary Clinton, “ Haley ”, “ Hillary, ”, Ron DeSantis, “, Vivek Ramaswamy’s, Ramaswamy, Chris Christie, —, Christie, Joe Biden —, “ You’ve, Biden, ” Haley, DeSantis, He’s, CNN’s Dana Bash, I’m, ” CNN’s Terence Burlij, David Wright, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Ebony Davis, Kate Sullivan, Alison Main Organizations: CNN, Republican, South, New Hampshire —, Florida Gov, Republicans, Trump, GOP, Social Security, United Nations, New Hampshire Republican, New, New Hampshire GOP, New Jersey Gov, CNN New, ABC News Locations: New, South Carolina, New Hampshire, States, Bamberg , South Carolina, Trump’s, Iowa, Haley, Tuesday’s New Hampshire, Granite State, Atkinson , New Hampshire, New Jersey, CNN New Hampshire, Bretton Woods , New Hampshire, Florida

ROCHESTER, N.H. (AP) — Kristina Amyot’s life has drastically improved since the last New Hampshire primary, but she isn’t confident the current candidates will help others achieve the same success. “I have self-worth now.”New Hampshire, a small state with an outsized role in presidential politics, has heard from candidates promising action on the opioid crisis for several presidential elections now. Political Cartoons View All 253 Images“I feel like every four years it gets talked about, and then it gets lost. More than 80,000 people died of opioid overdoses in 2022, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The final tally for 2022 — 486 deaths — was only four short of the all-time high for New Hampshire, a state of about 1.4 million people.

Persons: — Kristina Amyot’s, “, ”, —, Kerry Norton, it’s, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Haley, Jay Ruais, Ruais, It’s, Norton, “ I’m, Chris Christie, Trump, Amyot, we’re Organizations: Hope, U.S . Centers for Disease Control, Republicans, New, Florida Gov, Republican, ” Former New Jersey Gov, White Locations: ROCHESTER, N.H, Hampshire, Haven Hill, ” New Hampshire, New Hampshire, Rochester, U.S, China, Manchester , New, ”, Hope, Haven

☆ Iowa called for Trump almost immediately, by everyone
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Former President Donald Trump is projected to have won the Iowa caucuses, kicking off his quest to return to the White House with a resounding victory in the first state to vote in 2024. Based on early results and with many precincts still tabulating results, multiple news networks projected that Trump was projected to win the Iowa Republican caucuses. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz sprang from low digits early in Iowa to narrowly win the caucuses on the back of an impressive organization. Trump blew out the field in New Hampshire, reasserting his frontrunner status and eventually closing Cruz out. AdvertisementIt makes sense then that Trump, according to multiple reports, will delay campaigning in New Hampshire on Tuesday.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, DeSantis, Kim Reynolds, Iowans, Ben Jacobs, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, reasserting, Cruz, Chris Sununu's, Chris Christie, Jean Carroll Organizations: Service, White, Business, Iowa Republican, Gov, Texas, Former New Jersey Gov Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Granite State, York, New York

After an anemic showing in the Iowa caucuses, long-shot GOP presidential candidate Asa Hutchinson abandoned his bid for the presidential nomination Tuesday, saying he was “driving back to Arkansas” and suspending his campaign. And he angered GOP primary voters with his criticism of Trump. "Asa Hutchinson would have been a relevant and potentially competitive presidential candidate in the pre-MAGA era. In mid-November, Hutchinson crowed about making the Michigan GOP primary ballot, suggesting he was in it for the long haul. Hutchinson was one of the most outspoken GOP critics of Trump.

