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Nonfarm payrolls increased by 12,000 for the month, down sharply from September and below the Dow Jones estimate for 100,000, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. In what had already been expected to be a downbeat report, October posted the smallest gain since December 2020. A broader measure of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons also was unchanged at 7.7%. In the report narrative, the BLS noted that the Boeing strike likely subtracted 44,000 jobs in the manufacturing sector, which lost 46,000 positions overall. The meager jobs numbers along with wages about in line with expectations help cement another interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Helene, Milton, Cory Stahle, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: of Labor Statistics, BLS, Boeing, Federal Reserve, Republican, Bright MLS Locations: U.S
Treasury yields rise as investors look to key jobs data
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over one basis point to 4.2947%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 4.1806% after rising by more than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Friday as investors awaited the all-important October jobs report and digested key economic data released throughout the week. Investors weighed a series of key economic reports published throughout the week, including Thursday's personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge. It is also some of the last key economic data before the U.S. election next week.
Persons: Dow Jones, nonfarm payrolls, payrolls Organizations: Treasury, Federal, PCE, Fed, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve’s target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. Consumer spending rose 0.5%, topping the outlook by 0.1 percentage point.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
But they may ditch their argument Friday morning, when the October jobs report is set to be released — just days before Election Day. Groshen disagreed, saying that initial estimates of the monthly change in hiring are “noisier than they used to be” because of the lower response. However, that gets smoothed out in later revisions as response rates improve with the additional time. That exacerbates the funding shortfall at the BLS, where inflation-adjusted funding has steadily declined over the past decade, she said. That would help improve, for instance, Federal Reserve officials’ ability to make interest rate decisions that hinge on the latest labor market data, Groshen told CNN.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hurricanes Helene, Milton, Republican Sen, Marco Rubio, , Harris, ” Rubio, Rubio, Erica Groshen, Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Kamala Harris “, Laura Kelter, Groshen, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Hurricanes, Republican, Biden, Trump, Cornell University School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Department of Labor, Census Bureau, Management, CNN, Biden Administration, Employment, Federal Locations: New York, Florida, America
Expect the unexpected in Friday’s jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
In any other month, the finishing touch would be a clean reading on the labor market from the official jobs report. However, a common thread among economists is that the strikes and hurricanes could take a 100,000-job bite out of the October jobs report. The last time there were back-to-back major hurricanes — Harvey and Irma in 2017 — the forecasts for the following month’s jobs report were for a loss of 33,000 positions. And each contribute to two of the biggest numbers in the monthly jobs report. A key date to keep in mind for the jobs report is October 12, as it anchors the “reference period” for both surveys.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, “ It’s, That’s, aren’t, FactSet, Joe Brusuelas, — Harvey, Irma, Sahm, Oliver Allen, Milton, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, We’re, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden’s, Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Reserve, New Century Advisors, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Challenger, ADP, BLS, RSM, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Republicans, The New York Times, Siena College, Associated Press Locations: Washington and Oregon
Goldman Sachs estimates that Helene could shave as much as 50,000 off the payrolls count, though Hurricane Milton probably happened too late to impact the October count. The Boeing strike, meanwhile, could lower the total by 41,000, added Goldman, which is forecasting total payrolls growth of 95,000. Data has been solidYet indicators leading up to the much-watched jobs report show that hiring has continued apace and layoffs are low, despite the damage done from the storms and the strikes. Still, the White House is estimating that the events cumulatively may hit the payrolls count by as many as 100,000. The "disruptions will make interpreting this month's jobs report harder than usual," Jared Bernstein, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, said Wednesday.
