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Lori Calvasina, the bank's head of U.S. equity strategy, raised her year-end S & P 500 price target to 5,150 from 5,000. This is approximately 9.6% higher than the S & P 500's Friday closing level of 4,697.24. Last week, the S & P 500 snapped a nine-week winning streak as investors began pulling back on the technology titans. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury also traded above 4% last week, further placing downward pressure on the equity market. Calvasina's bear case sees the S & P 500 closing at 4,770 in 2024, just 1.5% above Friday's close.
Persons: Lori Calvasina, Calvasina's, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Calvasina, she's, hasn't, Russell Organizations: RBC Capital, titans, Treasury, Wall Locations: U.S
Gold retreats to three-week low ahead of U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-01-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Bars of gold are seen at Krastsvetmet, one of the world's largest producers of precious metals, in Moscow, January 31, 2023. Gold prices fell to a three-week low on Monday, pressured by elevated Treasury yields as expectations for an imminent Federal Reserve interest rate cut faded, with investors looking ahead to this week's U.S. inflation data for more clarity. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. The market currently sees a 69% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's March 19-20 policy meeting, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "If and when a recession becomes apparent, the Fed can be expected to cut rates, likely weakening the dollar and benefiting the dollar gold price," Heraeus Metals said in a note.
Persons: Daniel Pavilonis, Heraeus Organizations: Treasury, Metals, Palladium, Heraeus Metals Locations: Moscow, U.S
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares declined Tuesday on heavy selling of property and technology shares. A key report on Japanese inflation showed core consumer prices in Tokyo, which excludes volatile food prices, rose 2.3% from a year ago, slowing from previous months' increases. Hopes that inflation is easing enough to allow the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates have pushed shares higher in recent weeks. The sector is a key component in the U.S. economy and accounts for the majority of the nation’s jobs. The government’s monthly jobs report for November is due on Friday.
Persons: Hang Seng, Australia's, Biden, Uber, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Shanghai, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Technology, Microsoft, Nvidia, Netflix, Alaska Air Group, Hawaiian Airlines, Spotify, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply Management, FactSet, U.S . Locations: Tokyo, U.S
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were mixed Monday as investors awaited a slew of U.S. economic data set for release later in the week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 0.5% to 16,749.07, while the Shanghai Composite edged 0.2% lower to 3,026.43. Among the economic updates due this week are data on the job market, including the U.S. government’s closely watched monthly employment report for November. “Traders prepare for a slew of actionable U.S. economic data scheduled for release this week, poised to be crucial in refining traders’ expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy. Political Cartoons View All 1277 ImagesInflation data are also expected this week for several nations in Asia, including Japan, Thailand and the Philippines.
Persons: Australia's, Hang Seng, government’s, , Stephen Innes, Russell, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, China Evergrande's Hong Kong, U.S, “ Traders, Federal Reserve, Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, U.S . Federal, Treasury, Investors, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S . Locations: Hong, Shanghai, China Evergrande's Hong, Hong Kong, Asia, Japan, Thailand, Philippines, U.S
Aggregate bond index is up 4.8% in price this month. Stocks, international currencies, and bitcoin have also rallied, with traders betting the Fed is done lifting interest rates as inflation continues to ebb. On Thursday, the latest personal-consumption expenditures price index—the Fed's preferred inflation gauge —offered the latest sign that pricing pressures are softening. The Nasdaq Composite is up 11% in November, on track for its best month since July 2022. Salesforce's stock rose, lifting the blue-chip Dow, after the business-software company reported results last night.
Persons: Stocks, Tesla, Dow industrials Organizations: Bloomberg U.S, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, Benchmark U.S Locations: Russia, Europe
November's trading is in its last hours, with stocks—and a range of other asset classes—on pace for strong monthly gains. Stocks, international currencies, and bitcoin have all risen, with traders betting the Fed is done lifting interest rates as inflation ebbs. The Dow is on track for its highest close of 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite is on track for its best month since January. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note ticked up, rising to around 4.343%, after three days of declines. Overseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 finished its best month since January.
Persons: Dow, Tesla, Dow industrials Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow, Benchmark U.S, Overseas
Stock Market News, Nov. 30, 2023: Dow Logs Highest Close of 2023
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
The 10-year U.S. Treasury note had its best month since 2019, as a sharp unwinding of rate-hike expectations sent investors on a bond-buying spree. The Dow ended the day with its highest close since January 2022, while the Nasdaq Composite managed its best month since July 2022. Salesforce's stock rose, lifting the Dow, after the business-software company reported results last night. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note ticked up to settle at 4.349%, after three days of declines. Overseas, the Stoxx Europe 600 finished its best month since January.