Persons: Asa Hutchinson, ” Hutchinson, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Haley, Hutchinson, –, Bill Clinton, Trump, MAGA, David Cohen, Hutchinson's, Cohen, Ryan Binkley, Mike Pence, Rob Burgess, Chris Christie, who’s, “, ” Organizations: Hawkeye State, Republican, Trump , Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Florida, Trump, Department of Homeland Security, Drug, Republican Party, GOP, University of Akron, Des, Register, NBC, Suffolk University, Boston Globe, USA, Michigan GOP, New, New Jersey Gov, Florida Republican, Summit Locations: Iowa, Arkansas, Hawkeye, Trump , Florida, New Hampshire, Congress, U.S, Michigan, Miami, New Jersey, Kissimmee

☆ Explainer-New Hampshire 2024 Primary: When Is It? What's at Stake?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Jan. | At P.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +5 min

The New Hampshire primary comes eight days after Iowa's Republican caucuses, which former President Donald Trump dominated. The New Hampshire primary will take place on Tuesday, Jan. 23, with the precise hours dependent on the voting location. That means the New Hampshire primary will serve purely as a barometer of support for the Democrats in the race. But New Hampshire state law requires it to host the first primary, and the Republican-controlled state government declined to make any legislative change to its primary date. Democratic President Joe Biden is running for reelection but will not be on the ballot because of the primary date dispute.

Persons: Gram Slattery, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Haley, Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson, Joe Biden, Trump, Chris Christie, Biden, Phillips, Colleen Jenkins, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Republican, The New, Republicans, Republican National Convention, Democratic National Convention, Democrats, Democratic Party, Hampshire's, WHO, Trump, Democratic, Dean Phillips of Minnesota, Former New Jersey, Biden, Reuters, New Locations: New Hampshire, The New Hampshire, Hampshire, Iowa, South Carolina, Trump , Florida, Northeastern

☆ Where does DeSantis go from here?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ron DeSantis of Florida, a GOP presidential candidate, came in second place in the Iowa caucuses. After Monday's poor showing and with his momentum slowing, DeSantis may need to rethink his campaign. Ron DeSantis of Florida finished in a distant second place, leaving his path to the nomination unclear. By night's end on Monday, DeSantis tallied just 21% of the vote in Iowa, which amounted to eight of the state's 40 delegates. Haley essentially tied DeSantis despite a strategy far more suited to New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, —, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Trump, Haley, Trump's, who's, Chris Christie, it's, what's Organizations: GOP, Trump, Gov, Service, Former, South Carolina, UN, Emerson College, South Carolina — Locations: Florida, Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, DeSantis, New Jersey, who's

☆ Asa Hutchinson drops out of GOP primary, with Trump, Haley and DeSantis remaining
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asa Hutchinson speaks during the Florida Freedom Summit held at the Gaylord Palms Resort in Kissimmee, Florida, on Nov. 4, 2023. Asa Hutchinson on Tuesday suspended his Republican presidential campaign, a day after finishing a distant sixth place in the GOP's Iowa caucuses. Hutchinson's departure narrows the Republican primary field to just former President Donald Trump, who won Iowa in a landslide; Florida Gov. Hutchinson defended his campaign message of being a principled Republican with experience and telling the truth about the current front-runner. Hutchinson won just .2% of the votes in the Iowa caucuses, or 191 caucusgoers.

Persons: Asa Hutchinson, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald J, Trump, Hutchinson, Ryan Binkley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Chris Christie Organizations: Arkansas Gov, Florida Freedom Summit, Gaylord, Former Arkansas Gov, Republican, Iowa, Florida Gov, United Nations, South, GOP, Former New Jersey Gov Locations: Florida, Kissimmee , Florida, Iowa, South Carolina, Arkansas

☆ Turnout drops and voters get more conservative in Trump’s decisive Iowa victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Zachary Wolf | Analysis Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Two-thirds of Republican voters don’t think President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory was legitimate, despite all evidence to the contrary. Iowa caucusgoers, unlike most of the country, overwhelmingly support banning most or all abortions nationwide. Iowa voters could be asked on the general election ballot to make clear there is no right to abortion guaranteed in their state’s constitution. While Trump held a commanding lead among Iowa caucusgoers without college degrees, college graduates were more closely divided among Trump, former South Carolina Gov. But she made clear this week that she would ultimately support Trump if he’s the nominee.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, MAGA, Trump, Joe Biden’s, caucusgoers, Biden, Sen, Ted Cruz, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, ”, Republican caucusgoers, it’s, Jack Smith, Kim Reynolds, “ I’m, Chris Sununu, Haley, Sununu, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, he’s, “, – there’s, Chris Christie, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, Iowa Republican, GOP, Republican, Trump, Republicans, Voters, Iowa’s Republican, Iowa, GOP CNN, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, White, Iowa Gov, Fox News, New, New Hampshire Gov, New Jersey Gov Locations: Iowa, Ted Cruz of Texas, Caucusgoers, Washington, DC, New Hampshire, New Jersey

