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Morgan Stanley analyst Erik W Woodring said Apple's share losses were "overdone" as he does not believe the curbs will lead to something broader. He added the worst case scenario was a 4% revenue hit and a 3% earning impact for the company. Analysts said U.S. sanctions on Huawei, in place since May 2019, hit the company's supply chain, helping Apple increase iPhone shipments to China and grab market share. J.P.Morgan said China's restrictions will make it tougher for Apple to continue to gain market share in China. BofA estimated a $0.11 to $0.34 earnings per share hit to Apple if Huawei was able to gain market share from the iPhone maker.
Persons: Thomas Peter, Morgan Stanley, Erik W Woodring, Woodring, HWT.UL, J.P.Morgan, Aniruddha Ghosh, Krishna Chandra Organizations: Apple, REUTERS, Wall Street, Beijing, BofA Global Research, Huawei Technologies, Huawei, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Bengaluru
A customer talks to sales assistants in an Apple store as Apple Inc's new iPhone 14 models go on sale in Beijing, China, September 16, 2022. Apple suppliers and companies with large China exposure including Broadcom (AVGO.O), Qualcomm (QCOM.O) and Texas Instruments (TXN.O) fell between 1.4% and 4.7%. The moves by Beijing also come at a time when Apple is grappling with a decline in iPhone sales, with China being a bright spot in what was an otherwise disappointing quarterly earnings report last month. The sanctions had hammered Huawei's sales in its home country and allowed Apple to take some market share from the national favourite. Apple could, however, see a demand boost after an event next week where it is expected to unveil its iPhone 15 line-up, as well as new smartwatches.
Persons: Thomas Peter, D.A Davidson, Tom Forte, chipmaker SMIC, Aditya Soni, Jaspreet Singh, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Apple, REUTERS, company's, Broadcom, Qualcomm, Texas, Reuters, Beijing, planemaker Boeing, Street, HK, Huawei, Bofa Global Research, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Washington, The U.S, U.S, Kirin, Bengaluru
Many view healthcare as a defensive sector because it has constant demand and is somewhat insulated from the economy. In the latest week, investors pulled a net $1.4 billion from the sector, the biggest weekly outflow since May 2022. Overall, the healthcare sector - which ranges from health insurers like UnitedHealth to pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer to small biotechs - has received the third largest inflows of any sector year to date, BofA's data showed. This would weaken the case for loading up on healthcare stocks. Overall, healthcare sector earnings are expected to lag this year as COVID-related revenues decline 13% versus a 1.8% rise for the overall S&P 500.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Bob Kalman, Emily Roland, Dan Lyons, Janus Henderson, you've, Lyons, Kalman, Joe Biden's, Margie Patel, Patel, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, David Gregorio, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Atlanta Federal, BofA Global Research, Pfizer, Miramar Capital, Healthcare, John Hancock Investment Management, Janus Henderson Investors, U.S, Bristol Myers Squibb, Allspring Global Investments, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
[1/2] U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. The U.S. dollar index - which measures the currency against six major counterparts - was about flat at $104.06 after rising to 104.44, its highest since June 1. Interest rate futures tied to the Fed's policy rate on Friday priced in a more than even chance of tightening at either the November or December policy meetings. On Friday, the euro was 0.01% lower against the dollar at $1.08085. Against the yen , the dollar was up 0.31% to 146.28.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jerome Powell, Powell, Karl Schamotta, Ben, Bernanke, Mario, Draghi, Schamotta, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Dhara Ranasinghe, Ankur Banerjee, Kirsten Donovan, Christina Fincher, Nick Zieminski, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Federal, European Central Bank, Global Research, Reuters, of, Thomson Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Toronto, Britain, London, Singapore
Aug 25 (Reuters) - Strategists at BofA Global Research see second-half "trouble" for technology stocks even as the sector took in its largest inflow in 10 weeks, the firm said in a note on Friday. BofA pointed to the correlation between a surge in central bank liquidity and the Nasdaq over the past 15 years. "We say tech = H2 trouble rather than era of new AI rules," BofA said in the note. In the latest weekly data, the tech sector saw a $2.3 billion inflow, its largest inflow in 10 weeks, BofA said. Emerging markets debt meanwhile lost out, BofA said, seeing the largest weekly outflow since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March.