Persons: Dow, Tesla, Dow industrials Organizations: Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow, Benchmark U.S, Overseas
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly fell Wednesday although a strong report on U.S. consumer confidence and hopes the Federal Reserve is finished with its aggressive interest rate hikes sent shares higher on Wall Street. Food delivery company Meituan's Hong Kong-traded shares dropped 11% after it forecast its revenue will fall in the current quarter. The loosening grip from inflation and a resilient economy have raised hopes that the Fed might finally be finished with raising its benchmark interest rate. Hopes that the Fed will keep its benchmark interest rate steady were reaffirmed Tuesday by Christopher Waller, a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors. The Fed will meet again in December to update its interest rate policy.
Persons: Australia's, Hang Seng, Matthew Weller, Forex.com, Brent, Tesla, Christopher Waller, , ” Waller, Damian J, Troise, Alex Veiga Organizations: TOKYO, Reserve, Nikkei, China Evergrande, Benchmark, New York Mercantile Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Microsoft, GE Healthcare Technologies, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed’s, Governors, American Enterprise Institute, U.S ., AP Business Locations: Hong, Shanghai, Hong Kong, China, OPEC, Washington
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares retreated Monday as investors awaited updates on consumer spending and inflation in the U.S. and other nations. While analysts expect them to stand pat on policy, attention remains relatively high, given concerns about inflation. Wall Street ended last week mixed with a half-day trading session that capped a fourth straight winning week. The holiday shopping season kicked off with Black Friday amid concerns that spending may slow under pressure from dwindling savings, rising credit card debt and inflation. The major stock indexes’ latest weekly gains reflect a turnaround in the market’s sentiment in November following a three-month slide.
Persons: ” Yeap Jun Rong, Hong, Hang Seng, Brent, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, IG, Shanghai, Reserve Bank of New, Bank of Korea, Bank of, Black, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Google, CF Industries, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Benchmark, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: U.S, China, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Bank of Thailand
REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies Gold up 0.7% so far this weekPlatinum eyes second weekly gainDollar heads for second weekly fallNov 24 (Reuters) - Gold held steady on Friday, set for its second consecutive weekly gain, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as markets grew confident that the Federal Reserve was done with its interest rate hikes. The dollar index (.DXY) slipped 0.2% against its rivals and was on track for a second weekly drop, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. Earlier this week, the Fed minutes showed the central bank would proceed "carefully" and "all participants judged it appropriate to maintain" the current rate setting. "There is that disconnect between market expectations for rates and what the Fed minutes showed and that's what's causing some hesitation in the price of gold," Waterer said. Platinum was flat at $915.57, but was heading for its second weekly rise.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Tim Waterer, CME's, Waterer, Brijesh Patel, Sherry Jacob, Phillips, Rashmi Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM Trade, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Bengaluru
Gold ticks higher as weaker US dollar, yields lend support
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilo gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 23 (Reuters) - Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, hovering close to a key $2,000 per ounce level, as an overall weaker dollar and lower U.S. Treasury yields buoyed demand for bullion. FUNDAMENTALS* Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,992.59 per ounce, as of 0143 GMT, after hitting a three-week high of $2,007.29 on Tuesday. * Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold. DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0745 France Business Climate Mfg, Overall Nov0815 France HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0830 Germany HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0900 EU HCOB Mfg, Serv, Comp Flash PMIs Nov0930 UK Flash Comp, Mfg, Serv PMIs NovReporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi AichOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Denis Balibouse, CME's, Serv, Brijesh Patel, Rashmi Organizations: REUTERS, Treasury, . Federal Reserve, Trust, Climate Mfg, France HCOB, Germany HCOB, Mfg, Thomson Locations: Mendrisio, Switzerland, France, Germany, Bengaluru
Gold gains as weaker U.S. dollar, yields lift demand
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A worker handles an Argor-Heraeus SA one kilogram gold bar at Solar Capital Gold Zrt. arranged in Budapest, HungaryGold prices rose on Thursday, hovering close to a key $2,000 per ounce level, as an overall weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields buoyed demand for bullion. The dollar was down 0.1% against its rivals after gains in the last two sessions, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell to a two-month low on Wednesday. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, CME's Organizations: Heraeus SA, Solar, U.S, U.S ., Asia Pacific, . U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: Budapest, Hungary, ., OANDA
Gold slips below $2,000 level as dollar halts slide
  + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Brijesh Patel | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,996.33 per ounce, as of 0335 GMT. However, "the move lower in the U.S. dollar looks overextended ... And with an effective 4-day weekend looming in the U.S., gold currently lacks the legs to commit fully above $2,000." A weaker dollar makes gold less expensive for other currency holders. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. existing home sales dropped to the lowest level in more than 13 years in October. Swiss gold exports in October rose to their highest level since May as deliveries to India surged to meet demand during the country's festive season, customs data showed.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Matt Simpson, CME's, Brijesh Patel, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Index, U.S, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Swiss, India, Bengaluru
Major stock indexes continued their November march higher ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday , while oil prices fell . Nvidia shares slipped a day after it reported blockbuster sales of chips used in AI. Bitcoin prices edged higher. Ten-year yields edged higher after settling Tuesday at 4.417%. Bitcoin prices edged higher.
