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☆ LDP election might affect Yen, not small and mid-cap Japanese stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLDP election unlikely to affect small-cap Japanese stocks, but it might affect the Yen: AmundiHiromi Ishihara of Amundi Japan discusses how the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party presidential election might affect the Japanese markets, future interest rate policy by the Bank of Japan, and her year-end target for the Yen.

Persons: Amundi Hiromi Ishihara Organizations: Amundi, Japanese Liberal Democratic, Bank of Japan Locations: Amundi Japan

☆ Aussie dollar near 2024 high before RBA; yen drifts as Ueda awaited
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Australian dollar hovered close to its highest level of the year on Tuesday, with the central bank set to hold policy steady later and traders focused on any hints of potential near-term easing. The Australian dollar hovered close to its highest level of the year on Tuesday, with the central bank set to hold policy steady later and traders focused on any hints of potential near-term easing. The yen edged up to 143.45 per dollar, but remained close to the center of its September range of 147.20 to 139.58, a more than one-year peak reached on Sept. 16. The yen has retreated amid waning bets for aggressive tightening by the BOJ, particularly after governor Ueda struck a cautious tone of Friday, saying the central bank would spend some time monitoring global growth risks. The BoE kept rates unchanged last Thursday, with its governor saying the central bank had to be "careful not to cut too fast or by too much".

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, —, Pan Gongsheng, Ueda, Sterling, BoE Organizations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, People's Bank of China, P Global Locations: China

☆ A Takaichi win would have big implications on BOJ policy: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's LDP election: Takaichi win would have 'biggest implications' on BOJ policy, strategist saysMitul Kotecha, Barclays' head of FX and emerging markets macro strategy in Asia, says there would be pressure on the Bank of Japan to hike rates "less aggressively than would've been anticipated" or even a "delay in a January move."

Persons: Takaichi, Mitul Kotecha, would've Organizations: Barclays, Bank of Japan Locations: Asia

☆ Bitcoin jumps while Japan holiday dulls most currencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged last week and indicated it was not in a hurry to hike them again. That decision, coming just days after the Fed's 50 basis points rate cut, put a pause to the yen's sharp gains this month. With Japan closed for Autumnal Equinox Day, the main driver of trade was expectations around further Fed rate cuts and the gains those have spurred in equities, commodity currencies and other risk assets. The Fed's rate cut "appears to have calmed market fears of a U.S. recession", Goldman Sachs said in a note. Meanwhile, the majority of economists polled by Reuters anticipate two more 25 bps rate cuts at the Fed's final two meetings this year.

Persons: Bitcoin, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Waller, Fumio Kishida, Takaichi —, —, Shigeru Ishiba, Shinjiro Koizumi, Junichiro Koizumi, Takaichi, pare Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, Japan, U.S, U.S ., FedWatch, Treasury, Reuters, House Republicans, Liberal Democratic Party, Barclays, The Bank of Locations: United States, Japan, U.S, The Bank of England

☆ Japan top currency diplomat says watching for any build-up of yen carry trades: report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Sheets of newly-designed Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes move through a machine at the National Printing Bureau Tokyo plant in Tokyo, Japan, on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. Persistent weakness in the yen is raising concerns about the potential for a resurgence in cost-push inflation, likely weighing on private consumption. Japan's top currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura said authorities are "always watching markets" as a renewed build-up of yen carry trades could heighten market volatility, public broadcaster NHK quoted him as saying in an interview that ran on Friday. Mimura said yen carry trades built up in the past are likely to have been mostly unwound, according to NHK. We are always watching markets to ensure that does not happen," Mimura was quoted as saying.

Persons: Atsushi Mimura, Mimura, Masato Kanda, Yen Organizations: National Printing Bureau, NHK, Bank of Japan Locations: National Printing Bureau Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan

☆ Treasury yields move lower as investors digest unemployment data after Fed cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The 10-year Treasury yield was around 2 basis points lower at 3.7168%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was down around 2 basis points at 3.5784%. U.S. Treasury bond yields were lower on Friday following the release of lower-than-expected jobless claims in the wake of the Federal Reserve's jumbo rate cut. The Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to slash interest rates by 50 basis points comes amid a week full of central bank rate decisions. The Bank of England announced on Thursday it would hold interest rates steady after cutting rates for the first time in more than four years in August.