Persons: Angus Mordant, Dow Jones, Milton, Michael Arone, Arone, Goldman Sachs, Helene, Hurricane Milton, Goldman, Jared Bernstein Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, State Street Global Advisors, of Economic Advisers Locations: Catskill , New York, U.S, Hurricane
Key Fed inflation rate hits 2.1% in September, as expected
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Inflation increased slightly in September and moved closer to the Federal Reserve's target, according to a Commerce Department report Thursday. The personal consumption expenditures price index showed a seasonally adjusted 0.2% increase for the month, with the 12-month inflation rate at 2.1%, both in line with Dow Jones estimates. Fed officials target inflation at a 2% annual rate, a level it has not achieved since February 2021. The annual rate was 0.1 percentage point higher than forecast but the same as in August. In September, the Fed slashed the rate by a half percentage point, a move virtually unprecedented during an economic expansion.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Energy, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics
Although sentiment is improving (more on that soon), poll after poll suggests that Americans hold largely negative views about the US economy. And the US economy remains a job-creation machine, adding 368,000 jobs per month on average during the Biden administration, a record high. But they’re still growing at a 3.9% adjusted rate, according to the Department of Labor. A recent study from the Brookings Institution, released last week, found a correlation between economic sentiment and political affiliation with the party in control of the White House. When Trump took office, Republican economic sentiment surged, while Democratic sentiment cratered.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, Covid, That’s, Donald Trump, they’re Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Gross, Economic, International Monetary Fund, Labor, BEA, US Department of Housing, Urban Development, Bank of America, Brookings Institution, White, Democratic, Republican, Democrat
September's payrolls report exceeded expectations, but economists see weak gains for October. Even with lower expectations, a poor print could reset the market's narrative around a soft landing. AdvertisementThe narrative around ongoing labor-market strength revived with September's payrolls report, which topped economists' expectations by over 100,000 jobs. "The October jobs report will likely show a severe but short-lived hit from hurricanes Helene and Milton," Adams said. Another sign that September's jobs numbers may have been overstated is that other employment indicators haven't started to trend upwards.
Persons: September's, , Hurricanes Milton, Helene, Tom Essaye, Ben McMillan, McMillan, Goldman Sachs, there's, Goldman, Claudia Sahm, Michael Cuggino, Bill Adams, Milton, Adams, Neil Dutta, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Dutta Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, IDX Advisors, of Labor Statistics, Comerica, Funds, Federal Reserve, Macro, BLS, PMI
CNN —Private sector hiring blew past expectations in October, another sign that the US labor market remains on solid footing, payroll processor ADP reported Wednesday. Non-governmental employers added 233,000 jobs in October, a sharp acceleration from the 159,000 net increase reported for September, according to ADP’s latest National Employment Report. Wednesday’s gains throttled economists’ expectations for job growth to slow to a mere 108,000 jobs from the initial estimate of 143,000, FactSet estimates show. Pantheon Macroeconomics is sticking with its forecast of 100,000 payroll gains, according to an investors note sent Wednesday. And while a resurgence in the labor market could raise concerns about a reacceleration in inflation, October’s ADP data showed otherwise, Richardson said.
Persons: Nela Richardson, Hurricane Helene, ADP’s tabulations, ” Richardson, Richardson, , Irma, ” Samuel Tombs, Milton …, Wednesday’s, Organizations: CNN, ADP, Boeing, Labor Department, of Labor Statistics, Pantheon, Companies, Federal Reserve Locations: Hurricane Milton, Carolina, Florida, Milton, South Atlantic
It was an AI recruiter. And LinkedIn wants to fix the disconnect, in part by fighting AI … with AI. AdvertisementEarlier this year, the company rolled out new AI tools to premium subscribers. ZipRecruiter also rolled out revamped AI tools to help job seekers find better matches this summer. AdvertisementCanseco has not yet tried LinkedIn's AI tools because she isn't a premium user, but she could get access to them soon.
Persons: Paloma Canseco, She's, Robin, Canseco, Robin wasn't, I'm, Rohan Rajiv, Rajiv, Monster, résumés, Hayley Finegan, Finegan, who's, Josh Bersin, they're, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter's, ZipRecruiter, Millie Black, she's, Black Organizations: LinkedIn, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Human Resource Management
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink says the Fed will cut rates just once more this year. The market sees two more 25 basis point cuts before the end of the year. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve will disappoint markets by cutting interest rates just one more time in 2024, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said. Fink said the Fed will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year amid a rise in global inflation. The central bank kicked off its easing cycle with a jumbo 50 basis point cut last month.
