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New York Fed President John Williams in an interview with the Financial Times said the central bank is not done raising rates. Amazon.com (AMZN.O) outpaced megacap peers, up 0.8%, going into the "Prime Day" 48-hour shopping event, which falls on July 11-12. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) was up 150.60 points, or 0.44%, at 34,095.00, the S&P 500 (.SPX) was up 9.33 points, or 0.21%, at 4,418.86, and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) was up 2.20 points, or 0.02%, at 13,683.19. Eight of the top 11 S&P 500 sectors advanced, with energy (.SPNY) leading gains by 1.9%. The S&P index recorded 40 new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 71 new highs and 25 new lows.
Persons: Dow, Phil Blancato, Ladenburg, John Williams, Jefferies, Johann M Cherian, Shinjini Ganguli, Arun Koyyur, Maju Samuel Organizations: JPMorgan, Jefferies, Dow, Nasdaq, Fed, Asset Management, New York Fed, Financial Times, Dow Jones, Activision, Microsoft, Salesforce, Bank of America Global Research, JPMorgan Chase, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Cloud, cars, complexity' are three C's to focus on in chips sector, says BofA’s Vivek AryaVivek Arya, Bank of America Global Research senior semiconductors analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the semiconductor industry, where to make key investments in the sector, and more.
Persons: BofA’s Vivek Arya Vivek Arya Organizations: Bank of America Global Research
The growth in bookings is largely driven by pent-up demand from loyal customers returning to taking summer vacations and other leisure travel, said the analysts. JPMorgan upgraded Carnival shares to "overweight", while Bank of America raised its rating on the stock to "buy", and the analysts raised their price targets on all the three cruise companies. Carnival shares rose 14% to a more than 1-year high in early trading on Monday while Norwegian Cruise gained nearly 8%. The S&P 500 Hotels Resorts & Cruise Lines Sub-Industry Index was up 0.9% led by gains in cruise stocks. Commercial airline shares were also making gains on Monday amid falling crude oil prices and growth in demand for seats.
Persons: Chibuike Oguh, Granth Vanaik, Stephen Culp, Lance Tupper, David Gregorio Our Organizations: YORK, Carnival Corp, Cruise Line Holdings, JPMorgan, Bank of America Global Research, Carnival, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Bank of America, Norwegian Cruise, Royal, Hotels Resorts, Cruise, Southwest Airlines, Hawaiian Holdings, American Airlines, Thomson Locations: Royal Caribbean, New York
Oil edges lower ahead of Fed meeting
  + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Florence Tan | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
SINGAPORE, June 12 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged lower on Monday ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting as investors try to gauge the central bank's appetite for further rate hikes, while concerns about China's fuel demand growth and rising Russian crude supply weighed on the market. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was at $69.93 a barrel, down 24 cents, or 0.3%. "The bearish allocators will maintain the upper hand for now, as oil prices struggle to rally until the Fed eases money supply," Blanch said. Goldman Sachs cut its oil price forecasts on higher-than-expected supplies from Russia and Iran and raised 2024 supply forecasts for the two producers and Venezuela by a total 800,000 bpd. The bank's December crude price forecast now stands at $86 a barrel for Brent, down from $95, and at $81 a barrel for WTI, down from $89.
Persons: Francisco Blanch, Blanch, Brent, Saudi Arabia's, Goldman Sachs, Florence Tan, Tom Hogue Organizations: Reserve, Brent, . West Texas, Bank of America Global, Saudi, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, China, Saudi Arabia, 2H23, U.S, India, Russia, Iran, Venezuela
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoblox CEO David Baszucki on how VR headsets and AI will change the future of gamingRoblox CEO David Baszucki sat down with CNBC's Deirdre Bosa at the Bank of America Global Technology Conference this week to discuss Apple's new headset "Vision Pro" after the tech giant said it would use Roblox competitor Unity Software for apps and games. Baszucki also discussed the company's growth, its revenue split with developers, and monetizing AI experiences.
Persons: David Baszucki, CNBC's Deirdre Bosa, Baszucki Organizations: Bank of America Global Technology Conference, Unity Software
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan may be being 'purposefully' conservative in its inflation forecast, economist saysIzumi Devalier of Bank of America Global Research says the Bank of Japan probably "doesn't want a situation where markets anticipate monetary policy normalization."
Persons: Izumi Devalier Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Bank of America Global Research, Bank of Locations: Bank of Japan
What could burst the bubble is the Fed pausing rate hikes and then restarting the cycle. AI is in a "baby bubble" for now, Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at Bank of America Global Research, wrote on Friday. The Fed may be on the way to pausing its run of rate hikes at its June 14 gathering. The dot-com bubble popped nine months later. "AI = internet," wrote Hartnett.