Persons: BOE Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Reuters, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, People's Bank of China Locations: Asia, China

☆ Appreciation of the yen could slow the pace of BOJ rate hike, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAppreciation of the yen could slow the pace of BOJ rate hike, economist saysTakahide Kiuchi, executive economist at Nomura Research Institute, expects that the Bank of Japan will hike rates in January 2025.

Persons: Takahide Kiuchi Organizations: Nomura Research Institute, Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan

☆ Capitalize on current value to maximize carry profits: PineBridge
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCapitalize on current value to maximize carry profits: PineBridgeTadashi Matsukawa of PineBridge Investments expects the Bank of Japan to hold steady for the rest of the year, and explains how he's investing in fixed income in light of that expectation.

Persons: PineBridge Tadashi Matsukawa Organizations: PineBridge Investments, Bank of Japan

☆ Bank of Japan keeps key interest rate steady as it treads cautiously on normalizing policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Japanese flag flutters over the Bank of Japan (BoJ) head office building (bottom) in Tokyo on April 27, 2022. The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate steady at "around 0.25%" — the highest rate since 2008 — at the conclusion of a two-day meeting Friday. Japan's economy has recovered moderately, the central bank said in its official statement, while acknowledging "some weakness has been seen in part." BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last month that the central bank would continue to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation stayed in line with the central bank's projection. On Thursday, The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5.0%.

Persons: BOJ, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, The Bank of Japan, Nikkei, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Tokyo

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Markets have finally processed the good news
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. [PRO] Commodity price movements Stocks have rallied on the back of the Fed's rate cut. The S&P climbed 1.7% to end at 5,713.64, the first time the broad-based index has broken through the 5,700 ceiling. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."

Persons: Stocks, it's, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, –, Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Citi, HSBC, People's Bank of, Bank of, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, China, Japan, Asia, People's Bank of China, Bank of Japan, Dinah Washington . Washington

☆ Bank of Japan to 'hibernate' until political dust settles, says strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan to 'hibernate' until political dust settles, says strategistMasahiko Loo of State Street Global Advisors gives his take on how Japanese politics and the Fed's surprise 50 basis point rate cut affects the Bank of Japan's next move.

Persons: Masahiko Loo Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Street Global Advisors, Bank of Japan's

☆ BOJ likely to hike rates in January, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ likely to hike rates in January, economist saysKazuo Momma, executive economist at Mizuho Research & Technologies, explains why the Bank of Japan has "no reason" to "rush" into a rate-hiking cycle and will likely be "patient" until January.

Persons: Kazuo Momma Organizations: Mizuho Research & Technologies, Bank of Japan

☆ Yen nurses losses as BOJ meets, dollar dogged by rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Japanese 10,000 yen, left, and US 100 dollar banknotes arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on Friday, May 10, 2024. It has been a tough week for the yen, with the euro gaining 2.2% to 159.46 as speculators booked profit on recent long yen positions. The dollar was up 1.4% for the week at 142.84 yen , though off an overnight high of 143.95. "As such, there is scope to further raise the policy rate while keeping financial conditions accommodative," she said. "The recent financial market ructions and the upcoming Liberal Democratic Party election may make the BOJ more cautious about raising."

Persons: Samara Hammoud, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling Organizations: Bank of, U.S ., CBA, 25bp, Liberal Democratic Party, U.S Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan, Samara, China, U.S . Federal, Bank of England

☆ Bitcoin and crypto stocks rise after the Fed cuts rates by half a percentage point
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The price of bitcoin was recently higher by 3.5% at $62,417.48, according to Coin Metrics, building on a rally underway before the central bank decision Wednesday. Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin climbed in early trading Thursday. MicroStrategy , widely used as a high beta play on the price of bitcoin, gained 5%. It isn't out of the woods yet, however, said Yuya Hasegawa, crypto market analyst at Japanese bitcoin exchange Bitbank. "Bitcoin has some time until the BOJ makes the decision and could extend its gain during Thursday's U.S. session.

Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Yuya Hasegawa, Bitcoin Organizations: Metrics, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Bank of, Thursday's U.S

☆ European markets set for lower open as investors weigh UK inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Italy's FTSE MIB meanwhile was set to fall by around 39 points to 33,784. LONDON — European markets were headed for a lower open on Wednesday as investors considered key data from the region and looked to the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision. In Europe, U.K. inflation figures for August were published Wednesday, coming in at 2.2% according to data from the Office for National Statistics. The data comes ahead of the Bank of England meeting and interest rate policy decision scheduled for later this week. The Fed is all but guaranteed to announce an interest rate cut on Wednesday, which would be its first since it started hiking rates in March 2022.

Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: CAC, LONDON, U.S . Federal, Office, National Statistics, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Traders Locations: Europe, Asia, Pacific

☆ BOJ unlikely to raise rates this year amid leadership change and cooling economy, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ unlikely to raise rates this year amid leadership change and cooling economy, economist saysWith Japan's upcoming party leadership election on Sept. 27 and its cooling economy, "moving in that environment is tricky" for the Bank of Japan, said Martin Schulz, chief policy economist at Fujitsu.

Persons: Martin Schulz Organizations: Bank of Japan, Fujitsu

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Rate cuts might not benefit tech the most
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record close for DowThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Monday, with the Dow notching a record close. Next move for the BOJThe Bank of Japan won't be raising interest rates at its September meeting, according to a CNBC survey of 32 analysts. [PRO] "Golden age of fixed income"The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates this week.

Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Biden, Rick Rieder Organizations: Trade Center, CNBC, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nikkei, U.S ., Midea Group, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Bank of India, Intel, U.S . Federal Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey, Asia, Pacific, Hong

☆ Japanese yen could trend towards 135 against the dollar on narrowing rate differentials: DBS
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapanese yen could trend towards 135 against the dollar on narrowing rate differentials: DBSChang Wei Liang of DBS Bank says the yen carry trade is largely over and any possible rate hike by the Bank of Japan could result further yen appreciation.

Persons: Wei Liang Organizations: DBS Bank, Bank of Japan

☆ Dollar pinned down by 50 bp Fed cut bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The dollar traded near its lowest levels of the year on Tuesday, on the eve of the expected the start to a U.S. easing cycle that markets are betting may begin with an outsized rate cut. The euro rallied overnight to $1.1138 and traded around there early in the Asia session, not far from the year's high against the dollar of $1.1201. Fed funds futures rallied on Monday to push the chance of a 50 basis point rate cut to 67%, against 30% a week ago. "That's because the contrast between central bank outlooks will remain starkest between the Fed and the BoJ, for the time being." The U.S. dollar index weakened 0.4% overnight to 100.7, not far from its 2024 low made last month at 100.51.

Persons: Sterling — Organizations: Macquarie, Fed, Bank of, The Bank of England, New, U.S Locations: U.S, Asia, Tokyo, Bank of Japan, New Zealand

☆ Treasury yields little changed as Fed meeting set to kick off
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury yield was down by less than one basis point to 3.6194%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point lower to 3.5506%. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Tuesday as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting is scheduled to begin, with policymakers widely expected to announce an interest rate cut at its conclusion. All eyes are on the Federal Reserve this week, with an interest rate cut from the central bank all but guaranteed. The key question across markets remains how big the rate cut from the Fed will be on Wednesday.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal, Federal Reserve, Fed, Traders, Bank of England, Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan

☆ Currencies listless as markets waffle over Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A quarter-point reduction by the Fed as it kicks off its rate cuts is still seen as the slightly more likely outcome, but only marginally so. Futures price a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts in 2024. Investors are also looking to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday, when it is expected to keep its short-term policy rate target steady at 0.25%. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem meanwhile opened the door to stepping up the pace of interest rate cuts, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The BoC, after keeping its key policy rate at 5%, a more than two-decade high, for a year, has trimmed it by a quarter point three times in a row since June.