Persons: Larry Fink, , Fink, " Fink, we're, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, Fed, Service, Reserve, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs Act, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC Locations: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
The first burst on Tuesday — a critical read on activity within the jobs market — showed that the once too-tight labor market is starting to look more like its pre-pandemic days. Economists were expecting the number of job openings to land at around 7.9 million, declining from the prior month’s initial estimate of 8.04 million, according to FactSet estimates. The decline in job openings reflects a labor market that has slowed back to a pre-pandemic pace after experiencing years of blockbuster growth. “Decreasing or subdued job openings, quits and hiring rates last month all point to a cooler labor market compared to one year ago,” Elizabeth Renter, senior economist for NerdWallet, wrote in commentary issued Tuesday. It’s also likely the last clean piece of labor market data: The ongoing Boeing strike and Hurricanes Helene and Milton are expected to heavily distort jobs data starting with the month of October.
Persons: ” Elizabeth Renter, NerdWallet, aren’t, It’s, Hurricanes Helene, Milton, Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, “ Employers, Labor, Boeing, Hurricanes
At the national level, the middle class is typically defined as households that earn between two-thirds and double the household median income. Based on 2023 figures, that means those with an annual income between $53,740 and $161,220. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the annual rate of inflation was 2.4% in September, as measured by the consumer price index. But that hasn't necessarily led to a dramatic decline in prices; in many categories, consumers have only seen costs rising more slowly. "Financially, things have been a struggle," said Kyle Connolly, a mother of three making a middle-class income in Pensacola, Florida.
Persons: Kyle Connolly Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Living Coalition Locations: U.S, Pensacola , Florida
Consumers grew more optimistic about the U.S. economy heading into the contentious presidential election even as job openings hit multi-year lows, according to separate reports released Tuesday. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index for October rose more than 11% to a reading of 138, its biggest one-month acceleration since March 2021. "Views on the current availability of jobs rebounded after several months of weakness, potentially reflecting better labor market data." The drop in openings took the ratio of job vacancies to available workers below 1.1 to 1. Though the openings level moved lower, hires rose 123,000 on the month.
Persons: Dow Jones, Dana Peterson Organizations: Labor Locations: U.S
The U.S. Federal Reserve won't cut interest rates as much as markets expect because "embedded inflation" is too high, Blackrock CEO Larry Fink said Tuesday, speaking at a CEO-studded panel in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The Biden administration's legislation, such as the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, have pushed those efforts forward. "Today, I think we have governmental policies that are embedded inflationary, and, with that being said, we're not gonna see interest rates as low as people are forecasting," Fink said. The Fed cut its benchmark rate by 50 basis points in September, signaling a turning point in its management of the U.S. economy and in its outlook for inflation. In late-September reports, strategists at J.P. Morgan and Fitch Ratings predicted two additional interest rate cuts by the end of 2024, and expect such reductions to continue into 2025.