Persons: Michael Hartnett, BofA, Lewis Krauskopf, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alistair Bell Organizations: BofA, Research, Nasdaq, U.S . Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, Silicon, New York, Amsterdam
The upshot, some believe, is that there is now less cash on the sidelines to drive further gains and fewer skeptical investors to win over. The bank’s survey of fund managers showed cash allocations dropped to 4.8% in August, the lowest level in 21 months. Bearishness among retail investors, meanwhile, is at half the levels seen in September 2022, according to the AAII Sentiment Survey. Should the market stabilize, investors will likely reallocate more cash to stocks later in the year, she said. Of course, while optimism has grown, it is still far from extreme, and cash levels are far from historical lows.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, that’s “, Willie Delwiche, Quincy Krosby, Steve Chiavarone, Chiavarone, , David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, BofA Global Research, Mount Research, Federal, U.S ., China Evergrande, HK, U.S, LPL, Federated Hermes, Thomson Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S
China c.bank seen leaving policy loan rate unchanged on Tuesday
  + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File PhotoSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Aug 14 (Reuters) - China's central bank is expected to keep rates on its medium-term policy loans unchanged on Tuesday, a Reuters survey showed, despite fresh signs the economic recovery is losing momentum. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) last lowered the rate by 10 basis points to 2.65% in June. "We believe more pro-growth policies are warranted to support the economic growth, and further easing in monetary policy can be expected," analysts at BofA Global Research said. They expect a 15-basis-point cut in one-year loan prime rate (LPR) in total in the third quarter of the year.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Li Hongwei, Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, HSBC, BofA Global Research, July's, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States, Shanghai, Singapore
This year, it’s largely been a different story, with bond yields rising on better-than-expected economic data. The S&P 500 (.SPX) has rallied over 16% from its March lows, despite a roughly 50 basis point increase in the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note over that time. That dynamic has changed in recent days, however, as Treasury yields have approached last year’s high while the S&P 500 has fallen 2% from its July peak. The bank’s analysts called rising yields "an underpriced risk" for the equity market. The S&P 500 fell 2.3% last week, its biggest weekly drop since March.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, it’s, Keith Lerner, Moody's, Peter Tuz, Refinitiv, Lerner, Matthew Miskin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Grant McCool Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S ., BofA Global Research, Advisory Services, Fitch, Apple, Chase Investment, John Hancock Investment Management, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, Charlottesville , Virginia, Truist
This year, it’s largely been a different story, with bond yields rising on better-than-expected economic data. The S&P 500 (.SPX) has rallied over 16% from its March lows, despite a roughly 50 basis point increase in the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note over that time. That dynamic has changed in recent days, however, as Treasury yields have approached last year’s high while the S&P 500 has fallen 2% from its July peak. The bank’s analysts called rising yields "an underpriced risk" for the equity market. The S&P 500 fell 2.3% last week, its biggest weekly drop since March.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, it’s, Keith Lerner, Moody's, Peter Tuz, Refinitiv, Lerner, Matthew Miskin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Grant McCool Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S ., BofA Global Research, Advisory Services, Fitch, Apple, Chase Investment, John Hancock Investment Management, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, Charlottesville , Virginia, Truist
A recent report by the Bank of America Institute compared population with housing supply. San Antonio, Dallas, Orlando, and Houston have high population growth and low housing supply. Anna Zhou, an economist at the Bank of America Institute, said in a recent report that housing supply is unusually constrained right now, as measured by months' supply. Finally, cities in the upper-left quadrant identified in red have high housing supply but a declining population, putting them in the "cold" group. Zhou highlighted San Antonio, Dallas, Orlando, and Houston as among the "hot" cities experiencing high population growth coupled with low housing supply.
