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Fourth-quarter earnings season is kicking off with a mix of good and bad news. Without those six stocks, the rest of the S & P is expected to see earnings fall 6%. There's a lot riding on earnings in 2024 For the S & P 500 to increase in 2024, earnings need to expand. But with the S & P 500 up over 20% last year, the forward earnings multiple is roughly 19.6, in the very pricey range. We need higher revenues The biggest risk to higher earnings is lower revenue growth.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, General Mills, Mobileye, Nick Raich, Adam Crisafulli, BofA's Subramanian, Deutsche, Binky, Sam Stovall Organizations: Pfizer, Merck, Moderna, Bank of America, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Nike, FedEx, General, Darden, Constellation Brands, Technology, Samsung Electronics, Vital, Deutsche Bank's Locations: Wayfair, Conagra
(PRO subscribers can view the official 2024 strategist survey here . ) "Lifting our 12-month S & P 500 target to 5100 as inflation falls, the Fed turns dovish, and real yields plunge," Kostin wrote. Other Wall Street firms with similarly bullish forecasts include Citigroup and BMO Capital Markets, which each have S & P 500 price targets of 5,100. Barclays' Venu Krishna was even more bearish, anticipating the S & P 500 would fall to 3,725. Entering the penultimate trading week of the year, the S & P 500 is almost 23% higher in 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite has advanced almost 42%.
Persons: , Stocks, Sam Stovall, Monday, Stovall, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, America's Savita Subramanian, JPMorgan's, Bujas, Morgan Stanley, BofA's Subramanian —, Venu Krishna, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Dow Industrials Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CFRA Research, Goldman, Oppenheimer Asset Management, Citigroup, BMO Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Nvidia, Microsoft, Barclays, Nasdaq Locations: Friday's
Stocks will continue to rise as the U.S. skirts a recession in 2024, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. "By the end of 2024, CFRA sees the S & P 500 challenging the 5,000 level," Stovall wrote in a Friday note. "But since large, round numbers traditionally act like rusty doors, requiring several attempts before finally swinging open, our year-end target for the S & P 500 is 4,940." .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has gained about 21% from the start of 2023. Stovall's forecast implies about 7% upside for the S & P 500 to the end of 2024.
Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Stovall, Stocks, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve, Treasury Locations: U.S
Greg Abel, vice chairman of Berkshire's non-insurance operations, became known as Buffett's heir apparent in 2021 after Munger inadvertently made the revelation . Ajit Jain, Berkshire's vice chairman of insurance operations, had been a top contender for the top job, but Buffett recently revealed that Jain "never wanted to run Berkshire." "All [Munger's passing] does is add to the conversation that what happens when Buffett's gone because this brings it home. Berkshire analysts believe the event won't notably alter Berkshire's transition plans. James Shanahan, Edward Jones' Berkshire analyst, also said he remains confident in the leadership of Berkshire following Munger's passing.
Persons: Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett's, Berkshire Hathaway, Greg Abel, Munger, Ajit Jain, Buffett, Jain, Abel, he's, Buffett's, Bill Stone, Warren Buffett, Catherine Seifert, James Shanahan, Edward Jones, CNBC's Becky Quick, Ted Weschler, Todd Combs Organizations: Oracle, Berkshire, Glenview Trust, CFRA's, MidAmerican Energy, Berkshire Hathaway Energy Locations: Berkshire, Omaha, Glenview, CFRA's Berkshire, Japan
Wall Street is set to wrap up a strong month next week as stocks gun for new highs heading into year end. The Nasdaq Composite is on pace to close out the month with a double-digit advance, up 10%. In contrast to September and October, which are typically weak periods for stocks, the seasonal patterns are now in favor of equities. This week, LPL Financial's Adam Turnquist pointed out that more than half, or 55%, of S & P 500 stocks closed above their 200-day moving average. It's set to show a rise of 0.2%, down from the 0.7% rise in the prior month, according to FactSet consensus estimates.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, That's, CFRA's Stovall, What's, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Morningstar's Dave Sekera, Sekera, Morningstar's Sekera, Salesforce, Gartner Organizations: Nasdaq, Bank, Treasury, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, New, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, NetApp, Intuit, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, PMI, Manufacturing, Dominion Energy, Cboe, Cardinal Health Locations: Chicago
Here's why CFRA's Sam Stovall is optimistic on small caps
  + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why CFRA's Sam Stovall is optimistic on small capsSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why he believes small-caps will perform well going forward, what could hurt the earnings power of the small-cap companies, and more.
