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Iran, which is a member of OPEC, is a major player in the global oil market. It's estimated that as much as 4% of global supply could be at risk if Israel targets Iran's oil facilities. For some analysts, the reason crude prices have yet to move even higher is because the oil market is short. watch nowTamas Varga, an analyst at oil broker PVM, told CNBC via email on Thursday that the oil market was pricing in some risk premium given the geopolitical concerns. These fears, however, will be greatly alleviated in [the] coming days unless oil supply from the region or traffic through the Strait of Hormuz are materially impacted," he added.
Persons: Fatemeh, Goldman Sachs, SEB, Jeff Currie, Carlyle, CNBC's, it's, Currie, we've, Amrita Sen, We've, Sen, Joe Biden, Biden, Tamas Varga, " Varga, Benjamin Netanyahu, Masoud Pezeshkian Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Energy, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, CNBC, White House, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Persian, Nurphoto Locations: Isfahan Refinery, Iran, Isfahan, Israel, Swedish, backwardation, bearishness, U.S, Hormuz, Oman, Tehran, Qatar, Persian, Bushehr, Bushehr province
Global stocks dipped again on Thursday, while oil prices rose further as markets braced for a wider regional war in the Middle East. "He has been advocating for hitting Iran and for the United States to target Iran. There are several potential targets Netanyahu may be considering:Iran's oil facilitiesOne target could be Iran's oil production facilities. Oil prices spiked for a third day on Thursday, fueled by speculation that the growing conflict could limit production. With oil prices rising, there are fears that the industrial recession the US economy is experiencing could snowball into a full-fledged downturn.
Persons: , Benjamin Netanyahu, Netanyahu's, Netanyahu, Sen, Lindsey Graham of, Biden, Piper Sandler, Jake Oubina, Axios, Beni Sabti, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Chris Doyle, Naftali Bennett, Bennett, Gen Herzi Halevi, Farzan, Sabet, Israel's Organizations: Service, Experts, Central, Politics, Deakin University, Iran, Financial Times, Reuters, Brent, West Texas, Fox Business, Institute of National Security, Iran's Revolutionary Guard, Council, Guardian, US, Military, Global Governance Centre, Geneva Graduate Institute Locations: Israel, Iran, Middle East, Australia, United States, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Tel Aviv, British
Oil prices ticked higher in early trade on Thursday as investors weighed the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the potential for disruption to crude flows, against an amply-supplied global market. But an unexpected build in U.S. crude inventories on Wednesday helped ease some supply concerns and curbed oil price gains. Some investors remained unfazed as global crude supplies have yet to be disrupted by unrest in the key producing region, and spare OPEC capacity tempered worries. OPEC has enough spare oil capacity to compensate for a full loss of Iranian supply if Israel knocks out that country's facilities. "The effectively available spare capacity might be much lower if renewed attacks on energy infrastructure on countries in the region happen," said Giovanni Staunovo, analyst at UBS.
Persons: derek, East, Jim Simpson, Giovanni Staunovo Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Energy Information Administration, ANZ, East Daley Analytics, Reuters, OPEC, UBS Locations: Kuwait, Saudi Arabian, Israeli, Beirut's Bachoura, Iran, Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Gulf
Oil prices could surge past $200 a barrel if Iran's oil installations are taken offline, a chief commodities expert said. AdvertisementOil prices could roar past $200 a barrel if escalating tensions in the Middle East decimate Iran's crude output, a chief commodities analyst told CNBC. In the $200 per barrel scenario, Brent crude, the international benchmark, would gain 161% from its current price. Still, some investors are betting on the possibility of damaged oil output, Bloomberg reports. These restrictions were introduced to prop up oil prices, but have cost the alliance market share.