Persons: Anna Zhou, Zhou, That's, US . Bank of America Zhou Organizations: Bank of America Institute, Houston, Bank of America, National Association of Realtors, US . Bank of America, BofA Global Research, Jacksonville, Las Vegas, Portland , Oregon ., Portland , Oregon . Los Angeles Locations: San Antonio, Dallas, Orlando, Cities, Tampa, Jacksonville, Antonio, Houston, 2Q24, St, Louis, Detroit, Miami, droves, Jacksonville , Florida, Columbus , Ohio, Charlotte, Nashville, San Francisco , New York, Boston, Portland , Oregon, Portland , Oregon . Los
Investors are also closely watching the path of Treasury yields, which rattled equity markets in recent days by rising to fresh year highs. The S&P 500 fell 2.27% this week, its biggest weekly decline since March 10. Janasiewicz of Natixis said a stronger-than-expected consumer price reading next week could spark a decline of up to 5% in the S&P 500. A stronger-than-expected inflation number next week could also boost Treasury yields further. Rising yields on Treasuries, viewed as among the world's safest investments because they are backed by the U.S. government, can dull the allure of stocks.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jack Janasiewicz, Natixis, Aaron Chan, Refinitiv, Tim Murray, Rowe Price, Brent, Ann Miletti, Fitch, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Carolina Mandl, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Natixis Investment, Amazon.com, Cruise, Treasury, U.S ., Advisory, Wall Street, Amazon, Google, Apple, BofA Global Research, JPMorgan, Carolina, Thomson Locations: Wall St, New York, U.S, Stocks, Refinitiv
That has helped pressure many of the market’s popular dividend-paying stocks, which investors had turned to when rates were far lower. "The dividend-paying value side of the market is a pretty compelling place to go to maintain that return." Nevertheless, investors are seeking out dividend-paying stocks as a source of total return this year in anticipation that bond yields may falter while stocks continue to gain, Silverblatt said. “If you are going into dividend paying stocks now, you are taking that risk because you think there's a high probability that the market goes up," he said. Corso is searching for dividend-paying companies in cyclical sectors such as financials, where valuations are less expensive.
Persons: Jurrien Timmer, Howard Silverblatt, Dow, Silverblatt, hadn't, Cliff Corso, Corso, Bryant VanCronkhite, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Fidelity Investments, BoFA Global Research, Dow Jones Indices, Companies, Asset Management, Fed, Allspring Global Investments, Thomson
Both Amazon and Alphabet will likely report their lowest-ever growth for the cloud computing business at 9.8% and 24.4%, respectively, according to analysts polled by Refinitiv. Meanwhile Microsoft Intelligent Cloud, home to Azure, is expected to grow at 13.7%, the slowest rate since 2017. The digital ad market recovery will also aid Alphabet, whose Google Search has so far avoided any meaningful market share loss to Microsoft's AI-powered Bing. Alphabet is expected to report 4.5% revenue growth in the April-June period, its best in three quarters. Microsoft and Alphabet will report quarterly results on July 25, Meta on July 26 and Amazon on Aug. 3.
Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Kingsley Crane, Rishi Jaluria, Jaluria, Bernstein, Yuvraj Malik, Aditya Soni, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Los Angeles , California U.S, REUTERS, Microsoft, Google, Refinitiv, RBC Capital, Facebook, Meta, BofA Global Research, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, Bengaluru
U.S. stocks have made big gains this year, but the performance across global stocks has been uneven so far. So where will global stocks go in the second half of the year? Five of the strategists polled expect global markets to fall, while another five say the stocks will beat their U.S. counterparts. Global market bulls Those who expect global stocks to beat the U.S. are most bullish on the U.K., Europe and Japan. Global market bears Andreas Bruckner, European equity strategist at BofA Global Research, predicts that Europe's Stoxx 600 will end the year at 390 — a nearly 15% decline from Monday's close.
Persons: Christian Abuide, Karim Chedid, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Andreas Bruckner, Mark Haefele, Bruckner, Roger Lee, Lee, Haefele, Carrier Organizations: CNBC Pro, U.S, Lombard, iShares, BofA Global Research, UBS Global Wealth, Nasdaq, UBS, RBC Wealth Management Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe
[1/5] Logo of an Apple store is seen as Apple Inc. reports fourth quarter earnings in Washington, U.S., January 27, 2022. In the S&P 500, the seven stocks comprise 27.9% of the index's weight. Investors will look beyond second quarter results, said Bill Callahan, an investment strategist at Schroders. The Elon Musk-led company this month said it delivered a record number of vehicles in the second quarter. The equal-weight S&P 500 (.SPXEW), a proxy for the average stock, is modestly beating the S&P 500 over the past month -- up 3.6% versus about 3% for its counterpart.