Traditionally, Iowa caucuses are squeakers, so close that Democrats failed to produce definitive results in the chaotic 2020 contest. Ms. Haley had 20 percent and Mr. DeSantis 16 percent — a separation at the edge of the survey’s margin of error. Ms. Haley, in the Times/Siena poll, had the support of just 3 percent of those voters. (Mr. Burgum endorsed Mr. Trump at the Indianola rally.) But depending on their performance Monday, it remains to be seen whether they will drop out and pick a side: Mr. Trump, or anyone else.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley, Mr, Trump’s, Biden, Haiyun Jiang, Will, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Haley, Maansi Srivastava, Chris Christie, Haley’s, Charles, David Koch, Ted Cruz, “, Vivek Ramaswamy, There’s, Asa Hutchinson of, Ryan Binkley, Asa Hutchinson, Hilary Swift, Mike Pence, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Burgum, Ramaswamy, Hutchinson, Iowans Organizations: Gov, New, Republican, The New York, Iowa, PAC, Des Moines Register, NBC, New York Times, Mr, CBS, Iowa Republicans, Siena, Times, ., The New York Times, Republicans, Prosperity, Xavier University Locations: Florida, Grimes , Iowa, Iowa, South Carolina, New Hampshire, York, Iowans ., New Jersey, Washington, Siena, Ted Cruz of Texas, Indianola , Iowa, Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas, Texas, Des Moines, Tim Scott of South Carolina, North Dakota, Indianola

Iowa Republicans were a clear reflection of that on Monday night, delivering the former president an emphatic victory. As clear-cut as his win was, though, Iowa has not historically played the role of kingmaker in the Republican nominating process. He chose to appear at court hearings as a defendant in his legal cases in New York and Washington rather than speak to Iowa voters in the final days before the voting. With its more moderate, educated electorate, New Hampshire presents Trump’s rivals with possibly their best opportunity to slow his march. Trump's strength among Republican voters is beyond dispute, but the road is long and could be bumpy.

Persons: — Donald, Joe Biden, kingmaker, Trump, He’s, didn’t, Biden, Nikki Haley, Bush, John McCain, Walter Mondale, Gary Hart, Haley, “, Iowans, caucusgoers, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, RAMASWAMY, Vivek Ramaswamy’s quixotic, Ramaswamy, Eminem, Chris Christie Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republican Party, White House, Iowa Republicans, AP VoteCast, Former South Carolina Gov, Colorado, Democratic, U.S, Supreme, Trump, Republican, Florida Gov, MAGA, White, Trump Trump, Republican White House Locations: Iowa, New York, Washington, New Hampshire, Hampshire, South Carolina, U.S, Florida, New Jersey, America

☆ Analysis: How Iowa became a chaotic curtain-raiser for a fateful political year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

Des Moines, Iowa CNN —The storied history of the Iowa caucuses has never seen anything like this. Haley: ‘The fellas are scared’Unlike DeSantis, Haley isn’t wagering her campaign on Iowa. Icicles hang from the roof as people arrive for a Haley campaign event at the Thunder Bay Grille on January 13, 2024, in Davenport, Iowa. Chip Somodevilla/Getty ImagesYet Iowa has has raised existential questions for the DeSantis campaign. And time is short, because the Iowa campaign is ending just as it began — with the former president on top.

