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Despite the pullback, a primary uptrend remains in place for the CAC 40, in addition to the related iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ) . Both proxies for French stocks appear to be finding their footing, which suggests that the market is welcoming the latest news regarding the election. Once the final outcome is determined, it would be natural for investors to respond favorably to the removal of uncertainty, particularly given the oversold status of French stocks. This suggests a counter-trend phase of outperformance is possible for French stocks versus U.S. stocks. Recent stabilization in many French stocks shows a positive reaction to widespread intermediate-term oversold conditions, which we gauge using the weekly stochastic oscillator.
Persons: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Katie Stockton Organizations: CAC, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: France, EWQ
London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.21% by 6.37 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. France’s left-wing alliance came in first after the vote Sunday, while the far right trailed in third place in a shocking reversal of first-round results.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, , Organizations: London CNN, Rabobank, European Union Locations: gridlock, France, Paris
LONDON — European stocks were set to fall at the open on Monday as markets reacted to an expected hung parliament in France after a surprise win for a left-wing coalition of parties. France's CAC 40 was seen falling 37.9 points to 7,631, according to IG, and the euro was down 0.18% against the dollar. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index and Germany's DAX are both expected to fall around 6 points, while Italy's FTSE MIB is expected to slip 115 points at the open. European marketsFrance's left-wing New Popular Front won the largest number of seats in this weekend's parliamentary elections, scuppering an expected surge for the far-right. However, the coalition failed to secure an absolute majority, early data showed, leaving markets digesting the possibility of a hung parliament.
Persons: Germany's DAX, France's, scuppering, Jim Reid, Nathan Posner Organizations: CAC, IG, Popular Front, Deutsche Bank, New, Republique, Anadolu, Getty Locations: France, Paris, France's
The Houses of Parliament are seen on June 28, 2024 in London, England ahead of the UK general election. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Thursday, with the U.K.'s general election in focus in the region. The U.K. general election is being held Thursday. Polls open from 7a.m. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets were mostly up Thursday as Japan's Topix crossed its all-time high of 2,886.50, previously set in December 1989.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Japan's Topix Organizations: LONDON, CAC, IG, Labour Party, Conservative Party Locations: London, England, Asia, Pacific
Poster of Christophe Versini for the Rassemblement National (National Rally) party, with Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella on it, on June 24, 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to start the new trading week higher as investors in the region digest the results of the first round of France's snap parliamentary election. European markets will be reacting to the results of the first round of the snap parliamentary election in France in which there was a sharp upswing in votes for the anti-immigrant National Rally party. Initial results point to it struggling for an absolute majority in the second round of voting that takes place on July 7, however. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets started the second half of the year mixed as investors assessed June business activity data from China as well as Japan's business confidence readings.
Persons: Christophe Versini, Jordan Bardella, Germany's DAX, Emmanuel Macron's Organizations: Rassemblement National, LONDON, CAC, IG, National Rally, British Foods Locations: France, Asia, Pacific, China
Dimitar Dilkoff | Afp | Getty ImagesFrench stocks staged a relief rally early Monday after results from the first round of the nation's snap election raised expectations of a hung parliament. The far-right National Rally party and its allies won 33.1% of the vote, the left-wing NFP alliance was second with 28% and Macron's coalition secured 20%, France's Interior Ministry said Monday. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon CAC 40 index. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Euro/U.S. National Rally is hoping it will be the party's 28-year-old leader, Jordan Bardella.