Persons: Andrew Ross Sorkin, Larry Fink, Saudi Arabia . Fink, " Fink, onshoring, we're, Fink, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Carlyle, Morgan Stanley Organizations: BlackRock, New York Times DealBook, Jazz, Lincoln Center, U.S . Federal, Blackrock, Saudi, Future Investment Initiative, Biden, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Fed, Fitch, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Standard Chartered Locations: New York City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, China, U.S
If you want to earn six figures while working from home, consider a career in social media marketing. Job boards FlexJobs and Freelancer.com are seeing a boom in the number of remote, hybrid and freelance social media marketing roles. An in-demand job that doesn't require a degreeWhile some marketing jobs prefer candidates to have a bachelor's degree, it's not a prerequisite for a successful career in social media marketing. Some of the most in-demand roles in this field include influencer marketing managers, social media marketing specialists and content strategists, per FlexJobs and LinkedIn. Turning a social media marketing side hustle into a six-figure career
Persons: it's, Toni Frana, FlexJobs, Sebastián Siseles, Frana Organizations: Social, LinkedIn, Labor Statistics, Freelancer.com, Google Locations: U.S
New York CNN —Target is lowering the price of its Thanksgiving meal bundle, adding to the roughly 8,000 products that have been discounted as it attempts to attract inflation-weary shoppers during the holiday season. Target is the latest major retailer to chop the price of its Thanksgiving meal bundle, joining Aldi and Walmart in a holiday price war. Sam’s Club last week announced a Member’s Mark Thanksgiving meal, which feeds up to 10 people for under $100, made up of the warehouse club’s private label products and is delivered already cooked. Food price inflation has moderated substantially during the past year, Consumer Price Index data shows. Gomez said Target customers are buying in bulk to save money, or purchasing smaller items that have cheaper prices compared to their full-sized counterpart.
Persons: Rick Gomez, Dr, Michael Swanson, Gomez, , Organizations: New, New York CNN, Target, CNN, Aldi, Walmart, Sam’s, of Labor Statistics, Food Institute Locations: New York, Wells
“Buying gold has never been easier and more accessible.”While gold, typically invested in as a hedge against inflation, has shined this year, there are plenty of things to know before investors join the gold rush. How do you actually go about buying gold? Another consideration when buying gold in the retail market is how the sticker price of the bullion compares to the spot price of gold. But Cavatoni advises having a “round-trip mentality” when purchasing physical gold, emphasizing the importance of the selling stage as much as the purchase process. On the other hand, gold-backed ETFs free consumers from the considerations that need to be made when purchasing physical gold.
Persons: , Joseph Cavatoni, , Cavatoni, “ It’s, ” Cavatoni, prudently Organizations: CNN, Costco, World Gold, of Labor Statistics Locations: China, India, Turkey
AdvertisementThere's been plenty of discussion of how millennials and Gen Zers cope in the professional world. Many Gen Zers, in comparison, prioritize work-life balance and keeping a job being "just a job." Jishnu Jayan Nair, 29, told BI it is "a bit tricky to find your place in the workplace" as a zillennial. Kevin Shahnazari, the 26-year-old founder of the credit card recommendation platform FinlyWealth, told BI being a zillennial has worked in his favor. "I think a lot of people are in this sort of push and pull of the zillennial — wanting to be their best, wanting to also slow down, wanting to embrace parts of both cultures," she said.
Persons: , Gen Zers, Samantha Hart, Zers, perfectionism, Hart, millennials, she's, Zillennials, Lauren Farina, Farina, zillennials, Lauren Schneider, Schneider, Jayan Nair, Gen Zs, Millennials, Gen, Riannon Palmer, Lem, uhn, Palmer, Ilana Zivkovich, Werq, Kevin Shahnazari Organizations: Service, BI, of Labor Statistics Locations: Washington
CNN —Striking workers will take at least a 44,000-job bite out of the October jobs report, according to new data released Friday. That’s the biggest monthly employment knock in a year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest strike report. “So, our forecast is for a 120,000 increase in total employment, which is fine on its own. A little over two weeks ago, as the Southeast was reeling from the destruction laid by Hurricane Helene, Florida was bracing for even worse from the monstrous Hurricane Milton. The BLS’ reference period for the jobs report is the pay period that includes the 12th of the month.
Persons: what’s, ” Joe Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Milton, Helene, Helene — Organizations: CNN —, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Boeing, RSM, CNN, Federal Reserve, BLS Locations: Hurricane, Florida
Two swing states — Arizona and Pennsylvania — exemplify in their own ways how housing markets across the country have failed to address the key issue they face: too few homes. Sprawling subdivisions helped accommodate the growing population and were enough to keep housing costs relatively low through the early 2010s. As demand spiked, snarled supply chains helped inflate construction costs. Home prices have risen 39% since January 2020, Horowitz noted, even though the state's population is shrinking. Like many other states, Pennsylvania has underbuilt housing since the 2008 financial crisis, which tanked the housing market.