Persons: shivers, Donald Trump, they’re, ”, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Iowans, ” Trump, Trump, –, DeSantis, Haley, Chris Christie’s, she’d, Vivek Ramaswamy, Xi Jinping, Nigel Farage, “, ” –, patriotically, we’re, caucusgoers, Ramaswamy, —, Haley slugged, admonitions, Judge Arthur Engoron, Sharon Mancero, ” Mancero, Mancero, Joe Biden, he’s, Clinton, ‘, Haley isn’t, She’s, ” Haley, Will Hurd —, Trump —, That’s, Win McNamee, that’s, George W, Bush, “ We’re, Mark Harris, Haley’s, Lovisa, Swede, ” Tedestedt, Chip Roy, Louis, Stanley, Chip Somodevilla, Joel Rudman, “ I’ve, ” Rudman, It’s, ” DeSantis, Biden, it’s, ” CNN’s Kit Maher, Veronica Stracqualursi Organizations: Des Moines , Iowa CNN, House, Former South Carolina Gov, Trump, Trump –, New, New Jersey Gov, “ Trump, Iowa Republicans, Capitol, Iowa, Des Moines Register, NBC, Republican, GOP, Republicans, Des Moines, Senate, CNN, New York Stock Exchange, Social Security, Jimmy Centers, Iowa Republican, South Carolina, Former Texas GOP, “, White House, Ankeny, Haley, America, South Carolina Republican, Texas, Florida Panhandle, Centers Locations: Des Moines , Iowa, Iowa, week’s, Hampshire, Florida, New York, Washington, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo, Sioux City, New Jersey, British, Indianola, Clinton , Iowa, DeSantis, Des, Fox, Wall, Manhattan, New Hampshire, Cedar Falls, Ankeny, South, Davenport , Iowa, Granite, St, Hubbard , Iowa

Mr. Trump is the first former president in the modern era who has sought to return to the White House. Regardless of what comes next, Mr. Trump’s Iowa victory amounts to a remarkable resurrection of a political career that had once appeared in tatters. Image Mr. Trump greeted supporters after a Fox News town hall in Des Moines. If Mr. Trump does become the nominee, the 2024 campaign will have few modern parallels. A different case making its way through the federal courts will test Mr. Trump’s claim that he should be immune from prosecution.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Trump’s, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Haley, Biden, “, ” Mr, Vivek Ramaswamy, Maansi Srivastava, Mr, “ We’ve, Haley’s, —, Hilary Swift, ”, Mike Pence, Tim Scott, Chris Christie, Doug Burgum, Ramaswamy, Long, Haiyun Jiang, Jack Smith Organizations: The Associated Press, Republican, United Nations, Capitol, Senate, clapped, Horizon, New York Times, American, Republicans, PAC, National Weather Service, Mr, Trump, The New York Times, Service, Gov, Fox News, Des Moines . Credit, Justice Department, Biden, “ Locations: Clive , Iowa, Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Trump’s Iowa, tatters, “ Iowa, New Hampshire , Nevada, state’s, New York, North Dakota, Des Moines, Georgia, “ America

The Iowa caucuses, which are the opening contest in the months-long Republican presidential primary process, begin at 8 p.m. EST. Trump's political strength heading into the Iowa caucuses, which come 426 days after he launched his 2024 campaign, tells a remarkable story of a Republican Party unwilling or unable to move on from him. On the eve of the caucuses, Trump predicted he would set a modern-day record for an Iowa Republican caucus with a margin-of-victory exceeding the nearly 13 percentage points that Bob Dole earned in 1988. Last month, some presidential campaigns were expecting close to 200,000 Republican voters to participate in the caucus. Associated Press writers Jill Colvin in Des Moines, Iowa, and Adriana Gomez Licon in Council Bluffs, Iowa, contributed to this report.