Persons: Chris Weston, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Christine Lagarde, Philip R, Lane, Luis de Guindos Organizations: U.S, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Treasury, Fed, FedWatch, Bank of, Liberal Democratic Party, Sterling, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of Canada, Financial Times, BoC Locations: Japan, Asia, China, South Korea

☆ The Bank of Japan's next rate hike may come in December, not this week: CNBC survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Lin Lin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda attends a session in the financial affairs committee at the lower house of parliament on Aug. 23, 2024 in Tokyo. Economists, FX strategists and Japan-focused fund managers are split over the timing of the Bank of Japan's next interest rate hike, according to a new CNBC International survey. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said last month that the central bank would continue to raise interest rates if inflation stayed on course, while also closely monitoring financial market conditions. "We think the central bank will be keen to move gradually and allow the impact of the July rate hike to be fully felt," said Jessica Hinds, director in Fitch Ratings' economics team. CNBC's survey found 18.75% of respondents expect a hike for the October meeting, while another 25% said a hike was possible.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Jessica Hinds Organizations: Japan, FX, Bank of Japan's, CNBC International, CNBC, Fitch Locations: Tokyo, Japan

☆ Gold prices at all-time highs as traders eye deeper U.S. rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices climbed to a two-week high on Thursday as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opened the door to cutting interest rates as early as September. Gold prices surged to record highs on Monday, driven by a softer dollar and expectations of a larger interest rate reduction by the U.S. Federal Reserve this week. Spot gold was up 0.5% at $2,588.29 per ounce, as of 0551 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,589.23 earlier in the session. This would be Fed's first rate cut since 2020. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment amid lower interest rates and geopolitical turmoil.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Tim Waterer, Donald Trump Organizations: Federal, U.S . Federal Reserve, KCM, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Republican, FBI Locations: China, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea

☆ It's a big week for central banks around the world, with a slew of rate moves on the table
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Kevin Dietsch | Getty ImagesA flurry of major central banks will hold monetary policy meetings this week, with investors bracing for interest rate moves in either direction. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to join others around the world in starting its own rate-cutting cycle. Elsewhere, Brazil's central bank is scheduled to hold its next policy meeting across Tuesday and Wednesday. Traffic outside the Central Bank of Brazil headquarters in Brasilia, Brazil, on Monday, June 17, 2024. The central bank delivered its first interest rate cut in more than four years at the start of August.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Kevin Dietsch, John Bilton, CNBC's, Bilton, David Volpe, Volpe, 25bps, Wilson Ferrarezi, BOE, Ruben Segura Cayuela Organizations: Federal Reserves, Washington , D.C, Federal, Traders, The Bank of England, Norway's Norges Bank, South Africa's, Bank, Bank of Japan, Morgan Asset Management, European, Bank of England, ECB, Emerald Asset Management, Banco Central, TS Lombard, Central Bank of, Bloomberg, Getty, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Brazil's, Brazil, Central Bank of Brazil, Brasilia, South Africa, Norway, Japan

☆ Ex-defense minister Ishiba tops corporate Japan's premier wish list, Reuters poll shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Japanese former Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba speaks during a press conference at the Foreign Correspondents' Club of Japan on Sept. 6, 2024 in Tokyo, Japan. Tomohiro Ohsumi | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesFormer defense minister Shigeru Ishiba is corporate Japan's top choice to replace Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, edging out Sanae Takaichi, who strives to become the nation's first female premier, a Reuters survey showed on Thursday. About 24% of respondents named Ishiba as the most desirable candidate, compared with 22% for Economic Security Minister Takaichi and 16% for Shinjiro Koizumi, the 43-year-old son of former premier Junichiro Koizumi. watch nowIshiba generally fares better than Koizumi in public opinion polls, but Koizumi has often come out on top among LDP supporters. Ishiba has held cabinet portfolios for agriculture and reviving local economies besides serving as defense minister and LDP policy chief.

Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Tomohiro Ohsumi, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Kishida, Takaichi, Shinjiro Koizumi, Junichiro Koizumi, Koizumi, Ishiba, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Defense, Foreign, Club of Japan, Getty, Former, Liberal Democratic Party, LDP, Economic Security, Bank of Japan Locations: Tokyo, Japan, United States

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