Persons: Jordan Bardella, Gabriel Attal, Manuel Bompard, Dimitar Dilkoff, Sebastian Paris Horvitz, CNBC's, Matthew Ryan, , Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Horvitz Organizations: Rassemblement National, France's, France, TF1, Afp, Getty, NFP, La Banque Postale Asset Management, Citi, National, U.S ., National Assembly, Locations: London, France, Europe
French stocks and the euro boosted by election results
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
London CNN —French stocks and the euro rallied Monday after results from the first round of elections suggested the far right will inflict a heavy defeat on President Emmanual Macron but fall short of winning an outright majority in parliament. France’s CAC 40 index, which represents 40 of the biggest companies listed in Paris, rose 2.7% at the open. The euro, which tumbled after Macron called the snap election on June 9, touched the strongest level against the dollar in more than two weeks. Macron’s Ensemble alliance slumped to a dismal third with 20.76%, according to final results published Monday by France’s Interior Ministry. “The immediate reaction is one of a relief rally.”This is a developing story and will be updated.
Persons: Emmanual Macron, Macron, Le, ” Mohit Kumar, Jefferies, Organizations: London CNN, Popular Front, France’s Interior Ministry Locations: Paris, Europe
Nurphoto | Getty ImagesWith just days to go until France's snap parliamentary election kicks off, victory for the far right looks increasingly likely in the first phase of the two-stage runoff. But predicting the outcome of France's final vote on July 7 is less clear-cut, given the complexity of France's voting system. Voter turnout for the national election is also expected to be larger — and therefore more representative — than the 51% who cast their ballot in the EU vote. With that in mind, analysts see a 30% to 40% chance of the National Rally winning the 289 seats needed to secure an absolute majority in the 577-seat National Assembly. A majority government for either the far-right or the ultraleft alliance, meanwhile, could spark a far more dramatic outcome.
Persons: Jordan Bardella, Emmanuel Macron's, Schmieding, Organizations: National, Palais des Sports, Nurphoto, Elabe, CNBC, Macron, National Rally, National Assembly, Berenberg Bank, Citi Locations: French, Le, Paris, France
London CNN —President Joe Biden had a shaky performance in last night’s presidential debate, triggering panic in the Democrat camp. Former President Donald Trump, meanwhile, repeated multiple falsehoods while doubling down on his record of cutting taxes and hiking tariffs during his first presidential term. If repeated in a second Trump term, many economists fear that kind of agenda could stoke inflation at a critical moment and add to America’s rapidly growing debt mountain. That could pull the typical year-end election relief rally forward, said Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research. The US dollar has also been reactive — it edged higher as initial CNN polling found that Trump was viewed as the winner of the debate.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, shrugged, , Keith Lerner, Barack Obama, Trump, Lerner, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Antonio Ernesto Di Giacomo, , Goldman Sachs ’ Scott Rubner, Jonas Goltermann, Emmanuel Macron, Katie Nixon, France’s, CDK, Ramishah Maruf, Eva Rothenberg, aren’t, they’ve, Scott Campbell, CNN they’ve, Jordan Valinsky, Tim Wentworth Organizations: London CNN, Democrat, Trump, , Biden, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Investors, Capital Economics, CNN, Renaissance, Northern Trust Wealth Management, CAC, CDK, Auto, Capital City Buick GMC, Bloomberg, Walgreens Locations: France, , North America, United States, Canada, Berlin , Vermont, Eastern Europe, America
France's parliamentary election has already rattled investors as the country's risk premium rises — but two possible scenarios have still not been priced in by markets and could impact stocks in the wider European region, according to Citi. "However, the market is not priced in for far-right or far-left majority," Manthey said. "The outcome is still quite unclear, we only have polling for the first round of the election. "Let's put the announcement of the election in the context of the positioning of the investors. If the French election outcome "is very market unfriendly ... markets in Europe are quite correlated.
Persons: Beata Manthey, CNBC's, Manthey, Emmanuel Macron's, Let's, we've Organizations: Citi, CAC Locations: Sunday's, Europe, U.S
Poster of Christophe Versini for the Rassemblement National (National Rally) party, with Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella on it, on June 24, 2024. Recent polling suggests the far-right Rassemblement National (RN, or National Rally) party, led by Jordan Bardella, could win the most seats in the National Assembly, followed by the left-wing alliance Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP, or New Popular Front). French bond yields — which move inversely to prices — have been relatively contained. Even then, he added, the spread of French bond yields over their German counterparts looked set to remain higher than before Macron called the election. There is little concern over France enacting its own "Frexit," he said, with even National Rally having moved away from actively proposing leaving the euro area or the European Union.