Persons: Donald Trump, ”, Hans Rudin, Trump, Haley, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Asa Hutchinson, Chris Christie, Joe Biden, Adolf Hitler, “ Trump, Kathy DeAngelo, “, Bob Dole, Iowans, Martin Luther King Day, Nikki, Jake Hutzell, hasn’t, There’s, ___, Beaumont, Jill Colvin, Adriana Gomez Licon Organizations: DES, Republican, DeSantis, Arkansas Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, Democratic, Republican Party, Biden, U.S . Capitol, U.S, ” Republican, Trump, Des Moines Register, NBC, South, Iowa Republican, National Weather Service, GOP, ___ Peoples, Associated Press Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, Bluffs , Iowa, New Jersey, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina, Florida, America, Des Moines, Ames, Dubuque, Washington, Indianola , Iowa, Ames , Iowa, Des Moines , Iowa

☆ Election 2024 Frozen Iowa Is Set to Vote as G.O.P. Presidential Contest Gets Underway
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Adam Nagourney | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +8 min

Traditionally, Iowa caucuses are squeakers, so close that Democrats failed to produce definitive results in the chaotic 2020 contest. Ms. Haley had 20 percent and Mr. DeSantis 16 percent — a separation at the edge of the survey’s margin of error. Traditionally, the Iowa caucuses have winnowed out the also-rans. (Mr. Burgum endorsed Mr. Trump at the Indianola rally.) But depending on their performance Monday, it remains to be seen whether they will drop out and pick a side: Mr. Trump, or anyone else.

☆ Opinion: Trump dominates in Iowa, showing event strong rivals can’t touch him
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Opinion Daniel Mccarthy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —Former President Donald Trump’s easy win in Iowa on Monday confirms that there really is no race for the Republican nomination this year. Iowa is a solid red state that gives a good sense of where the Republican Party as a whole stands today. The DeSantis campaign and its outside allies spent $35 million in the state between January 1, 2023, and January 12 of this year. Even with an almost 2:1 spending advantage over Trump, DeSantis couldn’t mount an effective challenge — not even with the backing of Reynolds and Vander Plaats. DeSantis and Haley were not weak opponents — but as Iowa shows, even strong rivals can’t touch Trump.

Persons: Daniel McCarthy, ”, Donald Trump’s, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Charles Koch, Haley, Bob Vander Plaats, Kim Reynolds, Joe Biden, Chris Christie, Trump, Sen, Ted Cruz, Reynolds, Vander Plaats, Doug Burgum, Mike Lee, Marco Rubio, DeSantis, Haley’s, it’s Organizations: The, Syndicate, CNN, Republican, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, GOP, Trump, Voters, Iowa Republicans, New, New Jersey Gov, Iowa’s Republicans, Republican Party, North Dakota Gov, Des Moines Register, NBC, Independents, Democrats, Iowa Locations: Iowa, New Jersey, Trump, Sens, New Hampshire, South Carolina

Launched in 2018, AP VoteCast is a comprehensive survey of both voters and nonvoters that aims to tell the story behind the election results. For example, in the 2020 presidential election, AP VoteCast results showed that white men favored Donald Trump, while women with college degrees favored Joe Biden. Prior to the launch of AP VoteCast in 2018, the AP worked with other major news organizations to conduct Election Day exit polls. AP VoteCast results from the Iowa GOP caucuses will be available Monday night on the AP's caucus results homepage. A detailed description of the methodology used in AP VoteCast is also available.

Persons: Republican caucusgoers, It’s, —, Chris Christie, They’re, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Vivek Ramaswamy, they’ve, AP VoteCast Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republican, AP, Associated Press, Fox News, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, New, New Jersey Gov, GOP, Voters, Iowa Republican Locations: Monday’s, Iowa, New Jersey

primary and what the general election might look like after the primary. Frank Bruni: Mike, Kristen, happy Iowa caucuses. I’m sitting here at my kitchen table in a parka and earmuffs, in honor of the freezing temperatures that caucusgoers are expected to brave. Kristen Soltis Anderson: I doubt that the events of the last few days have done much. This is still Trump’s caucus to lose.

Persons: Frank Bruni, Mike Murphy, John McCain, ”, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Mike, Kristen, I’m, Donald Trump’s, Chris Christie’s, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis Organizations: Center, University of Southern, Republican Locations: University of Southern California, Iowa

The 2024 presidential election has kicked off in earnest, as Republicans in Iowa head to the polls – trudging through snow and record-setting frigid temperatures – to pick their preferred GOP nominee. “Everyone assumes that Trump is going to have a blowout here, and I'm not sure that’s going to be the case,” says Tim Hagle, political science professor at the University of Iowa. “It seems unlikely – not impossible, but unlikely – for DeSantis to win in Iowa,” Hagle says. “A lot of political commentators have said Iowa is make or break for DeSantis. “If Trump does well there, it means that he’s going to be pulling in evangelicals.