Persons: OpenAI, Sam Altman, Dow Organizations: Nvidia, Binance, Dow industrials, Nasdaq, Autodesk, Deere, Airlines, Treasury, Energy, Benchmark, Overseas, Nikkei Locations: Europe, Shanghai
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares traded mixed Tuesday after a rally on Wall Street that was led by gains in Microsoft following its announcement that it was hiring Sam Altman, former CEO of OpenAI, the ChatGPT maker. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 gained 0.7% to 4,547.38, coming off its third straight winning week. Microsoft said it will also continue its partnership with OpenAI, as fervor around artificial-intelligence technology and the huge profits it’s expected to create wow Wall Street. This week is relatively light on reports that could sway the hopes on Wall Street that have underpinned that drop in Treasury yields. In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude fell 61 cents to $77.22 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Persons: Sam Altman, Seng, ” Tan Boon Heng, Australia's, Kospi, Lowe’s, Brent, Stan Choe Organizations: TOKYO, Microsoft, OpenAI, Mizuho Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Traders, Nvidia, Deere, HP, Treasury, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S ., AP Locations: Shanghai, Beijing, U.S
The dollar languished near more than a 2-1/2-month low as investors expect U.S. interest rates to fall next year. A weaker dollar makes gold less expensive for other currency holders. Signs of slowing inflation in the United States has boosted expectations that the U.S. central bank was done raising interest rates. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold. Inflation is likely to remain "stubborn" and force the Fed to keep interest rates elevated for longer than investors anticipate, Richmond Fed president Thomas Barkin said.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Edward Meir, CME's, Jerome Powell, It's, Meir, Thomas Barkin, Brijesh Patel, Sherry Jacob, Phillips Organizations: REUTERS, Treasury, Federal, Benchmark, Richmond Fed, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, United States, Bengaluru
U.S. equity futures opened little changed on Sunday evening, heading into the shortened Thanksgiving holiday week with all of the major averages coming off of their third straight winning performance. S&P 500 futures were down by about 3 points, or nearly 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were lower by 34 points, or 0.2%. The S&P 500 closed last week higher by 2.2% and the Dow added 1.9%, marking the first three-week streak for the indexes since July. Ahead of the Thanksgiving Day-shortened week, traders are awaiting Nvidia's earnings and forward guidance out Tuesday. Trading around the Thanksgiving holiday has been choppy in recent years, but November is still the best-performing month for the S&P 500, according to the Stock Traders' Almanac.
Persons: Bill Baruch, CNBC's, Friday's, OpenAI's, Sam Altman Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Blue, FactSet, Microsoft, Stock Traders
The Shanghai Composite index edged 0.1% higher to 3,054.37. Taiwan’s Taiex gained 0.2% and the Sensex in Mumbai fell 0.1%. Wall Street’s stocks drifted to a mixed finish Thursday as market momentum slowed following the sizzling rally of the first half of November. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.1% to 34,945.47, and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.1% to 14,113.67. Stocks in the oil-and-gas industry swooned after the price of crude tumbled sharply to its lowest level since July.
Persons: Seng, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Australia’s, Taiwan’s Taiex, ” Yeap Jun Rong, IG, Macy’s, Sonos, Stocks, Halliburton, Brent Organizations: Nikkei, Bank of Japan Gov, U.S, U.S ., Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Walmart, Cisco Systems, Marathon Petroleum Locations: HONG KONG, U.S, New York, Shanghai, South Korea, Mumbai
Cisco's shares dropped more than 11% early Thursday after the network-equipment giant slashed revenue forecasts , wiping away more than $20 billion of the Dow Component's market value. Walmart , Burberry, Alibaba and Palo Alto Networks shares also took hits following the companies' latest updates to investors. The tech-oriented Nasdaq Composite and Dow industrials fell more than 0.2%. The U.S. 10-year yield fell below 4.5%. Oil prices weakened.