Persons: Christophe Versini, Jordan Bardella, Magali Cohen, Emmanuel Macron, Sunday's, Giorgia Meloni, Viraj Patel, Patel, Liz, Truss, Andrew Kenningham, Macron, Kenningham, François Mitterrand, Christian Keller, CNBC's, Keller Organizations: Rassemblement National, Afp, Getty, National Assembly, Societe Generale, BNP, Vanda Research, Capital Economics, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Barclays, European Union Locations: Germany, Italy, Europe, France, Britain
A photo shows the bell during a bell ceremony of the Euronext Brussels Stock Exchange in Brussels on March 18, 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in negative territory Thursday as global inflation worries continue to rattle markets. Global market attention is shifting toward fresh U.S. inflation data on Friday, with May's personal consumption expenditures price index, the U.S. Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, due to be released. Data releases in Europe Thursday include Italy's latest consumer and business confidence numbers, and Spanish retail sales. An EU leader' summit begins in Brussels on Thursday and the Bank of England publishes its latest Financial Stability Report.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: Euronext Brussels Stock Exchange, LONDON, CAC, IG, Global, U.S, U.S . Federal, U.S ., Bank of England Locations: Brussels, U.S ., Asia, Pacific, Europe, EU
A Trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, June 24, 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Wednesday, reversing negative sentiment seen in the previous trading session. The positive open anticipated for European markets comes after rocky trade in the region, and elsewhere globally, after a tech-driven selloff — although volatility in the sector appeared to stabilize after chipmaking giant Nvidia rallied Tuesday. Wall Street is likely to shift its attention toward fresh U.S. inflation data on Friday with the release of May's personal consumption expenditures price index, the U.S. Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Data releases in Europe on Wednesday include Germany's GFK consumer survey for July and European consumer confidence data for June.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, LONDON, CAC, IG, Nvidia, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific, U.S ., Europe, Mulberry
LONDON — European stocks are expected to open lower Tuesday, following souring U.S. market sentiment at the start of the week. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 16 points lower at 8,284, Germany's DAX 130 points lower at 18,207, France's CAC 40 down 32 points at 7,678 and Italy's FTSE MIB down 55 points at 33,982, according to data from IG. Global markets have turned lower after investors stateside sold off U.S. Big Tech stocks on Monday in favor of sectors such as banking and energy. Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose overnight, with traders assessing South Korea's consumer sentiment index for June, as well as Japan's service sector producer prices. Spanish gross domestic product data will be the main major economic release.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: U.S, CAC, IG, Global, . Big Tech, Nvidia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Europe
Jack Taylor | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks are heading for a cautiously higher open Friday as investors monitor a slew of central bank decisions and data releases. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index is on course for a weekly gain of more than 1.5%, its best performance since early May. Attention this week turned to central bank action, as the Swiss National Bank announced it would cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to 1.25%. The SNB became the first major central bank to cut rates during this cycle back in March. The Bank of England meanwhile kept interest rates unchanged at a 16-year high of 5.25%.
Persons: Jack Taylor Organizations: Getty, Equity, European Union Parliament, Reuters, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England Locations: Godalming, United Kingdom, France
CNBC Daily Open: Russia-North Korea defense pact
  + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Russia-North Korea partnershipRussia and North Korea signed a "comprehensive strategic partnership" deal on Wednesday, including a mutual defense pact, during President Vladimir Putin's first state visit to North Korea in 24 years. While the 2% inflation mark is significant, it was anticipated and mainly driven by lower energy prices. Musk clarifies remarksElon Musk attempted to clarify his controversial remarks after advertisers threatened to leave X. Musk previously told advertisers to "go f--- yourself."