Persons: , SEB's Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, Brent, Bob McNally, haven't Organizations: Service, CNBC, Traders, Bloomberg Locations: Iran, Hormuz, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
The US is in an industrial recession, according to Piper Sandler economist Jake Oubina. A spike in oil prices could be enough to tip the economy into a full recession, Oubina added. But in general, the economy's showing an industrial recession," Oubina said in an interview with Fox Business on Tuesday. AdvertisementThe economy could slip into a broader recession if there's a spike in oil and energy prices, Oubina added. "Oil prices spiking, energy prices spiking in the past, have been enough to tip the economy from a slowing into a recession.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Jake Oubina, , That's, Oubina, Brent Organizations: Service, Institute of Supply Management, Fox Business, Atlanta Fed, Bank of America Locations: Iran, Israel
Saudi Arabia's oil minister says crude prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel. AdvertisementSaudi Arabia's oil minister says oil prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel if OPEC+ keeps overproducing, according to a Wall Street Journal report. $50 per barrel oil would drag Brent crude, the international benchmark, down 33% from current levels. The Saudi minister called out Iraq, which surpassed its quota by 400,000 barrels per day in August, according to S&P Global Ratings data. The OPEC leader caused prices to fall below $10 per barrel in 1986 after boosting output to penalize other producers.
Persons: , Prince Abdulaziz bin, Brent, That's Organizations: Service, Wall, Financial Times, OPEC Locations: Saudi, Lebanon, Iran, Kazakhstan, Riyadh, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, OPEC
NEBATIEH, LEBANON - SEPTEMBER 28: Smoke rises after Israeli attacks over Shebaa town of Nabatieh province on September 28, 2024. The Israeli air and artillery forces are supporting the offensive, the IDF said. Hezbollah said that claims that Israel had entered Lebanon are "false," reporting no "direct ground clashes," according to a Google-translated statement. Historically sensitive to geopolitical tremors, oil prices have resisted long-term spikes, reined in by the specter of waning global demand and potential supply increases. On its own, this escalation would point to higher oil prices and inflation.
Persons: Ramiz Dallah, Jalaa Marey, Hassan Nasrallah, Yoav Gallant, Lloyd Austin, Israel, Amir Yaron, specter Organizations: Getty Images, Anadolu, Getty, Israel, Israel's Defense Forces, White House, NBC, Brent, Afp, Jewish, Palestinian, Hamas, Israeli, U.S, United Nations, Reuters, Capital, Gulf Cooperation Council Locations: NEBATIEH, LEBANON, Shebaa, Nabatieh, Anadolu, Iran, Lebanon, Israel, London, Galilee, Gaza, Lebanese, Beirut's, U.S, Saudi Arabia
China's slowing crude demand growth and economic struggles are dampening oil market sentiment. Global benchmark Brent crude oil futures were up 0.17% to $71.82 per barrel at 2.14 a.m. This would be a big shift in policy, since Saudi Arabia has been leading OPEC and the group's allies, including Russia, in maintaining oil supply cuts since late 2022. AdvertisementDespite the downside pressure on oil prices, things could change quickly if geopolitical uncertainty rises further in the Middle East. The US may also provide some support to the market as crude oil inventories hit a two-and-a-half year low as of September 20, the latest data available.
Persons: Israel, , Henning Gloystein, Xi Jinping, Brent, Naeem Aslam, Aslam Organizations: Service, Israel, Brent, Benchmark, Texas, Eurasia Group, Beijing, BMI, Financial Times, London Locations: Lebanon, Brent, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia
An oil platform in the Red Sea in Ras Behar region, Egypt on January 29, 2023. Oil prices edged higher on Monday on increasing concerns of potential supply disruptions from the Middle East producing region after Israel stepped up attacks on Iranian-backed forces. Brent crude futures for November delivery increased 16 cents, or 0.22%, to $72.14 a barrel as of 0043 GMT. That contract expires on Monday and the more-active contract for December delivery gained 10 cents, or 0.14%, to $71.64. "The recent escalation of attacks in the Middle East is increasing the likelihood of Iran being directly dragged into the conflict, putting a significant risk around supply disruptions at the OPEC producer," ANZ Research said in a note.
Persons: Brent, WTI, Israel, Iran's, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, Lloyd Austin, Jerome Powell Organizations: . West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Hezbollah, ANZ Research, Lebanon . U.S . Defense Locations: Red, Ras Behar, Egypt, Israel, China, Iran, OPEC, Yemen, Lebanon . U.S, Washington, Libya
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei waves before voting in the country's presidential election, in Tehran, Iran July 5, 2024. Iran's generals and its supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei have pledged revenge, but their actions and language suggest a more measured response so far. "Iran's response options aren't good. on September 16, 2024 in Tehran, Iran. FILE PHOTO: Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah gestures as he addresses his supporters during a rare public appearance at an Ashoura ceremony in Beirut's southern suburbs November 3, 2014.