Persons: Joshua Roberts, BofA, Bill Callahan, “ It’s, , Tajinder Dhillon, Tesla, Elon, Thomas Martin, Martin, Yu Ma, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Apple Inc, REUTERS, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, BofA, Research, Meta, Globalt Investments, Strong U.S, BMO Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSpending on renewables and EVs boosting copper prices, says analystMichael Widmer, head of metals research at BofA Global Research, discusses demand for copper across China and Europe.
Persons: Michael Widmer Organizations: BofA Global Research Locations: China, Europe
Banks typically provide research to clients as part of a broader offering of services, but that changed when the European Union introduced the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) II laws in 2018 to improve transparency. "It took about a year for us to become compliant to MiFID II laws -- it was a long, intense process," said Candace Browning, head of BofA Global Research. U.S. financial firms were initially given an exemption by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which expires on July 3. "Companies continue to face challenges complying with the MiFID II unbundling requirement and U.S. law," said Joe Corcoran, SIFMA's managing director and associate general counsel for capital markets. 'EXPENSIVE AND COMPLICATED' In Europe, asset managers under MiFID II are not allowed to pay for research through broker commissions on trading -- instead, investors are billed separately by banks for research.
Persons: Banks, Candace Browning, Joe Corcoran, SIFMA's, SIFMA, MiFID, Michael Eastwood, Jefferies, Jesse Forster, BofA, salespeople, Browning, Forster, Russell Sacks, Nupur Anand, Lananh Nguyen, Deepa Babington Organizations: YORK, Bank of America Corp, Jefferies Financial, European Union, Financial, BofA Global, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Securities Industry, Financial Markets Association, SEC, Jefferies, Coalition, King, Spalding, Thomson Locations: Europe, U.S, Greenwich, Coalition Greenwich, New York
China's modest rate cut sends stocks lower
  + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
LONDON, June 20 (Reuters) - European stocks and U.S. futures fell on Tuesday after China cut interest rates by less than expected and the market awaited more detail on Beijing's plans to shore up a stuttering economic recovery. The People's Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday last week. "The meeting helped improve sentiment, but the market also understands that there's strategic competition between the U.S. and China," said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets. A central banker on Tuesday also hinted there was room for policy adjustment from the current path of aggressive rate hikes. Gold edged up 0.1% to $1,951.74 as the dollar index eased at 102.45 but lacked clear momentum as traders awaited U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony later this week for more direction on the interest rate path.
Persons: Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, Xi, Rodrigo Catril, Issei Kato, Antony Blinken's, Redmond Wong, Jerome Powell's, Brent, Joice Alves, Selena Li, Anisha, Susan Fenton, Jason Neely Organizations: Hargreaves, People's Bank of, National Australia Bank, REUTERS, Citi, U.S, Saxo Markets, Reserve Bank, Australia's, Bank of England, Federal, Thomson Locations: China, Asia, U.S, Beijing, People's Bank of China, Tokyo, Japan, United States, Greater China, German, London, Hong Kong, Bengaluru
China cut its benchmark loan prime rates (LPR) for the first time in 10 months on Tuesday, with a smaller-than-expected 10-basis point reduction in the five-year LPR. China's benchmark CSI (.CSI300) slipped 0.17%, with the real estate index (.CSI931775) falling 1.9%, its biggest daily decline in a month. "I don't think they (the LPR cuts) are going to move the needle at all," said Redmond Wong, Greater China market strategist at Saxo Markets. He said a 15 basis-point cut would have sent a "stronger message" that could boost sentiment in China's property sector. The People's Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday last week.
Persons: Redmond Wong, Xi, Rodrigo Catril, Antony Blinken's, Saxo's Wong, Brent, Selena Li, Joice Alves, Anisha Sircar, Susan Fenton Organizations: CSI, Saxo Markets, People's Bank of, National Australia Bank Senior, Citi, U.S, Reserve Bank, Australia's, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Greater China, Beijing, People's Bank of China, United States, Hong Kong, London
June 20 (Reuters) - HSBC on Tuesday lowered China's economic growth forecast for this year, citing drag from the property sector, and tempered business and household confidence. The global bank now forecasts China's gross domestic product (GDP) to grow at 5.3% in 2023, from 6.3% expected earlier. Last week, brokerages including J.P. Morgan and BofA Global Research lowered the country's growth outlook after the country's May industrial output and retail sales growth missed forecasts. Reporting by Roshan Abraham in Bengaluru; Editing by Varun H KOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Morgan, Roshan Abraham, Varun Organizations: HSBC, BofA, Research, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
China cuts lending benchmarks to revive slowing demand
  + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
REUTERS/Thomas Peter/FILE PHOTOSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, June 20 (Reuters) - China cut its key lending benchmarks on Tuesday, the first such reductions in 10 months as authorities seek to shore up a slowing economic recovery, although concerns about the property market meant the easing was not as large as expected. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was lowered by 10 basis points to 3.55%, while the five-year LPR was cut by the same margin to 4.20%. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered short- and medium-term policy rates last week. "There is no need to roll out all policy measures all at once." Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of mortgages.