Persons: Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Berkshire Hathaway 's shares are trading at a significant discount, offering investors a buying opportunity ahead of the conglomerate's earnings report, according CFRA. The current trading level is "offering investors an attractive entry point to acquire the shares," Seifert said in a note. BRK.B YTD mountain Berkshire Hathaway The Omaha-based conglomerate's class A shares have rallied 11.7% this year. Warren Buffett 's Berkshire is set to report its third-quarter earnings Saturday morning. "CFRA believes Berkshire's diversified revenue and earnings mix is positive for the shares, and following a recent pullback, we view BRK.B undervalued versus historical averages," CFRA said.
Persons: Berkshire Hathaway, Catherine Seifert, Seifert, Warren Buffett, CFRA Organizations: CFRA's, Berkshire Hathaway Locations: Berkshire, CFRA's Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway The Omaha
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAlphabet's 22% growth rate in its cloud business a 'big dissapointment', says CFRA's Angelo ZinoAngelo Zino, CFRA Research Senior Equity Analyst and Doug Famigletti, Griffin Asset Management Portfolio Manager, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' with reaction to Microsoft and Google's quarterly earnings results.
Persons: CFRA's Angelo Zino Angelo Zino, Doug Famigletti Organizations: Research, Griffin, Microsoft
Major earnings reports and economic data will be in focus next week as investors seek clarity on how the Federal Reserve will proceed from here. But next week will bring the lion's share of results including reports from mega-cap darlings Alphabet, Amazon , Meta Platforms and Microsoft . While the S & P 500 is higher by 10% in 2023, the equal-weighted index is down slightly. Of note, Tesla shares sank more than 9% on Thursday following a pessimistic economic outlook from CEO Elon Musk during the company's earnings call. Its the S & P 500's first weekly loss in three weeks.
Persons: bode, Elon Musk, We're, Sam Stovall, it's, Raphael Bostic, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Katie Stockton, Rob Ginsberg, I'm, CFRA's Stovall, Stovall, Sherwin, Williams, Kimberly, Hess, Raymond James Financial, Keurig Dr Pepper, Northrop, Willis Towers Watson, Stanley Black, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Investors, CFRA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Wolfe Research, Chicago, P, PMI, P Global PMI Manufacturing, P Global PMI Services, Richmond Fed, Visa, Texas Instruments, General Electric, NextEra Energy, Raytheon Technologies, Dow, Inc, General Motors, Halliburton, Coca, Corning, Hilton Worldwide, General Dynamics, Dominion Freight, Mobile US, Boeing, Raymond, Technology, Whirlpool, International Business Machines, O'Reilly, Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, Mastercard, Amazon, Royal Caribbean Group, Tractor Supply, United Parcel Service, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines, Comcast, Hershey, Intel, L3Harris Technologies, Ford Motor, Energy, Chevron, Decker, Exxon Mobil, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: U.S, Atlanta, AbbVie
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere may be earnings losses in energy, health care, and more, says CFRA's Sam StovallErik Nelson, Wells Fargo macro strategist, and Sam Stovall, CFRA chief investment strategist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the Israel-Hamas conflict's market impact, the earnings outlook, and more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Erik Nelson, Sam Stovall Organizations: Hamas Locations: Wells Fargo, Israel
By contrast, both funds received their highest monthly net inflows of 2023 in June, gaining $265.5 million and $29.74 million, respectively, according to Lipper data. But AI stocks have suffered along with broader markets in recent weeks, as Treasury yields hovering around 16-year highs dull investors' risk appetite. Retail investor flows into the sector have also cooled as the initial fervor surrounding AI wanes. September saw the lowest net monthly retail flows of $1.96 billion into AI-linked stocks since April, according to Vanda Research. "It is possible this negative sentiment could reverse again in Q4, particularly if large cap tech stocks like Nvidia held in AI-themed tech ETFs continue to show strong earnings growth," CFRA's Ullal added.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Aniket, Mark Haefele, Bansari Mayur, Ira Iosebashvili, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Robotics, Intelligence, Global Robotics, Automation, CFRA Research, Vanda Research, Global, Nvidia, UBS Global Wealth Management, Thomson, & $ Locations: Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're in 'less than the first year' of a new bull market, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to make of the current market correction, and more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
It's time to move to the sidelines on Boeing as short-term headwinds pile up, according to CFRA. The firm downgraded the aircraft maker to hold from buy on Thursday and lowered its 12-month price target to $210 from $253. Analyst Stewart Glickman said the cuts are warranted "by a litany of quality control issues across the aerospace industry. The downgrade comes a month after Boeing said a new manufacturing flaw on its 737 Max jet will delay deliveries of the strong-selling aircraft. BA YTD mountain Boeing ytd chart Glickman also cut his 2024 earnings forecast to $5.39 per share from $6.02 per share.