Persons: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Hassan Nasrallah, pagers, "⁠, Behnam ben Taleblu, Ismail Haniyeh, Khamenei, Iran's, Masoud Pezeshkian, Majid Saeedi, Pezeshkian, Yemen's, Sina Toossi, Houssam, Toossi, Yoav Gallant, Naim Qassem, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, Hasan Shaaban Organizations: Iran's, Reuters, Lebanese, Brent, Foundation for Defense of Democracies, CNBC, Islamic, Getty, Center for International, Anadolu, Israeli, Hamas, Hezbollah Locations: Tehran, Iran, Israel, Beirut, OPEC, Islamic Republic, Red, Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Beirut's
Vista Energy is well positioned for more growth ahead, according to UBS. The investment bank upgraded its rating on the stock to buy from neutral and increased its price target by $5 to $60, which implies nearly 32% upside from Thursday's close. VIST YTD mountain VIST, year-to-date This year, shares have soared, rising more than 54%. Yet, Vasconcellos believes the market is undervaluing Vista's production potential. Of the nine analysts covering the stock, seven have issued buy or strong buy ratings, LSEG data shows.
Persons: Tasso Vasconcellos, Brent, Vasconcellos Organizations: Vista Energy, UBS, SLB, Nabors Industries Locations: Argentina's Vaca
Oil prices fell for a third day on Friday, on course to end the week lower, as investors focused on expectations of higher supplies from Libya and the broader OPEC+ group of oil exporters. Oil prices fell for a third day on Friday, on course to end the week lower, as investors focused on expectations of higher supplies from Libya and the broader OPEC+ group of oil exporters. "The big-ticket items on the markets radar this week have been Libya and OPEC+," analysts at FGE Energy told clients on Thursday. A media report on Wednesday claimed the previously announced reversal is due to Saudi Arabia's decision to abandon a $100 oil price target and gain market share, causing oil prices to slide by 3% in the previous session. Still, the report has set off renewed speculation about a battle for market share at a time that investor sentiment was already at record lows, FGE noted.
Persons: Brent, Daniel Hynes, FGE Organizations: OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, FGE Energy, Central Bank of, ANZ Bank, Organization of Petroleum, Reuters, ICE Brent Locations: Libya, OPEC, Central Bank of Libya, Saudi, Saudi Arabia
Why oil prices have plunged 3% today
  + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
Saudi Arabia is committed to boosting oil output in December, the FT reported. The kingdom is resigning itself to a period a lower prices, sources told the FT.Oil markets spiraled on the news, falling as much as 4% on Thursday. AdvertisementA report that Saudi Arabia would ditch its unofficial crude price target sent crude oil prices sharply lower on Thursday. In essence, the kingdom is giving in to lower prices, FT sources said. The eastern-based faction has committed to reopening the country's oil fields in response, a move that could bring more crude output back online.
Persons: , Brent Organizations: FT ., Service, Financial Times, West Texas Intermediate, Saudi, Bloomberg Locations: Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Iraq, Kazakhstan, China, Libya
Oil prices were little changed on Thursday after falling in the previous session as signs of higher fuel demand and falling stockpiles in the U.S., the world's biggest oil user, offset concerns over demand elsewhere, particularly in China. Oil prices were little changed on Thursday after falling in the previous session as signs of higher fuel demand and falling stockpiles in the U.S., the world's biggest oil user, offset concerns over demand elsewhere, particularly in China. Oil prices slumped over 2% on Wednesday as worries over supply disruptions in Libya eased and demand concerns continued despite China's latest stimulus plans. Oil prices initially rose following the stimulus announcement from the world's biggest oil importer. "Any revival in Libyan production would return to a market that is already beset by concerns of weak demand in the U.S. and China," ANZ Research said.
Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, ANZ Research, Energy Information Administration Locations: U.S, China, Libya, United States
Why Evercore cut its Brent crude price target
  + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy Evercore cut its Brent crude price targetSteve Richardson, Evercore ISI senior managing director, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss global oil demand and pricing, oil futures, and more.