Persons: Donald Trump, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Trump, I'm, ”, Tim Hagle, caucusgoers, Haley, DeSantis, Christie, “, ” Hagle, Trump’s, he’s, he's, doesn’t, Joe Biden, she’s, Sen, Ted Cruz, Roe, Wade, Hagle, Kim Reynolds, we’ve, Bob Vander Plaats, they’re Organizations: GOP, Des Moines, New, New Jersey Gov, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Trump, Hawkeye State, University of Iowa, Des Moines Register, NBC News, Republican Party, Drake University, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Trump nabbed, Iowa Gov, “ Fox News Locations: Iowa, New Jersey, Florida, Hawkeye, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Des Moines, New, DeSantis, Ted Cruz of Texas, Sioux City

☆ Opinion: We’ll finally get some answers from Iowa about Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Richard Galant | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

It is a feat former President Donald Trump is trying to duplicate this year. The first true test of Trump’s comeback occurs Monday in Iowa, where caucusgoers will venture into sub-zero temperatures to choose between Trump, Florida Gov. After months of speculation, we’ll finally get some answers to a few questions: Is there an opening for any Republican aside from Trump? Most of our contributors thought Haley won Wednesday’s CNN debate in Iowa against DeSantis, but Trump’s absence from the stage again loomed large. “Haley sounded like someone looking to take on the genuine article — the Republican frontrunner,” wrote W. James Antle III.

Persons: George Washington’s, Grover Cleveland, ”, Troy Senik, Donald Trump, Cleveland, “, —, Republican frontrunner’s, Cleveland didn’t, Benjamin Harrison —, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, we’ll, Will DeSantis, he’s, Haley, Wednesday’s, “ Haley, James Antle III, ’, ” Clay Jones, Chris Christie, Trump, ” Antle, who’s, Facebook Sophia, Nelson, “ Haley isn’t, Todd Graham, she’d, it’s, ” DeSantis, John Avlon, Laurence Tribe, Norman Eisen, Taylor Redd, Florence Pan, John Sauer, ” Bill Bramhall, Frida Ghitis, Ghitis, DeSantis, Julian Zelizer, Dean Obeidallah, Nikki Haley’s Lisa Benson, Peter Bergen, Prince Mohammed Bin Salman, Biden, ” Walt Handelsman, Max, Drew Sheneman, Hassan Shahidi, Shahidi, Oprah, Oprah Winfrey, John Salangsang, Adrienne Bitar, WeightWatchers, couldn’t, Rose Blanchard, Sarah Gundle, Blanchard, Claudine ‘ Dee Dee ’ Blanchard, Gypsy Rose, ” Dee Dee, Gundle, Dee Dee Blanchard, Pope Francis, ” Jill Filipovic, Filipovic, Pope, ” Lloyd Austin’s, Lloyd Austin, Joe Biden, Austin, isn’t, Bill Bramhall, “ Oppenheimer, “ Barbie, “ Barbie ”, Gene Seymour, Oppenheimer, Emma Stone, ” Seymour, Don’t, Michael Bociurkiw, Ukraine Lanhee J, Chen, Noah Berlatsky, Belichick Bill Belichick, Vince Lombardi, Jeff Haynes, Bill Belichick, Will Leitch, Jeff Pearlman, Nick Saban, ” “ Belichick, Saban, ’ Pearlman, Lou Piniella, ‘ Organizations: CNN, University of Michigan, Cleveland, Republican, Trump, Trump , Florida Gov, Wednesday’s CNN, DeSantis, New, New Jersey Gov, Twitter, Facebook, Florida Gov, DC, Agency, Capitol, GOP, US, UK, Alaska Airlines, Boeing, Max, Portland International, Flight, Foundation, Golden Globe, Globes, Catholic, Biden, Warner Bros ., Academy, Hollywood Foreign Press Association, Belichick, New England Patriots, Reliant, Patriots, Carolina Panthers, Getty, Super, Football, NFL, Minor League NFL, University of Alabama, Schlitz, Seattle Mariners Locations: Cleveland, Iowa, Trump , Florida, Trump, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Graham, Houthi, Yemen, Red, “, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Bergen, Iran, Iraq, Iranian, Oregon, Beverly Hills , California, Ukraine, Houston , Texas, AFP, Swiss