Persons: Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Kim Jong Un, CNBC's Holly Ellyatt, Elon Musk, Musk, Eli Lilly Organizations: CNBC, Bank of England, Cannes Lions, CAC, Nasdaq Locations: Russia, North Korea, Ukraine, Cannes, France
Commuters crossing a junction near the Bank of England (BOE), left, in the City of London, UK, on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory Thursday, with U.K. investors looking ahead to the Bank of England's policy rate decision. The U.K.'s FTSE index is expected to open 16 points higher at 8,212, Germany's DAX up 21 points at 18,087, France's CAC 40 up 3 points at 7,568 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 10 points at 33,192, according to IG. U.K. traders will be focused on the Bank of England's rate decision Thursday, although the central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady at a 16-year high of 5.25%, with the majority of economists polled by Reuters forecasting a cut in August after the country's July 4 election. Data released Wednesday showed U.K. inflation rose by an annual 2.0% in May, hitting the BoE's inflation target.
Persons: BOE, Andrew Bailey, Hollie Adams, Germany's DAX Organizations: Bank of England, City of, Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of, CAC, IG, Reuters Locations: City, City of London
London CNN —London’s stock market has edged ahead of its rival in Paris as fears grow over the outcome of France’s looming parliamentary elections. The first round of the French elections is scheduled for June 30, followed by a second round on July 7. Hubert de Barochez, a senior market economist at consultancy Capital Economics, said investors might be concerned that a parliament run by the National Rally would penalize banks. In contrast with the political and financial turmoil in France, UK financial markets are “relatively stable,” said Rudolph at IG Group. Credit ratings agencies are already keeping a close eye on France, one of the EU’s three most-indebted countries.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Axel Rudolph, you’ve, , OpinionWay, Macron, Hubert de Barochez, Rudolph, Richard Hunter, Mohit Kumar Organizations: London CNN, Bloomberg, CAC, FTSE, European Union, , CNN, National, BNP, Credit, Capital Economics, IG Group, Labour Party, Interactive Investor, National Rally, Jefferies Locations: Paris, France, United Kingdom, Europe’s, Britain
A stock trader looks at his monitors in the trading room of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. Worries about a new coronavirus mutation in southern Africa have dealt a major blow to the German stock market. The Stoxx 600 index was up 0.68% in early deals, with all sectors and major bourses trading in the green. Travel and leisure stocks led gains, up 1.84%, while banks were also 1.28% higher. The index fell more than 6.2% last week.
Organizations: Frankfurt Stock Exchange, CAC Locations: Africa
French stocks are likely to take a further beating from political risk in the weeks and months ahead, but the impact will be focused in certain areas, according to strategists at Goldman Sachs. Along with an equity sell-off, borrowing costs climbed and the spread between French and German 10-year bond yields widened by 25 basis points. Goldman strategists expect that spread to remain wide in the coming weeks. "This would likely maintain the pressure on French domestic stocks, especially Banks, which are highly sensitive to sovereign spreads," Goldman strategists said in a research note published Friday. French domestic big names include supermarket chain Carrefour , construction firm Vinci and utility Engie , while its internationally oriented juggernauts include the likes of LVMH , L'Oreal and Remy Cointreau .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Liz, Goldman, Banks, Vinci, Remy Cointreau Organizations: CAC, L'Oreal Locations: Carrefour
Matthieu Delaty | Afp | Getty ImagesFrance's election campaign kicked off in earnest Monday following a weekend of violent nationwide protests against the far-right National Rally, or RN, whose record European Parliament gains sparked the snap vote. Protesters gather during an anti far-right rally after French president called legislative elections following far-right parties' significant gains in European Parliament elections, in Paris on June 15, 2024. More likely, however, is a "messy" hung parliament, he said — part of Macron's gamble to discredit RN's legitimacy ahead of the 2027 presidential elections. French stocks gained on Monday, with Goldman Sachs' senior European strategist Sharon Bell saying that the sell-off may have been premature. Protesters gather during an anti-far-right rally after French President Emmanuel Macron called legislative elections following far-right parties' significant gains in European Parliament elections in Paris on June 15, 2024.