Wall Street's main indexes climbed to session highs by early afternoon trading as shares of Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) extended gains to rise 3.9% after its annual shareholder meeting on Tuesday. U.S. regional banks rose, led by a 14.0% rise in Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N) as the lender's deposit growth exceeded $2 billion and brokerage Bank of America Global Research resumed coverage of the bank with a "buy" rating. The KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) jumped 5.4% after losing 1.8% in the previous session, while S&P 500 banks (.SPXBK) added 3.4%. The S&P 500 retail index (.SPXRT) rose 1.3%. The S&P index recorded 12 new 52-week highs and 14 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 46 new highs and 99 new lows.
Shares of U.S. regional banks rose, led by a 12.6% rise in Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N) as the lender's deposit growth exceeded $2 billion and brokerage Bank of America Global Research resumed coverage of the bank with a "buy" rating. The KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) rose 3.1% after losing 1.8% in the previous session, while S&P 500 banks (.SPXBK) added 2.4%. "Cautious optimism expressed from both President Biden and Speaker (Kevin) McCarthy about the progress of the debt talks has made people feel a little bit better," said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities. Retailers Target Corp(TGT.N) and TJX Companies Inc (TJX.N) forecast current-quarter profit below expectations despite beating estimates for the first quarter. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.69-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.39-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
Shares of U.S. regional banks rose, led by a 11.6% premarket rise in Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N) as the lender's deposit growth exceeded $2 billion and brokerage Bank of America Global Research resumed coverage of the bank with a "buy" rating. U.S. President Joe Biden will continue talks with congressional leaders on the debt ceiling later this week, the White House said one day after an hour-long meeting seen as productive. "Cautious optimism expressed from both President (Joe) Biden and Speaker (Kevin) McCarthy about the progress of the debt talks has made people feel a little bit better," said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities. Target Corp(TGT.N) edged 0.4% higher in choppy trading after the retailer beat first-quarter profit expectations but forecast current-quarter profit below expectations. ET, Dow e-minis were up 129 points, or 0.39%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 13 points, or 0.32%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 18.5 points, or 0.14%.
May 17 (Reuters) - Shares of U.S. regional lenders climbed premarket on Wednesday, looking to break out of range-bound trading as an update on Western Alliance Bancorp's (WAL.N) deposit levels soothed concerns that the U.S. banking crisis was getting worse. Western Alliance shares shot up 11% to $35.18, on course to erase losses recorded over the last two weeks if gains hold. Western Alliance and other regional lenders have seen their stock valuations battered by worries around a broader crisis and funding costs, with consumers moving money into bigger banks after three mid-sized U.S. lenders collapsed in the last two months. The bank's shares have seesawed in the last few sessions, rallying nearly 18% on Monday only to give back those gains a day later. Shares of Comerica Inc (CMA.N), Zions Bancorp (ZION.O) and KeyCorp (KEY.N) were also up between 1.3% and 3.5%.
Berkshire acquired 9.92 million shares in Capital One, a stake worth $954 million based on the closing price on March 31, regulatory filings showed on Monday. The bank's shares have shed around 15% since early March as the banking crisis has clobbered shares of U.S. regional lenders. Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank are the three banks that have so far collapsed during the current crisis. The KBW Regional Banking Index (.KRX) fell 0.38%. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said the central bank was "carefully considering" rule changes for larger regional banks, including requiring them to account for unrealized losses on their banks when considering capital levels.
While the Dow Jones Industrial Average 's year-to-date move into the red on Thursday may signal more choppy, range-bound trading ahead, technical analysts say they don't think it's an omen for new multi-year lows. Chart experts say the closely followed blue-chip Dow Jones average could test long-term moving averages. .DJI YTD mountain The Dow Failing to hold above its 200-day moving average of 32,707 could mean more downside ahead for the 30-stock average, said JC O'Hara, chief technical strategist at Roth MKM. "On average the stocks have an aggregated [earnings] surprise of nearly +10%, but the stocks are not being rewarded," O'Hara said of earnings season for Dow stocks thus far. Now, the Dow is the only one of the three in the red on the year as investors favor growth stocks over value.
Maybe Monday's stock market slide shows investors are finally tempering their optimism that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year to counterbalance an economic slowdown. Simply put, investors have bid up stocks since mid-March on a belief that the Fed will pivot policy, and cut rates by half a percentage point in reaction a shallow recession, BofA said. Unfortunately, the bank says such hopes will be dashed. "We see four risks this summer: an ugly debt ceiling battle, a significant tightening of bank credit, a geo-political event and disappointingly hawkish central banks. Hence a mild recession in the US—and flat growth in other major economies—will not trigger an immediate policy response," Harris wrote.