☆ Former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan endorses Nikki Haley for president
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Alison Main | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

Larry Hogan on Sunday endorsed Nikki Haley in the presidential race the day before the Iowa caucuses. Hogan said he thinks it’s “pretty clear” that former President Donald Trump will win Iowa, but that “Nikki Haley has all of the momentum” to make her a strong nominee in November. Polls show that that is Nikki Haley. “But I think Nikki Haley is our chance to put forward the best possible candidate for November,” he continued. “I’m focused on trying to nominee the strongest possible Republican, which is why I’m urging everyone to get behind Nikki Haley,” he said.

Persons: Larry Hogan, Nikki Haley, Hogan, it’s, Donald Trump, ” Hogan, ” “ I’m, ”, Haley, Jake Tapper, “, Joe Biden, Chris Christie, “ I’m Organizations: CNN, Former Maryland Gov, Iowa, Union, New Hampshire, Trump, Biden, New, New Jersey Gov Locations: Iowa, “ State, New, South Carolina, New Jersey

☆ Iowa’s most important poll has set the expectations for the GOP caucuses
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-13 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The final poll from Iowa’s premier pollster, Ann Selzer, has Trump at 48% followed by former South Carolina Gov. If the final outcome Monday night mirrors the poll, Trump will have won the highest Iowa GOP caucus vote share for a non-incumbent ever. A Haley win in the first primary race in the nation would indicate that Trump is not invincible. He did more than 5 points better than where his final Iowa poll had him. (His 28-point margin over Bradley was the same as the final poll found, as both Bradley and Gore won some undecided voters.)

Persons: Donald Trump, Ann Selzer, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump, –, They’re, Haley, Chris Christie –, George W, Bush, didn’t, Steve Forbes, John McCain, Patrick Buchanan, Bob Dole, Buchanan, McCain, Gary Hart, Walter Mondale, Hart, Haley isn’t, DeSantis, Al Gore, Gore, Bill Bradley, Bradley, Trump . Gore, Dole Organizations: CNN, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Iowa GOP, Granite State, New, New Jersey Gov, University of New, Dole, Democratic, Republican, Trump . Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Granite, New Jersey, University of New Hampshire, Hampshire, Granite State, Trump, South Carolina, Florida

Ambassador Nikki Haley failed last month to mention slavery as the root cause of the Civil War. “Let me be clear, for those who don’t seem to know: Slavery was the cause of the Civil War,” he said. Chris Christie, who suspended his campaign on Wednesday, referenced the Civil War with a word of caution to Republican voters. The last time they were that relevant was the Civil War — which we know was caused by slavery,” Christie said. The intra-party jabs echo a broader debate over the legacy of the Civil War for policymaking today.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, “, ”, Jeff Kaufmann, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Kamala Harris, DeSantis, Kaufmann, Abraham Lincoln, Paul Peterson, Peterson, Haley, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, —, Chris Christie, Benjamin Franklin, Christie, ” “ Benjamin Franklin’s, ” Christie, Eric Foner, Geoff Kabaservice, Kabaservice, ” Foner, ____ Matt Brown Organizations: WASHINGTON, —, Republicans, Florida Gov, GOP, Party of, Reconstruction, ” Iowa Republican, Republican, Mother Emanuel AME Church, Florida Republicans, Iowa GOP, Republican Party, Education, Harvard University, Democrats, Trump, Former New Jersey Gov, Columbia University, Niskanen, AP Locations: Florida, Party of Lincoln, Iowa, Charleston , South Carolina, Carolina, “, America, American

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