Persons: Stewart Glickman, Glickman, — Michael Bloom Organizations: Boeing
"The market will probably cheer it a bit if it is the end of the Fed rate hike cycle," said Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. Traders see a roughly two-out-of three chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged in November, CME's data showed. Odds for December show about a 60% chance rates of rates staying at current levels. Analysts at Oxford Economics forecast further downside for global earnings, noting that stocks "have typically delivered far weaker returns following the final Fed rate hike when it has coincided with an EPS downturn." "But I'm not sure how sustainable it would be given where stocks are valued relative to bonds already."
Persons: Brendan McDermid, CFRA, Brent Schutte, Schutte, Jerome Powell, Sam Stovall, LSEG Datastream, Jack Ablin, I'm, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Oxford Economics, Equity, Treasury, Cresset, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Oxford
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUAW targeted strikes could turn into a nightmare for the supply chain, says CFRA's Garrett NelsonGarrett Nelson, CFRA senior equity research analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the looming UAW automotive strike and more.
Persons: CFRA's Garrett Nelson Garrett Nelson Organizations: UAW
Apple's launch event, during which it's expected to introduce the iPhone 15 and Apple Watch Series 9, comes amid a tough backdrop for the stock in recent sessions. Long expects a $50 to $100 increase for the iPhone 15 Pro and a $100 to $200 hike for the Pro Max model. What it means for Apple shares Looking ahead, Wall Street sees a positive setup for Apple shares over the long term, but those tailwinds could take time to play out. AAPL YTD mountain Apple shares since the start of 2023. Data analyzed by Bernstein shows a similar pattern for Apple shares before and after a launch event.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Tim Long, Long, CFRA's Angelo Zino, Jefferies, Andrew Uerkwitz, referringto, it's, Wamsi Mohan, Morgan Stanley's Woodring, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Woodring, Apple, Morgan Stanley's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Barclays, Apple Watch, Pro, Apple Vision, Bank of America, outperformance Locations: China, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAuto worker strike looks likely and could last for months, says CFRA'S Garrett NelsonCFRA'S Garrett Nelson joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the likelihood of a potential UAW strike, uncertainty around the timeline and scale of a UAW strike, and concerns over the impact a strike would have on production and inventories.
Persons: CFRA'S Garrett Nelson CFRA'S Garrett Nelson Organizations: Auto, UAW
August is shaping up to be a poor month for the Nasdaq Composite, but history suggests that it will only get worse before it gets better. The Nasdaq Composite is headed for its worst month since May, down more than 4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S & P 500 were down more than 2% and 3%, respectively. September is actually the only month out of the year that the Nasdaq Composite averages a negative return, as well as the lowest rate of advance. On Monday, however, the Nasdaq Composite appeared to consolidate somewhat from its August lows.
Persons: It's, Sam Stovall, Stovall, John Roque, NVDA, manna, sloppily, Roque, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Gabriel Cortes Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Nvidia, Research, Meta
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailM&A is a strong possibility for Zoom, it needs to acquire new technologies, says CFRA's Keith SnyderKeith Snyder, CFRA Analyst, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk Zoom's quarterly earnings results and what's ahead for the company.
Persons: CFRA's Keith Snyder Keith Snyder
A raft of economic data and big retail earnings reports next week will give traders insight into the strength of the consumer after a mixed batch of inflation data. "Next week is all about the consumer," said Shannon Saccocia, investment chief at NB Private Wealth. The Nasdaq Composite fell for a second straight week for the first time in 2023 after mixed inflation data this week, as well as Moody's downgrading several regional banks. July's consumer price index came in weaker than expected, but continued to show some underlying stickiness. Housing data expected to show strength Investors will also watch data on what has been a strong housing market.