Persons: , Alex Horowitz, it's, Horowitz, Mario Tama, we've, Ben Metcalf, Metcalf, Josh Shapiro, Shapiro, Tucson Mayor Regina Romero, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, He's, Harris, Redfin, Noah Sheidlower Organizations: Service, Pew's, Business, Getty Images, Terner Center, Housing Innovation, UC Berkeley, of Labor Statistics, Pennsylvania, Tucson Mayor, Federal Reserve Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin , Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Zillow, Pennsylvania, Phoenix, . Pennsylvania
The final pre-election edition of the closely watched monthly jobs report is set to be published Nov. 1, four days ahead of Election Day. All eyes are now on a handful of states expected to see razor-thin vote margins, likely to be determined by a small but crucial pool of persuadable voters. The exact impact on the jobs report is unclear. The strike, which kicked off in September, has coincided with layoff notices sent to 17,000 workers in Boeing's commercial aviation division. While the Keystone State's unemployment rate climbed by a tenth of a percentage point compared with the September 2023 figure, its latest reading, at 3.4%, marked two straight years below 4%.
Persons: Milton —, Boeing machinists, Goldman Sachs, , Goldman, Helene, Trump Organizations: Boeing, of Labor Statistics, Nomura Holdings, Nomura, BLS, Electoral College, Keystone, Democratic, Republican Locations: U.S, Milton, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania
The decline of Hollywood in one chart
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Lucia Moses | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
LA has seen a steep drop in its share of TV and film jobs compared with the rest of the US. The decline comes as labor costs have gone up and other locales have sweetened their incentives. In recent years, the area has lost some TV and film jobs as countries such as Canada and states like Georgia have become production hubs. Los Angeles is losing TV and film jobs to the rest of the US. 2 entertainment-job market in the US (after LA) also saw its share of film and TV jobs dip.
Persons: , Patrick Adler, Taner Osman, Adler, FilmLA, Paul Audley, Otis Organizations: Industry, Service, Los Angeles, of Labor Statistics, Westwood Economics, Planning Associates, Otis College, Sound Recording Industries, Bureau of Labor Statistics, LA Locations: Los, Canada, Georgia, New York, Arizona, Kentucky, LA
Former President Donald Trump’s visit on Sunday to a McDonald’s in Pennsylvania highlights the longest period without a national increase in the federal minimum wage since it was established in 1938. It’s not economics,” Reich said of the record-long period of time without a federal minimum wage increase. Reich, who has testified before Congress on the minimum wage, said there’s no question the federal minimum wage is not a livable wage. Members of the Service Employee International Union organized the rally in support of striking McDonald's workers who are demanding a wage increase. States hike minimum wagesAlthough the federal minimum wage hasn’t budged, many state minimum wages have.
Persons: Lehman, Bear Stearns, Patrick Mahomes, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, ” Trump, Donald Trump, Doug Mills, Harris, , ” “, ” Harris, Michael Reich, ” Reich, Anna Kelly, , ” Kelly, Reich, Kevin Dietsch, ” Nina Turner, ” McDonald’s, That’s, Chandan Khanna Organizations: New, New York CNN, Lehman Brothers, Getty, Monday, Trump, Dynamics, University of California, CNN, Republican National, America, MIT, ” Labor, Service Employee International Union, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Department Locations: New York, Francisco’s, United States, Pennsylvania, Feasterville, Trevose , Pennsylvania, Birmingham , Michigan, Berkeley, Communist, Washington ,, Alabama, California, Florida, Arkansas, West Virginia, Texas, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Ohio, Fort Lauderdale , Florida
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