Persons: Thomas Peter, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Xing Zhaopeng, Xing, China's, Bruce Pang, Jones Lang LaSalle, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Kripa Jayaram, Sam Holmes Organizations: Central Business, REUTERS, Capital Economics, Reuters, Mainland Properties, People's Bank of China, ANZ, Jones, Graphics, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, outpacing
June 20 (Reuters) - Cisco Systems (CSCO.O) on Tuesday launched networking chips for AI supercomputers that would compete with offerings from Broadcom (AVGO.O) and Marvell Technology (MRVL.O). The chips are being tested by five of the six major cloud providers, Cisco said, without naming the firms. Cisco is a major supplier of networking equipment including ethernet switches, which connect devices such as computers, laptops, routers, servers and printers to a local area network. "G200 & G202 are going to be the most powerful networking chips in the market fueling AI/ML workloads enabling the most power-efficient network," Cisco fellow and formerly principal engineer Rakesh Chopra said. Cisco said the chips could help in carrying out AI and machine learning tasks with 40% fewer switches and a lesser lag, while being more power efficient.
Persons: Rakesh Chopra, Chavi Mehta, Stephen Nellis, Anil D'Silva Organizations: Cisco Systems, Broadcom, Marvell Technology, Cisco, Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, Google, Bofa Global Research, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
Experts including David Rosenberg and analysts from Wall Street banks including Bank of America have compared the AI stock boom to the dot-com bubble that burst in 2000. Here's a selection of the most recent expert views on this year's AI stock boom. But not everyone thinks the AI stock boom has run too far. Michael Hartnett, Bank of AmericaMichael Hartnett, BofA Global Research's CIO, said AI is in a "baby bubble" for now and noted that "AI = internet." Jeremy Siegel, Wharton finance professorThe retired Wharton finance professor doesn't see the AI hype as a bubble, either.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Wharton's Jeremy Siegel, Dan Ives, , Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Dan Raju, Michael Hartnett, Bank of America Michael Hartnett, BofA, James Penny, TAM Asset Management James Penny, I'd, Art Cashin, Cashin, Rosenberg, doesn't Organizations: Bank of America, Wedbush Securities, Service, Wall, UBS, TAM Asset Management, Nvidia, Microsoft, BofA Global, firm's, Bloomberg, Art, CNBC Locations: Wall
Washington, DC CNN —The dust has barely settled on the Federal Reserve’s decision to pause its aggressive rate-hiking campaign — but in public appearances Friday, central bank officials have a clear message: Keep hiking. In one of the first speeches, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said Friday that additional rate increases are necessary to bring inflation down to the central bank’s 2% target. The Fed’s decision to restart hikes depends on what data show in the coming weeks and months. It is the job of bank leaders to deal with interest rate risk and nearly all bank leaders have done exactly that,” Waller said. A representative of the event said the conference wasn’t being recorded and that only registrants who paid a fee were able to attend.
Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Waller, , Gregory Daco, Ernst & Young, ” Powell, Waller, , Michael Gapen, Gapen, they’re, Louis President James Bullard, Thomas Barkin Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Norges Bank, International Monetary Fund, Ernst &, Bank, BofA Global Research, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, Maryland Government Finance, Association Locations: Washington, Oslo, Norway,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'More useful and impactful' stimulus measures likely after end-July Politburo meeting: BofAHelen Qiao, chief Greater China economist at BofA Global Research, discusses the kind of stimulus package the Chinese government is likely to roll out to boost investment and consumption.
Persons: BofA Helen Qiao Organizations: BofA Global Research Locations: China
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