Sell the S&P 500 when it rises above 4,200, Bank of America's chief stock strategist said Friday. "We stay bearish" as the US economy looks set to end 2023 with stress in the labor market and weak earnings. The S&P 500 was edging toward logging a 20% gain from its bear-market low. He reiterated his call to sell the S&P 500 above 4,200 — less than 0.1% from the current level — in part as stocks are pricing in a decline of "just" 4% in per-share corporate earnings. It said 76% of S&P 500 companies that posted results had outstripped Wall Street's targets.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market going into summer could be volatile, says BofA's Jill Carey HallJill Carey Hall, Head of Small and Mid-Cap Strategy at Bank of America Global Research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the earnings season so far, and her market outlook for the rest of the year.
Stock Pickers Failed to Take Part in First-Quarter Rally
  + stars: | 2023-04-10 | by ( Vicky Ge Huang | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Apple is one of three companies that helped drive the S&P 500’s returns in the first quarter. Stock pickers missed out on the first-quarter rally, failing to extend their recent winning streak. Only one in three actively managed large-cap mutual funds beat their benchmarks in the first three months of the year, the worst performance since the three-month period ended December 2020, according to data from Bank of America Global Research.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with BofA's Ethan Harris and BNP Paribas' Yelena ShulyatyevaEthan Harris, head of global economics at Bank of America Global Research and Yelena Shulyatyeva, U.S. economist at BNP Paribas, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the market response to the SVB hearing, the regulatory response to the bank crisis, and credit turmoil replacing interest rate hikes.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation looks hard to pull down amid fast wage growth, says BNP's Yelena ShulyatyevaEthan Harris, head of global economics at Bank of America Global Research and Yelena Shulyatyeva, U.S. economist at BNP Paribas, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the market response to the SVB hearing, the regulatory response to the bank crisis, and credit turmoil replacing interest rate hikes.
Sentiment indicators have been at extremes, but investors don't seem in any hurry to take advantage of it. That is a good thing: sentiment indicators are mostly useful at extremes, and when sentiment gets this pessimistic it is usually associated with at least short-term market bottoms. This morning, for example, Lori Calvasina at RBC Capital Markets also pointed out that many sentiment indicators were at extremes. In theory, this is good news: she notes that when sentiment gets this bad, the S & P 500 is up 15% on average over the next 12 months. Other sentiment indicators are also at extremes.
Here are some of the more prominent global tech firms that have axed staff despite earning big money. 30 despite a "dynamic environment," CEO Satya Nadella said in the tech giant's annual report. Despite that, Microsoft announced in January that it's laying off 10,000 workers as the firm braces for slower revenue growth. The enterprise software company also returned to positive operating profit growth of 2%. However, SAP announced in January that it's cutting up to 3,000 jobs, as the leadership seeks to steer the company toward double-digit profit growth in 2023.
The monthly Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey shows "investor sentiment close to levels of pessimism seen at lows of past 20 years," according to the survey. This pessimism is consistent with other investor sentiment surveys. The weekly AAII Investor Sentiment Survey, out last Thursday, was at a 6-month low for bullish sentiment and close to the levels of last September, which were near historic lows. Two rules about sentiment indicators: 1) they are contrarian indicators, and 2) they are most useful when the readings are at extremes (as they are now). The firm also noted that other sentiment indicators (money flows, private clients' asset allocation) are not yet in "capitulation" territory.
Last quarter, Nvidia said tech giant Microsoft was deploying “tens of thousands” of its GPUs in its cloud unit Azure to train and use AI. Microsoft-backed OpenAI's ChatGPT runs entirely on Nvidia chips, Piper Sandler analyst Harsh Kumar said. Revenue from the data center business was $3.62 billion for the fourth quarter, slightly below analyst estimates of $3.84 billion. Gaming chip sales were $1.83 billion, beating analyst estimates of $1.52 billion, according to Refinitiv data. Adjusted profit was 88 cents per share for the fourth quarter, beating analyst estimates of 81 cents.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market still not fulling pricing in recession risks , says BofA's Jill Carey HallJill Carey Hall, head of small and midcap strategy at Bank of America Global Research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss year end targets, nearterm downside risks, and markets not fully pricing in recession.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with BofA's Jill Carey Hall on lessons from earnings seasonJill Carey Hall, head of small and midcap strategy at Bank of America Global Research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss year end targets, nearterm downside risks, and markets not fully pricing in recession.
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