Persons: Dow industrials, Bonds Organizations: Dow, Walmart, Burberry, Alibaba, Palo Alto Networks, Siemens, Federal, Benchmark Locations: Palo, U.S
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares surged higher on Wednesday, cheered by a rally on Wall Street that was one of the best days of the year following a surprisingly encouraging report on inflation. “Accordingly, we expect GDP growth to slow from 1.7% this year to 0.5% in 2024,” he said in a commentary. Tuesday on Wall Street, the S&P 500 jumped 1.9% for its best day since April and hit a two-month high, closing at 4,495.70. On Wall Street, real-estate stocks and others beaten down particularly hard by higher rates soared to some of the market's biggest gains. Elsewhere on Wall Street, Home Depot rallied 5.4% after reporting stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected.
Persons: Marcel Thieliant, , Hong, Seng, Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Russell, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, Capital Economics, Shanghai, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Technology, Amazon, Nvidia, Treasury, U.S ., Alexandria Real, Bank, Zions Bancorp, Comerica, Valley Bank, Home Depot, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: Alexandria, REITs, Wall
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were mostly higher Tuesday ahead of potentially market-moving developments, including a U.S.-China summit and data releases from the U.S., Japan and China. “Asian stocks gained ground as investors awaited U.S. inflation figures, hoping to confirm that interest rates have peaked. But worries remain about whether it can stay solid as the full effects of rate hikes make their way through the system. Economists expect the report to show that consumers paid prices that were 3.3% higher in October than a year earlier, down from September’s inflation rate of 3.7%. General worries about big deficits and the inability of the two parties to work together have helped push Treasury yields higher.
Persons: Australia's, Seng, ” Stephen Innes, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Jerome Powell, Powell, It's, it's, Moody’s, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, U.S, Management, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Walmart, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, AAA, New York Mercantile Exchange Locations: U.S, China, Japan, Hong, Shanghai, California
Can Lower Gas Prices Last?
  + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( David Uberti | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
The slide in oil prices has weighed down the shares of oil producers and major refiners, including Chevron. Photo: mike blake/ReutersA selloff that dragged crude prices near their lowest levels in four months has left many oil drillers, energy traders and fuel producers with the same question: What will OPEC do? Benchmark U.S. crude has posted three weekly losses in a row, tumbling as much as 20% below its September high, before stabilizing Friday at $77.17 a barrel. Still, the market is flashing signals that suggest some traders are betting the declines will continue.
Persons: blake Organizations: Chevron ., Reuters, drillers
Eight of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors were in the red, with rate-sensitive real estate stocks (.SPLRCR) down 1.2% and leading declines. This week's economic data as well as speeches from Fed officials will provide clues on the trajectory of interest rates amid growing expectations that the Fed is done hiking borrowing costs. The major U.S. stock indexes have rebounded strongly this month, fueled by a stronger-than-expected earnings season and on hopes that U.S. interest rates are near their peak. The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) closed at near eight-week highs on Friday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) hit a two-month peak. The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 19 new highs and 82 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Peter Cardillo, Cardillo, Mike Johnson, Abbott, advancers, Sruthi Shankar, Amruta, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Boeing, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Spartan Capital Securities, . House, Republican, Dow Jones, Novo Nordisk's, Bloomberg News, Max, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru
HONG KONG (AP) — Shares edged lower Monday in quiet trading in Asia ahead of a meeting this week between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping. On Wall Street on Friday, the S&P 500 jumped 1.6% to 4,415.24. Big Tech stocks were the strongest forces pushing upward on the S&P 500, including a 2.3% gain for Apple and 2.5% rise for Microsoft. The release of the University of Michigan report initially caused Treasury yields to pare their drops, which caused stock indexes to wobble. On Thursday, a jump in Treasury yields knocked stocks lower to break an eight-day winning streak for the S&P 500, one of its longest in the last two decades.
Persons: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Biden, Xi, Australia's, Doximity, Powell, , Brent Organizations: Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Federal, University of Michigan, Fed, CME Group, Federal Reserve, Treasury, U.S . Locations: HONG KONG, Asia, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Seoul, U.S, pare
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian shares retreated Friday after rising bond market yields once again weighed on Wall Street, ending a lull in wider swings in prices during a brief respite from market moving data releases. A financial services business of China’s biggest bank, ICBC, said it was it by a ransomware attack that reportedly disrupted trading in the U.S. Treasury market. It was unclear how much of an impact the attack had on Treasury market trading. But it quickly sagged as Treasury yields rose following a report that suggested the U.S. job market remains remarkably solid. Topgolf Callaway Brands was another weight on the market and sank 16.9% despite beating analysts’ expectations for profit during the summer.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Australia’s, Taiwan’s Taiex, Stocks, sagged, Becton Dickinson, Brent Organizations: Investors, U.S . Federal, U.S . Treasury, Commercial Bank of China Financial Services, Treasury, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Walt Disney Co, Wall, Topgolf Callaway Brands, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, Asia, Hong Kong, South Korea, Shanghai, China’s, U.S, York, Bangkok
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