Persons: Shannon Saccocia, Saccocia, , we've, John Porter, it's, Wealth's Saccocia, Kate Spade, Stuart Weitzman, Versace, Jimmy Choo, Michael Kors, That's, Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA's Stovall, Estee Organizations: Home Depot, Walmart, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Newton Investment Management, FactSet, . Discount, TJX Companies, Ross, Homeowners, Price, Retail, Health, Home, Agilent Technologies, Housing, Manufacturing, TJX, Target, Cisco Systems, Philadelphia Fed, Applied, Deere, Co, Companies, Palo Alto Locations: U.S, NAHB, Housing States
New inflation data set for release in the week ahead could help Wall Street regain its footing. However, he does not expect that the inflation data releasing next week will be very threatening, even if they show a slight rise from the prior reading. A smattering of results will roll out in the week ahead including from major firms like the Walt Disney Company, which reports Wednesday. Other economic data Investors will digest other major economic data in the week ahead. Hourly earnings (July) Earnings: RL Friday, Aug. 11 8:30 a.m. PPI (July) 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment preliminary (August)
Persons: it's, Jack Ablin, Ablin, McCormick, Archer, CFRA'S Sam Stovall, FactSet, Stovall, Greg Bassuk, Bassuk, Tyson, Eli Lilly, Fox Organizations: Federal, PPI, Cresset, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fed, Daniels, Midland, Chevron, Investments, Walt Disney Company, Wynn Resorts, Dow, Consumer Credit, Tyson Foods, Paramount, Parcel Service, CPI Locations: U.S, Michigan
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 200 points Wednesday after the downgrade as traders weighed the move. US10Y 1Y mountain 10-year yield 1-year However, Wall Street strategists mostly took the downgrade in stride. The S & P 500's 17% rally this year and the Nasdaq Composite's 33% advance had some traders worrying that equities have surged "too far, too fast." Stovall's S & P 500 year-end target is at 4,575 . Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius said Tuesday the downgrade will have "little direct impact" on financial markets.
Persons: Fitch, Janet Yellen, Sam Stovall, Stovall's, Wells Fargo's Christopher Harvey, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Steven Zeng, Management's Yung, Yu Ma, Ma, CFRA's Stovall, Deutsche Bank's Zeng, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S ., Fitch, AAA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Street, Nasdaq, Deutsche, BMO Locations: Washington, U.S, Tuesday's
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs will have difficulty 'firing on all cylinders' for a quarter in 2023: CFRA's Ken LeonKen Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk bank earnings, investment banking and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ken Leon Ken Leon Organizations: Equity Research
Stocks could continue to gain momentum in the week ahead as traders turn their attention to earnings results after the past week's softer inflation news. The major benchmarks are headed for a positive week Friday after encouraging consumer and wholesale inflation in June cemented the likelihood that the Federal Reserve is closer to the end of its rate-hiking campaign. Some market participants expect this period could mark the trough for earnings, and urge traders to pay more attention to forward guidance. "And that's a great sign for the market and market health." ET: NAHB housing market index (July) Earnings: Bank of America , Morgan Stanley , Bank of N.Y. Mellon , Lockheed Martin , PNC Financial , J.B. Hunt Wednesday 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Sage, Rob Williams, Sam Stovall, gee, Stovall, It's, Yung, Yu Ma, MRB, Sage Advisory's Williams, Williams, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Baird's Ross Mayfield, Lockheed Martin, Baker Hughes, Goldman Sachs, Kinder Morgan, Equifax, Johnson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Reserve, Open, BMO Wealth Management's, MRB Partners, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Investors, Bank, N.Y, Mellon, Lockheed, PNC Financial, J.B, Hunt, Housing, Nasdaq, Citizens Financial, Halliburton, Las Vegas Sands, IBM, Tesla, Netflix, American Airlines, United Airlines, CSX, Comerica, PPG, Roper Technologies, American Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon Valley, Las Vegas, Horton
Recent inflation data points to a strong economy that could propel the S & P 500 to break the 5,000-point threshold by the end of 2023, according to Peter Essele, head of portfolio management for Commonwealth Financial Network. June data for two closely watched inflation gauges released this week, the consumer price index and producer price index , showed costs easing across the board. That signals to Essele the S & P 500 can keep charging upward, with his prediction of the 5,000 level being reached implying the S & P 500 will gain another 11.8% from Wednesday's close. The S & P 500 has already had a stellar year, rising 17%. We could easily see the S & P 500 top 5,000 by the end of the year."
Persons: Peter Essele, Essele, Sam Stovall, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Commonwealth Financial Network, CPI, PPI, CNBC Locations: Wednesday's
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