Persons: Steve Richardson Organizations: Brent
General view of the Towers and oil platforms of the State oil Company of Venezuela, Venezuelan oil Company SA. Oil prices steadied on Wednesday after rising in the previous session on fading excitement for the economic stimulus in China, the world's biggest crude importer, though an industry report showing falling U.S. crude and fuel inventories supported the market. Analysts, however, warned that more fiscal help was needed to boost confidence in the world's second-largest economy, which reduced the initial impact on oil prices from the announcement. Still, declining U.S. crude oil and fuel stockpiles provided some support for the market, which has generally risen since prices fell to their lowest since 2021 on Sept. 10. U.S. oil stockpiles dropped by 4.34 million barrels last week while gasoline inventories fell by 3.44 million barrels and distillate stocks fell by 1.12 million barrels, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.
Persons: Ibrahim Qubaisi, Israel, Qubaisi Organizations: State, Company, Venezuelan, Company SA, Brent, . West Texas, China, American Petroleum Institute, Hezbollah, Wednesday, Israel, Gulf Locations: Venezuela, China, U.S, East, Iran, Lebanon, Israel, Florida, Texas , Louisiana, Mississippi
Oil prices rose on Tuesday on concerns the intensifying conflict between Israel and Hezbollah may impact supply in the key Middle East producing region and a tropical storm may impact output in the U.S., the world's biggest crude producer, later this week. Oil prices rose on Tuesday on concerns the intensifying conflict between Israel and Hezbollah may impact supply in the key Middle East producing region and a tropical storm may impact output in the U.S., the world's biggest crude producer, later this week. Brent crude futures for November were up 21 cents, or 0.3%, at $74.11 a barrel at 0030 GMT. "The oil market has been concerned that rising tensions in the region were dragging the OPEC oil producer closer to engagement," said ANZ bank said in a note, referring to Iran. U.S. oil producers were evacuating staff from Gulf of Mexico oil production platforms as forecasters predicted the second major hurricane in two weeks could tear through offshore oil producing fields.
Organizations: Brent, Hezbollah, ANZ, U.S, National Hurricane Center Locations: Israel, U.S, Lebanon, Iranian, Hamas, Gaza, Iran, Gulf Coast, Gulf, Mexico, Cuba
Low global demand forecasts, coupled with new oil supply coming from non-OPEC countries, spell a long period of subdued crude prices. Has demand growth hit its apex, and is it just downhill from here? The oil producer group's 2024 World Oil Outlook report, released Tuesday, predicts strong energy demand growth of 24% globally between now and 2050. It also forecasts "robust medium-term growth" in oil demand reaching 112.3 million barrels per day in 2029, an increase of 10.1 million barrels per day compared to 2023. The IEA still sees global oil demand rising; it just forecasts a smaller rise, and expects it to peak by the end of the decade.
Persons: It's Organizations: Brent, International Energy Agency, The, IEA Locations: Saudi, Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, The Paris
Oil edges up following U.S. rate cut move, geopolitical concerns
  + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices gained slightly during early trade on Monday, boosted by concerns conflict in the Middle East may impact supply in the key producing region and expectations the U.S. interest rate cut last week will support demand. Both contracts rose in the previous session on support from the U.S. interest rate cut and a dip in U.S. supply in the aftermath of Hurricane Francine. Last Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a percentage point, a larger decrease in borrowing costs than many expected. Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand, but analysts and market participants are concerned the central bank may see a slowing job market. "Sentiment was buoyed by the Fed's rate cut amid hopes it can engineer a soft landing for the economy," said ANZ.
Persons: Hurricane Organizations: Brent, U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ Locations: Houston , Texas, Israel, Iranian, Iran, Lebanon
Oil prices set to end week higher after U.S. rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Oil prices, which were little changed in early Asian trade on Friday, were on track to end higher for a second straight week following a large cut in U.S. interest rates and declining global stockpiles. Brent futures , which were trading 19 cents or 0.3% lower at $73.69 a barrel at 0027 GMT on Friday, gained 4.3% this week. The U.S. central bank cut interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday. Weak demand from China's slowing economy was weighing on prices, with refinery output in China slowing for a fifth month in August. China's industrial output growth also slowed to a five-month low last month, and retail sales and new home prices weakened further.