Persons: Matthieu Delaty, Jordan Bardella, France's Le, Lou Benoist, Emmanuel Macron's, Mujtaba Rahman, Mujtaba, Goldman Sachs, Sharon Bell, Bell, CNBC's, Emmanuel Macron Organizations: National Rally, Afp, Getty, France's Le Monde, CGT, CNBC, Union, Eurasia, CAC, Generale, Protesters Locations: Lyon, France, Paris, Europe
Commuters crossing a junction near the Bank of England (BOE), left, in the City of London, UK, on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesLONDON — European markets are set to open mixed as investors attempt to shake off negative sentiment from last week and look ahead to the latest interest rate decision from the Bank of England. Investors are looking ahead to the Bank of England's policy rate decision on Thursday. In Asia-Pacific, markets were mixed on Monday as the region assesses key economic data out from China. U.S. stock futures were little changed on Monday morning as traders start a holiday-shortened week.
Persons: BOE, Andrew Bailey, Hollie Adams, Emmanuel Macron's Organizations: Bank of England, City of, Bloomberg, Getty, CAC, Bank of, Reuters Locations: City, City of London, Italy, Asia, Pacific, China . U.S
Europe stocks head for higher open to round off choppy week
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
This picture taken in Paris on March 3, 2024 shows the silhouette of the Eiffel Tower and the city skyline against a cloudy weather. The Stoxx 600 index is nonetheless on course for one of its worst weeks of the year so far. Stateside, two sets of inflation data — the consumer price index and the producer price index — both came in softer than expected, boosting U.S. stocks. Between those readings, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and revised its outlook for interest rate cuts to just one in 2024. The start of the week was dominated by market reaction to elections to the European Union's parliament, in which far-right parties made gains, as had been forecast.
Persons: Stefano RELLANDINI, STEFANO RELLANDINI, Germany's DAX, Emmanuel Macron's Organizations: Eiffel, Getty, CAC, Federal Reserve, spooked Locations: Paris, AFP
Jordan Bardella, President of the National Rally (Rassemblement National), a French nationalist and right-wing populist party, speaks to over 5,000 supporters on June 9th, at Le Dôme de Paris. French stocks plunged on Friday, with the country's blue-chip index heading for its worst week in more than two years, as investors weigh a potential far-right victory in the upcoming parliamentary elections. A volatile week kicked off in French politics, as President Emmanuel Macron called a snap election last Sunday. The president's decision came after the far-right National Rally party won a historic 31.37% of the French vote for the European Parliament, more than double the 14.6% won by Macron's own Renaissance party. The French leader has since said that he will not step down as president if National Rally makes significant gains in the French legislature, handing them control over economic policy and other domestic issues.
Persons: Jordan Bardella, Emmanuel Macron, Macron's Organizations: National, CAC Locations: French, Le, Paris, London
A growing realization that President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to hold snap elections in France may backfire sent the French stock market tumbling on Friday to its lowest level in two years, and prompted warnings from the French finance minister that the economy risks stumbling into a financial crisis. Amid growing signs that Marine Le Pen’s far-right party may be ushered to the brink of power, France’s benchmark stock index, the CAC 40, slumped 2.7 percent. The losses capped a weeklong losing streak that sent shares down more than 6 percent, wiping out all the bourse’s gains since the start of the year. Among the hardest hit stocks were France’s biggest banks, including BNP Paribas and Société Générale, which hold hefty amounts of French sovereign debt. Equally worrisome, the risk premium that investors demand to hold French government bonds over Germany’s, a eurozone benchmark, rose to the highest since 2017, the biggest weekly jump since 2012, when the euro debt crisis was underway.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron’s, Société Organizations: CAC, BNP Locations: France
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