Persons: Brent Organizations: Citi Locations: Brent, U.S, China
Oil prices fall as U.S. rate cut fails to boost market sentiment
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A pump jack operates in front of a drilling rig at sunset in an oil field in Midland, Texas. Oil prices fell in Asian trading on Thursday after a larger-than-expected Federal Reserve interest rate cut sparked concerns about the U.S. economy. The U.S. central bank cut interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday, suggesting the Fed saw a slowing job market. That view appeared to outweigh the boost that interest rate cuts usually bring to economic activity. China's industrial output growth also slowed to a five-month low last month, and retail sales and new home prices weakened further.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, heightening Organizations: Brent, Fed, ANZ, Citi, Shandong Yulong Petrochemical Locations: Midland , Texas, U.S, China, Shandong Yulong, Gaza
"We estimate that Brent could fall to roughly $50 per barrel in a moderate [U.S.] recession … We have a fairly benign view on the global economy," Struyven said during the conference. en Luckock global head of oil at Trafigura"Things are slowing down. Trading Giant Trafigura raised concerns about China's weak demand, and the global oil consumption tied to it. China's slowdown has spurred some to scour for alternative oil demand drivers, with a few eyeing India as a potential candidate. India is the third largest consumer of oil at around 5 million barrels of oil per day, 5% of the world's oil consumption.
Persons: Andrey Rudakov, Goldman Sachs, Brent, Struyven, Torbjörn Törnqvist, Ben Luckock, we're, Bing Chen, Gunvor Organizations: Tuapsinsky, Rosneft Oil, Bloomberg, Getty, Global Commodities, Daan, CNBC, Global, Brent, U.S, West Texas Locations: Tuapse, Russia, China, U.S, Ukraine, India, Japan, Germany, Hong
Oil prices steady, with investors focusing on Fed decision
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices steadied on Wednesday, after rising in the previous two sessions, as investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut, with the potential for more violence in the Middle East supporting the market. "Markets have calmed down as concerns over hurricane damage and escalating tensions in the Middle East have been factored in," said Mitsuru Muraishi, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities. "Now, investors are focusing on the Fed's rate cuts which could revitalize U.S. fuel demand and weaken the dollar," he said, predicting that oil prices are likely to maintain a bullish tone after Brent hit its lowest since 2021 last week. Traders kept bets the Fed will start an expected series of interest rate cuts with a half-percentage-point move downward on Wednesday, an expectation that may itself put pressure on central bankers to deliver just that. Oil stockpiles rose by 1.96 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 13, according to market sources citing the API figures, but gasoline and distillate stocks both rose by about 2.3 million barrels.
Persons: Hurricane Francine, Mitsuru Muraishi, Brent, Biden Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Brent, Fujitomi Securities, Traders, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, U.S . Energy Locations: U.S ., U.S, Israel, Lebanon, Beirut
Oil prices extended gains on Tuesday as the market eyed U.S. output concerns in the aftermath of Hurricane Francine and expectations of lower U.S. crude stockpiles. The market is keeping a close watch on the upcoming decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on the interest rate cut. A lower interest rate will reduce the cost of borrowing and can potentially lift oil demand by supporting economic growth. "Growing expectations of an aggressive rate cut boosted sentiment across the commodities complex," said ANZ analysts in a note, adding that ongoing supply disruptions also supported oil markets. China's oil refinery output fell for a fifth month in August amid declining fuel demand and weak export margins, government data showed on Saturday.
Persons: Hurricane Francine Organizations: Brent, Federal, U.S . Bureau of Safety, U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ, Investors Locations: U.S . Gulf, Mexico, U.S, China
Oil prices inch up on Fed rate cut outlook
  + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices edged up in early trade on Monday amid expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut this week, though gains were capped by U.S. supply resumptions following Hurricane Francine and weaker China data. Brent crude futures for November were up 15 cents, or 0.2% at $71.76 a barrel at 0015 GMT. U.S. crude futures for October were up 23 cents, or 0.3%, at $68.88 a barrel. Still, nearly a fifth of crude oil production and 28% of natural gas output in the Gulf of Mexico remain offline in the hurricane's aftermath. A key factor that will dominate the market this week is how aggressive a rate cut the U.S. Federal Reserve will deliver following its Sept. 17-18 meeting.
Persons: Francine, Donald Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel Organizations: Brent, U.S . Federal, FedWatch, ANZ, Republican Locations: Tatarstan, Russia, U.S, China, Mexico, Gulf, Florida, Iran, Israel
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